Literature Review - Systematic Research 4 Pages
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Open Access Full Text Article
http://dx.doi.org/10.2147/CLEP.S146496
Association between coffee or caffeine consumption and fecundity and fertility: a systematic review and dose–response meta-analysis
Julie Lyngsø1
Cecilia Høst Ramlau-Hansen1
Bjørn Bay2
Hans Jakob ingerslev3
Adam Hulman1,4
Ulrik Schiøler Kesmodel5
1Department of Public Health, Section for Epidemiology, Aarhus University, Aarhus, 2The Fertility Clinic, Regional Horsens Hospital, Horsens, 3Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, 4Danish Diabetes Academy, Odense, 5Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Herlev and Gentofte Hospital, Herlev, Denmark
Objective: The aim was to investigate whether coffee or caffeine consumption is associated with reproductive endpoints among women with natural fertility (ie, time to pregnancy [TTP]
and spontaneous abortion [SAB]) and among women in fertility treatment (ie, clinical pregnancy
rate or live birth rate).
Design: This study was a systematic review and dose–response meta-analysis including data from case–control and cohort studies.
Methods: An extensive literature search was conducted in MEDLINE and Embase, with no time and language restrictions. Also, reference lists were searched manually. Two independent
reviewers assessed the manuscript quality using the Newcastle–Ottawa Scale (NOS). A two-
stage dose–response meta-analysis was applied to assess a potential association between coffee/
caffeine consumption and the outcomes: TTP, SAB, clinical pregnancy, and live birth. Hetero-
geneity between studies was assessed using Cochrane Q-test and I2 statistics. Publication bias
was assessed using Egger’s regression test.
Results: The pooled results showed that coffee/caffeine consumption is associated with a significantly increased risk of SAB for 300 mg caffeine/day (relative risk [RR]: 1.37, 95%
confidence interval [95% CI]: 1.19; 1.57) and for 600 mg caffeine/day (RR: 2.32, 95% CI: 1.62;
3.31). No association was found between coffee/caffeine consumption and outcomes of fertility
treatment (based on two studies). No clear association was found between exposure to coffee/
caffeine and natural fertility as measured by fecundability odds ratio (based on three studies)
or waiting TTP (based on two studies).
Conclusion: Results from this meta-analysis support the growing evidence of an association between coffee/caffeine intake and the risk of SAB. However, viewing the reproductive capac-
ity in a broader perspective, there seems to be little, if any, association between coffee/caffeine
consumption and fecundity. In general, results from this study are supportive of a precautionary
principle advised by health organizations such as European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) and
World Health Organization (WHO), although the advised limit of a maximum of two to three
cups of coffee/200–300 mg caffeine per day may be too high.
Keywords: coffee, caffeine, fecundity, fertility, spontaneous abortion, assisted reproduction
Plain language summary Coffee and other caffeinated beverages are widely consumed by women desiring to conceive as
well as pregnant women. Whether such consumption reduces the chance of achieving a preg-
nancy or may have harmful effects on the developing fetus is widely debated. As a contribution
to this debate and given the growing concern of subfecundity and infertility in public health,
Correspondence: Julie Lyngsø Department of Public Health, Section for Epidemiology, Aarhus University, Bartholins Allé 2, building 1260, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark Tel +45 40 34 81 74 Email [email protected]
Journal name: Clinical Epidemiology Article Designation: Review Year: 2017 Volume: 9 Running head verso: Lyngsø et al Running head recto: Consumption of coffee or caffeine and fecundity and fertility DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.2147/CLEP.S146496
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we investigated the risk of coffee or caffeine consumption on the
ability to conceive a pregnancy and to carry the pregnancy to term.
Results from this study showed an increased risk of experiencing
a spontaneous abortion with increasing consumption of coffee/
caffeine during early pregnancy. No clear association was found
between coffee/caffeine consumption and the chance of achieving
a pregnancy among women/couples trying to conceive naturally
or by women/couples receiving fertility treatment. Results from
this study support the precautionary principle advised by health
organizations such as European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) and
World Health Organization (WHO), although the advised limit of a
maximum of two to three cups of coffee/200–300 mg caffeine per
day may be too high.
Introduction Subfecundity and infertility are multifactorial conditions
of growing concern in public health. Worldwide, one in six
couples experience fecundity problems during their repro-
ductive lifetime.1–3 While the cause often may be explained
by failure of ovulation, damages on the fallopian tubes, or
low sperm count, the reduced fecundity is still unexplained
in many cases. Thus, investigations of a potential effect of
modifiable exposures on longer waiting time to pregnancy
(TTP), increased rate of spontaneous abortion (SAB), or
reduced live birth rate are important.
Coffee consumption is common among people through-
out the world. Worldwide, Finland has the highest consump-
tion (12.0 kg coffee/person/year), with Denmark being the
fourth most coffee-consuming country (8.7 kg coffee/person/
year). Also, coffee and other caffeine-containing drinks and
foods are widely consumed by women desiring to conceive
and by pregnant women. On average, a cup of coffee contains
~100 mg of caffeine.4 Even small effects of coffee or caffeine intake on fecun-
dity could have considerable public health consequences,
considering the large consumption of these substances.
The European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) recommends
women desiring to conceive and pregnant women to keep
their daily caffeine consumption below 200 mg,5 while WHO
recommends a daily caffeine intake below 300 mg.6 Caffeine
is a central ingredient in coffee, while other sources of caffeine
include tea, soft drinks, chocolate, and some medications.
The association between caffeine intake and female
fecundity has been studied with inconsistent findings, in
studies with both retrospectively7–13 and prospectively col-
lected exposure data.14–19 A high level of coffee consumption
during pregnancy has been associated with an increased risk
of fetal death after 20 weeks of gestation20,21 and stillbirth.22
In meta-analyses, an increased risk of low birth weight and
small for gestational age was found,23 but no association was
found between caffeine intake during pregnancy and the risk
of preterm birth.23,24
Recently, a meta-analysis reported that an increment
in intake of 100 mg caffeine per day was associated with a
14% increased risk of SAB.23 However, the authors did not
account for the varying quality of the included studies, includ-
ing varying (or none) adjustment for potential confounders.
Studies that fail to adjust for important risk factors associated
with SAB may over- or underestimate the risk associated
with caffeine consumption. Hence, taking adjustment status
into account would considerably improve the quality of a
meta-analysis. Moreover, other substances in coffee besides
caffeine might play an important role. Finally, applying a
broader view on fecundity through inclusion of different
reproductive endpoints among both women conceiving
naturally and following fertility treatment could extend the
use of the results and help general practitioners and fertility
clinics provide balanced information to women and couples
seeking advice or even fertility treatment. No meta-analysis
has previously reported on a possible association between
coffee/caffeine intake and TTP or endpoints among couples
in fertility treatment.
The aim of this systematic review and dose-response
meta-analysis was to investigate whether consumption of
coffee or caffeine is associated with reproductive endpoints
among women with natural fertility (ie TTP and SAB) and
among women in fertility treatment (ie clinical pregnancy
rate and live birth rate).
Methods A review protocol is available from the PROSPERO data-
base.25 The protocol was registered on June 9, 2015 (registra-
tion number: CRD42015020333).
Search strategy and selection We conducted a comprehensive literature search in MED-
LINE and Embase databases with the help of a medical
librarian on May 26, 2015. The following keywords and
medical subject headings were used to identify relevant
articles in the databases: ([“Fertility” or “Infertility, Female”
or “Reproduction” or “Preconception Care”) or [“Reproduc-
tive Techniques, Assisted” or “Reproductive Techniques” or
“fertility treatment”]) AND (“Caffeine/adverse effects” or
“Coffee”) AND (“Case-Control Studies” or “Cohort Stud-
ies”). To include non-indexed new literature, an additional
search was performed using free text terms. No restrictions
were made regarding study language or year of publication.
Further, the reference lists of retrieved articles and reviews
were searched manually for additionally relevant studies. The
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Consumption of coffee or caffeine and fecundity and fertility
first author reviewed all retrieved articles for eligibility by
title and abstract by consulting with at least one co-author in
cases of any doubt about the inclusion of a given study or not.
Potentially eligible articles were thoroughly read in full text to
check whether they fulfilled the following inclusion criteria:
1. Participants had to be either women/couples trying to
conceive naturally or women/couples trying to conceive
by medically assisted reproduction (MAR) treatment
2. Studies that reported a numerical exposure range of either
coffee or caffeine consumption
3. Studies that investigated at least one of the outcomes of
interest: TTP, SAB, clinical pregnancy, and live birth
4. Articles that reported data from original studies (ie, no
review articles)
5. Studies of which the design was a case-control study or
a cohort study (ie, no RCT)
Before finalizing the manuscript, the database search was
repeated on April 3, 2017.
Data extraction All included full text articles were read independently by at
least two authors. A data extraction form was developed a
priori, ensuring a standardized procedure. The following data
were extracted: lead author surname, study title, country of
origin, year of publication and journal, study design, study
population (size and selection), exposure and outcome assess-
ment, covariates adjusted for, main results, study limitations,
and assessment of quality scoring.
We assessed the quality of all included studies using the
Newcastle–Ottawa Scale (NOS).26 Thus, the selection process
and comparability of the study groups as well as the ascertain-
ment of exposure or outcome of interest of the included stud-
ies were evaluated for either cohort or case–control studies
(please see scoring details in the Supplementary material). In
addition to the NOS scheme, we constructed an explanatory
form ensuring a standardized scoring among the authors with
regard to the specific scope of this review (Supplementary
material). When using NOS to evaluate study comparability,
one has to choose the two most important covariates. Hence,
based on the current knowledge, maternal age was chosen
as the most important factor to adjust for. As additionally
important adjustment factors, smoking was chosen for
studies evaluating TTP and MAR treatment, while maternal
alcohol consumption was chosen for those investigating
SAB. All studies were allocated a total score between 0 and
9 independently by a minimum of two authors. Any incon-
sistency was resolved by discussion, leading to a uniform
decision. Studies with a total score of ≥7 were considered as “ high-quality studies”, and in a sub-analysis, studies were
stratified according to this selected cut-off value. Regardless
of total NOS score, all studies were included in the review.
This review is reported in accordance with the PRISMA
statement27 for reporting of systematic review and meta-
analysis. Supplementary material regarding the full search
strategy for MEDLINE, elaborated reasons for exclusion, and
NOS explanatory form are all available online.
Outcomes The ability to naturally conceive was investigated by two
broad fecundability measures including TTP (ie, the number
of months or cycles taken by a couple to conceive, when
being sexually active and not using birth control) and fecund-
ability odds ratio (FOR) (ie, the ratio of couple’s probability
of conceiving in one menstrual cycle).28 The capability of
maintaining a pregnancy after conception was evaluated by
the risk of experiencing an SAB (yes/no). Among couples
receiving MAR treatment, a possible association was inves-
tigated using different endpoints to evaluate a successful
fertility treatment (ie, achieving a pregnancy or live birth
after fertility treatment; yes/no).
