mangement
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Chapter 6s Statistical Process Control (SPC)
Chapter 6s
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Learning Objectives
When you complete this supplement you should be able to :
1 Explain the purpose of a control chart
2 Build -charts and R-charts
4 List the five steps involved in building control charts
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Statistical Process Control (SPC)
SPC: A process used to monitor standards by taking measurements and corrective action as a product or service is being produced.
The objective of a process control system is to provide a statistical signal when assignable causes of variation are present.
Such a signal can quicken appropriate action to eliminate assignable causes.
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Statistical Process Control (SPC)
Statistical process control (SPC) is a methodology for establishing and maintaining high-quality output, and it is been heavily linked with Six Sigma.
SPC includes a set of tools and principles for:
Determining if a process is stable.
Monitoring a process for possible changes in behavior.
Assessing whether a process is capable of meeting production requirements and customer demands.
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Statistical Process Control (SPC)
Uses statistics and control charts to tell when to take corrective action
Drives process improvement
Four key steps
Measure the process
When a change is indicated, find the assignable cause
Eliminate or incorporate the cause
Restart the revised process
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Inspection
Involves examining items to see if an item is good or defective
Detect a defective product
Does not correct deficiencies in process or product
It is expensive
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When & Where to Inspect
At the supplier’s plant while the supplier is producing
At your facility upon receipt of goods from your supplier
Before costly or irreversible processes
During the step-by-step production process
When production or service is complete
Before delivery to your customer
At the point of customer contact
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Control charts identify variation
Source of variation, many problems can occurred from:
Worker fatigue
Measurement error
Process variability
Tactic to reduce variations:
Robust design
Empowered employees
Quality at source
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Quality at source
The next step in the process is your customer
Ensure perfect product to your customer
Quality at source involves the operator ensuring that the job is done properly. These operators are empowered to self-check their own work.
Employees that deal with a system on a daily basis have a better understanding of the system than anyone else, and they can be very effective at improving the system.
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Quality at source
Poka-yoke is the concept of error-proof devices or techniques designed to pass only acceptable products
You can find a number of everyday examples of Poka-Yoke:
Example: Look at the connector for your computer keyboard or mouse. Its shape prevents it from being connected in the wrong place or turned incorrectly, damaging your computer.
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Type of Variation
Natural or common causes
Special or assignable causes
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Points which might be emphasized include:
- Statistical process control measures the performance of a process, it does not help to identify a particular specimen produced as being “good” or “bad,” in or out of tolerance.
- Statistical process control requires the collection and analysis of data - therefore it is not helpful when total production consists of a small number of units.
- While statistical process control cannot help identify a “good” or “bad” unit, it can enable one to decide whether or not to accept an entire production lot. If a sample of a production lot contains more than a specified number of defective items, statistical process control can give us a basis for rejecting the entire lot. The issue of rejecting a lot which was actually good can be raised here, but is probably better left to later.
1. Natural Variations
Also called common causes
Inherent to the process or random and not controllable
Expected amount of variation
For any distribution there is a measure of central tendency and dispersion (xbar-R Chart)
If the distribution of outputs falls within acceptable limits, the process is said to be "in control"
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2. Assignable Variations
Also called special causes of variation
Generally this is some change in the process
Variations that can be traced to a specific reason
The objective is to discover when assignable causes are present
If present, the process is “out of control”
Eliminate the root causes
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Control charts to monitor processes
To monitor output, we use a control chart
We check things like the mean, range, standard deviation
To monitor a process, we typically use two control charts (x-bar chart & R chart)
Mean (or some other central tendency measure) X-Bar Chart
Variation or dispersion (typically using range or standard deviation) R-Chart
Control Chart is the primary tool of SPC.
