Analysis Interpretation

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Chapter4.xlsx

Data

Annual Amount Spent on Organic Food Annual Income Log(Annual Amount Spent on Organic Food) b2Log(AnnualIncome) Age Number of People in Household Gender (0 = Male; 1 = Female)
7348 109688 3.8661691476 5.0401591178 77 3 1
11598 109981 4.0643831044 5.0413176642 47 5 1
9224 112139 3.9649192943 5.049756679 23 4 1
12991 113420 4.1136425828 5.0546896429 38 5 1
16556 114101 4.2189554177 5.0572894507 58 5 0
11515 115100 4.0612639423 5.0610753236 44 5 0
10469 116330 4.0199051998 5.0656917281 34 5 0
17933 116339 4.2536529485 5.0657253265 75 6 0
18173 117907 4.2594266266 5.0715395894 32 7 0
12305 119071 4.090081618 5.075806001 39 5 1
9080 58603 3.9580858485 4.767919849 65 5 1
9113 58623 3.9596613703 4.7680680395 48 4 1
6185 61579 3.791339704 4.789432632 48 2 1 Annual Amount Spent on Organic Food Age Annual Income Number of People in Household Gender (0 = Male; 1 = Female)
6470 62180 3.8109042807 4.7936507177 49 2 0 11046.48 48.23 161006.62 4.31 0.57
6000 62202 3.7781512504 4.7938043489 57 5 1
6760 68041 3.8299466959 4.8327706878 71 2 0
8579 68407 3.9334366678 4.8351005448 47 4 1
7393 69618 3.8688207062 4.8427215426 47 3 1
8161 73079 3.9117433779 4.8637925959 28 4 0
10800 75900 4.0334237555 4.8802417759 63 5 1
6160 77129 3.7895807122 4.8872177006 24 3 1
10800 79618 4.0334237555 4.9010112639 66 6 0
8543 81131 3.9316104064 4.909186829 24 4 0
17666 86246 4.2471382261 4.9357389621 38 6 1
12644 89167 4.1018844872 4.9502041552 54 5 1
14308 89576 4.1555789315 4.9521916652 28 5 1
9737 92296 3.98842517 4.9651828796 58 4 0
13301 93614 4.1238842935 4.9713408025 27 5 1
18106 93954 4.257822516 4.9729152745 48 6 1
11468 95937 4.0594876843 4.9819861337 26 5 1
9547 100846 3.9798669226 5.0036586768 52 4 0
7812 103276 3.8927622346 5.0139994089 29 2 1
15521 104112 4.1909196989 5.0175007894 75 5 1
7598 105119 3.8806992892 5.0216812208 45 4 0
7783 105925 3.8911470304 5.0249984727 74 3 1
17737 106084 4.248880166 5.0256498869 56 6 0
7824 108616 3.8934288418 5.035893805 30 3 1
6552 109038 3.8163738888 5.037577877 57 2 0
11232 109585 4.0504570948 5.039751112 41 5 1
6540 37834 3.8155777483 4.5778822595 23 5 0
4200 38940 3.6232492904 4.5903959472 28 5 0
7225 42145 3.8588378514 4.6247460582 23 5 0
5370 48677 3.7299742857 4.6873238045 45 5 1
4476 48997 3.6508900779 4.6901694898 33 4 1
2800 49058 3.4471580313 4.6907098389 42 1 1
7839 49609 3.8942606644 4.6955604728 39 4 1
3472 53279 3.5405797165 4.7265560649 60 1 0
8854 53917 3.9471395176 4.7317257196 57 5 0
8900 54716 3.9493900066 4.7381143409 41 5 0
12791 126306 4.1069044989 5.1014239816 67 5 0
12712 130893 4.1042138842 5.1169164216 73 5 1
13321 134488 4.1245368283 5.1286835351 57 5 1
8802 135711 3.9445813642 5.1326150506 64 4 0
14369 139701 4.1574265448 5.1451995149 24 5 1
7908 142014 3.8980666606 5.15233116 25 4 1
17840 142857 4.25139485 5.1549015257 34 6 0
15107 143182 4.1791782292 5.1558884245 78 5 1
12070 150987 4.0817072701 5.1789395561 34 5 1
