Unit III
T h e J o u r n a l o f D e v e l o p i n g A r e a s Volume 59 No. 4 Fall 2025
A REEXAMINATION OF THE IMPACT OF
MANDATORY INFORMATION DISCLOSURE
ON MANAGERIAL LEARNING: EVIDENCE
FROM INDUSTRY-SPECIFIC DISCLOSURES IN
EMERGING MARKETS
Ying Lu
Xi’an Jiaotong University,China
Xingqiang Yin*
Xi’an Jiaotong University,China
Junrui Zhang
Xi’an Jiaotong University,China
ABSTRACT
While managerial learning from market signals is crucial for informed corporate decision-
making, the role of mandatory disclosure in shaping such learning remains contested.
Theoretical and empirical studies offer mixed evidence on whether mandatory disclosure
enhances or inhibits stock price informativeness, particularly in emerging markets
characterized by high information asymmetry. This study leverages China’s industry-
specific information disclosure guidelines(IIDGs) as a quasi-natural experiment to
investigate the causal impact of mandatory disclosure on managerial learning. The IIDGs,
initially issued in 2013, significantly reshaped firms’ information environments by
mandating disclosure of industry structures, performance drivers, and risk factors. Using
panel data from 2009 to 2019 comprising 12,384 firm-year observations of publicly listed
companies on the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges, we employ a staggered
difference-in-differences (DID) design complemented by robustness checks, including
parallel trends tests, propensity score matching, and placebo tests. To further validate our
findings, we utilize alternative measures and analyze forecast revisions as indicators of
managerial learning. Our results show that firms subject to the new disclosure requirements
experience a significant increase in investment sensitivity to stock prices compared to
unaffected firms, suggesting that enhanced disclosure enables managers to better interpret
market signals. We identify stock price informativeness as the underlying mechanism,
ruling out alternative explanations based on improved access to external financing. As
additional evidence consistent with managerial learning, we find that analyst forecast
accuracy improves for treated firms. Moreover, we observe heterogeneity in the learning
effect: firms facing greater macroeconomic uncertainty, stronger industry competition, and
lower analyst coverage exhibit more pronounced improvements. This effect is further
amplified among firms located in less developed regions. Together, the evidence indicates
that mandatory industry-specific disclosures enhance managerial learning by integrating
feedback from external market participants. This study highlights the implications of
transitioning from a region-based to an industry-based regulatory framework, offering
valuable guidance for policymakers in emerging markets aiming to design more effective
and targeted disclosure regimes. Policymakers should further institutionalize such reforms,
recognizing their positive spillover effects and heterogeneous impacts across firms and
regions. Firms, in turn, should be encouraged to view disclosure not as a regulatory burden,
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but as a strategic instrument for integrating market feedback and improving decision-
making quality.
JEL Classifications: D82, G1, G34 and O16
Keywords:Mandatory Industry-specific Disclosure, Managerial learning,
Emerging markets, Regulatory impact
Contact author’s email address: Email: xqy829@xjtu.edu.cn
INTRODUCTION
The managerial learning hypothesis suggests that managers often lack complete
information and need to acquire new insights from external sources (Barro, 1990; Dow
and Gorton, 1997; Luo, 2005; Bond et al., 2012). Consistent with this idea, it is widely
believed that increased stock price informativeness enhances the market feedback effect
(Fernandes and Ferreira, 2008; Foucault and Frésard, 2012; Kim et al., 2023). However,
despite these theoretical and empirical advancements, the impact of mandatory disclosure
on stock price informativeness remains a contentious issue in the literature.
On one hand, increased disclosure might reduce the incentives for market
participants to seek, analyze, and disseminate new information (Gao and Liang, 2013;
Jayaraman and Wu, 2019; Chen et al., 2021; Bird et al., 2021; Pinto, 2023), potentially
decreasing the information available for managers' investment decisions. Specifically, if
there is an overlap between what managers already know and what they seek to learn,
disclosing such information could diminish the informational advantage of investors (Gao
and Liang, 2013). This reduction in informational advantage could discourage investors
from engaging in costly information acquisition (Boot and Thakor, 2001), leading to a
crowding-out effect on informed trading and a decreased sensitivity of investment
decisions to stock price signals.
On the other hand, mandatory disclosure might enhance the informativeness of
stock prices through a crowding-in effect. Some studies argue that mandatory disclosure
reduces information asymmetry between firms and external investors, encouraging
investors to seek and trade on value-relevant information (Jiang et al., 2011; Drake et al.,
2015; Gao and Huang, 2020). This can lead to more undisclosed managerial information
being reflected in stock prices. Consequently, mandatory disclosure could also promote
increased managerial learning.
Literature based on developed markets, which examines various regulatory
reforms (such as EDGAR and electronic information systems), suggests that mandatory
disclosure crowds out informed traders' access to private information, reduces stock price
informativeness, and hampers managerial learning (Bird et al., 2021; McClure and
Zakolyukina, 2022). This predominantly supports the crowding-out effect over the
crowding-in effect (Jayaraman and Wu, 2019; Chen et al., 2021; Pinto, 2023; Binz et al.,
2023). However, Gao et al. (2024) find that after the implementation of China's industry-
specific information disclosure guidelines (IIDGs), companies disclosed more guideline-
related information and firm-level information, leading to a greater integration of firm-
level information into stock prices. This raises the question: How does mandatory
disclosure impact managerial learning in developing countries, particularly in China, with
its high prevalence of retail investors and greater information asymmetry? There is a
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pressing need for clear causal evidence on how mandatory disclosure influences
managerial learning in such contexts.
Utilizing China's IIDGs as the research framework, this study explores the
impact of mandatory disclosure on managerial learning. Initially introduced by the
Shenzhen Stock Exchange in 2013 and later adopted by both the Shenzhen and Shanghai
Stock Exchanges, these guidelines provide investors with detailed insights into industries'
operational structures, key performance drivers, and associated risks. They mandate listed
companies to disclose general industry characteristics, evolving trends, and sector-
specific operational details. Consequently, these guidelines significantly reshape the
information environment, influencing the information available for managerial decision-
making.
Using a dataset of 12,384 observations from the Shenzhen and Shanghai Stock
Exchanges between 2009 and 2019, we find that the implementation of IIDGs led to a
significant increase in managerial learning, as indicated by a stronger sensitivity of
investment to stock price information. To validate these findings, we conducted several
robustness tests, including placebo tests, parallel trends tests, and propensity score
matching, addressing potential endogeneity concerns. We also employed alternative
variables in our regression analysis to further ensure the stability and reliability of the
results. Drawing on the work of Zuo (2016) and Kim et al. (2023), we examined
managerial learning through the lens of management forecast revisions. Then we ruled
out alternative explanations related to financing channels.
To investigate whether industry-specific disclosure regulations enhance
managerial learning through increased stock price informativeness, we first examined
changes in stock price informativeness following the implementation of these regulations.
Using the volume-synchronized probability of informed trading (VPIN) metric, as
proposed by Chen, Goldstein and Jiang (2007), we divided the sample into high and low
VPIN groups to assess the differences in managerial learning across these subgroups. Our
findings indicate that the managerial learning effect is more pronounced in the high VPIN
group, suggesting that the increased probability of informed trading strengthens the
learning effect, thereby supporting our hypothesis about the underlying mechanism.
We conducted a series of cross-sectional tests to further explore the effects of
industry-specific disclosures on managerial learning. First, we examined the role of
macroeconomic uncertainty, which typically prompts managers to rely more on
stakeholder information (Chen, et al., 2021; Kim et al.,2023). Our findings reveal that the
positive effect of industry-specific disclosures on managerial learning is stronger in firms
facing higher macroeconomic uncertainty. Second, under the assumption that managers
place greater value on stock price information in highly competitive environments (Chen
et al., 2017; Kwan et al., 2022), we observed that the beneficial impact is more
pronounced in firms experiencing intense competition. Third, we considered the impact
of a company’s own information environment, hypothesizing that companies with greater
analyst coverage derive less incremental benefit from industry-specific disclosures. Our
empirical results support this hypothesis. Additionally, we assessed the influence of
regional economic development on the effect of disclosure regulations. The results
indicate that companies in less economically developed regions experience more
significant learning effects from the increased information provided by these disclosures.
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These cross-sectional tests provide further evidence of the positive influence of industry-
specific disclosures on managerial learning across varying firm and regional contexts.
