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Multinational Corporations and Foreign Direct Investment

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Multinational Corporations and Foreign Direct Investment Avoiding Simplicity, Embracing Complexity

Stephen D. Cohen

1 2007

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Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Cohen, Stephen D.

Multinational corporations and foreign direct investment: avoiding simplicity,

embracing complexity / Stephen D. Cohen.

p. cm.

Includes index.

ISBN-13 978-0-19-517935-4; 978-0-19-517936-1 (pbk.)

ISBN 0-19-517935-8; 0-19-517936-6 (pbk.)

1. International business enterprises—Finance. 2. Investments, Foreign. I. Title.

HG4027.5.C64 2006

332.67'314—dc22 2006010605

9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1

Printed in the United States of America

on acid-free paper

Acknowledgments

Given what for me was a formidable challenge to say the least, it is no pro forma

courtesy to thank a number of people whose assistance was invaluable in re-

searching and editing this book. First off, I extend a deeply felt appreciation for

the contributions of Daniel de Torres and Craig Matasick, who performed

magnificently during their two-year stints as my graduate assistants. The exact

same feelings are extended to Erin Teeling and Christopher B. Doolin Jr.; their

tenures as my graduate assistants were shorter, but their contributions were of

the same high quality. It is fact, not just courtesy, to say that without their

collective research and editing talents, my work schedule would have been much

longer, more painful, and less productive, not to mention the end product being

less accurate and more verbose.

The text of several chapters has benefited from the expertise of professional

colleagues and personal acquaintances. I thank them very much for the time and

effort they spent in offering me many valuable suggestions on the chapter or

chapters they read. In alphabetical order, they are Michelle Egan, Roger Golden,

Louis W. Goodman, Tammi Gutner, and Stephen Kobrin.

Given the content and approach of this study, the standard disclaimer needs

to be emphasized: None of the acknowledged persons is responsible for factual

errors, subjective interpretations, or conclusions. These should be attributed

solely to the author.

Finally, I thank my wife, Linda, and children, Sondra and Marc, for their

patience while I spent a lot of time working on this project.

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Contents

Abbreviations ix

Introduction 3

Part I Fundamentals

1 A Better Approach to Understanding Foreign

Direct Investment and Multinational Corporations 11

2 Defining the Subject: Subtleties and Ambiguities 27

3 From Obscurity to International Economic Powerhouse:

The Evolution of Multinational Corporations 41

4 Heterogeneity: The Many Kinds of Foreign Direct

Investment and Multinational Corporations and

Their Disparate Effects 62

5 Perceptions and Economic Ideologies 93

Part II The Strategy of Multinationals

6 Why Companies Invest Overseas 117

7 Where Multinational Corporations Invest and

Don’t Invest and Why 148

Part III Impact on the International Order

8 Effects of Foreign Direct Investment on Less Developed

Countries: Vagaries, Variables, Negatives, and Positives 179

9 Why and How Multinational Corporations Have

Altered International Trade 205

10 Multinational Corporations versus the Nation-State:

Has Sovereignty Been Outsourced? 233

11 The International Regulation of Multinational Corporations:

Why There Is No Multilateral Foreign Direct

Investment Regime 252

Part IV Three Bottom Lines

12 The Case for Foreign Direct Investment and

Multinational Corporations 283

13 The Case against Foreign Direct Investment and

Multinational Corporations 308

14 An Agnostic Conclusion: ‘‘It Depends’’ 332

Part V Recommendations

15 An Agenda for Future Action 355

Index 365

contentsviii

Abbreviations

AFL-CIO American Federation of Labor and Congress of Industrial Organizations

BIT Bilateral Investment Treaty

EPZ Export-Processing Zone

EU European Union

FDI Foreign Direct Investment

FIRA Foreign Investment Review Agency (Canada)

GATT General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade

GDP Gross Domestic Product

IMF International Monetary Fund

IT Information Technology

LDC Less Developed Country

M&As Mergers and Acquisitions

MAI Multilateral Agreement on Investment

MNC Multinational Corporation

NAFTA North American Free Trade Agreement

NGO Nongovernmental Organization

OECD Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development

OPEC Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries

R&D Research and Development

TNI Transnationality Index

TRIMS Trade-Related Investment Measures

UN United Nations

UNCTAD The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development

WTO World Trade Organization

ix

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Multinational Corporations and Foreign Direct Investment

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introduction

Why another book on multinational corporations? The answerbegins shortly after the new millennium, when an involuntary end came to what had been my nimble effort spanning three decades to avoid

teaching the course on multinational corporations (MNCs) offered by American

University’s School of International Service. The simple truth is that although I

have long been an avid student of international economic relations, I was not

enamored with the scholarly and policy literature on foreign direct investment.

Most of what I read sooner or later became either a strident all-out defense or

condemnation of MNCs. To my personal way of thinking, this was an oversim-

plified and ultimately not very compelling intellectual exercise—one in which

the two opposing sides were unable to find any common ground even after much

discourse. Seeing no resolution of their disagreement in sight, they began yelling

at each other.

My preparations for teaching our MNC course forced me to confront the

issues in a much more detailed and systematic manner than ever before. As I read

extensively and looked for good class readings, two thoughts began to dominate

my approach to the subject. First, the advocates and critics of MNCs continued

to talk past one another mainly because they shared a faulty frame of reference

and an inadequate appreciation of how much an observer’s ideology and per-

ceptions had come to define the reality of MNCs and foreign direct investment

(FDI). Second, the literature suffered from an important gap that needed filling.

Scattered throughout were many insightful comments on the subject as a whole

and many good studies and essays on narrowly focused aspects of the FDI and

MNC phenomena (e.g., their impact on less developed countries). What was

missing was a nonjudgmental study of FDI and MNCs in full economic and

political context, one that treated them as heterogeneous and still evolving sub-

jects that did not lend themselves to the usual black-or-white evaluation. Too

3

many authors were writing with an attitude, one that either advocated or opposed

these phenomena. I found no analytical pieces proclaiming that the authors were

neutral concerning the net virtues and vices of FDI and MNCs because of their

diversity and the gaps in our knowledge about them. Nor did I find many authors

urging a case-by-case approach in lieu of generalization. In short, an opportunity

existed to contribute to closing what I perceived as a major void in our under-

standing of an important subject.

Unlike most people, I agree partially with much of what I have read and heard

on both sides of the argument. Also unlike most people, I do not identify with

either the pro or con schools of thought on these subjects. My feeling is that both

sides have made valid points on parts of the subject while maintaining a blind

spot as to the big picture. No one seemed to be expounding the seemingly obvious

thesis that a dispassionate inquiry would see that the phenomena of FDI and

MNCs were far too complex and heterogeneous to warrant all-inclusive labels

being applied to their nature, behavior, and effects. It seemed that I was the only

one answering ‘‘it depends’’ to most questions about these phenomena and

endlessly railing against generalization. My credo became ‘‘never say never’’ and

‘‘never say always’’ about them. Eventually, I came to believe that being outside

of not one but two mainstreams of thought was something to build on, not try to

overcome. Given my many years of scholarly inquiry into the economics and

politics as well as the domestic and international aspects of international eco-

nomic policy, I felt I possessed good credentials for having something new to say

about a subject for which I claimed no long, deep expertise. Once convinced this

self-evaluation was not mostly hubris, I began outlining and researching this

book. In designing an innovative approach that can make a meaningful contri-

bution to advancing knowledge of FDI and MNCs, I have played the roles of be-

liever, skeptic, and synthesizer. The big fascination for me was not pretending to

have mastered the subject and come up with a multitude of breakthrough answers

but in understanding how and why these phenomena could be viewed—

incorrectly—in one of two diametrically different lights for so long with virtually

no movement toward consensus.

A study whose premise rests heavily on the importance of perceptions should

be sensitive to the possibility that some people will anticipate a work that rep-

licates their view of how to assess the subject or is devoted mainly to the specific

subtopics in which they are most interested. It is wholly appropriate, therefore,

to present a succinct statement of what this book is not about and what it does

not try to do. It is not about telling readers what to think about multinational

companies, but it does suggest how to think about them. This is not a political

science book about the governance of corporations, appropriate regulation of them

by government, or the ‘‘proper’’ distribution of income and economic power.

Nor is it a business administration text about the management, product mix, and

multinational corporations4

marketing techniques of MNCs. And it is not an economics treatise examining

the theory of the firm or the implications of oligopoly in the marketplace. No

attempt has been made to do what I think is the impossible: producing a single

integrating economic theory that accurately and consistently explains why FDI

exists in such large volume or a single comprehensive conclusion explaining the

behavior and measuring the effects of MNCs as a collective entity. In many cases,

efforts to understand the issues being examined are better served with an inquiry

as to why inconclusiveness prevails rather than a presentation that purports to

have transformed limited soft data into hard facts. Although not a sentiment

shared by many academics, I feel no personal need or desire to reach a firm

conclusion on the much debated question as to whether these international

business phenomena are, on balance, good or bad. As this study argues, that is not

the right question, anyhow.

The process of producing an accurate interpretation of the FDI/MNC phe-

nomena is different from assembling a jigsaw puzzle. The latter has a finite

number of smooth-edged pieces designed to produce a perfectly assembled end

product with a fixed image. The step-by-step process to connecting them is a

physical reality that can be precisely reproduced an infinite number of times.

Unlike jigsaw puzzle pieces, the ever-changing numbers and shapes of pieces that

form the collective personae of FDI and MNCs do not necessarily fit neatly

together to produce a demonstrable, enduring reality. Even if they could all

be neatly connected at a given time, some of the pieces periodically need to be

moved about, reconfigured, or discarded, and some new ones need to be added

to accurately depict an ever-changing, multifaceted abstraction. Final assembly

of the foreign investment puzzle is further complicated by the need to keep a

few pieces blank in recognition of the significant gaps in our knowledge of the

subject.

My main objective is to raise the level of understanding that we should have

about the nature and diversity of these international business phenomena and

about the range of effects they have had on domestic economies and the inter-

national economic order. Hopefully, the arguments developed will contribute

something to narrowing the long-standing, unresolved public policy debate

conducted between those ardently in favor ofMNCs and those bitterly opposed to

them. A recent book on this subject said that ‘‘most theoretical frameworks are

still based on the simplifying assumption of homogeneous agents, and theories

encompassing heterogeneity are still in their infancy.’’1 A major goal of this

volume is to nurture the heterogeneity concept at least as far as young adulthood.

The fifteen chapters that follow will not and cannot provide a definitive expla-

nation of these issues. No matter how responsive a chord this book hits, it is still

just one step in a very long journey to a fuller, more accurate understanding. The

need for continuing research and additional data in this field remains unequivocal.

introduction 5

Structure of the Book

Different levels of analysis are used throughout this study because it examines its

subject in both a vertical and horizontal manner. Depending on the specific topic

at hand, the focal point may be the international economic order, MNCs as a

whole, categories of FDI and MNCs (e.g., extractive, manufacturing, or service

sector), categories of countries (home and host; rich and poor), or case studies

involving specific countries or companies.

The first of the book’s five parts lays out a series of fundamental concepts to

set the stage for the analytical and thesis-advancing chapters that follow. Chapter

1 explains how the approach and perspective of this study are different and why

they can enhance the current level of understanding of FDI and MNCs. The

second chapter deals with the deceptively tricky subject of definitions and ter-

minology. The third chapter is on one level a straightforward chronological sum-

mary of the history of multinational companies; on another level, it speaks to the

usually understated external forces that have played a large role in shaping these

enterprises. A separate section examines their contemporary economic impor-

tance. Chapter 4 moves to a second stage of fundamentals by developing a

critically important theme: The largely ignored diversity of FDI and MNCs

undermines the validity of most of the generalizations that have long been the

main elements of their public image. The fifth chapter looks at the broad eco-

nomic ideologies that shape differences of opinion on these phenomena and

perpetuate two mutually exclusive, partially valid arguments over the relative

merits of multinationals.

The two chapters of part II look at two core strategies of MNCs. The first

analyzes the very important issue of why companies establish subsidiaries in

countries outside their home market, when in fact this activity is seldom man-

datory or easy. This chapter reviews the main academic theories purporting to

explain management’s rationale for doing this and then outlines the expanding

list of real world practical reasons encouraging the proliferation of direct in-

vestment overseas. Chapter 7 examines the main variables determining where

companies choose to invest and not invest abroad. In doing so, it identifies the

economic and political conditions in countries that tend to attract or repel foreign

companies looking to invest overseas.

Part III looks at four key links between the international political and eco-

nomic order and the FDI/MNC phenomena. Chapter 8 looks at the multiple

ways that their effects on economic growth in less developed countries can be

gauged. Chapters 9 through 11 analyze the impact of FDI on the international

trading system, examine three interpretations of the allegation that MNCs have

nullified the sovereignty of nation-states, and explain why the nature of these

multinational corporations6

phenomena has precluded establishment of a multilateral framework to impose

norms and rules on them.

The thesis that FDI and MNCs can be judged in at least three ways is laid out

in part IV. Chapters 12 and 13 are similar in style and diametrically opposite in

content. The first makes the case in favor of the argument that the FDI/MNC

phenomena are on balance beneficial, while chapter 13 argues that on balance

they are harmful. Both views are presented debate-style, without qualification or

endorsement by the author; the purpose is not to advocate one side or the other

but to faithfully re-create the main arguments advanced by both sides in the

debate. A synthesis of the two arguments, emphasizing the appropriateness of

making positive or negative evaluations only on a case-by-case basis taking in-

dividual circumstances into account, is the subject of chapter 14.

Finally, chapter 15 offers recommendations that are intended to be useful and

feasible measures to reduce the downside and increase the upside of FDI and the

companies that engage in it.

Note

1. Giorgio Barba-Navaretti and Anthony J. Venables, Multinational Firms in the World

Economy (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2004), p. 281.

introduction 7

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PART I

Fundamentals

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1

a better approach to understanding foreign direct investment and multinational corporations

In an old tale, six blind men have come into contact with an elephant

for the first time. They are curious to know what it is like. The first

blind man touches its side and says an elephant is like a hard wall.

The second puts his hand on the trunk and disagrees, saying an elephant

resembles a giant snake. The third blind man touches its tail and

compares the animal to a fuzzy piece of rope. The fourth feels the legs

and says the elephant is like four tree trunks. The fifth touches the

ear and describes it as a soft carpet. The last blind man touches

the tusk and proclaims an elephant to be sharp like a spear. Confused

that they all had come to radically different conclusions, they seek a wise

man to ask which one of them has it right. He tells them that they all

are right. The reason, he explains, is that ‘‘Each of you has ‘seen’

only one part of the elephant. To ascertain the truth, you must see

the whole animal.’’

Speaking metaphorically, this book is about a better way to analyzethe nature and impact of things that are having an increasingly important effect on our lives—things that receive much attention but are not easy

to comprehend. More to the point, it is about using largely ignored analytical

techniques to assess the nature and impact of the process of foreign direct

investment (FDI) and the business entities known as multinational corporations

(MNCs). It is intended to add to our far from comprehensive knowledge of what

they are and how they really affect the domestic and international economic and

11

political orders. This is a deceptively difficult task for several reasons. Far more

layers and variants of these international business phenomena exist than are com-

monly recognized. They are constantly assuming new shapes and permutations.

Perceptions frequently substitute for facts in defining reality.

Subsequent chapters will show that consensus has been unable to extend

much beyond agreement that FDI is growing in importance and that MNCs are

growing in number, and like untethered elephants, they cannot be ignored. The

clash of ideas centers on the questions of nature and effect. DoMNCs excessively

exploit the majority to benefit the relatively few owners of capital and harm the

environment? Or are they mainly a vehicle for enhancing the standard of living of

workers and consumers while doing relatively little social and environmental

harm? Returning to metaphor, should the multinationals be allowed to roam

relatively freely in search of profit or be constrained by the chains of vigorously

enforced governmental regulations aimed at ensuring they operate in what is

defined as the public good? ‘‘Touching’’ one part of them produces not only the

image of excessive concentrations of power in the hands of management and

wealth in the pocketbooks of shareholders but a precipitous decline in the power

of labor as well—all of which perpetuate social inequities. Touching another part

of the FDI/MNC phenomenon produces the image of unprecedented efficiency,

good jobs, and competitive prices for a constant array of new goods and ser-

vices—all of which make people’s lives better. Touching other parts reveals the

possibility of neutral effects and the presence of unknown factors suggesting

conclusions should be tentative.

‘‘Foreign direct investment’’ and ‘‘multinational corporation’’ are composite

phrases describing two separate but related phenomena. Both exist in many dif-

ferent forms, as will be spelled out in chapter 4. The number of valid general-

izations that can be made about the approximately 70,000 companies that meet

the definition of multinational dramatically declines when they are viewed in

anything but the broadest terms.1 Plentiful exceptions exist to almost any specific

rule about them. Patterns discerned in studies of all FDI in a single country or

FDI by a single industrial sector in many countries may or may not be legiti-

mately extrapolated to broader conclusions; it depends on specific circumstances.

Unambiguous black-or-white positions and generalizations tend to be the

outgrowth of inquiries based on too few data and too much preconceived bias.

Given its emphasis on objectivity and its tilt toward ambiguity, this study does

not (consciously) take sides. It is neither an endorsement of the criticisms by

detractors of FDI and MNCs nor an endorsement of the praise offered by their

supporters. To play advocate for a single point of view would contradict and

undermine the core thesis that depending on circumstances, these phenomena

can be very beneficial, very harmful, neutral, or uncertain in their impact.

fundamentals12

Needed: A More Accurate and Productive Method

of Evaluating FDI and MNCs

The most frequently asked question about FDI and MNCs (as defined in the

next chapter) is whether on balance they are a positive or negative thing for the

international community—and by extension whether governments should or

should not tightly regulate them. A two-tiered cottage industry exists to provide

evaluations of both. One floor cranks out proof that their collective contributions

to economic growth and efficiency comfortably outweigh the effects of their self-

aggrandizing oligopoly power and harm to society. The second floor generates

proof that the situation is in fact the other way around. The popularity of the

good-versus-bad question notwithstanding, this is not the most intellectually

productive avenue of inquiry into this subject. To be blunt, this is the wrong way

to frame the question. It typically leads to a very unrewarding least common

denominator approach. The whole is composed of so many dissimilar and con-

stantly evolving parts that generalizations about good and bad are superficial

at best and inaccurate at worst. Placing a list of pros and cons on either side of a

scale and then rendering a sweeping endorsement or condemnation of all FDI

and MNCs is an oversimplified and all-around unsatisfactory exercise.

A far more fruitful line of inquiry and the integrating thesis of this study is the

inevitability of heterogeneity in FDI and MNCs and accordingly, the imperative

of disaggregation. Nuance is too pervasive to permit many valid generalizations.

This leads to the hardly earth-shattering but surprisingly infrequently offered

conclusion that FDI in the form of foreign-owned or controlled subsidiaries is

sometimes a positive thing on balance, sometimes a bad thing on balance,

sometimes neutral or irrelevant on balance, and sometimes has an indeterminate

effect. This conclusion results in the phrase ‘‘it depends’’ being the mantra of the

approach taken in this study. Massive numbers of foreign subsidiaries operating

in hundreds of different national and regional environments generate a sliding

scale of economic effects that ranges from highly deleterious to highly beneficial.

Facts and circumstances are seldom if ever identical and need to be considered on

a case by case basis according to circumstances.

A disconcertingly large percentage of policy advocates and researchers of all

ideological persuasions has failed to explicitly recognize the seemingly obvious:

Different kinds of businesses produce different kinds of corporate activity and

diverse results. Stated another way, the result of different input is different output.

The nature, objectives, and effects of specific kinds of foreign subsidiaries are

not applicable to others. This guideline applies within countries, within business

sectors, and on a global basis. Even the notion that all multinationals are big

a better approach to understanding fdi and mncs 13

companies is a false generalization. No two MNCs are organized exactly alike,

share the same production profile, have the same business culture, and produce

identical effects on host and home countries. Some are genuinely socially en-

lightened, perhaps because they are based in countries that literally legislate the

requirement that corporations serve the interests of the larger community of

stakeholders (see chapter 2). Some are socially amoral with no discernible concerns

beyond serving the interests of their executives and shareholders. Few MNCs find

themselves in such a static business environment that their current management

strategy is the same as it was twenty to thirty years ago. Furthermore, very few (if

any) foreign subsidiaries, even of the same company, are identical in their output

and impact on the local economy.

The concepts of heterogeneity and disaggregation are essential elements in

providing a relatively objective and balanced explanation of the infinite number

of combinations within and among three main variables: the nature and the

effects of tens of thousands of individual foreign subsidiaries plus the conditions

in countries where they are located. MNCs and FDI have genetic codes that,

virus-like, are able to mutate in response to new external threats and opportu-

nities. Hundreds of variables create a complex, seldom (if ever) duplicated con-

fluence of factors that shape the characteristics and actions of each of the world’s

estimated 700,000 individual foreign subsidiaries, the end product of FDI and

the operating arm of MNCs.2 These foreign-owned factories, service facilities,

and natural resource extractive projects operate in dozens of different business

sectors in more than 200 countries and territories, each of which has its own

distinctive political, regulatory, and commercial milieu. Foreign subsidiaries are

created for different reasons (see chapters 4 and 6) and pursue their goals dif-

ferently. Among the diverse tasks they can be assigned are production of services,

components, or finished goods; wholesale distribution; retail sales; and research

and development. Different tasks and different locations mean that few, if any,

subsidiaries have identical needs for labor skills and identical schedules of pay

and benefits for workers.

Every overseas subsidiary faces a one-of-a-kind mix of pressures from cus-

tomers, headquarters, host governments, workers, and civil society. Each sub-

sidiary responds to its total environment in a unique way. Some provide lasting

benefits for the country in which they are operating, others exploit it and then

leave. Some countries hosting incoming FDI are powerful, highly developed, and

longtime practitioners of capitalism. Other host countries are just a few years

removed from bloody civil wars or communist economies where the concepts of

markets and private enterprise were alien. Companies founded in what are

popularly dubbed less-developed countries (LDCs) are now regularly becoming

multinationals with subsidiaries in industrial countries, thus reversing the his-

torical North to South direction of FDI (see chapters 4 and 8).

fundamentals14

Disaggregation also is an essential diagnostic tool to identify and measure the

different levels of quality by which an individual foreign subsidiary can be assessed.

As discussed in chapters 4, 12, and 13, certain kinds of FDI have a high statistical

probability of providing a favorable impact on the country inwhich they are located,

whereas other kinds have exhibited a high propensity for unfavorable, costly re-

sults. As argued throughout this book, the compatibility of MNCs with the welfare

of the countries in which they operate and those in which they are headquartered is

mainly determined by specific circumstances. A universally applied label of be-

nevolence or malevolence is at best misleading, at worst inaccurate. So, too, is an

operating assumption that all necessary data needed for evaluating FDI andMNCs

are available and accurate. If one accepts the hypotheses of the dominance of

heterogeneity and the need for disaggregation, no compelling economic or political

logic exists to demand that an all-inclusive guilty or innocent verdict be issued

regarding the cumulative net desirability of all foreign-owned or -controlled

subsidiaries in all countries. Most of the important questions, such as ‘‘Do MNCs

promote economic growth and employment?’’ ‘‘Do MNCs seek unconstrained

market power?’’ ‘‘Does FDI promote exports and upgrade local labor skills?’’ and

‘‘Do MNCs threaten local companies and culture?’’ have only one thing in com-

mon. The appropriate answer to all of them begins the same way: ‘‘sometimes.’’

Whether these questions should be answered in the affirmative or negative depends

on the nature of an individual subsidiary, the specific pattern of economic and

social effects by a foreign subsidiary on its local surroundings, and the economic-

political conditions prevailing in the host country. The answer to the question of

whether governmental policy should emphasize market forces or government

regulation is: It depends on one’s values.

The diversity of MNCs creates the opportunity for subjective research to find

at least one or two examples of just about any kind of corporate behavior, from

the most abhorrent to the most beneficial. The appropriate research question is

and always has been whether the presence of one or two case studies is adequate

to confirm existence of a larger truth as opposed to merely demonstrating isolated

anomalies. The answer is that it depends on the circumstances. Even multiple

case studies can strain credibility if the corporate behavior patterns cited no

longer are in effect. It is all too easy to start from a preconceived notion and find

at least some scattered examples for affirmation of a specific point of view.

Accuracy is more likely to be forthcoming from a research strategy that starts

with a blank ideological slate and no agenda, conducts a broad and deep exam-

ination of the many forms and behaviors of MNCs, and then reaches conclusions

integrating both the charms, warts, and intangibles of heterogeneous phenomena.

Another guideline for a more accurate and productive line of inquiry is to

appreciate that MNCs respond in large part to the larger business environment in

which they operate; they are not exclusively proactive movers and ‘‘shapers.’’ Yes,

a better approach to understanding fdi and mncs 15

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they are the proximate cause of major changes in the way that business is conducted

throughout the world. But they are better described as the middlemen of change

because they themselves are largely the effect of even larger phenomena. The two

most important are technological changes that restructured the international

economic order and the post–World War II relaxation of official barriers to in-

ternational trade and capital movements. Multinational companies are mainly the

offspring of the bigger, more powerful forces that rendered obsolete the concept of

national markets, meaning that producers of sophisticated manufacturing and

services products no longer can remain competitive if they produce and sell only in

their country of origin (see chapter 6). A more specific cause-and-effect conun-

drum is whether incoming FDI is a cause of accelerated economic development or

whether a country’s success in achieving high rates of economic growth and de-

velopment attract foreign companies/cause inward FDI (see chapters 8 and 14).

International business issues should be viewed in context, not as stand-alones.

MNCs long ago became a natural extension of corporate activity. The conflicting

attitudes toward the costs and benefits of private enterprise are similar whether

considering them on a global scale or in terms of a single country. Issues in-

volving multinationals are derivatives of larger divisive issues, just geographically

wider in scope and introducing the political/psychological variable of foreigners

being involved. The optimal division of wealth between owners of capital and

workers; the growing concentration of market power in fewer, increasingly large

companies; business’s influence on government policy makers; and environ-

mental damage are as much national as they are worldwide concerns. The pros

and cons of a handful of large nationwide retail chains driving out locally owned

stores by charging low prices and skimping on employee benefits (the Wal-Mart

syndrome) have many similarities with the mixed message of a large, aggressive

MNC amassing increasing market share on a country-by-country basis through

low prices and excellent customer service.

One of the very few generalizations that accurately characterize FDI andMNCs

is that their benefits have been exaggerated by advocates and their harm has been

exaggerated by critics. The massive proliferation of foreign-controlled subsidiaries

cannot accurately be characterized in the aggregate as a zero-sum game as its

harsher critics argue, nor can it accurately be labeled a positive-sum game as its most

enthusiastic advocates do (see chapters 12 and 13). Both sides of the public debate

have tended to oversimplify and share the same methodological deficiencies.

Shortcomings of Traditional Diagnosis

The approach to the study of FDI and MNCs advocated here is tantamount to

arguing the need to take the tale of the blind men to the next level. To see the

fundamentals16

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whole elephant in front of you is a necessary but not sufficient means to achieve

an adequate understanding of the full range of characteristics and behavior of an

entity that exists in multiple forms. When the men in the story heard the one-

sentence explanation as to why each had a different experience when touching

the animal, their curiosity was satisfied—but prematurely so. They still were far

removed from becoming fully informed about the subject of their inquiry. This is

the overlooked fallacy of the story. The men did not achieve full enlightenment

about elephants simply because a sighted person told them that all descriptions of

their individual tactile experiences had been correct, albeit limited in scope. They

learned only that there is utility in aggregating data to resolve apparent contra-

dictions. Errors of omission are still possible if some important parts of the

elephant were not touched by the six sets of hands and therefore could not be

entered into the equation. Seeing only a few aspects of FDI and MNCs similarly

provides only partial, potentially misleading understanding.

The limited inquiry conducted by the blind men in the tale provides a second

valuable lesson for students of the FDI/MNC phenomena: The specific object

being observed may or may not be representative of the entire range of the ob-

ject’s forms and variants. Examining only one form of the object under scrutiny

can result in inadequate data sampling that leads to inaccurate extrapolations

rather than a genuine mastery of the subject. If sightless people seeking to learn

about elephants touch only a three-month-old animal, their assessment of the

physical dimensions of the species will be faulty. However, it would be the same

situation if twenty people with perfect eyesight attempted to learn about ele-

phants by looking only at a relative newborn.

In addition to the need to account for age as a variable, a full understanding

here requires knowledge that the elephant family is composed of different spe-

cies. Asian and African elephants are not physically identical. Hence, both need

to be touched, if not visually examined, to assemble critical data on the different

forms of these animals. In some cases, information gathering done solely by touch

would be wholly inadequate. A rare strain of white elephant actually does exist,

but its most distinctive feature would elude the touch of 100 highly educated

blind people.3 Similarly, the heterogeneous nature and impact of FDI andMNCs

cannot be fully understood by touching only one, two, or three of the many forms

that they take.

The larger lesson of this classic tale goes beyond the virtue of information

seekers combining several perspectives to provide broader insights. It is a lesson

about the need to recognize the limits of partial knowledge and the need to

pursue further lines of inquiry to attain larger truths. The story never suggested

that after the blind men learned why each of their tactile experiences was dif-

ferent from the others, they realized the possibility that they were still missing

key pieces of data, that is, they were still ignorant of certain physical attributes of

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the elephant. Another lesson that is transferable to study of FDI and MNCs is

that all six assessments by the blind men were equally valid because each cor-

rectly portrayed partial reality. None negated the accuracy or usefulness of com-

peting descriptions.4 No one assessment could claim to have described the most

important trait of the animal, that is, none could claim to be the definitive

explanation of what they had touched. Additional fact finding and data analysis

would be necessary to produce such an explanation. At times, it is appropriate

that pursuits of a definitive study of elephants and a definitive understanding of

the world of FDI and MNCs incorporate a Hegelian dialectic to seek synthesis

between the valid points of numerous theses and antitheses.

A major shortcoming of most prior studies and discussions of FDI andMNCs

is their failure to emphasize that neither is cut from a single mold. They defy all-

inclusive labels and need to be understood as generic terms encompassing a

variety of formats. They are heterogeneous. A few studies have made this critical

point, but regrettably only briefly, without emphasis, and no follow-up. In an

incisive observation made too quickly and with no fanfare, David Fieldhouse

wrote, ‘‘Each corporation and each country is a special case. Individual examples

can neither prove nor disprove general propositions.’’5 Buried in the middle of a

paragraph on page 450 of a well-known 1978 book on the subject, the authors

quickly noted in passing that one of their ‘‘principal findings is that foreign direct

investment is an extremely heterogeneous phenomenon.’’6 The need to em-

phasize diversity goes beyond academic methodology; it has an important im-

plication for public policy as well. To the extent that systemic heterogeneity is

recognized, national laws and international agreements can be designed to deal

with specific contingencies and address specific infractions rather than regulate

on a broadly indiscriminate basis. As the authors of the just cited book said,

generalizations, including theirs, about the effects of FDI ‘‘must be treated with

extreme care, as must calls for sweeping policy approaches.’’7

Although the issues surrounding FDI andMNCs are numerous, difficult, and

not conducive to easy answers, they ultimately are about the two most complex

policy issues in political economy. The latter can be stated succinctly and clearly:

(1) what is the optimal trade-off for society between fairness and efficiency in the

economic order, and (2) where in economic policy is the optimal dividing point

between government regulation and free markets on both a national and global

basis? The wording of these two mega-questions never changes, but countless

responses over the years have failed to provide answers simultaneously satis-

factory to the opposite ends of the political spectrum. All of the chapters that

follow directly or indirectly touch on these questions. They are not intended to

provide definitive answers one way or the other but to analyze the two sides of the

argument in a way that helps point the way for a mutually acceptable common

ground between two clashing perspectives.

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Thousands of articles, books, and reports, together with uncountable speeches

and debates, collectively provide a vast body of information on the many facets of

our subject. Large quantities, at least in this case, are not synonymous with

complete, accurate, and up-to-date data. Though this is a personal opinion, the

combined written and oral efforts of practitioners, advocates, and researchers

do share at least one demonstrable failing: They have been unable to change a

measurable number of preexisting attitudes—pro, con, and noncommittal—

regarding FDI and MNCs. Scant progress has been made toward reaching

consensus on what kind of public policies should be applied to them. Closure has

been blocked in part because so many opinion makers, scholars, and casual

observers on both ends of the political spectrum either embrace international

business as a whole with open arms or attack it with a clenched fist. The standard

rhetoric of the opposing sides exudes the erroneous belief that the generic terms

FDI and MNCs are compatible with a one-size-fits-all set of government reg-

ulations, lenient or restrictive as the case may be. In fact, these terms are holding

companies for infinite variations of economic and business situations.

That relatively few people have switched from being favorably disposed to

opposed and vice versa seems to be a function of the continued paucity of uncon-

testable universal truths, real and perceived. New arguments have not come along

that were convincing enough as to be capable of changing people’s perceptions.

This is part of the explanation for a forty-year-old public debate about the virtues

and implications of FDI and MNCs that is better known for its intractable,

occasionally strident inconclusiveness than for its intellectual acuity. Given their

present and future importance to a growing percentage of the world’s population,

this is an unsatisfactory state of affairs. FDI is an important variable in deter-

mining economic growth, employment, incomes, and international trade flows.

By dominating global production of many key capital and consumer goods,

MNCs have become the most important nonstate actors in the international

political order, so much so that legitimate but not necessarily accurate concerns

have been raised about their ability to diminish the sovereignty of nation-states

(see chapter 10).

Another basic shortcoming of many of the words written and spoken on this

subject is failure to explicitly recognize how important perceptions, value judg-

ments, ideology, and sometimes self-interest are in shaping discussions by both

advocates and critics. When ‘‘attitude’’ fills a vacuum caused by a shortage of in-

controvertible data, a contest between diametrically different positions is likely to

provoke and perpetuate disagreement and crowd out objectivity. People tend to

view the FDI/MNC phenomena through differently configured lenses that have

been individually molded by the unique mix of values and experiences that

shapes our thinking. Greek philosopher Epictetus said some 2,000 years ago,

‘‘Men are disturbed not by things, but by the view which they take of them.’’

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Assessing what one sees when considering FDI and MNCs is somewhat akin to

taking a Rorschach test made up of concepts instead of ink drawings. Evaluations

of FDI and MNCs are prime examples of perceptions defining ‘‘truth.’’ (Full

disclosure: The text of this book is largely a manifestation, sometimes subcon-

sciously, of the author’s values and preferred methods of processing informa-

tion.)

When the need to make choices takes place in the absence of proven fact and in

the presence of perceptions, a political process is at work. Blanket condemnation

and praise of MNCs and FDI stem from divergent personal philosophies and

ideological beliefs (see chapter 5) that are subjective in nature. They cannot

definitively be proved or disproved by controlled laboratory experiments that,

as might be possible in the natural sciences, produce exactly the same result

after hundreds or even thousands of replications. Only a few things about these

phenomena can be deemed factual or be precisely quantifiable, such as corporate

sales, profits, and assets and the most popular country destinations of overseas

subsidiaries. The exact amount of annual worldwide FDI flows and the total

value of cumulative FDI outstanding are unknown due to data collection short-

comings and different definitions in national statistics (see chapter 14).

Subjectivity, the stuff of politics, is also deeply rooted in our subject matter

because of the totally hypothetical nature of the ‘‘what if ’’ scenario. Definitive

assessments of the gains or losses that would have accrued to a host country from

nonexistent FDI that might have been established, or of the net effects of not

introducing foreign subsidiaries that were in fact established are not possible.

Counterfactuals by definition are hypothetical statements and pure guesswork.

Irrefutable impact assessments could be achieved only by the science fiction

device of freezing time, turning back the clock, then either creating new foreign

subsidiaries that were not established or eliminating those that were, and finally

restarting time. The results of the new chain of events could then be definitively

compared to the original version of history.

Reduced to its essence, different perspectives in this case equate to a refer-

endum on big capitalism. Persons with very liberal or very conservative political

views are likely to process information in such a way that they perceive domestic

and international business operations mainly with skepticism or enthusiasm,

respectively. It is yet another case of honorable people looking at the same abstract

phenomena and seeing two mutually exclusive albeit completely legitimate ver-

sions. Both sides remain dogmatic and dug in for the long haul even though

neither can offer irrefutable proof that its position is the most accurate and

equates to first-best public policy strategy.

In the introductory lecture of my course on MNCs, the potential ambiguity of

perceptions is illustrated by showing students optical illusions in which two

images are entwined in an especially clever manner. When one looks at the classic

fundamentals20

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illusion in figure 1.1, the initial perception most likely will be the profile of an old

woman; a second look eventually will reveal the profile of a young woman. It’s all

a matter of perspective, not unlike viewing MNCs and FDI.

Scholarly Inquiry Needs to Keep Up with a Rapidly

Changing Business World

Finally, studies of FDI and MNCs should avoid a common error of commission

in the debate: failure to explicitly assert that these are not static phenomena.

Their dynamic properties have been clearly demonstrated historically in two

opposite ways. The first is the multinationals’ nonstop ability to adapt to and then

exploit changing economic and market conditions. The second face of dynamism

is big companies’ tendencies to restructure, fail outright, or be bought out by

bigger, more successful companies. To revert to cliché, the only constant has

been change. The new economics of high-technology production and the advent

of the information and telecommunications revolution have helped fuel an ac-

celerated flow of new products and new forms of international business opera-

tions since the 1980s. The continuing pace of change also reflects the overlapping

rise in the need for a successful multicountry business strategy and the decrease

in the difficulty of establishing foreign subsidiaries. The bottom line is that

relentless change in international business operations has reduced much of what

figure 1.1.

a better approach to understanding fdi and mncs 21

has been written about them to an interesting but somewhat outdated snapshot of

a particular point in time (a fate awaiting at least parts of this book) rather than an

accurate reflection of present-day conditions.

The start of a new millennium is a propitious time to suggest that more per-

sons and organizations on both sides of the pro/con argument need to recognize

the wide gap between conventional wisdom and changing real-world conditions.

MNCs have changed at a far faster rate than is commonly recognized. Several of

the contending arguments’ most cherished, longest used images and allegations

date back to the early 1970s and before. Continuing to repeat them without mod-

ification has become more a reflex action than an intellectually sound analytical

exercise. Several long-running allusions now qualify for antique status and are

badly in need of updating—if the objective is to construct timely and accurate

characterizations. The forecast of an operatic drama featuring apocalyptic

struggles between gargantuan, avaricious, unaccountable, monopoly-seeking,

amoral-exploit-the-workers commercial baronies and altruistic protectors of the

people but overmatched government officials has not quite materialized. Neither

have the promises that MNCs could work wonders in reducing poverty and

economic backwardness and that a new age of enlightened corporate executive

embraced the practice of responsible corporate behavior.

The accumulated literature seldom highlights the extent to which the con-

tinuing evolution of FDI and MNCs impedes formulation of a permanently

accurate analysis or critique of how they behave, what their objectives are, or

what effects they have. A good example of this syndrome is Global Reach—The

Power of the Multinational Corporations, a book Richard J. Barnet and Ronald E.

Müller, published in 1974. It became a major source of grist for the mills of an

entire generation of skeptics and critics who saw a dangerous if not disruptive and

harmful trend in the making. When examining this much-quoted book three

decades later, one finds a largely accurate description of the unprecedented scale

and scope of MNCs, the implications of which had not previously been articu-

lated in such a detailed manner.

Some of its arguments, however, invite an update or a disagreement. In

response to the statement that ‘‘Driven by the ideology of infinite growth, a

religion rooted in the existential terrors of oligopolistic competition, global

corporations act as if they must grow or die,’’8 one should begin by noting that

big corporations are anything but immortal. Any company faced with aggressive,

smart, and persistent competitors will eventually confront financial death if it is

too incompetent or self-assured to innovate, cut costs, and serve customers in a

way that allows it to protect and increase its profits. It is common for those who

criticize large corporations and markets to downplay the degree to which chang-

ing conditions in the latter can render summary judgment on the former. Per-

manence is not a fringe benefit that comes with a company growing in size and

fundamentals22

profitability; ‘‘here today and gone tomorrow’’ is the more prevalent syndrome.

