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Am J Psychiatry 166:3, March 2009 293

Reviews and Overviews

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Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Multiple-Session Early Interventions Following Traumatic Events

Neil P. Roberts, D.Clin.Psy.

Neil J. Kitchiner, M.Sc.

Justin Kenardy, Ph.D.

Jonathan I. Bisson, D.M., F.R.C.Psych.

Objective: The authors sought to deter- mine the efficacy of multiple-session psy- chological interventions to prevent and treat traumatic stress symptoms beginning within 3 months of a traumatic event.

Method: Nine computerized databases were searched, and manual searches were conducted of reference lists of se- lected articles as well as two journals. In addition, key researchers in the field were contacted to determine whether they were aware of other relevant studies. The reviewers identified randomized con- trolled trials of multiple-session psycho- logical treatments aimed at preventing or reducing traumatic stress symptoms in in- dividuals within 3 months of exposure to a traumatic event. Details of the studies were independently extracted by two re- viewers, and outcome data were entered into the Review Manager software pack-

age. Quality assessment was also con- ducted by two researchers independently.

Results: Twenty-five studies examining a range of interventions were identified. For treatment of individuals exposed to a trauma irrespective of their symptoms, there was no significant difference be- tween any intervention and usual care. For treatment of traumatic stress symp- toms irrespective of diagnosis, trauma-fo- cused cognitive-behavioral therapy (CBT) was more effective than waiting list or supportive counseling conditions. The dif- ference was greatest for treatment of acute stress disorder and acute posttrau- matic stress disorder.

Conclusions: Trauma-focused CBT within 3 months of a traumatic event appears to be effective for individuals with traumatic stress symptoms, especially those who meet the threshold for a clinical diagnosis.

(Am J Psychiatry 2009; 166:293–301)

There is now a large body of literature to show that a va- riety of traumatic experiences can cause significant psy- chological difficulties for large numbers of people (see ref- erences 1–6, for example). Many individuals show great resilience in the face of such experiences and will manifest short-lived or subclinical stress reactions that diminish over time (7), and most people recover without medical or psychological assistance (8). Nevertheless, a range of psy- chological difficulties may develop following trauma in some of those who have been exposed, including acute stress disorder and posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD). The rate of acute stress disorder has been reported to be 13% in motor vehicle accident survivors (9) and 19% in victims of violent crime (10). Reported rates of acute PTSD (defined as PTSD symptoms for less than 3 months) have varied across different trauma populations, from 23% in motor vehicle accident victims (6) to 47% in rape victims (11). Epidemiological research suggests that one-third of individuals who develop acute PTSD remain symptomatic for 6 years or longer (12). The impact on social, interper- sonal, and occupational functioning can be marked and enduring for those who develop chronic PTSD (13).

Over the past three decades, clinicians have been in- creasingly involved in attempts to develop interventions that might mitigate the effects of trauma and prevent the

onset of chronic PTSD. Although psychological debriefing

(also known as critical incident stress debriefing) was a

widely used intervention for some years, it came under in-

creasing scrutiny in the 1990s. Systematic reviews (14, 15)

failed to find evidence for the efficacy of single-session in-

dividual debriefing, and many experts in the field now

caution against its use (16, 17). Increasingly the field has

turned its attention to other models of intervention (13,

18–21). A common theme has been the suggestion that ef-

forts should be focused on identifying those most at risk of

developing ongoing problems in the aftermath of trau-

matic incidents and directing resources and interventions

mainly to them.

Although there is considerable evidence for the efficacy

of multiple-session trauma-focused psychological inter-

ventions to treat chronic PTSD (22–24), the early use of

such interventions has not received the same level of scru-

tiny. A number of randomized controlled trials have been

conducted with early interventions, but the issues of how

effective they are, whom to offer intervention to, the tim-

ing of intervention, and the mode of intervention remain

contentious. To help clarify the potential utility of these

interventions, we performed a systematic review and

meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials of psycho-

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logical interventions aimed at preventing or treating PTSD within 3 months of a traumatic event.