Statistical analysis Although still included in the review, studies were excluded
from the meta-analyses if they did not provide information on
the number of cases and total number of subjects within each
exposure category and whose corresponding author did not
respond to emails asking for additional data to calculate these
numbers.7,9,10,14,15,17,29–33 Also, we excluded studies that did not
report on three or more quantitative categories of coffee/caf-
feine consumption,34–37 as these cannot contribute sufficient
data when performing a dose–response meta-analysis.38
We applied a two-stage dose–response meta-analysis
to assess a potential association between coffee/caffeine
consumption and our outcomes.39 For fecundability and
MAR treatment, we included only fixed effects in the meta-
analysis due to the low number of included studies,40 while
for SAB, we conducted a random-effects meta-analysis after
considering heterogeneity between studies. As coffee/caffeine
consumption was reported on various scales, we converted
exposure data into a uniform measurement (mg/day). Studies
reporting consumption in cups of coffee were recalculated
into an approximate caffeine content, assuming that one
cup of coffee in general contains 100 mg caffeine.4,41 As the
approximation of caffeine content per cup of coffee might
be imprecise, a sensitivity analysis was performed, assuming
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that one cup of coffee contained 150 mg caffeine. Coffee/
caffeine consumption was modeled using restricted cubic
splines with three knots at the 10th, 50th, and 90th percentiles
of the distribution of doses.38,42,43 For each model, we present
an overall p-value testing that the two regression coefficients
describing the nonlinear relationship were simultaneously
equal to zero. Also, upon finding a statistical significant
association, we present a p-value testing the linear versus
nonlinear relationship.44 When analyzing risk of SAB, we
performed stratified analyses by type of consumption (caf-
feine vs coffee), adjustment status (crude vs any adjustment),
study quality (NOS>7 vs NOS<7), and study design (cohort vs case–control). Similar analyses were not possible for other
outcomes due to the low number of studies. Heterogeneity
between studies was assessed using the Cochrane Q-test and
the I2 statistic. Low heterogeneity was defined by I2 values
<25%, while a I2 value >75% was considered an indicator of substantial heterogeneity.45 Publication bias was assessed for
SAB studies, using Egger’s regression test.46 As meta-analysis
for fecundity and MAR endpoints only included a maximum
of three studies, tests of heterogeneity and publication bias
were irrelevant for these outcomes.47 All statistical analyses
were performed using the “dosresmeta” and “metafor” pack-
ages in R version 3.3.1.48,49 p-values <0.05 were considered statistically significant.
Results Characteristics of the included studies A total number of 379 articles were identified through the
systematic literature search, and an additional 68 articles
were identified through a manual search of their references
( Figure 1). Of the total 447 articles, 136 were duplicates
and thus excluded. The remaining 311 unique articles were
screened by title and, if necessary, by abstract, and 195 did
not meet the eligibility criteria. Full-texts were assessed
for the remaining 116 articles. Of these, 68 articles were
excluded due to not meeting the eligibility criteria, and
one article was excluded due to insufficient data reporting.
Thus, a total of 47 studies were included in the systematic
review. Of these, 35 studies had dose–response information
(ie, reporting at least three or more quantitative exposure
categories) and were included in our meta-analyses. Of
these 35 studies, 5 studies reported about the endpoints of
fecundity9,10,16,19,50, 27 studies reported about SAB,21,32,34,51–73
and 3 studies reported on the outcomes of MAR.74–76 Results
from the remaining 12 studies that did not provide sufficient
data to be included in the meta-analysis are included as a
narrative description.
All included studies were published between 1988
and 2015. Thirty-one were cohort studies, while 16 were
case–control studies. Study characteristics, results, and the
assigned total NOS scores are presented in Tables 1–3 (for
NOS elaborations, please see the Table S1). The presented
results cover a variety of countries with large differences in
exposure levels ranging from non-consumers to those who
consume over 1,200 mg/day (corresponding to 12 cups of cof-
fee/day). Also, adjustment for potential confounders varied
considerably between studies (Tables 1–3).
FOR In the three cohort studies providing sufficient data to be
included in the meta-analysis, we found no indication of an
association between caffeine intake up to 400 mg/day and
altered FOR (overall p=0.76; Figure 2A). Compared with no caffeine intake, the pooled odds ratios for altered fecund-
ability were 1.03 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.83; 1.28)
for 100 mg caffeine/day and 1.09 (95% CI: 0.86; 1.37) for
400 mg caffeine/day.
Studies not eligible for meta-analysis Five other studies have addressed a possible association
between coffee/caffeine consumption and fecundability with
contradicting findings. Two studies from the US13,15 includ-
ing a total of 104 and 6,303 women, respectively reported
reduced fecundability with higher caffeine consumption in
the late 1980s. However, results by three later studies (two
European studies and one US study)14,17,30 including 259 and
423, and 470 women, respectively, support the findings of no
association between caffeine consumption on fecundability.
TTP Only two cohort studies provided sufficient data on TTP, to
be included in the dose–response meta-analysis. The results
did not indicate an association (p=0.43 for TTP >6 months and p=0.98 for TTP >12 months) (Figure 2B and 2C).
Compared with no caffeine intake, the pooled relative
risks for TTP >6 months were 0.92 (95% CI: 0.79; 1.07) for 100 mg caffeine/day and 0.76 (95% CI: 0.49; 1.18) for 600
mg caffeine/day. For TTP >12 months, the pooled relative risks were 0.99 (95% CI: 0.88; 1.11) for 100 mg caffeine/
day and 0.97 (95% CI: 0.71; 1.33) for 600 mg caffeine/day,
compared with no caffeine intake.
Studies not eligible for meta-analysis Two studies that were not included in the meta-analysis
have investigated a possible association between caffeine
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Consumption of coffee or caffeine and fecundity and fertility
consumption and TTP. Bolúmar et al7 reported on 3,146
European women and found an increased risk of TTP >9.5 months with a caffeine intake of >500 mg/day when reporting retrospectively on their first pregnancy. However, no associa-
tion was found when reporting on the most recent waiting
time. Another study including 66 American women29 did not
find an association between caffeine consumption and TTP.
SAB We found that higher intake of caffeine was associated with
higher risk of spontaneous abortion (overall association
p<0.0001; p for non-linearity <0.01), based on 27 studies providing sufficient data to be included in the meta-analysis
(Figure 2D). Compared with no caffeine intake, the pooled
relative risks for SAB were 1.08 (95% CI: 1.03; 1.13) for
Figure 1 Flow diagram. Abbreviations: SAB, spontaneous abortion; MAR, medically assisted reproduction.
Total number of records identified (n = 447)
Id en
tif ic
at io
n S
cr ee
ni ng
E lig
ib ili
ty In
cl ud
ed
Total number of unique records identified (n = 311)
Unique full-text articles assessed for eligibility (n = 116)
Studies included in review (n = 47)
Studies included in meta-analyses (n = 35)
Fecundity studies (n = 5)
SAB studies (n = 27)
MAR studies (n = 3)
Exclusion of duplicate records (n = 136)
Exclusion of non-relevant records based on title and abstract
(n = 195)
Studies only included in the review (n = 12) Reporting insufficient data (n = 9) Only two exposure categories (n = 3)
- -
Full-text articles excluded Lack of relevance (n = 68)-
- Insufficient data reporting (n = 1)
Total number of records identified through search of References (n = 68)-
Total number of records identified through database searching
MEDLINE/PubMed (n = 140)- - -
Embase (n= 238) Repeated database search (n=1)
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Table 1 Characteristics and results of publications on coffee/caffeine and fecundity endpoints
Author and year
Country Design Study groups included in the analyses
Source of caffeine
Controls for maternal age
Controls for other important covariates
Confounding factors Main results Total NOS score
wilcox et al, 198815
US Cohort N=104 volunteering healthy women who did not become pregnant in the first 3 months of trying to conceive
Multiple Yes Yes Age, frequency of intercourse, age at menarche, woman’s prenatal exposure to mother’s smoking. Subanalysis resticted to non-smokers
women with a caffeine intake had a decreased fecundability FOR: 0.51 (95% Ci 0.35; 0.75)
6
Christianson et al, 198913
US Cohort N=6,303 pregnant women Coffee No Yes Ethnicity, parity, smoking women with a coffee intake of >7 cups/day had an increased risk of experiencing difficulties in becoming pregnant RR: 1.96*
4
Olsen, 19919 Denmark Cohort N=5,309 non-smoking pregnant Danish women who had reached their 3rd trimester Cases: 523
Multiple Yes Yes Main analysis – data stratified on smoking status. Adjusted for number of pregnancies, father’s age, mother’s and father’s alcohol drinking habits, shift work, mother’s education, mother’s and father’s smoking habits
Among nonsmokers, there was no association between coffee/tea intake >8 cups/day and TTP >6 or TTP >12 months OR: 0.92 (95% Ci 0.71; 1.19) and OR: 0.98 (95% Ci 0.70; 1.37) Among smokers, an intake of >8 cups/day was associated with TTP >12 months OR: 1.35 (95% Ci 1.02; 1.48)
6
Florack et al, 199417
The Netherlands
Cohort N=259 Dutch women planning a pregnancy within a year, hospital workers
