Economy

fsyesil
Excercise1-Student-1.xlsx

Entries

Discount Rate
For Plan A (RA) 9% RA - RB
For Plan B (RB) 8%
Price 2 Thousand dollar/unit
Demand Expectation
The first year 300 Thousand units
The second year 600 Thousand units
The third year 900 Thousand units
Capacity
The big plant 900 Thousand Units/year
A small plant 300 Thousand Units/year
Variable Cost
The big plant 1.28 Thousand dollar/unit
A Small Plant 1.5 Thousand dollar/unit
Capital expenditure
The big plant 900 Million dollar
A small plant 300 Million dollar
Uncertain factor 50% of the expectation
Salvage value
For Plan A 0 Million dollar
For Plan B 300 Million dollar
Difference between NPVA and NPVB
One-way data table
NPVA - NPVB NPVA - NPVB
RB 0.00 RA 0.00
10.0% 10.0%
9.9% 9.9% 0
9.8% 9.8%
9.7% 9.7%
9.6% 9.6%
9.5% 9.5%
9.4% 9.4%
9.3% 9.3%
9.2% 9.2%
9.1% 9.1%
9.0% 9.0%
8.9% 8.9%
8.8% 8.8%
8.7% 8.7%
8.6% 8.6%
8.5% 8.5%
8.4% 8.4%
8.3% 8.3%
8.2% 8.2%
8.1% 8.1%
8.0% 8.0%
7.9% 7.9%
7.8% 7.8%
7.7% 7.7%
7.6% 7.6%
7.5% 7.5%
7.4% 7.4%
7.3% 7.3%
7.2% 7.2%
7.1% 7.1%
7.0% 7.0%
Two-way data table
Max 0.00
Min 0.00
small plant discount rate
plan A discount rate 0.00
Alexander Fadeev: Alexander Fadeev: Reference to model outputs cells for data table
9.0% 8.9% 8.8% 8.7% 8.6% 8.5% 8.4% 8.3% 8.2% 8.1% 8.0% 7.9% 7.8% 7.7% 7.6% 7.5% 7.4% 7.3% 7.2% 7.1% 7.0%
10.0%
9.9%
9.8%
9.7%
9.6%
9.5%
9.4%
9.3%
9.2%
9.1%
9.0%
8.9%
8.8%
8.7%
8.6%
8.5%
8.4%
8.3%
8.2%
8.1%
8.0%
Two-way data table
Max 0.00
Min 0.00
small plant variable cost
BIG plant variable cost 0.00
Alexander Fadeev: Alexander Fadeev: Reference to model outputs cells for data table
1.40 1.41 1.42 1.43 1.44 1.45 1.46 1.47 1.48 1.49 1.50 1.51 1.52 1.53 1.54 1.55 1.56 1.57 1.58 1.59 1.60
1.20
1.21
1.22
1.23
1.24
1.25
1.26
1.27
1.28
1.29
1.30
1.31
1.32
1.33
1.34
1.35
1.36
1.37
1.38
1.39
1.40
1.41
1.42
1.43
1.44
1.45
Two-way data table
Max 0.00
Min 0.00
First Year Demand
Second Year Demand 0.00
Alexander Fadeev: Alexander Fadeev: Reference to model outputs cells for data table
150 160 170 180 190 200 210 220 230 240 250 260 270 280 290 300 310 320 330 340 350 360 370 380 390 400 410 420 430 440 450
300
310
320
330
340
350
360
370
380
390
400
410
420
430
440
450
460
470
480
490
500
510
520
530
540
550
560
570
580
590
600
610
620
630
640
650
660
670
680
690
700
710
720
730
740
750
760
770
780
790
800
810
820
830
840
850
860
870
880
890
900
Two-way data table
Max 0.00
Min 0.00
Third Year Demand
Second Year Demand 0.00
Alexander Fadeev: Alexander Fadeev: Reference to model outputs cells for data table

Alexander Fadeev: Alexander Fadeev: Reference to model outputs cells for data table

Alexander Fadeev: Alexander Fadeev: Reference to model outputs cells for data table
450 480 510 540 570 600 630 660 690 720 750 780 810 840 870 900 930 960 990 1020 1050 1080 1110 1140 1170 1200 1230 1260 1290 1320 1350
300
310
320
330
340
350
360
370
380
390
400
410
420
430
440
450
460
470
480
490
500
510
520
530
540
550
560
570
580
590
600
610
620
630
640
650
660
670
680
690
700
710
720
730
740
750
760
770
780
790
800
810
820
830
840
850
860
870
880
890
900