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Samples
To measure the process, we take samples and analyze the sample statistics following these steps
(a) Samples of the product, say five boxes of cereal taken off the filling machine line, vary from each other in weight
Frequency
Weight
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Each of these represents one sample of five boxes of cereal
Figure S6.1
FYI
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Samples
To measure the process, we take samples and analyze the sample statistics following these steps
(b) After enough samples are taken from a stable process, they form a pattern called a distribution
The solid line represents the distribution
Frequency
Weight
Figure S6.1
FYI
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Samples
(c) There are many types of distributions, including the normal (bell-shaped) distribution, but distributions do differ in terms of central tendency (mean), standard deviation or variance, and shape
Weight
Central tendency
Weight
Variation
Weight
Shape
Frequency
Figure S6.1
To measure the process, we take samples and analyze the sample statistics following these steps
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Samples
To measure the process, we take samples and analyze the sample statistics following these steps
(d) If only natural causes of variation are present, the output of a process forms a distribution that is stable over time and is predictable
Weight
Time
Frequency
Prediction
Figure S6.1
FYI
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Samples
To measure the process, we take samples and analyze the sample statistics following these steps
(e) If assignable causes are present, the process output is not stable over time and is not predicable
Weight
Time
Frequency
Prediction
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Figure S6.1
FYI
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Control Charts
A control chart is a statistical tool used to distinguish between variation in a process resulting from common causes and variation resulting from special causes. It presents a graphic display of process stability or instability over time
Every process has variation. Some variation may be the result of causes which are not normally present in the process. This could be special cause variation.
Some variation is simply the result of numerous, ever-present differences in the process. This is common cause variation. Control Charts differentiate between these two types of variation.
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Students should understand both the concepts of natural and assignable variation, and the nature of the efforts required to deal with them.
Control Charts
One goal of using a Control Chart is to achieve and maintain process stability. And that by:
Determining if a process is stable.
Monitoring a process for possible changes in behavior.
Separating common and special causes of variation
UCL
LCL
Target
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Students should understand both the concepts of natural and assignable variation, and the nature of the efforts required to deal with them.
Process Control
Figure S6.2
Frequency
(weight, length, speed, etc.)
Size
Lower control limit
Upper control limit
(a) In statistical control and capable of producing within control limits
(b) In statistical control but not capable of producing within control limits
(c) Out of control
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This slide helps introduce different process outputs.
It can also be used to illustrate natural and assignable variation.
Control Charts for Variables (x-bar & R chart)
Characteristics that can take any real value
May be in whole or in fractional numbers
Continuous random variables (i.e. the variable can be measured on a continuous scale (e.g. height, weight, length, time etc.)
X- Bar chart tracks changes in the central tendency “Indicates how the average or mean changes over time”
R-chart indicates a gain or loss of dispersion “Indicates how the range of the subgroups changes over time.”
X-Bar and R-Charts are typically used when the subgroup size (n) lies between 2 and 10
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Once the categories are outlined, students may be asked to provide examples of items for which variable or attribute inspection might be appropriate. They might also be asked to provide examples of products for which both characteristics might be important at different stages of the production process.
Control Charts for Variables
Characteristics that can take any real value
May be in whole or in fractional numbers
Continuous random variables
x-chart tracks changes in the central tendency
R-chart indicates a gain or loss of dispersion
These two charts must be used together
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Once the categories are outlined, students may be asked to provide examples of items for which variable or attribute inspection might be appropriate. They might also be asked to provide examples of products for which both characteristics might be important at different stages of the production process.
Central Limit Theorem
Regardless of the distribution of the population, the distribution of sample means drawn from the population will tend to follow a normal curve
The standard deviation of the sampling distribution ( ) will equal the population standard deviation (s ) divided by the square root of the sample size, n
The mean of the sampling distribution will be the same as the population mean m
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This slide introduces the difference between “natural” and “assignable” causes.
The next several slides expand the discussion and introduce some of the statistical issues.
Population and Sampling Distributions
Population distributions
Beta
Normal
Uniform
Distribution of sample means
Figure S6.3
99.73% of all
fall within ±
95.45% fall within ±
| | | | | | |
Standard deviation of the sample means
Mean of sample means =
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Sampling Distribution
= m
(mean)
Sampling distribution of means
Process distribution of means
Figure S6.4
FYI
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It may be useful to spend some time explicitly discussing the difference between the sampling distribution of the means and the mean of the process population.