Coffee No No Main analysis = crude analysis. Subanalysis: controling for smoking and partners behavioral risk factors
women with a caffeine intake of 400–700 mg/day had an increased fecundability FOR: 2.10 (95% Ci 1.20; 3.70)
7
Alderete et al, 199510
US Cohort N=787 Primigravidas and married American women
Coffee Yes Yes Stratification by smoking status. Adjusted for age, race, BMi, education, prior use of contraceptive pills, alcohol consumption, husband’s smoking habits, income, whether pregnancy was planned, abnormal reproductive conditions, immune and endocrine disorders
Nonsmoking women with a coffee intake >3 cups/day had no increased risk of TTP >3 months (187 cases) OR: 1.10 (95% Ci 0.70; 1.80) TTP >6 months (104 cases) OR: 1.00 (95% Ci 0.60; 1.80) or TTP >12 months (56 cases) OR: 1.00 (95% Ci 0.50; 1.70)
7
Bolúmar et al, 19977
Spain Cohort N=3,146 European women in the fertile age, planning their first pregnancy
Multiple Yes Yes Age, parity, smoking, alcohol consumption, frequency of intercourse, educational level, working status, use of oral contraceptives, and country
Women with a caffeine intake during the first pregnancy of >500 mg/day had an increased risk of TTP >9.5 months OR: 1.45 (95% Ci 1.03; 2.04) No association between total caffeine intake >500 mg/day or coffee intake >5 cups/day and TTP >9.5 months (N=3.053) OR: 1.32 (95% Ci 0.94; 1.86) and OR: 1.26 (95% Ci 0.91; 1.74) during the most recent waiting time
6
Caan et al, 199816 US Cohort N=187 volunteering American women, pregnancy planners who had been trying for 3 months or less to conceive in total 737 cycles; 115 pregnant cycles and 622 non- pregnant cycles
Multiple/ coffee
Yes Yes Age, BMi, gravidity, frequency of intercourse, smoking, and alcoholic beverage
No risk of reduced fecundability with total caffeine intake >106.8 mg/day OR: 1.09 (95% Ci 0.63; 1.89) or coffee intake >1 cup/day OR: 0.77 (95% Ci 0.43; 1.37)
6
Hakim et al, 199819
US Cohort N=98 volunteering American women in the reproductive age, employed at two semiconductor plants No. of conceptions: 90 No. of menstrual cycles: 536
Coffee Yes Yes Participants’ age, number of occurrences of sexual intercourse in each month, alcohol consumption. The analysis was restricted to nonsmoking women
Nonsmoking women had no risk of reduced fecundability with caffeine intake >300 mg/day OR: 0.83 (95% Ci 0.34; 2.01)
7
Jensen et al, 199814
Denmark Cohort N=423 volunteering Danish couples, nulliparous and pregnancy planners with 1,596 cycles
Multiple/ coffee
No Yes Stratification by smoking. Total caffeine adjusted for female BMi, alcohol intake, deseases of the reproductive organs, semen quality, duration of menstrual cycle
Nonsmoking women had no risk of reduced fecundability with total caffeine intake >700 mg/day FOR: 0.63 (95% Ci 0.25; 1.60) or caffeine intake from coffee >300 mg/day FOR: 0.87 (95% Ci 0.32; 2.37) Among smokers, a total intake of caffeine 0–299 mg/day and a caffeine intake from coffee >300 mg/day were associated with reduced fecundability (FOR: 0.55 [95% Ci 0.32; 0.98] and FOR: 0.34 [95% Ci 0.12; 0.98], respectively)
5
Pollack et al, 201029
US Cohort N=66 American pregnancy planners Cases: 14
Multiple Yes Yes Age, average alcohol consumption and cigarette consumption per standardized 28-day cycle, and prior history of SAB
No risk of longer TTP with total caffeine intake (RR: 1.00 [95% Ci 0.99; 1.01])
7
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Consumption of coffee or caffeine and fecundity and fertility
Table 1 Characteristics and results of publications on coffee/caffeine and fecundity endpoints
Author and year
Country Design Study groups included in the analyses
Source of caffeine
Controls for maternal age
Controls for other important covariates
Confounding factors Main results Total NOS score
wilcox et al, 198815
US Cohort N=104 volunteering healthy women who did not become pregnant in the first 3 months of trying to conceive
Multiple Yes Yes Age, frequency of intercourse, age at menarche, woman’s prenatal exposure to mother’s smoking. Subanalysis resticted to non-smokers
women with a caffeine intake had a decreased fecundability FOR: 0.51 (95% Ci 0.35; 0.75)
6
Christianson et al, 198913
US Cohort N=6,303 pregnant women Coffee No Yes Ethnicity, parity, smoking women with a coffee intake of >7 cups/day had an increased risk of experiencing difficulties in becoming pregnant RR: 1.96*
4
Olsen, 19919 Denmark Cohort N=5,309 non-smoking pregnant Danish women who had reached their 3rd trimester Cases: 523
Multiple Yes Yes Main analysis – data stratified on smoking status. Adjusted for number of pregnancies, father’s age, mother’s and father’s alcohol drinking habits, shift work, mother’s education, mother’s and father’s smoking habits
Among nonsmokers, there was no association between coffee/tea intake >8 cups/day and TTP >6 or TTP >12 months OR: 0.92 (95% Ci 0.71; 1.19) and OR: 0.98 (95% Ci 0.70; 1.37) Among smokers, an intake of >8 cups/day was associated with TTP >12 months OR: 1.35 (95% Ci 1.02; 1.48)
6
Florack et al, 199417
The Netherlands
Cohort N=259 Dutch women planning a pregnancy within a year, hospital workers
Coffee No No Main analysis = crude analysis. Subanalysis: controling for smoking and partners behavioral risk factors
women with a caffeine intake of 400–700 mg/day had an increased fecundability FOR: 2.10 (95% Ci 1.20; 3.70)
7
Alderete et al, 199510
US Cohort N=787 Primigravidas and married American women
Coffee Yes Yes Stratification by smoking status. Adjusted for age, race, BMi, education, prior use of contraceptive pills, alcohol consumption, husband’s smoking habits, income, whether pregnancy was planned, abnormal reproductive conditions, immune and endocrine disorders
Nonsmoking women with a coffee intake >3 cups/day had no increased risk of TTP >3 months (187 cases) OR: 1.10 (95% Ci 0.70; 1.80) TTP >6 months (104 cases) OR: 1.00 (95% Ci 0.60; 1.80) or TTP >12 months (56 cases) OR: 1.00 (95% Ci 0.50; 1.70)
7
Bolúmar et al, 19977
Spain Cohort N=3,146 European women in the fertile age, planning their first pregnancy
Multiple Yes Yes Age, parity, smoking, alcohol consumption, frequency of intercourse, educational level, working status, use of oral contraceptives, and country
Women with a caffeine intake during the first pregnancy of >500 mg/day had an increased risk of TTP >9.5 months OR: 1.45 (95% Ci 1.03; 2.04) No association between total caffeine intake >500 mg/day or coffee intake >5 cups/day and TTP >9.5 months (N=3.053) OR: 1.32 (95% Ci 0.94; 1.86) and OR: 1.26 (95% Ci 0.91; 1.74) during the most recent waiting time
6
Caan et al, 199816 US Cohort N=187 volunteering American women, pregnancy planners who had been trying for 3 months or less to conceive in total 737 cycles; 115 pregnant cycles and 622 non- pregnant cycles
Multiple/ coffee
Yes Yes Age, BMi, gravidity, frequency of intercourse, smoking, and alcoholic beverage
No risk of reduced fecundability with total caffeine intake >106.8 mg/day OR: 1.09 (95% Ci 0.63; 1.89) or coffee intake >1 cup/day OR: 0.77 (95% Ci 0.43; 1.37)
6
Hakim et al, 199819
US Cohort N=98 volunteering American women in the reproductive age, employed at two semiconductor plants No. of conceptions: 90 No. of menstrual cycles: 536
Coffee Yes Yes Participants’ age, number of occurrences of sexual intercourse in each month, alcohol consumption. The analysis was restricted to nonsmoking women
Nonsmoking women had no risk of reduced fecundability with caffeine intake >300 mg/day OR: 0.83 (95% Ci 0.34; 2.01)
7
Jensen et al, 199814
Denmark Cohort N=423 volunteering Danish couples, nulliparous and pregnancy planners with 1,596 cycles
Multiple/ coffee
No Yes Stratification by smoking. Total caffeine adjusted for female BMi, alcohol intake, deseases of the reproductive organs, semen quality, duration of menstrual cycle
Nonsmoking women had no risk of reduced fecundability with total caffeine intake >700 mg/day FOR: 0.63 (95% Ci 0.25; 1.60) or caffeine intake from coffee >300 mg/day FOR: 0.87 (95% Ci 0.32; 2.37) Among smokers, a total intake of caffeine 0–299 mg/day and a caffeine intake from coffee >300 mg/day were associated with reduced fecundability (FOR: 0.55 [95% Ci 0.32; 0.98] and FOR: 0.34 [95% Ci 0.12; 0.98], respectively)
5
Pollack et al, 201029
US Cohort N=66 American pregnancy planners Cases: 14
Multiple Yes Yes Age, average alcohol consumption and cigarette consumption per standardized 28-day cycle, and prior history of SAB
No risk of longer TTP with total caffeine intake (RR: 1.00 [95% Ci 0.99; 1.01])
7
(Continued)
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Lyngsø et al
Author and year
Country Design Study groups included in the analyses
Source of caffeine
Controls for maternal age
Controls for other important covariates
Confounding factors Main results Total NOS score
Taylor et al, 201130
US Cohort N=470 American women who were sexually active and with no history of infertility
Multiple Yes Yes Age, trying to get pregnant, frequency of unprotected intercourse, BMi, average alcohol intake, smoking
No risk of reduced fecundability among women with a caffeine intake >300 mg/day (FOR: 0.89 [95% Ci 0.58; 1.38])
6
Hatch et al, 201250
US Cohort N=2,484 Danish women, planning a pregnancy who had not been trying to conceive for >6 cycles at study entry No. of pregnancies: 2,484 Cycles at risk: 15,225
Multiple/ coffee
Yes Yes Age, partner’s age, BMi, pack-years of smoking, number of alcoholic beverages consumed per week, physical activity (METs/week), and frequency of intercourse (also adjusted for tea and cola in analyses concerning coffee)
No risk of reduced fecundability among women with a caffeine intake >300 mg/day (FOR: 1.06 [95% Ci 0.92; 1.23]) or coffee intake >3 cups/day (FOR: 1.01 [95% Ci 0.80; 1.27])
6
Notes: *No 95% Ci provided. Abbreviations: 95% CI, 95% confidence interval; FOR, fecundability odds ratio; NOS, Newcastle–Ottawa scale; TTP, time to pregnancy; SAB, spontaneous abortion; BMi, body mass index.