Our study makes several important contributions to the literature. First, by
leveraging a quasi-natural experiment based on China's industry-specific information
disclosure guidelines, we address the endogeneity issues common in existing studies and
fill a critical gap in understanding how mandatory disclosure impacts managerial learning
in emerging markets. Our findings diverge from those observed in developed markets
(Gao and Liang, 2013; Jayaraman and Wu, 2019; Chen et al., 2021; Pinto, 2023;
Goldstein and Yang, 2019), providing new insights into the role of disclosure in these
contexts.
Second, in contrast to developed countries like the United States, where
companies often rely on market-based financing, Chinese listed firms primarily rely on
stakeholder financing, which weakens incentives for transparent disclosure (Lu et al.,
2023). Given that managers in China generally hold negative views toward mandatory
disclosure (Armitage and Marston, 2008), preferring to manipulate the timing and content
of information (Schrand and Walther, 2000; McVay, 2006; Bowen et al., 2005), our
findings suggest that mandatory public disclosure can, in fact, facilitate managerial
learning by incorporating feedback from external market participants. This contributes
empirical evidence supporting the argument for incentivizing better disclosure practices,
rather than viewing them solely as regulatory burdens. Furthermore, our study extends
the literature on factors influencing managerial learning (Baker et al., 2003; Foucault and
Frésard, 2014; Driss, 2023), offering novel insights into this area.
Finally, our results support the hypothesis by Boot and Thakor (2001) that
mandatory disclosure related to firm value can benefit companies in developing nations,
unlike the trends observed in developed economies. These findings provide valuable
guidance for policymakers in other emerging markets seeking to establish disclosure
standards and develop their financial systems.
The structure of this paper is organized as follows: Section 2 outlines the
institutional background and formulates the hypotheses. Section 3 details the sample,
model, variables used in the study, and descriptive statistics. Section 4 presents the
baseline regression results, robustness checks, and discusses the results of the channel
tests. Section 5 elaborates on the results of further analyses. Section 6 provides the
conclusion.
INSTITUTIONAL BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS DEVELOPMENT
Mandatory Disclosure of Industry-Specific Information
In recent years, "new economy" enterprises—characterized by new technologies,
industries, business models, and operational modes—have expanded rapidly. These firms
differ significantly from traditional industries in terms of their business models, value
drivers, and risk profiles. As a result, conventional disclosure models, designed for
traditional enterprises, no longer meet the diverse needs of listed companies, particularly
in areas such as business models, valuation bases, profitability, and competitive
advantages. To address these challenges and account for increasing industry
diversification and segmentation, both the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges
began issuing industry-specific information disclosure guidelines (IIDGs) in 2013. These
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guidelines cover companies in both traditional and emerging sectors, offering tailored
reporting requirements to better reflect the unique characteristics of each industry.
Following the issuance of these guidelines, listed companies are now required to
provide more detailed industry-specific information disclosures. They must report on the
unique characteristics and evolving trends of their industries, including factors such as
macroeconomic conditions, industry norms, policy directions, and both national and local
tax regulations. Additionally, companies are expected to disclose operational information
that is specific to their organizations and pertinent to their sectors.
For example, Mingpai Jewelry (stock code 002574), listed on the Shenzhen
Stock Exchange in the jewelry sector, adapted to these guidelines in 2018. Appendix A
outlines the specific changes in their disclosure practices following the reform. The first
column shows the information disclosed before the reform, while the second column
details the enhanced disclosure post-reform. The company’s reports now include
additional insights into macroeconomic and industry developments, competitive
advantages, as well as key operational aspects such as business models, production
methods, procurement strategies, and the status of its physical stores.
In Appendix B, we summarize the disclosure requirements across the Shanghai
Stock Exchange, Shenzhen Stock Exchange Main Board, SME Board, and ChiNext
Board, following Shi (2022). Besides real estate, the guidelines cover industries such as
gold jewelry and accessories, solid mineral resources, food and beverage manufacturing,
and integrated circuits. This summary clarifies the industry-specific disclosure content
outlined in Shi (2022), and the timeline of guideline implementation can also be
referenced there.
As shown in the tables in Appendices A and B, these guidelines have
significantly increased the depth and breadth of the information that listed companies
must disclose, thereby improving the transparency and relevance of the information
available to investors.
Hypothesis Development
It is commonly understood that managers might not have a complete grasp of all aspects
of a company's operations and could rely on stock prices to gain new information that
informs corporate decisions (Bond et al., 2012), especially when the market holds a large
amount of unknown information (Luo, 2005; Bai et al., 2016; Edmans, 2017). The private
information reflected in stock prices assists managers in better understanding their
company's fundamentals and integrating this knowledge into their decision-making
processes (Chen et al., 2007; Bakke and Whited, 2010). We propose that disclosing
industry-specific information could modify the guiding role of stock prices in managerial
investment decisions by changing the quantity of private information they contain.
Mandatory disclosure could potentially induce a crowding-in effect of
previously unknown managerial information into stock prices. Industry-specific
information disclosure enables external investors to uncover information not known to
managers and integrate it into stock prices. Edmans et al. (2017) suggest that insiders and
informed outsiders have different private information—managers are better informed
about internal company matters, while external parties have more insight into
macroeconomic conditions, industry competition, and consumer demand. Additionally,
industry-specific disclosure requirements compel listed companies to publish more
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detailed operational information, which could encourage external investors to concentrate
on acquiring new information rather than relying on what managers already know
(Goldstein and Yang, 2019). This shift increases the amount of unknown information
reflected in stock prices, enhancing the potential for managerial learning.
Secondly, as individuals gain a deeper understanding of specific uncertainties,
they are more likely to use their information proactively in trading, leading to more
informed transactions (Goldstein and Yang, 2015). With the implementation of industry-
specific information disclosure guidelines, the enhanced disclosure of relevant
operational information reduces the uncertainty surrounding this data in stock prices. This
reduction in uncertainty motivates informed traders to exploit their informational
advantages and engage more actively in market transactions. Consequently, this active
participation increases the private information content reflected in stock prices, thereby
enriching the quality of information available for managerial decision-making.
Thirdly, industry-specific information disclosure can lower investors'
information processing costs, thereby aiding informed traders in acquiring and generating
new private information. Mandatory disclosure, as suggested by Blankespoor et al.
(2020), still involves acquisition costs for external investors, meaning it is not truly
public information but rather a subset of private information. Prior research shows that
industry-specific disclosures lighten the load of information acquisition and processing,
especially for retail investors who are prevalent in markets like China. By providing
detailed operational insights, these disclosures allow investors to better understand and
interpret other company information, enabling them to integrate their value judgments
into stock prices through trading (Fernandes and Ferreira, 2008). Consequently, the
implementation of IIDGs helps decrease external investors' information processing costs,
granting them easier access to private information and thus enhancing the
informativeness of stock prices. This improvement leads to a greater amount of firm-
specific information being reflected in the stock price. Based on these considerations, we
propose Hypothesis 1a:
Hypothesis1a: Industry-specific information disclosure will increase
the sensitivity of stock prices to investment decisions.
However, mandatory disclosure of industry-specific operational information
may lead to crowding-out effects, reducing the sensitivity of stock prices to investment
decisions. This occurs because increased mandatory disclosure can diminish the incentive
for informed traders to acquire private information, as it reduces their information
advantage (Jayaraman and Wu, 2018; Pinto, 2023). By making detailed industry
information publicly available, the amount of private information available to informed
traders decreases, leading to less informed trading and reduced stock price
informativeness. Bird et al. (2021) show that lowering the cost for outsiders to access
internal information crowds out external information gathering, causing stock prices to
reflect less managerial information and reducing the sensitivity of investment decisions to
stock prices. Similarly, McClure and Zakolyukina (2022), in a national-level study on the
impact of disclosure technology, found that the reduced cost of acquiring information due
to technology crowds out private information gathering prior to announcements, lowering
stock price informativeness.
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Moreover, mandatory disclosure reduces information acquisition and processing
costs, making it easier for investors to evaluate company performance without searching
for additional managerial information (Kim et al., 2013). However, this ease of access
disproportionately benefits retail investors, who are generally less capable than
institutional investors at analyzing new information. As a result, the implementation of
the guidelines may increase noise trading, which could impair firms' ability to extract
meaningful information from stock prices, thereby reducing investment efficiency (Han
et al., 2014).
Hypothesis1b: Industry-specific information disclosure will weaken the
sensitivity of stock prices to investment decisions in listed
companies.
