10K Analysis -Nike final assignment
Common-size Income Statement
| FACEBOOK, INC. | |||||||||
| Common-size | |||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME | |||||||||
| (In millions, except per share amounts) | |||||||||
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||
| 2017 | % of net sales | 2016 | % of net sales | 2015 | % of net sales | ||||
| Revenue | $ 40,653 | 100.00% | $ 27,638 | 100.0% | $ 17,928 | 100.0% | |||
| Costs and expenses: | |||||||||
| Cost of revenue | 5,454 | 13.42% | 3,789 | 13.7% | 2,867 | 16.0% | |||
| Research and development | 7,754 | 19.07% | 5,919 | 21.4% | 4,816 | 26.9% | |||
| Marketing and sales | 4,725 | 11.62% | 3,772 | 13.6% | 2,725 | 15.2% | |||
| General and administrative | 2,517 | 6.19% | 1,731 | 6.3% | 1,295 | 7.2% | |||
| Total costs and expenses | 20,450 | 50.30% | 15,211 | 55.0% | 11,703 | 65.3% | |||
| Income from operations | 20,203 | 49.70% | 12,427 | 45.0% | 6,225 | 34.7% | |||
| Interest and other income (expense), net | 391 | 0.96% | 91 | 0.3% | (31) | -0.2% | |||
| Income before provision for income taxes | 20,594 | 50.66% | 12,518 | 45.3% | 6,194 | 34.5% | |||
| Provision for income taxes | 4,660 | 11.46% | 2,301 | 8.3% | 2,506 | 14.0% | |||
| Net income | $ 15,934 | 39.20% | $ 10,217 | 37.0% | $ 3,688 | 20.6% | |||
| Less: Net income attributable to participating | |||||||||
| securities | 14 | 0.03% | 29 | 0.1% | 19 | 0.1% | |||
| Net income attributable to Class A and Class B | |||||||||
| common stockholders | $ 15,920 | 39.16% | $ 10,188 | 36.9% | $ 3,669 | 20.5% | |||
| Earnings per share attributable to Class A and | |||||||||
| Class B common stockholders: | |||||||||
| Basic | $ 5.49 | $ 3.56 | $ 1.31 | ||||||
| Diluted | $ 5.39 | $ 3.49 | $ 1.29 | ||||||
| Weighted average shares used to compute earnings | |||||||||
| per share attributable to Class A and Class B | ` | ||||||||
| common stockholders: | |||||||||
| Basic | 2,901 | 2,863 | 2,803 | ||||||
| Diluted | 2,956 | 2,925 | 2,853 | ||||||
Conmmon-size Balance Sheet
| FACEBOOK, INC. | |||||||
| Common-size | |||||||
| CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS | |||||||
| (In millions, except for number of shares and par value) | |||||||
| December 31, | % of | December 31, | |||||
| 2017 | total assets | 2016 | |||||
| Assets | |||||||
| Current assets: | |||||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | $ 8,079 | 9.56% | $ 8,903 | 13.71% | |||
| Marketable securities | 33,632 | 39.79% | 20,546 | 31.63% | |||
| Accounts receivable, net of allowances of $189 and $94 as | |||||||
| of December 31, 2017 and 2016, respectively | 5,832 | 6.90% | 3,993 | 6.15% | |||
| Prepaid expenses and other current assets | 1,020 | 1.21% | 959 | 1.48% | |||
| Total current assets | 48,563 | 57.45% | 34,401 | 52.96% | |||
| Property and equipment, net | 13,721 | 16.23% | 8,591 | 13.22% | |||
| Intangible assets, net | 1,884 | 2.23% | 2,535 | 3.90% | |||
| Goodwill | 18,221 | 21.56% | 18,122 | 27.90% | |||
| Other assets | 2,135 | 2.53% | 1,312 | 2.02% | |||
| Total assets | $ 84,524 | 100.00% | $ 64,961 | 100.00% | |||
| Liabilities and stockholders' equity | |||||||
| Current liabilities: | |||||||
| Accounts payable | $ 380 | 0.45% | $ 302 | 0.46% | |||
| Partners payable | 390 | 0.46% | 280 | 0.43% | |||
| Accrued expenses and other current liabilities | 2,892 | 3.42% | 2,203 | 3.39% | |||
| Deferred revenue and deposits | 98 | 0.12% | 90 | 0.14% | |||
| Total current liabilities | 3,760 | 4.45% | 2,875 | 4.43% | |||
| Other liabilities | 6,417 | 7.59% | 2,892 | 4.45% | |||
| Total liabilities | 10,177 | 12.04% | 5,767 | 8.88% | |||
| Commitments and contingencies | |||||||
| Stockholders' equity: | |||||||
| Common stock, $0.000006 par value; 5,000 million Class A | |||||||
| shares authorized, 2,397 million and 2,354 million shares | |||||||
| issued and outstanding, as of December 31, 2017 and | |||||||