Table 1 (Continued)
Table 2 Characteristics and results of publications on coffee/caffeine and spontaneous abortion (SAB)
Author and year Country Design Study groups included in the analyses Source of caffeine
Controls for maternal age
Controls for other important covariates
Confounding factors Main results Total NOS score
Srisuphan and Bracken, 198634
US Cohort N=2,188 pregnant American women attending care at 29 private hospitals Cases: 345
Multiple Yes No Gestational age at the interview, maternal age, prior gynecologic surgery, member of Jewish religion, SAB in last pregnancy
women consuming ≥151 mg caffeine/day had an increased risk of SAB RR: 1.73*
6
Axelsson and Rylander, 198931
Sweden Cohort N=654 Swedish shift-working women, including 970 pregnancies
Coffee Yes No Age women with a coffee intake of >3 cups/day had an increased risk of miscarriage RR: 1.56 (95% Ci 1.06; 2.30)
5
wilcox et al, 199066 US Cohort N=104 healthy volunteering American women, who did not become pregnant in the first 3 months of trying to conceive with 171 pregnancies Cases: 43
Multiple Yes No Age No increased risk of early pregnancy loss with caffeine consumption >3,500 mg/month RR: 2.40 (95% Ci 0.80; 7.00)
6
Fenster et al, 199151 US Case– control
N=1,891 Cases: 607 American women with SAB within the first 20 weeks of gestation Controls: 1,284 women, frequency matched by last menstrual period and hospital, selected two per case from county live births
Multiple Yes Yes Age, race marital status, insurance coverage, cigarette and alcohol consumption, previous spontaneous abortions and previous therapeutic abortions
No increased risk of SAB with total caffeine intake >300 mg/day OR: 1.22 (95% Ci 0.80; 1.87) Among heavy users, nausea modified the risk of SAB OR: 2.10 (95% Ci 1.20; 3.70)
7
Kline et al, 199160 US Case– control
N=2,441 Cases: 1,135 American women with SAB within the first 28 weeks of gestation Controls: 1,306 pregnant women, matched by age and payment group
Multiple Yes No Adjusted for maternal age in the article (not able to include this in the meta-analysis, using crude estimates)
women with a perifertilization caffeine intake of 28–124 mg/day had a decreased risk of SAB OR: 0.66 (95% Ci 0.52; 0.83) women with a caffeine intake of 225–1,308 mg/day during pregnancy had an increased risk of SAB OR: 1.71 (95% Ci 1.29; 2.26)
6
Parazzini et al, 199136 italy Case– control
N=260 Cases: 94 italian women with two or more unexplained miscarriages and no full-term pregnancy Controls: 176 women with normal delivery
Coffee Yes No Age (adjustment for alcohol was not done in the presented analysis)
No significant increased risk of SAB with coffee intake OR: 1.40 (95% Ci 0.70; 2.60)
6
Armstrong et al, 199253
US Cohort N=35,848 American women with previous pregnancy ending in either delivery or SAB Cases: 7,606
Coffee Yes Yes Maternal age (at pregnancy outcome), pregnancy history, educational level, ethnic group, employment during pregnancy, cigarettes, alcohol
women with a coffee intake of 5–9 cups/day had an increased risk of SAB OR: 1.17 (95% Ci i.03; 1.32)
6
infante-Rivard et al, 199361
Canada Case– control
N=1,323 Cases: 331 Canadian women admitted for fetal loss Controls: N=992 pregnant women expected to deliver at the same hospital, matched 3:1 on periods of pregnancy
Coffee Yes Yes Period of pregnancy, age, educational level, smoking and alcohol use during pregnancy, uterine abnormality, and work schedule
women with a pre-pregnancy caffeine intake >321 mg/day had an increased risk of SAB OR: 1.85 (95% Ci i.18; 2.89) women with a caffeine intake of >321 mg/day during pregnancy had an increased risk of SAB OR: 2.62 (95% Ci i.38; 5.01)
7
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Consumption of coffee or caffeine and fecundity and fertility
Author and year
Country Design Study groups included in the analyses
Source of caffeine
Controls for maternal age
Controls for other important covariates
Confounding factors Main results Total NOS score
Taylor et al, 201130
US Cohort N=470 American women who were sexually active and with no history of infertility
Multiple Yes Yes Age, trying to get pregnant, frequency of unprotected intercourse, BMi, average alcohol intake, smoking
No risk of reduced fecundability among women with a caffeine intake >300 mg/day (FOR: 0.89 [95% Ci 0.58; 1.38])
6
Hatch et al, 201250
US Cohort N=2,484 Danish women, planning a pregnancy who had not been trying to conceive for >6 cycles at study entry No. of pregnancies: 2,484 Cycles at risk: 15,225
Multiple/ coffee
Yes Yes Age, partner’s age, BMi, pack-years of smoking, number of alcoholic beverages consumed per week, physical activity (METs/week), and frequency of intercourse (also adjusted for tea and cola in analyses concerning coffee)
No risk of reduced fecundability among women with a caffeine intake >300 mg/day (FOR: 1.06 [95% Ci 0.92; 1.23]) or coffee intake >3 cups/day (FOR: 1.01 [95% Ci 0.80; 1.27])
6
Notes: *No 95% Ci provided. Abbreviations: 95% CI, 95% confidence interval; FOR, fecundability odds ratio; NOS, Newcastle–Ottawa scale; TTP, time to pregnancy; SAB, spontaneous abortion; BMi, body mass index.
Table 2 Characteristics and results of publications on coffee/caffeine and spontaneous abortion (SAB)
Author and year Country Design Study groups included in the analyses Source of caffeine
Controls for maternal age
Controls for other important covariates
Confounding factors Main results Total NOS score
Srisuphan and Bracken, 198634
US Cohort N=2,188 pregnant American women attending care at 29 private hospitals Cases: 345
Multiple Yes No Gestational age at the interview, maternal age, prior gynecologic surgery, member of Jewish religion, SAB in last pregnancy
women consuming ≥151 mg caffeine/day had an increased risk of SAB RR: 1.73*
6
Axelsson and Rylander, 198931
Sweden Cohort N=654 Swedish shift-working women, including 970 pregnancies
Coffee Yes No Age women with a coffee intake of >3 cups/day had an increased risk of miscarriage RR: 1.56 (95% Ci 1.06; 2.30)
5
wilcox et al, 199066 US Cohort N=104 healthy volunteering American women, who did not become pregnant in the first 3 months of trying to conceive with 171 pregnancies Cases: 43
Multiple Yes No Age No increased risk of early pregnancy loss with caffeine consumption >3,500 mg/month RR: 2.40 (95% Ci 0.80; 7.00)
6
Fenster et al, 199151 US Case– control
N=1,891 Cases: 607 American women with SAB within the first 20 weeks of gestation Controls: 1,284 women, frequency matched by last menstrual period and hospital, selected two per case from county live births
Multiple Yes Yes Age, race marital status, insurance coverage, cigarette and alcohol consumption, previous spontaneous abortions and previous therapeutic abortions
No increased risk of SAB with total caffeine intake >300 mg/day OR: 1.22 (95% Ci 0.80; 1.87) Among heavy users, nausea modified the risk of SAB OR: 2.10 (95% Ci 1.20; 3.70)
7
Kline et al, 199160 US Case– control
N=2,441 Cases: 1,135 American women with SAB within the first 28 weeks of gestation Controls: 1,306 pregnant women, matched by age and payment group
Multiple Yes No Adjusted for maternal age in the article (not able to include this in the meta-analysis, using crude estimates)
women with a perifertilization caffeine intake of 28–124 mg/day had a decreased risk of SAB OR: 0.66 (95% Ci 0.52; 0.83) women with a caffeine intake of 225–1,308 mg/day during pregnancy had an increased risk of SAB OR: 1.71 (95% Ci 1.29; 2.26)
6
Parazzini et al, 199136 italy Case– control
N=260 Cases: 94 italian women with two or more unexplained miscarriages and no full-term pregnancy Controls: 176 women with normal delivery
Coffee Yes No Age (adjustment for alcohol was not done in the presented analysis)
No significant increased risk of SAB with coffee intake OR: 1.40 (95% Ci 0.70; 2.60)
6
Armstrong et al, 199253
US Cohort N=35,848 American women with previous pregnancy ending in either delivery or SAB Cases: 7,606
Coffee Yes Yes Maternal age (at pregnancy outcome), pregnancy history, educational level, ethnic group, employment during pregnancy, cigarettes, alcohol
women with a coffee intake of 5–9 cups/day had an increased risk of SAB OR: 1.17 (95% Ci i.03; 1.32)
6
infante-Rivard et al, 199361
Canada Case– control
N=1,323 Cases: 331 Canadian women admitted for fetal loss Controls: N=992 pregnant women expected to deliver at the same hospital, matched 3:1 on periods of pregnancy
Coffee Yes Yes Period of pregnancy, age, educational level, smoking and alcohol use during pregnancy, uterine abnormality, and work schedule
women with a pre-pregnancy caffeine intake >321 mg/day had an increased risk of SAB OR: 1.85 (95% Ci i.18; 2.89) women with a caffeine intake of >321 mg/day during pregnancy had an increased risk of SAB OR: 2.62 (95% Ci i.38; 5.01)
7
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Lyngsø et al
Author and year Country Design Study groups included in the analyses Source of caffeine
Controls for maternal age
Controls for other important covariates
Confounding factors Main results Total NOS score
Mills et al, 199362 US Cohort N=423 American pregnancy planners (24% enrolled no later than 21 days after conception) Cases: 59
Multiple Yes Yes Smoking, maternal age, parity, prior SAB, alcohol use, maternal education, and income
No increased risk of SAB with caffeine intake OR: 1.15 (95% Ci 0.89; 1.49)
8
Dominguez-Rojas et al, 199454
Spain Cohort N=691 Spanish women who were primipara Cases: 169
Coffee Yes No Age, previous SAB, menarcheal age, and marital status
women with a caffeine intake of 141–280, 281–420, and >420 mg/day had an increased risk of SAB OR: 2.20 (95% Ci i.22; 3.96), OR: 4.81 (95% Ci 2.28; 10.14), and OR: 15.43 (95% Ci 7.34; 32.43)
5
Lubna and Al-Ansary, 199437
Saudi Arabia Case– control
N=452 Cases: 226 Saudi women hospitalized for SAB within the first 4 weeks of gestation Controls: 226 women admitted for normal delivery
Multiple No No No women with a caffeine intake of >150 mg/day had an increased risk of SAB RR: 1.90 (95% Ci 1.20; 3.00)
5
Dlugosz et al, 199655 US Cohort N=2,849 pregnant American women recruited from private clinics Cases: 135
Multiple/ coffee
Yes Yes Maternal age, gestational age at the interview, cigarette smoking, and alcoholic beverage consumption (also adjusted for tea and soda intake when reporting results on coffee intake)
women with a coffee intake of >3 cups/day had an increased risk of SAB OR: 2.63 (95% Ci 1.29; 5.34)
8
Zhang and Bracken, 199667
US Cohort N=2,849 pregnant American women recruited from private clinics Cases: 135