RESEARCH DESIGN
Sample
We selected Chinese A-share companies listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock
exchanges from 2009 to 2019 as our research sample. Our sample period ends in 2019
because the calculation of the control variable, RETURN, requires data from the
subsequent three years. Data related to investments and control variables were obtained
from the China Stock Market & Accounting Research (CSMAR) Database. We excluded
companies classified within the financial sectors and those with missing data or abnormal
trading statuses, indicated by labels such as ST, *ST, and PT.
Data on industry-specific information disclosure were manually collected. First,
we downloaded and organize relevant documents such as the "Guidance on Industry
Information Disclosure for Listed Companies" from the official websites of the Shanghai
Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange. Next, we compared the contents of
these documents with the "Guidance on Industry Classification for Listed Companies"
issued by the China Securities Regulatory Commission to identify the sectors and
industries affected, as well as the start times of these regulations. For sub-industries that
did not directly correspond to existing industry codes, we manually compared them based
on the industry designation and main business scope of the listed companies to delineate
the policy treatment group and the control group samples.
Model Specifications
To analyze the impact of industry-specific disclosures on managerial learning, we
adopt the model developed by Chen et al. (2007), which measures managerial learning by
examining the sensitivity of managerial investment to stock prices through Tobin's Q. In
line with the approaches of Chen et al. (2007) ,Bird et al.(2021) , Driss (2023) and Kim et
al. (2023), we specify our model as follows:
In Model (1), the dependent variable, INVESTMENT, reflects a firm's
investment activity, operationalized through two measures: R&D expenditure divided by
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lagged total assets (R&D) and the sum of R&D expenditure and capital expenditure
divided by lagged total assets (CAPEXNRD). This measurement assumes that if managers
are to engage in "learning," they are likely to focus on challenging and uncertain types of
investment such as R&D, which may be more difficult to value and thus could
incentivize managerial learning (Bai et al., 2016; Kwan et al., 2022).
The variable Q represents the lagged value of Tobin's Q, calculated by dividing
the sum of market value of equity and book value of assets minus book value of equity
from the previous period by the lagged total assets (Ye et al., 2023). The variable POST
is a binary indicator set to one when the firm begins complying with the disclosure
guidelines in year t-1 and zero otherwise1.
The coefficient α1 on the interaction term Q×POST measures the sensitivity of
investment to stock price information, reflecting the extent of managerial learning from
the stock market. A positive and statistically significant α1 would indicate that
managerial learning has improved as a result of the industry-specific disclosures, thus
supporting Hypothesis 1a.
Incorporating insights from Chen et al. (2007) and Kwan et al. (2022), our
model includes current cash flow normalized by current total assets (CF) to control for
the influence of cash flow on investment decisions. We also account for the timing of
investments by including stock returns over the next three years (RETURN), reflecting
managers’ expectations about future profitability. To adjust for potential scale effects, we
include the inverse of lagged total assets (LNVAST), measured in billions of RMB, which
helps isolate correlations driven by commonly scaled variables. To address firm-specific
and time-specific variations that could influence the results, we control for time-invariant
heterogeneity across firms using firm fixed effects (Firm FE) and for annual economic or
policy changes using year fixed effects (Year FE). Following standard empirical practices
in finance and economics, all unbounded variables in the dataset are winsorized at the 1%
and 99% levels to reduce the influence of extreme outliers. We cluster standard errors at
the firm level to account for potential autocorrelation and heteroscedasticity within firms2.
This approach ensures the robustness of our regression estimates against underlying
industry-specific shocks that could otherwise skew the results.
Descriptive Statistics
Our final sample comprises 12,384 observations, and Panel A of Table 1 presents the
descriptive statistics for all variables used in analyzing the effects on managerial learning.
Within our dataset, the average value of CAPEXNRD is approximately 0.08, indicating
that, on average, firms allocate 8% of their assets from the previous year towards research
and development (R&D) expenditures and capital investments. More specifically, the
average values for R&D and CAPEX are 0.024 and 0.056, respectively. This translates to
2.4% of the prior year's total assets being invested in R&D and 5.6% in capital
expenditures. Additionally, CAPEX1, representing the difference between capital
expenditure and the net cash received from the disposal of fixed assets, intangible assets,
and other long-term assets divided by lagged total assets, has a mean value of 0.053,
accounting for 5.3% of the previous year's total assets. The mean value for CHGASSET is
0.151, indicating an average total asset growth rate of approximately 15%. The mean
value for Q, representing Tobin’s Q, is roughly 2.111, suggesting a significant market
valuation relative to the asset base. The mean value for the post-implementation indicator
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(POST) is 0.169, showing that only 16.9% of the observations fall into the treatment
group. Lastly, the distributions of the control variables are within expected ranges,
affirming the robustness of the dataset for our analysis.
Panel B of Table 1 provides insight into the annual compliance status of listed
companies with regulatory guidelines. It shows a noticeable increase in the number of
regulated listed companies over time, aligning with the introduction of various industry
guidelines. In 2013, only a negligible fraction of listed companies adhered to regulatory
norms. However, by 2019, over 30% of listed companies were subject to regulatory
oversight.
TABLE 1. DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS
Panel A: Descriptive statistics for all variables
Variable Mean SD Min Median Max
CAPEXNRD 0.080 0.063 0.003 0.064 0.346
R&D 0.024 0.022 0.000 0.019 0.122
CAPEX 0.056 0.056 0.001 0.039 0.307
CAPEX1 0.053 0.056 -0.030 0.036 0.301
CHGASSET 0.151 0.294 -0.315 0.086 1.920
Q 2.111 1.277 0.886 1.702 8.002
POST 0.169 0.374 0.000 0.000 1.000
CF 0.056 0.077 -0.153 0.052 0.314
LNVAST 0.040 0.042 0.000 0.027 0.223
RETURN 0.380 0.858 -1.075 0.246 3.298
Panel B: The annual count of observations conforming to the guidelines
Year POST=0 POST=1
Observations Frequency % Frequency %
2009 193 100.00% 0 0.00% 193 2010 390 100.00% 0 0.00% 390 2011 459 100.00% 0 0.00% 459 2012 804 100.00% 0 0.00% 804 2013 1078 99.54% 5 0.46% 1,083 2014 1265 99.53% 6 0.47% 1,271 2015 1129 83.20% 228 16.80% 1,357 2016 1057 78.59% 288 21.41% 1,345 2017 1160 76.17% 363 23.83% 1,523 2018 1313 70.82% 541 29.18% 1,854 2019 1449 68.84% 656 31.16% 2,105 Total 10297 83.15% 2087 16.85% 12384
Note: Panel A delineates the descriptive statistics of variables in the analysis. Variable definitions
are presented in the main body of the text. Panel B represents the annual situation of listed
companies being guided by regulatory standards. The percentage (%) reflects the proportion of
samples regulated in that year out of the total sample size.
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MAIN RESULTS
Baseline Results
Table 2 delves into the impact of industry-specific information disclosure on the
responsiveness of investment to stock prices, with a particular emphasis on the variable
POST×Q. In Columns (1) and (2), R&D serves as the investment variable, while
Columns (3) and (4) employ CAPEXNRD as the measure. Results in Columns (1) and (3)
are presented without accounting for control variables.
The coefficients for POST×Q in Columns (2) and (4) are 0.0026 and 0.0085,
respectively, both statistically significant at the 1% level. These results suggest that
disclosing industry-specific information enhances managers' ability to make informed
investment decisions by leveraging insights from stock prices. In terms of economic
significance, after the implementation of industry-specific information disclosure
guidelines, a one standard deviation increase in Tobin’s Q leads to an increase in
corporate investment by 0.0195 (calculated as 1.277 × (0.0068 + 0.0085)). This increase
represents 24.42% (0.0195/0.080) of the average corporate investment, highlighting a
substantial impact of the enhanced disclosure on managerial learning and investment
responsiveness to stock price information.
Among the control variables considered, the coefficient for RETURN is notably
negative, while those for CF and INVAST are positively significant. These findings align
with the research conducted by Chen et al. (2007), providing further support for the
relationship between industry-specific disclosures and investment responsiveness.
