A baseball analyst would like to develop a model to predict the number

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                Homework #10

 

A baseball analyst would like to develop a model to predict the number of wins during the 2000 baseball season.  The analyst collected several variables: Wins, ERA, Runs Scored, Hits Allowed, Walks Allowed, Errors, and Saves from 30 professional baseball teams.

 

 

Summary Output

Correlation Matrix

 

Regression Statistics

 

 

Wins

ERA

 

Win

1

 

 

Multiple R

0.9504

 

ERA

-.6598

1

 

R squared

0.9032

Run Scored

.6101

.0856

 

Standard Error

3.3463

Hits Allowed

-.5520

.8600

 

Observations

30

Walks Allowed

-.2261

.3105

 

 

 

Saves

.5320

-.5985

 

Errors

-.1308

.0540

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ANOVA

                                                df                            SS                            MS                          F                              Significance F

Regression                            4                              2611.92                 652.98                   58.3123                 2.59E-12

Residual                                 25                           279.95                   11.198                  

Total                                       29                           2891.97

                        

                                 Coefficient                Standard Error        t Stat          P-value            Lower 95%         Upper 95%

Interceptb0                   74.771                 16.7626            4.4610     0.0002              40.2540                109.3003

ERA         b1                    -12.3206             3.2066                       -3.8423               0.0007             -18.9247             -5.7166

Run Scored     b2            0.08433             0.0079                       10.6414              9.0114E-11     0.0680                0.1007

Hits Allowed  b3             -.0107                0.0163                       -0.6563               0.5176             -0.0441               0.0228

Saves               b4            0.2731               0.1203                       2.2703                0.0321             0.0254                0.5208

 

Part C: Residual Analysis

13)          Perform a residual analysis of the plots of the residuals versus the predicted Y’s, and each of the independent variables?

 

14)          Is this model a good fit for the data?  Explain

 

  • 11 years ago
A baseball analyst would like to develop a model to predict the number
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