Coffee No No No women consuming ≥3 cups of coffee/day during the first month of pregnancy had an increased risk of SAB RR: 2.45 (95% Ci 1.38; 4.35)
3
Agnesi et al, 199757 italy Case– control
N=216 Cases: 108 italian women with clinically recognized SAB Controls: 108 women admitted for normal delivery; matched by age, year, and residence
Coffee Yes Yes Gravidity, previous abortions, level of education, smoking habits, consumption of alcohol, medicines and marital status, solvent exposure
women with a coffee intake had an increased risk of SAB RR: 1.36 (95% Ci 1.06; 1.76)
6
Fenster et al, 199752 US Cohort N=5,142 pregnant American women enrolled from three private facilities Cases: 498
Multiple Yes Yes Maternal age, pregnancy history, cigarette smoking, alcohol consumption, employment, race, gestational age at interview, marital and socioeconomic status (also adjusted for tea, soda, and decaffeinated coffee when analyzing caffeinated coffee)
No increased risk of SAB with a prepregnancy intake of total caffeine >300 mg/day before pregnancy OR: 1.25 (95% Ci 0.90; 1.73) or coffee >3 cups/day OR: 1.13 (95% Ci 080; 1.60) During first trimester, there were no increased risk of SAB with total caffeine intake >300 mg/day OR: 1.29 (95% Ci 0.80; 2.06) or coffee intake >3 cups/day OR: 0.84 (95% Ci 0.41; 1.68)
7
Parazzini et al, 199863 italy Case– control
N=2,325 Cases: 782 italian women admitted for SAB within the first 12 weeks of gestation Controls: 1,543 women who gave birth at term (>37 weeks of gestation)
Coffee Yes Yes Age, education, previous live births, and SAB, maternal alcohol consumption and smoking in the first trimester, nausea intensity in the first trimester of pregnancy
women with a coffee consumption of 2–3 and ≥4 cups/day before conception had an increased risk of SAB OR: 1.34 (95% Ci 1.04; 1.73) and OR: 1.47 (95% Ci 1.07; 2.02) women with a coffee consumption of 2–3 and ≥4 cups/day during the first trimester had an increased risk of SAB OR: 1.75 (95% Ci 1.23; 2.29) and OR: 3.98 (95% Ci 2.55; 6.21)
8
Cnattingius et al, 200032
Sweden Case– control
N=1,515 Cases: 562 Swedish women admitted with SAB within 6–12 weeks of gestation Controls: 953 pregnant women, frequency- matched on weeks of gestation and area of residence
Multiple Yes Yes Smoking status, age, number of previous pregnancies, history of SAB, consumption of alcohol during pregnancy (yes/no), presence or absence of nausea, vomiting, and fatigue
No increased risk of early SAB with total caffeine intake ≥500 mg/day during pregnancy OR: 1.40 (95% Ci 0.90; 2.20) when stratifying on smoking status, nonsmokers with a caffeine intake ≥500 mg/day had an increased risk of SAB OR: 2.20 (95% Ci 1.30; 3.80) No association was found among smokers
8
wen et al, 200168 US Cohort N=550 American women planning to become pregnant and who had not been trying for more than 3 months at enrolment Cases: 70
Multiple No No No No increased risk for SAB with total caffeine intake of ≥300 mg/day before pregnancy RR: 1.10 (95% Ci 0.50; 2.40) A tendency of increased risk for SAB with total caffeine intake ≥300 mg/day during first trimester RR: 2.50 (95% Ci 1.00; 6.40)
3
Table 2 (Continued)
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Consumption of coffee or caffeine and fecundity and fertility
Author and year Country Design Study groups included in the analyses Source of caffeine
Controls for maternal age
Controls for other important covariates
Confounding factors Main results Total NOS score
Mills et al, 199362 US Cohort N=423 American pregnancy planners (24% enrolled no later than 21 days after conception) Cases: 59
Multiple Yes Yes Smoking, maternal age, parity, prior SAB, alcohol use, maternal education, and income
No increased risk of SAB with caffeine intake OR: 1.15 (95% Ci 0.89; 1.49)
8
Dominguez-Rojas et al, 199454
Spain Cohort N=691 Spanish women who were primipara Cases: 169
Coffee Yes No Age, previous SAB, menarcheal age, and marital status
women with a caffeine intake of 141–280, 281–420, and >420 mg/day had an increased risk of SAB OR: 2.20 (95% Ci i.22; 3.96), OR: 4.81 (95% Ci 2.28; 10.14), and OR: 15.43 (95% Ci 7.34; 32.43)
5
Lubna and Al-Ansary, 199437
Saudi Arabia Case– control
N=452 Cases: 226 Saudi women hospitalized for SAB within the first 4 weeks of gestation Controls: 226 women admitted for normal delivery
Multiple No No No women with a caffeine intake of >150 mg/day had an increased risk of SAB RR: 1.90 (95% Ci 1.20; 3.00)
5
Dlugosz et al, 199655 US Cohort N=2,849 pregnant American women recruited from private clinics Cases: 135
Multiple/ coffee
Yes Yes Maternal age, gestational age at the interview, cigarette smoking, and alcoholic beverage consumption (also adjusted for tea and soda intake when reporting results on coffee intake)
women with a coffee intake of >3 cups/day had an increased risk of SAB OR: 2.63 (95% Ci 1.29; 5.34)
8
Zhang and Bracken, 199667
US Cohort N=2,849 pregnant American women recruited from private clinics Cases: 135
Coffee No No No women consuming ≥3 cups of coffee/day during the first month of pregnancy had an increased risk of SAB RR: 2.45 (95% Ci 1.38; 4.35)
3
Agnesi et al, 199757 italy Case– control
N=216 Cases: 108 italian women with clinically recognized SAB Controls: 108 women admitted for normal delivery; matched by age, year, and residence
Coffee Yes Yes Gravidity, previous abortions, level of education, smoking habits, consumption of alcohol, medicines and marital status, solvent exposure
women with a coffee intake had an increased risk of SAB RR: 1.36 (95% Ci 1.06; 1.76)
6
Fenster et al, 199752 US Cohort N=5,142 pregnant American women enrolled from three private facilities Cases: 498
Multiple Yes Yes Maternal age, pregnancy history, cigarette smoking, alcohol consumption, employment, race, gestational age at interview, marital and socioeconomic status (also adjusted for tea, soda, and decaffeinated coffee when analyzing caffeinated coffee)
No increased risk of SAB with a prepregnancy intake of total caffeine >300 mg/day before pregnancy OR: 1.25 (95% Ci 0.90; 1.73) or coffee >3 cups/day OR: 1.13 (95% Ci 080; 1.60) During first trimester, there were no increased risk of SAB with total caffeine intake >300 mg/day OR: 1.29 (95% Ci 0.80; 2.06) or coffee intake >3 cups/day OR: 0.84 (95% Ci 0.41; 1.68)
7
Parazzini et al, 199863 italy Case– control
N=2,325 Cases: 782 italian women admitted for SAB within the first 12 weeks of gestation Controls: 1,543 women who gave birth at term (>37 weeks of gestation)
Coffee Yes Yes Age, education, previous live births, and SAB, maternal alcohol consumption and smoking in the first trimester, nausea intensity in the first trimester of pregnancy
women with a coffee consumption of 2–3 and ≥4 cups/day before conception had an increased risk of SAB OR: 1.34 (95% Ci 1.04; 1.73) and OR: 1.47 (95% Ci 1.07; 2.02) women with a coffee consumption of 2–3 and ≥4 cups/day during the first trimester had an increased risk of SAB OR: 1.75 (95% Ci 1.23; 2.29) and OR: 3.98 (95% Ci 2.55; 6.21)
8
Cnattingius et al, 200032
Sweden Case– control
N=1,515 Cases: 562 Swedish women admitted with SAB within 6–12 weeks of gestation Controls: 953 pregnant women, frequency- matched on weeks of gestation and area of residence
Multiple Yes Yes Smoking status, age, number of previous pregnancies, history of SAB, consumption of alcohol during pregnancy (yes/no), presence or absence of nausea, vomiting, and fatigue
No increased risk of early SAB with total caffeine intake ≥500 mg/day during pregnancy OR: 1.40 (95% Ci 0.90; 2.20) when stratifying on smoking status, nonsmokers with a caffeine intake ≥500 mg/day had an increased risk of SAB OR: 2.20 (95% Ci 1.30; 3.80) No association was found among smokers
8
wen et al, 200168 US Cohort N=550 American women planning to become pregnant and who had not been trying for more than 3 months at enrolment Cases: 70
Multiple No No No No increased risk for SAB with total caffeine intake of ≥300 mg/day before pregnancy RR: 1.10 (95% Ci 0.50; 2.40) A tendency of increased risk for SAB with total caffeine intake ≥300 mg/day during first trimester RR: 2.50 (95% Ci 1.00; 6.40)
3
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Author and year Country Design Study groups included in the analyses Source of caffeine
Controls for maternal age
Controls for other important covariates
Confounding factors Main results Total NOS score
Giannelli et al, 200358 UK Case– control
N=469 Cases: 159 nulliparous English women with a clinically recognized miscarriage Controls: 310 nulliparous pregnant women, without a SAB in 1st and 2nd trimesters
Multiple Yes No Maternal age, nausea in pregnancy, and gestational age
women with a caffeine intake of 301–500 and >500 mg/day during pregnancy had an increased risk of miscarriage OR: 1.94 (95% Ci 1.04; 3.63) and OR: 2.18 (95% Ci 1.08; 4.40). women with a coffee intake of 107–321 and >321 mg/day during pregnancy had an increased risk of miscarriage OR: 2.19 (95% Ci 1.31; 3.64) and OR: 2.31 (95% Ci 1.21; 4.41)
6
Rasch, 200377 Denmark Case– control
N=1,459 Cases: 320 Danish women with an SAB in gestational week 6–16 Controls: 1,139 pregnant women with a live fetus at gestational week 6–16
Multiple Yes Yes Age, parity, occupation, cigarette smoking, and alcohol consumption
women with a caffeine intake of ≥375 mg/day had an increased risk of SAB OR: 2.21 (95% Ci 1.53; 3.18)
8
Tolstrup et al, 200369 Denmark Case– control
N=1,712 Cases: 303 Danish women who reported an SAB or registered with a diagnosis of SAB Controls: 1,409 women reporting giving birth or being pregnant for >28 weeks
Multiple Yes Yes Maternal age, marital status, smoking, and alcohol intake
A tendency of increased risk for SAB with total caffeine intake of >900 mg/day OR: 1.72 (95% Ci 1.00; 2.96) No interaction between caffeine and smoking
6
Khoury et al, 200435 US Cohort N=191 pregnant American women with type 1 diabetes planning a pregnancy or enrolled after conception Cases: 23
Multiple Yes No Maternal age, years since diagnosis of diabetes, previous SAB, nephropathy and retinopathy, glycemic control, and cigarette smoking
Women who consumed caffeine early in the first trimester had an increased risk of SAB 4.50 (95% Ci 1.20; 16.80) compared to women not consuming caffeine
4
Bech et al, 200521 Denmark Cohort N=86,282 pregnant Danish women recruited by their GP Cases: 616
Coffee Yes Yes Age, parity, smoking, prepregnancy BMi, alcohol consumption, and socio- occupational status
women with a coffee intake of ≥8 cups/day had an increased risk of fetal death (gestation length <140 days) HR: 1.48 (95% Ci 1.01; 2.17)