Method

Data Sources

The electronic databases MEDLINE, ClinPSYC, PsychLit, EM- BASE, PILOTS, LILACS, PSYNEBS, SocioFile, CINAHL, and the Co- chrane Depression, Anxiety, and Neurosis Group Trials Register were searched until July 2007 using the Cochrane optimal ran- domized controlled trial search strategy combined with the fol- lowing keywords: PTSD, trauma, acute stress disorder, acute posttraumatic stress disorder, acute post-traumatic stress disor- der, early intervention, early psychological intervention, preven-

tative, prevention, PTSD prevention, crisis, crisis intervention, psychological first aid, cognitive, behaviour, behavior, behav- ioural, behavioral, cognitive-behavioural, cognitive-behavioral, exposure, eye movement desensitization and reprocessing, psy- chological, psychotherapy, psychodynamic, stress inoculation, relaxation, anxiety management, psychoeducation, collaborative care, collaborative intervention, recovery, facilitating recovery, critical incident stress debriefing, debriefing, critical incident stress management, counseling, counselling, supportive counsel- ling, and supportive counseling. Manual searches were under- taken of the Journal of Traumatic Stress and the Journal of Con- sulting and Clinical Psychology. Reference lists of studies identified in the search, related review articles, and management guidelines were scrutinized. Internet searches of known web sites and discussion forums were conducted, and key researchers in

TABLE 1. Summary of Meta-Analysis of Results for Interventions for PTSD Symptoms Within 3 Months After a Traumatic Eventa

Comparison Follow-Up Number of Trials

Total N

Interventions beginning within 1 month for all exposed to the traumatic event

Any intervention vs. usual care (PTSD symptoms self-report) Posttreatment (37, 40–43) 5 431 3–6 months after trauma (41–43) 3 234

Any intervention vs. usual care (PTSD diagnosis) Posttreatment (38–43) 6 470 3–6 months after trauma (38, 39, 41, 43) 4 303

Interventions beginning within 3 months for individuals with traumatic stress symptoms

Structured writing vs. minimal intervention (PTSD symptoms self-report)

Posttreatment (53; Bugg et al., unpublished data) 3 months after trauma (Bugg et al., unpublished data)

2 1

146 104

Structured writing vs. minimal intervention (PTSD diagnosis) Posttreatment (53) 1 42 Trauma-focused CBT vs. waiting list (PTSD symptoms

clinician rated) Posttreatment (18, 47, 50–52; Öst et al., unpublished data) 3–5 months after trauma (51, 52)

6 2

423 138

9–11 months after trauma (50, 51) 2 73 12–18 months after trauma (18) 1 152

Trauma-focused CBT vs. waiting list (PTSD diagnosis) Posttreatment (18, 47, 50–53; Öst et al., unpublished data) 7 515 3–5 month follow-up (51, 52) 2 141 9–11 months after trauma (50, 51) 2 54 12–18 months after trauma (18) 1 116

Trauma-focused CBT vs. supportive counseling (PTSD symptoms self-report)

Posttreatment (30, 31, 46, 51) 3–6 months follow-up (30, 31, 46, 51)

4 4

195 176

2–4 years after trauma (Clinician Administered PTSD Scale) (33, 34)

2 94

Trauma-focused CBT vs. supportive counseling (PTSD diagnosis)

Posttreatment (30, 31, 35, 46, 51) 3–6 months after trauma (30, 31, 35, 46, 51)

5 5

251 200

3–4 years after trauma (33, 34) 2 94 Interventions for individuals with acute stress disorder or

acute PTSD within 3 monthsd

Trauma-focused CBT vs. waiting list (PTSD symptoms clinician rated)

Posttreatment (47, 50, 52; Öst et al., unpublished data) 3–5 months after trauma (52)

4 1

210 95

9–11 months after trauma (50) 1 12 Trauma-focused CBT vs. waiting list (PTSD diagnosis) Posttreatment (47, 50, 52, 53; Öst et al., unpublished data) 5 254

