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How Education, Race and Birth Year Shape Financial Outcomes

The Demographics of Wealth

2018 Series

Essay No. 1: The Financial Returns from College across

Generations: Large but Unequal | February 2018

2 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

About the Center for Household Financial Stability

The Center for Household Financial Stability at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis focuses on family balance sheets, especially those of struggling American families. The Center researches the determinants

of healthy family balance sheets, their links to the broader economy and new ideas to improve them.

The Center’s original research, publications and public events aim to impact future research, community

practice and public policy. For more information, see www.stlouisfed.org/hfs.

Staff

Ray Boshara is an assistant vice president at the St. Louis Fed and director of the Center.

He is also a senior fellow in the Financial Security Program at the Aspen Institute.

William R. Emmons is an assistant vice president and economist at the St. Louis Fed and the lead

economist with the Center.

Lowell R. Ricketts is the lead analyst for the Center.

Ana Hernández Kent is a policy analyst for the Center.

Visiting Scholars

Fenaba R. Addo is an assistant professor of consumer science at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.

Barry Z. Cynamon is a research associate at the Weidenbaum Center at Washington University in St. Louis.

Emily Gallagher is an assistant professor of finance and real estate at the University of Colorado at Boulder.

Bradley L. Hardy is an associate professor of public administration and policy at American University in

Washington, D.C., and a nonresident senior fellow in economic studies at the Brookings Institution.

William R. Emmons is the lead economist with the Center for House- hold Financial Stability at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, where

he also serves as assistant vice president. His areas of focus at the Center

include household balance sheets and their relationship to the broader

economy. He also speaks and writes frequently on banking, financial

markets, financial regulation, housing, the economy, and other topics.

His work has been highlighted in major publications including The New

York Times, The Wall Street Journal and American Banker, and he has

appeared on PBS NewsHour, Bloomberg News, and other national

programs. Emmons received a Ph.D. in finance from the Kellogg School

of Management at Northwestern University. He received his bachelor’s

and master’s degrees from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.

Lowell R. Ricketts is the lead analyst for the Center for Household Finan- cial Stability at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, where he conducts

primary and secondary research and policy analysis on household bal-

ance sheet issues. His primary research focus has centered on household

liabilities and wealth outcomes. Prior to joining the team, he worked in

the Research division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis as a senior

research associate. Ricketts received a bachelor’s degree in economics

with a math emphasis from the University of Wisconsin-Madison. He

continues to be involved with the university’s Department of Economics

as a member of the Wisconsin Economics Young Alumni Council.

Authors

Ana Hernández Kent is a policy analyst for the Center for Household Financial Stability at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. She conducts

primary and secondary research and data analysis on household balance

sheet issues. Her primary research interests at the Fed include economic

disparities and opportunity, wealth outcomes, class and racial biases, and

the role of psychological factors in making financial decisions.

Kent is pursuing her Ph.D. in experimental psychology with concentra-

tions in social psychology and quantitative methods in behavioral sci-

ences from Saint Louis University. Kent received her Master of Science in

experimental psychology from Saint Louis University and her bachelor’s

degree in psychology from the University of Notre Dame.

The Demographics of Wealth 3

4 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Income and wealth rebounded for many families between 2013 and 2016, the dates of the two most recent waves of the Federal

Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances

(SCF).1 Groups that had struggled the most

during and after the Great Recession, includ-

ing less-educated, Hispanic and black, and

young families, participated in the recovery.

Nonetheless, long-standing income and

wealth gaps across education levels, races

and ethnicities, and age groups remain large.

This is the first in a series of new essays

that the Center for Household Financial

Stability will publish on how a family’s

demographic characteristics—including

educational attainment, race and ethnicity,

and birth year—are related to the family’s

financial outcomes. Like the previous essay

series published in 2015, the 2018 series will

focus on these three key demographic

dimensions in turn. An important new

feature of the 2018 series is the inclusion of

two generations of educational data for each

family. In addition to the educational attain-

ment of the SCF respondent, the 2016 SCF for

the first time contains detailed information

on the respondents’ parents’ education. This

new information reveals even more clearly

that inherited demographic characteristics—

your race or ethnicity, your age and birth

year, and even your parents’ level of educa-

tion—profoundly shape the economic and

financial opportunities you have and the

outcomes you achieve.

As before, our primary data source is

the triennial SCF, which provides the most

comprehensive picture available of American

families’ balance sheets and financial behav-

ior over time. In some of our analyses, we

use information from 47,776 families, each

of which was surveyed in one of 10 survey

waves between 1989 and 2016. When we

focus on the education of SCF respondents’

parents, we draw upon data collected from

6,248 families in 2016. In every case, the SCF

has been designed to be nationally represen-

tative, so we can safely generalize about the

population as a whole.

As we documented three years ago,

demographic characteristics remain

remarkably powerful in predicting a family’s

income and wealth. By expanding the scope

of inherited demographic characteristics to

include parents’ education, we believe the

2018 Demographics of Wealth series sheds

additional light on the deeply rooted sources

of economic and financial disparities. Fruitful

approaches to policy should be based on the

facts established here.

The Demographics of Wealth How Education, Race and Birth Year

Shape Financial Outcomes

An Introduction to the Series

By William R. Emmons, Ana H. Kent and Lowell R. Ricketts

The Demographics of Wealth 5

This essay explores the connections between a person’s level of completed education and measures of his or her family’s financial well-being,

including income and wealth. For simplicity, we

examine two discrete groups—families headed by

someone who has completed a four-year college

degree or higher (“college grads”) and those without a

college graduate head (“nongrads”). This essay shows

that inherited demographic characteristics signifi-

cantly influence the expected income and wealth

outcomes associated with one’s own education.

These characteristics include birth year (and hence

age at the time of the survey), race or ethnicity and

parents’ education level.

Inherited demographic characteristics are key

aspects of one’s identity over which one exerts no

control. The view we take is that any adult outcomes

that are systematically related to these inherited char-

acteristics likewise are inherited or granted, rather

than earned in any meaningful sense.

We document three important ways in which

inherited demographic characteristics influence

family income and wealth:

• The head-start effect. Families headed by some- one with certain “favorable” inherited demographic

characteristics typically earn much higher incomes

and accumulate much more wealth than families

without these characteristics. Whatever a family

head’s education level, being non-Hispanic white,

being over 40 and/or having college-educated

parents typically boosts income and wealth

compared to families without these demographic

characteristics (singly or in combination). The

median college graduate family with all of the

most advantageous inherited demographics—

white, aged 40-61, college grad parents—had three

times as much income and six times as much

wealth as the median family overall. We estimated

that over half of their advantage over the popula-

tion medians ultimately can be attributed to those

inherited characteristics, not their own effort or

education.