One-third of the corporate giants listed in the Fortune 500 in 1980 were not there

in 1990 because of decline, acquisition, or bankruptcy; another 40 percent of the

1980 class was gone by 1995.9 The constant change in the composition of the

Dow Jones Industrial Average is additional testament to the ebbs and flows of

business success. Sometimes the cause is management mistakes, for example,

they ignore what Andrew Grove called inflection points—full-scale transfor-

mational changes in a business sector that can provide a responsive company with

an opportunity to ‘‘rise to new heights’’ or signal the demise of a nonresponsive

one.10 At other times, hot-selling products fall by the wayside, victims of new

technology or fickle consumers.

When the authors of Global Reach offered a list of firms in support of their

argument that a global company is by definition an oligopoly,11 they uninten-

tionally demonstrated the fallacy of overlooking the fact that only a select few

companies remain dominant in their product line for extended periods of time.

The list began with IBM, who in the 1970s was the prototypical mighty MNC.

No one could have guessed then that a few years later it would have to rush to

reinvent itself after it suffered a nearly fatal disregard during the 1980s for the

shift away from its one-time core product, mainframe computers. More recently,

as part of its transition to becoming a business services company, IBM sold its

personal computer division to, improbably, a Chinese company.

Ford and General Motors, two other companies cited in the Global Reach list

of market-dominating oligopolists, remain huge global corporations, but they

have become symbols of American manufacturing giants in distress. A steady

erosion in their domestic market share, high fixed costs (especially for workers’

health benefits and retiree pensions) relative to their foreign competition, slim-

to-nonexistent profit margins, and lack of confidence in management’s ability to

turn the situation around resulted in credit ratings agencies downgrading their

debt (i.e., bonds) to ‘‘junk’’ status in 2005. No outside financial analyst could rule

out the possibility of either or both of these one-time corporate icons needing to

seek protection under U.S. bankruptcy law. Other companies listed as examples

of big oligopolists included the seemingly omnipotent international oil companies

known as the seven sisters. They would later have to adjust to nationalizations of

their oil concessions and respond to the rising costs of oil exploration by engaging

in a spate of mergers, which reduced their number to four. Of the four remaining

firms on the list, National Biscuit was acquired by a cigarette company, and Du

Pont, Dow Chemical, and Bayer no longer command the status of market-

dominating, rapidly expanding kings of the universe.

Barnet and Müller’s claim that ‘‘The global corporation is the first institution

in human history dedicated to centralized planning on a world scale’’ is an

oversimplification. It can be countered with the observation that many MNCs

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prefer decentralized, that is, subsidiary-by-subsidiary decision making by exec-

utives of various nationalities who are closer to and more knowledgeable about

local market conditions and changing tastes of customers throughout the world.

Successfully standardized ‘‘world products’’ have proven to be the exception

rather than the rule. Elsewhere, the authors raised a two-part question as to

whether the rise of ‘‘world managers’’ would lead to ‘‘a new golden age or a new

form of imperial domination,’’ and whether MNCs represent ‘‘mankind’s best

hope for producing and distributing the riches of the earth’’ or ‘‘an international

class war of huge proportions, and, ultimately ecological suicide?’’12 Offering

only these diametrically opposite, black-and-white choices incorrectly ignored

what unsurprisingly, subsequently occurred: a large gray area of mixed, some-

times ambiguous results that falls between the extremes.

There was and is no good reason for the world not to be vigilant against allow-

ing excessive power to accrue to MNCs. Still, a better assessment of the major

changes then under way in the international order and the role of multinational

firms in these changes can be found in a 1968 book by renowned management

guru Peter Drucker:

Genuinely new technologies are upon us. They are almost certain to create

new major industries and brand-new major businesses and to render ob-

solete at the same time existing major industries and big businesses. . . .We

face an Age of Discontinuity in world economy and technology. . . .The

one thing that is certain so far is that it will be a period of change—in

technology and in economic policy, in industry structures and in economic

theory, in the knowledge needed to govern and to manage, . . .While we

have been busy finishing the great nineteenth-century economic edifice, the

foundations have shifted under our feet, . . . Imperceptibly there has emer-

ged a world economy in which common information generates the same

economic appetites, aspirations, and demands—cutting across national

boundaries and languages and largely disregarding political ideologies as

well. The world has become, in other words, one market, one global shop-

ping center. (emphasis in original)13

The Paradigm to Be Examined

An opening exists for an even-handed, ‘‘no attitude’’ analysis that connects more

dots than its predecessors and illustrates more clearly how irregularly shaped

pieces relate to the larger picture. In seeking new clarity and more accuracy, this

study is distinctive from the mainstream by virtue of emphasizing diversity and

presenting a menu of answers, not definitive conclusions. Instead of searching for

fundamentals24

a uniform, predictable set of behavior patterns, it stresses the nature and im-

plications of heterogeneity in the subjects being analyzed. Hence, the emphasis

placed on the use of disaggregation and the avoidance of generalization. No

attempt is made to pursue the arguably unattainable quest to formulate uni-

fied theories about the nature and net welfare effects on countries of FDI and

MNCs. The ‘‘anti’’ theory presented in this study is that there is no provable, all-

encompassing hypothesis capable of synthesizing the aggregate character, relative

merits, and overall impact of FDI andMNCs. The already large and still growing

numbers of foreign-controlled subsidiaries share too few specific, nonobvious

characteristics to justify stereotypes.

This new methodology is actually a throwback to one of the first academic

books written specifically on FDI and MNCs. In the introduction to his 1969

work, Charles Kindleberger advised his readers, ‘‘We shall encounter a variety of

attempts to prescribe general precepts, and I will find it possible as a rule to suggest

circumstances in which they are not appropriate.’’14 This is also my intention.

Some readers of this book will dismiss such an approach as a cop-out lacking in

intellectual vigor and appreciation of theory. Their numbers will be reduced to the

extent that subsequent chapters are convincing in their arguments as to why it is

the best and most accurate assessment, or at worst, the least imperfect.

In sum, the integrating theme of the chapters that follow is that our cumu-

lative knowledge about FDI and MNCs is still inadequate and the heterogeneity

of corporations and countries is too great to permit generalized conclusions that

can be defended as accurate and enduring. The subjects being observed are too

dissimilar, fluid, and ambiguous to permit more than a handful of ‘‘correct’’

analytic answers and ‘‘optimal’’ government policies to regulate FDI and MNCs

at any given time. In the past, most of the judgments made about international

corporate behavior have had to be revised and expanded as MNCs continuously

adapted to relentless forces of change. Extrapolations have amassed more of a

record of medium-term obsolescence than sustained accuracy. The forces of

change will continue to manifest themselves, and the results cannot be predicted

with any more certainty than upcoming patterns in a turning kaleidoscope.

Notes

1. Data source: United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD),

World Investment Report 2005, p. 13, available online at http://www.unctad.org; ac-

cessed November 2005.

2. Ibid.

3. In theory, the potential for pachyderm heterogeneity goes further. Drunks reportedly

have seen pink elephants, though no scientific evidence exists to confirm their exis-

a better approach to understanding fdi and mncs 25

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tence. Furthermore, ever since 1941, the movie classic Dumbo has implanted the

image in the imaginations of successive generations that given sufficiently large ears,

an elephant could fly. After the blind men, the second most famous fictional collective

to contemplate the characteristics of an elephant was a group of talking crows in

Dumbo. They, too, fell short in their elephant IQ when they initially dismissed

Dumbo’s chances of taking flight.

4. George J. Marshall, ‘‘Hegel and the Elephant,’’ available online at http://www.bu

.edu/wcp/Papers/Inte/InteMars.htm; accessed October 2004.

5. David Fieldhouse, ‘‘ ‘A New Imperial System’? The Role of the Multinational Cor-

porations Reconsidered,’’ in Jeffry A. Frieden and David A. Lake, eds., International

Political Economy, 4th ed. (Boston: Bedford/St. Martin’s, 2000), p. 176.

6. C. Fred Bergsten, Thomas Horst, and Theodore H. Moran, American Multinationals

and American National Interests (Washington, DC: Brookings Institution, 1978), p.

450.

7. Ibid.

8. Richard J. Barnet and Ronald Müller, Global Reach—The Power of the Multinational

Corporations (New York: Simon and Schuster, 1974), p. 364.

9. ‘‘The World’s View of Multinationals,’’ The Economist, January 29, 2000, p. 21.

10. Andrew S. Grove, Only the Paranoid Survive (New York: Currency Doubleday,

1996), pp. 3–4.

11. Barnet and Müller, Global Reach, p. 34.

12. Ibid., pp. 14, 25.

13. Peter F. Drucker, The Age of Discontinuity (New York: Harper and Row, 1968), pp. ix,

10, x; emphasis in original.

14. Charles P. Kindleberger, American Business Abroad (New Haven, CT: Yale University

Press, 1969), p. 36.

fundamentals26

2

defining the subject Subtleties and Ambiguities

In what might be called a retro innovation, the substantive assessmentof the nature and impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) and multinational corporations (MNCs) begins in a relatively unusual manner. It

pauses to explain in detail precisely what these terms mean because their defi-

nitions are neither self-evident nor common knowledge. The absence of consensus

about their overall nature and effects begins at a very rudimentary level: What are

the defining characteristics of these complex, diverse, and abstract entities?

Before defining FDI and MNCs, this chapter takes two steps back to advance

the simple, but somewhat unconventional argument that there are two important

issues that are even more basic than definitions of our subject matter. The first

section examines the conflicting perceptions and definitions of that which pre-

ceded and later gave birth to FDI and MNCs: the domestic corporation. The

next section assesses the very basic question of whether multinational corporation

is the most appropriate term for that which is to be defined. Finally, the chapter’s

third section presents a broad range of definitions covering this study’s subject

matter. This would seem like the logical starting point, but definitions of FDI

and MNCs are best presented after a generic description of the corporation and a

look at the conceptual difficulties associated with determining the most accurate

term for what is to be defined.

What Is a Corporation? What Is Its Mission?

Insights into the nature, functions, responsibilities, and impact of MNCs begin

with insights into the same four aspects of that which spawned them: the domestic

corporation. A corporation is the most important private sector institution for

creating wealth and allocating resources on a country-by-country basis. MNCs

27

serve this role in the global economy. As a consequence, domestic corporate

issues extrapolated to the international business arena shed light on the under-

lying themes of most major MNC/FDI-related issues. In some cases, domestic

and international corporate questions are the two sides of the same coin.

The domestic-international parallels begin with the difficulties inherent in

constructing a consensus definition of either type of corporation and in setting

criteria for measuring their net impact, either good or bad. Given the eclectic

approach of this book, the appropriate starting point is to quote the observation

by two business analysts that definitions of the corporation ‘‘reflect the per-

spective (and the biases) of the people writing the definitions.’’1 The near im-

possibility of devising a single concise, universally accepted definition of the

modern corporation reflects the important roles of perceptions and value judg-

ments, as well as the nature of the beast. Another obstacle is the multiple dimen-

sions inherent in the corporate phenomenon: legal status, purpose, internal

governance, external responsibilities to society (if any), and so on. Is there an

order of priority among these subthemes? Do all have to be considered or just

some? If the objective is to make a one-sided case for the corporation’s net virtues

or net drawbacks, a succinct, deliberately worded, unnuanced definition would

suffice. Given this book’s broader perspective and commitment to an objective

study emphasizing heterogeneity, legitimate differences in perceptions are in-

evitable, and the need for disaggregation, multiple definitions and descriptions of

the corporation are necessary.

In the most literal, basic terms, a corporation is a business entity that has met

certain legal requirements and has had its incorporation papers approved by des-

ignated national and/or local government authorities in the country where the new

corporation resides. From a narrow legal perspective, at least under U.S. law, a

corporation is no more than a web of contracts and other legal documents that tie

together various parties to a specific company. In broader legal terms, a corporation

(as distinct from a sole proprietorship or a partnership) is a freestanding entity

separate from its owners and is a de facto citizen. It possesses separate legal rights,

liabilities, and responsibilities; these include the ability to buy and sell assets, enter

into contracts, issue debt, and sue or be sued in the judicial system. Three other

important characteristics of corporations are that they

1. Have an unlimited life that allows them to continue even though owners

and managers come and go.

2. Allow easy transferability of ownership interests by shares of stock that

can be transferred from one owner to another quickly and easily.

3. Have limited liability. Owners’ losses are limited to the funds they

invested in the corporation, that is, owners cannot be assessed to cover

corporate deficits or obligations.2

fundamentals28

Beyond these legalistic characteristics, definitions often demonstrate value

judgments, if not outright biases. Critics of free markets and those with doubts

about capitalism would sympathize with the caustic definition of a corporation as

‘‘an ingenious device for obtaining individual profit without individual respon-

sibility.’’3 Disdain for corporations can be taken to the next level by branding

them as ruthless seekers of self-aggrandizement with a genetically embedded,

irrepressible desire to seek enough market power to fix prices for its goods at

levels that guarantee maximum profits for the long term. This goal is derided as

an effort to provide limitless riches to a relatively small capitalist class, with little

or no concern about possible negative costs to society as a whole or the relative

lack of benefits accruing to workers whose toil produces the goods and services

being sold. The implication of this characterization is that governments must

systematically monitor, tax, and regulate companies to limit their alleged natural

inclinations to exploit the majority and abuse their power in a perpetual, single-

minded drive to maximize profits.

Most critics of corporations would go one step further and express concern

about the diminishing likelihood of proper government regulation when the

financial power and reach of corporations continue to grow beyond what these

critics perceive as already being at disturbingly large sizes. They would define

corporations in terms of their supposed ability to convert economic power into

the ability to co-opt government officials’ interpretation of the public good. They

presumably could do this through massive increases in donations to politicians

and political parties and by means of threats to move the company and its jobs to

a different jurisdiction.

Most people embracing a right-of-center political ideology would offer a very

different core definition: A corporation is a business entity designed to make

profits by pleasing customers. By doing so, it justifies the confidence placed in it

by its owners. Profits enhance the wealth of shareholders through rising stock

prices and higher dividends. The idealized version of perfectly functioning mar-

kets affirms that the quest to create wealth for shareholders is a positive-sum game

because to achieve it, companies must serve the public interest. The unrelenting

need to maximize efficiency—for which corporations are superbly designed—in

producing goods or providing services presumably translates into rising living

standards for the public at large. Companies do this by optimizing output

(usually through high volume), increasing the ability of people to consume by

keeping prices low (in economic terms, the result is increased real incomes), and

by widening consumers’ choices. The pro-corporation line of reasoning explains

that superior management is acquired and retained by competitive salaries and

bonuses linked to increased corporate profitability and rising stock prices, neither

of which can be generated for long by overpriced or underperforming goods and

services.

defining the subject 29

To depict private corporations as efficiency-driven, positive-sum game in-

stitutions is to argue that a successful company does what no government agency

can do. Relentless competition and unforgiving market forces afford the private

sector no alternative to utilization of resources in the most efficient manner,

constant innovation, quick adjustment to changing tastes and needs of consumers,

and taking risks to keep one step ahead of competitors. New technology creates

new business opportunities and pushes obsolete businesses into oblivion. Cor-

porate growth translates into additional jobs. Unlike the typical government

agency, a commercial company must be able to meet its customers’ present and

future needs to perpetuate itself. Only government agencies can enjoy perma-

nence and increased budgets through statutory authority.

Another useful insight into the nature of the corporation is to examine the

evolution of its structure as logical responses to constantly changing external

stimuli. Until the second half of the nineteenth century, most manufacturers

were relatively small, unincorporated sole proprietorships or partnerships serv-

ing geographically limited markets. An unprecedented progression of innova-

tions in transportation, communications, and power generation that began in the

second half of the 1800s encouraged the move to ever larger factories to utilize

economies of scale (see chapter 6) through larger volumes of production and

sales—a trend that continues today. Individual owners needed increasing amounts

of capital to keep growing, and many found incorporation and selling shares in

the company (above and beyond borrowing) to be a cost-effective means of doing

so. As production techniques became more complex, corporations continued

growing in terms of size and the number of owners. Gradually, many companies

became so large that they began replacing their founders with professional

managers hired from outside or promoted from within. The continued growth in

the number of shareholders meant an increasing disconnect between ownership

and control of corporations.

By the mid-twentieth century, the larger, more successful manufacturing

corporations extended their capabilities beyond the production line to include

marketing, distribution, research and development, and international divisions.4

A significant organizational innovation became commonplace after WorldWar II,

first in the United States and soon elsewhere, establishing subsidiaries in nu-

merous foreign countries; in other words, growing numbers of firms were trans-

forming themselves into MNCs.

A definitive definition of the corporation must go beyond what thus far has

largely been a U.S.-centric point of view. Deeply held beliefs throughout much

of Europe and Asia go beyond the legal, economic, and organizational definitions

to include assigning it an organic role as a societal institution. This concept puts

less emphasis on corporate profits and stock prices and more emphasis on the

need to fulfill what are deemed essential obligations to the broad public interest.

fundamentals30

Country-by-country differences in assigning priorities to serving the interests of

society relative to shareholders largely derive from differences in deeply rooted

cultural values. Acceptance of the proposition that corporate operating guidelines

can differ from country to country adds credence to the school of thought that the

world is populated by transnational companies with distinctive national qualities

and priorities that do not universally fall into the category of like-minded stateless

MNCs. As globalization proceeds and business interaction among countries in-

tensifies, it is logical to wonder whether their differing systems for regulating

corporations, based as they are on strong cultural preferences, present oppor-

tunities for convergence, cooperation, or conflict5—or all three. (The questions

of how and to what extent MNCs should be regulated are addressed in chapter

11.)

The issue of corporate obligations and goals is frequently framed as a question

of primacy between two contending interest groups. For whom should a cor-

poration primarily be run? On one side are the shareholders who bought stock in a

company for the purpose of receiving a return on investment and who ultimately

own it. On the other side are the stakeholders, a broader, more inclusive group that

is composed of all persons or entities that are affected by the activities, successes,

and failures of a corporation. This ‘‘public commons’’ is composed of the

community at large (including the environment), employees, customers, other

companies doing business with the corporation, national and local governments,

lenders (banks, bondholders, etc.), along with shareholders. Which set of in-

terests should be served first and foremost is a decision that tends to flow from

one’s place on the political left-to-right spectrum (see chapter 5).

The Anglo-Saxon model (so named because it has mainly been used in the

United States and the United Kingdom) favors a market-oriented economic

ideology. It therefore tilts in favor of giving priority—not exclusivity—to the

interests of shareholders. The Economist opined that a corporation placing social

responsibility ahead of profits is ‘‘philanthropy at other people’s expense.’’ Man-

agers are entrusted with the care of assets belonging to the company’s share-

holding owners; if executives want to support good causes out of their own

pockets, that would be admirable. Besides, asked the article, ‘‘is it really for man-

agers and NGOs to decide social-policy priorities . . . ? In a democracy, that is a

job for voters and elected politicians.’’6 By encouraging maximum corporate

freedom and efficiency short of violations of laws and regulations, the private

sector has been instrumental for many decades in generating steady increases

in standards of living. Hence this viewpoint argues that government should

encourage and support the dynamism of business, not stifle efficiency and in-

novation with red tape.

The majority of Western European and developing countries plus Japan have

a different set of values. They believe that the primary purpose of economic

defining the subject 31

activity is to serve and protect the population as a whole, not an economic elite.

They embrace a government-dominated model to pursue a ‘‘just’’ society that

serves the vast majority. Pursuit of full employment, worker benefits, and a com-

prehensive social safety net at some cost to corporate profits and after-tax income

of the owners of capital is deemed fully justified.

The efficiency maximization and societal enhancement models of the corpo-

ration are not mutually exclusive. Although it would be naive to suggest that they

will eventually meet in the middle and merge into a single theory of economic

structure, both versions of corporate missions and responsibilities have seen the

need to adopt some principles of the other. Many persons who still define the

ultimate justification of the corporation in terms of its unmatched ability to gen-

erate physical output, efficiency, and wealth would probably accept Peter

Drucker’s definition that the ‘‘modern corporation is a political institution; its

purpose is the creation of legitimate power in the industrial sphere.’’7 They likely

would have more reservations about more ‘‘progressive’’ assertions, like ‘‘The

corporation cannot—and should not survive if it does not take responsibility for

the welfare of all of its constituents and for the well-being of the larger society

within which it operates.’’8

Committed advocates of stakeholder rights think that the legitimacy of the

contemporary corporation—its social charter—‘‘depends on its ability to meet

the expectations of an increasingly numerous and diverse array of constituents.’’9

Much to the dismay of these activists, some companies and policymakers in

Western Europe and Japan at the start of the millennium were reluctantly

conceding that swelling global competitive pressures necessitated at least a small

step in adopting the unsentimental brand of U.S. capitalism that allows forced

layoffs and a frozen benefit scale for workers, accepts most corporate bank-

ruptcies, and seems content to accept a secular decline in the power and size of

unions. In its most polarized form, the shareholder-stakeholder debate extrap-

olated to the global stage has long been a major contributing factor to the backlash

against globalization (see chapter 5).

The larger reality is that the corporation is still a work in progress. Its or-

ganizational structure and mission continue to evolve and diversify, for better or

worse. No matter how someone defines it at any given time, the terms used

inevitably will need to be modified and expanded—on more than one occasion—

if obsolescence is to be avoided.

Until the late 1990s, governance had been an arcane aspect of the corporate

process largely ignored by the public. It became a hot policy topic that swelled in

importance as news headlines trumpeted the latest in what seemed to be an endless

series of corporate financial scandals engineered by senior executives, mostly in the

United States but also in Europe, Japan, and elsewhere. Corporate governance as

discussed here is a term roughly synonymous with oversight of management.

fundamentals32

(Lacking a precise meaning, it can also be used to refer to the structure of internal,

day-to-day corporate decision making and procedures for resource allocation). The

better the oversight by a select group of informed, independent outsiders that

outranks senior operational executives, the less likely that the latter will commit

such crimes as ‘‘cooking the books’’ to inflate earnings, siphoning funds from the

company, engaging in insider stock trades, making patently false statements about

the company’s financial health, and so on. Good corporate governance also hastens

the exit of executives guilty of such noncriminal acts as recklessness, repeated poor

business decisions, unethical acts, and so on.

Externally, corporate oversight is administered by government agencies such

as the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, the Internal Revenue Service,

and by private entities such as the two major national stock exchanges. Internally,

corporate governance is centered in the board of directors, a body mandated by

government statute in many countries. In the United States, it is charged with

establishing and adjusting the levels of salary and benefits earned by senior man-

agers and, when necessary, with firing them. Boards also approve broad changes

in corporate strategy, examine and certify company financial statements, and

(at least in the United States) ensure that the interests of shareholders are rea-

sonably protected. In Germany, a different philosophy about corporate priorities

and responsibilities led to a governance practice known as codetermination.

Medium and large corporations are required by law to have a supervisory board

(roughly analogous to the board of directors of U.S. corporations) that is equally

divided between members chosen by employees and members representing

shareholders.

Depending on one’s perspectives, a good board could be defined as a toothless

group that stays out of the way of senior managers. The latter in theory are full-

time executives with distinguished credentials who are the best informed on

current market conditions and the intricacies of the company’s operations. A ‘‘see

no evil, hear no evil, and speak no evil’’ board of directors that eschews second-

guessing management begins with having the chief executive officer (CEO)

double as chairperson of the board, as opposed to having an independent member

of the board of directors hold the position. The all-important second step is

recruiting a majority of directors who will not rock management’s boat. These

kinds of directors include personal friends and relatives of the chairman/presi-

dent, employees of the company, executives of outside businesses that want to

retain their contracts to sell goods or services to the company, and persons too

busy or untrained to pore over corporate documents.

A genuine ‘‘checks and balances’’ board operates very differently and corre-

sponds to the opposite definition of desirable oversight. It is one composed mainly

or totally of independent, knowledgeable directors and a chairperson with no

conflicts of interest. They conscientiously keep close tabs on what management is

defining the subject 33

doing and saying. The board is prepared to bare its sharp teeth and has the

inclination and competence to vigorously hold management responsible for

running the corporation efficiently and honestly in the home country and, in

cases of MNCs, in host countries abroad. This is the kind of board of directors

that the U.S. government has mandated for U.S.-based companies. The most

tangible response of the U.S. Congress to the early twenty-first century parade of

corporate scandals was the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. Designed to reduce

conflicts of interest at the highest corporate echelons, the legislation mandated

several requirements to ensure a minimum level of independence for boards of

directors, prohibited accounting firms from performing a number of (usually

lucrative) consulting functions for the companies they audit, and so on. It is an

open question as to whether these and additional safeguards can ever entirely

prevent unscrupulous executives from bending the rules or attempting the

perfect white-collar crime.

What’s in a Name? Are MNCs Really ‘‘Multinational’’?

A second step needed before defining the subject matter of this book is trying to

resolve the seemingly pro forma task of determining what to call the interna-

tionally oriented business entities that will be defined and later analyzed. No

universal consensus on the most basic terminology exists. The term multinational

corporation is employed throughout this book because it is the most commonly

used, and it satisfactorily (though perhaps imperfectly) conveys the nature of this

kind of business enterprise. A number of scholars and analysts use the equally

suitable term enterprise in lieu of corporation. Arguably, the choice here is mostly

a matter of semantics. In theory, a business with foreign subsidiaries might not

be incorporated in the headquarters country; even fewer could be government-

owned enterprises, often referred to as parastatals. However, these rare excep-

tions are so greatly overshadowed in size and importance by traditional corpo-

rations that there seems to be no compelling intellectual reason to opt for enterprise

on the basis that it has a more all-encompassing connotation.

A far more significant question is whether to use multinational or transnational

as the adjective before corporation. The choice of words in this case involves more

than semantics. These two modifiers symbolize a conceptual disagreement about

how, at their core, MNCs are organized and managed and how they establish

priorities. On one side is the belief that MNCs are a new kind of stateless entity

with no allegiance to any particular country or business style. Such companies

allegedly represent an economic and political revolution in the form of a radically

new business paradigm, one unusually disdainful of government authority and

dismissive of what they see as obsolete old-order constraints, such as national

fundamentals34

loyalties and borders. MNCs are sometimes depicted as new age global players

that have methodically shed a single national identity in favor of the multiple

identities needed to conquer multiple national markets. Their goal is a new

level of cosmopolitanism in the quest to successfully compete in dozens of far-

flung countries having diverse cultures. Japanese business consultant Kenichi

Ohmae once exhorted executives to accept that neither an MNC’s country of

origin nor the location of its headquarters matters. ‘‘The products for which you

are responsible and the company you serve have become denationalized,’’ he

wrote.10

To those who subscribe to this viewpoint, multinational connotes a blending of

various national traits. The end product is a novel form of enterprise that op-

erates in as many different ways as countries in which it maintains subsidiaries

and major sales operations. Decisions on where to produce what goods pre-

sumably are based on worldwide searches by globally oriented technocrats guided

solely by the credo of seeking maximum efficiency with minimum costs.

The opposing theory holds that MNCs are in fact transnationals, because

ultimately they are nothing more than big national companies with operating

subsidiaries in at least one other country, not a mixture of multiple nationalities.

The statistically average MNC employs about two-thirds of its workforce and

produces more than two-thirds of its output in the home country, typically a

large industrialized economy.11 Some scholars reject the notion that a new breed

of denationalized corporation has emerged, one having an entirely new modus

operandi shaped by a truly globalized mindset. This school of thought holds that

even the most geographically dispersed companies do not and cannot totally

divorce themselves from the national heritage that shaped their growth, corporate

culture, and operating rules. A globally active corporation can ‘‘go native’’ on the

surface, but not systemically. For example, a Japanese company operating in any

country is likely to bring with it its native predilection for long-term growth and

market share over immediate profits. As already noted, governance requirements

under German corporate law preclude companies from dismissing the interests

of their employees in the race to maximize shareholder value.

In The Myth of the Global Corporation, one of the most widely cited books

espousing what, with only a slight exaggeration, might be dubbed as the uni-

national overseas corporation thesis, the authors argue that ‘‘the most strategically

significant operations of MNCs continue to vary systematically along national

lines.’’ ‘‘Distinctive national histories have left legacies that continue to affect the

behavior’’ of even the largest MNCs. History and national culture allegedly

‘‘continue to shape both the internal structures of MNCs and the core strategies

articulated through them.’’ The authors further assert that MNCs should not

be depicted as engines of globalization because they ‘‘are not converging to-

ward global behavioral norms’’ devoid of their respective national origins. ‘‘The

defining the subject 35

global corporation, adrift from its national political moorings and roaming an

increasingly borderless world market, is a myth.’’12 Another scholar argues that

the typical MNC does not ‘‘leave’’ country A for country B; she feels that it is not

an either/or situation. The management, governance, and organizational struc-

ture of a corporation overlap the political boundaries of home and host coun-

tries.13 The global nature of multinationals also has been questioned on grounds

that many have a very high percentage of their sales in their home country and a

limited number of foreign markets.

In some cases, the relatively recently coined term multidomestic company may

be the appropriate appellation. This would be applicable to MNCs that em-

phasize global decentralization and maintain small headquarters operations.

Some or all of their overseas subsidiaries are given above-average autonomy and a

relatively free hand to act as much as possible as a locally owned company in host

countries. The managerial ranks at these stand-alone subsidiaries usually are

staffed mainly or even totally with local nationals. Another relatively new term,

global corporation, may catch on if only because it has a nice ring to it. Finally, two

seldom used terms suggest a more value-free, all-inclusive label: multination

business and transnational production.

Definitions of FDI and MNC

Foreign direct investment and multinational corporation are two inextricably in-

tertwined concepts but not perfect synonyms. They are subtly different facets of

the phenomenon of international business operations, but are often jointly re-

ferred to in the chapters that follow.

FDI is a financial process associated with companies operating and controlling

income-generating facilities in at least one country outside their country of or-

igin. Governments adopt and administer FDI policy. AnMNC is a tangible entity

that in some way will impact a home country, which is where its main head-

quarters is located, and one or more host countries, the recipient(s) of incoming

FDI. Although a company might designate a tax-haven country as its official

place of incorporation, in practical terms the headquarters or home country is

where the offices of the top echelon of management are located. In most cases,

this is also the country where the corporation began and where the largest per-

centage of its shareholders resides.

The terms FDI and MNC share the problem of inexact definitions. In con-

sidering the definitions that follow, one should be mindful that they are not

immutable. They have been altered over the years and are likely to undergo

further modifications in the future. Moreover, a few countries use definitions that

differ from the one most commonly used.

fundamentals36

FDI is a term used in at least four ways. First, it is the corporate activity that

confers the status of multinational on certain firms. It is what MNCs do to

become MNCs. Second, FDI is a financial activity. It normally consists of an

international capital flow from the home country to the host country for the

purpose of acquiring partial or full ownership of a tangible business entity, such

as a factory, extractive facility, or wholesale distribution system. As a branch of

international finance, FDI has implications for the balance of payments of both

home and host countries. Third, FDI is the generic term used to designate the

economic policies toward MNCs and international investment flows maintained

by governments and international organizations. Finally, FDI is the generic term

used by official statistical agencies to measure in monetary terms the annual

incoming and outgoing flow and the cumulative value, that is, the stock of inward

direct investments, on a country-by-country basis.

Two important technical qualifications are necessary. First, an FDI transac-

tion does not literally need to involve an international capital flow to conform to

these definitions. MNCs occasionally opt to finance the building, acquisition, or

expansion of an overseas subsidiary by raising the needed funds in the host coun-

try’s capital markets through bank borrowing or issuance of stocks and bonds.

When expanding an existing operation, a corporation might tap the subsidiary’s

retained earnings (profits) as opposed to transferring capital from the home

country. Second, FDI can take place without an MNC being involved; for ex-

ample, a group of independent investors in one country could acquire a 10 percent

or more (see following discussion) equity stake in a company incorporated in a

foreign country. An always accurate but unwieldy definition of FDI would be:

‘‘significant’’ ownership in an income-producing entity in at least one country

other than the one in which the controlling company or group is domiciled.

Certain specific criteria differentiate FDI from other international capital

flows, even other kinds of international investment.14 Portfolio investment is

frequently and erroneously confused with FDI. The former occurs when an

individual or financial institution (a mutual fund in most cases) buys a relatively

small number of shares in a company located in another country because of the

expectation that those shares will appreciate in value and can be sold at a profit

sometime in the future. The investor in this case has no influence over man-

agement decisions and no long-term commitment to the company, just the vis-

ceral hope that he or she eventually will profit from rising share prices and

dividends.

FDI is further defined on a qualitative and quantitative basis. Qualitatively, it

is about ownership and control. FDI is done by companies with the intent of

having sufficient ownership to ensure a partial or total say on a lasting basis in the

management of a corporate entity located in a foreign country. In other words, a

company based in the home country has at the least a meaningful long-term voice

defining the subject 37

in shaping output, production, and marketing strategies; constructing corporate

budgets; selecting senior managers; dealing with labor relations; and approving

new product development in a company incorporated and doing business in the

host country. FDI is about long-term, perhaps permanent relationships that

could have a significant financial impact—good or bad—on the foreign company

making the investment. It involves relatively large transfers of capital that cannot

easily be reversed (whereas stocks and bonds can usually be sold in seconds).

When establishing a foreign manufacturing subsidiary, a corporation commits

more than a relatively large amount of capital—it also commits its prestige.

For manufacturing subsidiaries in particular, the foreign company will inject

into the host country’s economy a package of resources that typically include

advanced, possibly state-of-the-art management skills and production tech-

niques, technology, and marketing savvy. Increased jobs and exports are often

associated with FDI. None of these qualities apply to the purchase, say, of 100

shares of Toyota Motor Corporation stock by an American citizen. This would be

foreign portfolio investment.

Quantitatively, the nearly universally accepted definition of FDI is ownership

of at least 10 percent of the common (voting) stock of a business enterprise

operating in a country other than the one in which the investing company is

headquartered. Having an active voice in an enterprise’s management does not

require 100 or even 51 percent ownership of the foreign entity’s voting shares. In

most countries, 10 percent ownership is considered sufficient for a foreign com-

pany to have entrée to at least some control over management decisions; in ad-

dition, it usually ensures selection of at least one member of the board of directors

or its equivalent. According to the stylebook of the International Monetary Fund

(IMF) and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development

(OECD), a foreign subsidiary is an incorporated enterprise with a foreign investor

having more than 50 percent equity ownership; the parent of a foreign subsidiary

would normally have the right to appoint a majority of the members of its board of

directors. The IMF/OECD stylebook uses the term foreign associate for an en-

terprise with a foreign investor having 10 to 50 percent ownership. Because the

vast majority of FDI undertaken by large MNCs involves majority to full owner-

ship by a single parent company, the term subsidiary will be used throughout this

book for simplicity’s sake. (For consistency’s sake, the synonymous term of for-

eign affiliate, preferred by some government agencies, will not be used.)

A foreign subsidiary can be an entirely new entity or be formed through a

merger with or acquisition of an existing company. FDI may also take the form of

a joint venture with another company; in this case, a new, jointly owned cor-

porate identity is created. A foreign branch involves ownership of an unincor-

porated business entity by a company headquartered abroad.

fundamentals38

A few countries utilize other formulas to designate FDI, thereby preventing a

uniform global statistics gathering standard. Some of these countries establish a

higher minimum level of stock ownership, usually 25 percent, to define FDI. A

very few make exceptions to the 10 percent rule in certifying FDI. If the in-

vesting company meets or exceeds that threshold but apparently will not have an

effective managerial voice in the foreign firm, the transaction will not be classified

as FDI. On the other hand, if the foreign investor appears to have secured a

meaningful management role in the firm with less than 10 percent ownership,

these countries will include the transaction in their FDI statistics.15 Limitations

on the cumulative data are further imposed by the difficulties facing even the best

government statistical agencies in recording all FDI flows in a given year and in

assigning accurate monetary values to those flows that are recorded. Some less

developed countries do not have an established capability to accurately and fully

compile such statistics.

MNCs, in contrast to FDI, are a kind of living organism because they are

actively engaged overseas in producing goods and services and may be dissem-

inating technology, managerial skills, and capital. The nearly universally ac-

cepted definition of a multinational corporation is one that owns outright,

controls, or has direct managerial influence in income-generating, value-added

facilities in at least two countries. Prior to the 1990s, the definition referred to a

simpler, more concrete term: production facilities. However, relatively rapid rates

of growth in FDI by service sector companies such as banks, engineering firms,

accountants, and advertising agencies necessitated terminology that went beyond

portrayals of factories, oil wells, and mines.

The relative precision of the definition of an MNC does not prevent con-

ceptual problems. A company doing business on a global scale is not necessarily

an MNC. Neither exports nor the presence of salespeople or wholesale distri-

bution centers to distribute imports in a foreign country meet the definition of

managerial control of an incorporated subsidiary in at least one foreign country.

A very wide range of companies are designated as MNCs. The broad spec-

trum ranges from small enterprises whose overseas subsidiary might consist of

one small factory with statistically insignificant output and a handful of em-

ployees in just one other country, to huge corporations owning factories in thirty-

plus countries that garner large market shares in host countries. A small number

of purists want to deal with this incongruity by imposing additional statistical

requirements before labeling a company an MNC. One suggested criterion is to

require foreign subsidiaries to collectively contribute some minimum percentage

of a company’s annual total sales and/or profits. Another proposal is to require

that a company have value-added facilities in more than two countries, perhaps

four or more, before being classified as a multinational.

defining the subject 39

Notes

1. Robert A. G. Monks and Nell Minow, Corporate Governance (Malden, MA: Black-

well, 2004), p. 8.

2. For details on the legal nature of the corporation, see Eugene Brigham and Michael

C. Ehrhardt, Financial Management: Theory and Practice, 11th ed. (Mason, OH:

Thomson/South-Western, 2005), chap. 1.

3. Ambrose Bierce, The Enlarged Devil’s Dictionary (Garden City, NY: Doubleday,

1967), p. 48.

4. Roger W. Ferguson Jr., ‘‘Lessons from Past Productivity Booms,’’ press release of the

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, January 4, 2004, pp. 12–14.

5. Jeswald W. Salacuse, ‘‘European Corporations and American Style? Governance,

Culture and Convergence,’’ draft of paper presented April 2002; available online at

http://www.ksg.harvard.edu/cbg/Conferences/us-eu_relations/salacuse_corporate_

culture.pdf; accessed October 2004.

6. ‘‘Two-Faced Capitalism,’’ The Economist, January 22, 2004, p. 53.

7. As quoted in Laurence J. Peter, Peter’s Quotations—Ideas for Our Time (New York:

William Morrow, 1977) p. 85.

8. James Post, Lee Preston, and Sybille Sachs, Redefining the Corporation—Stakeholder

Management and Organizational Wealth (Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press,

2002), pp. 16–17.

9. Ibid., p. 9.

10. Kenichi Ohmae, The Borderless World: Power and Strategy in the Interlinked Economy

(New York: Free Press, 1990), p. 94.

11. ‘‘The World’s View of Multinationals,’’ The Economist, January 29, 2000, p. 21.

12. Paul Doremus, William Keller, Louis Pauly, and Simon Reich, TheMyth of the Global

Corporation (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1998), pp. 9, 1.

13. Mira Wilkins, ‘‘Comparative Hosts,’’ Business History, January 1994, p. 24.

14. As noted by the UNCTAD Secretariat, ‘‘ ‘Investment’ does not have a generally

accepted meaning.’’ UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2003, p. 100, available on-

line at http://www.unctad.org. A generalized definition of investment is the purchase

of financial or tangible assets with a view to obtaining a relatively high financial return.