TABLE 2: INDUSTRY-SPECIFIC INFORMATION DISCLOSURE AND
MANAGERIAL LEARNING
R&D CAPEXNRD
(1) (2) (3) (4)
Q 0.0026*** 0.0018*** 0.0094*** 0.0068***
(10.45) (8.32) (10.61) (7.79)
POST -0.0024** -0.0042*** -0.0050 -0.0089**
(-2.05) (-3.77) (-1.08) (-1.99)
POST×Q 0.0022*** 0.0026*** 0.0078*** 0.0085***
(3.35) (4.09) (3.29) (3.70)
CF 0.0204*** 0.0836***
(7.00) (7.39)
LNVAST 0.0951*** 0.2398***
(6.44) (5.00)
RETURN -0.0007*** -0.0058***
(-2.70) (-5.67)
Constant 0.0183*** 0.0153*** 0.0594*** 0.0533***
(34.76) (20.80) (31.12) (22.67)
Observations 12,384 12,384 12,384 12,384
Year FE YES YES YES YES
Firm FE YES YES YES YES
Cluster by Firm Firm Firm Firm
Adjusted R-squared 0.790 0.799 0.479 0.492
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Note: This table presents the impact of industry-specific disclosures on the sensitivity of investment
to stock prices. CAPEXNRD denotes the investment metrics, while POST is a binary variable equal
to one for the year t-1 when firm i begins adhering to the disclosure guidelines, and zero otherwise.
Q represents the lagged value of Tobin's Q. Definitions of other variables are provided in Appendix
C. The sample includes A-share companies listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges
from 2009 to 2019, comprising 12,384 firm-year observations. We employ OLS regressions with
controls for firm and year fixed effects. Standard errors are clustered at the firm level, with t-
statistics reported in parentheses. Significance levels are indicated by ∗ ∗ ∗ for 1%, ∗ ∗ for 5%,
and ∗ for 10% (two-tailed).
Robustness Tests
Parallel Trends Testing
In this section, we take steps to validate the robustness of our findings. Firstly, we
conducted a test of the "parallel trends" assumption to address potential issues of spurious
inference from the difference-in-differences estimator. This is detailed in Panel A of
Table 3. To accomplish this, we introduced dummy variables for the three periods before
and after the implementation of the guidance, along with their interaction terms with
Tobin's Q, into Model (1). The period immediately preceding the implementation served
as the baseline. Specifically, Current represents the year when a company commenced
disclosing industry-specific information, while Pre3 and Post3 denote dummy variables
for the three years before and after the disclosure, respectively. Pre3×Q represents the
interaction term between Pre3 and Tobin's Q, with other variables defined similarly.
Panel A of Table 3 illustrates that the coefficients for Pre2×Q and Pre3×Q are
not statistically significant in the regression. However, the coefficients for Post1×Q and
Post2×Q are significantly positive. This suggests that there are no significant differences
in the changes in management learning effects between treated and control companies
before the policy implementation, thus supporting the parallel trends assumption. This
strengthens the validity of our analysis and the interpretation of the results.
Propensity Score Matching
In our second step, we employed propensity score matching to address the impact of
selection bias. This method uses ownership nature (SOE), return on assets (ROA),
leverage ratio (LEV), operating cash flow to total assets ratio in the previous period (CF),
growth opportunities (Q), sum of stock returns for the next three years (RETURN), and
the inverse of total assets (LNVAST) as covariates between regulated and unregulated
enterprises.
We conducted a 1:1 nearest neighbor matching with a maximum distance of
0.05 with replacement and utilizing investment (CAPEXNRD) as the outcome variable for
the regulated enterprise sample.Observations without suitable matches were excluded,
resulting in a final sample of 3764 observations for propensity score matching regression
analysis. Figure 1 depicts the propensity score distributions (kernel density curves) of the
experimental and control groups before and after matching. Significant differences in
propensity scores between the experimental and control groups before matching
underscored the necessity of propensity score matching. However, the right panel
displays the propensity score distributions of the two groups after matching, showing a
close overlap between the propensity score distributions of the matched pairs, indicating
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a notable correction of score imbalances between the two groups. The matching effect is
considered satisfactory.
Regression results based on the matched sample are presented in Panel B of
Table 3, demonstrating consistency with previous findings even after mitigating selection
bias. This strengthens the robustness of our analysis and reinforces the reliability of our
conclusions.
FIGURE 1. PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION PLOT OF PROPENSITY SCORES
Note: Figure 1 shows the propensity score distribution (kernel density curves) for the experimental
and control groups before and after matching. The left plot displays the score distribution before
matching, and the right plot presents it after matching, with the horizontal axis representing
propensity score values and the vertical axis representing probability density.
Alternative Measurements and Test
In our third step, we replaced the dependent variable with alternative measures,including
CAPEX, CAPEX1, and CHGASSET. Detailed definitions can be found in Appendix C.
The results are presented in columns 1-3 of Panel C in Table 3. The coefficients
of POST×Q ranged between 0.0047 and 0.0671, all of which were statistically significant
at least at the 5% level. These results suggest that even when employing alternative
dependent variables, the coefficient of POST×Q remains significant, thus confirming the
robustness of the benchmark results. Then, we utilize the sensitivity of changes in
management forecast accuracy to stock returns to measure managerial learning. If IIDGs
can increase the information in stocks that managers are unaware of, supplementing their
understanding of future earnings, then managers can use this information to improve their
forecasts. To test this prediction, we draw on the regression equation (2) used by Kim et
al. (2023):
Panel C of table 3 presents the estimation results. As expected, the coefficients
on |RETURN|×POST1 is significantly positive, suggesting that this sensitivity is greater
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among firms regulated by industry-specific information disclosure guidelines. This
greater sensitivity supports the idea that industry-specific information disclosure provides
new information about stock prices that managers incorporate into their forecast revisions,
thereby improving the accuracy of management's earnings forecasts.
Placebo Test
In our fourth step, we conducted a placebo test by randomly assigning observations to
treatment and control groups and examining the effect on the outcome variable. This
process was repeated 1000 times. Figure 2 depicts the kernel density plot of the 1000
regression coefficients.
The results indicate that most of the T-values from the random sampling are
near zero, rather than being concentrated in significant intervals (with absolute values
greater than 1.96). This suggests that the findings are not driven by omitted variables that
coincide with the information disclosure policy. The results of the placebo test alleviate
this concern, providing further confidence in the robustness and validity of the original
findings. This comprehensive approach strengthens the reliability of the analysis and
enhances the credibility of the conclusions drawn.
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FIGURE 2.P-VALUE DENSITY DISTRIBUTION PLOT
Note: This figure displays the outcomes of the placebo test, implemented using a method of
randomly generating experimental groups.The top and bottom panels show outcomes for CAPEX
and R&D, respectively. By randomly sampling POST×Q 1000 times, t-values are extracted and
plotted on the graph above.
Considering the impact of Financing Channel
In our final step, we aimed to rule out the influence of financing channels. While we
previously attributed the increased sensitivity of investment to stock prices to enhanced
managerial learning, an alternative explanation could be that increased industry
disclosures attract liquidity into the stock market. This, in turn, could reduce the cost of
capital and increase the available capital for managers, providing greater flexibility in
decision-making and potentially leading to heightened investment sensitivity to prices.
To address this possibility, we conduct a robustness check using Model (3).
Externalcapital represents external financing, measured by five indicators:
Debt1, Debt2, Equality, External, and WACC. Drawing on previous research(Zou and
Adams, 2008; Gao et al., 2020),the control variables mainly include: firm size (Size),
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leverage ratio (Lev), return on assets (Roa), market-to-book ratio (MB), cash flow (CF),
board independence (Independence), ownership structure (Soe), ownership concentration
(Top), CEO duality (Dual), board size (Board), institutional investor shareholding
(Institution), systematic risk (Beta), and asset growth rate (Growth).
The regression results in panel D show that the coefficient of POST is not
significant, indicating that industry-specific disclosures do not significantly affect the
scale of debt financing, equity financing, or financing costs for firms. The empirical
findings further reinforce the learning hypothesis.