3–5 months after trauma (52) 1 95 9–11 months after trauma (50) 1 12

Trauma-focused CBT vs. supportive counseling (PTSD symptoms clinician rated)

Posttreatment (30, 31, 46) 3–6 months follow-up (30, 31, 46)

3 3

138 134

2–4 years after trauma (Clinician Administered PTSD Scale) (33, 34)

2 94

Trauma-focused CBT vs. supportive counseling (PTSD diagnosis)

Posttreatment (30, 31, 35, 46) 3–6 months after trauma (30, 31, 35, 46)

4 4

191 158

3–4 years after trauma (33, 34) 2 94 a PTSD=posttraumatic stress disorder; CBT=cognitive-behavioral therapy. b Relative risk of diagnosis of PTSD; a value of 1 indicates that the intervention was the same as the control condition; a value <1 indicates that

the intervention was better than the control condition; and a value >1 indicates that the control condition was better than the intervention. c The standardized mean difference in continuous PTSD symptom score was used when different outcome measures were used in the studies

included; the weighted mean difference in continuous PTSD symptom score was used when the same outcome measure was used in the studies included. A score of 0 indicates that there was no difference between the intervention and the control condition, a score <0 indicates that the intervention was better, and a score >0 indicates that the control condition was better.

d These analyses are subanalyses of the analyses of interventions beginning within 3 months for individuals with traumatic stress symptoms. *p<0.05.

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the field were contacted to determine whether they were aware of other relevant studies.

Study Selection

All abstracts were read independently by two of the reviewers to determine whether they potentially met the inclusion criteria. If either reviewer thought the study potentially met the criteria, the full manuscript was obtained and read independently by three of the reviewers. To be included, a study had to be a ran- domized controlled trial that considered one or more defined psychological interventions or treatments (excluding single-ses- sion interventions) aimed at preventing or reducing traumatic stress symptoms following events that appeared to fulfill DSM-IV criterion A1 for PTSD or acute stress disorder in comparison with a placebo control, other control (e.g., usual care or waiting list

control), or alternative psychological treatment condition. All studies had to have been completed and analyzed by September 2007. Presence or absence of symptoms, sample size, language, and publication status were not used to determine whether a study should be included. The review considered studies involv- ing adults only.

Data Extraction

A data extraction sheet was designed to record data, which were then entered into the Review Manager software package, version 4.2 (25). Information extracted included demographic de- tails of participants, details of the traumatic event, the random- ization process, the interventions used, dropout rates, and out- come data. Quality was assessed by rating studies according to randomization, allocation concealment, blinding of assessors, and intention to treat. Each study was also rated using quality as- sessment criteria derived from the literature on key methodolog- ical issues pertinent to psychological intervention research on traumatic stress (26–29). Data were extracted and quality as- sessed by two reviewers independently. Any disagreements were discussed with a third reviewer and a consensus achieved.

Data Synthesis

Given the differences between studies with respect to partici- pants’ symptom severity and the interval between exposure to a traumatic event and commencement of the intervention, we sep- arated the trials into three groups based on work previously con- ducted in this area (16): studies that offered an intervention to any individual exposed to a traumatic event irrespective of their symptoms with the aim of preventing PTSD; studies providing in- terventions begun within 3 months with the aim of preventing PTSD or ongoing distress in individuals with traumatic stress symptoms; and studies providing interventions begun within 3 months with the aim of preventing PTSD or ongoing distress in individuals with acute stress disorder or acute PTSD.

In order to combine information from several studies, all inter- ventions offered to any individual exposed to a traumatic event with the aim of preventing PTSD were considered together. The efficacy of trauma-focused cognitive-behavioral therapy (CBT) was considered in individuals with traumatic stress symptoms. Trauma-focused CBT was defined as any intervention that fo- cused on the trauma using exposure to trauma memories and trauma reminders with or without cognitive therapy and other cognitive-behavioral techniques. The exposure-based therapy with anxiety management (30) and exposure-based therapy with hypnosis (31) arms in two studies were combined with the expo- sure therapy arm to generate a single mean and standard devia- tion. The combined results were then compared with the waiting list arm to avoid double counting.