15. International Monetary Fund, Foreign Direct Investment Statistics—How Countries

Measure FDI 2001, October 2003, p. 23.

fundamentals40

3

from obscurity to international economic powerhouse The Evolution of Multinational Corporations

Multinational corporations (MNCs) did not suddenly appear onthe scene or emerge as part of a calculated design by a group of avaricious captains of industry lusting after more sales and less competition. In

fact, the nature, size, power, and number of the current generation of MNCs

are at least as much the outgrowths of larger events that were not of business

executives’ own making. The timetable and twists and turns of foreign direct

investment’s (FDI) long evolutionary process were determined to a significant

extent by external forces. Entrepreneurs and corporate managers did not set out

to create the soaring costs of producing new generations of high technology goods

that made an international presence necessary for companies in this sector. They

did not create investor pressures for steady increases in sales and profits. Nor

did they create the governmental policies that produced the business-friendly

international order that allowed modern-day MNCs to flourish. The manu-

facturing and to a lesser extent services sectors acted at least as much defensively

to external forces as they acted opportunistically to make a lot of money selling

goods and services that a lot of people wanted to buy. Some have been pleased

with the overall results of the pursuit of profit on a global basis by private en-

terprise; others have been bitterly critical.

This chapter examines the historical record in an effort to explain how the

various kinds of MNCs evolved into their current corporate structures. Ste-

reotypes and neatly wrapped conclusions are not consistent with the long,

winding, and at times bumpy road that preceded the emergence of modern

MNCs. The first section provides an overview of the infancy and intermediate

stages of international business operations that spanned 350 years. This is fol-

lowed by a closer look at the mix of factors causing the relatively recent onset of

41

the modern era of mature and seemingly ubiquitous MNCs. The third and final

section examines the reasoning and statistical data behind the assertions that (1)

FDI and MNCs have reached the top echelon of issues in international economic

relations, and (2) their economic impact is now sufficiently powerful to make

them politically significant on a global scale.

The Initial and Intermediate Stages

of MNC Development

The path that would eventually lead to the modern MNC followed a circuitous

route, displaying no consistent pattern in either content or timing. Periods of

rapid growth in multinational operations were interrupted by years of stagnation

or even decline. In different periods, corporations made different choices be-

tween alternative modes of operating abroad and among alternative forms of

internal organization.1 The long gestation process for the full blossoming of the

MNC was due to the need to wait for the arrival of a long succession of tech-

nological discoveries and nurturing economic conditions and public policy

changes. History suggests that the larger political, technological, and economic

environments mainly influenced the nature and timetable of the evolution of

international business, not vice versa. According to one of the preeminent

scholars in the field, John H. Dunning, the history of the development of the

multinational corporation is

The story of a series of political and social events that have affected the

ownership, organization and location of international production. . . .The

growth of international production in modern history essentially reflects

the way in which changes in the structure and organization of the world’s

resources and capabilities impinge on the cross-border production and

transaction strategies of companies. While historically the role of the

[MNC] has been both a pro-active and re-active one . . . the discovery of

new territories, increases in population, advances in the stock of knowledge

of production and organizational techniques, and the response of gov-

ernments to these changes have been the prime movers.

Enterprises have responded to these developments by realigning the

extent, form and geography of their value-added activities. . . . In many

ways the growth of international production is a microcosm of changing

commercial relationships, as they evolved from the personal trading of

individuals . . . through . . . the industrial . . . revolution . . . to the computer . . .

revolution.2

fundamentals42

Most economic historians trace the origins of the MNC back to the seven-

teenth century. The age of exploration was followed by colonization and large-

scale expansions of trade and humanmigration outside of the EuropeanContinent,

trends that gave birth to the first multicountry business enterprises. The British

East India Company and the Dutch East India Company, established as trading

companies in the beginning of the seventeenth century, are generally considered

to be the first version of the MNC as we know it today.3 The Western Hemi-

sphere version of this genre was the Hudson’s Bay Company, recipient of

a monopoly charter bestowed by the British Crown to operate a fur trade

monopoly and establish settlements in the Hudson Bay region of North America.

None of these three enterprises bear much resemblance to the contempo-

rary model because they were formally established by ruling monarchs for the

purpose of enhancing the wealth and power of the home country. The first

generation of MNCs also differed by undertaking overseas operations as soon as

they were chartered, not after compiling a successful business record in the home

country.

With long-distance communication primitive, the two East India companies

received little direct supervision from their home countries. Having been granted

monopoly power and broad authority to develop trade with the Far East as they

saw fit, they often transacted business by brute force more than by commercial

wiles. They were given authority to acquire territory if they deemed it necessary,

maintain their own army and warships, and issue their own currency. At the peak

of their power, these companies acted more like colonial governments than

commercial enterprises. The British East India Company eventually became the

de facto ruler of most of the Indian subcontinent, and its presence extended to

Hong Kong, Burma, and Singapore. The Dutch counterpart controlled regions

in Indonesia and built fortified posts in other locations to protect its Asian trade

routes. For a time, these companies enjoyed enormous profits from exporting

goods such as spices, cotton, silks, tea, and coffee to Western Europe and by en-

gaging in intra-Asian trade. Their propensity for overreach and new competition

eventually contributed to their demise.

Transition to the contemporary version of the MNC hit full stride in the

second half of the nineteenth century, the catalyst being an extended series of

interrelated events hitting critical mass. The Industrial Revolution had reached

its peak, and in its wake widespread changes appeared in the economic landscape.

Large-scale factories began to replace individually owned small businesses. The

sprouting of manufacturing companies forced the liberalization of British cor-

porate law, an approach adopted by other countries. Corporations no longer

needed to secure a royal charter to begin operation. Subsequent changes allowed

them to legally function as an ‘‘artificial person’’ that could issue tradable shares

to investors who would have limited financial liability, that is, they could lose

from obscurity to international economic powerhouse 43

only the money they had invested. As manufacturing spread from Great Britain

to other countries, so, too, did demand for new sources of energy and raw

materials and for varieties of food that the industrializing countries lacked phys-

ically or could not produce efficiently. The increased opportunity for profits

stimulated foreign investments in the primary sector.

An important indirect effect of the Industrial Revolution on the growth of

international business was its significant enhancement of technological capacity

and human skills in the production process. Once created, these two assets

often became the proprietary rights of the owners. . . .They were also

potentially mobile across space, opening up the possibility that firms might

utilize the human and physical assets they generated . . . in one country to

produce goods and services in another.

Taken together, these events heralded a watershed in the history of

international business. The age of merchant capitalism which had domi-

nated international commerce for the previous two centuries was now

replaced by an era of industrial capitalism. . . .Although the [MNC], as we

know it today, did not emerge until later in the 19th century, firms from

Europe and North America began to invest in foreign plantations, mines,

factories, banking, sales and distribution facilities in large numbers.4

As a consequence of the ratcheting up of technological progress and increased

worker skills in the late 1800s, wrote Dunning, ‘‘both the global structure of

value-added activities and the modalities in which goods and services are ex-

changed across national borders have helped push back the industrial and ter-

ritorial boundaries of firms, and have refashioned the competitive advantages of

countries.’’5

The intermediate stage of FDI, which runs roughly from the 1850s through

the 1950s, was created and sustained far more by exogenous events and trends

than calculated corporate planning. The most important changes in the global

commons were major technological advances in transportation and communi-

cations that allowed people, goods, and information to move long distances more

quickly, cheaply, and reliably than ever before. The nineteenth-century inven-

tions of the steam engine and the telegraph, the laying of undersea cables, the

spread of railroads, and the opening of the Suez Canal geometrically enhanced

the ability of corporations to operate and supervise distant operations. A second

stimulant was the gradual escalation of tariffs in the second half of the nineteenth

century in the United States and most European countries other than Britain. A

classic reason for establishing an overseas subsidiary is the need to jump import

barriers imposed by the government of a lucrative foreign market (see chapter 6).

fundamentals44

FDI was simultaneously facilitated by accommodating governmental policies

that placed no significant restrictions on international capital movements. Host

countries were universally amenable to what was still a limited stream of incoming

MNCs, although in some cases openness was a function of a country’s being a

colony with no indigenous government to voice objections.

The exact amount of FDI on the eve of World War I is not known. Gov-

ernments measured only total foreign investment. No need was felt at that time to

make a distinction between the direct and portfolio investments made by their

citizens in other countries because both were viewed as being parts of the larger

process of seeking a greater return on capital. A crude estimate of FDI at that time

is somewhere in the $14.5 to $18.2 billion range. Ownership of overseas

subsidiaries in 1914was heavily concentrated in just five countries. An admittedly

rough estimate puts Great Britain’s share at 45 percent, the United States and

Germany 14 percent each, France 11 percent, the Netherlands 5 percent, and

the rest of the world accounting for the remaining 11 percent. ‘‘Given that a

considerable amount of the service sector investments was concerned with fi-

nancing, insuring, transporting and otherwise making possible international trade

in raw materials and foodstuffs, it can be estimated that at least three-quarters of

world FDI [in 1914] was concerned with the exploitation of natural resources.’’6

In addition to such high-profile companies that would become notorious for the

power they wielded in host countries (Standard Oil and the United Fruit Com-

pany, for example), a growing number of manufacturing companies sought a

secure supply of critical raw materials by buying, among other things, rubber,

tobacco, and palm oil plantations; mines; and cattle ranches in developing coun-

tries. Dunning estimated that more than 60 percent of FDI (by value) in 1914 was

located in developing countries; an important component of this amount was U.S.

investment in mining operations in Latin America.7

The second half of the nineteenth century was notable for the initial ap-

pearance of multinational manufacturing companies. Unlike their counterparts in

the primary sector, these companies shared the pattern of contemporary MNCs:

starting out selling goods in their home country, becoming successful exporters,

and then becoming ‘‘first movers’’ in establishing overseas subsidiaries to en-

hance sales in key foreign markets. In 1855, Siemens built a factory in Russia

to manufacture equipment for a nationwide telegraph network after receiving a

contract from the Russian government. Twelve years later, the Singer sewing

machine company opened a factory in Scotland that is considered to be the first

sustained overseas American manufacturing subsidiary.8 In some ways it can be

considered as the original prototype of the contemporary manufacturing MNC;

Singer’s Scottish factory was built in an effort to maximize direct sales to foreign

customers by taking a step beyond exports and not relying on European licensees.

from obscurity to international economic powerhouse 45

By the turn of the century, Singer probably became the first truly global man-

ufacturer by virtue of also having established factories in Canada, Austria,

Germany, and Russia.

Ford Motor Company opened an automobile assembly plant in Britain in

1908; five years later it had become that country’s largest carmaker.9 In buying

the Opel automobile company in 1929, General Motors can be given credit for

what may be the first recorded cross-border acquisition of consequence. Kodak

opened a factory near London in 1891 to produce film and cameras after its

export efforts in Europe had become so successful that combined international

and domestic demand exceeded the capacity of its headquarters in Rochester,

New York.10 Early in the twentieth century, Lever Brothers expanded beyond

its British base by establishing soap-making factories in three European coun-

tries, the United States, Canada, and Australia.11 A vanguard of manufacturing

companies from France, Switzerland, Germany (mainly chemical companies),

Sweden, and Japan also began establishing production facilities outside their

borders.

As the twentieth century began, the estimated values of foreign trade and

foreign investment (portfolio and direct) as a percentage of world output were at

historic highs. The unprecedented scale of international economic integration,

however, was temporary. Turbulent events in world history intervened to deflate

what potentially was FDI’s coming of age; by most calculations, it was not until

the early 1990s that MNCs returned to the same relative importance to global

gross domestic product (GDP). Two world wars and years of recovery from their

devastation knocked the upward trajectory of commercial economic activity well

off course for many years. A similar effect was experienced between the wars as

the Great Depression shrank economic growth by double-digit percentages in

many countries, and triggered a worldwide adoption of ‘‘beggar thy neighbor’’

policies. Import barriers and capital controls were implemented in a futile effort

to protect jobs at home and export unemployment. The deteriorating interna-

tional economic and political atmosphere encouraged manufacturing and raw

materials companies in sectors with a relatively small number of producers to

shift strategies from expanding production facilities in foreign countries to col-

lusion with competitors to control markets. International cartels spread in the

1930s; their principal attraction was giving participating companies the benefit of

being able to influence prices and output on a global basis without incurring the

growing risks of investing overseas.12 The Soviets’ nationalization of foreign-

owned enterprises following the Russian Revolution and later the formal collapse

of the gold standard in the early 1930s were two additional factors dampening

enthusiasm for new FDI ventures between 1917 and 1939.

In the years after World War I, MNCs in the secondary sector began to more

closely resemble the traits later exhibited by their contemporary counterparts.

fundamentals46

The biggest difference was that prior to the 1970s, overseas subsidiaries of big

manufacturers were too few in number to be seen as a threat to the economies

of either home or host countries. Nor were they portrayed as forerunners of an

economic revolution. In retrospect, we know that in some ways that is exactly

what they were. Although their numbers and profits were not noticeably rising, a

handful of multinational manufacturing companies operating in a limited num-

ber of countries were, by the 1930s, regularly introducing new products at at-

tractive prices, changing consumer tastes, and winning a growing market share in

host countries.

In contrast to minimal growth in FDI activity by the manufacturing sector

during the interwar period, resource-seeking investment increased in Latin

America and Canada (mainly by American companies) and in Asia, the Middle

East, and Africa (mainly by companies based in one of the European colonial

powers). Companies engaged in extractive activities still accounted for a clear

majority of the value of total world FDI on the eve of World War II. This sit-

uation was transitory, like so many others involving international business. The

steep increases after the war in MNCs operating in the secondary and tertiary

sectors would relegate the primary sector to a minority share of the world’s stock

of FDI in the third stage of MNC development.

MNCs at Full Maturity and Full Force

The start of the 1960s saw the full effects of a ‘‘perfect storm’’ of synergistic

forces that triggered a period of unprecedented increases in the amount of FDI

and in the numbers and new forms of MNCs. A new chapter in the history of

FDI materialized by virtue of the relatively sharp increases in the value of foreign

subsidiaries output, the sharp increases in the number of subsidiaries, and the

surge in the value of their output as a percentage of domestic economic output,

that is, world GDP. As seen in figure 3.1, the value (stock) of cumulative inward

FDI hit take-off in the 1960s, and relatively high growth rates continued in the

early years of the new century. The estimated 7,000 MNCs in 1970 more than

quadrupled to about 30,000 in 1990, and then more than doubled to approxi-

mately 77,000 in 2005.13 These trend lines move steadily and sharply upward

only when viewed over a long time horizon. Annual increases in new FDI flows

have demonstrated short-term volatility because of large, sudden shifts in cor-

porate foreign investment commitments or reactions to global economic crises,

such as the two great oil price shocks of the 1970s and early 1980s.

Unfortunately, data are not available to provide detailed, year-by-year insights

on the first two decades of the newest era in the history of FDI and MNCs; there

was little recognition of the utility in documenting their coming of age. The most

from obscurity to international economic powerhouse 47

comprehensive compiler of global FDI data, the United Nations Conference on

Trade and Development (UNCTAD), publishes a database going back only to

1982. Nevertheless, using this as a starting point still produces a dramatic quan-

titative portrait. The dollar value of global FDI outflows recorded by this UN

agency increased about ninefold, from $27 billion in 1982 to $239 billion in 1990;

outflows of $730 billion in 2004 were triple the 1990 level. UNCTAD data show

sales of foreign subsidiaries surging from an estimated $2.8 trillion in 1982 to

$18.7 trillion in 2004. Total recorded assets of these subsidiaries grew seven-

teenfold between these years from $2.1 to $36 trillion.14

The blossoming of the modern MNC post-1960 was brought about by mul-

tiple forces.15 In addition to synthesizing the more important aspects of con-

ventional wisdom, the analysis that follows contains some important causal

factors that have received little or no attention.

The international economic climate in the post–World War II era was infi-

nitely better and more nurturing than the two decades of economic turmoil

following World War I. The tragic historical record of the 1930s provided a very

clear guideline of what not to do, and the costly economic mistakes were not

repeated. A core element of the ensuing Pax Americana was a remarkably suc-

cessful set of policies designed to help rebuild and restore the shattered

10,000

9,000

8,000

7,000

6,000

5,000

4,000

3,000

2,000

1,000

0 1914 1938 1960

Years 1980 1990

6286626.414.5

1,769

2004

8,900

D ol

la rs

( B

ill io

n)

figure 3.1. Estimated global inward stock of FDI. Sources: UNCTAD for 1980 and beyond, various academic estimates for pre-1980 data.

fundamentals48

economies of allies and former enemies alike. The U.S. government provided

generous foreign aid to Western Europe and Japan, kept the American market

open to their exports, and maintained a high tolerance for the discriminatory

import barriers erected by these countries. For their part, the Europeans and Jap-

anese implemented growth-friendly domestic economic policies that com-

plemented the American efforts. Despite the beginning of the Cold War, the

industrialized countries of the U.S.-led bloc enjoyed an unprecedented long-

term run of noninflationary growth during the 1950s and 1960s, a period later

dubbed the golden age of the international economy. With increased prosperity

came increases in corporate sales, profits, exports, and concerns about how to

protect growing foreign markets.

The largest single source of newFDIflows in the 1960s and1970swasAmerican

manufacturing companies opening factories in Western Europe.16 They began

arriving en masse in response to the creation in 1958 of the European Union

(originally called the European Economic Community). The movement to re-

gional economic integration in Western Europe presented foreign companies

with a classic good news/bad news situation. On the one hand, the move to

internal free trade held great promise for above-average economic growth rates in

member countries. On the other hand, the largest regional U.S. export market

was at risk: It was about to be surrounded by a common external tariff that would

put exports from nonmembers at a potentially serious price disadvantage. One

phase of a two-pronged U.S. response to this potential financial hit was to ne-

gotiate deep reciprocal tariff reductions beginning with the Kennedy Round of

trade negotiations. The second was a private sector initiative: history’s largest

surge of FDI designed to leapfrog newly introduced trade barriers. A foreign-

owned factory had the same status as a European firm: It could produce in any

EU country and freely ship its output to all other member countries.

Many U.S. MNCs in important sectors like computers, electronics, motor

vehicles, pharmaceuticals, and machinery established commercially successful—

in terms of rising market shares and profits—subsidiaries in the countries of the

so-called Common Market. The proliferation of American companies on the

Continent was so great that it inspired a best-selling book still discussed today.

The American Challenge, originally published in French by Jean-Jacques Servan-

Schreiber in 1967, galvanized European and world thinking with the warning

that if existing trends were not reversed, the third greatest world economic power

after the United States and the Soviet Union would soon be, not Europe, but

American-owned industry in Europe. Depending on the value judgments of the

individual commentator, the book’s message is variously depicted as a positive

call for closer European cooperation and increased emulation of American

business methods to prevent a serious loss of economic sovereignty, or an agitated

warning of an American scheme to dominate the world economy.

from obscurity to international economic powerhouse 49

Not all regions experienced major inflows of FDI. The three and one half

decades after 1945 were wilderness years for direct investment in the less de-

veloped countries (LDCs). To say that most of them viewed MNCs with great

suspicion is an understatement. Many looked back at bad experiences with ar-

rogant foreign-owned extractive companies. As newly independent countries,

they looked forward to exercising full sovereignty and making a clean break

with their colonial past. Furthermore, widespread preference for extensive and

intensive government involvement in the economy led most LDCs to turn

their backs on free market economic principles and a foreign-owned corporate

presence.

The growing belief that a market-based international economy would only

preserve and widen the North–South income gap culminated in a collective LDC

demand through much of the 1970s that a new international economic order be

created. The system they wanted would have used multilateral intervention by

governments to ensure a sustained increase in the flow of financial resources from

rich to poor countries that was well above what the market mechanism was pro-

viding. Among the specific demands to this end was recognition of the right of

LDCs to expropriate foreign companies (which is accepted in international law)

and the unilateral right to decide if they should pay compensation to the company

whose property had been seized and if so, to unilaterally define what was ap-

propriate compensation (which is not accepted in international law). The effects

of an overtly hostile atmosphere can be seen in the amount of recorded FDI flows

into LDCs in 1970 being virtually zero.17 The other major reason for the geo-

graphical shift of FDI flows from South to North was the surge in direct in-

vestment in the manufacturing sector. For the first time, the cumulative book

value of that sector exceeded that of the relatively stagnant FDI in the primary

sector. The gap has grown ever since.

The slow but steady increase in global FDI flows during the 1970s and 1980s

partly reflected the resumption of overseas direct investments by Western Eu-

ropean nations and Japan, a by-product of their full recovery from the physical

devastation of World War II. The time when U.S. companies accounted for 80

percent or more of new FDI came to an end by 1970 as the result, like most

MNC-related trends, of a changing international economic landscape.The amount

of FDI flowing from the United States did not decline in absolute terms; instead,

the number of companies headquartered in other countries opening overseas

subsidiaries swelled. The first wave came mainly from Great Britain, France, the

Netherlands, and West Germany, countries whose companies historically had

been active foreign investors.

The next wave consisted of construction of overseas subsidiaries by dozens of

Japanese manufacturers that within the span of the 1980s propelled their country

from statistical insignificance to the number two position on the list of MNC

fundamentals50

home countries. Corporate Japan was forced to abandon its postwar reluctance to

rely on foreign assembly line workers, deemed to be less dedicated and disci-

plined than their Japanese counterparts, because of a confluence of events im-

posed on Japan’s corporate chieftains not of their own making. The most

important events were a rising protectionist sentiment in many of Japan’s trading

partners (especially in the United States) kindled by resentment toward its

chronic trade surpluses, rising domestic salaries that had reached the upper

echelon of world wages, and a seemingly endless appreciation of the yen.

The 1990s witnessed record growth in the flows and stock (historical value) of

FDI across a wide geographic front. The collapse of communism and increased

reluctance of banks to lend to LDCs following the Latin American debt crisis of

the 1980s further encouraged countries in Latin America and the Caribbean,

Asia, and to a lesser extent, Africa to embrace market-oriented domestic eco-

nomic policies and to shift from indifference to proactive policies to attract

MNCs. Similar measures were adopted by Central European countries in tran-

sition from planned to market-based economies. These decisions were made

easier by growing empirical proof that a significant statistical correlation existed

between relatively extensive government ownership of the means of production

and involvement in the economy and below-average increases in a country’s

economic growth and productivity. Developing and transition countries con-

tributed to an upward blip in global FDI in two ways: first, by becoming more

open and appealing to foreign companies, and second, by privatizing scores

of state-owned industrial companies and public utilities, many of which were

bought by foreign companies operating in similar sectors.

Later in the 1990s, the volume of FDI hit all time highs in large part due to

a temporary upsurge in mergers and acquisitions (M&As) between companies

headquartered in different countries. Most of this spate of international busi-

ness marriages was attributable in dollar terms to a spike in European acquisi-

tions of U.S. companies. FDI in the form ofM&As soared from an annual average

of about $10 billion in the 1987–94 period to an average of about $65 billion in

the years 1998 through 2003.18 As the century drew to a close, yet another new

source of outgoing FDI emerged, this time from the growing number of elite

companies based in the relatively advanced developing countries (a.k.a. emerging

markets) that increasingly felt the need to move to the next level and establish a

multinational presence. The final years of the century also were the time that FDI

in China grew from negligible in the early 1980s to moderate in the early 1990s to

some $50 billion annually; in 2003, it temporarily surpassed the United States as

the world’s number one recipient of FDI inflows in dollar terms.

A new series of space- and time-shrinking technological advances in trans-

portation and communication has further simplified and reduced the costs of

managing manufacturing and services subsidiaries scattered around the world.

from obscurity to international economic powerhouse 51

Larger ships, cargo containers, cheap and fast travel by passenger and freight

aircraft, fax and telex machines, satellite communications, powerful computers

that rapidly talk to one another, and last but far from least, the Internet collec-

tively brought about what is often called the death of distance. Easy collaboration

among white-collar workers and between production lines thousands of miles

apart became common. In sum, national borders and physical distance have been

marginalized as considerations when corporations calculate the most cost-effi-

cient places to produce their products or offer their services.

Inadequate emphasis has been placed on the economics of high-tech pro-

duction in pressing companies to pursue global production as part of a strategy

to maximize sales. Computer, semiconductor, pharmaceutical, automobile, and

machinery companies typify the extraordinarily high fixed costs (research and

development, factory machinery, and training highly skilled workers) that accrue

to high-tech companies before the first sale of a new product is made. Failure to

achieve economies of scale for these companies brings with it near certainty that

competitors who do so—usually through FDI—will have lower unit costs and

higher profits (see chapter 6).

The intricacy of high technology production largely explains the development

of yet another new form of FDI. Vertical integration occurs where subsidiaries in

various countries produce the many specialized components that are assembled

into sophisticated goods like electronics and automobiles. In these cases, no one

factory can efficiently make all the complex parts needed, the result being that

rising transactions among specialized subsidiaries of the same company is a major

cause of the dramatic increase in intrafirm trade since the early 1980s.

The information and communications technology revolution has further

spurred FDI by unleashing a revolution of rising expectations that arguably has

raised competition to a new level. Never before has the public expected pro-

ducers of computers and consumer electronic devices (e.g., cell phones, personal

digital assistants, digital cameras, and high-definition TVs) to constantly enhance

the performance of these products while simultaneously lowering their prices or

at least keeping them steady. To the extent that bigness equates with cost

competitiveness, multicountry production and sales by fewer and larger MNCs

will be the order of the day in emerging technologies. UNCTAD’s 2002 in-

vestment report explained the new business pressures in these terms: ‘‘Height-

ened competition compels firms to explore new ways of increasing their

efficiency, including by extending their international reach to newmarkets . . . and

by shifting certain production activities to reduce costs. It also results in inter-

national production taking new forms.’’19 In sum, defensive reactions to eco-

nomic realities are part of the reason why virtually every major manufacturer of

capital-intensive commercial goods is or will be an MNC.

fundamentals52

A big boost to the growth of FDI in recent years has come from the services

sector. More services companies are investing overseas because in recent years

there have been steady increases in the number of these companies and in the

kinds of services they provide, especially in informatics and telecommunications.

In addition, a growing number of accounting, law, and advertising firms followed

their clients overseas. Although high-tech is the fastest growing segment of FDI

by services companies, traditional sectors—finance, wholesale trade and distri-

bution facilities, transport, hotels, utilities, and construction—still account for

most of the value of overseas investment in the tertiary sector.

The move to a more liberal international economic order is yet another cause

of the proliferation of MNCs. A steady dismantling of controls on international

capital movements reduced the obstacles to corporate expansion overseas. This

factor is related to the argument that political factors also played a role in creating

and sustaining the proliferation of FDI. Noted political economist Robert Gilpin

has been the chief advocate of the view that MNCs were able to become powerful

actors in international relations only because hegemonic powers, first Great

Britain and then the United States, felt it was in their political and economic

interest that their corporations flourished on foreign soil. ‘‘While economic fac-

tors are obviously important for the emergence and success of MNCs, they could

not exist without a favorable international political environment created by a

dominant power whose economic and security interests favor an open and liberal

international economy.’’20 In addition, leadership exerted by the United States

beginning in the 1950s has been the single greatest force promoting successive

rounds of multilateral trade negotiations that progressively lowered trade bar-

riers. Freer trade was another postwar trend facilitating the conduct of multi-

national business operations.

The Importance of FDI/MNCs

When economic issues are considered to be very important, they cross an invisible

line and attract the attention and concern of senior government leaders. In a

word, they become politicized. The process of FDI and its agents of im-

plementation, MNCs, began moving into the advanced stages of politicization in

the 1970s. This was the time when it was becoming widely understood how

extensively the multinationals were dominating critical systems of the interna-

tional economy: production, technology, finance, trade, and energy and raw

materials. The power and financial stakes involved in the spread of big inter-

national enterprises are so high that the executive and legislative branches of

many countries find themselves directly involved in FDI-related issues. In

from obscurity to international economic powerhouse 53

addition to frequently seeking to attract incoming MNCs, politicians are caught

in the middle of conflicting demands about policies and regulations from two

powerful and committed political forces—one condemning and the other

defending MNCs. Opinions sharply diverge on their costs relative to benefits,

but unanimous consensus exists concerning their importance.

If perceptions define reality, then the FDI/MNCs phenomena have intro-

duced extraordinary, perhaps revolutionary changes to the international order.

The prevailing belief that these phenomena have had an extraordinary impact

in the way goods and services are produced and income distributed is illustrated

by the following arguments:

� MNCs are ‘‘huge organizations with considerable control over economic

resources; they are not just business firms, but the most complex and

most highly developed organizations in world capitalism, operating in the

most important branches and the most highly concentrated sectors of

the economy. . . . [We] should regard MNCs not only as a new feature of

the world economy, but as the emerging new organizational form of that

system in recent decades. (emphasis in the original)’’21

� The increasing importance of MNCs has profoundly altered the struc-

ture and functioning of the global economy. These giant firms and their

global strategies have become major determinants of trade flows and of

the location of industries and other economic activities . . .These

firms . . . have become major players not only in international economic

but in international political affairs as well. . . . [They have created] ‘a

qualitatively different set of linkages’ among advanced economies.’’22

� The preeminence of MNCs ‘‘in world output, trade, investment and

technology transfer is unprecedented.’’23

In statistical terms, the importance of MNCs to the international economy

begins with the fact that for more than twenty years, FDI has regularly grown

faster than world GDP (output) and other macroeconomic measures of activity.

The result is that international production is becoming an arithmetically more

significant component of world economic activity.24 Between 1982 and 2004, the

value added (also referred to as gross product) of foreign subsidiaries worldwide

increased sixfold, whereas world GDP only tripled (as explained in box 3.1, it is

incorrect to compare GDP and sales by MNCs). The value added total in 1982 as

a percentage of world GDP was a little bit above 5 percent; by 2004, it had

doubled to slightly above 10 percent.25

The result of inward FDI becoming an increasingly larger percentage of

virtually all middle-income and advanced national economies is to make it a more

important variable of how well or poorly a country’s workers and businesses fare.

fundamentals54

box 3.1 How Not to Demonstrate the Importance of MNCs

One of the oldest statistical series used to dramatize the size and, by implication,

power of MNCs is to compare their sales with the GDPs of countries. ‘‘Of the 100

largest economies in the world, 51 are corporations; only 49 are countries.’’*

The attention-grabbing technique of claiming corporations are as big as large

countries is not used in this study because it is a seriously flawed puree of statistical

apples and oranges. GDP is calculated on the basis of value added by the private

sector. Otherwise, double counting would seriously exaggerate the value of a

country’s total output of goods and services. Double counting is inherent in cor-

porate sales numbers. By way of example, suppose that Worldwide Widget Corp.

assembles its product from two sets of components supplied by two contractors; each

set costs Worldwide $50 million a year. After adding assembly costs, overhead,

profit, and so on, the company’s final sales come to $125million. That means the net

addition to the country’s overall economic output is only the $25million added to the

value produced by the two contractors; only value added is counted as the widget

company’s contribution to national GDP, not $125million. The $100million in sales

made by the contractors also includes double counting if they used subcontractors.

The proper way to measure the size of MNCs against country GDP is to try to

calculate and then compare value added by corporations, not their final sales. Two

researchers, De Grauwe and Camerman, estimated (based on a sample of high-

ranking companies in the Fortune 500) that the average worldwide value added by

manufacturing and services MNCs in 2000 was 25 and 35 percent, respectively.**

By these criteria, only two of the fifty ‘‘biggest economies’’ in the world were

MNCs; Wal-Mart ranked forty-fourth and ExxonMobil forty-eighth. However,

thirty-five of the second fifty biggest economies were judged to be MNCs. This

methodology puts the MNC-GDP comparison into the proper perspective. On the

one hand, the data in this study show that very few MNCs rank with the biggest

national economies; the U.S. economy in 2000 was 200 times bigger than the

largest MNC ranked by value added, and Belgium was 5 times bigger. When

measured in comparable terms, even the largest MNCs do not rival the larger

economies in size. On the other hand, the data clearly indicate that the largest

MNCs, again by value added, are as big as or bigger than the GDPs of most

medium to small countries. Using slightly different data, an UNCTAD analysis

(World Investment Report, 2002) produced similar results.

* Sarah Anderson and John Cavanagh, ‘‘Top 200—The Rise of Corporate Global Power,’’

December 2000, online document available at http://www.ips-dc.org/reports/top200text.htm;

accessed October 2004.

** Paul De Grauwe and Filip Camerman, ‘‘How Big Are the Big Multinational Companies?,’’

January 2002, online document available at http://www.econ.kleuven.be/ew/academic/intecon/

degrauwe/PDG-papers/Recently_publishedarticles/How%20big%20are%20big%20multination-

al%20companies.pdf; accessed October 2004.

55

Annual recorded inflows and the stock value of FDI both increased more than

tenfold from 1982 to year end 2004, a rate far in excess of the three and a half-fold

growth of world output and the fivefold increase in world exports. If educated

guesses about the value added of MNCs in their home countries are combined

with the estimated value added of their overseas subsidiaries, companies having a

multinational presence probably accounted for between 50 and 80 percent of

the world’s industrial output in the early 2000s.26 As seen in figure 3.2, two key

indicators of FDI increased their share of world GDP by a significant amount in

the relatively brief span between 1990 and 2004. The amounts, value added,

sales, and exports of the overseas operations of the world’s MNCs in years to

come will, more likely than not, continue to grow at a faster rate than world GDP

and trade, a trend that would further enhance the perceived importance of FDI

in the world economy. In view of this growth, critics of FDI/MNCs believe that

they have become excessively important (see chapter 13).

‘‘Why do we focus on FDI?’’ asked a report prepared for the World Trade

Organization. ‘‘The answer is very simple—FDI has become an increasingly

more important factor of economic growth.’’27 The stimulus given to domestic

economic growth by the relatively rapid increases in FDI comes from three

50

45

40

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0 FDI inward stock

P er

ce nt

Sales of foreign subsidiaries

1990 2004

figure 3.2. Growing importance of Foreign Direct Investment to world economic production, 2004 versus 1990: Key FDI indicators as a percent of global GDP (in U.S.

dollars). Source: UNCTAD.

fundamentals56

directions. An indirect link between inward FDI and economic growth is the

long-term increase in the share of country GDP attributable to inward FDI as

measured by historic, or book, value (see figures 3.3 and 3.4). Figure 3.5 depicts

the growth of inward FDI flows as a percentage of a second important economic

benchmark, domestic investment (gross fixed capital formation).

The growing share of foreign-owned or -controlled subsidiaries in the in-

dustrial production of many countries is a third means of their providing stim-

ulus to domestic economic activity. Byway of example, inmostWestern European

countries, the percentage of industrial production accounted for by FDI in 1998

was in the range of 25 to 30 percent; the figure rose to 70 percent in Ireland and

Hungary.28 Elected politicians also are aware of the contribution incoming FDI

can make to the universal political priority of seeking full employment. MNCs

probably provide work, usually at or above prevailing average salaries, for as

many as 200 million people worldwide in host countries.29 This figure pre-

sumably would generate an annual worldwide payroll in excess of $1.5 trillion.

The importance of FDI and MNCs also can be demonstrated in the corporate

world. Production and sales in more than one country to increase sales and profits

and reduce production costs on a per unit basis has become an essential part of

the business strategy of most large and medium-sized companies. A statement by

a well-known business consultancy speaks pointedly about international pro-

duction being something between a priority business strategy and literally a

30

25

20

15

10

5

0 Developing Countries

1980

P er

ce nt

World

Region Developed Countries

2004

figure 3.3. Inward FDI stocks as a percent of gross domestic product, by country category, 1980 and 2004. Source: UNCTAD.

from obscurity to international economic powerhouse 57

means of corporate survival: ‘‘Globalization is no longer merely an option but an

imperative.’’30 A scholarly study reached a similar conclusion: ‘‘For the major

MNCs . . . overseas activity is no longer (if it ever was) marginal to corporate

operations . . . but rather is increasingly central.’’31

The importance of FDI/MNCs to economic development (see chapter 8)

is demonstrated by the statistic that FDI has been the largest single source of

external finance, that is, access to hard currency, for the more advanced devel-

oping countries since the early 1990s.32 (Foreign aid and workers’ remittances

are more important for poorer, relatively less developed countries.) Estimated

net capital flows to LDCs in 2002 were $175 billion; of this amount, $147 billion,

or 84 percent, was FDI, an amount far in excess of net official development

assistance (foreign aid) flows of $21 billion.33 Looking at aggregates in this case

is misleading because of asymmetries. The poorest, least developed countries

receive disproportionately little FDI inflow, whereas China, at about $50 billion

annually, receives a disproportionately large share (it can be as much as one-

third) of annual FDI flows going to all countries classified as developing.

The importance of FDI/MNCs to international trade can be quantified in

several ways. MNCs and their subsidiaries account for about two-thirds of

the world’s trade in merchandise.34 Large firms use FDI more than they use

150

135

120

105

90

75

60

45

30

*** 15

0

Si ng

ap or

e

Ire lan

d

Ne the

rla nd

s

Hu ng

ary

Sw itz

erl an

d

M ala

ys ia

Un ite

d K ing

do m

Br az

il

Ch ina

Ge rm

an y

Un ite

d S tat

es Ja

pa n

1980

* At or near zero

P er

ce nt

Country2004

figure 3.4. Inward FDI stocks as a percent of country GDP, 1980 and 2004. Source: UNCTAD.

fundamentals58

exports—by a factor of 1.5 (half again as much)—to sell to foreign markets.35 At

an estimated $17.6 trillion in 2003, sales of foreign subsidiaries worldwide were

almost twice as large as world exports of goods and services and almost one-half

the size of world GDP.36 In many countries, the volume and product compo-

sition of exports has been radically altered thanks to overseas shipments by

foreign-owned companies (see chapter 9).

Finally, FDI/MNCs are at the core of the very big and very controversial process

of globalization (see chapters 5 and 13). Their importance in this case can be sum-

marizedwith the observation that the process of FDI and the proliferation ofMNCs

are second to none as a leading cause of the globalization of economic activity and

all the good and bad things—real and perceived—that flow from this trend.

Notes

1. Geoffrey Jones, The Evolution of International Business (New York: Routledge, 1996),

p. 23.

2. John H. Dunning, Multinational Enterprises and the Global Economy (Wokingham,

UK: Addison-Wesley, 1993), pp. 133, 132.

3. It can be argued that the Medici Bank, which established branches in several Euro-

pean countries in the fifteenth century, was the first MNC.

4. Dunning, Multinational Enterprises p. 99.

10

8

6

4

2

0 World

1970

P er

ce nt

Developed Countries

Region Developing Countries

2004

figure 3.5. Inward FDI flows as percent of gross fixed capital formation, 1970 & 2004. Source: UNCTAD.

from obscurity to international economic powerhouse 59

5. Ibid., p. 603.

6. Jones, Evolution of International Business pp. 29–32.

7. Dunning, Multinational Enterprises p. 118.

8. The Colt firearms company established a subsidiary in Britain in 1852 to make guns,

technically making it the first American-owned overseas manufacturing subsidiary.

However, it did not become profitable and within a few years was sold to local

interests.

9. John Micklethwait and Adrian Wooldridge, The Company (New York: Modern Li-

brary, 2003), p. 169.

10. Source: http://www.kodak.com; accessed February 2005.

11. Source: http://www.unilever.com; accessed February 2005.

12. Jones, Evolution of International Business pp. 41, 44, and 124.

13. Data sources: Medard Gabel and Henry Bruner, Global Inc.—An Atlas of the Mul-

tinational Corporation (New York: New Press, 2003), pp. 2, 3; and UNCTAD, World

Investment Report 2006, p. 10, available online at http://www.unctad.org; accessed

October 2006.

14. Data source: UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2005, p. 14.

15. See, for example, Robert Gilpin, U.S. Power and the Multinational Corporations (New

York: Basic Books, 1975), pp. 3–19; Theodore H. Cohn,Global Political Economy, 2nd

ed. (New York: Longman, 2003), p. 326; Dunning, Multinational Enterprises chap. 5;

and Jones, Evolution of International Business pp. 23–24.