Sampling Distribution
Mean of process
n = 100
n = 25
Figure S6.4
n = 50
As the sample size increases,
the sampling distribution narrows
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It may be useful to spend some time explicitly discussing the difference between the sampling distribution of the means and the mean of the process population.
Setting Chart Limits
For x-Charts when we know s
Where = mean of the sample means or a target value set for the process
z = number of normal standard deviations
= standard deviation of the sample means
s = population (process) standard deviation
n = sample size
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Standard deviation calculation
The standard deviation is a little more difficult to understand – and to complicate things, there are multiple ways that it can be determined – each giving a different answer. If you are interested to learn more about the standard deviation calculation, please follow the below links.
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Setting Control Limits
Also, the population (process) standard deviation (s) is known to be 1 ounce. The 9 boxes selected in hours 2 through 12 are not shown here, but here Average weight () are shown in the next table:
i.e. z = 3
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Setting Control Limits
Randomly select and weigh nine (n = 9) boxes each hour
| WEIGHT OF SAMPLE | WEIGHT OF SAMPLE | WEIGHT OF SAMPLE | |||
| HOUR | (AVG. OF 9 BOXES) | HOUR | (AVG. OF 9 BOXES) | HOUR | (AVG. OF 9 BOXES) |
| 1 | 16.1 | 5 | 16.5 | 9 | 16.3 |
| 2 | 16.8 | 6 | 16.4 | 10 | 14.8 |
| 3 | 15.5 | 7 | 15.2 | 11 | 14.2 |
| 4 | 16.5 | 8 | 16.4 | 12 | 17.3 |
Average weight in the first sample (hour 1)
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Setting Control Limits
Average mean of 12 samples
Number
of samples = 12
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Setting Control Limits
Average mean of 12 samples
Number
of samples = 12
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17 = UCL
15 = LCL
16 = Mean
Sample number
| | | | | | | | | | | |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Setting Control Limits
Control Chart for samples of 9 boxes
Variation due to assignable causes
Variation due to assignable causes
Variation due to natural causes
Out of control
Out of control
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Setting Chart Limits
For x-Charts when we don't know s
where average range of the samples
A2 = control chart factor found in Table S6.1
= mean of the sample means
Ri = range for sample i
k = total number of samples
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Control Chart Factors
| TABLE S6.1 | Factors for Computing Control Chart Limits (3 sigma) | |||
| SAMPLE SIZE, n | MEAN FACTOR, A2 | UPPER RANGE, D4 | LOWER RANGE, D3 | |
| 2 | 1.880 | 3.268 | 0 | |
| 3 | 1.023 | 2.574 | 0 | |
| 4 | .729 | 2.282 | 0 | |
| 5 | .577 | 2.115 | 0 | |
| 6 | .483 | 2.004 | 0 | |
| 7 | .419 | 1.924 | 0.076 | |
| 8 | .373 | 1.864 | 0.136 | |
| 9 | .337 | 1.816 | 0.184 | |
| 10 | .308 | 1.777 | 0.223 |
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Setting Control Limits
Process average = 12 ounces
Average range = .25 ounces
Sample size = 5
UCL = 12.144
Mean = 12
LCL = 11.856
From Table S6.1
Super Cola example
labeled as "net weight 12 ounces"
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R – Chart
Type of variables control chart
Shows sample ranges over time
Difference between smallest and largest values in sample
Monitors process variability
Independent from process mean
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Setting Chart Limits
For R-Charts
where
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Restaurant Control Limits
For salmon fillets at Darden Restaurants
Sample Mean
x Bar Chart
UCL = 11.524
= 10.959
LCL = 10.394
| | | | | | | | |
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17
11.5 –
11.0 –
10.5 –
Sample Range
Range Chart
UCL = 0.6943
= 0.2125
LCL = 0
| | | | | | | | |
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17
0.8 –
0.4 –
0.0 –
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Setting Control Limits
Average range = 8 minutes
Sample size = 4
From Table S6.1 D4 = 2.282, D3 = 0
UCL = 18.256
Mean = 8
LCL = 0
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Mean and Range Charts
(a)