7
Sata et al, 200570 Japan Case– control
N=205 Cases: 58 Japanese women with a history of recurrent pregnancy loss Controls: 147 fertile women whose pregnancies ended in live births
Multiple Yes No Age and smoking status during pregnancy No statistical significant increased risk of RPL with a caffeine intake of ≥300 mg/day during pregnancy when compared to women with a caffeine intake of 0–99 mg/day OR: 1.82 (95% Ci 0.72; 4.58) women with homozygous CYP1A2*1F alleles had an increased risk of RPL with a caffeine intake of ≥300 mg/day OR: 5.23 (95% Ci 1.05; 25.90)
6
George et al, 200659 Sweden Case– control
N=691 Cases: 108 Swedish women admitted with two or more consecutive miscarriages Controls: 583 pregnant women with at least two pregnancies, frequency-matched on weeks of gestation and area of residence
Multiple Yes Yes Maternal age, obstetric history, induced abortions, myoma, time to concieve, marital status, smoking, alcohol intake during pregnancy, amd plasma folate levels
No statistical significant increased risk of RPL with a caffeine intake of ≥300 mg/day during pregnancy OR: 1.80 (95% Ci 0.80; 2.90) Nonsmokers had an increased risk of RPL with a caffeine intake of ≥300 mg/day OR: 2.70 (95% Ci 1.10; 6.20)
8
Maconochie et al, 200764
UK Case– control
N=6,167 Cases: 546 English women whose most recent pregnancy had ended in first trimester miscarriage (<13 weeks of gestation) or who had a miscarriage since 1995 Controls: N=5,621 women whose most recent pregnancy progressed beyond 13 weeks of gestation
Multiple Yes No Year of conception, maternal age at conception, pregnancy order, history of miscarriage, history of live birth (further adjusted for nausea in one analysis)
women consuming 301–500 and >500 mg caffeine/day had an increased risk of miscarriage OR: 1.51 (95% Ci 1.06; 2.17) and OR: 1.70 (95% Ci 1.19; 2.43)
5
Savitz et al, 200871 US Cohort N=2,370 pregnant American women enrolled before 12 weeks of gestation and who had not been trying to conceive for >6 months Cases: 258
Multiple/ coffee
Yes Yes Maternal age, race/etnicity, maternal education, marital status, alcohol use, vitamin use and symptoms of nausea, and vomiting during early pregnancy
No increased risk of SAB with a prepregnancy coffee intake of >696 mg/day OR: 0.90 (95% Ci 0.50; 1.50) or total caffeine intake of >513.2 mg/day OR: 0.80 (95% Ci 0.50; 1.20) No increased risk of SAB with a coffee intake of >372.9 mg/day at the time of the telephone interview OR: 0.70 (95% Ci 0.30; 1.80) or total caffeine intake of >273.2 mg/day OR: 1.30 (95% Ci 0.90; 1.19)
8
Table 2 (Continued)
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Consumption of coffee or caffeine and fecundity and fertility
Author and year Country Design Study groups included in the analyses Source of caffeine
Controls for maternal age
Controls for other important covariates
Confounding factors Main results Total NOS score
Giannelli et al, 200358 UK Case– control
N=469 Cases: 159 nulliparous English women with a clinically recognized miscarriage Controls: 310 nulliparous pregnant women, without a SAB in 1st and 2nd trimesters
Multiple Yes No Maternal age, nausea in pregnancy, and gestational age
women with a caffeine intake of 301–500 and >500 mg/day during pregnancy had an increased risk of miscarriage OR: 1.94 (95% Ci 1.04; 3.63) and OR: 2.18 (95% Ci 1.08; 4.40). women with a coffee intake of 107–321 and >321 mg/day during pregnancy had an increased risk of miscarriage OR: 2.19 (95% Ci 1.31; 3.64) and OR: 2.31 (95% Ci 1.21; 4.41)
6
Rasch, 200377 Denmark Case– control
N=1,459 Cases: 320 Danish women with an SAB in gestational week 6–16 Controls: 1,139 pregnant women with a live fetus at gestational week 6–16
Multiple Yes Yes Age, parity, occupation, cigarette smoking, and alcohol consumption
women with a caffeine intake of ≥375 mg/day had an increased risk of SAB OR: 2.21 (95% Ci 1.53; 3.18)
8
Tolstrup et al, 200369 Denmark Case– control
N=1,712 Cases: 303 Danish women who reported an SAB or registered with a diagnosis of SAB Controls: 1,409 women reporting giving birth or being pregnant for >28 weeks
Multiple Yes Yes Maternal age, marital status, smoking, and alcohol intake
A tendency of increased risk for SAB with total caffeine intake of >900 mg/day OR: 1.72 (95% Ci 1.00; 2.96) No interaction between caffeine and smoking
6
Khoury et al, 200435 US Cohort N=191 pregnant American women with type 1 diabetes planning a pregnancy or enrolled after conception Cases: 23
Multiple Yes No Maternal age, years since diagnosis of diabetes, previous SAB, nephropathy and retinopathy, glycemic control, and cigarette smoking
Women who consumed caffeine early in the first trimester had an increased risk of SAB 4.50 (95% Ci 1.20; 16.80) compared to women not consuming caffeine
4
Bech et al, 200521 Denmark Cohort N=86,282 pregnant Danish women recruited by their GP Cases: 616
Coffee Yes Yes Age, parity, smoking, prepregnancy BMi, alcohol consumption, and socio- occupational status
women with a coffee intake of ≥8 cups/day had an increased risk of fetal death (gestation length <140 days) HR: 1.48 (95% Ci 1.01; 2.17)
7
Sata et al, 200570 Japan Case– control
N=205 Cases: 58 Japanese women with a history of recurrent pregnancy loss Controls: 147 fertile women whose pregnancies ended in live births
Multiple Yes No Age and smoking status during pregnancy No statistical significant increased risk of RPL with a caffeine intake of ≥300 mg/day during pregnancy when compared to women with a caffeine intake of 0–99 mg/day OR: 1.82 (95% Ci 0.72; 4.58) women with homozygous CYP1A2*1F alleles had an increased risk of RPL with a caffeine intake of ≥300 mg/day OR: 5.23 (95% Ci 1.05; 25.90)
6
George et al, 200659 Sweden Case– control
N=691 Cases: 108 Swedish women admitted with two or more consecutive miscarriages Controls: 583 pregnant women with at least two pregnancies, frequency-matched on weeks of gestation and area of residence
Multiple Yes Yes Maternal age, obstetric history, induced abortions, myoma, time to concieve, marital status, smoking, alcohol intake during pregnancy, amd plasma folate levels
No statistical significant increased risk of RPL with a caffeine intake of ≥300 mg/day during pregnancy OR: 1.80 (95% Ci 0.80; 2.90) Nonsmokers had an increased risk of RPL with a caffeine intake of ≥300 mg/day OR: 2.70 (95% Ci 1.10; 6.20)
8
Maconochie et al, 200764
UK Case– control
N=6,167 Cases: 546 English women whose most recent pregnancy had ended in first trimester miscarriage (<13 weeks of gestation) or who had a miscarriage since 1995 Controls: N=5,621 women whose most recent pregnancy progressed beyond 13 weeks of gestation
Multiple Yes No Year of conception, maternal age at conception, pregnancy order, history of miscarriage, history of live birth (further adjusted for nausea in one analysis)
women consuming 301–500 and >500 mg caffeine/day had an increased risk of miscarriage OR: 1.51 (95% Ci 1.06; 2.17) and OR: 1.70 (95% Ci 1.19; 2.43)
5
Savitz et al, 200871 US Cohort N=2,370 pregnant American women enrolled before 12 weeks of gestation and who had not been trying to conceive for >6 months Cases: 258
Multiple/ coffee
Yes Yes Maternal age, race/etnicity, maternal education, marital status, alcohol use, vitamin use and symptoms of nausea, and vomiting during early pregnancy
No increased risk of SAB with a prepregnancy coffee intake of >696 mg/day OR: 0.90 (95% Ci 0.50; 1.50) or total caffeine intake of >513.2 mg/day OR: 0.80 (95% Ci 0.50; 1.20) No increased risk of SAB with a coffee intake of >372.9 mg/day at the time of the telephone interview OR: 0.70 (95% Ci 0.30; 1.80) or total caffeine intake of >273.2 mg/day OR: 1.30 (95% Ci 0.90; 1.19)
8
(Continued)
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Author and year Country Design Study groups included in the analyses Source of caffeine
Controls for maternal age
Controls for other important covariates
Confounding factors Main results Total NOS score
weng et al, 200872 US Cohort N=1,063 pregnant American women enrolled before 14 weeks of gestation Cases: 172
Multiple/ coffee
Yes Yes Maternal age, race, education, household income, marital status, previous miscarriages, smoking, alcohol consumption, jacuzzi use, MF exposure, and nausea and vomiting
women consuming >200 mg caffeine/day had an increased risk of miscarriage HR: 2.23 (1.34; 3.69)
6
Agnesi et al, 201056 italy Case– control
N=245 Cases: 123 italian women with a clinically recognized SAB Controls: 122 women admitted for normal delivery, matched by age, year, and residence
Coffee Yes No No A tendency toward an increased risk of SAB with a coffee intake of 4 cups/day OR: 4.48 (0.44; 2.23)
5
Greenwood et al, 201065
UK Cohort N=2,482 pregnant English women Cases: 25
Multiple/ coffee
Yes Yes Maternal age, parity, amount smoked (cotinine concentration) and alcohol intake (no change in results by further adjusting for nausea)
women with a caffeine intake of >300 mg/day had an increased risk of late miscarriage OR: 5.10 (1.60; 16.40)
8
Pollack et al, 201029 US Cohort N=67 American women planning a pregnancy within the next 5 years and who became pregnant Cases: 14
Coffee Yes Yes Age, average alcohol consumption, and cigarette consumption per standardized 28-day cycle
women with an intake of caffeine did not have an increased risk of miscarriage RR: 0.98 (0.96; 0.99)
6
Stefanidou et al, 201133
italy Case– control
N=312 Cases: 52 italian women with sine causa recurrent miscarriages Controls: 260 women with healthy pregnancies
Multiple Yes Yes Maternal age at conception, cigarette smoking, alcohol consumption, maternal education nausea/vomiting
For each 100 mg increase in caffeine intake per day the risk of sine causa recurrent miscarriage increased OR: 2.72 (2.71; 2.73)
7
Hanh et al, 201573 Denmark Cohort N=5,132 Danish women planning a pregnancy, 18-40 years Cases: 732
Multiple/ Coffee
Yes Yes Maternal age, physical activity, parity, BMi, vocational training/education, smoking, prior SAB, alcohol (preconception estimate)
Preconception caffeine consumption was not appreciably associated with SAB overall Early pregnancy caffeine consumption was associated with a slightly increased risk of SAB HR: 1.48 (95% Ci 1.03; 2.13) when comparing a caffeine intake of 200–299 mg/day with ≤100 mg/day
7
Abbreviations: RPL, recurrent pregnancy loss; NOS, Newcastle–Ottawa scale; MF, magnetic fields; TTP, time to pregnancy; SAB, spontaneous abortion; BMI, body mass index; RR, relative risk; METS, estimated total metabolic equivalents; OR, odds ratio; HR, hazards ratio.