16. Previously, U.S. investment in Canada was probably the largest single flow of FDI.

17. Data sources: Stephen Thomsen, ‘‘Investment Patterns in a Longer-Term Perspec-

tive,’’ April 2000, available online at http://www.oecd.org; accessed February 2005;

and Yu Ching Wong and Charles Adams, ‘‘Trends in Global and Regional Foreign

Direct Investment,’’ August 2002, available online at http://www.imf.org; accessed

February 2005. FDI going into LDCs increased to an annual average of $20 billion

during the 1980s.

18. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2004, p. 336.

19. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2002, p. 4.

20. Robert Gilpin, Global Political Economy (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press,

2001), p. 288.

21. Volker Bornschier, ‘‘Multinational Corporations in World System Perspective,’’ in

Imperialism and After—Continuities and Discontinuities (London: Allen and Unwin,

1986), pp. 243, 242 emphasis in original.

22. Robert Gilpin, Global Political Economy—Understanding the International Economic

Order (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2001), p. 290.

23. David Held, Anthony McGrew, David Goldblatt, and Jonathan Perraton, Global

Transformations (Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 1999), p. 282.

24. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 1997, p. xvi.

25. Data calculated from table 1.3, UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2005, p. 14.

26. See, for example, Raymond Vernon, Louis Wells Jr., and Subramanian Rangan, The

Manager in the World Economy, 7th ed. (Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall, 1996),

p. 28; and ‘‘TheWorld’sViewofMultinationals,’’TheEconomist, January 29, 2000, p. 21.

fundamentals60

27. Zdenek Drabek and Warren Payne, ‘‘The Impact of Transparency on Foreign Direct

Investment,’’ World Trade Organization Staff Working Paper ERAD-99-02, No-

vember 2001, available online at http://www.wto.org; accessed November 2004.

28. OECD, Measuring Globalisation, vol. 1, 2001, p. 13.

29. This guesstimate was derived by multiplying the 700,000 foreign subsidiaries esti-

mated to exist in 2004 by a rough guess of an average of 300 workers per subsidiary.

30. BostonConsultingGroup, ‘‘CapturingGlobalAdvantage,’’ April 2004, available online

at http://www.bcg.com; accessed December 2004.

31. Held et al., Global Transformations p. 271.

32. Linda Goldberg, ‘‘Financial-Sector Foreign Direct Investment and Host Countries:

New andOld Lessons,’’ Federal Reserve Bank ofNewYork Staff Report no. 183, April

2004, available online at http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/global_economy; ac-

cessed October 2004.

33. World Bank, Global Development Finance 2004 p. 8, available online at http://

www.worldbank.org; accessed January 2005.

34. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2002, p. 153.

35. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 1998, p. 5.

36. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2004, p. 9.

from obscurity to international economic powerhouse 61

4

heterogeneity The Many Kinds of Foreign Direct Investment and Multinational Corporations and Their Disparate Effects

The heterogeneity and diversity of foreign direct investment (FDI)and multinational corporations (MNCs) are not compatible with the generalizations that dominate the conventional wisdom about them. This

chapter begins with a defense of this transcendent theme by arguing that FDI

and MNCs can be divided into so many distinct formats that they cannot

conform either to a single model of behavior or to a uniform checklist of effects.

Emphasis is placed on the importance of their multifaceted and variable nature.

The second and third sections of the chapter consist of a straightforward exercise

in disaggregation. The common tendency of those speaking about FDI and

MNCs to give them a universal persona, good or bad, has blurred the real nature

of these phenomena behind a fog of generalization.

Viewed as a whole, the chapter also seeks to defend a second transcendent

theme: the balance between costs and benefits of FDI andMNCs should primarily

be calculated on a disaggregated basis to adjust for the different forms that they

take. The relatively lengthy discussion that follows of the many different kinds of

international business phenomena lays out their distinctive behavior patterns and

mixed record of effects on countries’ economies, people, companies, and the en-

vironment. A methodology based on making an all-inclusive pronouncement on

what are portrayed as homogenous entities is inadequate and misleading.

The Implications of Diversity

The terms FDI and MNC for the most part appear in the public domain at

relatively high levels of generalization. It is common for people to form a pro or con

62

view of them on the basis of a generalized judgment, declaring that ‘‘they are what

they are.’’ This is oversimplified reasoning sustained in large part by the con-

tinuing failure of government officials, business executives, nongovernmental or-

ganizations, scholars, and journalists to explicitly recognize the seemingly obvious

points that these phenomena are not all alike and that important implications flow

from this reality. Deep insights into the nature and impact of FDI and MNCs will

not be forthcoming if they are treated as generic terms for a kind of investment

strategy and a kind of business entity, respectively. Neither FDI nor MNCs as

entities are monolithic. As a group, foreign subsidiaries share only two major traits.

Physically, they all transact business in at least one country outside the one in which

they are headquartered. Strategically, they all have been established to strengthen

the parent company in some way and to avoid being a financial failure.

Making the assumption that all forms of FDI and all kinds of MNCs are

homogenous is to take a wrong turn in the journey to an accurate understanding

of their diverse nature and effects. Their intrinsic heterogeneity means that, if

evaluated separately, the 77,000 multinational companies that operate 770,000

individual foreign subsidiaries and affiliates mentioned in the previous chapter

would be scattered along two vast continuums. One would be for home countries

and the second for host countries. Each would measure a range of effects from

very positive to very negative, with a large gray area in between. If we can get

more and better data than currently exist, an elaborate matrix could be con-

structed in which the vertical axis would portray the distinctive kinds of FDI and

MNCs described in the next two sections. The horizontal axis would portray the

quality of various behavioral patterns of inward direct investment; the main

criteria for judging quality are the ripple effects on the host country’s economy,

financing arrangements, level of job skills, propensity to export and import,

likelihood of technology transfer, and environmental impact. Because every in-

vestment has some distinguishing features, when the many possible kinds of

investments and multiple levels of quality are factored in, an individual overseas

subsidiary could have any of dozens of profiles.

Unfortunately, the magnitude of the depth and breadth of heterogeneity is

usually underemphasized or ignored outright by opinion makers of all political

persuasions. Sometimes failure to give appropriate weight to this factor reflects

a speaker or author’s narrow frame of reference, for example, implications of

multinationals for unions and the impact on less developed countries (LDCs). In

other cases, people with their minds firmly made up about MNCs being good or

bad things may not wish to be bothered with nuance and details. Overgeneral-

ization may also reflect unfamiliarity with the ever expanding kinds of services

being offered on a transnational basis. Accountants, brewers of beer, restaurant

chains, discount retailers, and employment agencies were not part of the early

wave of MNCs that set the terms of the debate that still exists. The large number

heterogeneity 63

of industrial sectors engaged in transnational operations is suggested by the

twenty-two specific types of manufacturing industries and twenty-six specific

kinds of services industries listed in the United Nations Conference on Trade

and Development (UNCTAD) industry guide to its FDI data.1

The often oversimplified processing of information has been a contributing

factor to a debate waged since the 1970s that is at once spirited, fascinating, and

frustrating. Admittedly, the dividing line is blurred between excessive general-

izations and the proper level of specificity when analyzing FDI and MNCs. The

problem remains, however, that on balance, past efforts to bridge the perceptions

gap have generated far more heat than light. A single, one-size-fits-all pro-

nouncement on the net positives or net negatives of all MNCs in every country

opens itself to suspicion that it is more the outcome of selective data collection in

support of a preexisting value judgment than a painstaking, open-minded ex-

ercise in inductive reasoning. In any situation, different inputs can be expected to

produce different outputs. The bottom line is that the quality, that is, the net

economic benefits to the host country, of a foreign-owned subsidiary will vary on

a case-by-case basis (this argument is developed in detail in chapter 14). The

behavior and effects of any given foreign investment project may warrant effusive

praise, strong condemnation, or the label of a wash between good and bad. This is

the result of the inevitability of heterogeneity and the fallacy of generalization.

The proper answer to the question of whether an individual foreign subsidiary is

of high quality or low quality is: ‘‘it depends.’’ Too many pronouncements on the

advantages and disadvantages of FDI and MNCs have been made after looking at

them as undifferentiated wholes.

The logic of a gray-area conclusion about net desirability is consistent with

the underlying fact that corporations per se are idiosyncratic. Corporate cul-

ture really does vary from company to company; it is not a theory only found in

readings assigned by business school professors. Large companies do not adhere

to a single standard operating procedure beyond the most basic legal and regu-

latory guidelines and the financial imperative of avoiding perpetual losses. Every

company has created a unique mosaic of priorities, procedures, traditions, and

standards that mirrors its weaknesses, strengths, successes, failures, operating

philosophies of past and present senior managers, product mix, and so on. Cor-

porate culture will reflect the extent to which it has grown from within or been

built by mergers and acquisitions (M&As). A study, conducted by the MIT

Industrial Performance Center, of how MNCs compete added a number of

additional variables that individualize corporations’ strategic and tactical ap-

proaches to business: the institutions and values in a company’s country of origin;

the aggregate learning experience derived from customers, suppliers, and rivals;

and the know-how and skills gained from solving problems of survival, renewal,

and growth. The report added that the history of a company shapes the way the

fundamentals64

owners and managers structure their organization, and it influences corporate

strategies and the way they are implemented. In some cases, a corporation’s

operational DNA reflects ‘‘accidents of history.’’2

The existence of so many variables allows for a very large number of varia-

tions as to how a company goes about establishing and then reviewing its de-

gree of decentralization, guidelines on personnel evaluation and promotion, lines

of communication between different layers of hierarchy, importance attached to

current profits versus long-term growth and community service, marketing

strategies, optimal extent of product diversification, and so on. Tolerance for risk

and the premium placed on continuous product development vary from company

to company. Dissimilar corporate cultures also account for variations in two

key international areas of decision making: (1) where and how much to invest

overseas, and (2) the degree of control exerted over overseas subsidiaries by

headquarters-based executives.

Additional data and improved methodology would permit a more complete

and accurate understanding and evaluation of FDI and MNCs, a desirable goal

given their status as increasingly powerful global forces. A big step in this di-

rection is to distinguish between the many kinds of overseas business production

and examine their (usually) distinctive mix of beneficial, disruptive, and neutral

qualities. The method of disaggregation employed in the next two sections

cannot demonstrate absolutes because the subject matter cannot be reduced to

absolute, irrefutable facts and figures. The taxonomy that follows represents

an imperfect effort to differentiate between the two components of international

business production, FDI and MNCs. Airtight compartments cannot always be

constructed within and between these two symbiotic, often overlapping phe-

nomena. Some readers may perceive occasional arbitrary or incorrect classifica-

tions in the sections that follow. Occasional disagreements and author error need

not damage the creditability of the larger, more important ideas about hetero-

geneity to be developed here.

Identifying and Classifying Different Forms of FDI

FDI is defined as a financial phenomenon that takes place whenever a company

acquires 10 percent or more of the voting stock in a commercial entity incor-

porated in a foreign country. A key assumption is that this magnitude of in-

volvement will allow the investor to actively participate in management decisions

on a long-term basis. Beyond this solitary universal requirement, FDI is anything

but a uniform process having uniform results. Diversity can literally be cross-

referenced. The various criteria by which different kinds of FDI can be identified

and classified are presented roughly in the order of most general to most specific.

heterogeneity 65

The former need to be further disaggregated to identify important second-stage

variables, which influence and occasionally determine the idiosyncratic behavior

and effects of individual foreign subsidiaries.

By Objectives of/Motivations for Establishing

a Foreign Subsidiary

All of the different kinds of FDI share a common genesis: the decision by cor-

porate executives that prospective financial rewards outweigh the projected costs

of launching an overseas subsidiary. The means to achieve this common end

differ according to the nature of each individual company. Each of the four

subcategories of business objectives that follow tends to demonstrate distinctive

characteristics and effects. Each has a distinctive set of likely assets and liabilities.

Will a new subsidiary engage in strip-mining or operate a sophisticated research

and development (R&D) facility with highly paid, skilled workers? A perceptive

host government should be able to anticipate with reasonable accuracy many of

the trade-offs associated with an incoming FDI project simply by looking at what

path it will take to produce financial rewards for the parent company.

Resource-Seeking FDI The first sustained, wide-scale FDI materialized in the second half of the nineteenth century. The dominant players were natural

resource-seeking enterprises that extracted minerals and metals, such as oil, gold,

and copper, or harvested tropical commodities, such as bananas and rubber.

Resource-seeking FDI accounted for a majority of worldwide FDI until after

World War II. Decisions on country locations of these kinds of investments were

and still are determined in the first instance by geology and climate: the physical

questions of where minerals and metals are located and where are the most

favorable climactic conditions for crop growth. Secondary factors in MNC de-

cisions on where to extract natural resources include the quality of the trans-

portation infrastructure, accessibility of the rawmaterials, and the extent to which

political officials accommodate foreign companies by providing good governance,

favorable tax and regulatory policies, and the rule of law.

Relative to manufacturing and services, the reputation of MNCs in the pri-

mary sector is poor, to say the least. Their alleged callous disregard for the peoples

of host countries has attracted a disproportionately large share of the total crit-

icism and negativism leveled against FDI as a whole. Part of the explanation for

this is the geographic fact that the vast majority of extractive FDI has taken place

in LDCs, virtually all of which were colonies at some point in their history (many

until the 1950s and 1960s). The resulting North-to-South investment axis partly

explains why companies in the primary sector often have been labeled as

neoimperialists. In addition, they have a long record of being accused (often for

fundamentals66

good cause) of such misdeeds as preferring collusion to genuine competition,

trying to bypass or undermine host countries’ governments when they got in the

way, conspiring to minimize royalty payments to governments for raw materials

extracted and sold abroad, and polluting the environment (see chapter 13).

Another distinguishing characteristic of resource-seeking FDI is the lack of

intention to sell its output in the host country’s market. The underlying business

objective is to export the extracted raw materials to feed the North or to fuel its

industrial machine. A third commonality within this sector has been the absence

of any measurable damage to the economies of the countries in which resource-

seeking MNCs are headquartered. The nature of the latter’s output precludes the

losses of either jobs (hence, the absence of significant barriers to the import of raw

materials in the major consuming countries) or exports in these home countries.

The debates about the net trade-off between costs and benefits for primary sector

investment are directed solely to its impact on host countries in the South, not on

rich home countries in the North. Among the few certain answers about that

trade-off is that it is has differed over time and on a product-by-product and

country-by-country basis. More assertive governments, intensified threats of ex-

propriation, and more media attention given to criticisms of corporate behavior

explain the trend toward LDCs gradually but steadily increasing their overall

share of the financial benefits from resource-seeking investments.

The gross benefits to host countries can be assessed with relative precision;

they equate to the foreign exchange income obtained from oil companies, mining

companies, and the like. In many cases, these earnings have been considerable

both in absolute terms and relative to GDP size. Efforts to calculate net benefits

are clouded by variables on the other side of the equation that cannot properly be

answered with generalizations. To what extent have these revenues been spent

to directly benefit the public well-being? Has a ‘‘fair’’ price been received for a

nonrenewable resource? Has there been a fair mark-up between the price of a raw

material, such as coffee beans, and the final retail price in Northern markets? Has

environmental damage resulted from mining, drilling, or farming operations, and

if so will the MNCs responsible fully pay for cleanups?

Market-Seeking FDI Establishing an overseas subsidiary to protect or expand a foreign market is an example of market-seeking FDI. The typical sequence of

events is that this kind of investment is the second phase of marketing strategy that

follows an initial effort based on exports. The rapid post–World War II growth of

direct investment inside the industrialized countries can largely be linked to a

geometric increase in corporate perceptions that export-based marketing strategies

had peaked or were at risk because of changing conditions in the foreign market. In

sum, the dependence by major corporations on exporting as the primary means of

selling to foreign customers has diminished, presumably on a permanent basis.

heterogeneity 67

The core assumption behind market-seeking FDI is that for both defensive

and proactive reasons, the best way to sell to existing and potential customers in a

foreign country or region is by having production facilities physically close to

them rather than by exporting from thousands of miles away. Defensive con-

siderations include rising competition from locally owned producers, the arrival

of subsidiaries from third-country MNCs, erection of new import barriers, and

projections of a steady appreciation in the exchange rate of the home country’s

currency. Proactive reasons begin with the potential for reductions in trans-

portation time and costs, an especially attractive option for large, bulky, or heavy

products. In addition, ‘‘being there’’ improves the likelihood that the investing

company will be better attuned to sensing how and when to modify a product

to accommodate changing tastes of local consumers and to anticipating future

changes. Being there also aids a company’s efforts to portray itself as a home-

grown operation that is providing jobs and economic stimulus to the local

economy.

The geographic focus of market-oriented FDI is large, affluent, and growing

markets. The inherent logic of adding production facilities in lucrative markets

explains why FDI since the 1960s has mainly flowed into the relatively few rich

industrialized countries (see chapter 7). Market-seeking FDI is exhibit number

one in contradicting the antiglobalization camp’s contention that venal multi-

nationals naturally gravitate to countries with the cheapest, most exploitable

labor and the least enforced environmental protection regulations. The average

consumer goods-producing MNC wants customers. The average capital goods-

producing MNC needs skilled labor. The best place to find both is in the in-

dustrialized countries. Nevertheless, it is still necessary to heed an often repeated

theme of this book that evolutionary change in FDI is a constant, and it cannot be

ignored. Industrialized countries are in the process of losing their virtual mo-

nopoly on incoming market-seeking FDI. China is the prime example of an

emerging market with sufficient current and future consumer buying power to

convince hundreds ofMNCs to expand beyond an export strategy for that country

and move up to the next phase.

Market-seeking FDI has the potential to provide more benefits to host

countries than any other form of incoming direct investment. Market-seeking

MNCs typically bring with them much more than the capital needed to build and

equip a factory. They also will bring, in various degrees depending on circum-

stances, advanced production technology, marketing know-how, and most likely,

the environmental protection technologies used in their plants elsewhere. Fur-

thermore, a market-seeking subsidiary tends to do well in creating relatively high-

skilled jobs and generating additional tax revenue. It tends to be above average in

forging links with the local economy to fulfill needs for components and business

services. Market-seeking MNCs might force competing local companies to

fundamentals68

produce more efficiently, improve product quality, and lower prices. Alterna-

tively, incoming foreign manufacturers might bankrupt local competitors, in-

crease unemployment, and allow foreign-owned companies to acquire a near or

full monopoly on certain goods and services. Which will it be? It depends on

individual circumstances.

The effects of market-seeking FDI on the home country further exemplify the

appropriateness of the ‘‘it depends’’ response. Negative effects would be in-

consequential if one accepts as true the long and often repeated corporate

assertions that this strategy is overwhelmingly defensive in nature. Outsiders

seldom, if ever, have presented a convincing case that they knew better than

experienced corporate officials that for any of various reasons (see chapter 6),

their ability to serve a market by exporting had peaked and faced a clear and

present danger of steady decline. If exporting is destined to lose its viability as the

primary overseas marketing strategy for a particular company, the home country

in such a case presumably would at least benefit from remittances of profits from

newly established overseas subsidiaries. Conversely, if the danger of declining

overseas market share was exaggerated, the home country might well have

unnecessarily lost jobs and export revenues in that instance. Establishment of a

new foreign subsidiary may result in increased net exports from the home country

in the form of components, assembly line machinery, and models of the product

that won’t be produced in the new subsidiary. However, this rosy scenario will

materialize only in some cases.

Efficiency-Seeking FDI A third common motivation to invest overseas re- volves around the quest to reduce costs of production. Efficiency-seeking FDI is

quite distinct from the two previously discussed business motivations and

therefore produces distinctive behavioral patterns and economic effects. The first

of two principal rationales for this kind of FDI involves establishing a subsidiary

in a low-wage country. Relatively low-paid workers tend to be low-skilled work-

ers. However, if they possess a work ethic, they can be and are cost-effective when

producing low-tech, labor-intensive goods (apparel and footwear, for example) or

assembling goods having a mature, that is, standardized and unchanging tech-

nology (radios and analog television sets, for example). The second major ratio-

nale for efficiency-seeking FDI is to achieve economies of scale. As will be

discussed in chapter 6, pressure to minimize per unit costs of capital-intensive

goods having very high upfront development and manufacturing costs explains

the urgency that high-tech MNCs attach to successfully selling these goods in

every national market of any significant size.3

Efficiency-seeking direct investments are a close proxy for a debate on the

virtues of free markets. They have the potential to provide significant benefits by

increasing the efficiency of global resource allocation. Yet this kind of FDI and

heterogeneity 69

free markets also can inflict hardship on specific groups in what some regard as

the overly aggressive drive to provide financial rewards for corporate executives

and the relatively few owners of capital. The number one grievance against FDI/

MNCs by unions in industrialized countries has been the allegedly growing

tendency of employers to reduce labor costs by shutting down production in

the home country and moving it to LDCs—or threatening to do so. Job shifts

to foreign subsidiaries in lower wage countries have been most lambasted in the

United States, but they also have occurred in Japan (mostly to other Asian

countries) and Germany (mostly to Central Europe). No data exist to definitively

test the standard corporate riposte that their ability to remain in business would

have been put at risk if they continued relying on relatively high-priced labor in a

globalized world of efficiency-seeking competitors. Nor are there conclusive data

to validate labor’s claims that significant increases in aggregate unemployment can

be linked directly to outward FDI.

MNCs seeking to cut production costs are attracted by differences in factor

endowments, most notably an ample labor supply. In such cases, incoming FDI

will tend not to raise the overall skill or income levels of the labor force. The

benefits will come in providing additional jobs, at or above prevailing wage levels,

to countries likely to have relatively high rates of unemployment and underem-

ployment. Cheaper labor, however, is not always the main objective. If a sub-

sidiary is turning out state-of-the-art high-tech goods, relatively high-wage jobs

will be created in host countries.

Whether the objective is highly skilled labor, very cheap labor, or strategic

geographic location, this form of FDI has an above-average likelihood of gen-

erating increased foreign exchange earnings for host countries. An efficiency-

seeking subsidiary is not ordinarily established to serve a single national market.

Many are specifically designed to be export platforms. The statistic that U.S.-

owned subsidiaries in Ireland export more than 95 percent of their output in that

country epitomizes the export-platform/efficiency-seeking model of overseas

investment.4 One study of the overall impact of FDI on LDCs found that in

addition to increased foreign exchange, efficiency-seeking FDI ‘‘is more likely to

bring in technology and know-how which is compatible to the host countries’

level of development, and enables local suppliers and competitors to benefit from

spillovers through adaptation and imitation. . . .As a result, one would expect a

relatively strong growth impact of . . . efficiency-seeking FDI.’’5

Strategic Asset-Seeking FDI A relatively specialized and infrequent moti- vation for engaging in FDI is to acquire some or all of the assets of a foreign com-

pany to enhance the purchasing corporation’s competitiveness, either through

increased synergy or less competition. The business objective in this case is not to

reduce costs or protect specific markets. Instead, it is to acquire assets that are

fundamentals70

perceived to be capable of strengthening the overall competitive position of the

acquiring company or weakening that of competitors.6 Acquisition of strategic

assets may allow a company to swallow a competitor, broaden its product line,

upgrade the technology embedded in its products, or prevent a third company

from acquiring the purchased assets. This form of direct investment has no

inherent advantages or disadvantages (except possibly to reduce competition)

of significance for either the host or home countries as a whole. If this kind of

transaction successfully achieves its commercial goals, the main beneficiaries

most likely will be the shareholders of the acquiring company.

By the Role in the Parent Company’s Global

Production Strategy

A second kind of FDI can be defined in terms of which of two broad production

strategies a foreign subsidiary is designed to contribute. In the manufacturing sec-

tor, the most common form of FDI is characterized as horizontal. This term refers

to a horizontal transfer of a portion of home country production to overseas

subsidiaries for the purpose of strengthening the firm’s global competitive position.

The potential benefits to the host country’s economy would be similar in most

cases to those previously attributed to market-seeking FDI.

An initial reduction in exports of the finished products whose manufacture has

been shifted out of the home country is the norm. But in the medium to long

term, the home country’s total exports would not automatically decline by the

amount of production that had moved overseas. Given the sharp increases in

intracorporate trade experienced by the two biggest MNC home countries, the

United States and Japan, the chances are good that the initial export loss will be

partly or totally offset by increases in exports of other products from the home

country. As already noted, overseas subsidiaries can trigger increased shipments

of components of the product now being made overseas, capital equipment and

replacement parts to be used on the new subsidiary’s assembly line, and com-

plementary models manufactured only in the headquarters country that will be

marketed by the overseas subsidiary. In a similar vein, some domestic jobs will be

eliminated when production lines are shifted overseas, yet the aggregate number

of unemployed workers need not necessarily rise. The affected workers might

simply be assigned to making other goods produced by the same company.

Alternatively, they might find comparable or even better jobs elsewhere, a rel-

atively common occurrence in a growing economy. The closing of a given pro-

duction line (for any reason) may or may not result in a net loss of jobs on a

nationwide basis; total employment depends mainly on the business cycle.

Vertical FDI has been the faster growing subcategory of production strategy

since the 1980s. This is due to the increasing technical complexity of a wide range

heterogeneity 71

of manufactured goods, most notably automobiles and information technology

hardware. Advances in communications, data transmission, and transportation

have allowed the business strategy known as global production networks and ver-

tical integration to thrive and operate at high rates of efficiency. Technological

progress is responsible for the growth of vertical FDI beyond its original phase in

which oil and other resource companies extracted raw materials and exported

them to company-owned facilities for processing.

The most common version of vertical FDI is dividing the manufacturing

process into segments in which various parts of a finished product are made by

two or more subsidiaries in two or more countries anywhere in the world. For

example, as components become more numerous and more complicated to design

and manufacture, automakers increasingly designate individual subsidiaries to

specialize in making engines, transmissions, and so on. Geographic specialization

exploits cost advantages in different countries for different products. In eco-

nomic jargon, companies are minimizing production costs by taking advantage of

international factor-price differentials, a core concept of the law of compara-

tive advantage. Capital-intensive goods and high-skilled services mainly will be

produced in capital and skilled labor-rich developed countries. Labor-intensive,

low-tech products and simple assembly work will be assigned to subsidiaries in

poorer countries with relatively low labor costs. The spread of global production

networks is praised in some quarters as elevating the efficient use of the world’s

resources to a new level.

Vertical FDI is inherently trade-creating. Intracorporate trade blossoms

as intermediate goods are exported from various countries either to the home

country or to a third country for final assembly. As parts, components, and raw

materials move back and forth in a highly complex global production network,

the ‘‘traditional connection between production and market is broken.’’7

Export processing zones (EPZs; also referred to as free trade zones) are a

common player in vertical integration. EPZs have been established almost exclu-

sively by LDCs. MNCs operating subsidiaries in EPZs usually do so for the

purpose of exporting labor-intensive goods to other subsidiaries of the parent

company. Incentives to build a subsidiary in an export zone, which is usually phys-

ically separated from the rest of the country, include exemptions from import

barriers, most business regulations, and some or all corporate income taxes.

Method of Establishing a Foreign Subsidiary

Another kind of FDI can be identified on the basis of how a foreign subsidiary or

affiliate has been established. Once again, disaggregation is appropriate to des-

ignate the options available to MNCs. And once again, each of three distin-

guishable options has its own characteristics and brings its own cost-benefit ratio

fundamentals72

to the table. The vast majority of new FDI has originated either as greenfield

investments or through M&As. The former involves incorporating and building

a brand new local company, hypothetically involving construction of new facility

on an open, grassy field. The latter involves acquisition by a foreign-based

company of management control over an existing company in the host country; it

does this through the purchase of voting stock in the local corporation. Alter-

natively, the transaction could involve a mutual transfer of stock to consummate a

formal merger of equals located in two countries. M&As emerged only in the

1990s as a consistently significant percentage of new FDI, presumably because a

growing number of companies were nearing the limits of further growth from

within. The larger M&A deals thus far have mostly been between big European

and American companies. (There is no way to know whether the relatively recent

upsurge in M&As relative to greenfield investment is a temporary or long-term

change in corporate strategy.)

The third means of establishing a foreign subsidiary is via privatization. The

purchase of a government-owned industry, utility, transportation system, and

so on is a by-product of the shift in the 1990s toward free market policies by

developing countries in Asia, Latin America, and Africa, as well as in formerly

communist countries in transition from command to private enterprise-based

economic systems. In economic terms, privatization differs from M&As in that

the seller is the government of what becomes the host country and the buyer

acquires an entity for whom profits were not a priority goal (or necessity). Unless

renationalized, an entity can only be privatized once. Any further transfers of

ownership would be between two private companies and fall into the commercial

M&A category.

The most important difference in economic impact between incoming FDI

taking the form of greenfield plants and incoming FDI via M&As or privatization

can be summed up in one word: incrementalism. A takeover of an existing business

entity does not initially create the incremental economic activity, jobs, and tax

revenue in host countries associated with greenfield investments. Mergers, take-

overs, and privatization at the outset involve only a change in ownership. Though

the foreign company may later decide to expand output in its newly acquired

foreign subsidiary, it might first go on a cost-cutting offensive that reduces the

local payroll by a considerable margin. This is the likely scenario when a foreign

company acquires a poorly managed, money-losing company. The new property

in such a case tends to be viewed as a candidate for a corporate ‘‘makeover’’

incorporating better management and more efficient production processes.

Although free-market economists praise any and all improvements in effi-

ciency, political leaders prefer the benefits of incrementalism provided by

greenfield investments—especially those that do not compete with local com-

panies. Very few voters express happiness if a foreign firm is able to maintain the

heterogeneity 73

output of what previously had been a locally owned company while using only a

fraction of the old workforce. Nationalists in all countries will be alarmed at the

perceived loss of control associated with any extensive takeovers of local busi-

nesses by foreign interests. This was exactly the feeling voiced by some Amer-

icans in the 1980s as Japanese companies went on what was widely viewed as a

buying spree in the United States (see chapter 7).

By Method of Financing a New Subsidiary

Absent an exchange of common stock, new FDI cannot occur without a capital

outlay by a foreign-based company in a host country. The foreign MNC most

likely will transfer hard currency, usually dollars, from its home country. For

greenfield investments, these funds will be converted into the local currency to

pay for the initial purchase of land, construction of buildings, equipment, and the

hiring and training of workers. For most M&As, the capital outlay consists of

purchasing equity from the existing owners of the targeted local company. In-

flows of dollars or euros converted into local currencies have a favorable balance

of payments impact of special importance to LDCs: They provide additional

resources to pay for imports of goods and services needed to spur economic

development and raise living standards. For many countries, FDI-related capital

inflows have become a relatively stable and important source of financing trade

deficits and therefore a valuable force for economic growth.

FDI can take place without international capital flows. New subsidiaries can

be built and acquisitions of existing companies can be made by borrowing in the

local capital markets. A foreign MNC may calculate that it can save money by

using its superior credit rating to raise needed capital by borrowing from banks or

selling bonds in the host country. Locally financed FDI has two drawbacks for

the host country’s economy. First, by definition, the host suffers the opportunity

cost of forgone incoming foreign exchange from the foreignMNC’s headquarters

country. Second, there may be a crowding-out effect as domestic banks prefer to

engage in relatively risk-free lending to blue-chip foreign companies rather than

making loans to local businesses with lower quality credit ratings. The potential

for crowding out is greatest in countries where the volume of borrowing by

foreign investors is highest relative to the domestic availability of lendable funds.

By Extent of Foreign Ownership

When a foreign company owns at least 10 percent equity in a foreign-based

company, it is considered to be FDI. However, it is not axiomatic that a relatively

small percentage of ownership translates into an active voice in management

decisions. The foreign company in such cases may be more interested in the

fundamentals74

financial rewards associated with investment in a growth company than having an

active voice in the day-to-day operation of the company. A ‘‘hands-off’’ FDI

would normally have no direct impact on the economies of either the host or

home country. At the other extreme is the highly visible, attention-grabbing kind

of FDI that takes place when large corporations establish major overseas sub-

sidiaries that in almost all cases are 100 percent owned. Big, globe-spanning

companies like ExxonMobil, Royal Dutch Shell, IBM, General Motors, Ford,

Toyota, General Electric, Nestlé, and Siemens can have a significant impact on

the economies of countries that host their investments. Their above-average size

and ability to attract attention means that they are important but not necessarily

the benchmark for assessing the behavior and impact of MNCs in general.

A discussion of how the variable of foreign ownership creates differences in

FDI characteristics and effects would not be complete without an examination of

international partnerships. They seek to facilitate the achievement of business

objectives that would be financially burdensome, excessively time-consuming, or

possibly unattainable if the two (and occasionally more) partnering companies

acted independently. Partnership is attractive when a company has rejected ac-

quiring or merging with another firm, perhaps due to the latter’s being involved

in business lines that are alien or unattractive to the potential suitor.8

International joint ventures and strategic alliances are the two most common

and important forms of partnership between companies headquartered in dif-

ferent countries.9 Imbued with at least two separate corporate cultures, jointly

owned business entities tend to require more compromise and consultations than

a subsidiary of a company with a single set of priorities, executives, and share-

holders. Joint ventures and strategic alliances have not demonstrated extraordi-

nary or distinctive effects on national economies. They tend to be microeconomic

phenomena best analyzed mainly at the company level.

The most important qualitative difference between these two arrangements is

that a joint venture requires creation of a newly incorporated, jointly owned

business entity in an agreed-on country (or countries). A strategic alliance con-

sists only of formally specified areas of collaboration between cooperating com-

panies who remain legally independent of one another. Otherwise, both have

similar objectives and potential consequences. International partnerships between

two already powerful, well-managed companies can represent a healthy step

forward in achieving greater efficiency and better products. Alternatively, a mu-

tual strengthening of two ostensible rivals and an increase in their market shares

can reduce competition, deliberately or unintentionally, by squeezing existing

competitors and discouraging new entrants.

Collaboration between companies in different countries is nothing novel. ‘‘What

is new is their current scale, their proliferation and the fact that they have become

central to the global strategies of many firms rather than peripheral to them. Most

heterogeneity 75

strikingly, the great majority of strategic alliances have been between competitors.’’10

According to an OECD study, companies that ‘‘have long shunned joint ventures

or close collaboration with other firms in their core business areas are increasingly

entering into such co-operative arrangements.’’11 By one measure, international

strategic alliances, including joint ventures, increased more than fivefold to 4,440

between 1989 and 1999. The study also found evidence that recent international

partnerships had become ‘‘far larger in scale and value terms than earlier part-

nerships.’’ It concluded that the two-to-one ratio between international and do-

mestic strategic alliances illustrates that globalization ‘‘is a primary motivation for

alliances.’’12

Arguably, the search for synergy is the most common rationale for strategic

alliances and joint ventures. Synergy in this case can be defined as ‘‘additional

economic benefits (financial, operational, or technological) arising from cooper-

ation between two parties that provide each other with complementary resources

or capabilities.’’13 In particular, an international partnership can promote econ-

omies of scale for the partners in the various stages of manufacturing: raw ma-

terials acquisition, production, marketing, and distribution. Another common

inspiration for formal international cooperation among even the largest corpo-

rations is the need to pool capital to spread financial risks. The multibillion-dollar

pursuit of a breakthrough technology (new generations of semiconductor chips

are an excellent example) may be too expensive to be borne by just one company.

Business alliances can reduce the absolute size of each participant’s R&D outlays,

and they can reduce potential losses in expensive and risky efforts at innovation

that are long shots to produce a commercially viable product.

Strategic partnerships and joint ventures are used sometimes to enlarge the pool

of scientific and engineering talent needed to successfully develop an especially

challenging new technology. This is yet another reason to mutually learn from and

draw on some aspect of the superior intellectual capital or marketing know-how of

the other company. New United Motor Manufacturing, Inc. (NUMMI) is a joint

venture established in California in 1984 whose origin is generally attributed to dif-

ferent needs of two automobile giants. General Motors reportedly wanted to ob-

serve firsthand the lean production techniques of Toyota. The Japanese company

reportedly wanted to observe firsthand GM’s expertise in dealing with the regula-

tory and marketing nuances of manufacturing andmass retailing automobiles in the

United States. The NUMMI partnership supports the contention that any given

FDIproject can bemutually advantageous and that an injured party is not inevitable.

Joint ventures are typically the partnership vehicle of choice if a foreign

company is uncertain about the vagaries of an especially ‘‘exotic’’ foreign market

it wishes to enter and sees virtues in piggybacking on the domestic expertise and

the commercial and political connections of a savvy local company. A foreign

company may opt for a joint venture with a local company to project an image of a

fundamentals76

domestic business and reduce perceptions that it is an outsider. Government

restrictions may make joint ventures compulsory. Until the Japanese government

was pressured into genuine liberalization beginning in the 1970s, nearly all in-

coming FDI took place through joint ventures with foreign ownership capped at

50 percent. (Even if it was a 50/50 partnership, in most cases there was no doubt

that the Japanese partner had the upper hand and would manage the company in

conformity with that country’s unique business culture and equally unique

government-business relationship.)

Identifying and Classifying Different Kinds of MNCs

To the casual observer, the term MNC invariably conjures up the image of the

usual suspects: big oil companies, big manufacturers of consumer goods, big banks,

and so on. The 100 largest MNCs, as measured by UNCTAD, do indeed account

for a statistically significant percentage (roughly 15 percent) of the annual sales and

employment of the approximately 700,000 foreign-owned or -controlled sub-

sidiaries doing business around the world.14 None of these indicators, however,

suggest that it is valid to define the behavior and effects of allMNCs in terms of the

largest, most visible, and often most notorious companies. Because size itself is an

important variable in determining behavior and effects, an objective analysis cannot

logically declare the behavior of a numerically small sample of corporate behemoths

to be representative of the much larger statistical universe.

As with FDI, MNCs can be divided into a number of distinctive kinds, most

of which have their own unique subsets of identifiable qualities. Also like FDI,

differences in business objectives, relationships to the host country’s economy,

financial structure, propensity to export, and so on will produce two continuums,

one for host and one for home countries, on which MNC activities can be charted

from very favorable to very unfavorable. Even within the same industrial sector

and among companies of comparable size from the same home country, the

heterogeneity factor prevails. Given the large number of variables, an individual

foreign subsidiary should not be stereotyped through a one-size-fits-all ledger of

positive and negative trade-offs. With the chance of identical results so slim, it is

not a big exaggeration to advocate disaggregation down to a subsidiary by sub-

sidiary review as the ideal means of avoiding the fallacy of generalization when

evaluating the overall FDI and MNC phenomena.

By Economic Sector

Economists divide national economies into three broad sectors based on their

distinctly different outputs and characteristics. The primary sector extracts raw

heterogeneity 77

materials and harvests commodities. The secondary sector equates to manu-

facturing. The tertiary sector encompasses services. MNCs within each of these

sectors share a number of common traits and effects that tend not to be found in

companies operating in the other sectors.

Primary Sector As noted, natural resource-extracting companies led the first wave of modern FDI. Being first has done nothing to enhance their image. As

also noted, for a number of reasons, fear and loathing have long been directed at

them to a degree that is disproportionately high to their numbers relative to

MNCs in the manufacturing and services sectors.