These sampling distributions result in the charts below
(Sampling mean is shifting upward, but range is consistent)
R-chart
(R-chart does not detect change in mean)
UCL
LCL
Figure S6.5
x-chart
(x-chart detects shift in central tendency)
UCL
LCL
FYI
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Mean and Range Charts
R-chart
(R-chart detects increase in dispersion)
UCL
LCL
(b)
These sampling distributions result in the charts below
(Sampling mean is constant, but dispersion is increasing)
x-chart
(x-chart indicates no change in central tendency)
UCL
LCL
Figure S6.5
FYI
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Steps In Building Control Charts
Collect 20 to 25 samples, often of n = 4 or n = 5 observations each, from a stable process, and compute the mean and range of each
Compute the overall means ( and ), set appropriate control limits, usually at the 99.73% level, and calculate the preliminary upper and lower control limits
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Steps In Creating Control Charts
Graph the sample means and ranges on their respective control charts and determine whether they fall outside the acceptable limits
Investigate points or patterns that indicate the process is out of control – try to assign causes for the variation, address the causes, and then resume the process
Collect additional samples and, if necessary, revalidate the control limits using the new data
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Setting Other Control Limits
| TABLE S6.2 | Common z Values | |
| DESIRED CONTROL LIMIT (%) | Z-VALUE (STANDARD DEVIATION REQUIRED FOR DESIRED LEVEL OF CONFIDENCE) | |
| 90.0 | 1.65 | |
| 95.0 | 1.96 | |
| 95.45 | 2.00 | |
| 99.0 | 2.58 | |
| 99.73 | 3.00 |
FYI
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Control Charts for Attributes
For variables that are categorical
Defective/nondefective, good/bad, yes/no, acceptable/unacceptable
Measurement is typically counting defectives
Charts may measure
Percent defective (p-chart)
Number of defects (c-chart)
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Control Limits for p-Charts
Population will be a binomial distribution, but applying the central limit theorem allows us to assume a normal distribution for the sample statistics
where
FYI
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Instructors may wish to point out the calculation of the standard deviation reflects the binomial distribution of the population
p-Chart for Data Entry
| SAMPLE NUMBER | NUMBER OF ERRORS | FRACTION DEFECTIVE | SAMPLE NUMBER | NUMBER OF ERRORS | FRACTION DEFECTIVE | ||
| 1 | 6 | .06 | 11 | 6 | .06 | ||
| 2 | 5 | .05 | 12 | 1 | .01 | ||
| 3 | 0 | .00 | 13 | 8 | .08 | ||
| 4 | 1 | .01 | 14 | 7 | .07 | ||
| 5 | 4 | .04 | 15 | 5 | .05 | ||
| 6 | 2 | .02 | 16 | 4 | .04 | ||
| 7 | 5 | .05 | 17 | 11 | .11 | ||
| 8 | 3 | .03 | 18 | 3 | .03 | ||
| 9 | 3 | .03 | 19 | 0 | .00 | ||
| 10 | 2 | .02 | 20 | 4 | .04 | ||
| 80 |
FYI
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p-Chart for Data Entry
| SAMPLE NUMBER | NUMBER OF ERRORS | FRACTION DEFECTIVE | SAMPLE NUMBER | NUMBER OF ERRORS | FRACTION DEFECTIVE | ||
| 1 | 6 | .06 | 11 | 6 | .06 | ||
| 2 | 5 | .05 | 12 | 1 | .01 | ||
| 3 | 0 | .00 | 13 | 8 | .08 | ||
| 4 | 1 | .01 | 14 | 7 | .07 | ||
| 5 | 4 | .04 | 15 | 5 | .05 | ||
| 6 | 2 | .02 | 16 | 4 | .04 | ||
| 7 | 5 | .05 | 17 | 11 | .11 | ||
| 8 | 3 | .03 | 18 | 3 | .03 | ||
| 9 | 3 | .03 | 19 | 0 | .00 | ||
| 10 | 2 | .02 | 20 | 4 | .04 | ||
| 80 |
(because we cannot have a negative percent defective)
FYI
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.11 –
.10 –
.09 –
.08 –
.07 –
.06 –
.05 –
.04 –
.03 –
.02 –
.01 –
.00 –
Sample number
Fraction defective
| | | | | | | | | |
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
p-Chart for Data Entry
UCLp = 0.10
LCLp = 0.00
p = 0.04
FYI
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.11 –
.10 –
.09 –
.08 –
.07 –
.06 –
.05 –
.04 –
.03 –
.02 –
.01 –
.00 –
Sample number
Fraction defective
| | | | | | | | | |
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
p-Chart for Data Entry
UCLp = 0.10
LCLp = 0.00
p = 0.04
Possible assignable causes present
FYI
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Control Limits for c-Charts
Population will be a Poisson distribution, but applying the central limit theorem allows us to assume a normal distribution for the sample statistics