Table 3 Characteristics and results of publications on coffee/caffeine and MAR treatment
Author and year Country Design Study groups included in the analyses
Source of caffeine
Controls for maternal age
Controls for other important covariates
Confounding factors Main results Total NOS- score
Klonoff-Cohen et al, 200274
US Cohort N=192 American women with primary or secondary infertility undergoing their first fresh, non-donor ivF, or GiFT cycle Cases: 40
Multiple Yes Yes Smoking, alcohol use, age, race, education, parity, type of infertility, type of procedure, number of attempts, number of embryos transferred
women with a caffeine intake of >2–50 mg/day during the week of the initial clinical visit had an increased risk of SAB OR: 9.50 (95% Ci 1.40; 62.00) women with a caffeine intake of >2–50 or >50 mg/day during the week of the initial clinical visit had an increased risk of not achieving a live birth OR: 2.90 (95% Ci 1.10; 7.50) and OR: 3.80 (95% Ci 1.40; 10.70), respectively)
7
Al-Saleh et al, 201075 Saudi Arabia Cohort N=474 Saudi Arabian women undergoing their first IVF treatment Cases: 184
Multiple/coffee Yes Yes women’s age, BMi, cause of infertility, family income, smoking status, use of herbal treatment, and health status
No association between the chance of achieving a pregnancy and a coffee intake of >10 cups/day OR: 0.77 (95% Ci 0.22; 2.74) No association between the chance of achieving a pregnancy and serum-caffeine OR: 0.93 (95% Ci 0.65; 1.33)
7
Choi et al, 201176 US Cohort N=2,474 American women undergoing ivF treatment at three fertility clinics in Boston and contributing 4,716 ivF cycles Cases: 1,147
Multiple Yes Yes Female age, BMi, clinic site, study enrollment period, female tobacco use, female alcohol use, primary infertility diagnosis
No association between female caffeine consumption and the live birth rate women with a caffeine intake of 1–114 mg/day or >200 mg/day had no decreased risk of achieving a live birth OR: 1.00 (95% Ci 0.83; 1.21) and OR: 1.07 (95% Ci 0.85; 1.34), respectively
7
Abbreviations: GiFT, gamete intra-fallopian transfer; NOS, Newcastle–Ottawa scale; ivF, in vitro fertilization; SAB, spontaneous abortion; BMi, body mass index; OR, odds ratio.
Table 2 (Continued)
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Consumption of coffee or caffeine and fecundity and fertility
Author and year Country Design Study groups included in the analyses Source of caffeine
Controls for maternal age
Controls for other important covariates
Confounding factors Main results Total NOS score
weng et al, 200872 US Cohort N=1,063 pregnant American women enrolled before 14 weeks of gestation Cases: 172
Multiple/ coffee
Yes Yes Maternal age, race, education, household income, marital status, previous miscarriages, smoking, alcohol consumption, jacuzzi use, MF exposure, and nausea and vomiting
women consuming >200 mg caffeine/day had an increased risk of miscarriage HR: 2.23 (1.34; 3.69)
6
Agnesi et al, 201056 italy Case– control
N=245 Cases: 123 italian women with a clinically recognized SAB Controls: 122 women admitted for normal delivery, matched by age, year, and residence
Coffee Yes No No A tendency toward an increased risk of SAB with a coffee intake of 4 cups/day OR: 4.48 (0.44; 2.23)
5
Greenwood et al, 201065
UK Cohort N=2,482 pregnant English women Cases: 25
Multiple/ coffee
Yes Yes Maternal age, parity, amount smoked (cotinine concentration) and alcohol intake (no change in results by further adjusting for nausea)
women with a caffeine intake of >300 mg/day had an increased risk of late miscarriage OR: 5.10 (1.60; 16.40)
8
Pollack et al, 201029 US Cohort N=67 American women planning a pregnancy within the next 5 years and who became pregnant Cases: 14
Coffee Yes Yes Age, average alcohol consumption, and cigarette consumption per standardized 28-day cycle
women with an intake of caffeine did not have an increased risk of miscarriage RR: 0.98 (0.96; 0.99)
6
Stefanidou et al, 201133
italy Case– control
N=312 Cases: 52 italian women with sine causa recurrent miscarriages Controls: 260 women with healthy pregnancies
Multiple Yes Yes Maternal age at conception, cigarette smoking, alcohol consumption, maternal education nausea/vomiting
For each 100 mg increase in caffeine intake per day the risk of sine causa recurrent miscarriage increased OR: 2.72 (2.71; 2.73)
7
Hanh et al, 201573 Denmark Cohort N=5,132 Danish women planning a pregnancy, 18-40 years Cases: 732
Multiple/ Coffee
Yes Yes Maternal age, physical activity, parity, BMi, vocational training/education, smoking, prior SAB, alcohol (preconception estimate)
Preconception caffeine consumption was not appreciably associated with SAB overall Early pregnancy caffeine consumption was associated with a slightly increased risk of SAB HR: 1.48 (95% Ci 1.03; 2.13) when comparing a caffeine intake of 200–299 mg/day with ≤100 mg/day
7
Abbreviations: RPL, recurrent pregnancy loss; NOS, Newcastle–Ottawa scale; MF, magnetic fields; TTP, time to pregnancy; SAB, spontaneous abortion; BMI, body mass index; RR, relative risk; METS, estimated total metabolic equivalents; OR, odds ratio; HR, hazards ratio.
Table 3 Characteristics and results of publications on coffee/caffeine and MAR treatment
Author and year Country Design Study groups included in the analyses
Source of caffeine
Controls for maternal age
Controls for other important covariates
Confounding factors Main results Total NOS- score
Klonoff-Cohen et al, 200274
US Cohort N=192 American women with primary or secondary infertility undergoing their first fresh, non-donor ivF, or GiFT cycle Cases: 40
Multiple Yes Yes Smoking, alcohol use, age, race, education, parity, type of infertility, type of procedure, number of attempts, number of embryos transferred
women with a caffeine intake of >2–50 mg/day during the week of the initial clinical visit had an increased risk of SAB OR: 9.50 (95% Ci 1.40; 62.00) women with a caffeine intake of >2–50 or >50 mg/day during the week of the initial clinical visit had an increased risk of not achieving a live birth OR: 2.90 (95% Ci 1.10; 7.50) and OR: 3.80 (95% Ci 1.40; 10.70), respectively)
7
Al-Saleh et al, 201075 Saudi Arabia Cohort N=474 Saudi Arabian women undergoing their first IVF treatment Cases: 184
Multiple/coffee Yes Yes women’s age, BMi, cause of infertility, family income, smoking status, use of herbal treatment, and health status
No association between the chance of achieving a pregnancy and a coffee intake of >10 cups/day OR: 0.77 (95% Ci 0.22; 2.74) No association between the chance of achieving a pregnancy and serum-caffeine OR: 0.93 (95% Ci 0.65; 1.33)
7
Choi et al, 201176 US Cohort N=2,474 American women undergoing ivF treatment at three fertility clinics in Boston and contributing 4,716 ivF cycles Cases: 1,147
Multiple Yes Yes Female age, BMi, clinic site, study enrollment period, female tobacco use, female alcohol use, primary infertility diagnosis
No association between female caffeine consumption and the live birth rate women with a caffeine intake of 1–114 mg/day or >200 mg/day had no decreased risk of achieving a live birth OR: 1.00 (95% Ci 0.83; 1.21) and OR: 1.07 (95% Ci 0.85; 1.34), respectively
7
Abbreviations: GiFT, gamete intra-fallopian transfer; NOS, Newcastle–Ottawa scale; ivF, in vitro fertilization; SAB, spontaneous abortion; BMi, body mass index; OR, odds ratio.
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100 mg caffeine/day, 1.37 (95% CI: 1.19; 1.57) for 300 mg
caffeine/day, and 2.32 (95% CI: 1.62; 3.31) for 600 mg caf-
feine/day. There was evidence of significant between-study
heterogeneity (I2=73,7%; p<0.0001), and Egger’s regres- sion test provided evidence of substantial publication bias
(p<0.0001; Table 2). We stratified the SAB analyses on type of consump-
tion, adjustment status, study quality, and study design. The
analyses revealed that the associations were similar between
studies reporting caffeine and coffee consumption (p for
heterogeneity=0.87). Also, the associations were similar across strata according to adjustment status (ie, studies with
adjusted results compared to unadjusted results) (p for hetero-
geneity=0.44) and according to study quality (ie, comparing studies with NOS ≥7 with those of NOS <7) (p for hetero- geneity=0.22). We found weak evidence of a difference by study design with the associations being more pronounced in
cohort studies than in case–control studies (p for heterogene-
ity=0.04). In a sensitivity analysis, changing the conversion factor of caffeine contained in one cup of coffee from 100
mg to 150 mg did not substantially change the results.
Studies not eligible for meta-analysis Five other studies, not included in the meta-analysis, have inves-
tigated a possible association between coffee/caffeine consump-
tion and SAB with consistent findings in line with our results.
A Swedish cohort study including 654 women31 reported an
increased risk of SAB with a daily coffee consumption greater
than three cups, while a case–control study among 452 Saudi-
Arabian women37 showed an association at caffeine consumption
levels >150 mg/day. Also, the association of an increased risk of SAB with caffeine consumption was found among a selected
group of 191 American women with type-1 diabetes.35 In an Ital-
ian case–control study including 312 women,33 a dose–response
association was reported between caffeine intake and risk of
recurrent SAB. Also, Parazzini et al36 found an association
with any coffee consumption among women with recurrent
pregnancy loss in a case–control study including 260 women;
however, results were not statistically significant.
MAR treatment Only two cohort studies provided sufficient data on live birth
rate among couples undergoing in vitro fertilization (IVF)
Figure 2 Dose–response association between caffeine consumption and odds ratio of fecundability (A), relative risk of time to pregnancy >6 months (B) and >12 months (C), spontaneous abortion (D), and live birth rate among couples receiving MAR treatment (E) compared to 0 mg consumption as reference. Odds ratios/relative risks are plotted on the log scale with 95% confidence intervals for the spline model. Tick marks on the x-axis represent category medians of exposure from the included studies. Abbreviations: MAR, medically assisted reproduction.
