An individual has to choose between investment A and investment B

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An individual has to choose between investment A and investment B. The individual estimates that the income from each investment are as given in the following table:

 

Investment A

 

 

 

Investment B

 

Income

 

Probability

 

Income

 

Probability

$4,000

 

0.2

 

$4,000

 

0.3

5,000

 

0.3

 

6,000

 

0.4

6,000

 

0.3

 

8,000

 

0.3

7,000

 

0.2

 

 

 

 



(a)Using Excel’s statistic tools, calculate the standard deviation of the distribution of each investment. (b) Which of the two investments is more risky? (c) Which investment should the individual choose? Note: Use table 14-4 as reference.

Table 14 -4

Calculation of the Standard Deviation of Profits for Project A and Project B

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Project A

 

 

 

Deviation (xi - x ̅)

Deviation Squared

Probability

Deviation Squared

 

 

(xi - x ̅)2

( Pi)

Times Probability

 

 

 

 

 

(xi - x ̅)2 *Pi

$600 - %500 = $100

$10,000

0.25

$2,500

 

500 - 500 = 0

0

0.5

0

 

400 - 500 = -100

10,000

0.25

2,500

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Variance =

$5,000

 



 

 

 

Project B

 

 

 

Deviation (xi - x ̅)

Deviation Squared

Probability

Deviation Squared

 

 

(xi - x ̅)2

( Pi)

Times Probability

 

 

 

 

 

(xi - x ̅)2 *Pi

$800 - $500 = $300

$900,000

0.25

$22,500

 

500 - 500 = 0

0

0.5

0

 

200 - 500 = -300

900,000

0.25

22,500

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Variance =

$450,00

 













 



    • 11 years ago
    An individual has to choose between investment A and investment B
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