| December 31, 2016, respectively; 4,141 million Class B | |||||||
| shares authorized, 509 million and 538 million shares | |||||||
| issued and outstanding, as of December 31, 2017 and | |||||||
| December 31, 2016, respectively. | - 0 | - 0 | |||||
| Additional paid-in capital | 40,584 | 48.01% | 38,227 | 58.85% | |||
| Accumulated other comprehensive loss | (227) | -0.27% | (703) | -1.08% | |||
| Retained earnings | 33,990 | 40.21% | 21,670 | 33.36% | |||
| Total stockholders' equity | 74,347 | 87.96% | 59,194 | 91.12% | |||
| Total liabilities and stockholders' equity | $ 84,524 | 100.00% | $ 64,961 | 100.00% |
Required Calculations
| FACEBOOK, INC. | |||||||
| CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME | |||||||
| (In millions, except per share amounts) | |||||||
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||
| 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |||||
| Revenue | $ 40,653 | $ 27,638 | $ 17,928 | ||||
| Sales growth % - 2017 over 2016 | 47.1% | ||||||
| Sales growth % - 2016 over 2015 | 54.2% | ||||||
| Note 5 contains gross property plant and equipment before accumulated depreciation | |||||||
| 2017 | 2016 | ||||||
| Property, plant, and equipment (gross) | $ 18,337 | $ 11,803 | |||||
| PP&E (Gross) Growth % | 55.4% | ||||||
| 2017 | 2016 | ||||||
| Sales | $ 40,653 | ||||||
| Accounts receivable | 5,832 | 3,993 | |||||
| Average accounts receivable | 4,913 | ||||||
| AR turnover | 8.28 | ||||||
| 2017 | 2016 | ||||||
| Cost of sales | $ 5,454 | $ 3,789 | |||||
| Inventory | 0 | 0 | |||||
| Average inventory | 0 | ||||||
| Inventory turnover | NA | ERROR:#DIV/0! | |||||
| 2017 | 2016 | ||||||
| Cost of sales | $ 5,454 | $ 3,789 | |||||
| Accounts payable | $ 380 | $ 302 | |||||
| Average accounts payable | $ 341 | ||||||
| Accounts payable turnover | 15.99 | ||||||
| Note 5 contains the depreciation expense | |||||||
| 2017 | 2016 | ||||||
| Depreciation expense | $ 2,330 | $ 1,590 | |||||
| Gross PP&E | $ 18,337 | $ 11,803 | |||||
| Depreciation expense as a % of Gross PP&E | 12.7% | 13.5% | |||||
| Items from the footnotes | |||||||
| Effective interest rate on Long-Term Debt | Per Note 8, Facebook does not have any long-term debt. | ||||||
| Plans to pay down Long-Term Debt | Since Facebook has no long-term debt, they have no plans to pay it down. | ||||||
| Effective tax rate (as a % of Pretax income) | Per Note 12, the effective tax rate is 22.6% for 2017. |
Assumptions
| Please note I included cell formulas in column D for each of the items. | ||||
| Value Drivers for 2018 | ||||
| Sales Growth % | 40.0% | The growth rate dropped by 13% from 2016 to 2017 so I assumed that the growth rate would drop 15% for 2018 which would make the sales growth rate 40%. | ||
| COGS as a % of Sales Revenue | 20.1% | Cost of sales fell to 13% of revenue in 2017 from 16% in 2016. Based on increased privacy and security costs, I predict cost of sales will jump by 50%. | ||
| S, G, & A as a % of Sales Revenue | 24.9% | S, G, & A was almost 20% of sales revenue for 2016 but then it dropped to about 18% in 2017. Due to increased legal costs, I predict this cost will jump by 40% over the 2017 figure. | ||
| Interest rate as a % of Long-Term Debt | N/A | Facebook does not have any long-term debt | ||
| Tax rate as a % of Pre-tax Income | 8.6% | Since the Trump corporate tax cut is being phased in, I belive the tax rate will drop by 25% versus the 2017 number. | ||
| PP&E (Gross) Growth | 60.9% | With Facebook growing significantly as they have been, I project that P, P, & E will grow by 10%. | ||
| Pay Down of Long-Term Debt | N/A | |||
| Other Assumptions for 2018 | ||||
| Depreciation Expense as a % of Gross PP&E | 13.1% | The average of the 2017 and 2016 depreciation expense as a % of Gross PP&E was used. | ||
| AR turnover | 8.28 | The AR turnover for 2017 was used for this figure. | ||