The questions of ownership and control over natural resources production

schedules assume maximum significance in the frequent instances where the

producing country is relatively poor. Most overseas subsidiaries of mining and oil

companies were and are located in former colonies, most of whom have lingering

fears about neocolonialism in general and concerns about the power of foreign-

owned companies in particular. The dependency of countries in the South on

MNCs to deliver hard currency payments in exchange for overseas sales of their

natural resources is especially sensitive when dealing with nonreplenishable re-

sources. By definition, such a mineral or metal eventually will be exhausted, as

will the income flow derived from selling it. For this reason, noncorrupt gov-

ernments of resource-rich countries cannot be pleased when foreign companies

dominate decisions on production levels and price.15

Oil is the most important example of powerful control over LDC-based natural

resources by carpetbagger MNCs. For decades, the large international oil com-

panies collectively set terms for royalties received by host countries, determined

volumes of drilling, and effectively controlled worldwide prices of that com-

modity. However many billions of dollars in potential royalties have been forgone

by LDC governments, a dramatic about-face begun in the early 1970s revolu-

tionized the relationship between countries belonging to the Organization of

Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and the oil companies. The eruption of

accumulated anger in the oil-producing countries of the Middle East, North

Africa, and in Venezuela triggered a classic case study in the ultimate power of

sovereign governments, even in small countries, over the largest, most econom-

ically powerful MNCs. In the 1970s, one OPEC country after another national-

ized local operations of foreign oil companies and began dictating to them financial

terms and levels of output. In his seminal study of the history of oil in world

affairs, Daniel Yergin eloquently explained the legitimate but conflicting claims

that formed the two sides to the story of host country-oil company relations:

The host country [has] sovereignty over the oil beneath its soil. Yet the

oil was without value until the foreign company risked its capital and

fundamentals78

employed its expertise to discover, produce, and market it. The host

country was, in essence, the landlord, the company a mere tenant,

who . . . [paid] an agreed-upon rent. But, if through the tenant’s risk-taking

and efforts, a discovery was made and the value of the landlord’s property

vastly increased, should the tenant continue to pay the same rent as under

the original terms . . . ?

[Producing countries saw the companies as] ‘‘exploiting’’ the country,

stifling development, denying social prosperity, . . . and certainly acting as

‘‘masters’’—in a haughty, arrogant, and ‘‘superior’’ manner. . . . [Oil

companies felt] they had taken the risks . . . and they signed laboriously

negotiated contracts, which gave them certain rights. They had created

value where there was none. They needed to be compensated for the risks

they had taken—and the dry holes they had drilled.16

A second lightning rod for criticism of primary sector MNCs is the relatively

limited degree to which the typical extractive project is commercially integrated

with the local economy, especially in developing countries. Most mines, oil wells,

plantations, and so on are largely self-contained enclaves (sometimes fenced-in

communities) located away from main population centers. The result is minimal

linkage with host country economies in comparison with manufacturing direct

investment, which often procures goods and services from indigenous compa-

nies. The local workers hired by natural resource companies tend to be relatively

few in number and concentrated in the lower skilled or most dangerous jobs.

Another aspect of the separation between resource-seeking FDI and the host

country’s economy is that it has seldom provided transfers of technology that

could be incorporated into the local industrial sector. Furthermore, it historically

has established little value-added activity within LDCs. Processing raw materials

such as petroleum or cut diamonds into finished products requires capital and

skilled labor, both of which are in short supply in LDCs. The payoff from adding

value is that industrialization and rising levels of productivity work hand in hand

as the chief catalysts of increased wealth and higher living standards. Hence, a

handful of wealthy countries prefers to retain dominance in the value-added

process. Their success in doing so is suggested by the fact that facilities for

processing raw materials into manufactured goods are located predominantly in

the North.

The invaluable benefit provided by FDI in the primary sector has been

provision of much-needed foreign exchange to governments that lack the in-

digenous technical and marketing expertise to act entirely on their own to cash in

on the commercial value of their natural resources. For most LDCs, the money

earned from the in-country activity of primary sector MNCs is a major source of

revenue for the national government. These hard currency revenues typically are

heterogeneity 79

the major means of paying for imports of consumer and capital goods needed for

economic development and poverty reduction. Saudi Arabia earned approxi-

mately $100 billion from oil sales in 2004. During the 1950 and 1960s, the copper

produced in Chile by the Anaconda and Kennecott corporations ranged from 7

percent to 20 percent annually of Chilean GDP, 10 to 40 percent of government

tax revenues, and 30 to 80 percent of all hard currency earnings from exports.17

The most vexing problem for LDCs has been that even if a fair market price is

the basis of their royalty earnings, capital flows alone have never been sufficient to

guarantee economic prosperity and social stability.

Secondary Sector A major milestone in the evolution of the international economy was reached in the 1960s with the onset of a numerical and geographic

proliferation of FDI in the secondary, or manufacturing sector. The subse-

quently rapid growth in the output of the overseas subsidiaries of manufacturing

companies relative to domestic output and exporting was a critical ingredient in

the internationalization of economic activity. By the mid-1970s, manufacturing

MNCs had eclipsed those in the primary sector to become the face of FDI and

the focal point in the public debate about it. Critics usually cite the manufac-

turing sector when expressing their opposition to MNCs, be it exploitation of

workers, increased pollution, reduced competition, crowding out of domestic

businesses, or erosion in national sovereignty. Debates about the contribution of

incoming FDI to economic development, poverty reduction, shifts in interna-

tional trade flows, and the need for technology transfers also tend to be couched

in terms of what manufacturing MNCs do or do not do.

FDI in the secondary sector is dissimilar to that of the primary sector in

several important respects. First, it involves possible economic dislocations in the

home country. The labor force might shrink in the short run (or longer during

periods of economic stagnation) if domestic production lines are closed because

overseas production has been selected as the means of serving customers in the

host and/or home countries. Even if total unemployment does not increase, job

losses due to foreign competition are always a politically sensitive issue for elected

representatives of the people. Second, host countries find incoming manu-

facturing FDI to be particularly appealing because as a group, these companies

have demonstrated a greater willingness to reinvest profits, expand operations,

and increase jobs in host countries than the other sectors. Incoming subsidiaries

of manufacturers that are market-seeking (see previous discussion) tend to be the

most economically beneficial to host countries because of the near certainty that

they will employ skilled workers (and train them if necessary) and pay them

above-average salaries. A final difference is that unlike resource-seeking invest-

ments, the pioneers of manufacturing MNCs built foreign subsidiaries in other

industrialized countries.

fundamentals80

Companies in nearly every subsector of manufacturing have now become

multinational, some to protect overseas markets, some to cut production costs,

and some to do both. High-tech companies (information technology, semicon-

ductors, pharmaceuticals, heavy machinery, and so on) are avid overseas inves-

tors because their need to amortize high fixed costs and hold down per unit costs

requires achieving economies of scale through maximum sales volume. Manu-

facturing industries with more than $75 billion of inward FDI stock at year end

2003 were chemicals and chemical products; motor vehicles and other transport

equipment; electrical and electronic equipment; processed food, beverages, and

tobacco; metal and metal products; machinery and equipment; wood and wood

products; and petroleum and fuels.18 Not all MNCs in the secondary sector are

traditional manufacturers. Like most large publishing houses, Oxford Univer-

sity Press, the publisher of this book, is a multinational, operating sales offices

in more than 50 countries and printing facilities in 13 countries.19 Three man-

ufacturing sectors are noticeably absent from overseas investment: steel, textiles,

and apparel. Not by coincidence, they are three of the most vociferous, long-

standing seekers of import protection among all industries in the United States

and elsewhere.

Tertiary Sector The fastest growing segment of FDI since the beginning of the 1990s has been services, also known as the tertiary sector. Its relatively vig-

orous and sustained growth spurt was sufficient to propel this sector to the largest

category of worldwide FDI. Reaching an estimated level of $5.2 trillion at the end

of 2003, the worldwide value of inward FDI stock by services sector companies

accounted for approximately 60 percent of the worldwide total, up from 25

percent in the early 1970s. (FDI in the secondary sector declined to a share of

about 34 percent in 2003, and the primary sector accounted for about 7 percent of

global inward FDI.)20

The relatively recent growth spurt in the tertiary sector was caused by a

different mix of factors than those that acted as catalysts for increased direct

investment by manufacturing and raw materials companies. Services have be-

come the fastest growing sector by far within the GDPs of the wealthiest in-

dustrialized countries. One reason for this is the constant stream of new kinds

of services that find a ready market among increasingly affluent customers with

more leisure time.

FDI activity by tertiary sector companies has been given a major boost by

technological advances, particularly in information processing and telecommu-

nications, which have allowed a growing array of service industries to operate

efficiently on a global basis. Relatively new entrants include data transmission,

overnight freight deliveries, and back office support centers. A whole new subset

of MNC that is increasingly making its presence felt on a global basis consists of

heterogeneity 81

Internet-based companies like Yahoo!, Google, Amazon.com, and eBay, who

have set up overseas subsidiaries to handle content, sales, customer support, and

market research efforts. More recent entrants into multinational business are the

U.S.-based gambling companies Las Vegas Sands Corporation and Wynn Re-

sorts, who are building casinos in Macau and Singapore.

No limit is in sight for the kinds of innovative services that can be provided on a

multinational basis. Foreign-based companies that manage regional water supplies

and operate toll roads and bridges, once a curiosity, are becoming common. Press

reports in 2005 noted that a U.S.-based operator of senior citizen housing com-

plexes had opened facilities abroad and that Laureate Education had expanded the

number of college campuses it owned overseas. This new wave of service com-

panies joined long-established, still expanding MNCs in tourism, passenger and

freight transportation, banking and finance, wholesaling and distributing, insur-

ance, construction, and energy exploration and transmission services.

A third source of growth in services MNCs has been the need for and op-

portunities provided to banking, accounting, legal, advertising, and other busi-

ness services to set up branches close to the proliferating overseas presence of

their manufacturing sector clients. Another factor is the steady increase in con-

sumers’ discretionary income throughout much of the world that induced many

retailers, restaurant and specialty food chains, health care providers, and cable

networks to become MNCs. Finally, the expanding trend of privatization of

government-owned enterprises post-1980s caused a surge in overseas investment

by what had traditionally been the most home-bound of corporations: trans-

portation and utilities providing electricity, water, natural gas, and telecommu-

nications.

FDI in the services sector shares relatively few of the characteristics attrib-

utable to MNCs in the primary and secondary sectors. The tertiary sector has

much less scope than manufacturers for traditional exporting. In some cases,

such as in construction, resorts, and oil drilling, the services rendered personify

the economic concept of nontradability, that is, services providers must physi-

cally be present in the place where their product is consumed. The prevalence of

the nontradability syndrome has precluded controversy about services-oriented

FDI displacing exports from home countries. Conversely, no claims can be made,

as they are in the secondary sector, that overseas services subsidiaries generate a

high volume of alternative exports from the home country in the forms of

components, machinery, and models of goods not being produced abroad.

MNC critics traditionally did not accuse FDI in the services sector of caus-

ing substantial job losses in the headquarters country. Part of the reason was

nontradability; another part was the propensity of service companies to send

accountants, lawyers, advertising copy writers, and senior supervisory personnel

from headquarters to serve a temporary overseas assignment. White-collar

fundamentals82

workers did not feel the same sense of vulnerability that workers on the factory

floor did. No data exist to suggest that the former received the same threats from

employers as did blue-collar workers that entire production lines would be

transferred to low-wage countries if demands for increases in wages and benefits

were not restrained.

The exemption long given to service sector FDI from criticism alleging

losses in home country jobs came to an abrupt end in the early years of the new

millennium. A heated backlash, mainly in the United States, erupted almost

overnight against international outsourcing (a term that usually denotes an arm’s-

length transaction between two companies in different countries). More specif-

ically, the target of heated finger-pointing has been offshoring (see chapter 13).

Also lacking a single, precise definition, this term refers to a decision by a local

company to shift service functions being performed in the headquarters country

to a subsidiary located in a lower wage country or to a different company in a

different country.21 Advances in information and communications technologies

have caused great distances to become irrelevant to a growing number of services

sectors. An x-ray can be evaluated quickly and cheaply by a radiologist 10,000

miles from the patient, and software code can be written almost anywhere and

transmitted quickly and cheaply to any other point on the planet. This trend has

helped launch a new attack on the theory of free trade (see chapter 11). Some

have agonized that if very high-skilled, high-income service jobs are going to be

shifted overseas to further fatten corporate bottom lines, the irreversible un-

raveling of America’s high standard of living has begun.

In the past, services companies established overseas subsidiaries solely as part

of market-seeking strategies. The efficiency-seeking strategy (offshoring) is still

in its infancy, and resource- and strategic asset-seeking are statistically irrelevant

as foreign investment motives. Overseas subsidiaries of service companies have

not been accused of being part of the alleged race to the bottom. They do not

engage in activities that pollute the environment (think of accountants or exec-

utive job recruiters working in a modern office building). They seldom have been

accused of exploiting local workers or imposing sweatshop conditions. Except for

a few big retailers like Wal-Mart, service MNCs have not been loudly criticized

for crowding out local business establishments. Foreign subsidiaries in the ser-

vice sector are not associated with lost jobs and exports in the home country; in

many cases, such as hotel chains, lawyers, journalists, and retailers, new positions

for expatriates from the headquarters country would be created. An additional

factor muting public criticism is that many service multinationals, for example,

wholesalers, distributors, and trading companies, have a low profile and are

largely shielded from public view.

McDonald’s, Starbucks, MTV, and Disney exemplify the main criticism of

the new wave of tertiary sector FDI: alleged threats to the integrity of local

heterogeneity 83

culture and lifestyles. This is a complaint seldom directed against MNCs in the

primary and secondary sectors. Other service-related problems on the horizon

are governments squabbling over how to collect sales taxes from international e-

commerce transactions and further growth and expansion of multinational media

conglomerates.

FDI by service companies is not so unique as to be exempt from the

heterogeneity/don’t generalize thesis. Some overseas subsidiaries are part of

megacorporations (Citigroup, for example). Others are small cogs in relatively

small companies that are partnerships or non-stock trading corporations (ad-

vertising, public relations, and architects, for example). They operate in a limited

number of countries, have relatively few employees overseas, and have little need

to subvert local laws and regulations. Some overseas subsidiaries of services

companies generate relatively few new local jobs, for example, law and accounting

firms. The tourism industry is a different story. The arrival of multinational

hotels and resorts can create a flourishing tourist sector that needs thousands of

jobs to give direct service to tourists and provide a variety of logistical support

functions, such as food deliveries and all manner of hotel supplies.

Miscellaneous

MNCs have become so diverse that not all correspond to one of these three

traditional categories. First of all, there are what can be called virtual MNCs,

companies that design and market state-of-the-art information technology,

electronics, and telecommunications products but do not actually manufacture

them. Overseas subsidiaries of such companies would mainly be R&D and design

operations that mostly employ engineers and scientists, not traditional factories

employing blue-collar production workers. For example, Microsoft is more a

multinational research and product development campus than a manufacturing

company. It is almost totally reliant on outsourcing for the manufacture of CD-

ROMs, video game machines, and other physical products bearing its name.

A growing number of major companies in the high-tech sector contract out—

outsource—to specialized assemblers and manufacturers. This has given rise to a

new industrial category, electronics manufacturing services. It consists of con-

tracted manufacturers and distributors of information technology products de-

veloped elsewhere by familiar brand names (Cisco Systems, Dell, Hewlett-

Packard, and Nokia, among others). All the large electronics manufacturing

specialists are themselves MNCs because they need to respond quickly to orders

and provide rapid deliveries in the dozens of markets in which their major clients

are marketing their goods. Flextronics, a Singapore-based electronics manu-

facturing services provider, operates production centers in over thirty countries

on five continents.22

fundamentals84

Nike is a low-tech version of the virtual MNC. It does not own any of the

dozens of licensed plants overseas that physically assemble the footwear that it

designs, promotes, and sells on a global basis. Absent overseas marketing and

distribution subsidiaries, it would not, strictly speaking, be an MNC.

Coca-Cola may be the most ubiquitous brand name on Earth, but the com-

pany does not fit the typical profile of a consumer goods multinational. It is more

an intermediary supplier than a retailer. Coke has foreign subsidiaries in sur-

prisingly few countries given the fact that its products are sold in more than 200

countries and territories. Its overseas manufacturing presence is concentrated in

some twenty factories that prepare its proprietary syrup. These plants then sell

the syrup to bottling companies and wholesalers throughout the world. Although

some foreign bottlers are wholly or majority-owned Coca-Cola subsidiaries, most

of the bottling companies operating in 478 licensed marketing districts worldwide

are locally owned.23 They are the ones that literally do the heavy lifting of selling

countless millions of bottles and cans of beverages bearing the Coca-Cola logo.

They also pocket the profits from doing so.

Singapore actively promotes itself as an ideal location for the Asian regional

executive headquarters of MNCs. This kind of subsidiary ensures a strong local

job market for office professionals, generates income taxes, and stimulates de-

mand for upscale housing. Regional headquarters offices do not operate sweat-

shops, do not pollute, and pose no threat to domestic companies. But neither do

they produce large numbers of jobs for local residents.

By Corporate Size

The popular view of MNCs is that they rank among the biggest, most powerful

companies on Earth. Though literally true, this is only a small part of the picture.

The largest companies are the ones most frequently discussed by critics and

supporters of FDI/MNCs. The fact that a relatively small number of very large

corporations accounts for a disproportionately large percentage of the worldwide

economic activity of multinationals does not mean that they should define the

nature and effects of all FDI and MNCs—even if they represented a homoge-

neous cohort. In numerical terms, the majority of MNCs are medium and small

companies that lack the financial and market power of the elite minority of mega-

MNCs. Lacking the clout of the giants, small firms provide another set of ex-

ceptions to challenge the generalization that FDI/MNCs inevitably have a major

impact on host countries and inherently are monopoly-seeking phenomena that

stifle competition and exacerbate the asymmetrical global distribution of income.

Small and medium-sized MNCs seldom have a perceptible economic, polit-

ical, or social impact on either host or home country. ‘‘Most of the estimated

45,000 firms that operate internationally employ fewer than 250 people. It is

heterogeneity 85

commonplace to find service companies that maintain fewer than 100 employees

operating across more than 15 countries.’’24 A Conference Board study found

that most small and medium-sized goods-producing companies had only one to

three overseas plants, whereas big companies had an average of thirty-six plants

in fourteen foreign countries.25 Paris-based BVRP Software, with only $74

million in annual sales in 2003, became a multinational after acquiring two small

California software firms, one of which had annual sales of only $8 million.26

By Degree of Multinationality

MNCs differ quite literally in their worldliness. An American company might

have as its sole FDI presence one relatively small factory in Canada that sells only

in that market. This modest operation does not fit the image of a gigantic globe-

spanning company seeking to manage the world as an integrated unit and dom-

inate all major markets for its products. Deutsche Post, Ford, Nestlé, and Royal

Dutch Shell do fit that profile as each has facilities in more than ninety host

countries.27 The most widely cited quantitative estimate of the degree to which

corporations ‘‘gear their activities outside of their home countries’’ is the ‘‘trans-

nationality index’’ (TNI) published periodically in UNCTAD’s annual World

Investment Report. The index is a composite of three ratios compiled for each of

the top 100 nonfinancial MNCs: foreign assets to total company assets, foreign

sales to total sales, and foreign employment to total employment. The average

TNI for all 100 corporations increased by only 2 percentage points, from 51 to 53

percent, between 1990 and 1999. This suggests that the corporations with the

largest foreign assets were not on average becoming more global in the 1990s.28

Economic necessity correlates well with degrees of transnationality. Consistent

with economic reason, countries with small domestic markets, most notably

box 4.1 A Study in Contrasts: MNC Output and Economic Impact,

Big and Small

Intel opened a $300 million, state-of-the-art microprocessor assembly and testing

subsidiary in Costa Rica in 1998. One year later, the plant’s output contributed 60

percent of the country’s GDP growth for that year and accounted for nearly 40

percent of its exports.

Beard Papa’s, a subsidiary of a Japanese restaurant and bakery chain, opened its

first carry-out shop in the United States in spring 2004. A small storefront op-

eration, the Manhattan-based outlet sells a few hundred cream puffs daily.

Both are examples of FDI.

No meaningful parallels can be drawn about their economic effects on the host

country’s economy or on the international trading system.

fundamentals86

Switzerland and the Netherlands, continue to account for an above-average

number of the most globalized companies as measured by the index. U.S.

and Japanese firms on average register well below the 50 percent mark on

the TNI.

The degree of a corporation’s multinationality is a factor in the way it orga-

nizes itself. A certain degree of decentralization is necessary to the extent that a

large share of a company’s assets, sales, and employment are located outside of its

home country. A low degree of multinationality would facilitate a decision to

exert tight control from corporate headquarters and could reduce the linkage

between its overseas subsidiaries and host countries’ business sectors.

By LDC-Owned MNCs

One of the harshest and longest running criticisms of FDI/MNCs is their alleged

use of economic might and political leverage to exploit the poor countries of the

South. The image of massive extraction of profits and minimal infusion of long-

term benefits first emerged from the often controversial behavior of extractive

companies already summarized. More recently, criticism was expanded by op-

ponents of globalization to include allegations of a rush to the South by big

manufacturing companies to exploit cheap labor and lax enforcement of envi-

ronmental protection laws (see chapter 7). Viewing MNCs in this harsh light

grew out of a valid generalization: Outward FDI historically had flowed in one

direction—from the rich countries of the North mostly to other rich countries.

This is another international business trend terminated by the constant of change.

FDI and MNCs have not been and are not likely to become static phenomena.

A new trend that has yet to attract much public notice is the increasing

number of prosperous, growing corporations in LDCs establishing overseas

subsidiaries, that is, becoming MNCs. The old one-way, North-to-South axis of

FDI is being reconfigured by the spread of market forces. Most of the companies

headquartered in emerging market countries that have made the decision to be-

come MNCs have done so largely for the same reasons that companies in in-

dustrialized countries went overseas according to UNCTAD, a UN agency

whose mandate is to protect and enhance the economic interests of the South.

LDC-owned companies recognize that ‘‘in a globalizing world economy, they

need a portfolio of locational assets in order to be competitive internationally.’’

This formula for long-term survival applies to both manufacturing and services

companies and involves ‘‘complex as well as simple’’ industries.29 Although

motivations to invest overseas are similar, FDI by LDC-based manufacturing

companies has mostly been in industrial countries and therefore does not raise

the traditional concerns that giant foreign investors will dictate to relatively weak

host countries.

heterogeneity 87

The statistical significance of the emerging ‘‘new geography’’ of outward FDI

can be demonstrated in several ways. UNCTAD statistics show that annual FDI

outflows from developing countries grew at a faster rate in the 1989–2003 period

than those from developed countries. Negligible until the early 1990s, outward

FDI from emerging market countries accounted for about one-tenth of the world

stock of outward FDI and about 6 percent of total world flows in 2003.30 In some

years, South-South FDI flows now grow at a faster rate than North-South direct

investment.

When measured as a percentage of gross fixed capital formation, some de-

veloping countries invested more abroad between 2001 and 2003 than developed

ones; by way of example, Singapore (36 percent), Chile (7 percent), and Malaysia

(5 percent) topped the United States (7 percent), Germany (4 percent), and Japan

(3 percent).31 Other emerging market countries that UNCTAD considers to be

current or soon-to-be factors in new outward FDI flows are Korea, Mexico,

South Africa, Brazil, and India. Chinese enterprises were singled out as being ‘‘at

the threshold of becoming major foreign direct investors in Asia and beyond’’

because of the country’s rapid economic development and the government’s

avowed interest in encouraging outward FDI.32

Mexican-based Cemex has grown into one of the world’s largest cement

producers. As a result of newly established subsidiaries and acquisitions on five

continents, about three-fourths of its revenues are generated outside of Mexico,

including the highly competitive U.S. market. In 1987, a book by Louis W.

Goodman titled Small Nations, Giant Firms looked at attitudes of MNC exec-

utives and economic policy officials in several Latin American countries to assess

the impact of inward FDI from powerful foreign-based companies. Ironically,

the title would be perfectly appropriate for a new book looking at the increased

outward flow of FDI from large companies in emerging market countries.

It is not only the larger, more economically advanced developing countries

whose companies have become multinationals. A number of companies head-

quartered in the relatively small and remote island country of Mauritius opened

foreign subsidiaries. Apparel companies established subsidiaries in lower wage

African countries to produce low-end garments, and some of Mauritius’s more

experienced hotel management companies expanded their operations to other

countries in the region.33

Assuming the trend of increased outward FDI from emerging markets con-

tinues, the school of thought equating MNCs with exploitation of LDCs will face

a quandary. The tendency to portray MNCs as oversized, capitalist villains will

become increasingly incompatible with the growing numbers of LDC-based

companies replicating the global business model conceived in the North. If

the anti-MNC/pro-LDC faction retains a platform whose unequivocal message

is the need for increased government-imposed restrictions on the growth of

fundamentals88

box 4.2 Following in the Footsteps: Chinese and Indian

Companies Venture Overseas

One of the more optimistic pronouncements made by development economists in

the 1970s was that the main difference between industrialized, rich countries and

LDCs was a matter of timing, not economics, politics, or sociology. LDCs were

said to be at an earlier stage of the development timetable and would gradually and

inexorably follow the same path to prosperity taken by the developed countries.

This claim was off the mark and is seldom heard today. However, it bears close

resemblance to the recent propensity of MNCs based in emerging market countries

(not the poorer LDCs) to invest abroad for reasons identical to those that many

decades ago induced companies in the North to venture overseas, most notably to

seek new markets for manufactured goods and new sources of natural resources.

The Haier Group, a Chinese conglomerate, opened a subsidiary in South

Carolina in 2000 to produce refrigerators. Corporate officials stated that one of two

primary reasons behind this move is to provide better and quicker service to its

expanding sales base in the United States; in doing so, it hoped to increase its

market share at the expense of domestic competitors. The second primary reason is

to save on shipping costs: ‘‘When you ship refrigerators, you ship a lot of air, and

shipping air is expensive,’’ an American executive at the subsidiary told a reporter.

Some observers have surmised that there was an additional factor. Government-

owned Haier may have been willing to take a financial risk in return for reaping the

prestige of being a pioneer in demonstrating that a Chinese company could prosper

and build market share in the tough, highly competitive U.S. market. Haier

America is paying its assembly line workers at least ten times as much per hour as

their Chinese counterparts.* This raises the unique possibility that workers in the

home country feel exploited, not those working for a foreign subsidiary.

In purchasing IBM’s personal computer unit for nearly $2 billion in late 2004,

the Lenovo Group, a computer producer partly owned by the Chinese government,

risked a lot of money in an effort to become a global player. Economies of scale are of

particular importance to a product like personal computers. They have become a

commodity sold mainly on the basis of price, not brand loyalty or promises of su-

perior performance.

An even more striking example of FDI by LDC-based companies was the pur-

chases during 2004 of several U.S. and Canadian call centers and forms-processing

centers by Indian-owned business services companies. These are probably the first

examples of what could be dubbed reverse offshoring. Among the public reasons

given by the Indian companies for this strategy was the belief that a global presence

will be necessary to further expand their customer base, expertise, and geographic

reach. An unstated reason may be that the striking success of Indian companies in

attracting labor-intensive back office work from companies operating in higher

wage countries enabled them to buy some of their battered U.S. and Canadian rivals

at deep discounts. A second unstated reason for Indian companies to establish a

U.S. presence and employ a limited number of Americans is to defuse the political

furor in the United States associated with offshore outsourcing by American

companies, most of which has gone to India.**

* ‘‘When Jobs Move Overseas (to South Carolina),’’ New York Times, October 26, 2003, p. C1.

** ‘‘India’s Outsourcers Turn West,’’ BusinessWeek Online, available at http://www.businessweek

.com; accessed July 2004.

89

multinational firms, they leave themselves open to being ostracized for a callous

attitude toward the long-term competitiveness of companies owned and managed

by citizens of the South. The paradigm critical of big business will have to give

greater effort to disaggregating FDI flows to categorize those going from South to

North as being unlikely to seriously threaten the political, economic, and social

fabric of the industrialized countries. Outward FDI from the South is likely to

create another conundrum: How should the pro-South faction deal with the

almost inevitable rise of claims that some MNCs headquartered in the emerging

market countries are exploiting workers in subsidiaries they operate in poorer,

lower wage LDCs?

Postscript

This is a long chapter because of the large body of (underutilized) data relevant to

the thesis that generalizations cannot be applied to something that comes in as

many forms as do FDI andMNCs. The heterogeneity factor is incompatible with

any simple declaration that they are good or bad, desirable or undesirable. It is

also incompatible with a single theory as to why they exist and what their effects

have been. Finally, the heterogeneity factor precludes any easy formulation of

multilateral policies to regulate the flow of FDI and operations of MNCs.

Notes

1. The URL for the industrial and geographical breakdown is http://www.unctad.org/

Templates/Page.asp?intItemID¼3149&lang¼1. 2. Suzanne Berger and the MIT Industrial Performance Center, How We Compete—

What Companies around the World Are Doing to Make it in Today’s Global Economy

(New York: Currency-Doubleday, 2006), pp. 44–45.

3. An example of the relatively infrequently used efficiency-seeking model of FDI is the

effort to employ an additional level of highly skilled, relatively high-paid foreign

workers in strategic foreign markets to design and manufacture sophisticated high-

tech goods.

4. Frank Berry, ‘‘Export-Platform FDI: The Irish Experience,’’ European Investment

Bank, EIB Papers no. 2, 2004, p. 9.

5. Peter Nunnenkamp and Julius Spatz, ‘‘Foreign Direct Investment and Economic

Growth in Developing Countries,’’ Kiel Working Paper no. 1176, July 2003, pp. 6–7,

available online at http://www.uni-kiel.de/ifw/pub/kap/2003/kap1176.pdf; ac-

cessed September 2004.

6. John H. Dunning, Multinational Enterprises and the Global Economy (Workingham,

UK: Addison-Wesley, 1993), p. 60.

fundamentals90

7. Peter Dicken, Global Shift (New York: Guilford Press, 2003), p. 248.

8. Andrew Inkpen, ‘‘Strategic Alliances,’’ in Alan Rugman and Thomas Brewer, eds.,

Oxford Handbook of International Business (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2001),

p. 407.

9. Some textbooks categorize joint ventures as a specialized form of strategic alliance, not

as separate phenomena.

10. Dicken, Global Shift, p. 258; emphasis in original.

11. Nam-Hoon Kang and Kentaro Sakai, ‘‘International Strategic Alliances: Their Role

in Industrial Globalisation,’’ OECD Directorate for Science, Technology, and In-

dustry Working Paper 2000/5, July 2000, p. 6, available online at http://www.oli-

s.oecd.org/olis/2000doc.nsf/linkto/dsti-doc(2000)5; accessed September 2004.

12. Ibid., p. 7.

13. Oded Shenkar and Yadong Luo, International Business (Hoboken, NJ: Wiley, 2004),

p. 315.

14. Data source: UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2005, p. 15, available online at

http://www.unctad.org; accessed October 2005.

15. Pricing strategy for nonrenewable resources is a highly complex, ongoing search for

prices that will maximize total long-term revenues to the country owning the re-

sources. Too low a price is akin to selling one’s birthright too cheaply. However, too

high a price can encourage a permanent switch by consumers to other raw materials or

synthetic substitutes. In the case of oil, for example, oil producers would not find it in

their long-term interests to have oil prices reach and remain at levels so high that the

development and use of alternative fuels becomes commercially feasible.

16. Daniel Yergin, The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money, and Power (New York: Simon

and Schuster, 1991), pp. 432–33.

17. Theodore H. Moran, Copper in Chile (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press,

1974), p. 6.

18. Data source: UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2005, p. 260. Inward FDI stock of

all manufacturing totaled $2.9 trillion at year end 2003.

19. Source: www.oup.com/about/worldwide.

20. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2005, p. 260.

21. Both of these terms informally crept into the economics lexicon. Neither has been

standardized to refer to only one kind of international transaction. Hence, they can

either refer to an intrafirm transaction between two subsidiaries in different countries

or to an arm’s-length outsourcing to a different company in a second country.

22. Data source: http://www.flextronics.com; accessed June 2005.

23. Corporate information came from the company’s 2004 10-K report and a telephone

interview with a corporate spokesman, October 2004.

24. JohnStopford, ‘‘Multinational Corporations,’’Foreign Policy,winter 1998/1999, p. 14.

25. As quoted in Shenkar and Luo, International Business, p. 119.

26. ‘‘The Rise of ‘Small Multinationals,’ ’’ Business Week Online, February 1, 2005, avail-

able online at http://www.businessweek.com; accessed February 2005.

27. Data source: UNCTAD Investment Brief, no. 4, 2005, available online at http://

www.unctad.org; accessed October 2005.

heterogeneity 91

28. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2001. The consistency of this data series is

limited by constant changes because companies are dropped and new ones added.

29. UNCTAD, ‘‘FDI from Developing Countries Takes Off; Is a New Geography of

Investment Emerging?’’ Press release dated August 10, 2004, available online at

http://www.unctad.org; accessed September 2004.

30. Ibid.

31. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2004, pp. 5, 7.

32. UNCTAD, ‘‘China: An Emerging FDI Outward Investor,’’ e-brief, December 4,

2003, available online at http://www.unctad.org; accessed September 2004.

33. UNCTAD, ‘‘Investment Policy Review of Mauritius,’’ available online at http://

www.unctad.org; accessed December 2004.

fundamentals92

5

perceptions and economic ideologies

Attitudes toward multinational corporations (MNCs) and foreigndirect investment (FDI) tend to be outgrowths of beliefs associated with larger issues. A predictable progression of value judgments flows from broad

to specific. This chapter takes a brief detour into the realm of political philosophy

to suggest how people are predisposed to endorse or condemn FDI and MNCs

in their entirety based on their larger attitudes about income distribution and the

relative merits of free markets versus government regulations.

If you, the reader, believe that economic progress and a country’s standard of

living tend to be inversely related to the extent of government management of

economic activity, there is a near 100 percent certainty that you will agree with

the idea that entrepreneurs and corporations should largely be left alone to make

invaluable contributions to society at large by creating jobs and regularly intro-

ducing new goods and services produced with maximum efficiency. It logically

follows that on balance, you view MNCs in positive terms and are not anxious to

have a sweeping array of new regulations and international agreements enacted to

curb what is viewed as their largely beneficial behavior.

Conversely, you may believe that the soul of a country should be defined by

more than materialism and a just, stable society is incompatible with unregulated

markets that give priority to the quest by businesses to maximize profits. If so,

there is a near 100 percent certainty you will agree with the idea that government

should redress the balance of power that has tilted too far in favor of protecting

the interests of capital instead of serving the needs of ordinary people. It logically

follows that on balance, you view MNCs in unfavorable terms and support

implementation of new regulations and international agreements to curb their

excessive domination of markets and political influence.

This chapter examines how and why there is a close correlation between one’s

attitudes toward the core dilemma of economic policy, fairness versus efficiency,

93

and positive or negative perceptions of MNCs. The purpose is decidedly not to

take sides on economic ideology or multinationals. Instead, two broad assump-

tions are made: First, there is no clear-cut right or wrong associated with personal

beliefs about an intangible; second, no single economic ideology has cornered the

market in wisdom. The chapter is designed to lay the foundation for under-

standing an essential theme: There is compelling logic, not inconsistency, in

accepting the principle that each of the two irreconcilable viewpoints on FDI and

MNCs exhibit both truths and fallacies. Neither demonstrates irrefutable logic or

clear intellectual superiority.

The first section of the chapter consists of an overview of the role of per-

ceptions in the study of our subject and a summary of the perceived differences

between governments and markets. Specific arguments used to advocate an

economic order based on the market mechanism are presented in the second

section, and the third part advances the arguments made in favor of a system

based on extensive and intensive governmental control. The antimarket critique

is followed up with a separate, more specific analysis of the role played by

MNCs in fomenting the worldwide backlash against globalization. The fifth and

final section offers an explanation as to why a broad consensus exists for a middle

ground approach between the two extreme versions of organizing the economy

and why it is the most reasonable option, both academically and policy-wise.

Perceptions, Subjectivity, and the Separate Worlds

of Governments and Markets

The ultimate reason MNCs as entities and FDI as process are viewed in two

starkly dissimilar ways is that human nature has long meant that people can look

at the same thing and come away with different, irreconcilable perceptions of

the object under scrutiny. The aphorism that perceptions define reality assuredly

applies in this case. Contrasting perceptions are easily understood if one accepts

the theme of chapter 4 that pervasive heterogeneity has produced examples of all

manner of MNC behavior—good, bad, and indifferent. Everyone has the option

of embracing whichever category is most in accordance with his or her biases.

Hard data can be assembled that empirically measure the behavior and effects of

a control group composed of a limited number of corporations sharing similar

characteristics. However, the behavior and effects of MNCs as a whole constitute

an enormous abstract mass that cannot be scientifically weighed or measured.

Even though companies exist in a physical sense, the determination that col-

lectively they are a positive or negative force is a value judgment that is usually

derived from and shaped by larger beliefs.

fundamentals94

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The larger philosophical debate over how strongly or loosely to manage the

market mechanism effectively establishes the intellectual borders within which

the debate over the relative merits of FDI and MNCs takes place. Because they

are far more real than abstract economic theories, MNCs are an ideal proxy for

casting either support for or opposition to capitalism. Selection of one of these

two mutually exclusive views is the inevitable result of a thought process that

channels images of MNCs through two dissimilar ideological prisms. People who

embrace free market values are predisposed to see the merits of companies op-

erating under the discipline of having to be profitable and seeking the most cost-

efficient means of production. If companies are good enough to dominate the

market for a given product in 100 or more countries, so be it; people must like

their products because no one is forcing them to buy. Critics of free markets are

predisposed to see the merits of government-imposed limits to reduce the an-

tisocial behavior of corporations.

The free market versus government regulation debate is also sustained by

pointed disagreements on assigning a priority between creating wealth and dis-

tributing it. A nation’s income can take the form of a growing pie that is unevenly

sliced among income groups or a smaller, slower growing pie that is sliced into

roughly equal-size pieces. Those who prioritize the economic logic and benefits

of creating wealth before worrying about how to distribute it tend to be to the

right of the political center. They favor leaving markets relatively unburdened by

official dictum to maximize efficiency and minimize waste. Those who prioritize

the social benefits of distributing wealth more evenly and maintaining a generous,

all-inclusive social safety net favor aggressive government presence and perhaps

government ownership of some or all major producers of goods and services to

relegate profit seeking to a secondary goal. Determination of what constitutes a

fair distribution of income is a subjective political and ethical decision, not an

economic one.

The value-laden issues of how evenly income should be distributed and how

best to maximize the public’s standard of living provide fertile soil for cultivating

two rational but incompatible beliefs that likely will never be fully reconciled.

A market system based on greed that may or may not debase the quality of life

is pitted against an economic order guided by a relatively small number of

government officials whose judgments may or may not slow growth and impede

innovation. The unsurpassed ability of free markets and MNCs to generate

output in an efficient manner must be weighed against their propensity to dis-

proportionately distribute the financial bounty of an incentives-based system to a

relatively few shareholders and entrepreneurs. True, the latter supply the capital

and ideas and take the financial risks necessary to provide goods, services, jobs,

and rising standards of living to the majority. However, many question whether

perceptions and economic ideologies 95

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they deserve or need unlimited incomes and vast tax loopholes when a large

percentage of most countries’ populations is living below the poverty line. De-

termination of how and how much a government should use the tax system to

redistribute wealth is another highly subjective political question. The line be-

yond which entrepreneurs are discouraged from innovating and taking risk is

invisible for all practical purposes.

A similar dichotomy exists on the issue of how good or bad a job MNCs do in

providing goods and services at the cheapest possible prices. One side believes

they do a good job because they respond quickly to market signals and are able

to overcome governmentally imposed market imperfections, such as regulatory

red tape and import controls. This view praises multinationals ‘‘as an integrating

force in the world economy, surmounting national barriers, circumventing high

transaction costs and improving the allocating of resources.’’1 The contrary view

asserts that MNCs, rather than being a means of overcoming market imperfec-

tions, are in fact a major distorting force in the global allocation of resources. This

is partly because they operate mostly in oligopolistic markets and partly because

of their ability to bypass market mechanisms and/or government regulations. Far

from promoting competition, MNCs are said to engage in restrictive practices,

raise barriers to entry, and thereby freeze existing production patterns.2

The ability of governments to enact laws transferring a politically determined

percentage of wealth from the rich minority to the less affluent majority must be

weighed against bureaucrats’ propensity to wreak economic havoc by distorting

prices and imposing barriers to the efficient use of resources, maximum returns

to capital, and risk taking in the name of promoting group equality. Government

regulation, even if deemed socially necessary, can result in disincentives to

entrepreneurs who might otherwise start new companies and create new jobs.