The data were analyzed for summary effects using Review Man- ager. Continuous outcomes were analyzed using weighted mean differences when all trials measured outcome on the same scale. When some trials measured outcomes on different scales, stan- dardized mean differences were used, based on the assumption that all scales measure the same underlying symptom or condition. Relative risk was calculated for categorical outcome measures, and 95% confidence intervals were computed for all outcomes.

Available case analysis and intent-to-treat analysis with impu- tation using the last-observation-carried-forward method were performed when enough information was available. In cases where the information presented in the paper was inadequate to perform these analyses, further information was requested from the lead author.

Heterogeneity between studies was assessed by observing the I2 test of heterogeneity, which measures the percentage of varia- tion that is not due to chance (32). An I2 of less than 30% was taken to indicate mild heterogeneity, and a fixed-effects model

Relative Riskb 95% CI

Standardized or Weighted Mean

Difference in PTSD Scorec 95% CI

0.05 –0.26 to 0.36 0.26 0.00 to 0.52

0.82 0.56 to 1.20 0.59 0.27 to 1.25

–0.28 1.10

–1.22 to 0.65 –3.80 to 6.00

0.61 0.25 to 1.47 –0.54 –0.22

–0.93 to –0.16* –0.56 to 0.11

–0.85 –2.49 to 0.79 –6.01 –12.44 to 0.42

0.72 0.5 to 1.05 0.64 0.42 to 0.99* 0.42 0.03 to 5.23 0.74 0.36 to 1.51

–0.95 –0.62

–1.66 to –0.23* –0.94 to –0.31*

–0.85 –1.29 to –0.40*

0.56 0.29 to 1.06 0.37 0.20 to 0.67* 0.28 0.13 to 0.58*

–0.85 –0.88

–1.35 to –0.34* –6.52 to 4.76

–33.67 –52.77 to –14.57* 0.54 0.31 to 0.95* 0.85 0.50 to 1.44 0.09 0.01 to 1.35

–20.66 –0.77

–28.81 to –12.51* –1.14 to –0.40*

–0.85 –1.29 to –0.40*

0.44 0.26

0.22 to 0.86* 0.16 to 0.45*

0.28 0.13 to 0.58*

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was used. When the I2 was 30% or greater, a random-effects model was used. A visual inspection of the forest plots was used as a test of the robustness of these findings.

Results

Two hundred fifty titles and abstracts were identified through the search process, and 49 papers were reviewed in detail by three of the authors independently to establish whether they met the inclusion criteria. Twenty-five stud- ies were found to meet the inclusion criteria, and another two papers (33, 34) reported long-term follow-up on three studies (30, 31, 35). Twenty-four studies were reported in English and one (36) in French. A flow diagram of the sys- tematic review and a table summarizing the characteris- tics of the studies are presented in the data supplement that accompanies the online edition of this article.

Synthesis of Results

The outcomes for individual studies are indicated in Ta- ble S1 in the online data supplement. The postinterven-

tion and follow-up results of the meta-analyses for com- parisons that included more than one study are listed in Table 1, and examples of forest plots are presented in Fig- ures 1–3. The outcomes reported are rates of PTSD and se- verity of PTSD (clinician rated unless unavailable, in which case self-report data are used).