Sensitivity on Discount Rate for Plan B

0.1 9.9000000000000005E-2 9.8000000000000004E-2 9.7000000000000003E-2 9.6000000000000002E-2 9.5000000000000001E-2 9.4E-2 9.2999999999999999E-2 9.1999999999999998E-2 9.0999999999999998E-2 0.09 8.8999999999999996E-2 8.7999999999999995E-2 8.6999999999999994E-2 8.5999999999999993E-2 8.5000000000000006E-2 8.4000000000000005E-2 8.3000000000000004E-2 8.2000000000000003E-2 8.1000000000000003E-2 0.08 7.9000000000000001E-2 7.8E-2 7.6999999999999999E-2 7.5999999999999998E-2 7.4999999999999997E-2 7.3999999999999996E-2 7.2999999999999995E-2 7.1999999999999995E-2 7.0999999999999994E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2

Discount Rate for Plan B

NPVA - NPVB

Sensitivity on Discount Rate for Plan A

9.9000000000000005E-2 9.8000000000000004E-2 9.7000000000000003E-2 9.6000000000000002E-2 9.5000000000000001E-2 9.4E-2 9.2999999999999999E-2 9.1999999999999998E-2 9.0999999999999998E-2 0.09 8.8999999999999996E-2 8.7999999999999995E-2 8.6999999999999994E-2 8.5999999999999993E-2 8.5000000000000006E-2 8.4000000000000005E-2 8.3000000000000004E-2 8.2000000000000003E-2 8.1000000000000003E-2 0.08 7.9000000000000001E-2 7.8E-2 7.6999999999999999E-2 7.5999999999999998E-2 7.4999999999999997E-2 7.3999999999999996E-2 7.2999999999999995E-2 7.1999999999999995E-2 7.0999999999999994E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2

Discount Rate for Plan A

NPVA - NPVB

1. Plan A vs Plan B

Plan A
Year 0 1 2 3
Number of plants
Capacity
Demand
Production
Unit Price (Thousand dollar)
Revenue (Million dollar)
Unit Variable Cost (Thousand dollar)
Variable Cost (Million dollar)
Investment (Million dollar)
Salvage (Million dollar)
Net value (Million dollar)
Discount Factor @ 9.0%
Present Value (Million dollar)
NPV (Million dollar)
Plan B
Year 0 1 2 3
Number of plants
Capacity
Demand
Production
Unit Price (Thousand dollar)
Revenue (Million dollar)
Unit Variable Cost (Thousand dollar)
Variable Cost (Million dollar)
Investment (Million dollar)
Salvage (Million dollar)
Net value (Million dollar)
Discount Factor @ .0%
Present Value (Million dollar)
NPV (Million dollar)

2. Sensitivity - Discount Rate

One-way data table
RB NPVA - NPVB RA NPVA - NPVB
10.0%
Microsoft Office User: copy from Entries page
10.0%

Microsoft Office User: copy from Entries page
9.9% 9.9%
9.8% 9.8%
9.7% 9.7%
9.6% 9.6%
9.5% 9.5%
9.4% 9.4%
9.3% 9.3%
9.2% 9.2%
9.1% 9.1%
9.0% 9.0%
8.9% 8.9%
8.8% 8.8%
8.7% 8.7%
8.6% 8.6%
8.5% 8.5%
8.4% 8.4%
8.3% 8.3%
8.2% 8.2%
8.1% 8.1%
8.0% 8.0%
7.9% 7.9%
7.8% 7.8%
7.7% 7.7%
7.6% 7.6%
7.5% 7.5%
7.4% 7.4%
7.3% 7.3%
7.2% 7.2%
7.1% 7.1%
7.0% 7.0%
Two-way data table
Max 0.00
Min 0.00
small plant discount rate
RB = 9.0% RB = 8.5% RB = 8.0% RB = 7.5% RB = 7.0%
plan A discount rate 0.00
Alexander Fadeev: Alexander Fadeev: Reference to model outputs cells for data table
9.0% 8.9% 8.8% 8.7% 8.6% 8.5% 8.4% 8.3% 8.2% 8.1% 8.0% 7.9% 7.8% 7.7% 7.6% 7.5% 7.4% 7.3% 7.2% 7.1% 7.0%
10.0%
9.9%
9.8%
9.7%
9.6%
9.5%
9.4%
9.3%
9.2%
9.1%
9.0%
8.9%
8.8%
8.7%
8.6%
8.5%
8.4%
8.3%
8.2%
8.1%
8.0%