FYI
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Instructors may wish to point out the calculation of the standard deviation reflects the Poisson distribution of the population where the standard deviation equals the square root of the mean
c-Chart for Cab Company
|
1
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2
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3
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4
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5
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6
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7
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8
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9
Day
Number defective
14 –
12 –
10 –
8 –
6 –
4 –
2 –
0 –
UCLc = 13.35
LCLc = 0
c = 6
Cannot be a
negative number
FYI
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Select points in the processes that need SPC
Determine the appropriate charting technique
Set clear and specific SPC policies and procedures
Managerial Issues and Control Charts
Three major management decisions:
FYI
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Which Control Chart to Use
| TABLE S6.3 | Helping You Decide Which Control Chart to Use |
| VARIABLE DATA USING AN x-CHART AND R-CHART | |
| Observations are variables Collect 20 – 25 samples of n = 4, or n = 5, or more, each from a stable process and compute the mean for the x-chart and range for the R-chart Track samples of n observations |
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Which Control Chart to Use
| TABLE S6.3 | Helping You Decide Which Control Chart to Use |
| ATTRIBUTE DATA USING A P-CHART | |
| Observations are attributes that can be categorized as good or bad (or pass–fail, or functional–broken), that is, in two states We deal with fraction, proportion, or percent defectives There are several samples, with many observations in each | |
| ATTRIBUTE DATA USING A C-CHART | |
| Observations are attributes whose defects per unit of output can be counted We deal with the number counted, which is a small part of the possible occurrences Defects may be: number of blemishes on a desk; flaws in a bolt of cloth; crimes in a year; broken seats in a stadium; typos in a chapter of this text; or complaints in a day |
FYI
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Patterns in Control Charts
Normal behavior. Process is "in control."
Upper control limit
Target
Lower control limit
Figure S6.7
FYI
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Ask the students to imagine a product, and consider what problem might cause each of the graph configurations illustrated.
Patterns in Control Charts
One plot out above (or below). Investigate for cause. Process is "out of control."
Upper control limit
Target
Lower control limit
Figure S6.7
FYI
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61
Ask the students to imagine a product, and consider what problem might cause each of the graph configurations illustrated.
Patterns in Control Charts
Trends in either direction, 5 plots. Investigate for cause of progressive change.
Upper control limit
Target
Lower control limit
Figure S6.7
FYI
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62
Ask the students to imagine a product, and consider what problem might cause each of the graph configurations illustrated.
Patterns in Control Charts
Two plots very near lower (or upper) control. Investigate for cause.
Upper control limit
Target
Lower control limit
Figure S6.7
FYI
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63
Ask the students to imagine a product, and consider what problem might cause each of the graph configurations illustrated.
Patterns in Control Charts
Run of 5 above (or below) central line. Investigate for cause.
Upper control limit
Target
Lower control limit
Figure S6.7
FYI
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64
Ask the students to imagine a product, and consider what problem might cause each of the graph configurations illustrated.
Patterns in Control Charts
Erratic behavior. Investigate.
Upper control limit
Target
Lower control limit
Figure S6.7
FYI
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65
Ask the students to imagine a product, and consider what problem might cause each of the graph configurations illustrated.