3.0 2.5 2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0 100 200
Caffeine consumption, mg/day
FecundityA B
D E
C
Spontaneous abortion Medically assisted reproduction
Time to pregnancy >6 months Time to pregnancy >12 months
O dd
s ra
tio
300 400
3.0 2.5 2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0 100 200
Caffeine consumption, mg/day
R el
at iv
e ris
k
300 400 500 600
3.0 2.5 2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0 100 200
Caffeine consumption, mg/day
R el
at iv
e ris
k
300 400 500 600
3.0 2.5 2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0 100 200
Caffeine consumption, mg/day
R el
at iv
e ris
k
300 400 500 600
3.0 2.5 2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0 50
Caffeine consumption, mg/day
R el
at iv
e ris
k
100 150 200 250
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Consumption of coffee or caffeine and fecundity and fertility
treatment74,76 to be included in the dose–response meta-
analysis. The results did not indicate an association between
caffeine intake and the live birth rate among women in fertil-
ity treatment (p= 0.94; Figure 2E). The pooled relative risks for achieving a live birth were 0.99 (95% CI: 0.89; 1.10) for
100 mg caffeine/day and 1.00 (95% CI: 0.80; 1.24) for 300
mg caffeine/day, compared with no caffeine intake.
Study not eligible for meta-analysis Only one study by Al-Saleh et al75 reported on the pregnancy
rate among couples undergoing fertility treatment. The study
showed no association between coffee/tea consumption or
serum caffeine concentration and the success rate of preg-
nancy among 619 Saudi-Arabian women undergoing their
first IVF-treatment cycle. However, the number of eggs was
lower at higher levels of serum caffeine.
Discussion This systematic review and meta-analysis showed no clear
association between exposure to coffee/caffeine and natural
fertility as measured by FOR or waiting TTP. However, due
to the limited number of studies included, no firm conclu-
sions can be drawn for these endpoints. Our pooled results
indicate that coffee/caffeine consumption is associated with
a significantly increased risk of SAB, as expected from previ-
ous reviews and meta-analyses.23,78,79 Further, in addition to
previous studies, we intended to capture nonlinear associa-
tions using novel statistical methods but found no evidence
of a “threshold effect”. With regard to the potential effect of
coffee or caffeine consumption on the outcomes of fertility
treatment, our sparse results on MAR treatment as measured
by the pregnancy and live birth rate in connection with IVF
treatment did not show an association. Yet, the data available
enable us to conclude little about the potential dose–response
relationship.
Various hypotheses exist concerning the possible mecha-
nisms of the potential effect of caffeine on different fecundity
and pregnancy outcomes, but the eventual mechanisms are
still unclear. Within the human body, caffeine acts as a non-
selective adenosine antagonist;80 it increases the intracellular
concentration of cyclic AMP81 and alters the blood levels
of catecholamines.82 Coffee and caffeine consumption may
affect the reproductive health by affecting endogenous hor-
mone levels through changes in ovarian function or alterations
in hormone metabolism: numerous studies have reported
an inverse association between coffee/caffeine intake and
levels of free estradiol83–86 in line with the increased levels
of sex hormone–binding globulin reported by others.87–89
However, contradicting results of increased levels76,90 or no
effects on estradiol levels are also reported.87,88,91,92 Caffeine
and estradiol are both metabolized by the hepatic enzyme
CYP1A293,94, so a possible pathway for caffeine to interfere
with estradiol levels is through a common metabolism. Also,
besides caffeine, coffee contains numerous other bioactive
substances including lignans and isoflavonoids, both belong-
ing to the phytoestrogen family with great affinity for the
estrogen receptor.4 As a consequence, changes in hormonal
levels might impact on the menstrual cycle, and a daily caf-
feine consumption >300 mg has been associated with shorter but not with longer menstrual cycle length.95 Moreover, caf-
feine intake was not associated with the number of oocytes
retrieved, the fertilization rate, or implantation rate among
women receiving fertility treatment.76 The conflicting results
on coffee’s potential effect on the hormonal pathways are in
line with our results suggesting no clear association with
fecundity endpoints. In pregnant women, caffeine readily
crosses the placental barrier and as a result is distributed to
all fetal tissue, making the fetus exposed to the same caffeine
levels as the mother.96 Also, coffee intake has been associ-
ated with decreased levels of both estrogen and hCG,97 and
caffeine consumption during pregnancy is shown to increase
levels of catecholamines and cyclic adenosine monophos-
phate that might impact on placental blood flow.98–100 Indeed,
these pathways could have an influence on the increased risk
of SAB as observed in this meta-analysis.
This review and meta-analysis has several strengths,
including the broader investigation of possible routes of
interfering with the ability to conceive and carry a pregnancy
to term. Another strength is the dose–response analysis,
allowing us to include all information on exposure outcome
by including information on intermediate categories, thus
making the analysis more effective than the traditional highest
versus lowest approach. Using this method, we were able to
provide a detailed and more flexible description of the risk
of outcome throughout the observed range of exposure. For
the SAB analysis, we were able to include a relatively large
number of studies providing higher statistical power and
allowing us to perform stratified analyses. Hence, we were
able to consider potential sources of heterogeneity, including
taking into account the varying quality of the included studies.
However, this systematic review and dose–response
meta-analysis also has several potential limitations. Though
a majority of the included studies adjusted for potential
confounders, the presence of residual or unmeasured con-
founding cannot be excluded due to the observational nature
of the included studies. We observed marked between-study
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heterogeneity, which can be caused by methodological or
actual differences between the included studies. Conse-
quently, data on SAB were analyzed using a random-effects
model. In addition, possible sources of heterogeneity in SAB
studies were addressed in stratified analysis, and only study
design was found of significance.
Based on the current knowledge, we chose alcohol instead
of smoking to be the second most important factor to adjust
for in studies reporting on SAB. However, had smoking
been selected instead, the NOS would have differed only by
one point in three of the 33 evaluated studies as 18 adjusted
for both alcohol consumption and smoking, while 12 did
not adjust for either of the two. A priori, we determined the
threshold for depicting a high-quality study as an NOS ≥7. However, changing the threshold in a sensitivity analysis to
NOS ≥8 did not noticeably alter the association in the two strata (p for heterogeneity=0.28).
We found evidence of publication bias for studies report-
ing on SAB, indicating that small studies not reporting any
association are less likely to be published. Thus, results from
SAB analysis should be interpreted bearing this in mind. Due
to the limited number of studies reporting sufficient data on
fecundity or MAR endpoints, assessment of publication bias
for these could not be done.
As data on caffeine were self-reported and obtained by
various questionnaires or interview, exposure misclassifi-
cation of coffee/caffeine intake is unavoidable. Especially
studies with retrospectively collected exposure data are prone
to recall bias. Further, due to the numerous types of question-
naires used to assess exposure, the accuracy and data quality
are expected to differ accordingly.
Yet, validation studies support that coffee consumption
can be assessed with fairly high validity.101 Due to the vari-
ous sources of exposure, it is difficult to estimate the total
caffeine consumption accurately. Further, coffee contains a
series of different chemical substances, making it difficult
to segregate potential biological effects from caffeine from
those of other bioactive compounds. Also, content of the dif-
ferent substances in coffee varies by type of bean, brewing
method, and cup size.102 Thus, a possible association might
be caused by other compounds or by a cocktail effect due
to simultaneous exposure to multiple bioactive substances.
However, most studies have focused on exposure to caffeine
and thus only to some extent on exposure to coffee. In general,
exposure assessment was reported as the average daily intake,
and consequently we were not able to take the consumption
patterns of coffee/caffeine into account. Also, different con-
version factors were used in studies when translating coffee
consumption into caffeine. In the meta-analysis, we tried to
quantify the amount of caffeine intake when exposure was
only reported as cups of coffee, but by doing so, we were
unable to integrate the pronounced variation in caffeine
content by different types of coffee consumed. However,
changing the conversion factor up to 150 mg caffeine per
cup of coffee in a sensitivity analyses did not change the
risk of SAB markedly.
The actual level of caffeine exposure might vary greatly
due to individual differences in the CYP1A2 gene activity.70,103
Hence, polymorphism of CYP1A2 has been linked to both
variability in the clearance rate of caffeine104 and variability
in serum estradiol concentrations.105 As a consequence, the
half-life of caffeine varies between 1.5 hours for fast metabo-
lizers and up to 10 hours for slow metabolizers,4 making it
difficult to settle on a relevant window of exposure.
In the context of SAB, reverse causation has to be con-
sidered; a viable pregnancy might produce more pronounced
pregnancy symptoms, resulting in greater aversion to coffee and
thus a decreased caffeine intake. However, a clinically verified
SAB may be diagnosed weeks after the actual fetal demise and
thus the yet unrecognized pregnancy loss might be the cause of
an increased caffeine consumption rather than the opposite – an
increased consumption causing adverse reproductive outcomes.
In contrast to previous meta-analyses78,79 that presented pooled
endpoints of SAB with still birth/fetal death, we only included
SAB, as the underlying etiology indeed are different.
Six cohort studies out of the included 32 studies on SAB
verified the presence of a pregnancy at the time of reporting
exposure, thereby reducing the risk of reversed causation.
Among these studies, an association between caffeine intake
and SAB was indicated, albeit only statistically significant
in three studies.
Due to the great differences in caffeine metabolism, future
studies may benefit from actually evaluating circulating caf-
feine levels or its metabolites (eg, serum paraxanthine, the
main metabolite) in linkage with genotyping to heighten the
information of the actual exposure level. Thus, future studies
could consider Mendelian randomization. Also, to possibly
segregate effects of caffeine from those of other bioactive
substances in coffee, future studies could consider evaluating
the consumption of decaffeinated coffee.
Conclusion In conclusion, results from this dose–response meta-analysis
support the evidence of an association between coffee/caf-
feine intake and the risk of SAB. However, results from the
SAB analyses have to be interpreted with caution due to
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Consumption of coffee or caffeine and fecundity and fertility
the significant heterogeneity and risk of bias detected, not
least the considerable risk of publication bias. As coffee is
the main source of caffeine consumption, it is still unclear
whether the association between coffee/caffeine consumption
and SAB is related to the potential harmful effects of caf-
feine or to some of the other bioactive components of coffee.
Viewing the reproductive capacity in a broader perspective,
there seems to be little, if any, association between coffee/
caffeine consumption and fecundity. Even so, there is still a
need for further studies to investigate the fecundity and MAR
endpoints on a larger scale than previously done, using better
study designs and including improved reporting combined
with relevant adjustment strategies.
Acknowledgments JL is supported by a fully financed PhD-scholarship from
Aarhus University. AH is supported by the Danish Diabetes
Academy. The Danish Diabetes Academy is funded by the
Novo Nordisk Foundation. The funding sources had no
involvement in the conduct of this article.
Author contributions All authors contributed toward data analysis, drafting and
critically revising the paper and agree to be accountable for
all aspects of the work.
Disclosure The authors report no conflicts of interest in this work.
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