Regulation can also diminish incentives for existing companies to commit capital

to develop new products, new technologies, and new cost-cutting production

techniques. Although there is universal agreement that the goals of economic

policy are increased incomes, rising living standards, and an improved quality of

life for all people, there is no consensus as to the best and quickest means of

achieving these objectives. No economic ‘‘ism’’ is foolproof. Winston Churchill

put it this way: ‘‘The inherent vice of capitalism is the unequal sharing of bless-

ings; the inherent virtue of socialism is the equal sharing of miseries.’’3

Conflicting perceptions also shape the debate on corporate social responsi-

bility. Should the interests of shareholders or stakeholders (see chapter 2) have

the greater say in guiding corporate behavior? Are managers of domestic and

multinational corporations simply employees whose job it is to serve the financial

interests of the owners, or do they have a larger obligation to serve society at

large? Has emphasis on the profit motive worked against the overall public

interest, or has it allowed corporations to fully justify their existence through

fundamentals96

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their contribution to the material well-being of billions of the world’s people? Is

the pursuit of profits so inherently destructive and exploitive that government

must tightly rein in companies and proactively protect the populace from their

wickedness? Have corporations so badly fallen short in serving the larger public

good that they must redeem themselves by financially supporting charities and

social causes?4 The response to all these imponderables should start with ‘‘It

depends.’’ It depends on one’s larger political philosophy, mainly whether one

prefers the official or the private sector to have the upper hand. It further depends

on whether one realizes that there is no single pattern of behavior by MNCs as a

whole, owing to substantial differences in corporate cultures, management and

organization, size, product line, relationship with the host country’s economy,

and so on.

Governments and corporations live in different worlds. Their formulas for the

proper ordering of human relationships diverge so much that some level of

tension between them is inescapable. In Robert Gilpin’s view, the state is based

on ‘‘territoriality, loyalty, and exclusivity,’’ whereas the market is based on the

concepts of ‘‘functional integration, contractual relationship, and expanding

interdependence of buyers and sellers.’’ National governments need territorial

boundaries as the basis of national autonomy and political unity. Markets want to

minimize political obstacles to the operation of the price mechanism. To quote

Gilpin again,

Whereas powerful market forces in the form of trade, money, and foreign

investment tend to jump national boundaries . . . [and seek to] escape po-

litical control, the tendency of government is to restrict, to channel, and to

make economic activities serve the perceived interests of the state and of

powerful groups within it. The logic of the market is to locate economic

activities where they are most productive and profitable; the logic of the

state is to capture and control the process of economic growth and capital

accumulation.5

Bottom line: The transcendent issue is deciding which is the more desirable,

or at least the lesser of the evils: free markets or government regulation. The first

of two answers that I would offer is ‘‘it depends’’ on what specific issue is being

examined. Broad generalizations are not the right framework to determine how to

rank the net desirability of states and markets. Second, despite a lot of strong

feelings in favor of one over the other, it is by no means obvious that it should be

necessary to select the black or white option to the exclusion of the other. The

viewpoint underlying this study is that neither a pure private sector nor a pure

public sector model is indisputably more effective in all circumstances in all

countries at all times. If one accepts the logic of a mix of free markets and

perceptions and economic ideologies 97

regulations falling in some indeterminate spot between the two extremes, the

logical progression is acceptance that MNCs are not always so magnificently

beneficial economically as to merit nearly total freedom of action and blanket

praise, nor so blatantly corrosive socially as to justify comprehensive government

regulation and blanket condemnation.

The substance of discussions about governments versus markets and about the

net desirability of FDI and MNCs should be less a manifestation of the ideological

leanings of writers and speakers and more a dispassionate investigation of the

multiple truths inherent in a subject as multifaceted and heterogeneous as this one.

The larger but seldom recognized truth is that ‘‘there is no possibility of a ‘value-

free’ assessment of foreign direct investment.’’ Readers of articles and books on the

subject ‘‘are left with the problem of identifying the values underlying any analysis

of [MNCs], given that these are rarely defined and stated explicitly.’’6 Chances for

a significantly clearer understanding of the multiple layers of truth about FDI and

MNCs would improve if there was less advocacy and more effort to methodically

synthesize the many legitimate views embedded in all but the most exaggerated,

simplistic, and demagogic assessments of these phenomena. Identifying which

assessments meet these criteria is, of course, a value judgment.

The discussion that follows analyzes the ideas that sustain the two principal

economic ideologies—free markets and governmental regulation. The overused,

black-and-white alternatives of the ‘‘good society’’ and the ‘‘efficient economy’’

are offered as a simplified template for analysis. One-sided arguments on behalf

of both ideological perspectives are presented for illustrative purposes as they

might be in a debate, not necessarily on the basis of verifiable accuracy; neither is

endorsed by the author as the preferable policy prescription. The intent is to

defend the conclusion that these opposite belief structures have only enough

validity to provide fragments of the whole truth, and only enough precision to

provide a partial road map to the optimal design for managing national econo-

mies, shaping the international economic order, and regulating FDI and MNCs.

There needs to be balance between government’s implicit capacity to look out for

the interests of the majority and business’s explicit drive for efficiency and in-

novation to increase sales and keep customer loyalty.

Thesis: Follow the Invisible Hand, Curb

Government Obstructionism

The first ideology to be summarized is known as the market, noninterventionist,

and liberal (not the counterpart of political liberalism) economicmodel. It espouses

what it perceives as the demonstrable benefits of allowing the private sector to

operate on a relatively unregulated basis, both domestically and internationally.

fundamentals98

This approach is rooted in the belief that markets by far are best able to make the

infinite number of decisions necessary every day to allocate resources domesti-

cally and internationally in the most efficient, quickest manner. The discipline of

risking one’s own capital plus enlightened self-interest (a euphemism for the

pursuit of profits) is deemed the natural means of ensuring maximum economic

output, minimum costs, and maximum economic welfare. To best keep supply

and demand in equilibrium, prices must respond in real time to changing market

forces, not be set according to government fiat. This kind of economic order is

most compatible with the philosophy that consumption is the number one

purpose of economic activity.

The intellectual origin of this perspective is Adam Smith’s epic work, The

Wealth of Nations, published in 1776. By directing industry to perform in such a

manner that its products are of greatest value, he wrote, the business community

seeks its own gain. Yet in being forced to provide customers with goods and

services that they want and can afford, each business owner is, often uncon-

sciously, ‘‘led by an invisible hand’’ to promote the interests of society. ‘‘I have

never known much good done by those who affected to trade for the public

good. . . . it is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker,

that we can expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own interest.’’7 If

private companies do not give consumers good products at competitive prices, or

if they invest their capital in unprofitable endeavors, they face extinction—unless

rescued by government bail-out. This sense of mortality seldom applies to gov-

ernment agencies; they just keep on spending the unending inflow of taxpayers’

money.

Effusive praise for the modern corporation comes from two British business

journalists who called it ‘‘the basis of the prosperity of the West.’’ Among other

benefits cited: ‘‘Companies increase the pool of capital available for produc-

tive investment. . . .And they provide a way of imposing effective management

structures on large organizations.’’8 The promarket ideology points to the steady

stream of product and technological innovations spurred by the self-interest of

increasingly large corporations. These advances are cited as being the major

contributing factor to unprecedented rates of increase in material well-being and

quality of life experienced over the past 100 years by much of the Earth’s pop-

ulation. Guided by hard-nosed number crunching that takes them to the lowest

cost locations anywhere on the planet and strengthened by economies of scale,

globalized companies have taken efficiency to the ultimate level.

Skepticism and at times outright disdain for government is the other part of a

belief structure that favors maximum freedom of maneuver for and minimum

regulation of private corporations. One need only have a rudimentary knowledge

of history to be aware of the countless physical and spiritual gulags imposed

by hundreds of dictatorships on a populace deemed undeserving of personal

perceptions and economic ideologies 99

freedoms and the right to choose their leaders. When viewing the past, Martin

Wolf sees ‘‘corrupt, incompetent, brutal, and, depressingly often, murderous gov-

ernments everywhere. A big part of the history of the twentieth century is a story

of the crimes inflicted by those in power upon an innocent people.’’9

The extent to which corruption by government officials has impeded eco-

nomic development is beyond calculation. Many billions of dollars have been

diverted from the masses into the offshore bank accounts of political rulers and

the pockets of lower level civil servants. The World Bank identifies corruption as

being ‘‘among the greatest obstacles to economic and social development.’’

Dishonesty by government officials, it says, undermines economic development

by ‘‘distorting the rule of law and weakening the institutional foundation on

which economic growth depends. The harmful effects of corruption are espe-

cially severe on the poor, who are . . .most reliant on the provision of public

services, and are least capable of paying the extra costs associated with bribery

[and] fraud.’’10 Correlation between lack of development and official corruption

can be seen in the annual report by Transparency International, a nongovern-

mental organization (NGO) that coordinates efforts worldwide to identify and

reduce the corruption in the public procurement process, which it estimates

siphons off at least $400 billion annually from the development effort. Its 2004

Corruption Perceptions Index identified sixty countries suffering from ‘‘rampant

corruption.’’ All of them are either among the world’s poorest countries or

middle-income, oil-rich states (Nigeria, Venezuela, Russia, and Iran) failing to

realize their potential for raising incomes and living standards.11

The U.S. Congress faced one of the largest waves of congressional scandals in

a generation during 2005 and 2006. Republican Majority Leader in the House,

Tom DeLay, was forced to step down from his post after being indicted on

charges of criminally conspiring to inject illegal corporate contributions into

Texas state elections. Then a California representative was sent to jail for ac-

cepting the equivalent of more than $2.4million in bribes. The guilty plea by big-

time lobbyist Jack Abramoff to charges of tax evasion, conspiracy to bribe public

officials, and fraud requires him to cooperate in a comprehensive investigation of

his illegal dealings with members of Congress, members of their staffs, and

Executive Branch officials. The potential for a major domino effect of indict-

ments was signaled when the chair of the House Administration Committee

‘‘temporarily’’ relinquished his post after his involvement with Abramoff leaked.

The bribery investigation of an obscure Louisiana Congressman probably would

not have made headlines amidst these events had it not been for the FBI finding

$90,000 of alleged payoffs in the freezer at his home and then raiding his con-

gressional office in search of further incriminating evidence. Nonbelievers in

congressional integrity received no surprises at ensuing events that repeated an

old pattern: Resolute congressional promises to quickly remedy the ethics crisis

fundamentals100

resulted in watered-down reform language by subcommittees in both houses, and

that was followed by studied inaction (as of mid-2006) by the joint conference

committee charged with reconciling differences in the two bills. Few expect a

serious dent in the influence and largesse of lobbyists. Voters were not expressing

outrage and a determination to punish unethical incumbents. Maybe voters

‘‘expect lawmakers to be dishonest,’’ mused one journalist.12 A look at the record

will show that in an average year, more elected politicians in the United States are

charged with criminal wrongdoing than are senior corporate executives. Ac-

cording to one estimate, more than 1,000 U.S. government employees were

convicted of corrupt activities in the 2005–2006 period, with the FBI investi-

gating hundreds more.13

The combination of enlightened government and a free, prosperous, and

egalitarian country has been all too infrequent throughout history. Communism

claimed to serve the masses, but it disdained political freedom and created an

equal distribution of income by making everyone poor, except for the top echelon

of the party. James Madison wrote in the Federalist Papers that it is necessary to

place controls on government because ‘‘if men were angels, no government would

be necessary. If angels were to govern men, neither external nor internal controls

on government would be necessary.’’14

Critics of the market mechanism feel threatened by it, wrote Johan Norberg,

not because they think it results in a genuine loss of democracy but by the absence

of the policies they want democracies to pursue. Many of those policies involve

greater governmental power over society’s economic decision making. ‘‘But

saying that the market threatens government control of our economic actions is

less exciting than calling it a threat to democracy. Why should it be ‘more dem-

ocratic’ for a democratic government to have more powers of decision-making

over us? . . .Democracy is a way to rule the state, not a way to rule society.’’15

The theory of public choice (sometimes referred to as rational choice) casts

doubts on the benefits to be gotten by giving more power to any government,

even a democratic one. This is a theory of recurring governmental failure that is

fully comparable to the economic theory of private market failure, according to

James M. Buchanan, the principal architect of the public choice approach.16

Governments do not make decisions, elected officials and bureaucrats do, and

therein lies the problem. This theory holds that it is a pipe dream to consider

political decision makers as altruistic seekers of the public good. Instead, like

everyone else, they put their own self-interests first, for example, reelection, a

well-paying job after leaving government, or simple bribes. A corollary is that

democratic governments more often than not support policies and programs that

favor loud, well-organized, and well-financed special interest groups. This is

most likely to happen when an official decision can prevent major harm to such an

interest group without inflicting substantial harm that is clearly felt by the public

perceptions and economic ideologies 101

at large. The Bush administration’s imposition of higher tariffs on steel in 2002

arguably is an example of this scenario.

Public choice theory does not say that self-enhancement always results in

corrupt, undesirable, or harmful official actions (special interests sometimes have

a good argument). But it does argue that there is no incentive for government

officials to give priority to the interests of a general public that is usually ignorant

of, or not concerned with, noncosmic government actions and has a relatively

short memory span—especially when confronted with demands from a com-

mitted minority with reasonable requests and a lot of cash.

The theory makes no pretense of being the definitive guide to government

behavior or denying that many elected officials and civil servants are committed

to doing the right thing. However, this paradigm does help explain such foibles as

the enthusiasm of all members of U.S. Congress—past, present, and of all po-

litical persuasions—for championing the funding of even the most dubious pork

(public works projects) because constituents want and are made happy by new

projects in their localities, no matter how unnecessary. The frequency with which

members of Congress insert funding for pet projects into unrelated legislation has

spiked dramatically higher since the mid-1990s—despite a nearly equal increase

in negative publicity and outright derision from those not on the receiving end.17

Public choice theory also explains the equally long-standing history of U.S. reg-

ulatory agencies giving the benefit of the doubt to the industries they regulate

rather than to the interests of society as a whole.

Acceptance of the hypothesis that politicians seldom act like selfless statesmen

who put the long-term interests of their country before their political careers or

ideological beliefs makes it easier to understand the endless bumbling and cor-

ruption in Washington, DC. There is not nearly enough space to provide an

extensive review of the foibles of the U.S. government just in the 2004–2005

period; a few examples will have to suffice. President Bush’s phrase ‘‘Brownie,

you’re doing a heck of a job’’ has entered the language as ironic comment on

government incompetence. The shocking if not outright inhumane ineptitude

exhibited by the Federal EmergencyManagement Agency in responding to flood-

ravaged New Orleans in fall 2005 is suggested by the first sentence of a front page

article in theNew York Times on June 27, 2006: ‘‘Hurricane Katrina . . . produced

one of the most extraordinary displays of scams, schemes and stupefying bu-

reaucratic bungles in modern history, costing taxpayers up to $2 billion.’’

Members of the so-called 9/11 Commission were so alarmed at the failure of

the federal government to act on its recommendations to lessen the chances of

another major terrorist attack that they took the unprecedented step of con-

tinuing as a private group to lobby for more effective security efforts. Much

attention but little action resulted when the members gave low to failing grades in

fundamentals102

late 2005 to the federal government’s actions on its forty-one recommendations.

One of their sharpest criticisms was aimed at congressional insistence on dis-

tributing state antiterrorist grant money on a ‘‘pork barrel’’ basis, whereby a

significant percentage of appropriated funds are disbursed in even amounts

among the states, not prorated on the basis of risk, vulnerability, or consequences

of a terrorist attack.18

The premise that politicians and government officials have a high propensity

to put their own interests on par with (if not ahead of) the public’s interest is

applicable to the actions of other governments. It explains, for example, the

heavy burdens imposed on the Japanese people long after World War II by their

government’s economic policies. High food prices were the cost of rewarding the

ruling party’s strong farm base by restricting agricultural imports. Individual

incomes, living standards, environmental protection, and interest on personal

bank deposits were systematically curtailed to promote the bureaucrats’ and

politicians’ fixation with creating world-class manufacturing companies at the

fastest possible pace. Big business’s interests uniformly were given higher pri-

ority than the public good. Elsewhere in Asia, the endemic corruption in China’s

state-owned banking system is another reason to challenge the notion of public

servants as protectors of the public commons. Buchanan counseled those who

wanted to reform the political process to do so by changing its rules and in-

stitutions, not waiting for a new crop of politicians and civil servants to be the

first to see the light and become uncompromising defenders of the majority’s

interests.

Antithesis: Protect the Majority,

Curb Corporate Avarice

As seen from a different perspective, the relentless pursuit of profits and an

unregulated business sector produce a society marred by excesses of inequality,

exclusion, and environmental degradation. This assessment is part of the political-

economic ideology that sees capitalism producing unacceptably skewed results

that fall well beyond the boundaries of fairness or logic. A small minority of the

population reaps a large majority of the economic benefits in a winner-take-all

pursuit of wealth that leaves a bare minimum to trickle down to working-class

families. Capitalism can produce an abundance of goods, services, and material

wealth; the problem is that it is intrinsically unable to distribute them on an even

or ‘‘fair’’ basis. Production based on profit maximization produces too many

antisocial distortions. Free markets perpetuate poverty in a large have-not class of

people within a country and a large have-not class of countries internationally.

perceptions and economic ideologies 103

Have-not people and have-not countries face an uphill battle to break out of a

vicious circle of poverty and inadequate education while the relatively few rich

continuously get richer.

The capitalist international economic order allegedly is structured to protect

and enhance the relative wealth of industrialized nations by preserving their

domination of high value-added goods. Developing countries are shunted to

the periphery, perpetually dependent on the North for advanced technology and

capital. The systemic inequities of the old international economic order are

sustained in part by holding the economic futures of developing countries hos-

tage to decisions made in the headquarters countries of large MNCs, where the

priority is most decidedly not promoting growth and higher living standards in

host countries.

Heads of large U.S. corporations typically are paid millions of dollars in salary,

bonuses, and stock options (on average, Chief Executive Officers (CEOs) in the

United States were paid 300 times as much as rank-and-file workers in the early

2000s).19 Furthermore, they seldom have their pay packages reduced even if cor-

porate profits decline. Corporate CEOs also earn tens of millions of dollars more in

severance packages and retirement benefits; at least eight current ones reportedly

will be eligible for retirement benefits exceeding $3 million annually.20 Michael

Ovitz received a severance package valued at about $140million after being ousted

in 1996 as president of the Walt Disney Company after fourteen months in office. In

the meantime, tens of millions of Americans lack health insurance.

Rather than giving business free rein to do whatever it takes to fatten the

bottom line and raise dividends, fairness-driven, left-of-center ideology calls for

economic institutions and laws to ensure that economic activity primarily serves

the interests of society at large, not the relatively few owners of capital. This kind

of economic order is most compatible with the philosophy that elevation of the

human spirit is the number one purpose of economic activity. Those to the left of

the political center are alarmed at what they see as a growing tilt in the balance of

power in favor of companies and against the incomes and job security of labor,

especially the relatively less skilled. Workers are viewed as disposable parts, easily

shed whenever necessary to boost corporate profit margins. The rewards of cap-

italism, in short, are distributed on an unjustifiably unequal basis.

A much published American philosopher decried a ‘‘global overclass which

makes all the major economic decisions’’ and makes them independently of the

legislature and the will of the voters in any given country. ‘‘The absence of a

global polity means that the super-rich can operate without any thought of any

interests save their own.’’21 ‘‘Never before in modern times has the gap between

the haves and the have-nots been so wide, never have so many been excluded or

so championless,’’ claims a British academician. Those at the lower end of the pay

scale continue to lose ground in both political and economic terms. ‘‘Jobs and

fundamentals104

incomes in rich and poor countries have become more precarious as the pressures

of global competition have led countries and employers to adopt more flexible

labour policies, and work arrangements that absolve employers from long-term

commitment to employees.’’22 Voltaire may have been the first to decry the plight

of the many against the enrichment of the few when he reputedly said that the

comfort of the rich depends on an abundant supply of the poor.

‘‘Enron syndrome’’ is a recent addition to a long list of reasons to distrust

corporations, the engines of capitalism. Employees, in the eyes of corporations,

are interchangeable parts, not human assets deserving of special respect. Cus-

tomers, in the eyes of corporations, are materialistic purchasing units meant to

be manipulated into wanting your product. To people of the political left, any-

thing with such traits cannot be left to its own devices. The parade in recent

years of corporate chieftains on trial in the United States for various criminal

offenses has added credibility to the view that private corporations are illegal and

immoral actions waiting to happen. To some, it cannot be otherwise because

companies are intrinsically amoral institutions, devices to serve and enrich their

owners without regard to the well-being of everyone else. By one hard-edged

reckoning,

The corporation’s legally defined mandate is to pursue, relentlessly and

without exception, its own self-interest, regardless of the often harmful

consequences it might cause to others. As a result, . . . the corporation is a

pathological institution, a dangerous possessor of the great power it wields

over people and societies. Today, corporations govern our lives. . . .And

like the church and the monarchy in other times, they posture as infallible

and omnipotent. . . . Increasingly, corporations dictate the decisions of their

supposed overseers in government and control domains of society once

firmly embedded within the public sphere. . . .As a psychopathic creature,

the corporation can neither recognize nor act upon moral reasons to refrain

from harming others. Nothing in its legal makeup limits what it can do to

others in pursuit of its selfish ends, and it is compelled to cause harm when

the benefits of doing so outweigh the costs. Only pragmatic concern for its

own interests and the laws of the land constrain the corporation’s predatory

instincts, and often that is not enough to stop it from destroying lives,

damaging communities, and endangering the planet as a whole.23

In short, the critical school of thought thinks corporations need parental

supervision. The author of this critique, a Canadian law professor, recommends

that society and its elected leaders challenge corporate rule ‘‘in order to revive the

values and practices it contradicts: democracy, social justice, equality, and com-

passion.’’24

perceptions and economic ideologies 105

Profit-making corporations are attacked for their economic shortcomings as

well as their alleged moral and aesthetic deficiencies. Some have suggested that a

reason that the invisible hand is invisible is that it does not really exist. ‘‘Even

in the very developed countries, markets work significantly differently from the

way envisioned by the ‘perfect markets’ theories.’’ Markets have limitations that

sometimes are too significant to ignore.25 The existence of what economists call

market failures is an integral part of ideology favoring strong, activist government

regulation to limit corporate-induced distortions. Examples of market failures

include the inability or refusal of companies to produce goods the public wants;

external costs, such as pollution, that are not included in prices; and absence

of price competition because a market is dominated by one (monopoly) or a few

(oligopoly) large companies. The latter situation is of direct relevance to the study

of FDI and MNCs in the international economy. Vladimir Lenin wrote in the

early twentieth century that ‘‘Imperialism is capitalism in that stage of devel-

opment in which the domination of monopolies and finance capital has established

itself; [and] in which the export of capital has acquired pronounced importance.’’

A major long-term decline in competition was in progress, he wrote. It ‘‘was

creating large-scale industry and eliminating small industry, replacing large-scale

industry by still larger-scale industry, finally leading to such a concentration of

production and capital that monopoly has been and is the result.’’26

Lenin believed that imperialist expansion abroad allowed capitalism to post-

pone the inevitable crisis of having nowhere to expand sales and profits. The

vehicle for this expansion was MNCs, though the term had not been invented

in Lenin’s day. Perhaps he was just ahead of his time. The drive to maximize

economies of scale in the high-tech era have produced just the kind of business

concentration in the hands of a relatively few, relatively large global corporations,

just as Marx and Lenin had prophesied. Discussions of oligopolies and mo-

nopolistic competition are not confined to radical treatises; they are standard fare

in the international trade theory chapters of contemporary textbooks on inter-

national economics. Indeed, it is now assumed that market forces encourage the

emergence of a relatively few dominant companies in industries characterized by

economies of scale; the result is a growing number of markets characterized by

oligopoly, that is, three or four giant MNCs that influence if not control prices.27

The best guess answer to the question of whether this situation on balance helps

or hurts the world’s peoples depends on which ideology one embraces.

MNCs and the Antiglobalization Movement

The nature and impact of the process known as globalization is arguably the most

contentious new issue in international political economy. In the final analysis, the

fundamentals106

dispute is about the relative costs and benefits of the internationalization of

capitalism. More specifically, it is about the costs and benefits of an international

economic order that some believe has moved much too far in favor of protecting

corporate assets and promoting profits and too far away from protecting the

rights of workers. A central irony here is that the absence of consensus on a

general definition or on a framework of analysis has not interfered with the heated

arguments about it. Globalization remains an all-inclusive buzzword capable of

generating great emotion but containing little intellectual precision. One of the

more incisive assessments is that it is ‘‘a myth, a rhetorical device, a phenomenon,

an ideology, a reality, [and] an orthodoxy.’’28

The most commonly used definition, increased economic interdependence, is

short and to the point but does not do justice to the broad scope of what is

involved. Globalization is much more than a greater interconnectivity of national

economies in the wake of faster growth rates in foreign trade, international capital

movements, and FDI relative to the growth of world domestic output (GDP).

Those in favor of globalization argue that it was, is, and always will be the

indispensable factor in stimulating economic growth and rising living standards.

Conversely, countries that have not integrated themselves into the international

economy have lagged behind. Criticism is leveled at globalization on a multi-

disciplinary basis: economics (income gains and losses are distributed in a very

uneven, unfair manner); national politics (the alleged diminution of national

sovereignty, discussed in chapter 10); local politics (concerns that people are

increasingly losing control of their destinies to all-powerful global forces); and

culture (principally, the perceived effects of excessive Americanization).

As the most visible symbol of what people like and dislike about globalization,

FDI and MNCs are inextricably intertwined in the dispute between its advocates

and critics. The core economic criticism of globalization is the same as that of

capitalism—an increasingly unequal distribution of benefits—just on a broader

geographical scale. Because corporations are the principal bête noire of critics of

capitalism, it follows that MNCs are the principal bête noire of critics of glob-

alized capitalism. It has been argued that ‘‘a major feature of globalization is the

growing concentration and monopolization of economic resources and power by

transnational corporations.’’ Investment resources and modern technology are

concentrated in the few rich countries, and a majority of developing countries are

excluded from the positive aspects of globalization. The resulting international

income imbalance ‘‘leads to a polarization between the few countries and groups

that gain, and the many countries and groups in society that lose out or are

marginalized.’’29 Another concern is that the budgetary costs of providing

incentives—subsidies and reduced rates of corporate taxation being at the top of

the list—to attract and retain incoming FDI have inflicted financial harm on

the populace of a growing number of countries in two ways. First, many

perceptions and economic ideologies 107

governments have becomemore willing to reduce business tax rates in response to

demands by country-hopping corporations, presumably with the result that the

tax base needed to support the social safety net has shrunk. The second alleged

source of harm is that some governments are partially offsetting lower business

taxes by disproportionately increasing the tax burden on workers’ incomes.30

Democracy deficit is the term used to describe the belief that size and wealth

allows MNCs to bully governments into giving them concessions that are not

desired by, or in the interest of, the majority of the local population. Those who

adhere to this argument see governments as having abandoned priority com-

mitment to social justice and assistance to the most disadvantaged citizens in

favor of pursuit of an economic and political environment pleasing to business

interests. To Noreena Hertz, ‘‘Governments once battled for physical territory;

today they fight for market share. . . .The role of nation states has become to a

large extent simply that of providing the public goods and infrastructure that

business needs at the lowest costs.’’31

The anti–free market school of thought believes that MNCs enjoy an intoler-

able advantage in mobility, namely, the ability to move production to subsidiaries

in foreign countries far easier than workers can move from country to country.

This power allows management to issue ultimatums to host governments and

their own workforce to accede to its demands or watch a factory move to a more

economically attractive country. One does not read reports of companies who had

forced give-backs from their workers subsequently raising wages when profit-

ability returns.32 Skeptics are concerned that globalization is solidifying class

divisions between the haves and the have-nots, that is, those who have the work

skills and mobility to flourish in global markets and those who do not. The danger

is that international economic integration will contribute to domestic social

disintegration.33

The perception that MNCs are engaged in a race to the bottom is another

plank in the antiglobalists’ platform. Though not documented, belief persists that

profit-maximizing companies scour the planet to construct factories in countries

where the wage scales are the lowest and the enforcement of antipollution laws is

the least. Countries therefore would face the dilemma of choosing between losing

out on industrial production or reducing their labor and environmental protec-

tion standards.

A critic of international capitalism concluded that the world economy is

‘‘running downhill—a system that searches the world for the lowest common

denominator in terms of national standards for wages, taxes and corporate ob-

ligations to health, the environment and stable communities.’’ The international

economic order allegedly is evolving into a ‘‘kind of global feudalism—a system

in which the private economic enterprises function like rival dukes and barons,

warring for territories across the world and oblivious to local interests’’ inasmuch

fundamentals108

as local governments are no longer strong enough to govern giant global cor-

porations.34 Although no data have been produced to demonstrate any significant

correlation between inward FDI and low wages or low environmental protection

efforts in host countries, anecdotal evidence can be used to depict a more limited

ratcheting down of manufacturing to progressively lower wage countries. For

example, by one unofficial estimate, 200,000 assembly jobs were lost in Mexico’s

maquiladora sector in 2002 as the result of more than 300 companies, mainly

foreign-owned, shifting production to lower wage China.35

Synthesis: Somewhere between the Market and the

State Is the Least Bad System

Unconditional reliance on either the social benevolence of government or the

efficiency-maximizing invisible hand of the marketplace is not something that

generates widespread support in most countries. A hybrid economic philosophy

appeals to Joseph E. Stiglitz, a Nobel Prize winner in economics, because he

believes that ‘‘Both the left and the right have lost their bearings.’’ Both sides

need to update their economic agenda to make them relevant for current reali-

ties, and they need to accept that there is no ‘‘single set of policies which will

make all of us better off.’’ Unconditional faith that markets by themselves in-

evitably lead to efficient and fair economic outcomes ‘‘has been stripped away.’’

At the same time, the collapse of communism has effectively ended support for

socialism even in those countries that previously embraced it. The big challenge

today is to find the right balance between the state and the market at the local,

national, and global levels.36 Stiglitz wrote that

as economic circumstances change, the balance has to be redrawn . . .we

cannot escape the issues of democracy and social justice in the global

arena. . . .Economies can suffer from an over intrusive government, but so

too can they from a government that does not do what needs to be done—

that does not regulate the financial sector adequately, that does not pro-

mote competition, that does not protect the environment, that does not

provide a basic [social] safety net.37

Fundamentalists who put complete faith in either totally free markets or

comprehensive government planning and regulation seem oblivious to the long

empirical record of market failures and government failures. Acknowledging the

shortcomings of markets does not logically lead to the conclusion that reliance on

government is essential and vice versa. It does seem logical that both have an

important role to play, in part to offset the shortcomings and vices of the other.

perceptions and economic ideologies 109

As one study put it, ‘‘an unbridled economic role for the government in the name

of distributive justice is often a recipe for disaster in the long run, but, on the

other hand, market solutions are often ruthless to the poor.’’38 Selecting the ideal

course for economic policy requires some very difficult choices.

Speaking cynically (‘‘realistically’’ may be more accurate), the Marxist-radical

and the free market perspectives have it half right at best when accusing the

other’s model of woolly thinking and disgraced policies. Each side has it totally

wrong to think that the public sector, the business sector, or nonprofit groups

perform in the noblest manner in the service of the public interest and don’t need

to be subjected to constant oversight. Neither government, nor private business,

nor nonprofit organizations have anything close to a spotless record for effec-

tiveness, honesty, and competence.

Institutions are run by people, and history clearly demonstrates that indi-

viduals act in reprehensible ways with frightening frequency no matter for whom

they are working, what their salary is, or how noble the cause for which they are

working. Questions about the need for adoption of more vigorous and effective

accounting standards by nonprofit groups were raised by the 2004 imprisonment

of the chief executive of the United Way’s Washington, DC, branch after he pled

guilty to embezzling nearly $500,000 from donations and the charity’s pension

fund. (The image and fundraising efforts of this particular charity received an-

other setback over the next two years, when accusations were leaked that the new

CEO was receiving overly generous salary increases. The new CFO subse-

quently resigned because, among other things, she was angered that exaggerated

fundraising totals had been publicly reported.)39 The Nature Conservancy, one

of the largest conservation groups in the United States, was the target of a series

of stinging criticisms in the Washington Post in May 2003. The articles ques-

tioned the propriety of property sales made by the organization to its major

supporters on favorable terms, its relationship with corporations, and other

issues. The Nature Conservancy subsequently admitted it had made errors in

judgment and needed more comprehensive executive oversight.40

The Senate Finance Committee of the U.S. Congress, having been told by the

Internal Revenue Service that abuse by charities and nonprofits of their tax-

exempt status was not uncommon and increasing, announced in April 2005 that it

would investigate the extent to which these groups were ‘‘excessively’’ com-

pensating their executives and spending on public relations.41 Later in the year,

Senator Charles Grassley, chair of the Finance Committee, began an inquiry into

the governance and effectiveness of the saintly Red Cross. He also demanded

hundreds of documents from American University, where this author teaches, to

shed light on how the oversight function in a tax-exempt, nonprofit institution

failed to contain the unusually generous salary and benefits provided the then

recently deposed university president.42

fundamentals110

People with unshakable faith in either the public or private sector as champion

of their values and material well-being should consider the fate of whistle-

blowers who expose unethical or criminal behavior by their employers. Their

commitment to honesty and protecting the public’s welfare has not resulted in

awards or promotions from admiring companies whose bottom line has been

hurt. The usual result is harassment or being fired and finding little demand in

the job market for ex-whistle-blowers. That federal agencies exhibit the same

high propensity as private enterprise to intimidate and fire those who would air

institutional dirty linen is suggested by the U.S. government’s having enacted no

fewer than thirty-five separate statutes to protect civil servant whistle-blowers.43

The Clinton Administration felt compelled to issue a presidential directive in

1997 ordering the Justice Department to implement regulations protecting

whistle-blowers in the Federal Bureau of Investigation, an organization that one

would think is unequivocally committed to truth and honorable behavior. It

cannot be assumed that nonprofit NGOs or even charities would take a more

enlightened and benevolent stance if one of their own went public with charges of

dishonesty or malfeasance after being unable to affect change from within. Rare is

the government agency or private sector business or nonprofit organization that

places the desire to reveal and halt internal wrongdoings above protecting its

public reputation and the jobs of its leaders.

Even with improved supervisory and enforcement measures, human nature is

such that there will always be a few people who reach the upper echelons of any

organization, even humanitarian and law enforcement groups, who will violate

the trust put in them because of urges for self-enrichment and power, a lack of

ethics and personal discipline, an out-of-control ego, or terrible personal judg-

ment. As will be suggested in chapter 15, government, the corporate sector, labor

unions, and NGOs should all have a voice in setting policies regulating FDI and

MNCs; in part this is because they deserve it and in part because that is the most

effective way that each can keep a close eye on the others.

Notes

1. John H. Dunning,Multinational Production and the Multinational Enterprise (London:

George, Allen and Unwin, 1981), pp. 36–37.

2. Ibid., p. 37.

3. Speech to the House of Commons, 1952, as quoted in Bartlett’s Familiar Quotations

(Boston: Little, Brown, 1980), p. 746.

4. Many of these questions are based on issues raised in ‘‘The Good Company—A

Survey of Corporate Social Responsibility,’’ The Economist, January 22, 2005, special

section, pp. 6–16.

perceptions and economic ideologies 111

5. Robert Gilpin, The Political Economy of International Relations (Princeton, NJ: Prince-

ton University Press, 1987), pp. 10–11. The author cited Robert Heilbroner, The

Nature and Logic of Capitalism (New York: Norton, 1985) in connection with the final

portion of the block quotation.

6. Neil Hood and Stephen Young, The Economics of Multinational Enterprise (London:

Longman, 1979), p. 353.

7. As quoted in The Concise Encyclopedia of Economics, available online at http://

www.econlib.org; accessed March 2005.

8. John Micklethwait and Adrian Wooldridge, The Company (New York: Modern Li-

brary, 2003), pp. xv, xxi. The authors’ praise of the corporation included the following

quote attributed to Nicholas Butler: ‘‘The limited liability corporation is the greatest

single discovery of modern times.’’

9. Martin Wolf, Why Globalization Works (New Haven, CT: Yale University Press,

2004), p. 70.

10. ‘‘Anticorruption,’’ available online at http://www.worldbank.org/publicsector/

anticorrupt/index.cfm; accessed March 2005.

11. Data source: Web site of Transparency International, http://www.transparency.org;

accessed January 2005.

12. Jeffrey Birnbaum, Washington Post, May 29, 2006, p. D1.

13. Source: Michael Josephson, ‘‘Character Counts,’’ May 12, 2006, available online at

http://www.charactercounts.org.

14. James Madison, ‘‘The Structure of the Government Must Furnish the Proper Checks

and Balances Between the Different Departments,’’ Federalist Paper no. 51, available

online at www.constitution.org/fed/federa51.htm; accessed March 2005.

15. Johan Norberg, In Defense of Global Capitalism (Washington, DC: Cato Institute,

2003), p. 273.

16. James M. Buchanan, ‘‘Politics without Romance: A Sketch of Positive Public Choice

Theory and Its Normative Implications,’’ in James Buchanan and Robert Tollison, eds.,

The Theory of Public Choice II (Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 1984),

p. 11.

17. The Congressional Research Service counted 13,000 ‘‘earmarks’’ costing a total of $67

billion in the first half of 2006. Source: New York Times, May 28, 2006, p. IV 4.

18. See, for example, ‘‘Security Loses; Pork Wins,’’ New York Times, July 14, 2005,

p. A26.

19. Data source: Web site of United for a Fair Economy, http://www.faireconomy.org;

accessed March, 2005.

20. New York Times, April 3, 2005, p. III 6.

21. Richard Rorty, Philosophy and Social Hope (New York: Penguin Books, 1999), p. 233.

22. Noreena Hertz, The Silent Takeover—Global Capitalism and the Death of Democracy

(London: William Heinemann, 2003), pp. 8, 46.

23. Joel Bakan, The Corporation—The Pathological Pursuit of Profit and Power (New York:

Free Press, 2004), pp. 1–2, 5, 60.

24. Ibid., p. 166.

25. Joseph E. Stiglitz, The Roaring Nineties (New York: Norton, 2003), p. 13.

fundamentals112

26. V. I. Lenin, Imperialism: The Highest Stage of Capitalism (1916), as quoted in David

N. Balaam and Michael Veseth, Introduction to International Political Economy (Upper

Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall, 2001), pp. 68, 77.

27. See, for example, Thomas A. Pugel, International Economics (Boston: McGraw-Hill/

Irwin, 2004), pp. 96–98, and Paul R. Krugman and Maurice Obstfeld, International

Economics—Theory and Policy (Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley, 2000), pp. 125–26.

28. Arie M. Kacowicz, ‘‘Regionalization, Globalization, and Nationalism: Convergent,

Divergent, or Overlapping?’’ 1998, available online at http://www.ciaonet.org/wps/

kaa01.index.html; accessed October 2004.

29. Martin Khor, ‘‘Globalization and the South: Some Critical Issues,’’ UNCTAD

Discussion Paper 147, April 2000, pp. 4, 7, available online at http://www.unctad

.org/en/docs/dp_147.en.pdf; accessed September 2004.

30. See, for example, Dani Rodrik, Has Globalization Gone Too Far? (Washington, DC:

Institute for International Economics, 1997), p. 6.

31. Hertz, The Silent Takeover, p. 8.

32. See for example, a story about the poststrike revitalization of Caterpillar Corporation

that resulted in a monetary rewards for executives but not for rank-and-file pro-

duction workers. Washington Post, April 19, 2006, p. D1.

33. Rodrik, Has Globalization Gone Too Far?, p. 2.

34. William Greider, ‘‘The Global Marketplace: A Closet Dictator,’’ in The Case against

Free Trade (San Francisco: Earth Island Press, 1993), pp. 195, 213.