Patterns in Control Charts
Run test
Identify abnormalities in a process
Runs of 5 or 6 points above or below the target or centerline suggest assignable causes may be present
Process may not be in statistical control
There are a variety of run tests
FYI
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Process Capability
The natural variation of a process should be small enough to produce products that meet the standards required
A process in statistical control does not necessarily meet the design specifications
Process capability is a measure of the relationship between the natural variation of the process and the design specifications
FYI
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Process Capability Ratio
Cp =
Upper Specification – Lower Specification
6s
A capable process must have a Cp of at least 1.0
Does not look at how well the process is centered in the specification range
Often a target value of Cp = 1.33 is used to allow for off-center processes
Six Sigma quality requires a Cp = 2.0
FYI
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Process Capability Ratio
Cp =
Upper Specification - Lower Specification
6s
Insurance claims process
Process mean x = 210.0 minutes
Process standard deviation s = .516 minutes
Design specification = 210 ± 3 minutes
FYI
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Process Capability Ratio
Cp =
Upper Specification - Lower Specification
6s
Insurance claims process
Process mean x = 210.0 minutes
Process standard deviation s = .516 minutes
Design specification = 210 ± 3 minutes
= = 1.938
213 – 207
6(.516)
FYI
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Process Capability Ratio
Cp =
Upper Specification - Lower Specification
6s
Insurance claims process
Process mean x = 210.0 minutes
Process standard deviation s = .516 minutes
Design specification = 210 ± 3 minutes
= = 1.938
213 – 207
6(.516)
Process is capable
FYI
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Process Capability Index
A capable process must have a Cpk of at least 1.0
A capable process is not necessarily in the center of the specification, but it falls within the specification limit at both extremes
Cpk = minimum of , ,
Upper Specification – x Limit
3s
Lower x – Specification Limit
3s
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Process Capability Index
New Cutting Machine
New process mean x = .250 inches
Process standard deviation s = .0005 inches
Upper Specification Limit = .251 inches
Lower Specification Limit = .249 inches
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Process Capability Index
New Cutting Machine
New process mean x = .250 inches
Process standard deviation s = .0005 inches
Upper Specification Limit = .251 inches
Lower Specification Limit = .249 inches
Cpk = minimum of ,
(.251) - .250
(3).0005
FYI
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Process Capability Index
New Cutting Machine
New process mean x = .250 inches
Process standard deviation s = .0005 inches
Upper Specification Limit = .251 inches
Lower Specification Limit = .249 inches
Cpk = minimum of ,
(.251) - .250
(3).0005
.250 - (.249)
(3).0005
FYI
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Process Capability Index
New Cutting Machine
New process mean x = .250 inches
Process standard deviation s = .0005 inches
Upper Specification Limit = .251 inches
Lower Specification Limit = .249 inches
Cpk = = 0.67
.001
.0015
New machine is NOT capable
Cpk = minimum of ,
(.251) - .250
(3).0005
.250 - (.249)
(3).0005
Both calculations result in
FYI
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Lower specification limit
Upper specification limit
Interpreting Cpk
Cpk = negative number
Cpk = zero
Cpk = between 0 and 1
Cpk = 1
Cpk > 1
Figure S6.8
FYI
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Acceptance Sampling
Form of quality testing used for incoming materials or finished goods
Take samples at random from a lot (shipment) of items
Inspect each of the items in the sample
Decide whether to reject the whole lot based on the inspection results
Only screens lots; does not drive quality improvement efforts
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78
Here again it is useful to stress that acceptance sampling relates to the aggregate, not the individual unit. You might also discuss the decision as to whether one should take only a single sample, or whether multiple samples are required.
Acceptance Sampling
Form of quality testing used for incoming materials or finished goods
Take samples at random from a lot (shipment) of items
Inspect each of the items in the sample
Decide whether to reject the whole lot based on the inspection results
Only screens lots; does not drive quality improvement efforts
Rejected lots can be:
Returned to the supplier
Culled for defectives (100% inspection)
May be re-graded to a lower specification
FYI
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79
Here again it is useful to stress that acceptance sampling relates to the aggregate, not the individual unit. You might also discuss the decision as to whether one should take only a single sample, or whether multiple samples are required.