Studies offering intervention to individuals involved in a traumatic event irrespective of symptoms. Eight studies (36–42, 43) evaluated brief psychosocial in- terventions aimed at preventing PTSD in individuals ex- posed to a specific traumatic event. All started within 1 month of the trauma. Meta-analysis of the studies with sufficient data available showed no significant differences between those who received an intervention and those who did not (see Table 1; see also Figure S1 in the online data supplement). The only statistically significant differ- ences observed for specific interventions were in favor of the waiting list control group over adapted critical inci- dent stress debriefing for self-reported PTSD symptoms immediately after the trauma (41) and for preventive

FIGURE 1. Forest Plot Comparing Any Multiple-Session Early Intervention and Treatment as Usual for Prevention of PTSD in Individuals Exposed to a Traumatic Event, With PTSD Diagnosis as Outcome Measurea

a Total events: treatment, 36; control, 43. Test for heterogeneity: χ2=7.97, df=5, p=0.16, I2=37.2%. Test for overall effect: z=1.01, p=0.31.

FIGURE 2. Forest Plot Comparing Trauma-Focused Cognitive-Behavioral Therapy and Waiting List in Individuals Exposed to a Traumatic Event Who Have Symptoms of PTSD or Acute Stress Disorder, With PTSD Diagnosis as Outcome Measurea

a Total events: treatment, 119; control, 142. Test for heterogeneity: χ2=21.01, df=6, p=0.002, I2=71.4%. Test for overall effect: z=1.71, p=0.09.

Study Treatment Control Favors Treatment Favors Control Weight

(%) Relative Risk (Fixed)

(95% CI)

Ryding et al. 1998 (39) 2/50 1/49 2.31 1.96 (0.18, 20.92)

Gidron et al. 2001 (44) 1/8 4/9 8.61 0.28 (0.04, 2.02)

Zatzick et al. 2001 (43) 2/14 6/15 13.25 0.36 (0.09, 1.48)

Ryding et al. 2004 (40) 10/82 15/65 38.28 0.53 (0.25, 1.10)

Gamble et al. 2005 (38) 18/50 16/53 35.53 1.19 (0.69, 2.07)

Marchand et al. 2006 (41) 3/33 1/42 2.01 3.82 (0.42, 35.04)

Total 237 233 100.00 0.82 (0.56, 1.20)

0.1 1.0 10.05.02.00.50.2

Relative Risk (Fixed) (95% CI)

Study Treatment Control Favors Treatment Favors Control Weight

(%) Relative Risk (Fixed)

(95% CI)

Bryant et al. 2008 (47) 10/30 23/30 15.82 0.43 (0.25, 0.75)

Öst (unpublished) 3/23 13/20 7.71 0.20 (0.07, 0.60)

Ehlers et al. 2003 (50) 1/6 5/6 3.55 0.20 (0.03, 1.24)

Bisson et al. 2004 (48) 35/76 29/76 19.18 1.21 (0.83, 1.76)

Foa et al. 2006 (51) 21/31 19/30 19.39 1.07 (0.74, 1.54)

Sijbrandij et al. 2007 (52) 40/79 43/64 21.05 0.75 (0.57, 0.99)

van Emmerik et al. 2008 (53) 9/21 10/23 13.30 0.99 (0.50, 1.94)

Total 266 249 100.00 0.72 (0.50, 1.05)

0.1 1.0 10.05.02.00.50.2

Relative Risk (Fixed) (95% CI)

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counseling over monitoring or usual care for clinician-as- sessed PTSD symptoms 3 months after trauma (38). Two studies (44, 45) evaluated a two-session memory structur- ing intervention in individuals who had been involved in a motor vehicle accident and had a heart rate >95 bpm in the emergency department. No statistically significant dif- ferences were found between the interventions and the control conditions.

Studies offering intervention to individuals with traumatic stress symptoms within 3 months after a traumatic event. Fifteen studies (30, 31, 35, 46–55; A. Bugg et al., unpublished 2007 data; L. Öst et al., unpub- lished 2004 data) evaluated interventions for individuals who had traumatic stress symptoms within 3 months after a traumatic event. No statistically significant differences were observed between structured writing and minimal intervention. Statistically significant differences were ob- served in favor of trauma-focused CBT over the waiting list condition and supportive counseling at posttreatment as- sessment. Follow-up data were incomplete, but statisti- cally significant differences were present at several time points, particularly over supportive counseling.