Sensitivity on Discount Rate for Plan A and B

RB = 9.0% 0.1 9.9000000000000005E-2 9.8000000000000004E-2 9.7000000000000003E-2 9.6000000000000002E-2 9.5000000000000001E-2 9.4E-2 9.2999999999999999E-2 9.1999999999999998E-2 9.0999999999999998E-2 0.09 8.8999999999999996E-2 8.7999999999999995E-2 8.6999999999999994E-2 8.5999999999999993E-2 8.5000000000000006E-2 8.4000000000000005E-2 8.3000000000000004E-2 8.2000000000000003E-2 8.1000000000000003E-2 0.08 RB = 8.5% 0.1 9.9000000000000005E-2 9.8000000000000004E-2 9.7000000000000003E-2 9.6000000000000002E-2 9.5000000000000001E-2 9.4E-2 9.2999999999999999E-2 9.1999999999999998E-2 9.0999999999999998E-2 0.09 8.8999999999999996E-2 8.7999999999999995E-2 8.6999999999999994E-2 8.5999999999999993E-2 8.5000000000000006E-2 8.4000000000000005E-2 8.3000000000000004E-2 8.2000000000000003E-2 8.1000000000000003E-2 0.08 RB = 8.0% 0.1 9.9000000000000005E-2 9.8000000000000004E-2 9.7000000000000003E-2 9.6000000000000002E-2 9.5000000000000001E-2 9.4E-2 9.2999999999999999E-2 9.1999999999999998E-2 9.0999999999999998E-2 0.09 8.8999999999999996E-2 8.7999999999999995E-2 8.6999999999999994E-2 8.5999999999999993E-2 8.5000000000000006E-2 8.4000000000000005E-2 8.3000000000000004E-2 8.2000000000000003E-2 8.1000000000000003E-2 0.08 RB = 7.5% 0.1 9.9000000000000005E-2 9.8000000000000004E-2 9.7000000000000003E-2 9.6000000000000002E-2 9.5000000000000001E-2 9.4E-2 9.2999999999999999E-2 9.1999999999999998E-2 9.0999999999999998E-2 0.09 8.8999999999999996E-2 8.7999999999999995E-2 8.6999999999999994E-2 8.5999999999999993E-2 8.5000000000000006E-2 8.4000000000000005E-2 8.3000000000000004E-2 8.2000000000000003E-2 8.1000000000000003E-2 0.08 RB = 7.0% 0.1 9.9000000000000005E-2 9.8000000000000004E-2 9.7000000000000003E-2 9.6000000000000002E-2 9.5000000000000001E-2 9.4E-2 9.2999999999999999E-2 9.1999999999999998E-2 9.0999999999999998E-2 0.09 8.8999999999999996E-2 8.7999999999999995E-2 8.6999999999999994E-2 8.5999999999999993E-2 8.5000000000000006E-2 8.4000000000000005E-2 8.3000000000000004E-2 8.2000000000000003E-2 8.1000000000000003E-2 0.08

BIG plant (A) discount rate

NPVA - NPVB

3. Sensitivity Variable Costs

Two-way data table
Max 0.00
Min 0.00
small plant variable cost
Var Cost B = 1.40 Var Cost B = 1.45 Var Cost B = 1.50 Var Cost B = 1.55 Var Cost B = 1.60
BIG plant variable cost 0.00
Alexander Fadeev: Alexander Fadeev: Reference to model outputs cells for data table
1.40 1.41 1.42 1.43 1.44 1.45 1.46 1.47 1.48 1.49 1.50 1.51 1.52 1.53 1.54 1.55 1.56 1.57 1.58 1.59 1.60
1.20
1.21
1.22
1.23
1.24
1.25
1.26
1.27
1.28
1.29
1.30
1.31
1.32
1.33
1.34
1.35
1.36
1.37
1.38
1.39
1.40
1.41
1.42
1.43
1.44
1.45