| Inventory turnover | N/A | Facebook does not carry inventory as shown on the Balance Sheet. | ||
| AP turnover | 15.99 | The AP turnover for 2017 was used for this figure. |
Forecasted Income Statement
| FACEBOOK, INC. | ||||||
| Projected Income Statemen | ||||||
| Year Ended December 31,2018 | ||||||
| in millions except per share amounts | ||||||
| 2018 | Assumptions | |||||
| Revenue | $56,925 | 40% increase over 2017 (linked to Assumptions worksheet( | ||||
| Costs and expenses: | ||||||
| Cost of revenue | 11,456 | 20.1% of revenue (linked to Assumptions worksheet) | ||||
| Research and development | 7,754 | kept at same level as 2017 | ||||
| Selling, general, and admiinistrative | 14,197 | 24.9% of revenue (linked to Assumptions worksheet) | ||||
| Total costs and expenses | 33,407 | formula | ||||
| Income from operations | 23,519 | formula | ||||
| Interest and other income (expense), net | 391 | no change | ||||
| Income before provision for income taxes | 23,910 | formula | ||||
| Provision for income taxes | 4,894 | 8.6% of revenue | ||||
| Net income | 19,016 | formula | ||||
| Less: Net income attributable to participating | ||||||
| securities | 14 | no change | ||||
| Net income attributable to Class A and Class B | $19,002 | formula | ||||
| common stockholders | ||||||
| Earnings per share attributable to Class A and | ||||||
| Class B common stockholders: | ||||||
| Basic | $6.55 | |||||
| Diluted | $6.43 | |||||
| Weighted average shares used to compute earnings | ||||||
| per share attributable to Class A and Class B | ||||||
| common stockholders: | ||||||
| Basic | 2,901 | no change | ||||
| Diluted | 2,956 | no change | ||||
Forecasted Balance Sheet
| FACEBOOK, INC. | ||||||||
| Projected Balance Sheet | ||||||||
| as of December 31, 2018 | ||||||||
| in millions except per share amounts | ||||||||
| Assets | ||||||||
| Current assets: | Assumptions | |||||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | $18,014 | plug | ||||||
| Marketable securities | 33,632 | no change | ||||||
| Accounts receivable, net of allowances of $189 and $94 as | 6,879 | divide net sales by 8.28 | ||||||
| of December 31, 2017 and 2016, respectively | ||||||||
| Prepaid expenses and other current assets | 1,020 | no change | ||||||
| Total current assets | 59,545 | |||||||
| Property and equipment, net | 22,077 | grow by 60.9% over 2017 | ||||||
| Intangible assets, net | 1,884 | no change | ||||||
| Goodwill | 18,221 | no change | ||||||
| Other assets | 2,135 | no change | ||||||
| Total assets | $103,862 | formula | ||||||
| Liabilities and stockholders' equity | ||||||||
| Current liabilities: | ||||||||
| Accounts payable | $716 | divide cost of revenue by 15.99 | ||||||
| Partners payable | 390 | no change | ||||||
| Accrued expenses and other current liabilities | 2,892 | no change | ||||||
| Deferred revenue and deposits | 98 | no change | ||||||
| Total current liabilities | 4,096 | formula | ||||||
| Other liabilities | 6,417 | no change | ||||||
| Total liabilities | 10,513 | formula | ||||||
| Commitments and contingencies | ||||||||
| Stockholders' equity: | ||||||||
| Common stock, $0.000006 par value; 5,000 million Class A | ||||||||
| shares authorized, 2,397 million and 2,354 million shares | ||||||||
| issued and outstanding, as of December 31, 2017 and | ||||||||
| December 31, 2016, respectively; 4,141 million Class B | ||||||||
| shares authorized, 509 million and 538 million shares | ||||||||
| issued and outstanding, as of December 31, 2017 and | ||||||||
| December 31, 2016, respectively. | ||||||||
| Additional paid-in capital | 40,584 | no change | ||||||
| Accumulated other comprehensive loss | (227) | no change | ||||||
| Retained earnings | 52,992 | add net income and subtract dividends which is zero for Facebook | ||||||
| Total stockholders' equity | 93,349 | |||||||
| Total liabilities and stockholders' equity | $103,862 |