Operating Characteristic Curve
Shows how well a sampling plan discriminates between good and bad lots (shipments)
Shows the relationship between the probability of accepting a lot and its quality level
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80
You can use this and the next several slides to begin a discussion of the “quality” of the acceptance sampling plans. You will find additional slides on “consumer’s” and “producer’s” risk to pursue the issue in a more formal manner in subsequent slides.
Return whole shipment
The "Perfect" OC Curve
% Defective in Lot
P(Accept Whole Shipment)
100 –
75 –
50 –
25 –
0 –
| | | | | | | | | | |
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Cut-Off
Keep whole shipment
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An OC Curve
Probability of Acceptance
Percent defective
| | | | | | | | |
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
= 0.05 producer's risk for AQL
= 0.10
Consumer's risk for LTPD
LTPD
AQL
Bad lots
Indifference zone
Good lots
Figure S6.9
FYI
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82
AQL and LTPD
Acceptable Quality Level (AQL)
Poorest level of quality we are willing to accept
Lot Tolerance Percent Defective (LTPD)
Quality level we consider bad
Consumer (buyer) does not want to accept lots with more defects than LTPD
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83
Once the students understand the definition of these terms, have them consider how one would go about choosing values for AQL and LTPD.
Producer's and Consumer's Risks
Producer's risk ()
Probability of rejecting a good lot
Probability of rejecting a lot when the fraction defective is at or above the AQL
Consumer's risk (b)
Probability of accepting a bad lot
Probability of accepting a lot when fraction defective is below the LTPD
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84
This slide introduces the concept of “producer’s” risk and “consumer’s” risk. The following slide explores these concepts graphically.
OC Curves for Different Sampling Plans
n = 50, c = 1
n = 100, c = 2
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85
This slide presents the OC curve for two possible acceptance sampling plans.
Average Outgoing Quality
where
Pd = true percent defective of the lot
Pa = probability of accepting the lot
N = number of items in the lot
n = number of items in the sample
AOQ =
(Pd)(Pa)(N – n)
N
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86
It is probably important to stress that AOQ is the average percent defective, not the average percent acceptable.
Average Outgoing Quality
If a sampling plan replaces all defectives
If we know the true incoming percent defective for the lot
We can compute the average outgoing quality (AOQ) in percent defective
The maximum AOQ is the highest percent defective or the lowest average quality and is called the average outgoing quality limit (AOQL)
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87
It is probably important to stress that AOQ is the average percent defective, not the average percent acceptable.
Automated Inspection
Modern technologies allow virtually 100% inspection at minimal costs
Not suitable for all situations
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SPC and Process Variability
(a) Acceptance sampling (Some bad units accepted; the "lot" is good or bad)
(b) Statistical process control (Keep the process "in control")