• The upward-mobility (or exceeding-expecta- tions) effect. For families headed by someone with less advantageous inherited demographic

characteristics, completion of a four-year degree

typically boosts income and wealth far above the

levels they would have achieved without a degree.

These families move up the income and wealth

rankings (relative to levels predicted by their inher-

ited demographic characteristics) more than do

college grad families with more favorable inherited

characteristics. For middle-aged families, complet-

ing college boosts the median family with non-

grad parents by 23 rungs in the income percentile

ranking and 20 rungs in the wealth ranking, while

college boosts families with college grad parents by

only 11 rungs for both income and wealth.

• The downward-mobility (or falling-short) effect. Finally, we show that family heads with college-educated parents who are downwardly

mobile in educational terms suffer notable neg-

ative consequences; these are people who do

not finish college even though their parents did.

Relative to the income and wealth that would be

predicted based on their inherited demographic

characteristics alone, those who fall short of their

parents’ college education are likely to slip deci-

sively downward in the overall rankings—by 16

percentiles in income and 18 percentiles in wealth

rankings for middle-aged families. Nongrad fam-

ily heads whose parents likewise did not obtain

college degrees drop by less than 10 percentiles in

both income and wealth rankings relative to levels

predicted by inherited characteristics alone.

Executive Summary of Essay No. 1

6 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

The Financial Returns from College across Generations: Large but Unequal

By William R. Emmons, Ana H. Kent and Lowell R. Ricketts

Families headed by someone with a four-year college degree enjoy many advantages.2 College graduates tend to be healthier and to live longer,3

to smoke less,4 to have fewer and more favorable

contacts with the criminal justice system,5 to marry

more and to divorce less,6 to work in higher status

occupations,7 to demonstrate greater financial

knowledge,8 to have healthier finances,9 and to

avoid financial distress10 more easily than nongrad-

uates. Countries with more educated populations

grow faster11 (after controlling for other important

influences) and enjoy higher standards of living.12

What is less well-known is how strongly the

race or ethnicity and education of one’s parents

influence the earning and wealth-building power of

college for their adult children. For example, among

family heads who were middle-aged (40-61 years

old) in 2016, identified themselves as non-Hispanic

white (hereafter referred to as simply “white”) and

had a four-year college degree or more, median

family income was 37 percent higher if at least one

of the family head’s parents also had a four-year

degree; median wealth was 54 percent higher.13

The boost from college-educated parents was even

larger among nonwhite college grad families in per-

centage terms, although income and wealth levels

were uniformly lower.14 Thus, the financial benefits

of college are large and compound across genera-

tions, boosting the income-earning and wealth-

accumulating power of college from one generation

to the next. However, they are unequal across race

and ethnicity and, as we show in this essay, increase

at a diminishing rate in successive generations of

college graduates.

Why does the education of an adult child’s

parents matter so much? Some of the inherited

advantage plausibly flows through greater mone-

tary transfers and more intensive childhood invest-

ments, particularly in education, provided by

college-educated parents.15

Other likely sources of inherited advantage

are what we term the balance sheet and financial

behavior channels.16 In short, families headed by

someone with a college-educated parent typically

have stronger balance sheets—more liquid, better

diversified, less leveraged—than otherwise similar

families without a college grad parent. Families with

a college grad parent also typically exhibit better

financial knowledge and habits, including better

understanding of basic financial concepts like com-

pound interest; more willingness to take financial

risk to earn a higher return; more intensive searches

for good investment and borrowing options; and a

higher likelihood of regular saving. In fact, simply

having a college-educated parent increases the like-

lihood that the adult child’s family saves regularly by

8 percentage points, from 44 to 52 percent.17

The first section of this essay documents strong

associations over time between a family head’s own

education level and the family’s income and wealth;

this updates our 2015 essay and confirms the con-

ventional wisdom.18

The second section uses four demographic

characteristics to partition SCF families in 2016 into

24 distinct groups. The characteristics include three

age ranges; two race and ethnicity groups; two

levels of parental education; and two levels of “own”

(SCF respondent’s) education. We term the first three

characteristics “inherited” and the fourth “acquired”

to emphasize the distinction between factors over

which one has no control and those over which one

exerts at least some control.

The third section compares the demographically

defined groups on family income and wealth mea-

Essay No. 1

The Demographics of Wealth 7

sures in order to separate the contributions of par-

ents’ education (and other inherited characteristics)

from those of the respondent’s own education (and

other acquired characteristics) to income and wealth

outcomes. We document three striking results:

• Inherited demographic characteristics greatly

influence typical income and wealth outcomes

for any given level of own education;19

• The degree of upward income and wealth

mobility associated with a college degree is larger

for someone whose parents did not complete

college; and

• The degree of downward income and wealth

mobility associated with not completing a college

degree is greater if one’s parents themselves had a

college degree.

We term these the “head-start” effect; the

“upward-mobility” or “exceeding-expectations”

effect; and the “downward-mobility” or “falling-short”

effect, respectively.

Section Four illuminates balance sheet and

behavioral channels through which parental educa-

tion appears to influence adult children’s outcomes

above and beyond the children’s own education level.

The final section concludes. Four sidebars provide

additional definitional and methodological details.

I. Links between Own Education and

Own Income and Wealth

Before attributing income and wealth outcomes

either to inherited or to acquired characteristics, this

section documents the strong association between

a family head’s own level of education and standard

economic and financial measures. In other words,

we confirm the conventional wisdom that more

education is associated with more income and

wealth. This approach ignores all differences in

inherited demographic characteristics, which we

later show are, in fact, very important.

We present results for only two groups—families

headed by someone with at least a four-year college

degree (“college grads” in what follows) and fami-

lies headed by someone whose highest education

is less than a four-year college degree (“nongrads”).

Our data source throughout is the Federal Reserve’s

Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF).20

Share of families with college degrees. We focused on the four-year college degree as the key

line of demarcation along the spectrum of educa-

tional attainment. We used it because, for several

decades, a sizable minority of the population has

achieved a four-year college degree and it has been

Figure 1: U.S. Families Headed by College Graduates and Postgraduates

40

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016

Four-year degree families Postgrad families

P er

ce nt

o f

al l U

.S . f

am ili

es

NOTES: Postgrad families are those headed by someone with both a four-year college degree and a postgraduate degree. The total number of U.S. families rose from 93 million in 1989 to 126 million in 2016.

The sources for all the tables and figures are the Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances and authors’ calculations.