6389 152041 3.8054328881 5.1819607174 34 2 1
6606 154702 3.8199385694 5.1894959283 41 3 0
6291 155552 3.7987196852 5.1918755994 62 1 1
7425 157329 3.870696458 5.1968087822 57 3 0
11436 163794 4.0582741467 5.2142979889 23 5 1
7612 164108 3.8814987796 5.2151297527 78 4 0
7515 165851 3.8759289849 5.2197180944 36 4 0
13115 172497 4.1177682949 5.2367815464 44 5 1
11870 174458 4.074450719 5.2416908894 75 5 0
8450 177517 3.9268567089 5.2492399498 70 4 1
16324 183779 4.2128265861 5.2642958841 38 5 0
9331 185111 3.9699281894 5.267432227 35 4 0
9184 186467 3.9630318751 5.2706019837 65 4 0
16803 189137 4.2253868274 5.2767764962 68 6 0
10709 194351 4.0297489186 5.2885867796 48 5 1
14456 194380 4.1600481396 5.2886515778 24 5 0
16634 197358 4.2209966971 5.2952547354 46 5 0
12227 197400 4.0873199122 5.2953471483 43 5 1
13476 198650 4.1295610023 5.2980885694 58 5 0
14554 202859 4.1629823706 5.3071942803 66 5 1
9393 203591 3.9728043223 5.3087585755 68 4 1
14594 206216 4.1641743419 5.3143223585 74 5 1
6628 207679 3.8213824997 5.3173925839 32 2 0
11240 210498 4.0507663112 5.3232479738 61 5 0
13101 210678 4.1173044466 5.3236191869 42 5 1
14034 211249 4.1471814722 5.3247946618 60 5 0
17837 211961 4.2513218123 5.3262559598 64 6 1
7849 212851 3.8948143291 5.3280756949 53 2 1
10578 213035 4.0244035627 5.3284509605 62 5 1
11325 214457 4.0540382107 5.3313402264 78 5 0
7105 215442 3.8515640823 5.3333303721 44 2 0
16460 220178 4.2164298309 5.3427739225 58 5 1
8390 220403 3.9237619608 5.3432175016 27 3 1
14956 220893 4.1748154565 5.3441819535 68 5 1
10903 221223 4.0375460121 5.3448302775 21 4 1
12054 221498 4.0811311871 5.3453698091 70 5 1
11697 222618 4.0680744899 5.3475602767 38 5 1
12781 229072 4.1065648348 5.3599720076 25 5 1
17456 229685 4.2419447332 5.3611326337 30 6 1
12835 230228 4.108395873 5.3621581408 70 5 1
13403 235617 4.1272020176 5.372206622 37 5 0
15051 238087 4.1775653557 5.3767356828 40 5 0
14225 240768 4.1530522751 5.3815987652 29 5 0
11196 242529 4.0490628898 5.3847636761 54 4 0
11475 243765 4.0597526942 5.3869713494 52 5 1
5605 244625 3.7485756169 5.3885008387 65 2 0
9890 245208 3.9951962916 5.3895346351 72 4 1
13227 247648 4.1214613535 5.393834825 40 5 0
11200 249805 4.0492180227 5.3976011268 36 4 1
9600 252033 3.982271233 5.401457409 43 4 0
15703 252812 4.1959826307 5.4027976844 38 5 1
6486 257143 3.8119769443 5.4101747064 73 1 1
9430 258167 3.9745116927 5.4119007281 41 4 1
7755 258640 3.8895818021 5.4126956916 35 2 1
8100 261020 3.9084850189 5.4166737853 21 3 1
14821 266223 4.1708775073 5.4252455731 59 5 1
10650 266269 4.0273496078 5.4253206072 56 5 1
12589 267565 4.0999912335 5.427429303 42 5 1
11600 268380 4.0644579892 5.4287501486 46 4 1
13000 269431 4.1139433523 5.430447563 34 4 1
17065 269839 4.2321062926 5.4311047187 70 6 0
16500 270441 4.2174839442 5.4320725331 55 5 0
8600 272795 3.9344984512 5.435836406 38 2 0
11900 274846 4.0755469614 5.4390894208 51 4 1
16723 276250 4.2233141898 5.4413022867 66 5 0
16759 277231 4.224248101 5.4428417915 43 5 0