TABLE 3. ROBUSTNESS TESTS
Panel A. Parallel trend test
R&D CAPEXNRD (1) (2)
Pre3×Q 0.0001 0.0014
(0.18) (0.82) Pre2×Q 0.0004 0.0024
(0.57) (1.27)
Current×Q 0.0007 0.0038* (1.34) (1.78)
Post1×Q 0.0020*** 0.0050*
(2.74) (1.75) Post2×Q 0.0016** 0.0046**
(2.35) (2.20)
Post3×Q 0.0024*** 0.0060** (2.92) (2.48)
Q 0.0018*** 0.0064***
(7.84) (7.06) Pre3 0.0003 -0.0035
(0.23) (-0.80)
Pre2 -0.0006 -0.0042
(-0.40) (-0.99)
Current -0.0004 -0.0024
(-0.37) (-0.52) Post1 -0.0031** -0.0022
(-2.40) (-0.41)
Post2 -0.0024* -0.0020 (-1.89) (-0.42)
Post3 -0.0040*** -0.0056
(-2.96) (-1.14) CF 0.0205*** 0.0843***
(7.00) (7.40)
LNVAST 0.0944*** 0.2332*** (6.44) (4.84)
RETURN -0.0007*** -0.0058*** (-2.65) (-5.61)
Constant 0.0153*** 0.0545***
(19.69) (21.09)
Observations 12,384 12,384
Year FE& Firm FE YES YES
Cluster by Firm Firm
Adjusted R-squared 0.799 0.491
Panel B. Using propensity scores matching method R&D CAPEXNRD
(1) (2)
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Q 0.0017*** 0.0084***
(4.49) (4.54) POST -0.0025 -0.0129
(-1.28) (-1.38)
POST×Q 0.0018** 0.0098** (1.97) (2.34)
CF 0.0139** 0.0998***
(2.48) (3.93) LNVAST 0.1219*** 0.3217***
(4.52) (3.58)
RETURN -0.0011** -0.0060*** (-2.26) (-2.94)
Constant 0.0150*** 0.0464***
(11.11) (9.42)
Observations 3,764 3,764
Year FE& Firm FE YES YES
Cluster by Firm Firm Adjusted R-squared 0.801 0.473
Panel C. Using alternative measures of investment and managerial learning CAPEX CAPEX1 CHGASSET △Accuracy
(1) (2) (3) (4) Q 0.0050*** 0.0044*** 0.0656***
(6.26) (5.49) (12.77)
POST -0.0040 -0.0023 -0.1185*** (-0.98) (-0.56) (-4.38)
POST×Q 0.0052*** 0.0047** 0.0671***
(2.62) (2.42) (4.19) POST1 -0.0985
(-0.48)
POST1×|Return| 2.0240* (1.75)
Controls YES YES YES YES
Observations 12,384 12,384 12,384 277
Year FE/Year-quarter Year Year Year Year-Quarter
Firm FE YES YES YES YES
Cluster by Firm Firm Firm Firm Adjusted R-squared 0.438 0.432 0.245 0.496
Panel D. Excluding possible alternative explanation Debt1 Debt2 Equity External WACC
VARIABLES (1) (2) (4) (3) (5)
POST -0.0009 0.0044 0.0039 -0.0016 -0.0024 (-0.29) (1.60) (1.10) (-0.16) (-1.14)
Size 0.0177*** 0.0106*** 0.0425*** -0.0349** -0.0132***
(7.46) (4.55) (6.17) (-2.11) (-7.91) Lev 0.0700*** 0.0567*** -0.1972*** -0.0241 -0.0463***
(6.84) (6.01) (-4.26) (-0.40) (-6.81)
Roa 0.0512*** 0.0096 -0.0452 0.0015 -0.0388*** (2.90) (0.70) (-0.50) (0.00) (-3.69)
MB -0.0117* -0.0151*** -0.0220* 0.0556 0.0402***
(-1.72) (-2.63) (-1.86) (1.57) (7.86)
CF -0.0470*** -0.0340*** 0.0923*** -0.2023*** 0.0060
(-3.49) (-2.74) (4.19) (-4.90) (0.75)
Independence -0.0146 -0.0130 0.0133 0.0234 -0.0014 (-0.65) (-0.73) (0.42) (0.46) (-0.09)
Soe -0.0146*** -0.0058 -0.0103 -0.0299 -0.0043
(-2.87) (-1.24) (-1.20) (-1.46) (-0.95) Top 0.0001 0.0000 -0.0014*** -0.0010 -0.0000
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(0.99) (0.28) (-6.41) (-1.58) (-0.41)
Dual -0.0007 -0.0022 0.0026 -0.0000 0.0008 (-0.25) (-0.95) (0.75) (-0.00) (0.38)
Board -0.0007 -0.0016** -0.0027** 0.0005 -0.0005
(-0.82) (-2.02) (-2.22) (0.25) (-0.81) Insown -0.0000 0.0000 0.0013*** 0.0000 -0.0001
(-0.49) (0.17) (10.44) (0.05) (-1.58)
Growth 0.0003 0.0003* 0.0014** 0.0001 -0.0000 (1.48) (1.73) (2.15) (1.10) (-0.88)
Betaval -0.0003 0.0020 -0.0019 -0.0125* -0.0008
(-0.08) (0.70) (-0.33) (-1.72) (-0.39) Constant -0.4003*** -0.2334*** -0.8202*** 1.3502*** 0.3712***
(-7.77) (-4.62) (-6.17) (3.99) (10.08)
Observations 8,444 7,421 9,668 5,427 4,590
Year FE& Firm FE YES YES YES YES YES
Cluster by Firm Firm Firm Firm Firm
Adjusted R-squared -0.007 -0.046 0.140 0.829 0.434
Note: Panel A shows the results of the parallel trend test. Pre3 (Pre2, Pre1) is a binary variable
that takes the value of one if a firm adhered to an industry-specific information disclosure guideline
three years (two years, one year) ago and zero otherwise. "Current" equals 1 if the company
complies with the guidelines in the current year. Post1 (Post2, Post3) is a binary variable that
takes the value of one if a firm adhered to an industry-specific information disclosure guideline one
year (two years, three years) ago and zero otherwise.
Panel B presents the impact of industry-specific information disclosure on managerial learning
using the Propensity Score Matching (PSM) approach. Column 1 and Column 2 show the
regression results based on the matched sample, with R&D and CAPEXNRD as the outcome
variables, respectively.
Panel C presents results using alternative independent variables. CAPEX is defined as capital
expenditure divided by total assets in the previous period. CAPEX1 is calculated as the difference
between cash paid for the acquisition and construction of fixed assets, intangible assets, and other
long-term assets, and the net cash received from the disposal of these assets, divided by the total
assets of the previous year. CHGASSET represents the difference between total assets at the end of
the year and total assets at the beginning of the year, divided by total assets at the beginning of the
year. △Accuracy represents the change in forecast accuracy, while POST1×|Return| and
POST2×|Return| reflect the impact of IIDGs on the sensitivity of earnings forecast accuracy to
stock returns.
Panel D presents the results illustrating the impact of industry-specific information disclosure on
corporate financing. Debt1 and Debt2 represent corporate debt financing, while Equality reflects
equity financing. External and WACC represent the total external financing and the overall cost of
financing, respectively. POST is a dummy variable that equals 1 for the year t-1 when firm i starts
adhering to the disclosure guidelines, and zero otherwise. We use OLS regressions, controlling for
firm and year fixed effects. Standard errors are clustered at the firm level, and t-statistics are
reported in parentheses. Significance levels are indicated by ∗ ∗ ∗ for 1%, ∗ ∗ for 5%, and ∗ for
10% (two-tailed).
Channel Tests of Managerial Learning In light of the hypotheses and baseline regression results outlined in this paper, the
disclosure of industry-specific information is posited to enhance the informativeness of
stock prices, subsequently influencing managerial learning. Consequently, our
mechanism test aims to scrutinize the impact of stock price informativeness, measured by
the likelihood of informed trading (VPIN) as proposed by Chen et al. (2007). Put
differently, if the learning-based mechanism holds true, we expect that the
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implementation of industry-specific information disclosure will lead to an increase in
VPIN and learning effect is more pronounced in groups with higher VPIN.
Utilizing the standard Difference-in-Differences (DID) regression approach, as
suggested by Ye et al. (2023), we initially aimed to validate that the Probability of
Informed Trading (VPIN) increased following the implementation of industry-specific
information disclosure within our sample. To compute the Volume-synchronized
Probability of Informed Trading (VPIN) values, we employed the BVC algorithm
outlined in Easley et al. (2002). These VPIN values were extracted from the CSMAR
database, where higher VPIN values indicate a higher proportion of informed trading in
stock prices. Our analysis revealed a statistically significant increase in VPIN for treated
stocks compared to control stocks subsequent to the enactment of industry-specific
information disclosure guidelines, as demonstrated in Panel A of Table 4.
We then divided the sample into a high VPIN group and a low VPIN group and
examined whether there was a difference in findings between the two groups. We define
high and low VPIN based on the median level of VPIN across all firm-year observations.