8 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

associated with significant economic and finan-

cial rewards. In 2016, for example, the median (i.e.,

middle-ranking) family headed by someone without

a four-year college degree earned only 44 percent as

much income and owned only 18 percent as much

wealth as the median family headed by someone

who had a four-year degree.21

The share of U.S. families headed by a college

grad has increased significantly in recent years. (See

Figure 1.) In 1989, about 23 percent of families were

headed by someone with a four-year college degree

To measure income for the SCF, the inter- viewers requested information on the family’s cash income, before taxes, for the full calendar year preceding the survey. The components of income in the SCF are wages, self-employment and business income, taxable and tax-exempt interest, dividends, realized capital gains, food stamps and other related support programs provided by government, pensions and withdrawals from retirement accounts, Social Security, alimony and other support payments, and miscellaneous sources of income for all members of the primary economic unit in the household. All income figures are adjusted for inflation to be com- parable to values recorded in 2016.

Wealth is a family’s net worth, consisting of the excess of its assets over its debts at a point in time. Total assets include both financial assets, such as bank accounts, mutual funds and secu- rities, and tangible assets, including real estate, vehicles and durable goods. Total debt includes home-secured borrowing, or mortgages, other secured borrowing, such as vehicle loans, and unsecured debts, such as credit cards and student loans. Debt incurred in association with a privately owned business or to finance investment real estate is subtracted from the asset’s value, rather than being included in the family’s debt. All wealth figures are adjusted for inflation.

Sidebar 1: Family Income and Wealth

or more; by 2016, the share had reached 34 percent.

Families headed by someone with a postgraduate (as

well as a four-year college) degree increased from

almost 9 percent of all families in 1989 to about 13

percent in 2016. Among white families alone (not

shown), the share of families with a four-year degree

or more increased from 26 to 38 percent between

1989 and 2016, while among families of all other

races and ethnicities, the share increased from

13 to 25 percent.

Family income. Income and especially wealth gaps between college grad and nongrad families

have grown over the last few decades. (See Sidebar 1.)

At the same time, the number of families headed by

college grads has increased notably. Together, these

trends have resulted in a large shift of aggregate

income and wealth toward college-educated families.

The income received by the median college

grad family increased from almost $88,000 in 1989

to about $92,000 in 2016, an average annualized

increase of only 0.18 percent.22 (See Figure 2.)

Among nongrad families, the average percent-

age increase was about the same (0.15 percent)

Figure 2: Median Family Income by Education of Family Head

NOTE: Median family income is the value of cash income, before taxes, for the full calendar year preceding the survey for the family that ranks exactly in the middle of a ranking by income. See Sidebar 1 for more details.

120

100

80

60

40

20

0

Th o

us an

d s

o f

20 16

$

Four-year College Graduates

Less than a Four-year College Degree

All Families

1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016

The Demographics of Wealth 9

but amounted to an increase of only $1,557. The

share of all income earned by college grad families

increased from 45 to 63 percent between 1989 and

2016, as both the number of college grad families

and their average income increased faster than

those of nongrads.

Family wealth (net worth). Nongrad fami- lies’ wealth fell further behind that of college grads

than their income did. Figure 3 shows that median

college grad family net worth rose from around

$238,000 to $291,000 between 1989 and 2016, an

annualized increase of 0.8 percent. Meanwhile,

nongrad median family wealth declined from about

$66,000 to $54,000, an annualized decrease of 0.7

percent. This large cumulative decline left median

nongrad family wealth at just 18 percent of median

college grad family wealth, down from a peak of 37

percent in 1995. The share of all wealth owned by

college grad families increased even more than was

the case for income—from 50 to 74 percent between

1989 and 2016.

The declining fortunes of nongrad families. The overall conclusion from these statistics is that

Figure 3: Median Family Net Worth by Education of Family Head

NOTE: Median family net worth is the value of total assets minus total debts for the family that ranks exactly in the middle of a ranking by net worth. See Sidebar 1 for more details.

400

350

300

250

200

150

100

50

0

Th o

us an

d s

o f

20 16

$

Four-year College Graduates

Less than a Four-year College Degree

All Families

1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016

Figure 4: Nongrad Families’ Income and Net Worth Relative to College Grad Families’

NOTE: Median family net worth is the value of total assets minus total debts for the family that ranks exactly in the middle of a ranking by net worth. Median family income is the value of cash income, before taxes, for the full calendar year preceding the survey for the family that ranks ex- actly in the middle of a ranking by income. See Sidebar 1 for more details.

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

P er

ce nt

Median Income

Mean Income

Median Net Worth

Mean Net Worth

1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016

nongrad families’ economic and financial status

is slipping—faster for wealth than for income but

undeniably downward on most measures. (See

Figure 4.) What is it about college that produces the

dramatic divide evident in these data? The following

sections show that only some of the observed differ-

ences in income and wealth are due to college ed-

ucation itself. Some of the association is spurious—

that is, due to other factors that may help determine

both who completes college and how much income

or wealth they have as adults. These important “third

factors” include inherited demographic characteris-

tics, as we discuss below.

II. Breaking Out Demographic

Characteristics

To what extent do large and growing income

and wealth differences between families with and

without four-year college degrees reflect individ-

ual efforts undertaken to complete a degree and

the benefits of college learning itself? On the other

hand, how important are inherited demographic

characteristics both in predisposing someone to

10 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

complete a degree and in boosting later financial

achievement?

There is, of course, no way to know for sure in

any individual case how much responsibility for a

particular income or wealth outcome to assign to

effort versus endowment. We proceed instead by

examining differences across demographically

defined groups. If there are economically and

statistically significant differences between the

median income and wealth of two groups that

differ only on one inherited demographic charac-

teristic, such as parents’ education, then we attribute

those group income or wealth differences to forces

related to the inherited characteristic rather than to

individuals’ own efforts or education.23

A demographic approach to income and wealth: Why age, race and (parents’) education? The logic behind our demographic framework for

analyzing income and wealth includes both prac-

tical and theoretical arguments. Demographically

defined groups show significant differences on

key outcome measures like income and wealth;

demographic classifications make predictions more

accurate. At the same time, demographic charac-

teristics of an individual that are determined before

birth are natural candidates to which one might

attribute a causal interpretation. The practical case for demographics: They

are strong predictors. It is important to take age into account because a powerful “life-cycle effect” characterizes many aspects of a person’s life course, not least income and wealth trajecto- ries.24 Race and ethnicity matter in profound and complex ways, supporting this variable’s inclu- sion in our set of explanatory factors, as well.25 It is uncontroversial to assert that one’s own education is related to one’s income and wealth; what is less well-known (but which will be shown later in the

essay) is that one’s parents’ education also seems

to matter. Knowing any of these demographic

details—a family head’s age, race or ethnicity, own

education or parents’ education—helps predict the

family’s income and wealth. For this reason alone,

demographic information is a valuable input to any

model seeking to explain or predict economic or

financial outcomes.