Sensitivity on Variable Cost for Plan A and B

Var Cost B = 1.40 1.2 1.21 1.22 1.23 1.24 1.25 1.26 1.27 1.28 1.29 1.3 1.31 1.32 1.33 1.34 1.35 1.36 1.37 1.38 1.39 1.4 1.41 1.42 1.43 1.44 1.45 Var Cost B = 1.45 1.2 1.21 1.22 1.23 1.24 1.25 1.26 1.27 1.28 1.29 1.3 1.31 1.32 1.33 1.34 1.35 1.36 1.37 1.38 1.39 1.4 1.41 1.42 1.43 1.44 1.45 Var Cost B = 1.50 1.2 1.21 1.22 1.23 1.24 1.25 1.26 1.27 1.28 1.29 1.3 1.31 1.32 1.33 1.34 1.35 1.36 1.37 1.38 1.39 1.4 1.41 1.42 1.43 1.44 1.45 Var Cost B = 1.55 1.2 1.21 1.22 1.23 1.24 1.25 1.26 1.27 1.28 1.29 1.3 1.31 1.32 1.33 1.34 1.35 1.36 1.37 1.38 1.39 1.4 1.41 1.42 1.43 1.44 1.45 Var Cost B = 1.60 1.2 1.21 1.22 1.23 1.24 1.25 1.26 1.27 1.28 1.29 1.3 1.31 1.32 1.33 1.34 1.35 1.36 1.37 1.38 1.39 1.4 1.41 1.42 1.43 1.44 1.45

BIG plant (A) variable cost

NPVA - NPVB

4. Sensitivity - Demand

Two-way data table
Max 0.00
Min 0.00
First Year Demand
1st Yr Demand = 150 1st Yr Demand = 200 1st Yr Demand = 250 1st Yr Demand = 300 1st Yr Demand = 350 1st Yr Demand = 400 1st Yr Demand = 450
Second Year Demand 0.00
Alexander Fadeev: Alexander Fadeev: Reference to model outputs cells for data table
150 160 170 180 190 200 210 220 230 240 250 260 270 280 290 300 310 320 330 340 350 360 370 380 390 400 410 420 430 440 450
300
310
320
330
340
350
360
370
380
390
400
410
420
430
440
450
460
470
480
490
500
510
520
530
540
550
560
570
580
590
600
610
620
630
640
650
660
670
680
690
700
710
720
730
740
750
760
770
780
790
800
810
820
830
840
850
860
870
880
890
900
Two-way data table
Max 0.00
Min 0.00
Third Year Demand
3rd Yr Demand = 450 3rd Yr Demand = 600 3rd Yr Demand = 750 3rd Yr Demand = 900 3rd Yr Demand = 1050 3rd Yr Demand = 1200 3rd Yr Demand = 1350
Second Year Demand 0.00
Alexander Fadeev: Alexander Fadeev: Reference to model outputs cells for data table

Alexander Fadeev: Alexander Fadeev: Reference to model outputs cells for data table
450 480 510 540 570 600 630 660 690 720 750 780 810 840 870 900 930 960 990 1020 1050 1080 1110 1140 1170 1200 1230 1260 1290 1320 1350
300
310
320
330
340
350
360
370
380
390
400
410
420
430
440
450
460
470
480
490
500
510
520
530
540
550
560
570
580
590
600
610
620
630
640
650
660
670
680
690
700
710
720
730
740
750
760
770
780
790
800
810
820
830
840
850
860
870
880
890
900