The results for high and low VPIN are presented in panel B of Table 4. Consistent with
our conjecture, the coefficient on POST×Q is significantly positive only in the subsample
of the high VPIN group. This finding confirms our hypothesis that firms with higher
VPIN values would have a more significant increase in investment efficiency sensitivity
compared to firms with lower VPIN values. Through these analyses, we further validate
the mechanism by which industry-specific information disclosure enhances investment
efficiency sensitivity by amplifying VPIN.
TABLE 4. CHANNEL TEST ON THE IMPACT OF THE LIKELIHOOD OF
INFORMED TRADING (VPIN) Panel A: The effect of the industry-specific information disclosure on VPIN
VPIN VARIABLES (1) (2)
POST 0.0015** 0.0012* (2.33) (1.86)
CF -0.0031 (-1.52)
LNVAST 0.0162* (1.89)
RETURN 0.0017*** (7.68)
Constant 0.1758*** 0.1746*** (2,025.54) (510.16)
Observations 12,384 12,384 Year FE YES YES Firm FE YES YES
Cluster by Firm Firm Adjusted R-squared 0.644 0.649
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Panel B: The cross-sectional relationship between investment sensitivity and VPIN
R&D CAPEXNRD
VPIN
VARIABLES High Low High Low
Q 0.0016*** 0.0025*** 0.0048*** 0.0123***
(5.19) (7.70) (3.64) (9.32)
POST -0.0069*** -0.0020 -0.0186*** -0.0025
(-4.39) (-1.23) (-2.76) (-0.40)
POST×Q 0.0040*** 0.0014 0.0130*** 0.0034
(4.44) (1.56) (3.86) (1.00)
CF 0.0226*** 0.0201*** 0.0979*** 0.0649***
(5.76) (4.31) (6.12) (3.88)
LNVAST 0.0944*** 0.1044*** 0.2795*** 0.0725
(5.92) (2.99) (4.28) (0.73)
RETURN -0.0010** -0.0005 -0.0073*** -0.0034**
(-2.55) (-1.26) (-5.00) (-2.21)
Constant 0.0154*** 0.0142*** 0.0554*** 0.0473***
(14.89) (12.44) (15.11) (12.67)
Inter-group differences -0.003** -0.010***
Year FE YES YES YES YES
Firm FE YES YES YES YES
Cluster by Firm Firm Firm Firm
Observations 7,373 5,011 7,373 5,011
Adjusted R-squared 0.780 0.837 0.468 0.558
Note: This table presents an analysis of the mechanism by which industry-specific information
disclosure enhances management's learning effect through an increase in informed trading. In
Panel A, we show the effect of industry-specific information disclosure on the VPIN (Volume-
synchronized Probability of Informed Trading). POST is a dummy variable that equals 1 for the
year t-1 when firm i starts adhering to the disclosure guidelines, and zero otherwise. In Panel B,
we classify the sample into high and low groups based on the median VPIN. The High group
consists of observations with a VPIN greater than the median, while the Low group consists of
observations with a VPIN less than the median. “Inter-group differences” present the p-value of a
1,000-repetition bootstrap analysis testing whether the coefficients in Columns (1) and (2), (3) and
(4) are statistically different. T-statistics in parentheses use firm-clustered standard errors.
Significance levels are indicated by ***, **, and * for 1%, 5%, and 10%, respectively.
FURTHER ANALYSIS
The Impact of Macroeconomic Uncertainty
In this subsection, we explore the impact of macroeconomic uncertainty on the extent to
which managers learn from capital markets. As suggested by Edmans et al. (2017),
private information conveyed by informed traders through stock prices plays a crucial
role in driving management's market learning. In situations characterized by heightened
uncertainty, the significance of the information embedded in stock prices intensifies,
thereby strengthening managers' incentive to glean insights from the market (Chen et al.,
2021; Kim et al., 2023). Consequently, we hypothesize that in periods of high
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macroeconomic uncertainty, industry-specific information disclosure will exert a more
pronounced promotional effect on management learning.
To test our hypothesis, we use economic uncertainty indicators developed by
Nie and his team. For detailed data discussion, see Li et al. (2024). These indicators are
based on textual analysis of annual reports. In our study, we segment the sample into high
and low uncertainty groups, using the median value of the macroeconomic uncertainty
index as the benchmark. Subsequently, we conduct a group regression analysis. The
findings of this analysis are presented in Table 5. Remarkably, the coefficient of the
interaction term POST×Q demonstrates significant positivity exclusively within the high
economic uncertainty group. Furthermore, the inter-group coefficient test highlights a
significant disparity between the two groups. These empirical findings provide
compelling evidence in support of our hypothesis.
TABLE 5 :THE IMPACT OF MACROECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY
R&D CAPEXNRD
Macroeconomic uncertainty
VARIABLES High Low High Low
Q 0.0017*** 0.0019*** 0.0069*** 0.0077***
(5.81) (5.62) (5.30) (5.78)
POST -0.0049*** -0.0019 -0.0078 -0.0050
(-3.06) (-1.30) (-1.14) (-0.67)
POST×Q 0.0031*** 0.0012 0.0097*** 0.0047
(3.60) (1.48) (2.68) (1.45)
CF 0.0213*** 0.0205*** 0.0849*** 0.0916***
(5.68) (4.14) (5.30) (4.41)
LNVAST 0.1082*** 0.0741*** 0.3280*** 0.0727
(5.76) (2.94) (5.16) (0.75)
RETURN -0.0009*** -0.0010** -0.0076*** -0.0061***
(-2.79) (-2.46) (-5.27) (-3.59)
Constant 0.0147*** 0.0154*** 0.0510*** 0.0572***
(13.87) (12.89) (15.24) (14.49)
Inter-group differences -0.002** -0.005*
Year FE YES YES YES YES
Firm FE YES YES YES YES
Cluster by Firm Firm Firm Firm
Observations 6,811 4,366 6,811 4,366
Adjusted R-squared 0.793 0.831 0.495 0.530
Note: This table investigates the influence of macroeconomic uncertainty on the effectiveness of
managerial learning. We use a measure of macroeconomic uncertainty derived from the textual
analysis of company annual reports by Nie and his team (Li, Nie, and Ruan, 2024). The dataset is
available for download (http://www.niehuihua.com/uploads/soft/230323/1-230323201458.rar). A
higher value of this indicator signifies a greater perception of macroeconomic uncertainty among
companies. “Inter-group differences” indicate the coefficient and significance differences between
columns (1) and (2), and (3) and (4). T-statistics in parentheses use firm-clustered standard errors.
Significance levels are indicated by ***, **, and * for 1%, 5%, and 10%, respectively.
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The Impact of Industry Competition
In this section, we delve into the impact of competition on learning from capital markets.
According to Bond et al. (2012), managers typically possess a wealth of internal
information, including technology, production costs, and strategic insights, while external
investors are more likely to possess external information, such as industry status and
competitor analysis. Increased competition in industries heightens firms' susceptibility to
the influence of peer wealth and strategic changes (Chen et al.,2017), thereby enhancing
the value of external information and intensifying management's motivation to acquire it
(Chen et al., 2017; Kwan et al., 2022). Hence, industry-specific information disclosure's
potential to improve investment efficiency and guide managerial decisions is anticipated
to be particularly significant for firms in highly competitive product markets. Our study
validates this assertion. The empirical findings presented in Table 6 indicate that
industry-specific information disclosure has a greater impact on the sensitivity of stock
prices to investment in industries with lower Herfindahl indices.