See Sidebar 2 for a discussion of why we believe

a demographic approach to income and wealth

determination is theoretically compelling; in short,

One of the most difficult tasks in empirical analysis is credibly separating correlation (that is, association) from true causation (inexorable consequences). Identifying the effects of educa- tion on adult outcomes is often confounded by a methodological challenge called the third variable problem: Two variables that are correlated may be jointly influenced by a third variable. Ignoring the existence of the third variable can obscure the true causal effect (if any) between the variables.

Take, for example, the positive correlation be- tween education and wealth. Education may help someone accumulate wealth; i.e., education causes wealth. But having more wealth may facilitate more education; i.e., wealth causes education. How important, then, is education for wealth accumu- lation? It also is possible that something else (i.e., a third variable), like parents’ education, supports both. These nuances are often overlooked.

We replace the context-free approach that sim- ply identifies a correlation between education and wealth as evidence of causation with the assump- tion that a person’s education and wealth do not exist in isolation. Education is the result, in part, of outside forces, such as parents and community, as well as social and political environments.

An economic argument for building an ana- lytical framework on age or birth year, race, and parents’ education—collectively, inherited demo- graphic characteristics—is that these observable, unchosen, unchangeable aspects of every per- son’s identity are valid instruments, or proxies, for powerful external forces. Their predetermined and unchanging nature allows us to more confidently identify cause and effect, pointing the arrow of causation from these factors to outcomes of inter- est like educational attainment, income and wealth. Understanding exactly why any of these factors exerts the influence it does is, of course, a difficult challenge in its own right. But possible reverse causation—for example, that your adult income somehow caused your parents to achieve a certain level of education—can be confidently ruled out.

Sidebar 2: The Theoretical Case for Inherited Demographics

The Demographics of Wealth 11

Characteristics of family respondent Percent of respondents

Young (under 40) 28.3

Middle-aged (40 to 61) 40.9

Old (62-plus) 30.8

Non-Hispanic white 68.0

Other races and ethnicities 32.0

Four-year college degree held by one or both parents

28.1

Four-year college degree holders 34.0

NOTES: Other races and ethnicities include all respondents who self-identify as anything other than non-Hispanic white, including Hispanics of any race, African-Americans or blacks, Asians, Native Americans, Pacific Islanders, Alaska Natives and people of more than one race or ethnicity. To code the education of an SCF respondent’s parents, the 2016 SCF contains an indicator variable for each parent on a four-point scale, with a four-year college degree or higher being the highest level. For simplic- ity, we classified parents’ education either as four-year college degree holders if at least one parent achieved a college degree or higher, or as nongraduate if neither did. Missing values were imputed by SCF staff. Instances in which survey responses were imputed include: The survey respondent didn’t know a parent’s educational attainment, refused to provide an answer, or the response was determined to be inadequate. For more information on the SCF imputation process, see Kennickell (1998).

Table 1. Families by Demographic Characteristics in the 2016 SCF

it helps isolate the true causal effect of education.

Separating endowment from effort. To isolate the effects of inherited versus acquired character-

istics on income and wealth outcomes, we divided

SCF families into successively smaller groups in

four steps. The resulting set of groups at each step is

called a partition of the sample families. The simplest

partition—before any demographic criteria are ap-

plied—contains all 6,248 families; the final and most

detailed partition is composed of 24 groups with

different numbers of families in each group.

The first partition resulted from dividing all

families into three age groups. We subdivided each

of these into two racial and ethnic groups, resulting

in six groups; then we subdivided each according

to the college-attainment status of the respondent’s

parents to create 12 groups. Finally, we subdivided

each of those groups according to the college-

degree status of the respondent, resulting in 24

groups. We used the following demographic criteria:

• Age groups: young (family head under 40);

middle-aged (40-61); or old (62 or older);

• Racial and ethnic groups: non-Hispanic white or

all other races and ethnicities;

• Parental educational attainment: at least one col-

lege graduate or none; and

• Respondent’s own education: four-year college

degree or none.

We termed the first three characteristics inherited;

the last is acquired. Table 1 provides details on the

distribution of these characteristics in the 2016 SCF.

How inherited and acquired characteristics play out for one group. Table 2 illustrates our de- composition method for a single group out of the

24 for both median income and median net worth.

The median income and wealth among all families

in 2016 are in Partition 0. By definition, the median

family in the sample ranks at the 50th percentile,

meaning 50 percent of families made more than

$52,657 a year, while 50 percent made less, and half

of families had more than $97,326 in wealth, while

half had less.26 These are the benchmarks to which

subsequent income and wealth outcomes will

be compared.

Note that Partitions 1 through 3 are defined by

demographic characteristics that were established

before the respondent’s birth;27 that is, they are

inherited demographics. For the group of families

shown in Partition 3, median income was at the

12 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

62nd percentile and median wealth was at the

49th percentile within the entire population.

The final step (Partition 4) differentiated between

respondents who have completed a four-year degree

and those who have not. The median family in this

element of Partition 4 had an income larger than

76 percent of the population, while the median fam-

ily’s wealth was larger than that of 74 percent of the

population.28 This group of families represented 1.7

percent of all families in the appropriately weighted

2016 SCF sample. Sidebar 3 discusses issues related

to the sample size of the 2016 SCF, which is relatively

small for our purposes.

Assessing the effects of achievements. In the next section, we will assign responsibility for a

family’s achievement either to acquired or inherited

characteristics. To do this, we first compare per-

centile ranks of group median income and wealth

when only the education of the SCF respondents

differs (the acquired characteristic); next, we com-

pare percentile ranks when background or inherited

factors differ.

Moving from right to left in Table 2, the dif-

ference between the median income (net worth

levels) in Partitions 4 and 3 can be attributed to the

education, efforts and achievements of respon-

dents—an increase of about $31,000 in median

income and about $251,000 in median net worth.

As discussed below, these are very large changes;

NOTES: The groups represented are sample groups from the subdivision of respondents into partitions by age, race or ethnicity, and the educa- tion of the respondents and respondents’ parents. Each numerical entry is the median family income or net worth in 2016 among included families in the element of the partition defined at the top of each

column. By definition, the median family in the sample ranks at the 50th percentile. All subsequent percentile ranks refer to the position within the entire population of the median family in the subgroup defined at the top of each column.

Table 2. Median Family Income and Net Worth for One Group

Reflects the effects of inherited characteristics only Reflects the effects of inherited

and acquired characteristics

Partition 0 Partition 1 Partition 2 Partition 3 Partition 4

All families Middle-aged

(40-61) Middle-aged; Other

race or ethnicity Middle-aged; Other race or

ethnicity; College grad parents

Middle-aged; Other race or ethnicity; College grad parents; SCF respondent

is a four-year college grad

Median income: $52,657

$67,239 $47,594 $71,695 $102,681

Percentile rank: 50 59 45 62 76

Median net worth: $97,326

$131,262 $37,970 $96,944 $347,586

Percentile rank: 50 55 36 49 74

hence, own education is of major significance for

this group.