Studies offering intervention to individuals with a di- agnosis of acute stress disorder or acute PTSD within 3 months after a traumatic event. Eleven studies (30, 31, 35, 46, 47 , 49, 50, 52, 53; Bugg et al., unpublished 2007 data; Öst et al., unpublished 2004 data) offered interven- tions to individuals with a diagnosis of acute stress disorder or acute PTSD. The analyses of these studies are subanaly- ses of the analyses of symptomatic individuals described above, with four studies excluded. Statistically significant differences were observed in favor of trauma-focused CBT over the waiting list control condition and supportive coun- seling. The only evidence to support any other form of treatment was for cognitive restructuring, which was signif- icantly better than the waiting list condition but less effec- tive than trauma-focused CBT in one study (47).

Methodological Quality of Included Studies

Only 12 studies adequately described a method of allo- cation judged to make no bias possible (31, 37, 38, 43, 46– 48, 50, 52, 53, 55; Bugg et al., unpublished 2007 data). Re- porting of adequate concealment procedures was present in only seven studies (31, 37, 43, 47, 48, 50; Bugg et al., un- published 2007 data). Adequate blinding of the assessor of outcome measures was present in 16 studies (30, 31, 35, 38, 41, 43, 44–48, 50, 51, 53, 55); Bugg et al., unpublished 2007 data). Loss to follow-up was fully reported with reasons by group in 16 studies (31, 35, 38, 41, 43, 46–54; Bugg et al., un- published 2007 data; Öst et al., unpublished 2004 data).

The overall quality of the studies in relation to the other methodological and reporting factors considered was variable. Fewer than 10 studies fully reported whether training was offered to assessors and how performance, supervision, or reliability checks of assessors were per- formed (four studies), whether treatment fidelity was independently checked and adequate (five studies), whether power calculation was reported (four studies), whether follow-up extended beyond 6 months (nine stud- ies), and whether there were any side effects (one study).

In order to determine the impact of quality on outcome, the three studies included in the analysis of trauma-fo- cused CBT versus waiting list for individuals with trau- matic stress symptoms (47, 48 , 50) that achieved the high- est quality ratings for the four Cochrane quality criteria were included in a sensitivity analysis. This resulted in a reduction in the magnitude of intervention effect, with su- periority over waiting list control only approaching statis- tical significance (three studies, N=224, standardized mean difference –0.75, 95% CI=–1.53 to 0.02).

Discussion

Main Findings

There was no evidence that a multiple-session interven- tion aimed at everyone, irrespective of their symptoms,

FIGURE 3. Forest Plot Comparing Trauma-Focused Cognitive-Behavioral Therapy and Waiting List in Individuals Exposed to a Traumatic Event Who Have Symptoms of PTSD or Acute Stress Disorder, Excluding Those Not Meeting Full Diagnostic Cri- teria, With PTSD Diagnosis as Outcome Measurea

a Total events: treatment, 47; control, 76. Test for heterogeneity: χ2=12.11, df=4, p=0.02, I2=67.0%. Test for overall effect: z=2.15, p=0.03.

Study Treatment Control Favors Treatment Favors Control Weight

(%) Relative Risk (Fixed)

(95% CI)

Bryant et al. 2008 (47) 10/30 23/30 25.83 0.43 (0.25, 0.75)

Öst (unpublished) 3/23 13/20 14.74 0.20 (0.07, 0.60)

Ehlers et al. 2003 (50) 1/6 5/6 7.43 0.20 (0.03, 1.24)

Sijbrandij et al. 2007 (52) 24/50 24/45 29.26 0.86 (0.59, 1.28)

van Emmerik et al. 2008 (53) 9/21 10/23 22.75 0.99 (0.50, 1.94)

Total 130 124 100.00 0.54 (0.31, 0.95)

0.1 1.0 10.05.02.00.50.2

Relative Risk (Fixed) (95% CI)

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following a traumatic event was effective. Trauma-focused CBT was significantly better than waiting list or usual care at reducing traumatic stress symptoms in individuals who were symptomatic at entry into the study, but the magni-

tude of effect varied. The magnitude was largest for indi- viduals who were diagnosed with acute stress disorder or acute PTSD. Evidence of the benefits of trauma-focused CBT for symptomatic individuals who did not meet full di- agnostic criteria for these conditions was weak.