(c) Cpk > 1 (Design a process that is in within specification)
Lower specification limit
Upper specification limit
Process mean, m
Figure S6.10
FYI
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89
This may be a good time to stress that an overall goal of statistical process control is to “do it better,” i.e., improve over time.
x
x
σ x = σ
n
s
x
=
s
n
σ x
s
x
= µ
=m
x =
x
=
2σ x
2s
x
=σ x = σ
n
=s
x
=
s
n
3σ x
3s
x
x
x
+3σ x
+3s
x
+2σ x
+2s
x
+1σ x
+1s
x
−1σ x
-1s
x
−2σ x
-2s
x
−3σ x
-3s
x
x =
x
=
x =
x
=
x =
x
=
Upper control limit (UCL) = x +zσ x
Upper control limit (UCL)=x+zs
x
Lower control limit (LCL) = x −zσ x
Lower control limit (LCL)=x-zs
x
=σ / n
=s/n
σ x
s
x
x =
x
=
= 17+13+16+18+17+16+15+17+16
9 =16.1 ounces
=
17+13+16+18+17+16+15+17+16
9
=16.1 ounces
= = Avg of 9 boxes( )
i=1
12
∑ 12
⎡
⎣
⎢ ⎢ ⎢ ⎢
⎤
⎦
⎥ ⎥ ⎥ ⎥
= =
Avg of 9 boxes
( )
i=1
12
å
12
é
ë
ê
ê
ê
ê
ù
û
ú
ú
ú
ú
x =16 ounces n=9 z=3 σ =1 ounce
x=16 ounces
n=9
z=3
s=1 ounce
x =
x
=
LCLx = − zσ x =16−3 1 9
⎛
⎝ ⎜
⎞
⎠ ⎟=16−3
1 3 ⎛
⎝ ⎜ ⎞
⎠ ⎟=15 ounces
LCL
x
= -zs
x
=16-3
1
9
æ
è
ç
ö
ø
÷
=16-3
1
3
æ
è
ç
ö
ø
÷
=15 ounces
UCLx = + zσ x =16+3 1 9
⎛
⎝ ⎜
⎞
⎠ ⎟=16+3
1 3 ⎛
⎝ ⎜ ⎞
⎠ ⎟=17 ounces
UCL
x
= +zs
x
=16+3
1
9
æ
è
ç
ö
ø
÷
=16+3
1
3
æ
è
ç
ö
ø
÷
=17 ounces
x =
x
=
x =
x
=
x =
x
=
UCLx = + A2R LCLx = − A2R
UCL
x
= +A
2
R
LCL
x
= -A
2
R
R= R i
i=1
k
∑ k
=
R=
R
i
i=1
k
å
k
=
x =
x
=
x =
x
=
x =
x
=
UCLx = + A2R =12+(.577)(.25) =12+.144 =12.144 ounces
UCL
x
= +A
2
R
=12+(.577)(.25)
=12+.144
=12.144 ounces
LCLx = − A2R =12−.144 =11.856 ounces
LCL
x
= -A
2
R
=12-.144
=11.856 ounces
x =
x
=
x =
x
=
Upper control limit (UCLR) = D4R Lower control limit (LCLR) = D3R
Upper control limit (UCL
R
) = D
4
R
Lower control limit (LCL
R
) = D
3
R
UCL R = upper control chart limit for the range
LCL R = lower control chart limit for the range
D 4 and D
3 = values from Table S6.1
UCL
R
= upper control chart limit for the range
LCL
R
= lower control chart limit for the range
D
4
and D
3
= values from Table S6.1
x =
x
=
R –
R
–
UCLR = D4R = (2.282)(8) =18.256 minutes
UCL
R
=D
4
R
=(2.282)(8)
=18.256 minutes
LCL R = D
3 R
=(0)(8) =0 minutes
LCL
R
=D
3
R
=(0)(8)
=0 minutes
R
R
x =
x
=
UCL p = p+zσ
p
LCL p = p−zσ
p
UCL
p
=p+zs
p
LCL
p
=p-zs
p
σ̂ p =
p 1− p( ) n
ˆ
s
p
=
p1-p
()
n
p= mean fraction (percent) defective in the samples z= number of standard deviations
σ p = standard deviation of the sampling distribution
n= number of observations in each sample
p= mean fraction (percent) defective in the samples
z= number of standard deviations
s
p
=standard deviation of the sampling distribution
n= number of observations in each sample
σ p is estimated by
s
p
is estimated by
p= Total number of errors
Total number of records examined =
80 (100)(20)
=.04
σ̂ p =
(.04)(1−.04) 100
=.02 (rounded up from .0196)
p=
Total number of errors
Total number of records examined
=
80
(100)(20)
=.04
ˆ
s
p
=
(.04)(1-.04)
100
=.02 (rounded up from .0196)
UCL p = p+zσ̂
p =.04+3(.02)=.10
LCL p = p−zσ̂
p =.04−3(.02)=0
UCL
p
=p+z
ˆ
s
p
=.04+3(.02)=.10
LCL
p
=p-z
ˆ
s
p
=.04-3(.02)=0
c = mean number of defects per unit
c = standard deviation of defects per unit
c= mean number of defects per unit
c= standard deviation of defects per unit
Control limits (99.73%) =c ±3 c
Control limits (99.73%) =c±3c
c = 54 complaints/9 days = 6 complaints/day
c= 54 complaints/9 days = 6 complaints/day
UCLc =c +3 c
=6+3 6 =13.35
UCL
c
=c+3c
=6+36
=13.35
LCLc =c −3 c
=6−3 6 =0
LCL
c
=c-3c
=6-36
=0