The differences between median income and

wealth in Partitions 3 and 0 represent the contribu-

tions of inherited characteristics alone. For income,

those characteristics boost the median 12 percentile

ranks higher. For net worth, the contribution moves

the median 1 percentile rank lower. That is, simply

being middle-aged, of a race or ethnicity other

than white and having a college graduate parent

increases the income we predict for this family by

$19,000, but decreases predicted wealth by $382

relative to all families.

This framework allows us to identify the sources

of this group’s income and wealth advantages over

those of the median family in the sample—either

inherited or acquired characteristics. After taking

into account inherited characteristics, obtaining a

college degree boosted the income rank of the

median family in this group by 14 rungs above the

percentile predicted from inherited demographics

alone and lifted the median wealth rank 25 rungs.

In other words, the typical family in this group can

attribute more than half of its advantage over the

population median income to its own educational

accomplishments and all of its superior wealth posi-

tion—and then some—to having a college degree.

The Demographics of Wealth 13

Limited sample size is an important consideration in our analysis. For example, we examine a catch-all group defined as all races and ethnicities other than white because the number of respondents in the sample who identify as Hispanic, African-American, Asian or any other nonwhite group is too small to allow reliable inference using it alone. The immense heterogeneity of this “other” group obviously limits the generalizability of our results for this group.

Even after combining many disparate racial and ethnic groups into a single category, we still must pay attention to the statistical significance of differences we observe between groups. The 2016 SCF contains 6,248 families, but due to oversampling of high-income families (to obtain sharper estimates at the top end of the income and wealth scales), some low-income and

low-wealth groups are very thinly represented. More- over, some configurations of the demographic criteria are more common in the population than others, lead- ing to large differences in cell sizes.

The largest group (13.6 percent of families after weighting to ensure representativeness in the overall population) contains families headed by someone who is white, at least 62 years old and has neither a college degree of his or her own nor a parent with a college de- gree. The smallest group (0.3 percent of families after weighting) contains families headed by someone of another race or ethnicity who is 62 years or older, has a four-year college degree and is the son or daughter of a college graduate. Obviously, we have less confidence drawing conclusions about groups with very few mem- bers than about those that have better representation.

Sidebar 3: Sample-Size Issues in Using the 2016 SCF

III. The Role of Inherited Characteristics

Figure 5 portrays a slice of the median income

data for middle-aged families; Figure 6 shows the

same for median net worth. Tables 3 and 4 display

the remainder of the data for old and young families’

median incomes and median net worth, respectively.

The last column in the figures and tables shows the

change in income and wealth ranks associated

with own education (over and above inherited

characteristics). In other words, it shows how the

contribution of one’s own education increases (or

decreases) the middle-ranking family’s income and

wealth position in the overall population.

Perhaps the most striking aspect of the data

is the wide range of median income and wealth

levels and rankings on display in Partition 3. Figure

6 shows that, based simply on different inherited

demographic characteristics, the median net worth

of middle-aged families ranges from $26,718 (33rd

percentile) among families in the other races group

without a college grad parent to $374,640 (75th

percentile) among white families with a college grad

parent. In principle, these differences could have

been predicted at birth. Of course, the latter group

contains many more college graduates than the for-

mer; this illustrates our earlier point that one’s own

education is affected by external forces such as one’s

parents’ education as well as one’s race or ethnicity

and even birth year. See Sidebar 4 on links between

parents’ and children’s education levels.

A fact laid bare by our demographic framework

is that inherited demographic characteristics are

very important determinants of adult outcomes like

education, income and wealth. The typical member

of the most favored group in Figure 6 had 14 times

as much wealth as the typical member of the least

favored group, even before one’s own educational

attainment is taken into account.29 This wealth

disparity is completely arbitrary in the sense that

no one in either group chose his or her own

parents. Similarly, Figure 5 shows that the typical

member of the demographically favored group

received an income of $113,618 (the 80th percen-

tile), compared to $41,518 (the 40th percentile)

among the least favored group. This income

multiple of 2.7 times for the typical member of the

favored group could be described as a payout from

“winning the birth lottery.”

College clearly is important, but contrary to

conventional wisdom, your own college education

does not completely level the playing field. The

birth advantage (or disadvantage) remains. For

example, compare rows 2 and 7 in the second-to-

14 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

last column in Figures 5 and 6. The income and

wealth of a nongrad with the most advantaged

inherited demographics are 9 percent and 58

percent higher, respectively, than the income and

wealth of a college grad with the least advantaged

inherited demographics.30 In this comparison,

inherited demographics—including the college

education of the parents’ generation—outweighed

the benefits of obtaining a college education.

The returns on one’s own college education. We highlight three key results related to the

income and wealth implications of completing or

not completing college in light of one’s inherited

demographic characteristics. Each of the results is

visible to some extent in all age groups and in both

median income and median net worth measures.

For ease of exposition, we highlight results only for

middle-aged families.

The head-start effect. Certain inherited demo- graphic characteristics are associated with consis-

tently higher median income and median wealth.

As closer examination of Figures 5 and 6 and Tables

3 and 4 reveals, simply having at least one college-

educated parent greatly boosts median income

and wealth. (To see this, compare income or wealth

differences in Partition 4 between row 1 and row 3;

between rows 2 and 4; etc. Where it is present, this

effect is highlighted in yellow.) In Figure 6, for

example, among middle-aged white families headed

by someone with a four-year degree, simply having

a college-educated parent boosts median wealth to

$629,900 (the 83rd percentile), from $409,110 (the

76th percentile) among otherwise similar families

without a college-educated parent. Among middle-

aged families of other races and ethnicities, the

boost to median net worth associated with having a

college-educated parent is from $100,354 (the 50th

percentile) to $347,586 (the 74th percentile).

The upward-mobility (or exceeding-expecta- tions31) effect. The second important result is that completion of a four-year college degree pays off

proportionately more among groups with less-

Figure 5. Median Middle-Aged Family Income by Inherited Characteristics and Own Education

Parents’ Education

Expected Income Based on Inherited

Demographics Own

Education

Expected Income Based on Inherited

Demographics and Own Education

Percentile Increase or Decrease from Addition of Own

Education

All Families $52,657

(50th percentile)

Middle-aged $67,239

(59th percentile)

Whites $79,593

(66th percentile)

Other Races and Ethnicities

$47,594

(45th percentile)

7

–15

22

–8

14

–15

21

–7

$71,695 (62nd percentile)

$65,659 (58th percentile)

$41,518 (40th percentile)

$113,618 (80th percentile)

$76,758 (65th percentile)

$156,756 (87th percentile)

$52,657 (50th percentile)

$114,225 (80th percentile)

$49,417 (47th percentile)

$102,681 (76th percentile)

$35,240 (33rd percentile)

$70,479 (61st percentile)

Partition 0 Partition 1 Partition 2 Partition 3 Partition 4

NOTES: Percentile rank is determined by the position of the median family in a particular partition element relative to the overall distribution of all families. Numbers highlighted in yellow in the next to last column represent the “head-start” effect. The last column shows the difference in

overall percentile ranks between the relevant elements in Partitions 3 and 4. Numbers highlighted in green represent the “upward-mobility” effect. Numbers highlighted in red represent the “downward-mobility” effect.