Heterogeneity

There was evidence of both clinical and statistical het- erogeneity in the included studies.

Although all the trials attempted to reduce traumatic stress symptoms, the nature of the interventions was quite diverse. This was partially dealt with by separating inter- ventions into predetermined groups, although we decided to combine the interventions provided to individuals irre- spective of their symptoms in order to maximize the infor- mation available. There were more studies evaluating trauma-focused CBT than other interventions, but the spe- cific interventions in the trauma-focused CBT group were not identical. All were trauma focused, but some interven- tions primarily used a prolonged exposure paradigm (e.g., reference 48), whereas others (e.g., reference 50) primarily used cognitive techniques with more limited exposure. It was not possible to conduct a formal analysis comparing studies with varying amounts of exposure because of lim- ited detail regarding the specific amount of exposure deliv- ered. However, there did not appear to be a direct relation- ship between more exposure and improved outcome or vice versa among interventions included in the trauma-fo- cused CBT group. This seems at odds with the Institute of Medicine’s recent conclusion that exposure therapy is the only type of psychological treatment with sufficient evi- dence of efficacy in the treatment of PTSD (56), although exposure therapy was superior to cognitive restructuring with no exposure in the single study included in this review

that directly compared these two interventions (47).

In addition, the total number of hours of intervention provided varied from around 4 hours to around 16 hours. There were also differences in the clinical populations, es- pecially with regard to the severity of symptoms at entry to the studies. On the basis of previous work on this topic (16), we grouped trials in a clinically meaningful manner according to the intervention and the clinical populations included, but this approach is not empirically based, which should be considered when interpreting the results. We concluded that the trials grouped together were essen-

tially trying to measure the same thing and that it was worthwhile summarizing their combined results, but the variation means that caution should be applied when in- terpreting the results (32).

Methodological Quality

The overall quality of the studies was varied. Using the Cochrane quality criteria, 16 (64%) studies fully reported loss to follow-up with reasons, 15 (60%) described using appropriately blinded assessors to measure outcome, 12 (48%) described appropriate randomization with no bias possible, and only seven (28%) reported adequate alloca- tion concealment. The small sample sizes of most of the studies are also an important limitation. However, the in- tervention and control groups appeared well matched at baseline in most studies, reducing the risk of the re- ported unadjusted mean outcomes being influenced by baseline differences.

Several studies, including those that provided more pos- itive results, had strong methodological characteristics. A meta-analysis of the highest-quality studies resulted in a larger effect size (0.75) for the efficacy of trauma-focused CBT versus waiting list control than the meta-analysis of all studies irrespective of quality (0.54), but the former meta-analysis just failed to reach statistical significance. This is probably a power issue and, contrary to previous research (57), does not suggest that poorer-quality studies falsely elevated the apparent efficacy of the intervention.

The choice of control condition is particularly impor- tant in early intervention research, where a reduction in symptoms over the duration of the trial would be expected given the natural course of traumatic stress reactions (58). The development of a psychological treatment placebo is very difficult, if not impossible, as is blinding of partici- pants and therapists. Some of the waiting list and usual care groups may have received some form of intervention by virtue of contact through symptom monitoring, but this was not properly evaluated, and it is not possible to determine what impact this might have had on outcomes.

Only one study (47) reported adverse effects, and it is unclear whether any occurred in other studies. The drop- out rates were mostly no higher in the intervention groups than in the control groups across the studies reviewed, which suggests that the interventions did not cause major adverse effects. However, the absence of tolerability as- sessment is a key shortcoming in the trials identified and one that has previously been noted in psychological treat- ment studies of chronic PTSD (22).

