Business Finance - Operations Management Two part Assignment

vspell818
Module4-PopulationSample.pptx

PART 1

Population

Population = entire set of entities

Sample

Sample = subset of the population

Sampling

Population

Sampling is the process by which a researcher selects one or more cases out of some larger grouping for study.

Sample

Sample

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Practice Question:

Which one of this sentence is correct?

Administrators at CSUEB surveyed 100 randomly selected seniors to see how they feel about Pioneer Dining.

The population is all CSUEB seniors; the sample is all of the seniors.

The population is all university seniors in the U.S.; the sample is all CSUEB seniors

The population is all university seniors in the U.S.; the sample is 100 CSUEB seniors

The population is all CSUEB seniors; the sample is 100 CSUEB seniors

Which one of this sentence is correct?

Administrators at CSUEB surveyed 100 randomly selected seniors to see how they feel about Pioneer Dining.

The population is all CSUEB seniors; the sample is all of the seniors.

The population is all university seniors in the U.S.; the sample is all CSUEB seniors

The population is all university seniors in the U.S.; the sample is 100 CSUEB seniors

The population is all CSUEB seniors; the sample is 100 CSUEB seniors

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Why Sampling?

Population

All possible cases of what we are interested in studying

Feasibility

The whole group is sometimes too large to study everyone

Data quality

Information based on carefully drawn samples can be better than information from an entire group

Why 1000 samples can be more accurate than 10,000 samples  some voices is better heard in a smaller sample

Ex) college undergraduate students who are in their 30s

Quality  census for example, asking so many questions with relatively less researchers in charge

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Sampling Frame

A sampling frame is a list of all the items in your population.

Does the sampling frame include all members of the population?

How will you gather sampling frame?

Ex: iPhone users

AppleCare list

iTunes

Access to serial #

Complete list of everyone or everything you want to study

EX) population = people in RST 370, sampling frame =

Population = All the iphone users, sampling frame =

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PART 2

Sampling Approaches

Probability = every unit in population has the same chance of being chosen for sample

Nonprobability = every unit in population does NOT have the same chance of being chosen for sample

Probability Sampling

No inherent selection bias

Sampling error: an estimate of the extent to which the values of the sample differ from those of the population

Probability sampling = minimizes the sampling error

Good sampling frame is important when collecting probability sampling

Target population – 1,000

Probability of getting in the sample – 1/1,000

Probability Sampling Techniques

Simple random

Systematic random

Stratified random

Area

Simple Random Sampling (SRS)

Each unit of population has equal chance (probability) being selected

How to select …

Each unit pulled “out of the hat”

Computer programs for random selection http://www.randomizer.org/

Table of random numbers

Try to pick 5 States using the simple random sampling

SRS has the lowest sampling error

Systematic Random Sampling

Variation on simple random sampling involves taking every kth unit listed in a sampling frame

First start = randomly chosen

Systematic Sampling Example

Every

5th case

How do we decide K? in Kth people? 1000 / 100 = 10 , K=10

For SRS and systematic random = sampling frame list must exist

Stratified Random Sampling

Stratified sampling involves dividing the population into smaller subgroups, called strata, and then drawing separate random or systematic samples from each of the strata.

Strata ex) gender, school, region

3. Stratified random sampling

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Stratified Random Sampling

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Types of Stratified Sampling

Proportionate Sampling:

The size of the sample from each stratum is proportionate to occurrence in the population

Goal is to reduce sampling error

Disproportionate Sampling:

Sufficient proportion is selected from each sample to make statistical comparisons

Goal is to have representative sub-sample for each stratum

Proportionate sampling: the strongest with the reducing sampling error

Why disproportionate? Why we choose this over proportionate?

It could be more accurate  when?  minority group

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Identify sampling technique used Answer
1. Major concentration divided into four tracks: recreation, sport, tourism, and leisure. Names in all tracks alphabetized and 100 names randomly chosen from the list.
2. Names of all majors alphabetized. Someone randomly chooses one name on the list to be surveyed. Move down two names from first person chosen, and this person is chosen. Continue this pattern until 111 names chosen.
3. Name of each major put in paper bag. Person removes one name at a time until 129 names chosen.

What Kind of Probability Sample?

Stratified random

Systematic random

Simple random

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Area Sampling

Area sampling is also called “cluster sampling” or “multi-stage sampling.”

Clusters are similar (while strata are different)

Process:

Cluster sampling divides the population area into sections (clusters)

Then randomly selects clusters

Then chooses all the members of those clusters

Cluster Sampling divides the populartion area into sections (clusters) then randomly selects clusters and chooses all the members of those clusters.

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Activity

Population

?

?

Cluster sample (left side)

Proportionate stratified sampling (right side)

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Population

Activity

?

?

Disproportionate stratified sample (right)

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Probability sampling techniques

Summary/review/refresher:

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How Large a Sample?

How many cases are needed for the research hypotheses?

Precision:

how much error can we accept?

Population homogeneity:

the more variability in the population to be sampled the larger the sample required

Sampling Technique

stratified sampling => smaller sample

area sampling => larger sample

Sampling fraction

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Sampling fraction = ratio of sample size to population size, stratified case = sample size to strata size

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PART 3

Nonprobability Samples

Probability of each population element's being included in the sample is unknown

Uses:

No intent to generalize

Qualitative study (small sample size)

Impossible to develop sampling frame

Limitations

Cannot specify representativeness

Degree of sampling error is unknown

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Non-probability Sampling Types

Convenience sampling (accidental or haphazard sampling)

Volunteer-based sampling => volunteer bias

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Convenience – sample drawn from the part of the population that is close to hand (e.g., sns, resources around us)

It is often used for pilot study to obtain basic data and trend

Volunteer – participants self select to become part of the study (e.g., call from radio station, or a booth at a rest area)

Limited amount of number

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Non-probability Sampling Types

Purposive (or judgmental) sampling

Snowball sampling (interactive sampling): rely on interaction of persons to generate sample.

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Purposive – researcher rely on their own judgement when choosing members of the population to participate in study

Participants with unique or special characteristics, (e.g., age, health status, background, past experience)

Snowball -

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Situation Sampling technique being used
1. Set up tables outside public rest stop and ask people to complete survey.
2. Form committee of park system’s mid- and upper-level managers to come up with ideas to make park more appealing.
3. Staff report few young adults (18–21 years) visit their nature centers. You observe a young adult visiting a nature center and ask that person to complete an interview. You also enlist that person to provide you with the name of another young person who he knows visits nature centers in the community.

Directions: Identify the nonprobability sampling technique being used.

What Kind of Nonprobability Sample?

Volunteer

Purposive

Snowball

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Non-probability sampling techniques

Summary/review/refresher:

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