The Demographics of Wealth 15

Figure 6. Median Middle-Aged Family Net Worth by Inherited Characteristics and Own Education

See notes to Figure 5.

All Families $97,326

(50th percentile)

Middle-aged $131,262

(59th percentile)

Whites $203,578

(63rd percentile)

Other Races and Ethnicities

$37,970

(36th percentile)

8

–17

17

–9

25

–13

17

–4

$96,944 (49th percentile)

$162,094 (59th percentile)

$26,718 (33rd percentile)

$374,640 (75th percentile)

$158,656 (58th percentile)

$629,900 (83rd percentile)

$97,572 (50th percentile)

$409,110 (76th percentile)

$37,768 (36th percentile)

$347,586 (74th percentile)

$18,500 (29th percentile)

$100,354 (50th percentile)

Parents’ Education

Expected Net Worth Based on Inherited

Demographics Own

Education

Expected Net Worth Based on Inherited

Demographics and Own Education

Percentile Increase or Decrease from Addition of Own

Education

Partition 0 Partition 1 Partition 2 Partition 3 Partition 4

advantageous inherited demographic characteristics.

(To see this, look in the last column of Figures 5 or 6

or Tables 3 or 4, contrasting rows 1 and 3 and rows

5 and 7. Where it is present, this effect is highlighted

in green.) For example, middle-aged, white family

heads whose parents were highly educated get an

8 percentile rank boost in median net worth above

the level predicted purely by inherited characteristics

when those family heads earn a college degree. That

increase is large but much less than the 17 percentile

rank boost for the group that was similar in all re-

spects except that its parents were not well-educated.

With a few exceptions, this pattern recurs throughout

the figures and tables.

The downward-mobility (or falling-short) effect. The third clear result is that failure to complete a four-year college degree is more costly in terms of

falling short of the demographically predicted level

of income and wealth when one’s parents included a

college graduate. (To see this, look in the last column

of Figures 5 or 6 or Tables 3 or 4, contrasting rows 2

and 4 and rows 6 and 8. This effect, which occurs in

every comparison shown in the figures and tables, is

highlighted in red.) The wealth and income shortfall

was 15 to 17 percentile ranks for a nongrad family

head who was white and was the child of well-

educated parents. This exceeded the 8 to 9 percentile

rank decline of the otherwise similar families whose

parents were not well-educated. (See rows 2 and 4

in the last column in Figures 5 and 6.) Nonetheless,

the presence of college-educated parents provides a

buffer of sorts, preventing the median member of the

downwardly mobile groups from falling to the level

of their nongrad counterparts without college-

educated parents.

The importance of inherited demographics for the income and wealth payoffs of college. As we showed in the case illustrated in Table 2, it is possi-

ble to estimate how much of each demographically

defined group’s median income and median wealth

deviations from overall median income or median

wealth should be assigned to inherited demographics

and how much to acquired characteristics—namely,

a college degree. Table 6 summarizes our estimates

for college graduates.

The college grad groups with the most-favorable

inherited demographics—families headed by some-

one over 40 who identifies as white and has at least

16 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

one college-educated parent—benefit from strong

“tailwinds.” The first and fifth rows in the second-to-

last column of Panels A and B in Table 6 indicate that

the median members of the two groups that fit this

description climb between 14 and 31 percentile ranks

in income and wealth distributions simply by virtue

of their inherited demographics. No other group of

college graduates comes close to receiving a boost

of this magnitude to their starting positions on both

measures.

Nonetheless, some other college grad groups

receive benefits from inherited characteristics. For

example, families headed by someone who is middle-

aged, identifies as another race or ethnicity and is

part of a two-generation college-educated family

(row 7 in the second-to-last column of Panels A

and B in Table 6; also highlighted in Table 2 and the

accompanying discussion) received a 12 percentile

boost in income distribution. There was no boost to

the group’s wealth ranking, however. Other groups

receiving modest boosts from inherited characteris-

tics typically were 40 and older, or white, or both.

Inherited demographic characteristics also can

reduce typical income and wealth, of course. Young

families, those of other races or ethnicities and those

without a college grad parent generally receive

negative contributions from their inherited

demographic characteristics. This means that,

rather than enjoying a head start when they

approach college and adult life, they actually

are behind most other families.

Some of the income-earning and wealth-

accumulating power of college therefore must be

used to dig out from the disadvantage they face.

For example, families headed by someone who

is middle-aged, of a race or ethnicity other than

white and whose parents were not college grads

begin with a predicted income rank 10 rungs below

the population median and a wealth rank 17 rungs

below the median before their own education is

Table 3. Median Family Income by Inherited Characteristics and Own Education

Partition 3: Percentile rank of median income based on inherited characteristics alone

Partition 4: Percentile rank of median income based on inherited characteristics and own education

Percentile rank difference associated with own

education

Family income: old families

White, college parents 64 College grad 77 13

Nongrad 40 –24

White, noncollege parents 45 College grad 71 26

Nongrad 36 –9

Other race, college parents 53 College grad 70 17

Nongrad 34 –19

Other race, noncollege parents 27 College grad 61 34

Nongrad 20 –7

Family income: young families

White, college parents 54 College grad 66 12

Nongrad 42 –12

White, noncollege parents 46 College grad 59 13

Nongrad 41 –5

Other race, college parents 40 College grad 56 16

Nongrad 34 –6

Other race, noncollege parents 34 College grad 57 23

Nongrad 31 –3

See notes to Figure 5.

The Demographics of Wealth 17

See notes to Figure 5.

Table 4. Median Family Net Worth by Inherited Characteristics and Own Education

Partition 3: Percentile rank of median net worth based on inherited characteristics alone

Partition 4: Percentile rank of median net worth based on inherited characteristics and own education

Percentile rank difference associated with own

education

Family net worth: old families

White, college parents 81 College grad 87 6

Nongrad 62 –19

White, noncollege parents 69 College grad 85 16

Nongrad 62 –7

Other race, college parents 58 College grad 72 14

Nongrad 44 –14

Other race, noncollege parents 42 College grad 72 30

Nongrad 38 –4

Family net worth: young families

White, college parents 35 College grad 42 7

Nongrad 28 –7

White, noncollege parents 30 College grad 39 9

Nongrad 28 –2

Other race, college parents 22 College grad 29 7

Nongrad 18 –4

Other race, noncollege parents 24 College grad 31 7

Nongrad 22 –2

Table 5 displays the share of 2016 SCF two- generational families in each of four possible cate- gories—both generations are college graduates; neither generation has a college graduate; only the parent generation has a college degree; and only the child generation has a college degree. The first panel shows all families, while the second and third panels show data for white families and families of other races and ethnicities, respectively.