Implications for Practice

The results suggest that no psychological intervention can be recommended for routine use following traumatic events. This is consistent with the results of single-session interventions, although, in contrast to them (14), with the possible exception of adapted critical incident stress de- briefing, no evidence was found of any harm occurring as a result of an intervention. Trauma-focused CBT was the only early intervention with convincing evidence of effi- cacy in reducing and preventing traumatic stress symp- toms, but only for symptomatic individuals and particu- larly for those who met the diagnostic criteria for acute

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stress disorder or acute PTSD. The less convincing evi- dence in favor of trauma-focused CBT for all symptomatic individuals raises some interesting clinical implications. Positive outcomes in the meta-analysis for all symptom- atic individuals appear to have been bolstered by the out- comes from studies focusing specifically on individuals meeting all diagnostic criteria for acute stress disorder and acute PTSD. This suggests that the presence of a specific diagnosis may be the most important predictor of who will benefit from trauma-focused CBT. However, when plan- ning how best to detect such individuals, it is important to heed the research suggesting that merely screening for acute stress disorder is problematic as it misses many in- dividuals who go on to develop PTSD (59).

While the majority of symptomatic individuals are likely to gain some benefit from trauma-focused CBT 1 to 3 months after a traumatic event, the magnitude of this ben- efit may not be very large. Whether the magnitude of im- provement is likely to be significant enough to justify the routine provision of trauma-focused CBT to all symptom- atic individuals is open to debate. The evidence suggests that trauma-focused CBT should be offered to all who suf- fer from acute stress disorder or acute PTSD and that lim- iting it to this group can be justified, particularly when re- sources are limited. The results for non-trauma-focused CBT interventions were disappointing, but it remains pos- sible that elements from them are effective, particularly if used with more symptomatic individuals. For example, behavioral reactivation (54) has clearly not yet been evalu- ated with an adequately powered trial and would benefit from further evaluation.

The results of this review support calls that have been made for a stepped or stratified care system whereby those with the most severe symptoms are offered more complex interventions (18). The fact that trauma-focused CBT ap- pears to be an effective treatment suggests that more work should be done to determine whether it could be delivered as part of a screening program after major traumatic events.

Implications for Research

Further well-designed randomized controlled trials of trauma-focused CBT starting within the first 3 months af- ter traumatic events with longer follow-up periods are needed. Given the modest overall effects of trauma-fo- cused CBT, the development and trialing of other psycho- logical treatments are important. The finding that expo- sure therapy was superior to cognitive restructuring in one study requires replication, and the comparison of treat- ments with more or less exposure should be pursued in the future.

Most of the studies included in this review attempted to evaluate individual psychological therapy. Given the im- portant role of social support as a predictor of outcome (60, 61), it would be of interest to examine interventions aimed at couples and families to improve familial re- sponse. It would also be of interest to evaluate forms of

community intervention and interventions aimed at im- proving coping skills and enhancing positive and helpful behaviors (J.I. Ruzek, unpublished 2007 paper). Future re- search should also consider adverse events and tolerabil- ity of treatment, carefully control for additional interven- tion, and explore the optimal time to intervention, how long treatment should last, and whether other techniques can be incorporated into existing treatments to improve their efficacy.

Received April 25, 2008; revisions received July 18 and Oct. 1, 2008; accepted Oct. 27, 2008 (doi: 10.1176/appi.ajp.2008.08040590). From Cardiff and Vale NHS Trust, Wales; University of Queensland, Austra- lia; and Cardiff University, Wales. Address correspondence and reprint requests to Dr. Bisson, Cardiff University, Monmouth House, Univer- sity Hospital of Wales, Heath Park, Cardiff, CF14 4XW, Wales, UK; bissonji@cf.ac.uk (e-mail).

All authors report no competing interests. The authors thank the authors of studies in the review for providing

unpublished data, Helen Davies for administrative support, and Hugh McGuire for help with searches and with translation. Jonathan Bisson had full access to all of the data in the study and takes responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.

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