Operations Management

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  Calculate and answer parts a through d. Include all calculations and spreadsheets in your post. Explain why the moving average method was used instead of another forecasting method. What might be another forecasting method that could prove to be just as useful?  

 

  1. The figures below indicate the number of mergers that took place in the savings and loan industry over a 12-year period.

    YearMergersYearMergers
    200046200683
    2001462007123
    200262200897
    2003452009186
    2004642010225
    2005612011240
      1. Calculate a 5-year moving average to forecast the number of mergers for 2012.
      1. Use the moving average technique to determine the forecast for 2005 to 2011. Calculate measurement error using MSE and MAD.
      1. Calculate a 5-year weighted moving average to forecast the number of mergers for 2012. Use weights of 0.10, 0.15, 0.20, 0.25, and 0.30,with the most recent year weighted being the largest.
    1. Use regression analysis to forecast the number of mergers in 2012.
    • 7 years ago
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