The most important fact shown in all panels of Table 5 is that adults’ and children’s education levels tend to be the same, even when we use only a crude two-point scale. Fully 54 percent of all families have no college graduate in either generation; an additional 16 percent of families have college graduates in both generations. The remaining 30 percent of families

have different college-degree statuses across genera- tions, with 12 percent having a college grad only in the older generation and 18 percent only in the younger generation. We termed the younger generation in the former group downwardly mobile and, in the latter group, upwardly mobile.

The remaining panels of Table 5 show that, while the basic patterns are similar among whites and other races separately, important differences also exist. Two-generational white families are somewhat less likely to have no college graduates in either generation and somewhat more likely to have at least two genera- tions of college graduates. Families of other races with college degrees in both generations are uncommon— only about one in eight, compared to about one in five among whites.

Sidebar 4: Links between Parents’ and Adult Children’s Education Levels

18 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

taken into account. (See row 8 in the fourth column

in both panels of Table 6.)

Comparing the last two columns in Table 6, only

two groups out of 12 college grad groups—namely,

middle-aged and old whites with college grad par-

ents—receive more than half of their total advantage

over population median income and wealth levels

by dint of their inherited demographic characteris-

tics alone.32 The tailwinds these families enjoy are

particularly strong for wealth accumulation, with the

vast majority of their advantage due to winning the

birth lottery rather than to their own education.

IV. The Effect of Parents’ Education on How Their Adult Children Handle Money

Why does the education of an adult child’s par-

ents matter so much to their income and wealth?

Some of the inherited advantage plausibly flows

through greater monetary transfers (in gifts and

bequests) and more-intensive childhood invest-

ments, particularly in education, provided by

college-educated parents who also are, in general,

wealthier than nongrad parents.

Another likely source of inherited advantage for

accumulating wealth is what we term balance sheet

and financial behavior channels. Panel A in Table 7

shows that families headed by someone who is middle-

aged and has at least one college graduate parent

typically have a greater amount of safe and liquid

assets at their disposal than families without a college

grad parent. Strong balance sheet liquidity predicts

higher wealth and greater resilience.33 While families

with a college grad parent typically hold a somewhat

higher share of assets in residential real estate than

other families, balance sheet leverage is no higher.

This suggests that their real-estate holdings are less

exposed to default risk.

Panel B of Table 7 shows that families with a

college grad parent are more willing to take some

risks to earn a higher return on investments.

Respondents with a college grad parent score higher

on a test of financial literacy. These families search

more intensively when borrowing and investing.

Families headed by someone with a college grad

parent have a 10-percentage-point greater likelihood

of saving regularly than other families. Finally, as

explained in Sidebar 4, children tend to mirror their

parents’ educational attainment—respondents with a

See notes to Table 1 for definitions of race and ethnicity, and college attainment. Numbers are rounded.

Table 5. Parents’ and Own Education: Percentage of All Families

All families

Parents’ education Own education

Nongraduate Four-year college degree All

Nongraduate 54 18 72

Four-year college degree 12 16 28

All 66 34 100

Non-Hispanic white families

Parents’ education Own education

Nongraduate Four-year college degree All

Nongraduate 34 13 47

Four-year college degree 8 13 21

All 42 26 68

Other races and ethnicities

Parents’ education Own education

Nongraduate Four-year college degree All

Nongraduate 20 5 25

Four-year college degree 4 4 7

All 24 8 32

The Demographics of Wealth 19

college grad parent are more likely to become college

grads themselves. All of these facts point to tangible

ways in which families with a college grad parent

may accumulate more wealth than other families.

V. Conclusions

We documented a strong relationship between

SCF respondents’ own education and their adult

outcomes such as income and wealth. We also

showed that inherited demographic characteristics

modify the relationship in important ways. We con-

cluded that inherited demographic characteristics

are important predictors of income and wealth.

Our main focus was on the education level of a

respondent’s parents. This matters both because

children tend to achieve educational outcomes sim-

ilar to their parents’ and because the effects of higher

education appear to compound across generations.

That is, having a college-educated parent enhances

the income-earning and wealth-accumulating

power of an adult child’s college education.

We document three key results connecting

education and wealth in a two-generation con-

text. First, families headed by someone with favor-

able inherited demographic characteristics—being

white, being over 40 and having parents who were

Table 6. College Graduates: Effects on Overall Median Levels Due to Inherited and Acquired Characteristics

Inherited characteristics Differences between Partitions 3 and 4

Age of family head Race or ethnicity

of family head College education of respondent's parents

Change from 50th percentile rank due to

inherited characteristics

Change in rank due to own education

(acquired characteristic)

Panel A: Income

Old

White College 14 13

None –5 26

Other College 3 17

None –23 34

Middle White

College 30 7

None 8 22

Other College 12 14

None –10 21

Young White

College 4 12

None –4 13

Other College –10 16

None –16 23

Panel B: Net worth

Old

White College 31 6

None 19 16

Other College 8 14

None –8 30

Middle

White College 25 8

None 9 17

Other College –1 25

None –17 17

Young

White College –15 7

None –20 9

Other College –28 7

None –26 7

See notes to Table 1 for definitions of age group, race and ethnicity, and college attainment.

20 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

well-educated—on average earn significantly higher

incomes and accumulate much more wealth than

families without these characteristics.

Second, among college graduate families with

the least-advantageous demographic characteristics,

such as no college-educated parents, completion

of a four-year degree typically boosts income and

wealth far above the levels predicted solely from

inherited characteristics.

Finally, we show that families with the most-

advantageous inherited characteristics whose heads

do not complete a four-year college degree suffer

greater proportionate shortfalls of income and wealth

than their predicted levels, compared to families

whose heads also do not complete four-year degrees

but who have less favorable inherited demographic

characteristics.

To be fruitful, policy should build on the fact base

established here. The return on college is large, on

average, but it is unequal across the population and,

while positive, diminishes across successive gen-

erations of college graduates. Income and wealth

disparities are deeply rooted because inherited

demographic characteristics exert significant effects.

In addition to race and ethnicity, as well as birth year

and age, we have shown that parental education

is another key background factor influencing the

earning and wealth-accumulating power of a college

education.

