CASE STUDY PART 2
Case Study 2 – COVID-19 - PART II – DUE AT THE END OF WEEK SIX
Case Study 2 is due at the end of week six. You have 2 weeks to work on the part II of the research
paper. Part III will be a continuation and conclusion of Part I and II. Each part is worth 5% of your final
grade. However, without Part I and II completed, you will not be able to complete Part III.
You are being provided an Excel spreadsheet with the top 3 countries in COVID-19 numbers as of May
22, 2020.
Requirements for Part II
PROBABILITIES
You are being asked to calculate the probabilities and answer the questions below:
a. What is the probability that a person chosen at random among the top 3 is from the US?
b. What is the probability that a person chosen at random among the top 3 is from Russia?
c. What is the probability that a person chosen at random among the top 3 is from Brazil?
d. What is the probability that new cases arise in any of the three countries?
e. What is the probability that new deaths occur in any of the three countries?
f. Where is the probability that active cases increase in any of the three countries?
g. What is the probability that the number of serious critical condition in any of the three
countries?
h. Based on the top 3, what is the probability of new cases given that is in the US?
i. Based on the top 3, what is the probability of new cases given that is in Russia?
j. Based on the top 3, what is the probability of new cases given that is in Brazil?
k. Based on the top 3, what is the probability of new deaths given that is in the US?
l. Based on the top 3, what is the probability of new deaths given that is in Russia?
m. Based on the top 3, what is the probability of new deaths given that is in Brazil ?
n. Based on the top 3, what is the probability of total deaths given that is in the US?
o. Based on the top 3, what is the probability of total deaths given that is in the Russia?
p. Based on the top 3, what is the probability of total deaths given that is in Brazil?
q. Based on the top 3, what is the probability of total recover given there is in the US?
r. Based on the top 3, what is the probability of total recover given that is in Russia?
s. Based on the top 3, what is the probability of total recover given that is in Brazil?
t. Based on the top 3, what is the probability of total active cases given that is in the US?
u. Based on the top 3, what is the probability of total active cases given that is in Russia?
v. Based on the top 3, what is the probability of total active cases given that is in Brazil?
w. Based on the top 3, what is the probability of serious critical condition given that is in the US?
x. Based on the top 3, what is the probability of serious critical condition given that is in Russia?
y. Based on the top 3, what is the probability of serious critical condition given that is in Brazil?
Now that you have completed the calculations above and have included as part of your cases study 2
probability section of your final research paper, make an analysis of your findings. You will need to
refer to previous numbers for the top 3 countries in order to perform a proper analysis for this section.
The numbers were extracted from https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
Example
Case Study 2
Probabilities
On this section of the paper, we will be analyzing probabilities surrounding COVID-19 numbers for the
top 3 countries as of May, 2020. We will….. by using…. and provide further analysis….
Data
1. The probability that a person chosen at random among the top 3 is from the US is …
2.
Make sure to include all 25 answers.
Due to the fact the US has a population of over 330 million people, it is expected that the US leads the
number of COVID-19 cases in the world. As though the US had less than ? percent in new deaths in the
last few days, a new surge of deaths might occur/is expected due to the fact that states have initiated
the reopening of most businesses. So far and so on…….
End of example
Include as much information as you can. What do you believe is causing the changing in probabilities?
Are the numbers of serious condition increasing? Are the number of cases increasing/decreasing? Be
as detailed as you can.
Don’t forget that you will also be including any sites, books, or any other literature used for reference
at the end of your research paper (Works cited/Reference).
Case Study – PART III – DUE AT THE END OF WEEK EIGHT
TBA