TABLE 6: THE IMPACT OF INDUSTRY COMPETITION
R&D CAPEXNRD Degree of market competition
VARIABLES Low High Low High Q 0.0015*** 0.0017*** 0.0070*** 0.0057*** (5.71) (6.14) (5.34) (4.91)
POST -0.0022* -0.0046** -0.0037 -0.0185** (-1.84) (-2.37) (-0.64) (-2.34)
POST×Q 0.0010 0.0034*** 0.0059* 0.0121*** (1.44) (3.19) (1.91) (3.24)
CF 0.0155*** 0.0229*** 0.0743*** 0.0825*** (4.51) (5.36) (4.48) (5.18)
LNVAST 0.1119*** 0.0846*** 0.3351*** 0.1930*** (4.68) (4.05) (3.29) (3.15)
RETURN -0.0006* -0.0007* -0.0049*** -0.0068*** (-1.88) (-1.84) (-3.59) (-4.25)
Constant 0.0103*** 0.0209*** 0.0443*** 0.0633*** (10.28) (20.43) (12.92) (18.01)
Inter-group differences 0.002*** 0.006** Year FE YES YES YES YES Firm FE YES YES YES YES
Cluster by Firm Firm Firm Firm Observations 5,854 6,330 5,854 6,330
Adjusted R-squared 0.775 0.817 0.502 0.507
Note: This table illustrates the impact of industry competitiveness. Industry competitiveness
levels are classified based on the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI). Samples with an index
greater than the median are categorized as the Low group each year, while those with an index
lower than the median are classified into the High group. Columns (1) and (3) display
regression results for samples characterized by low industry competitiveness, while columns (2)
and (4) represent those with high industry competitiveness. “Inter-group differences” indicate
the coefficient and significance differences between columns (1) and (2), and (3) and (4). T-
statistics in parentheses use firm-clustered standard errors. Significance levels are denoted by
***, **, and * for 1%, 5%, and 10%, respectively.
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The Impact of Corporate Information Environment
In this section, we further explore the impact of a company's information environment on
managerial learning. Financial analysts play a key role in reducing information
asymmetry. Companies with higher analyst coverage tend to experience lower levels of
information asymmetry (Chang et al., 2006) and have more informative stock prices
(Hong et al., 2000). Consequently, the incremental effect of industry-specific information
disclosure may be diminished in these firms. Moreover, analysts often have better access
to macro-level information, such as industry data (Piotroski and Roulstone, 2004), which
could serve as a substitute for the industry-specific operational information disclosed in
annual reports. Therefore, we hypothesize that companies with higher analyst coverage
will experience smaller changes in the private information component of stock prices,
leading to a less pronounced managerial learning effect.
The empirical analysis supports this hypothesis. The results in Table 7 show
that for firms with lower analyst coverage, industry-specific information disclosure
significantly increase the sensitivity of stock prices to investment decisions. In contrast,
for firms with higher analyst coverage, the incremental effect of these disclosures is
smaller. This suggests that industry-specific information disclosure have a more
substantial impact on firms with weaker information environments, as indicated by the
number of analysts following the firm.
TABLE 7: THE IMPACT OF ANALYST FOLLOWING
RD CAPEXNRD
Analyst coverage
VARIABLES High Low High Low
Q 0.0020*** 0.0024*** 0.0075*** 0.0095***
(5.93) (4.70) (5.78) (5.95)
POST -0.0051*** -0.0068** -0.0094 -0.0294**
(-3.13) (-2.20) (-1.40) (-2.57)
POST×Q 0.0032*** 0.0046** 0.0100*** 0.0169**
(3.77) (2.15) (3.10) (2.33)
CF 0.0265*** 0.0179*** 0.1013*** 0.0516**
(6.48) (2.86) (6.27) (2.39)
LNVAST 0.0929*** 0.1128*** 0.2722*** 0.2013**
(4.19) (3.28) (3.57) (2.03)
RETURN -0.0009** -0.0003 -0.0074*** -0.0044**
(-2.32) (-0.62) (-4.47) (-2.22)
Constant 0.0179*** 0.0135*** 0.0635*** 0.0506***
(16.55) (8.68) (17.17) (11.04)
Inter-group differences 0.001* 0.007**
Year FE YES YES YES YES
Firm FE YES YES YES YES
Cluster by Firm Firm Firm Firm
Observations 5,717 3,695 5,717 3,695
Adjusted R-squared 0.835 0.785 0.562 0.467
Note: This table illustrates the impact of analyst coverage. The analyst coverage is categorized
based on the number of analysts following the firm. Samples with an index greater than the
median are categorized as the High group, while those with an index lower than the median are
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classified into the Low group for each industry on a yearly basis. Columns (1) and (3) display
the regression results for samples with high analyst coverage, while columns (2) and (4)
represent those with low analyst coverage. “Inter-group differences” indicate the coefficient
and significance differences between columns (1) and (2), and (3) and (4). T-statistics in
parentheses use firm-clustered standard errors. Significance levels are denoted by ***, **, and
* for 1%, 5%, and 10%, respectively.
The Impact of Transitioning From Regional Regulation
To Industry-Specific Regulation
Throughout the implementation of IIDGs, both publicly listed corporations and the
regulatory framework of exchanges undergo transformations. Beginning in 2014, the
China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) embarked on a regulatory
transformation, shifting the oversight of information disclosure from "jurisdictional
regulation" to "industry-based regulation." The former jurisdiction-based regulatory
framework, characterized by its uniform standards, proved excessively stringent for
corporations endowed with varied attributes under jurisdictional supervision. Conversely,
under industrial regulation, enterprises operating within identical or similar industries are
overseen by corresponding regulatory bodies. Within a cohesive industrial framework,
regulators disseminate disclosure guidelines and showcase exemplary enterprises within
the industry, thereby nurturing uniformity in information disclosure standards among
listed corporations within the industry.
To adhere to this regulatory transition, listed corporations must adapt their
disclosure protocols and operational evaluations from comparing against local
counterparts to aligning with peers within their respective industries, as dictated by the
exchange's industry-specific regulatory framework. Enterprises situated in economically
developed regions typically operate under more robust external oversight and stringent
information disclosure protocols. Consequently, following the enforcement of sectoral
disclosure guidelines, the incremental information resulting from regulatory
standardization provides relatively fewer benefits for companies in developed regions,
thereby offering limited support for managerial learning. Conversely, enterprises situated
in less developed regions experience significant information enhancements when
transitioning to benchmarking against industry peers, resulting in a noticeable increase in
the private information embedded in stock prices and discernible learning effects.
To test this hypothesis, we segmented the sample based on the location of the
company's headquarters in either Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, or Guangzhou – the four
major economically developed cities – into economically developed and less developed
regions. The empirical results, presented in Table 8, validate our hypothesis. Industry-
specific information disclosure significantly enhances the price-investment sensitivity of
listed companies initially situated in less developed regions, exhibiting noteworthy
differences between the two sample cohorts. These findings underscore the regional
discrepancies in the influence of industry-specific information disclosure on managerial
learning.
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TABLE 8: TRANSITION FROM REGIONAL REGULATION TO INDUSTRY-
SPECIFIC REGULATION
R&D CAPEXNRD
VARIABLES Developed
area
Underdeveloped
area
Developed area Underdeveloped
area Q 0.0020*** 0.0017*** 0.0060*** 0.0066***
(3.98) (7.17) (3.35) (6.74)
POST -0.0020 -0.0047*** -0.0048 -0.0109** (-0.73) (-3.83) (-0.53) (-2.13)
POST×Q 0.0015 0.0028*** 0.0071 0.0088***
(0.81) (4.18) (1.37) (3.43) CF 0.0319*** 0.0166*** 0.0862*** 0.0715***
(4.79) (5.54) (3.78) (6.07)
LNVAST 0.1024*** 0.1024*** 0.3875*** 0.2263*** (3.78) (6.16) (3.94) (4.06)
RETURN -0.0008 -0.0007*** -0.0031 -0.0062***
(-1.54) (-2.73) (-1.36) (-5.57) Constant 0.0167*** 0.0149*** 0.0449*** 0.0560***
(10.94) (18.29) (9.93) (20.45)
Inter-group differences 0.001*** 0.002* Year FE YES YES YES YES
Firm FE YES YES YES YES
Cluster by Firm Firm Firm Firm Observations 2,217 10,167 2,217 10,167
Adjusted R-squared 0.861 0.787 0.604 0.480
Note: The table illustrates the divergent impact of industry-specific information disclosure
among companies located in economically developed regions compared to those in other areas.
Columns (1) and (3) present regression outcomes for firms headquartered in Beijing, Shanghai,
Guangzhou, and Shenzhen—collectively referred to as the "developed area" in China—while
Columns (2) and (4) depict the regression results for companies located elsewhere. The "Inter-
group differences" section delineates the disparities and significance levels between the two
groups. T-statistics in parentheses use firm-clustered standard errors. Significance levels are
denoted by ***, **, and * for 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively
CONCLUSION
Set against the backdrop of the Chinese market, this study leverages the industry-specific
information disclosure reform as an exogenous shock to investigate the impact of
mandatory disclosure on managerial learning in developing countries. Our findings reveal
that the adoption of IIDGs has significantly enhanced managerial learning. To ensure the
reliability of our conclusions, this research employs robust testing methods and
mechanism analysis, which uncover that the IIDGs exert their influence by elevating the
private information content in stock prices. Furthermore, cross-sectional analysis is
conducted to explore the influence of macroeconomic uncertainty, competitive dynamics
and information environment on managerial learning. This study not only contributes to
enriching the research on mandatory disclosure's impact on managerial learning in
developing countries but also provides empirical support for the influencing factors of
managerial learning.