Table 7. Balance Sheet and Financial Behavior Channels of Wealth Accumulation

A. Balance Sheets by Parents’ Education Level: Middle-aged Families

Balance sheet measures College grad parents Nongrad parents

Median liquid assets $11,750 $3,032

Median primary RRE/total assets 37.8% 33.5%

Median debt/assets 25.7% 25.9 %

B. Financial Behavior by Parents’ Education Level: Middle-Aged Families

Financial behavior measures College grad parents Nongrad parents

Financial Risk-Taking (Scale of 0 to 10) 5.0 4.3

Mean Test Score (Maximum score is 3) 2.4 2.1

Credit Search Intensity (Scale of 0 to 10) 7.2 6.7

Investment Search Intensity (Scale of 0 to 10) 6.5 6.0

Saving Rate (Percentage of households) 53.3 43.3

Definitions

Liquid assets: Safe and liquid assets include holdings of checking, savings, money market, and call accounts, certificates of deposit, savings bonds, and prepaid debit cards.

Primary RRE/total assets: Ratio of market value of primary residential real estate to total assets.

Debt/assets: Ratio of total liabilities to total assets.

Definitions

Financial Risk-Taking: Self-assessed willingness to take financial risks when saving or making investments.

Mean Test Score: Sum of correct questions in assessment of financial literacy. For more information regarding specific questions asked, see variables X7558, X7559 and X7560 in the 2016 SCF codebook.

Credit Search Intensity: Self-assessed search intensity for best terms when borrowing money or obtaining credit.

Investment Search Intensity: Self-assessed search intensity for best terms when making saving and investment decisions.

Saving Rate: Share of households whose spending was less than income.

Endnotes

1 The previous edition of The Demographics of

Wealth appeared in 2015 and was based on data

through 2013 (https://www.stlouisfed.org/house-

hold-financial-stability/the-demographics-

of-wealth).

2 For expositional convenience, we use the term

“head of household” interchangeably with “sur-

vey respondent.” In a small number of Survey of

Consumer Finances (SCF) families, the identities

of these individuals differ. The definitions and

figures reported here always reflect the survey

respondent.

3 Mirowsky and Ross (2017).

4 Zhu et al. (1996).

5 Reiman and Leighton (2017).

6 Isen and Stevenson (2010).

7 Cheng and Furnham (2012).

8 Emmons and Noeth (May 2015).

9 Friedline, Nam and Loke (2014).

10 McCarthy (2011).

11 Hanushek and Kimko (2000).

12 Bérenger and Verdier-Chouchane (2007).

13 The median income in 2016 among college-

grad-headed, middle-aged white families with

at least one college grad parent was $156,756,

compared with $114,225 for otherwise compara-

ble families without a college grad parent. Median

wealth was $629,900 among college grad families

with at least one parent who also had a college

degree, versus $409,110 among similar college

grad families without a college grad parent. All

data are from the Federal Reserve’s (SCF).

14 Median income and wealth boosts from college-

educated parents among nonwhite college fami-

lies were 46 and 246 percent, respectively. Median

income and wealth for nonwhite college grad

children of college grad parents were $102,681 and

$347,586, respectively. These levels were only 66

and 55 percent, respectively, of the levels enjoyed

by their similarly educated white counterparts.

15 Pfeffer and Killewald (2017) and Pfeffer (Forthcom-

ing) document strong intergenerational wealth

and education links. They find that parental

investments in children’s education may be even

more consequential than monetary transfers.

16 Emmons and Ricketts (2017) found that balance

sheet and financial behavior variables were

strong predictors of family wealth in a multiple-

regression framework.

17 This comparison includes families of all education

levels, races and ages. The effect of a college grad

parent on saving behavior is even more pro-

nounced among families headed by someone of

a race or ethnicity other than white or who is

young or middle-aged. Among all nonwhite

middle-aged (40- to 61-year-old) families, those

headed by someone with at least one college grad

parent were 17 percentage points more likely to

save than otherwise similar families without a

college-grad parent.

18 See Emmons and Noeth (May 2015).

19 This essay highlights just one inherited character-

istic: parents’ education. The other two inherited

demographic characteristics—race or ethnicity,

and age and birth year—are the main focus of

the forthcoming Essays No. 2 and 3 in the series,

respectively.

20 See Bricker et al. (2017) for a description of the

methodology and some results from recent waves

of the SCF. See Emmons and Noeth (May 2015) for

income and wealth trends through 2013 using

four levels of educational attainment: less than

high school; high school or GED; a two- or four-

year college degree; and a postgraduate degree.

21 Comparing means (i.e., averages) rather than

medians, the ratios were 31 and 18 percent,

respectively.

22 All dollar amounts in this essay are expressed in

2016 dollars, deflated by the Consumer Price Index

for All Urban Consumers, Research Series

(CPI-U-RS).

23 A key implicit assumption in our approach is that

the distribution of effort—that is, the range of how

hard people work, from very little to very hard—

is basically the same across groups. In particular,

we assume that the typical or median amount of

effort exerted is about the same across groups.

Indeed, if we believed there were a systematic dif-

ference in the amount of effort the members of a

particular demographically defined group exerted,

we would attribute the effort difference itself to the

demographic factor that defines the comparison

groups. This assumption is important in ruling out

The Demographics of Wealth 21

a potential explanation of differences in out-

comes along the lines of “People with/without

Characteristic X earn less income because they

simply don’t work as hard.”

24 Figure 4 in Emmons and Noeth (July 2015)

shows that income typically increases from a low

level at the beginning of one’s working life to a

peak near the end of the working life before

declining in retirement. Figure 7 shows that

wealth usually also rises into middle age but

typically does not decline as much as income

in old age.

25 See Emmons and Noeth (February 2015).

26 We divided the overall income and wealth distri-

butions into 100 equal parts, or percentiles. Each

median income and net worth statistic discussed

here that falls between percentiles was assigned

to the lower of the two.

27 We assumed that parental education, which is

outside of the respondent’s control, was com-

pleted prior to birth or very early during develop-

ment in the vast majority of cases.

28 Income and wealth rankings were determined

separately, so the median families mentioned

here are not necessarily the same ones.

29 Compare the values shown in the highest and

the lowest elements of Partition 3.

30 The median income and wealth of a white,

middle-aged nongrad with at least one college-

educated parent were $76,758 and $158,656,

respectively, while the median income and

wealth of a middle-aged college grad of another

race or ethnicity without college-educated

parents were $70,479 and $100,354, respectively.

31 We term this the “exceeding-expectations” effect

because only a quarter of children without

college-educated parents complete college

themselves. (See Sidebar 4 and Table 5.)

32 See rows 1 and 5 in both panels of Table 6.

Old white college grads without college grad par-

ents (row 2) receive more than half of their total

wealth, but not income, advantage from inherited

characteristics.

33 Emmons and Ricketts (2017).

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