Sensitivity on 1st and 2nd Year Demand for Laptops

1st Yr Demand = 450 300 310 320 330 340 350 360 370 380 390 400 410 420 430 440 450 460 470 480 490 500 510 520 530 540 550 560 570 580 590 600 610 620 630 640 650 660 670 680 690 700 710 720 730 740 750 760 770 780 790 800 810 820 830 840 850 860 870 880 890 900 1st Yr Demand = 400 300 310 320 330 340 350 360 370 380 390 400 410 420 430 440 450 460 470 480 490 500 510 520 530 540 550 560 570 580 590 600 610 620 630 640 650 660 670 680 690 700 710 720 730 740 750 760 770 780 790 800 810 820 830 840 850 860 870 880 890 900 1st Yr Demand = 350 300 310 320 330 340 350 360 370 380 390 400 410 420 430 440 450 460 470 480 490 500 510 520 530 540 550 560 570 580 590 600 610 620 630 640 650 660 670 680 690 700 710 720 730 740 750 760 770 780 790 800 810 820 830 840 850 860 870 880 890 900 1st Yr Demand = 300 300 310 320 330 340 350 360 370 380 390 400 410 420 430 440 450 460 470 480 490 500 510 520 530 540 550 560 570 580 590 600 610 620 630 640 650 660 670 680 690 700 710 720 730 740 750 760 770 780 790 800 810 820 830 840 850 860 870 880 890 900 1st Yr Demand = 250 300 310 320 330 340 350 360 370 380 390 400 410 420 430 440 450 460 470 480 490 500 510 520 530 540 550 560 570 580 590 600 610 620 630 640 650 660 670 680 690 700 710 720 730 740 750 760 770 780 790 800 810 820 830 840 850 860 870 880 890 900 1st Yr Demand = 200 300 310 320 330 340 350 360 370 380 390 400 410 420 430 440 450 460 470 480 490 500 510 520 530 540 550 560 570 580 590 600 610 620 630 640 650 660 670 680 690 700 710 720 730 740 750 760 770 780 790 800 810 820 830 840 850 860 870 880 890 900 1st Yr Demand = 150 300 310 320 330 340 350 360 370 380 390 400 410 420 430 440 450 460 470 480 490 500 510 520 530 540 550 560 570 580 590 600 610 620 630 640 650 660 670 680 690 700 710 720 730 740 750 760 770 780 790 800 810 820 830 840 850 860 870 880 890 900

Second Year Demand

NPVA - NPVB

Sensitivity on 1st and 2nd Year Demand for Laptops

3rd Yr Demand = 450 300 310 320 330 340 350 360 370 380 390 400 410 420 430 440 450 460 470 480 490 500 510 520 530 540 550 560 570 580 590 600 610 620 630 640 650 660 670 680 690 700 710 720 730 740 750 760 770 780 790 800 810 820 830 840 850 860 870 880 890 900 3rd Yr Demand = 600 300 310 320 330 340 350 360 370 380 390 400 410 420 430 440 450 460 470 480 490 500 510 520 530 540 550 560 570 580 590 600 610 620 630 640 650 660 670 680 690 700 710 720 730 740 750 760 770 780 790 800 810 820 830 840 850 860 870 880 890 900 3rd Yr Demand = 750 300 310 320 330 340 350 360 370 380 390 400 410 420 430 440 450 460 470 480 490 500 510 520 530 540 550 560 570 580 590 600 610 620 630 640 650 660 670 680 690 700 710 720 730 740 750 760 770 780 790 800 810 820 830 840 850 860 870 880 890 900 3rd Yr Demand = 900 300 310 320 330 340 350 360 370 380 390 400 410 420 430 440 450 460 470 480 490 500 510 520 530 540 550 560 570 580 590 600 610 620 630 640 650 660 670 680 690 700 710 720 730 740 750 760 770 780 790 800 810 820 830 840 850 860 870 880 890 900 3rd Yr Demand = 1050 300 310 320 330 340 350 360 370 380 390 400 410 420 430 440 450 460 470 480 490 500 510 520 530 540 550 560 570 580 590 600 610 62 0 630 640 650 660 670 680 690 700 710 720 730 740 750 760 770 780 790 800 810 820 830 840 850 860 870 880 890 900 3rd Yr Demand = 1200 300 310 320 330 340 350 360 370 380 390 400 410 420 430 440 450 460 470 480 490 500 510 520 530 540 550 560 570 580 590 600 610 620 630 640 650 660 670 680 690 700 710 720 730 740 750 760 770 780 790 800 810 820 830 840 850 860 870 880 890 900 3rd Yr Demand = 1350 300 310 320 330 340 350 360 370 380 390 400 410 420 430 440 450 460 470 480 490 500 510 520 530 540 550 560 570 580 590 600 610 620 630 640 650 660 670 680 690 700 710 720 730 740 750 760 770 780 790 800 810 820 830 840 850 860 870 880 890 900

Second Year Demand

NPVA - NPVB