SUMMARY OUTPUT

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.830 Correlation coefficient
R Square 0.690 0.83
Adjusted R Square 0.679
Standard Error 2111.587
Observations 124
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 4 1179155134.37998 294788783.59 66.11 0.00
Residual 119 530597256.587761 4458800.4755274
Total 123 1709752390.96774
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%
Intercept -1932.11 978.54 -1.97 0.05 -3869.72 5.50
Age 14.12 11.78 1.20 0.23 -9.20 37.44
Annual Income 0.02 0.00 6.33 0.00 0.01 0.02
Number of People in Household 2222.51 153.25 14.50 0.00 1919.06 2525.95
Gender (0 = Male; 1 = Female) 40.50 384.71 0.11 0.92 -721.27 802.27

SUMMARY OUTPUT (Log)

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.8754707959 Correlation coefficient
R Square 0.766 0.875
Adjusted R Square 0.7585986646
Standard Error 0.0793928424
Observations 124
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 4 2.4615659242 0.6153914811 97.6312340197 1.22213994748473E-36
Residual 119 0.7500835873 0.0063032234
Total 123 3.2116495115
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%
Intercept 2.092 0.1577759217 13.2606464538 3.36765164210816E-25 1.779798633 2.404622799
b2Log(AnnualIncome) 0.289 0.0308547498 9.380565677 5.49172674437733E-16 0.2283395208 0.3505304934
Age 0.0004 0.0004444798 0.7988415939 0.4259737623 -0.0005250455 0.0012351835
Number of People in Household 0.095 0.0057706314 16.4981564272 1.54342387107852E-32 0.083778353 0.106631206
Gender (0 = Male; 1 = Female) 0.008 0.0144699569 0.5537776632 0.5807700842 -0.020638821 0.0366650988

Interpretation

Using Excel, generate regression estimates for the following model: Annual Amount Spent on Organic Food = α + b1Age + b2AnnualIncome + b3Number of People in Household + b4Gender After you have reviewed the results from the estimation, write a report to your boss that interprets the results that you obtained. Please include the following in your report: 1. The regression output you generated in Excel. (SUMMARY OUTPUT Sheet)) 2. Your interpretation of the coefficient of determination (r-squared). Coefficient of determination =0.690 i.e. 69% of total variation in the sample of Annual Amount Spent on Organic Food is explained by this regression equation. 3. Your interpretation of the global test for statistical significance (the F-test). Interpretation of the global test for statistical significance: Since p-value of ANOVA test= 0.00 <0.05 so overall regression equation is significant. 4. Your interpretation of the coefficient estimates for all the independent variables. When Age is increased by one unit and other independent variables are kept fixed then estimated Annual Amount Spent on Organic Food is increased by 14.12 units. When Annual Income is increased by one unit and other independent variables are kept fixed then estimated Annual Amount Spent on Organic Food is increased by 0.02 units. When Number of People in Household is increased by one unit and other independent variables are kept fixed then estimated Annual Amount Spent on Organic Food is increased by 2222.51 units. When it is Female and other independent variables are kept fixed then estimated Annual Amount Spent on Organic Food is -1932.11+40=-1891.61 units. When it is Male and other independent variables are kept fixed then estimated Annual Amount Spent on Organic Food is -1932.11 units. 5. Your interpretation of the statistical significance of the coefficient estimates for all the independent variables. Since p-values corresponding Age and Gender>0.05 so there are insignificantly present in this regression model whereas p-value corresponding Number of People in Household and annula income <0.05 so Number of People in Household and annual income is significantly present in this model. 6. The regression equation with estimates substituted into the equation. (Note: Once the estimates are substituted into the regression equation, it should take a form similar to this: y = 10 +2x1 +1x2 +4x3 +0.9x4) Annual Amount Spent on Organic Food = -1932.11 + 14.12* Age + 0.02*AnnualIncome + 2222.51*Number of People in Household 40.50*Gender 7. An estimate of “Annual Amount Spent on Organic Food” for the average consumer. (Note: You will need to substitute the averages for all the independent variables into the regression equation for x, the intercept for α, and solve for y.) Aveg(Annual Amount Spent on Organic Food) = -1932.11 + 48.23* Age + 161006.62 *AnnualIncome + 4.31*Number of People in Household 0.51*Gender 8. A discussion of whether or not the coefficient estimate on the Age variable in this estimation is different than it was in the simple linear regression model from Module 3 Case. Be sure to explain why it did/did not change. Yes it is different becaue in the linear regression we are looking for linear relatioship but the average dosent reveal any relation 9. You decide you want to generate an elasticity coefficient, so you log the following variables in Excel: Annual Amount Spent on Organic Food, Annual Income. (SUMMARY OUTPUT (Log) Sheet) 10. Using Excel, generate regression estimates for the following model: Log(Annual Amount Spent on Organic Food) = α +b1Age + b2Log(AnnualIncome) + b3Number of People in Household + b4Gender Log(Annual Amount Spent on Organic Food) =2.092 +0.0004Age + 0.289Log(AnnualIncome) + 0.095Number of People in Household + 0.008Gender 11. Your interpretation of the coefficient estimate for Log(AnnualIncome). When log Annual Income is increased by one unit and other independent variables are kept fixed then estimated Annual Amount Spent on Organic Food is increased by 0.289 units. 12. Your interpretation of the coefficient of determination (r-squared) for this new model. Coefficient of determination =0.766 i.e. 76.6% of total variation in the sample of log Annual Amount Spent on Organic Food is explained by this regression equation.