This study provides three key policy implications: First, policymakers should
further advance institutional reforms to harness the positive effects of mandatory
357
disclosure in emerging markets. Our findings indicate that, unlike trends observed in
developed economies, mandatory industry-specific information disclosure in developing
countries exhibits a “crowding-in” effect rather than a crowding-out effect on stock price
information. In other words, value-relevant mandatory disclosure benefits firms in
emerging markets. Therefore, these results provide valuable guidance for policymakers to
foster a more resilient and dynamic regulatory environment that facilitates managerial
learning and market development. Moreover, this evidence may serve as a reference for
other emerging markets in establishing disclosure standards and advancing their financial
systems.
Second, policymakers should pay attention to the spillover effects and
heterogeneous impacts of disclosure reforms. In response to increasing industry
diversification and improving disclosure relevance, stock exchanges have introduced
industry-specific guidelines. While originally intended to enhance regulatory efficiency
and investor transparency, our study finds that these reforms also generate positive
spillover effects by promoting managerial learning. Furthermore, the effectiveness of
these reforms varies significantly across different contexts, influenced by factors such as
macroeconomic uncertainty, industry competition intensity, the quality of firms’
information environments, and regional economic development levels. Consequently,
future policy design should carefully consider the dynamic evolution of regulatory
impacts and potential unintended consequences, while exploring heterogeneous
mechanisms across industries and regions to improve the adaptability and incentive
effects of disclosure systems.
Third, firms should be guided to reshape their perceptions of mandatory
disclosure. Prior research documents that Chinese managers generally hold negative
views toward mandatory disclosure (Armitage and Marston, 2008) and tend to
manipulate the timing and content of disclosures (Schrand and Walther, 2000; McVay,
2006; Bowen et al., 2005). However, our findings reveal that mandatory disclosure
significantly promotes managerial learning by incorporating external market feedback.
This suggests that managers should reconsider the role of disclosure—not merely
viewing it as an external regulatory burden, but recognizing that standardized disclosure
can also generate unexpected benefits for the firm.
358
APPENDIX
APPENDIX A. EXAMPLE OF MINGPAI JEWELRY (STOCK CODE 002574)
Changes in
Disclosure
Extract from the
2017 annual report
(before the reform)
Extract from the 2018 annual report (After the reform)
Section 3:
Overview of
Company Business
I. Main Business
Activities During the
Reporting Period 1. Primary Business,
Products, and
Business Model 2. Current Industry
Development
I. Main Business Activities During the Reporting Period (Original)
1. Macroeconomic Overview (New) and Industry Development
2. Company's Industry Position and Competitive Advantages (New) 3. Primary Business, Products, and Business Model
4. Key Business Models (New)
- Main Sales Model - Main Production Model
- Main Procurement Model
Section 4: Discussion
and Analysis
of Operating Conditions
I. Overview Main Activities
Undertaken
I. Main Activities Undertaken (Original) II. Key Operating Conditions (New)
1. Physical Store Operations
- Performance of Directly Operated Stores - Changes in Store Numbers
2. Online Sales Performance
3. Inventory Status During the Reporting Period
APPENDIX B. DETAILS OF THE GUIDELINES
No. of Guidelines Industry Industry-specific information
SSE No. 2 Guidelines Real Estate Changes in external factors; industry development status and
company’s industry position; main business model and core competitiveness; real estate reserves; development investment
situation; real estate sales situation; building area and rental
income of leased real estate; financial data related to industry characteristics, etc.
SSE No. 25
Guidelines
Gold jewelry and
accessories
Changes in external factors; industry development status; market
competition status, company's market position, and competitive advantages and disadvantages; relevant information on main sales
models; relevant information on production models; relevant
information on procurement models; risk factors; addresses of the top ten direct and exclusive stores by revenue; product categories
on online sales platforms; information related to self-owned
brand operation models; research and development situation; inventory status, etc.
Main Board and SME
Board in SZSE No.2 Guidelines
Solid mineral
resources
Changes in external factors; industry development and industry
position information; financial data disclosed by product or mine; mineral exploration activities and expenditures; specific
accounting policies related to the industry; mining rights and
mineral resource reserves; qualifications and entry conditions for mineral exploration and development, etc.
Main Board and SME
Board in SZSE No.14 Guidelines
Food and
beverage manufacturing
Industry status and company operations; production,
procurement, and sales models; brand operation status; number of stores at the end and beginning of the period; product variety and
platform names for online sales; specific details related to
procurement and production; specific details on production and inventory levels; specific information on sales expenses, etc.
ChiNext Board in Integrated Industry development status; mainstream technology levels and
359
SZSE No. 12
Guidelines
circuit-related
business activities
changes in market demand; analysis of industry competition and
company's overall strengths and weaknesses based on core technology and cost control; business model; product categories;
cost structure; manufacturing business status; packaging and
testing business status; research and innovation capabilities; development strategy and business plans, etc.
APPENDIX C. VARIABLE DEFINITIONS
Model (1) CAPEXAND The sum of R&D expenditure and capital expenditure divided by lagged total assets.
R&D R&D expenditure divided by lagged total assets.
CAPEX Capital expenditure divided by total assets in the previous period.
CAPEX1 The difference between cash paid for the acquisition and construction of fixed assets,
intangible assets, and other long-term assets, and the net cash received from the disposal
of these assets, divided by the total assets of the previous year. CHGASSET The change in total assets over the year, expressed as a percentage of total assets at the
beginning of the year.
Q The lagged value of Tobin's Q, calculated by dividing the sum of market value of equity and book value of assets minus book value of equity from the previous period by the
lagged total assets.
POST Takes a value of one for the year t-1 when firm i starts adhering to the disclosure guidelines, and zero otherwise.
CF Current cash flow normalized by current total assets.
LNVAST The inverse of lagged total assets in billions of RMB. RETURN Stock return over the three subsequent years.
Model (2) ΔAccuracy -100*(|MF2 – Actual|-|MF1 – Actual|)/Stock Price, where MF2 is the management
forecast on Date 2, MF1 is the previous forecast for the same earnings, and Stock Price is
at the start of the quarter on Date 1. The net profit forecast is in billions of RMB. POST1 Dummy variable that equals one if the earnings forecast is issued after the implementation
of disclosure guidance.
|Return| The absolute value of the buy-and-hold return from one day after the issuance of MF1 to one day before the issuance of MF2.
Gap Number of days between MF1 and MF2
Days Number of days between the MF date and the forecasted period ending Size Natural log of total assets
MB The ratio of total assets to market value
Model(3)
Debt1 The ratio of long-term liabilities to total assets Debt2 The change in long-term debt to total assets
Equity Equity financing, measured by the ratio of changes in capital reserves and total equity to
total assets. External The sum of equity and debt financing, expressed as the ratio of total short-term
borrowings, long-term borrowings, bonds payable, capital reserves, and equity to total
assets.
WACC WACC = Debtcost × leverage + Equitycost × (1 - leverage), where Equitycost is based on
the PEG model, and Debt cost is the ratio of financial expenses to total liabilities.
Lev Total liabilities divided by total assets Roa Net profit divided by total assets
Independence The proportion of independent directors on the board of directors.
Soe Equals 1 if the firm is state-owned and 0 otherwise; Top The percentage shareholding of the largest shareholder
360
Dual Equals 1 if the CEO and chairman are the same person, and 0 otherwise;
Board The number of board members Institution The sum of institutional investors’ shareholdings
Beta Beta value estimated from the firm’s stock returns relative to market returns
Growth Current year’s asset increase divided by the previous year’s total assets
ENDNOTES
*We are grateful to Professor Gary Tian for his valuable suggestions and guidance throughout the
manuscript writing and revision process. 1 Following Driss (2023) and Bird et al. (2021), we use POST as an indicator variable for the post-
implementation period, simplifying the equation to focus on the primary variables: POST,
POST×Q, and Q. To enhance robustness, in line with Bird et al. (2021), we include CF×POST as a
control variable. Additionally, following Ye et al. (2023), we extend the model by incorporating
interaction terms treat×post, treat×Q, post×Q, and treat×post×Q, where treat represents the
treatment group and post indicates the post-treatment period. In both cases, the results remain
significant at the 1% level. 2 The significance and coefficients of the main results remain unchanged when industry clustering
is applied.
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