35. ‘‘China’s FDI Boom Brings Benefits to Neighbours,’’ FDi [sic], February/March,

2005, available online at http//www.fdimagazine.com; accessed January 2006.

36. Stiglitz, The Roaring Nineties, p. xii.

37. Ibid., pp. xii–xiii, 318.

38. Khor, ‘‘Globalization and the South,’’ p. 51, citing A. Bhaduri and D. Nayyar, The

Intelligent Person’s Guide to Liberalization (New York: Penguin Books, 1996).

39. Washington Post, May 22, 2006, p. B1.

40. Washington Post, May 4, 5, and 6, 2003; and the Nature Conservancy’s Web site,

http://www.nature.org/pressroom.

41. Washington Post, April 6, 2005, p. E1.

42. He was forced to resign on grounds of excessive and legally questionable expenditures

of university funds.

43. Data source: National Whistleblower Center’s Web site, http://www.whistleblowers

.org/html/nwc_publications.html; accessed March 2005.

perceptions and economic ideologies 113

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PART II

The Strategy of Multinationals

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6

why companies invest overseas

Atfirst glance, the answer to the question implied by the title of thischapter is simple and straightforward: a company establishes value- adding production facilities overseas to increase profits. Because no chief execu-

tive has publicly proclaimed that a desire to lose money and court bankruptcy was

the reason for his or her firm’s engaging in foreign direct investment (FDI), this

answer is incontestable. The problem is that it explains only a small part of a big

story. It is the truth, but not the whole truth. Profit maximization is too general a

concept to provide deep analytical insight into the variety of differentiated mo-

tives behind a process as complex as this one.

Given the many variables associated with different kinds of multinational

corporations (MNCs) operating in different industrial sectors, following differ-

ent business strategies, and investing in different host countries, it is naive to

expect a single reason to provide ameaningful, comprehensive answer to the ques-

tion of why all FDIs have taken place year in and year out. Significant differences

exist in the motivations behind natural resource, market, efficiency, and asset-

seeking direct investments. The situation is further complicated by the fact that

in business and economic terms, it is by no means axiomatic that producing

overseas is the only, or even the shortest path to profit maximization. Feasible

alternatives exist. A better but nondefinitive answer to explain why FDI takes

place and why MNCs have proliferated is, predictably, ‘‘it depends’’ on relevant

circumstances.

This chapter seeks to provide an appropriate level of disaggregation and detail

on the heterogeneous forces behind corporate decisions to establish or purchase

overseas subsidiaries. The diversity of the motivations behind this commitment

has frustrated academicians’ efforts to develop a single all-purpose model to

explain and predict the establishment of overseas subsidiaries. Implicit in the

analysis that follows is the belief that this is an inevitable and acceptable state of

117

affairs. After an initial examination of how FDI and MNCs relate to general eco-

nomic theory, the three major academic theories concerning these phenomena are

examined. The chapter’s third section consists of what is intended as an exten-

sive checklist of real-world reasons for FDI. In some cases, they track theory, but

more often they do not. Many of the motivations cited in this section are ignored

by mainstream economic theory for a variety of reasons. The fourth and final sec-

tion uses the automobile industry as a case study in support of the argument that

multiple factors served as catalysts for the hundreds of thousands of individual

foreign subsidiaries operating today.

Fundamentals of Economic Theory and the

FDI Process

In the beginning, economic theorists made no efforts to explain why companies

establish overseas subsidiaries. FDI was treated as a nondifferentiated interna-

tional capital flow, that is, it was generically the same as any other kind of cross-

border money movement. MNCs were viewed as being just another variant of

capital arbitrage. It was assumed that companies shifted funds from one country

to another for the same reason as any bank or individual investor would: to get a

higher rate of return than could be obtained in the home country.

FDI has no place in the pure world of neoclassical economic theory. ‘‘Perfect’’

competition is assumed in an environment where ‘‘atomistic firms all enjoy equal

access to technology and markets, with none large enough to influence inputs or

outputs.’’1 With perfect international markets (roughly synonymous with the

colloquialism ‘‘perfectly level playing field’’) for technology, management, labor

skills, components, and other material inputs, national markets would be con-

trolled by local firms. Stated slightly differently, ‘‘in a world of perfect compe-

tition for goods and factors [land, labor, and capital], direct investment cannot

exist.’’2 MNCs in the manufacturing and service sectors would be few and far

between in view of insurmountable competitive advantages bestowed on indig-

enous companies relative to carpetbagging foreign competitors. Local businesses

would be more familiar with the economic, social, legal, and cultural aspects of

the home market, have better political connections, possess closer relationships

with wholesalers and retailers, and so on. Foreign companies would have to pay

dearly for the insights native business managers either already learned or could

find out on a relatively quick and cheap basis.3 If firms everywhere manufacture

essentially similar products and sell them at comparable prices, no company has

dominant market power. In a pure textbook world, companies would not grow

beyond the size of a single efficient plant and would have negligible problems of

the strategy of multinationals118

logistics and coordination. Any sales to foreign customers would be in the form of

exports. The traditional theory of free trade unrealistically assumes that tech-

nology and production techniques are open-sourced and available to all.

Trade theorists paid little attention to the forces underlying FDI and MNCs.

Their attention was directed to the Heckscher-Ohlin theorem (see chapter 9)

whose assumption of perfect competition, constant returns to scale, and so on

meant that the issues of ownership, proprietary technology, and corporate size

mattered little or not at all. Relative factor endowments of a country were all-

important for global economic efficiency. The transfer of manufacturing tech-

nology and other corporate assets to production facilities in foreign countries was

not considered a ‘‘matter requiring analysis.’’4

Academicians could also ignore FDI on the grounds that it was and still is

merely one of several options for selling in foreign markets available to nonex-

tractive companies, not a priority business strategy. FDI is absolutely essential

only for extractive companies who must conduct business where raw materials

are physically located and where climatic conditions are favorable for growing

agricultural commodities. In principle, any internationally competitive manu-

facturing company and companies providing certain services (e.g., education and

data transmission, but not hotels) can successfully sell to foreign customers

without opening subsidiaries in other countries. Exporting may have long ceased

to be the only method of selling abroad, but it is still used to ship trillions of

dollars worth of goods and services across national borders every year. Exporting

has not lost its ability to allow some companies to increase production in their

main manufacturing facility to levels that reduce average per unit production

costs to a minimum (see discussion of economies of scale, to follow).

Partnerships of various kinds with local companies are another alternative to

FDI as a means of generating profits from foreign markets. Licensing is the most

common variant of this strategy. In lieu of the major financial commitment and

risks associated with creating foreign subsidiaries, a manufacturer, retail chain, or

service company can simply transfer, under predetermined contractual terms,

basic know-how to an overseas firm that will then produce and market the good

or service. The two main benefits to the foreign company of this option are first,

the local licensee’s greater knowledge of the domestic business scene and cultural

patterns, and second, the licensee uses its own capital to start and operate the new

sales effort. If it is successful, royalty fees provide a steady cash flow to the foreign

company with no expenses or exposure. If the project should fail, the licensor

suffers no out-of-pocket loss. High on the list of disadvantages to licensing is the

need to share business secrets, such as proprietary technology, assembly tech-

niques, and marketing strategy, with a potential rival. The RCA Corporation’s

licensing of its color TV technology to Japanese TV producers in the 1960s is the

why companies invest overseas 119

classic case study of how licensees can reverse teacher–student roles and take

major market share away from the original innovator. Other drawbacks for the

licensor include ceilings on profits; absence of control over pricing, sales volume

targets, and quality control; and uncertainty as to the licensee’s level of com-

mitment to the project. These same advantages and disadvantages apply to two

other common forms of partnership: joint ventures (consisting of co-ownership

of a newly formed corporation) and international strategic alliances in which two

corporations agree to specific forms of cooperation but do not create a new busi-

ness entity (see chapter 4).

It was only in the 1960s that economic theory finally resolved its curious

disinterest in the details of a phenomenon clearly growing in size and importance

to the international economic order. Sooner or later, economists were going to

have to come to grips with the discrepancies between the proliferation of MNCs

and what was then a wholly inadequate conceptual framework about what exactly

motivates companies to produce in multiple countries. Treating FDI simply as

just another form of international capital flow seeking higher returns was a gross

oversimplification; the fact that the literature defined higher returns mainly as

higher interest rates further undermined the relevance of this concept in ex-

plaining direct investments. According to economic theory, capital should flow

mainly from capital-intensive countries to capital-poor countries having low cap-

ital-output ratios; capital would be more valuable in this environment and garner

higher yields. One obvious inconsistency was that the vast majority of U.S.

corporate direct investment after World War II was going to relatively capital-

abundant, high-labor cost West European countries. In addition, construction of

a number of foreign subsidiaries was being financed within the host country; in

these cases, no capital flows exited the capital-rich United States. More impor-

tant, as increasingly sophisticated overseas factories hired and trained well-paid

workers to manufacture increasingly high-tech goods and occasionally became

one of the host country’s largest exporters, the notion that FDI involved nothing

more than a simple cross-border transmission of money became progressively

untenable.

Even today, mainstream theory suffers from an inadequate degree of disag-

gregation when analyzing the myriad motivations of corporations to expand over-

seas. For example, when larger companies build overseas subsidiaries, it may be

at the initiative of only one corporate division among many. Hence, a given

decision to invest overseas might reflect calculations by specialists wanting to

increase their relative contribution to the collective bottom line, and that might

differ from the calculus of a company-wide decision.

FDI flows represent an extraordinary package of corporate physical resources

and intellectual property—the source of both praise and condemnation. The

opening of foreign subsidiaries poses potential short- and medium-term risks and

the strategy of multinationals120

prospective long-term benefits to host and home countries as well as to the

companies involved. Transfers of manufacturing from one country to another

raise the specter, among other things, of lost jobs in home countries and di-

minished sovereignty in host countries. FDI also holds out the promise of access

to well-paid jobs, technologies, and management systems that otherwise would

be beyond the reach of some host countries. The widening gap between the

growing importance of MNCs and the static understanding of their effects

created a pressing need by the 1960s to examine the more ‘‘qualitative attributes’’

and impact of MNC activity in host countries, namely, their sectoral distribution

and technological content, along with the nature of the linkages to the local

economy.5

A Survey of the Major Academic Theories

The academic literature dealing with the twin questions of why FDI takes place

and how companies can successfully produce goods and services in distant and

unfamiliar foreign environments is dominated by three theories.6 How well they

succeed in explaining these things is a value judgment.

It was not until the 1960s that the innovative ideas of Stephen Hymer pro-

vided the first meaningful insights into the theoretical underpinnings of FDI and

MNCs. He was the first to expound on how these companies were different from

purely domestic enterprises and why nonextractive companies could successfully

compete in foreign countries, a task fraught with dangers and problems. The

revolution in thinking in fact emerged as a slow evolution; Hymer’s ground-

breaking doctoral dissertation completed in 1960 made no immediate impact and

was not published until 1976.7 He dismissed as irrelevant the generic theory of

differential returns on capital to explain FDI. In its place, he used industrial or-

ganization theory to explicitly outline for the first time why success in operating

overseas subsidiaries was contingent on parent companies possessing advantages

that overrode the daunting and costly process of producing goods and services in

distant, perhaps inscrutable business environments.

Hymer’s core thesis begins with the assumption that companies are motivated

to move overseas as a second stage of efforts to maximize profits, ‘‘rent’’ in

economic terms, derived from their monopolistic control over what they pro-

duce. However, management could project a comfortable profit margin from

overseas production only if the company enjoyed an adequate mix of product

innovation, low production costs, managerial excellence, or marketing advantages

unique to the company and not easily duplicated by competitors. The now-

familiar concept of ownership advantage (also called firm-specific advantage) had

been born. Before opening a foreign subsidiary, Hymer said, management needed

why companies invest overseas 121

to make two specific determinations. The first is that ownership advantages were

sufficient to outweigh the disadvantages and risks incurred when competing head

to head with foreign companies on their home turf (as opposed to exporting or

licensing deals).8 Later theorists provided a list of specific ownership advantages:

cutting-edge technology; superiority in management, production, marketing, and

distribution know-how; advanced organizational techniques and information

management capabilities; sufficient size to ensure economies of scale in produc-

tion and maximum advertising; and the ability to parlay a blue chip credit rating

into lower cost financing. The second requisite determination is that direct in-

vestment will produce better long-term results for the company than exporting,

licensing, or joint ventures.

A second core assumption of Hymer’s theory, initially disseminated by well-

known economist Charles Kindleberger, is that ownership advantage works on a

global basis only in the absence of perfect competition and perfect markets.

(These concepts allude to the increasingly rare situation in which companies

compete on a totally equal footing.) For FDI to thrive, there must be some im-

perfection in markets for goods or factors such as technology differentials or some

interference in market competition by government or by firms.9 Business prac-

tices causing market imperfections include technological exclusivity protected by

patents, superior managerial and marketing know-how, product specialization

(differentiation), collusion on pricing, and preferential access to borrowed cap-

ital. Governmental policies such as tariffs, quotas, and subsidies to favored in-

dustries constitute a second category of market failure.

Economies of scale is, in economic theory terms, a market imperfection that has

become a critical applied factor leaving essentially all large producers of capital-

intensive, high value-added goods no other option than to produce and market on

a multinational basis. The theorists of Ricardo’s day lived at a time when en-

trepreneurs could start and maintain a cloth or wine business for a minute frac-

tion of the cost of starting and growing a high-tech company in the twenty-first

century. The Heckscher-Ohlin theorem’s assumption of constant returns to scale

in measuring a country’s relative competitiveness is completely at odds with the

absolute requirement for today’s advanced technology companies to achieve in-

creasing returns to scale. Size matters in amortizing (spreading) fixed costs which

consist mainly of R&D, factory preparation, and worker training. In all cases,

these are expenses that a company incurs before it makes the first sale of a new

product—assuming that massive R&D expenditures did in fact produce a com-

mercially viable product. More than $3 billion is now required to develop a new

generation of semiconductor chip and build and equip one factory for produc-

ing it.

Fixed costs, which must be recovered if a company is to maintain long-term

financial health, remain the same (i.e., they are fixed) no matter how low or

the strategy of multinationals122

high the ensuing volume of sales. Selling limited numbers of new chips after a

multibillion-dollar investment would impose either a prohibitively high price tag

on each unit offered for sale or a crushing financial burden on the producer.10

Conversely, maintaining the largest possible sales base, which is planet Earth,

could help keep per unit costs to a minimum. Maximum volume equates to mul-

tinational marketing strategies. No single national market is large enough to allow

for scale economies in the contemporary high-tech sector. The drive for maxi-

mum sales volume relative to current and potential competitors explains why it is

de rigueur for the strategies of aggressive high-tech companies to maintain pro-

duction and marketing operations in the consumer-rich Triad (Western Europe,

Japan/East Asia, and the United States).

Much FDI now gravitates to high-tech business sectors where major com-

petitors are so few in number that the market can be characterized as oligopolistic

or even monopolistic. The pharmaceutical industry epitomizes this kind of mar-

ket. Seeking to recoup an estimated $800 million in development and clinical test

costs now needed to bring the average new medicine to market,11 drug companies

jealously protect their intellectual property and maximize their sales base. New

market entrants are obviously limited by the extraordinary costs involved. The

end result is that successful innovators possess a temporary global monopoly on

products that in some cases generate billions of dollars in annual sales. Unsur-

prisingly, pharmaceuticals is an industry dominated by a relatively few, very large

MNCs, many of which have grown in size through cross-border mergers. These

companies are worldwide price makers, not passive price takers. Conversely,

perfect competition exists in the novelty T-shirt industry. Unlimited new en-

trants are possible in a low-overhead business with simple technology, limited

production runs sold by street vendors or small retailers, intellectual property

consisting of a small design or a few cleverly chosen words, absence of govern-

ment interference, and so on. These characteristics explain why there is no public

record of a major MNC in the specialized T-shirt sector.

The related concepts of oligopoly and corporate size led Hymer to a theme

that attributes sinister traits to MNCs. His later writings emphasized the Marxist

principle that private corporations are inexorably driven by the law of increasing

size. Executives were presumed to believe that steady increases in profits can

come only through constant expansion, first domestically and then, after market

saturation occurs, globally. A second Marxist tenet in Hymer’s theory is the law

of uneven development. It predicted that the size, mobility, and monopolistic

power of MNCs maturing in the industrialized countries of the North would

bestow these companies with sufficient economic power to control and exploit the

whole world to their own financial advantage.12 The implication of this thesis is

that globalization of production is more a malevolent effort to expand corporate

power over prices and preempt the entry of new competitors than a benevolent

why companies invest overseas 123

response to competition and a laudable quest for efficiency. The result, said

Hymer, would be a hierarchal world economy literally separated into two hemi-

spheres where above-average national affluence and influence would be deter-

mined by whether a country was a headquarters country to powerful MNCs.

Host countries would have relatively little wealth or power. The North would

grow richer, and the South would struggle under the burden of structural pov-

erty, ostensibly all in the name of a more efficient utilization of the world’s

resources.

The second widely heralded academic explanation of why manufacturing

companies chose to become MNCs is the product life-cycle theory of Raymond

Vernon. First advanced in the mid-1960s, it emanated from the premise that

the United States possessed a comparative advantage in product innovation;

the theory therefore focused on the experiences of American companies in that

time period. Vernon’s core thesis was that products and production processes

move through a three-stage cycle culminating in the need to invest overseas. (A

tangible frame of reference for the conceptual description to follow is the com-

petition dynamics that followed Xerox’s introduction in the 1960s of the modern

photocopying machine.) During the first phase, the one immediately following

innovation and initial sales, the product is produced in limited amounts—the

ultimate market potential and optimal assembly techniques are still unknowns—

by skilled labor at relatively high costs. Retail price is of limited importance at

this point due to the innovator’s initial monopoly, the product’s novelty and

limited supply, and the relatively price-inelastic demand of initial users. Manu-

facturing at this stage is confined to the company’s home base. Foreign sales

initially are handled through exporting.

The second phase of Vernon’s cycle is product maturation. The key change

here is the start of sustained downward pressures on price. Imitators begin pro-

ducing their own versions of the innovation, some of which will have more fea-

tures and/or lower prices. Competition forces the innovator to improve its

original product and trim costs. Consumers begin to comparison shop and be-

come cost-conscious. Price reductions are facilitated by declining costs brought

about by the product’s being mass produced by better designed machinery and

by the learning curve’s effect: a more efficient assembly line operation. In this

intermediate stage, an export surge has caused some countries to pressure the

major foreign exporter(s) to produce locally. Somewhere in the transition be-

tween the second and third cycles, the innovating company and some of its major

competitors determine that market-seeking and market-protecting FDI is nec-

essary to replace sole reliance on exports. The latter no longer appear capable of

protecting existing overseas market shares or allowing for expansion. At the time

Vernon first articulated this theory, American wages were the world’s highest, so

investments in any other country presumably meant lower labor costs.

the strategy of multinationals124

Product standardization represents the final stage. The technology to produce

the product has reached its zenith, no major design or production changes are

anticipated. Engineers and scientists are no longer tweaking the product or the

assembly process. Less skilled workers far from headquarters can now be trained

on a one-time basis and put to work on the assembly line. The product has be-

come a commodity (like an analog television set), where price is a more important

selling point than the name of the company making it. Market-seeking FDI is

gradually replaced by efficiency-seeking FDI in relatively low-cost, low-wage

countries where subsidiaries are designated as export platforms. Some of their

exports may be destined for the home market where production of the now stan-

dardized product is being phased out in favor of manufacturing newly developed

goods.

Most scholars have concluded that the product cycle theory itself has passed

through a life cycle and descended into obsolescence. It was a good guide to and

predictor of MNC strategy from the 1950s until the early 1970s when a lot of

FDI took the form of American manufacturing companies setting up overseas

subsidiaries to produce goods becoming susceptible to price competition. How-

ever, the theory does not explain most of the more recent developments that have

introduced major alterations and additions to the FDI process. These include

increased numbers of mergers and acquisitions, vertical FDI where companies

produce components in a number of countries for final assembly elsewhere, and

the growing numbers of companies, including those based in LDCs, engaging in

market-seeking FDI in countries with higher labor costs than those in their home

countries.

The eclectic paradigm introduced by John H. Dunning is an amalgam of three

separate explanations of why overseas subsidiaries are established. His approach

incorporates the theory of industrial organization (how a company can achieve

competitive advantage over other firms); the theory of the firm (why does a

company choose one organizational mode over another to create, use, and enhance

its competitive advantages, the so-called transactions cost perspective); and the

theory of location (to explain how firms choose where to locate overseas value-

adding activities). The end result is a broad framework asserting that at any given

moment, the ‘‘extent, ownership, and pattern’’ of MNC activity depends on the

configuration of three variables/conditions being satisfied.13 The requisite

preconditions for management determining that overseas production is the best

business strategy are commonly abbreviated as the O, I, and L advantages.

Ownership advantages are intellectual property and other intangible assets ex-

clusive to a firm that can be transferred in full from the home country to overseas

facilities. They include products and manufacturing processes protected by pat-

ents, trademarks, copyrights, and trade secrets; superior marketing and organi-

zational skills; and the advantages of ‘‘common governance.’’ The latter,

why companies invest overseas 125

according to Dunning, consists of size and established reputation of a company

that affords it favored access to labor, natural resources, finance, and other in-

puts; economies of joint purchases by worldwide subsidiaries; and so on. Own-

ership advantages, whatever their exact mix, must provide a company withmarket

power and/or cost advantages sufficient to outweigh the costs of setting up one or

more subsidiaries in foreign countries and the burdens of succeeding there.

An internalization advantage exists when management determines its owner-

ship advantages are sufficiently formidable or sufficiently sensitive that it does

not need to rely on sources external to the company or should not risk sharing

proprietary assets. In such cases, licensing assets to another company or sharing

them in a joint venture arrangement are ruled out. Ownership advantages are best

exploited internally within the company. Sales and profits presumably are max-

imized by retaining sole control of foreign production.

Assuming the first two conditions are satisfied, a company will opt to build

and operate its own subsidiaries abroad if it also determines the existence of

location-specific advantages. When existing in sufficient magnitude, these ad-

vantages designate a foreign country as the production site most likely to max-

imize profits from overseas sales. Location advantages can exist in the form of

such simple market imperfections as import barriers that rule out exporting,

prohibitive transportation costs, or overly long shipping times. In addition, they

can take the form of pull factors like cheap real estate and labor, financial in-

centives for incoming FDI, and abundant endowments of key natural resources.

The three main theories are not the final word on corporate motivations to

become multinational. Dunning suggested that a changing world economy had

somewhat left behind the ideas of Hymer and Vernon (e.g., foreign trade barriers

were reduced considerably since the early 1970s). They were ‘‘scholars of their

time, and their explanations were strongly contextual. Both tended to deal with

first-phase—rather than sequential—U.S. direct investment.’’ Similar limita-

tions, he added applied to the other FDI theories put forward in the 1960s and

1970s.14 Above and beyond the limitations of the academic theories advanced is

the fact that they overlook several relatively simple and specific business strat-

egies. A second line of analysis as to why firms invest abroad is therefore nec-

essary. The applied, real-world reasons are the subject of the next section.

Real-World Motivations for Direct Investments

If something works in practice, it is unclear how important it is that it also works

in theory. The emphasis in this study on the heterogeneous nature and effects of

FDI and MNCs is inconsistent with the premise that three thirty- to forty-year-

old theories can provide a complete understanding of why these phenomena take

the strategy of multinationals126

place and why their growth has accelerated since the 1980s. For a number of

reasons, the theories are insufficiently disaggregated and too limited in scope to

do justice to the diversity of FDI and MNCs. They implicitly assume that firms

in traditional manufacturing sectors (like chemicals and office equipment) rep-

resent a more or less standardized form of MNC. Even if this had been a rea-

sonable assumption in the 1970s, it clearly is no longer valid today. And even if

new forms of MNCs were not constantly evolving, a single theory of why FDI

occurs is unlikely to be applicable to all foreign-owned subsidiaries, regardless of

their product, business objective, size, mindsets of senior management, and so

on. It cannot be taken for granted that corporate decisions to invest overseas are

so consistent and coherent that as a group that they can be blended into a com-

prehensive economic model.

Another error of commission is the naive assumption of conventional theories

that a decision to invest abroad is always a rational end result of meticulous

research and coldly objective calculations of risk/reward trade-offs. Decisions to

build foreign subsidiaries ultimately are based on the perceptions of a small group

of senior managers, not a scientific formula. Sometimes these perceptions are

formed under unique circumstances that follow no previous script. On occa-

sion, the commitment to expand overseas might be the result of an impulse

by a strong-willed executive, for example, a new subsidiary opened by an arch-

competitor cannot go unanswered. Dunning, one of the giants of FDI theory,

believes that ‘‘it is not possible to formulate a single operationally testable theory

that can explain all forms of foreign-owned production any more than it is

possible to construct a generalized theory to explain all forms of trade or the

behavior of all kinds of firms.’’15 In a literal sense, that overstates the case. All

FDI technically can be explained by the single postulation that a judgment has

been made, for any one of a variety of reasons, that a new foreign subsidiary

eventually will positively contribute the parent company’s bottom-line perfor-

mance. This explanation, however, is so broadly constructed that the insight it

provides is somewhere between irrelevant and useless.

The ability of the major academic theories on FDI to illuminate is further di-

minished by serious omissions. A few very basic business strategies and objectives

are missing entirely, possibly a reflection of the paucity of social science acade-

micians who have worked as managers in an MNC. In addition, minimal atten-

tion has been given to several major changes in business economics that have

added new motivations for corporations to expand overseas. Textbook theory

arguably has not kept full pace with changes in the international marketplace.

Relatively simple real-world explanations are therefore necessary to supple-

ment the purported substantive shortcomings of basic academic theories. A

second round of answers to the why question is also necessitated by the author’s

belief that much of traditional theory is written in an overly arcane manner; many

why companies invest overseas 127

of the specific inspirations behind the opening of foreign subsidiaries are rela-

tively simple and concise. In the interest of brevity, the various real-world ex-

planations of FDI are presented in the form of an annotated list divided into five

classifications with, unavoidably, occasional overlaps.

Marketing 101 Strategies

There are very basic reasons why companies find FDI to be attractive. Econo-

mists tend to ignore the simple fact that corporate executives of countless com-

panies see overseas expansion as an essential part of meeting the relentless

demand from shareholders for growth. Increased sales and profits can come dis-

proportionately from foreign subsidiaries because the domestic market where the

company started may be saturated and because the rest of the world always con-

tains more potential consumers than the home country.

Economic policy throughout history has focused on the core dilemma of try-

ing to satisfy infinite demand with limited resources. It was not until late in the

twentieth century that overcapacity and market saturation became a reality for

some of the goods (e.g., steel, cars, and fiber-optic cable) and some of the services

produced in the industrialized countries. Expansion overseas became the only

feasible expansion route for companies so affected. Speaking more broadly, FDI

for many successfully established companies represents the greatest opportunity

for growth of sales and profits. Diminishing opportunity to expand in its home

market was the deciding factor for McDonald’s bold commitment many years ago

to a global presence. One of the early architects of the restaurant chain’s growth

strategy explained that having ruled out diversification into other business ac-

tivities, the only growth path for the company ‘‘was to do what no American

retailer had ever done—successfully expand its service worldwide. . . . The ra-

tionale for going international was as simple as determining that the market was

there.’’16 Validation of this strategy is visible in the 66 percent of the company’s

total revenues of $20.5 billion in 2005 that came from its nearly 32,000 owned and

franchised restaurants in more than 110 countries outside the United States.17

Decades later, Starbucks is following the same growth strategy and finding the

same favorable foreign reception to a ‘‘fun’’ product representative of the Amer-

ican lifestyle.

Citigroup, one of the world’s largest diversified financial institutions, be-

lieves it has ‘‘largely accomplished the strategic build-out in the U.S., and [is]

now ready to project our products and services globally.’’ With the maturity of

the consumer-finance market and credit card saturation in the United States,

Citigroup’s goal over the next decade is to increase the contribution of non–

North American earnings to total earnings from an already respectable one-third

to one-half.18

the strategy of multinationals128

The second most common fundamental reason for manufacturing companies

to invest overseas is the frequent assessment that it is essential to protecting and

expanding an existing export market or to developing a new overseas market.

Overseas manufacturing sites can reduce production costs and delivery times;

they can also tailor products to local tastes and needs and respond more quickly to

changes in consumers’ preferences. The cell phone is a product that epitomizes a

constant progression of new models with additional features geared to pleasing

localized tastes, characteristics not conducive to exclusive reliance on exporting.

‘‘Make it where you sell it’’ has become a mantra among business executives,

chanted so often that it is now accepted as a rule of business strategy. Being an

insider is increasingly perceived as being critical to sales success in major markets

around the world.19 An executive from Intel, a true high-tech global titan, told a

congressional committee that ‘‘to optimize global competitiveness, it is important

to locate manufacturing and other facilities around the world.’’20 The claim has

to be taken on faith because he provided no explanation why this is so.

The constant of change in international business has added new wrinkles to the

traditional goal of going overseas to lower production costs. ‘‘The China price’’ as

an incentive to engage in FDI is an increasingly important variable. It occurs when

an American or European supplier of manufactured goods is warned by important

customers that they will go elsewhere if the company fails to match the significantly

lower prices offered by China-based companies. Unable to do so from their fac-

tories in high-wage countries, the most feasible alternative to a potentially serious

loss of business is to establish their own subsidiaries in the low-cost manufacturer,

China.21 India, China’s neighbor to the south, has taken the lead in convincing

American and European companies that for competitive reasons, they should set up

foreign subsidiaries to engage in a variety of service sector activities. Offshoring (see

chapters 4 and 13) was created and is sustained by the combination of lower salaries

abroad for skilled service workers and the growing speed, sophistication, and ef-

ficiency of international telecommunications links.

As stated in the location theory discussed earlier, tariff jumping is a classic

reason for companies to produce in foreign markets; tariffs literally are taxes de-

signed to reduce or eliminate the price advantages of imported goods. In some

cases, quotas or other prohibitive nontariff barriers leave foreign companies no

alternative to FDI as a means of gaining market access for high volume sales. One of

the most important impetuses for the surge in FDI in EU countries by U.S.

companies that began in the 1960s was the widespread perception that their top

foreign market would best be protected by avoiding the newly instituted Common

External Tariff applied to goods from nonmember countries. The ‘‘voluntary’’

export restraints on textiles and clothing that many developing countries were

pressured by industrialized countries to administer from the 1970s through 2004

encouraged direct investments in less developed countries (LDCs) that had not

why companies invest overseas 129

signed such an agreement. The loophole gambit explains why Chinese textile and

apparel companies opened subsidiaries in Cambodia and Nigeria, two low-wage

countries that did not agree to annual export quotas to the United States and the

EU.22

Efficiency-seeking direct investments are pursued for cost-cutting purposes

and are not designed to sell their output in the host country. Being export-

oriented, they search for and invest in relatively low-cost labor in countries

having efficient economic systems and accommodating political environments.

Finally, to repeat, companies in the primary sector are forced to

seek out multiple overseas sources of minerals and oil resources since few exist in

adequate supply in just one country.

Finesse Marketing Strategies

Generalized offensive and defensive efforts to preserve and grow foreign markets

comprise only the outer, highly visible layer of MNCs’ marketing strategies.

Companies seriously committed to sales growth in foreign markets tend to have

more subtle and sophisticated objectives and tactics that go beyond reducing

costs or circumventing import barriers. Ambitious overseas sales targets often

inspire efforts to display deep roots in the local market. Finesse marketing strat-

egies were described in a letter to shareholders by the chairman of General Elec-

tric. It said economic reality ‘‘requires us to view the world as our market.’’

However, the company’s overseas growth strategy ‘‘requires more than simply

shipping products. You must be equally committed to developing capabilities

and relationships in the markets where you want to succeed.’’23

Practitioners of finesse marketing strategies cultivate the image of a company

that is an integral part of the local landscape, a business with deep ties to the host

country, a benefactor to its economy, and a philanthropist for local causes. One

author suggested that IBM’s decisions to construct overseas subsidiaries during

the three decades beginning in the late 1960s were not primarily determined by

the quest for cost efficiencies. Instead, the company allegedly selected locations

mainly ‘‘to limit imbalances in its trade between its main markets and to ensure

that in most markets it was a big employer as well as a big seller. Why? Because

IBM felt it had to keep relationships with governments friendly. It needed to

avoid regulatory attacks on its market dominance.’’24

Risk diversification is accomplished by geographical dispersion of production

facilities to hedge against unforeseen events, such as labor strikes, natural di-

sasters, unfavorable changes in legislation and regulatory procedures, and plant

fires or sabotage. Desire to hedge against risk would seem to be an important

motive for Intel’s commitment to overseas operations. Although preferring FDI

to having to worry about new trade barriers in key markets like the EU and

the strategy of multinationals130

anxious to discourage its competitors from establishing lucrative overseas

subsidiaries, it still retains a picture-perfect profile of a company presumably able

to prosper by manufacturing, assembling, and testing its main product, micro-

processors, exclusively within the United States. It does not seem urgently in

need of foreign plants. With an estimated 80 percent share of worldwide unit

sales of mass market microprocessors and a 90 percent share by revenue,25 Intel is

a global oligopolist and is considered by some to have monopolistic power. It

manufactures a capital-intensive, physically lightweight product that can be

cheaply air-freighted overnight anywhere in the world. Production workers are a

relatively small factor in its total cost of doing business.

box 6.1 Toyota’s Americanization Strategy

Toyota has literally become too successful selling cars in the United States to rely

solely on exports to service the market. After Japan was unceremoniously advised

by the Reagan administration and Congress in 1981 that rapidly rising exports of

Japanese cars to the U.S. market had become disruptive and excessive, Toyota

accepted the fact that its ambitious plans to expand sales and market share required

a major manufacturing presence within the United States. Good product is not

enough. To nurture its steadily growingU.S. sales (about 2.2million cars and trucks

in 2005) and market share (exceeding 13 percent in 2005 and poised to overtake

Daimler-Chrysler for third place in the U.S. market), Toyota Motor Sales, U.S.A.,

is actively cultivating the image of a domestic automobile producer and a de facto

American company. Many statistics are quoted in this effort. Cumulative direct

investment in the United States in 2005 was approaching $14 billion, and pur-

chases of parts and goods and services from U.S.-based companies (linkage per-

sonified) were $25 billion annually. Full-page advertisements appearing in many

American magazines emphasized that the company’s ten vehicle manufacturing

and assembly plants; marketing, research, and design facilities; suppliers; and

dealers accounted for more than 386,000 jobs in the United States.* Toyota’s

‘‘American-ness’’ strategy centers on producing domestically more than 60 percent

of the vehicles (including Lexus) that it sells in the United States.** Data on the

company’s Web site confirm that roughly 60 percent of total U.S. vehicle sales in

2004 were domestically produced.

As the result of extensive and still growing manufacturing presence in the

United States, the president of Toyota Motor Corporation proclaimed in a speech

that it could keep growing in the U.S. market without arousing ‘‘trade or political

friction.’’***

*Data source for Toyota’s U.S. FDI: http://www.toyota.com and http://www.toyota.com/about/

usa/usdata/by_numbers.html; accessed December 2005.

**Wall Street Journal, November 12, 2005, p. A3.

***Fujio Cho, as quoted in the Dollar Morning News, January 12, 2005, Web site of the American

International Automobile Dealers Association: http://www.aiadalists.org/default.asp; accessed

November 2005.

why companies invest overseas 131

A separate set of motives fits under the rubric of outmaneuvering or matching

the international moves of your competition and having to choose between being

the leader and following the leader. The advantage of being first to market either

in geographic or product terms is one of the oldest business stratagems. Being the

first to establish brand identity, distribution networks, and retail outlets often

allows the first mover to permanently stay one step ahead of competitors. The

latter then find themselves engaged in a second-best situation of playing catch-up

and having lower market shares. A large and efficient market-seeking subsidiary

in a medium-sized economy might well limit competition by creating disincen-

tives for any further foreign entrants. Companies deprived of the FDI option in

such a market may be forced to suffer the third-best practice of ceding a lucrative

foreign market to a competitor, something archrivals like Coca-Cola and Pepsi

are especially loathe to do.

Yet another foreign investment motivation related to head-to-head competition

is building a subsidiary to launch a full-scale marketing effort in a major com-

petitor’s home market. The objective of this strategy is to force the competitor to

lower prices and profit margins to protect its home turf and ideally distract the

competitor’s attention away from sales efforts in the first company’s home mar-

ket.26 Lincoln Electric Company, a successful American-based manufacturer of

arc welders, watched with increasing discomfort in the 1980s as ESAB, a Swedish

company it considered to be its only real competitive threat, began acquiring Eu-

ropean arc welder manufacturers. Concerned that ESAB was planning to establish

a fortress on its home ground and then attack the U.S. market, Lincoln took pre-

emptive action. In a relatively short time, it expanded from five plants in four

countries to twenty-one plants in fifteen countries, mostly in Europe.27

Post-Theory Innovations in MNCs

Beginning with banks, a growing number of companies in the services sector

becameMNCs, not so much for O, I, or L reasons as the perceived need to follow

and serve their important home market clients who were building major manu-

facturing facilities overseas. Companies providing accounting, legal, advertising,

and public relations services began establishing a worldwide presence in the late

1970s, mainly in response to the overseas initiatives of their major clients. An

often overlooked service industry that has become prominent in FDI is wholesale

distribution subsidiaries established to expedite sales of exports from the parent

company, goods made by local subsidiaries, or both.

Internet companies and cable TV networks present a new business model, one

that can operate multinationally with little more than secure servers and a satellite

link. They can sell their services to literally billions of potential new customers

for a nominal capital outlay, the result being a very favorable leveraging of capital.

the strategy of multinationals132

box 6.2 Why Did eBay Feel the Need to Become a Multinational?

eBay provides a Web site that users can access from any Internet-connected

computer in the world. The servers that support the platform enabling electronic

buying and selling of merchandise around the world are located at its headquarters

in California. From a technical point of view, overseas subsidiaries are unnecessary

for this company to conduct its business on a global basis. Location has a different

connotation in cyberspace. But the potential rewards of doing business on a global

basis are the same for all companies. Non-U.S. revenue has been growing much

faster than eBay’s home country revenue, and in 2004 overseas transactions rev-

enues accounted for more than 40 percent of total corporate income. Given the

company’s relatively young, still-expanding international operations (including

China), the overseas share of income could eventually rise above 70 percent.

The corporate strategy to establish wholly owned overseas subsidiaries to

provide country-specific Web sites is based overwhelmingly on marketing con-

siderations. (The demand by some governments that it have a locally domiciled

business operation is a secondary reason.) The assumption is that revenue growth

and the introduction of new services outside the United States cannot be maxi-

mized by having Americans living in California running an evolving ‘‘people’’

business still in its infancy. Foreign subsidiaries are managed by nationals of the

host countries who understand the pulse of the local Internet market. Local na-

tionals are presumed to be in the best position to gauge current needs and evolving

desires of the individuals and companies who are buying and selling merchandise on

eBay’s overseas Web sites. They also are presumed best qualified to know how to

structure and advertise each site to attract a maximum number of customers. If the

company’s larger task is bringing buyers and sellers together, a geographically

decentralized organization makes sense for reasons that include understanding

cultural nuances; creating local language Web sites and responding in the local

language to customers’ questions and complaints about unfilled orders or

nonpayments; and acting on customers’ requests for new services (e.g., fixed price

sites and the ability to reconfigure the Web site’s welcome page). In sum, the

company believes steady increases in revenue and market share are best assured by

giving people in different countries exactly what they want and need on their local

eBay site—things not best recognized from headquarters.

The company’s overseas subsidiaries are not factories or even repositories of

high-tech equipment. Instead, they consist of twenty to sixty office workers, almost

all of whom are local hires. They include a country manager, a marketing team, and

financial and legal specialists. The company’s strategy for wholly or majority-

owned foreign subsidiaries (twenty-three in 2005) is to hire talented people, give

them the resources they need, and hold them accountable for servicing the needs of

customers and increasing revenues in their country of responsibility.

Sources: Telephone interview with Matt Bannick, president of eBay International, September

2005, and eBay’s 2005 Form 10-K, available online at http://www.ebay.com.

133

Companies like Yahoo!, Google, and eBay have established relatively spartan

value-added facilities overseas; they have no need to erect $2 billion factories like

their counterparts who produce semiconductors. Nor do their overseas facilities

require a large workforce. Another compelling reason for these companies to be-

come multinationals is the utility of communicating with customers in the local

language and in a format compatible with local tastes.

For defense contractors, a local manufacturing presence may be a legal re-

quirement to actively sell in foreign markets. With European defense budgets

relatively stagnant, some of Europe’s largest defense contractors have become

enamored with gaining a toehold in the fast-growing, mega-billion-dollar U.S.

market for military procurement. But before being eligible to secure a major U.S.

government defense contract bid, a foreign-based company needs to manufacture

or at least assemble weapons and equipment in a U.S.-based subsidiary. For na-

tional security reasons, the Pentagon does not import major purchases of military

matériel. A prime example of this kind of FDI motivation is BAE Systems of

Great Britain. Its aggressive contract bidding and facilities and offices in thirty

states allowed it to move into the ranks of the top ten Pentagon contractors in

dollar terms.28

Post-Theory Changes in the International Economic Order

The international monetary system in general and sustained exchange rate swings

in particular were not major issues to the first generation of MNC theorists. What

few exchange rate changes took place under the Bretton Woods system of fixed

exchange rates were almost all currency depreciations needed to offset a country’s

declining competitiveness. The advent of a floating exchange rate regime in 1973

meant that chronic surplus countries might—and some did—experience chronic

appreciation of their currencies, a move that, all things held constant, makes their

exports more expensive to foreigners. Anticipation of a continuing erosion in price

competitiveness from large-scale yen appreciation (and rising labor costs) lead to

unprecedented flows in the early 1980s of outward FDI by Japanese manufacturing

companies. Cost-containment efforts centered on off-shore production of com-

ponents and labor-intensive finished goods in relatively low-cost Southeast Asian

countries with currencies unlikely to appreciate. After the follow-the-leader syn-

drome kicked in, the magnitude of the FDI exodus was so large that fears of an

impending hollowing out of the Japanese industrial sector were heard with in-

creased frequency. Should the Chinese yuan ever face prolonged appreciation,

Chinese manufacturing companies might someday need to duplicate the Japanese

strategy of containing costs by establishing a massive sourcing operation in low

wage Asian and African economies with weak currencies.

the strategy of multinationals134

Another source of structural change in the international economic and business

environment affecting FDI was the information technology revolution that began

in the United States in the early 1990s. One immediate effect was an upsurge in

strategic asset–seeking direct investment in the United States. Foreign companies,

mainly European, were responsible for record amounts of acquisitions andmergers

with U.S. companies, often those possessing advanced technology or proven

marketing prowess. Much of the buying of American companies was attributed to

the desire by foreign firms to offset their own shortcomings, and some was mo-

tivated by the growing conventional wisdom that a major presence in the vast U.S.

market was the sine qua non of corporate success and staying power. This merger

and acquisition (M&A) boom cannot be explained by the theories of monopolistic

designs and the product cycle or by the eclectic paradigm. When asked why his

relatively small software company had made two U.S. acquisitions, a French

executive said that being part of the ‘‘Silicon Valley world’’ was the major reason.

An innovative European software firm ‘‘cannot become a global player without

being strong in theU.S. market. It puts you in a situation to understand themarket

and have relationships with suppliers,’’ he said.29 An executive of a small Austrian

software company used similar phraseology to explain his company’s opening of a

southern California subsidiary: the necessity to tap into informal networks and to

be close both to distributors and customers and, equally important, to develop a

feeling for the market. The ‘‘positive image’’ the company would project by

operating in California also was a factor in the final decision to invest there.30

The size and growth of the U.S. and Chinese markets have made these

countries the main destinations for foreign companies using FDI as a stimulus to

sales and profits. Consider the financial reports on two companies issued by the

brokerage arm of Morgan Stanley. Analyzing the growth and profit outlook for

Yum! Brands, a multibrand restaurant chain (Pizza Hut, KFC, and Taco Bell,

among others), a 2004 report described the ‘‘international market as the core

growth engine’’ for the company. While this market contributed 35 percent of the

company’s profits at that time, Morgan Stanley’s analyst estimated that overseas

restaurants would deliver 60 percent of the growth in earnings over the next three

years.31 All but ignoring the U.S. market, another Morgan Stanley report on

Yum! Brands concluded that the company’s first mover advantage in China, its

significant potential for expansion in that populous country, and strong accep-

tance by Chinese consumers are ‘‘primary reasons to own the stock in our view.’’

Between 2005 and 2008, the estimate was that ‘‘China alone will contribute

35 percent of Yum’s earnings growth.’’32 A similar growth scenario was given for

the payments services of Western Union. China was projected as the key growth

driver of the company on the basis that in the second half of 2004, its business in

China was ‘‘growing at a rate in excess of 100%.’’33

why companies invest overseas 135

China is the source of another new variant of perceived need to establish overseas

subsidiaries. The Phoenix Electric Manufacturing Company, a medium-sized

producer of electric motors for power tools, kitchen appliances, and other products,

opened a second subsidiary in China in 2005. The strategy was ‘‘a matter of sur-

vival’’ because the company’s customer base has been moving there, explained its

chairperson. Many of its biggest clients had shifted most of their consumer elec-

tronics production to China to cut costs.34 Proximity of Phoenix’s subsidiaries to its

customers’ Chinese subsidiaries preserved a critical portion of its business.

Regional free trade agreements are a major catalyst of FDI not given sufficient

attention by the main academic theories on MNCs. The early success of what is

now called the European Union encouraged two international economic trends.

The first was the subsequent decision by every major trading country to pursue

economic benefits through free trade with neighboring countries. The contem-

porary surge in regional free trade areas is measured by the existence in 2003 of

more than 265 agreements, more than half of which had been created after 1995.35

Second, the proliferation of these agreements has encouraged direct investments

by foreign companies establishing a subsidiary in one member country to take

advantage of unrestricted market access to all other members. This strategy is the

number one reason for the attractiveness of Ireland to most foreign companies; it

is also the number one reason for the above-trend growth of FDI in Mexico as

soon as a free trade agreement with the United States appeared to be in the offing.

Two recent events in the international economic order had the effect of

making acquisitions of existing corporations in the South uncommonly appealing

to financially strong companies in the North. Privatization of government-owned

enterprises in LDCs and former communist countries provided a one-time op-

portunity for well-managed foreign companies to buy potentially valuable assets

at relatively low prices. Later, the financial crisis that hit much of East Asia in the

late 1990s pushed many companies in Korea, Indonesia, and Thailand into de

facto bankruptcy, making them available to foreign rescuers at what some called

fire sale prices.

A new pragmatic reason to invest overseas is the growing concern about the

international security of supply for oil and other critical commodities. The anxiety

over the issue of control is keenly felt in China. Hence the official policy en-

couraging a growing number of Chinese corporate acquisitions of and bids for

foreign-based natural resources companies whose output would help feed the

country’s voracious appetite for industrial raw materials (see box 8.1 in chapter 8).

‘‘Thinking outside the Box’’ Motivations

Academic theory does not openly pay attention to the possibility that execu-

tives may approve opening a foreign subsidiary based on faulty assumptions

the strategy of multinationals136

or pressure to conform to a current management fad. The ‘‘make it where you sell

it’’ strategy has taken on a life of its own. Although appealing in principle, it has

not categorically been proven to be necessary, in part due to the impossibility of

knowing the consequences of a subsidiary’s not being established. A knee-jerk

presumption that to ignore this guideline is to suffer diminished market share

may sometimes be a substitute for hard data making an overwhelming case

for FDI over exporting or licensing. Gut feelings can substitute for hard-nosed

demonstrations of ownership, internalization, and location advantages. Exag-

gerated fears about the need to grow and to match the overseas moves of com-

petitors appear to have been the motivating force to invest overseas in more than

a few cases, one of which was automobiles in the 1990s (see following discussion).

‘‘An unsettling possibility is that foreign direct investment may to some extent

reflect irrational follow-the-leader behavior.’’ It might prove to be a temporary

business fad like the overdone acquisitions and leveraged buyout craze that had a

limited life span in the United States during the 1980s.36 The ambivalence

associated with conventional wisdom is evident in the following passage from an

analysis by McKinsey and Company, a business consultancy:

Most investors and executives want a piece of the booming Asian market

for the right reasons. . . . And for many sectors, such as high technology

and manufacturing, the advantages of going to Asia, particularly China,

have so changed the competitive dynamics that there’s little choice but to

join the rush.

But the decision to go to Asia can be unsound as well. Many execu-

tives who invest in China or India believe that these markets will suddenly

kick-start stalled growth at home, reviving their companies’ sagging pros-

pects. On that score, we think caution is in order . . . the returns from

investment in Asia just aren’t going to be that large—at least over the next

decade.37

On a personal note, I still remember what a friend who worked for a lobbying

group representing a number of large MNCs said to me back in the 1970s. He

was convinced that some major overseas subsidiaries owed their existence to

the personal prestige factor. A few executives, he surmised, did not want to be

branded ‘‘provincial’’ for keeping their companies domestic, and some others did

not like staying home while their counterparts were regularly flying off to consult

with their affiliates in glamorous European settings.

Another reason for overseas investment not found in textbooks is the principal

motivation for the establishment of one of Intel’s first overseas subsidiaries. A

design and development center in Haifa, Israel, was opened in the mid-1970s partly

due to a traditional reason: the ready availability of skilled engineers and scientists.

why companies invest overseas 137

But the main impetus was management’s decision to accommodate one of the

senior researchers at headquarters, a native Israeli who was planning to resign

because of the desire to return to his homeland. Rather than lose his valued talents,

Intel established a research center in Israel under his supervision.38 The success of

this initial enterprise later led to extensive investment in manufacturing facilities.

A chain of Austrian pastry and ice cream shops became multinational when it

opened a restaurant–ice cream parlor and a company-owned franchise operation

in Santa Monica, California. The owner of this relatively small business said his

decision to open the restaurant was very spontaneous and made without consul-

tations. He asserted that none of the traditional factors influenced his decision, as

his intention to invest in the United States originated solely from his personal

experiences during a vacation the previous year in California. While there, two

thoughts had a major impact on his thinking. He did not find any place selling ice

cream freshly made on the premises, as was the case with his shops in Austria. In

addition, he realized he was very fond of the Los Angeles area and wanted to visit

regularly. He told an interviewer that the investment decision was purely a matter

of personal preference and the desire ‘‘to make a dream come true.’’39

Because the Dublin-based law firm of Matheson, Ormsby, Prentice deals only

with Irish law, its decision to open subsidiaries in Silicon Valley and New York

City made for an unlikely MNC. It expanded across the Atlantic for the coun-

terintuitive reason of supplying the previously overlooked market for providing

counseling on Irish law and regulations to U.S.-based executives of MNCs who

have invested in Ireland or are preparing to do so. The firm attributes part of its

success in attracting as clients blue-chip U.S. MNCs like Microsoft, Hewlett-

Packard, and Xerox to its distinctive ability to provide lawyers for person-to-

person consultations with senior executives at their U.S. headquarters.40

Case Study: What Drives the Multinationalization

of the Automobile Industry

The automobile industry provides an excellent case study in the incentives and

pressures that sometimes encourage and sometimes force industry consolidation

into a relatively few globe-spanning companies. It is also an excellent case study

of what can go wrong when companies become too enamored with bigness and

too eager to seek global reach. The trend to fewer and bigger competitors in the

automobile sector by no means has been accompanied by uniform success and

profitability, nor has it generated universal shareholder happiness. If anything,

the world’s major carmakers suffer from the same negative syndrome that has

befallen the dwindling number of U.S. airlines: A consistently profitable, fi-

nancially sound company is the exception, not the rule.

the strategy of multinationals138

In the early years of the twenty-first century, every large-volume, mass-market

automobile maker is an MNC. The perception that only the very large global play-

ers will survive in this industry has become so strongly ingrained among automobile

executives that it was elevated to a presumed truth many years ago. Increased global

market share has become the ultimate test of an automaker’s success and survival.

The advantages of being a multinational carmaker are not imaginary; they are

rooted in the economics of the business. Major companies spend billions of dollars

on nonstop R&D efforts, redesign of existing models and development of entirely

new ones, and factory retooling expenses. Very high fixed costs are inescapable.

The end product is now a capital-intensive collection of hundreds of technologi-

cally sophisticated components, yet car models below the luxury names must

vigorously compete for the approval of price-conscious consumers.

No single national market is currently large enough for a major car company

to amortize fixed costs and offer competitive pricing. Consequently, all top-tier

companies have assembly plants in at least two countries; hence, they are MNCs.

Substantial sales to foreigners are no longer an option in the industry. To maximize

sales, be close to customers, and avoid the threat of import barriers, the high-

volume automakers no longer rely on exports as the sole or major vehicle for foreign

sales to anywhere other than relatively small markets with no indigenous car in-

dustry. The one exception to this rule is continued reliance on exporting by very

limited-edition luxury brands, such as Porsche and Ferrari. Toyota, the world’s

most profitable automaker and perennially at or near the top of the list of increased

annual sales, operated fifty-one overseas manufacturing plants in twenty-six

countries in 2005 to meet its sales, growth, and cost-containment goals.41

World car and truck production of more than 60 million units in 2003 was

dominated by twelve large MNCs. General Motors, Ford, Toyota, Volkswagen,

DaimlerChrysler, PSA Peugeot, Nissan (controlled by Renault), Honda,

Hyundai-Kia, Renault, Fiat, and Suzuki (partly owned by General Motors) pro-

duced more than 48 million units, or 80 percent of world output; the remaining

20 percent was split among more than forty other companies.42 The current

degree of consolidation in this industry is starkly different from the early part of

the twentieth century, when nearly 200 companies were producing cars in the

United Kingdom and almost 100 were operating in the United States.43 Fol-

lowing the demise of MG Rover in 2005, the United Kingdom was left with no

locally owned mass-market automakers. All are foreign-owned.44

The global automobile oligopoly has been strengthened since the 1990s by a

spate of cross-border M&As plus an expanding web of minority ownerships, joint

ventures, and strategic alliances. With more than a tinge of the follow-the-leader

syndrome,Daimler-Benzmerged/took overChrysler; Ford acquiredVolvo, Jaguar,

and Land Rover; GM’s acquisition of Saab and a minority stake inDaewoo (Korea)

added to its longer-standing ownerships of Opel and Vauxhall and minority stakes

why companies invest overseas 139

in Japanese companies Suzuki, Isuzu, and Subaru. Even BMW, a mid-sized pro-

ducer of luxury cars, added to its offerings by acquiring ultra-luxury Rolls Royce.

The most surprising cross-border acquisitions were the minority stakes taken in

three ailing Japanese companies (Nissan by Renault, Mazda by Ford, and Mitsu-

bishi Motors by DaimlerChrysler). In the 1980s it would have been considered

ludicrous to predict that a country with a seemingly unstoppable automobile in-

dustry would be left with just two fully independent producers at the turn of the

century. The two, Toyota and Honda, have been unique among the major pro-

ducers in refusing to pursue growth through acquisitions or joint ventures.

In addition to the match-the-overseas-expansion-of-your-major-competitors

model, automakers have been inspired to act over the past three decades by all the

other leading reasons why nonextractive companies invest in other countries.

High fixed costs have compelled the world’s major automakers to pursue econ-

omies of scale via sales in all major markets as a core business strategy. The rise in

prominence of strategic asset–seeking direct investments and alliances is clearly

demonstrated by the surge in major cross-border acquisitions designed to gain

entrée to new markets, acquire new product offerings, or gain access to new

technologies or assembly techniques. Efficiency-seeking FDI in the automobile

sector thus far has mainly taken the form of vertical supply networks, with sub-

sidiaries making parts in relatively low-wage countries like Thailand, Indonesia,

China, and Mexico.

The need to cater to varied local preferences has become an important factor

encouraging production in foreign markets in lieu of exporting. An idea gained

traction a few years ago that companies could mass produce a single ‘‘world car.’’

It made great financial sense; designing and assembling essentially the same

vehicle for worldwide sale was potentially one of the greatest ever applications of

economies of scale. The concept has been dramatically downsized, however. It

was the victim of consumers around the world stubbornly demonstrating an

incompatible mix of preferences for a product associated with differences in life-

style, road conditions, disposable incomes, and so on. Americans are in a category

by themselves in their insistence on multiple cup-holders in their vehicles. The

larger automobile producers demonstrate sensitivity to accommodating local

tastes not only by producing in multiple countries but also by maintaining fa-

cilities engaged in product design, R&D, and technical evaluation on a regional

basis. Hyundai’s decision to open a billion-dollar assembly plant in the United

States despite incurring significantly higher wage costs reflects the priority of

being able to provide car buyers with what they want when they want it. A senior

corporate official explained the move in these terms:

Our decision to build this facility in . . .Alabama underscores our com-

mitment to the U.S. market. . . .Hyundai is in the process of doing more

the strategy of multinationals140

design and engineering in the United States so that our products will be

even better adapted to the American consumers’ needs and tastes. Our new

plant will allow us to build more vehicles for this growing market and get

them to our customers more quickly.45

It is highly probable that the decision also reflected the growing article of faith

that sales success in the United States is a prerequisite for being a world player

among automakers, as well as the desire to avoid a protectionist backlash down

the road.

Avoidance of trade barriers has attracted major commitment to foreign-owned

auto assembly facilities in the United States, Western Europe, and more recently,

China. The automobile assembly sector has an extraordinary impact on all na-

tional economies in which it operates. Not only is it among the largest industries

by sales and jobs, it also affects a vast supplier network in parts, steel, rubber,

glass, electronics, plastics, and textiles. Governments covet auto assembly plants

and ferociously oppose the loss of any locally owned producers to import com-

petition.

At the onset of the 1980s, Japanese automakers were still categorically dis-

missing repeated exhortations by the U.S. government and the United Auto-

mobile Workers to begin serving the American market through local assembly

facilities. The universal attitude among Japanese manufacturers at the time was

that exports of made-in-Japan vehicles were essential for cost and quality consid-

erations. They unanimously perceived American workers as overpaid and lacking

the skills, discipline, and dedication to emulate the fastidious, hardworking,

relatively low-paid, and strike-averse Japanese workers who were major cogs in

the production of high-quality, price-competitive cars. Large, sustained increases

in U.S. imports of Japanese cars, together with the falling market share and rising

financial problems of Detroit’s Big Three producers, lead to a showdown in the

first year of the Reagan administration that changed the policy equation. The

opposition of Japan’s automakers to establishing facilities in the United States

eroded in the face of escalating pressures in Washington. Congress intensified

threats to pass highly protectionist legislation as it became increasingly apparent

that U.S. automakers needed breathing room from further import increases while

they borrowed and invested tens of billions of dollars to retool to make better

quality, more energy-efficient cars (the second oil shock had peaked in 1980).

Japanese government officials prevailed on executives of the auto companies to go

the FDI route when the new administration sternly warned that uncapped in-

creases in U.S. car imports would trigger protectionist legislation in Congress

that it could not derail by veto.

The subsequent ‘‘voluntary’’ export restraint adopted by an agreement be-

tween Japan’s government and auto industry marked a radical shift in the latter’s

why companies invest overseas 141

overseas business strategy. Henceforth, increased market share in countries with

an indigenous automobile industry would be pursued mainly through local pro-

duction. Once the Japanese companies found that carefully selected foreign work-

ers could adapt quite well to the advanced assembly line operations that had been

so successful at home, the internationalization of the larger producers was off and

running.

Three decades later, Toyota, Honda, and others proudly celebrate in the U.S.

media how Americanized their companies have become. Responding to contin-

ued strong increases in U.S. sales and increased concern for a backlash against its

growing prosperity in the midst of GM’s and Ford’s sales and financial stability

problems, Toyota assiduously advertises its local roots and intentions to build

additional manufacturing and assembly plants in North America (see box 6.1).

Honda’s booming overseas sales base led to a corporate philosophy of ‘‘glocali-

zation,’’ defined by the company as a commitment to manufacture products ‘‘in

areas close to the consumer.’’46

For the three major companies, Toyota, Nissan, and Honda, steadily increas-

ing foreign sales have offset sluggish domestic sales caused by the stagnation in the

Japanese economy that persisted from the early 1990s to 2005. Toyota was selling

more than twice as many cars overseas than domestically in 2003; for Honda, the

foreign-to-domestic ratio was more than three to one in 2004.47 About two-thirds

of both companies’ profits in 2003 were derived from the highly lucrative, no-

need-for-discounts American market.48

China is the hottest new FDI destination for the automobile industry. Eleven

of the twelve major foreign producers already mentioned (financially troubled

Fiat is the exception) had opened subsidiaries in China by 2002.49 Massive FDI

inflows resulted from foreign companies wanting to produce within what is pro-

jected to remain the fastest growing national market, but one still protected by

high tariffs on imported cars. It is also a market that lacks the buying power to

easily tolerate transportation costs being added to retail prices. Foreign sub-

sidiaries in China are also appealing as a means of keeping close tabs on the kinds

of cars and accessories that will appeal to China’s emerging middle class. Skilled

but low-wage Chinese labor makes the country a natural to produce cheap small

cars for export.

The compelling logic and widespread practice of major automobile makers to

increase their global presence through new subsidiaries and acquisitions obscure

the deep potholes on the MNC highway. GM had to pay the Fiat car division

$2 billion in 2005 to extricate itself from an unusual contractual obligation to buy

the 90 percent of the company that GM did not already own. It seemed like a good

deal in 2000 when the commitment was made, but the Italian company sub-

sequently began suffering large losses and incurring surging debt. Given GM’s

own financial problems, the last thing it needed was to be saddled with the purchase

the strategy of multinationals142

and management of perhaps the only automaker with worse troubles than its

own.50

A second jolt in 2005 to the auto companies’ globalization model came in the

form of the decision by the CEO of DaimlerChrysler to bow to long-standing

criticism by stockholders and securities analysts and take early retirement. Jürgen

Schrempp’s plan to transform Daimler-Benz, a middle-sized maker of luxury

cars with a sterling reputation for advanced technological prowess, into a world-

spanning company selling a full line of models was compelling on paper, but a

resounding failure in application.51 Shortly after it acquired Chrysler, the latter

began suffering declining sales and heavy losses. Serious differences in corporate

cultures added to the problems of trying to shore up the Chrysler division.

DaimlerChrysler’s purchase of a minority stake inMitsubishi Motors, the would-

be Asian pillar of its global presence, proved a worse investment. The Japanese

manufacturer soon after went into a sales and earnings tailspin, accelerated by

scandals over hiding defects in its cars to avoid a massive recall. Schrempp’s plan

in 2004 to shore up the ailingMitsubishi Motors with a multibillion-dollar capital

infusion was overturned by an incredulous management board. The ongoing fail-

ure of top management to get the gears of DaimlerChrysler’s worldwide empire

to mesh came full circle by 2005. Chrysler began turning a small profit at the

same time that sales of the flagship Mercedes nameplate suffered a major decline

amidst well-publicized quality control problems.

Earlier examples of global overreach included BMW’s ill-fated takeover of

Britain’s Rover. After capital infusions in excess of $3 billion could not stanch the

steady stream of red ink at what cynics dubbed ‘‘the English Patient,’’ the

German company jettisoned its Rover division in 2000. Volkswagen planned to

capitalize on earlier success in exporting its famous Beetle model by producing

the new Golf model in the United States. It failed. ‘‘Nearly disastrous quality

control problems and lack of cost competitiveness in the face of Japanese com-

petition’’ caused it to be shut down in 1989 after only a decade of operation. As

such, it is one of the rare failures of a foreign-owned consumer goods–making

subsidiary in the large, affluent U.S. market.52

Part of the explanation for the numerous failures in automobile companies’

globalization strategies is that on occasion, invalid or irrelevant reasons seem to

have been the driving factor in overseas investments and acquisitions. The pos-

sibility exists ‘‘that managers are driven to seek bigness as a goal itself. They may

do so for private material benefits, such as higher salaries, or for the less tangible

glory of empire building.’’ Because it is difficult to find categorical evidence

that increased size has bestowed auto companies with greater long-term effi-

ciency and profitability, ‘‘size maximization remains as a residual category of

explanation . . . after all the more conventional explanations’’ of mergers have

been considered and dismissed.53 The mixed record of the automobile makers’

why companies invest overseas 143

globalization strategy notwithstanding, GM’s largest individual shareholder

advanced a dramatic proposal in mid-2006. To get the auto giant’s restructuring

efforts on the fast track, he suggested that GM enter into some firm of three-way

partnership-alliance with the already existing Renault-Nissan partnership.

Notes

1. Rachel McCulloch, ‘‘New Perspectives on Foreign Direct Investment,’’ in Kenneth

Froot, ed., Foreign Direct Investment (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1993), pp.

39–40.

2. Charles P. Kindleberger, American Business Abroad (New Haven, CT: Yale University

Press, 1969), p. 13.

3. Richard E. Caves, ‘‘International Corporations: The Industrial Economics of Foreign

Investment,’’ Economica, February 1971, p. 5.

4. Geoffrey Jones, The Evolution of International Business (New York: Routledge, 1996),

p. 7.

5. Ibid., p. 6.

6. For a detailed survey of the various theorists and the ideas that made more lim-

ited contributions to the evolution of MNC theory, see chap. 1 of John H. Dunning,

Explaining International Production (London: Unwin, Hyman, 1989).

7. There are two inconclusive theories why this is so: (1) Hymer’s ideas were so

groundbreaking that they were incapable of immediate acceptance, and (2) his Marxist

ideology caused him to be ignored by mainstream economists.

8. John H. Dunning, Multinational Enterprises and the Global Economy (Wokingham,

UK: Addison-Wesley, 1993), p. 69.

9. Kindleberger, American Business Abroad, p. 13.

10. Although Boeing does not meet the criterion for being an MNC because it produces

planes only in theUnited States, it presents one of the clearest examples of the high fixed

cost/need for economies of scale syndrome. The unit price of a new generation of Boeing

aircraft—which cost $8 billion and up to develop and build—would be astronomical if

the company sold planes only in the U.S. market. The high price tag associated with a

relatively small sales base for amortizing the company’s enormous fixed costs would

place it at a severe disadvantage against its archrival, Airbus. The latter would price its

planes at a much lower level by being able to allocate fixed costs over a much greater sales

volume thanks to the potential for selling aircraft to every major airline in the world.

11. Data source: ‘‘Pfizer Shows the Way,’’ Economist.com Global Agenda, July 15, 2002,

available online at http://www.economist.com; accessed July 2002.

12. Robert Gilpin, Global Political Economy—Understanding the International Economic

Order (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2001), p. 287.

13. John H. Dunning, ‘‘Globalization and the Theory of MNE Activity,’’ in Neil Hood

and Stephen Young, eds., The Globalization of Multinational Enterprise Activity and

Economic Development (New York: St. Martin’s, 2000), p. 26.

the strategy of multinationals144

14. Ibid., p. 21.

15. Dunning, Multinational Enterprises and the Global Economy, p. 68.

16. Fred Turner, quoted in John F. Love, McDonald’s—Behind the Arches (New York:

Bantam Books, 1986), p. 417.

17. Data source: McDonald’s Corporation, 2005 Financial Report, available online at

http://www.mcdonalds.com; accessed June, 2006.

18. ‘‘Citigroup Looks Abroad for Its Future Growth,’’ Wall Street Journal, March 15,

2004, p. C1.

19. Joseph Quinlan and Marc Chandler, ‘‘The U.S. Trade Deficit: A Dangerous Ob-

session,’’ Foreign Affairs, May/June 2001, pp. 88–89.

20. Statement of SeanMaloney before the Senate Finance Committee, June 23, 2005, p. 2,

available online at http://finance.senate.gov/sitepages/hearings.htm; accessed De-

cember 2005.

21. See, for example, ‘‘Big Three Outsourcing Plan: Make Parts Suppliers Do It,’’ Wall

Street Journal, June 10, 2004, p. A1, and ‘‘Increasingly, American-Made Doesn’t

Mean in the U.S.A.,’’ New York Times,March 19, 2004, p. C1. The latter article fea-

tured the man tapped by President Bush to be his coordinator of efforts to strengthen

the U.S. manufacturing sector but quickly dropped when his company’s outsourcing

to China was revealed.

22. UNCTAD, ‘‘China: An Emerging FDI Outward Investor,’’ December 4, 2003, p. 8,

available online at http://www.unctad.org; accessed January 2005.

23. General Electric Corporation, 2003 Annual Report, available online at http://www

.GE.com; accessed December 2004.

24. ‘‘Survey on Multinationals,’’ The Economist, March 27, 1993, p. 9 of the survey.

25. Data source: ‘‘AMD Files Antitrust Suit against Intel,’’ Associated Press, June 28,

2005, available online at http://www.macnewsworld.com; accessed July 2005.

26. Unable to pursue this invest-in-your-competitors’-backyard strategy, a number of

American companies were especially bitter about being blocked from establishing

subsidiaries in Japan in the 1970s and 1980s. They perceived the need to bring price

competition there because of widespread belief that a Japanese market largely

impenetrable to imports of goods made there allowed domestic companies to inflate

domestic prices and profit margins, something acceptable to the stoic Japanese pop-

ulace. This in turn allegedly enabled them to offset the rock-bottom export prices

used to maximize sales and market shares in foreign markets.

27. New York Times, September 7, 1995, as quoted in Raymond Vernon, Louis Wells Jr.

and Subramanian Rangan, The Manager in the International Economy, 7th ed. (Upper

Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall, 1996), p. 27.

28. More recently, to be eligible to win Defense Department contracts for aerial refueling

tankers and other military aircraft, the European Aeronautic Defense and Space

Corporation (the maker of Airbus) opened an aircraft engineering center in Mobile,

Alabama, in 2005. The company announced it would add an assembly plant if and

when it is awarded a major defense contract.

29. ‘‘The Rise of ‘Small Multinationals,’ ’’ BusinessWeek Online, February 1, 2005,

available online at http://www.businessweek.com; accessed February 2005.

why companies invest overseas 145

30. Gerhard Apfelthaler, ‘‘Why Small Enterprises Invest Abroad: The Case of Four

Austrian Firms with U.S. Operations,’’ Journal of Small Business Management, July

2000, p. 94.

31. ‘‘Yum! Brands,’’ Morgan Stanley,U.S. Investment Perspectives,May 5, 2004, pp. 25–26.

32. ‘‘Yum! Brands,’’ Morgan Stanley, U.S. Investment Perspectives, May 11, 2005, p. 60.

33. ‘‘First Data,’’ Morgan Stanley, U.S. Investment Perspectives, December 1, 2004,

p. 67.

34. ‘‘It’s Getting Hotter in the East,’’ BusinessWeek, August 22, 2005, p. 81.

35. Data source: ‘‘Regionalism: Friends or Rivals?,’’ available online at http://www

.wto.org; accessed June 2005. The WTO believes that the growing enthusiasm for

regional free trade agreements may push the total well beyond 300 within a few years.

36. EdwardM. Graham and Paul R. Krugman, ‘‘The Surge in Foreign Direct Investment

in the 1980s,’’ in Froot, Foreign Direct Investment, p. 30.

37. ‘‘The Scrutable East,’’ McKinsey Quarterly, November 2004, available online at

http://www.mckinsey.com/ideas/mck_quarterly; accessed January 2005.

38. Not for attribution interview with a former Intel employee, summer 2004.

39. Apfelthaler, ‘‘Why Small Enterprises Invest Abroad,’’ p. 95.

40. ‘‘Ireland: Pluck of the Irish,’’ Lawyer (London), October 20, 2003; accessed on the

ABI/Inform database, August 2004.

41. Data source: Toyota’s corporate Web site, http://www.toyota.com.

42. Data source: Ward’s Communications, Ward’s Motor Vehicle Facts & Figures, 2004,

p. 15.

43. John A. C. Conybeare, Merging Traffic—The Consolidation of the International Au-

tomobile Industry (Lanham, MD: Rowman and Littlefield, 2004), p. 1.

44. Data source: U.K. Department of Trade and Industry, in email message to the author,

May 2005.

45. ‘‘Hyundai Motor Company Announces It Will Build Its First U.S. Manufacturing

Plant in Alabama,’’ press release dated April 2, 2002, available online at http://

worldwide.hyundai-motor.com; accessed May 2005.

46. See, for example, Honda’s 2004 Annual Report to Stockholders, available at http://

www.Honda.com.

47. Data sources: Toyota’s Form 20-F submission to the U.S. Securities and Exchange

Commission, June 2005, p. 42, available online at http://www.toyota.com; accessed

July 2005; and ‘‘Overview of Honda’s Financial Information,’’ available online at

http://www.world.honda.com; accessed July 2005.

48. Data sources: ‘‘Toyota Triumphs,’’ Newsweek International, May 9, 2005, available

online at http://www.msnbc.msn.com; accessed July 2005; and Honda’s Form 20-F

submission, May 2005, p. 41, available online at http://www.honda.com; accessed

July 2005.

49. Data source: Ministry of Commerce of the People’s Republic of China, ‘‘2003 Report

of Foreign Investment in China,’’ available online at http://english.mofcom.gov.cn/

column/report.shtml; accessed May 2005.

50. Michael Hastings, ‘‘Stuck with a Lemon,’’ Newsweek International, January 17, 2005,

available online at http://www.msnbc.msn.com; accessed July 2005.

the strategy of multinationals146

51. Investors and analysts greeted Schrempp’s surprise retirement announcement with

something approaching euphoria; the stock immediately rose more than 9 percent, the

biggest single-day increase in more than six years (data source: New York Times, July

29, 2005, p. C1).

52. Conybeare, Merging Traffic, p. 13.

53. Ibid., p. 138.

why companies invest overseas 147

7

where multinational corporations invest and don’t invest and why

Not even the largest multinational corporations (MNCs) can affordto invest everywhere or accept the risks inherent in choosing overseas production locations in a random, cavalier manner. An important phase

of the foreign direct investment (FDI) cycle is the decision that follows a com-

pany’s making a commitment to overseas expansion: where the planned foreign

subsidiary(ies) should be situated. Due diligence is required to avoid costly and

embarrassingmistakes in site selections. One of the few valid generalizations about

MNCs is that they invest in countries where their inquiries and calculations

indicate a relatively high probability that financial rewards will exceed costs and

risks by an acceptable margin in an acceptable time frame. The dynamics of those

decisions are among the least subjective and least emotional aspects of the FDI/

MNCs phenomena. Value judgments and controversy appear in far greater

amounts after subsidiaries open for business.

Viewed in a narrow sense, the geography of FDI is a simple statistical exercise

in counting buildings around the world controlled by foreign companies. In

a larger sense, insight into the MNC location evaluation process enhances the

heterogeneity theme by showing how different kinds (market-seeking, efficiency-

seeking, etc.) of direct investment each have a distinctive set of priorities when

looking for a site to build an overseas subsidiary. An understanding of where FDI

is and is not going serves to debunk the widespread myth that companies are

moving abroad in a race to the bottom. The ‘‘where’’ factor also provides valuable

lessons on the supply side: how countries, intentionally and otherwise, go about

making themselves appealing or unattractive to foreign companies.

The purpose of this chapter is to integrate these themes. It begins with a

straightforward review of the statistics showing the geographical distribution of

MNCs, that is, where FDI is going. The chapter then takes a conceptual

approach to examine the reasons FDI gravitates to some countries and avoids

148

others. The second section examines the fundamentals determining the national

climate for FDI, the thing that causes countries to win or lose the popularity con-

test that is corporate site selection. The third and fifth sections, respectively,

focus on the specific market characteristics that MNCs do and do not want to find

when evaluating overseas locations. Sandwiched in between, the fourth section

reviews the debate over the ‘‘choose me’’ governmental tactic of offering lucrative

financial incentives to attract preferred foreign companies.

Which Countries Attract FDI and Which Do Not

Statistics on FDI location can be used as a proxy for gauging the popularity of the

four basic reasons that companies establish subsidiaries in foreign countries:

obtaining natural resources, protecting or expanding sales in lucrative markets,

seeking low-cost production for an export platform, or acquiring strategic assets.

Geographic location is related to business objective. Countries with known re-

serves of raw materials or attractive corporate targets for acquisition become the

locale for the first and fourth objectives. Large, thriving economies, regardless of

labor costs, attract market-seeking subsidiaries. Poor countries with assets above

and beyond relatively low wages attract mostly (if not entirely) efficiency-seeking

factories.

Until World War II, FDI consisted mainly of companies extracting raw ma-

terials in colonies; as a consequence, most of it was located in what are now called

less developed countries (LDCs). Natural resource extraction ceased being the

largest form of direct investment after the relative surge of market-seeking in-

vestment began moving into Western Europe and Canada in the 1950s (see

chapter 3). Many of the conveyers of conventional wisdom still seem unaware of

the fact that a significant majority of the world’s FDI has been moving into

wealthy industrialized countries for more that half a century. UNCTAD data

show the North’s share of recorded worldwide incoming FDI flows averaged 58

percent annually from 1992 through 1997 and again in 2004.1 These percentages

bear no resemblance to the high-income countries’ small share of the world’s

population: below 17 percent. However, this FDI share does correlate to their 80

percent share of world GDP.2

Firms moving to countries having the lowest paid workers and the least en-

forced environmental protection regulations are, given the absence of any proof to

the contrary, rare exceptions rather than the rule. The data repeatedly and un-

equivocally show the vast majority of manufacturing and services-oriented FDI is

capital moving from one affluent country to another. Low wages (excluding

China) are inversely related to the volume of incoming FDI. Direct investment in

LDCs, remember, excludes locally owned, sweatshop-like factories producing

where mncs invest and don ’t invest and why 149

apparel, footwear, and other low-tech, labor-intensive goods. Claims by the

antiglobalization movement that FDI is a greed-based race to the bottom are

inconsistent not only with the data as to where it is going (Haiti and Afghanistan

have rock-bottom wages, but foreign companies are not building factories there)

but with basic economics as well. Labor costs are only one of several components

of total production costs; raw materials, parts, and transportation are some of the

others. Moreover, wages and benefits only partly determine total labor costs.

Unskilled, undisciplined workers with spotty attendance records are seldom

a bargain even if paid only a few cents an hour. The real cost of labor is mainly

determined by productivity—output per unit of input used, usually measured as

labor’s output per hour worked—not their hourly wages. Relatively high and

fast-growing levels of output per hour of work explain why companies can pay

much higher wages in industrialized countries than in LDCs, where worker

productivity is typically lower.

The Triad of the United States, the European Union, and Japan has been

the main source and recipient of the world’s FDI for more than half a century.

From 1998 through 2000, it accounted for 75 percent of global FDI inflows and

59 percent of inward global stock (cumulative book value of original invest-

ments).3 Those Triad countries with the world’s best-paid workers—the United

States, Canada, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, and

Switzerland—dominate the list of largest recipients of FDI, whether measured as

percentage of GDP or in absolute terms. Two other major host countries,

Ireland and Spain, have only slightly lower labor costs. These countries are the

principal actors in what is a virtuous economic cycle: high but noninflationary

wage levels, rising productivity, increasing consumer buying power, and robust

economic growth. Relative efficiency, prosperity, and incoming FDI go hand in

hand. Not by happenstance, the poorest LDCs suffer from a radically differ-

ent, vicious circle of economic trends culminating, as will be noted below, with

negligible receipt of direct investment. Statistically, the number one rationale for

choosing where to invest in another country is exploiting the present and pro-

jected strength of foreign consumers’ buying power, not the weaknesses of the

host country.

The dominant North—North axis of direct investment contradicts the eco-

nomic principle that capital seeks the highest rate of return. Because the marginal

productivity of capital and therefore the marginal return theoretically are higher

in labor-intensive, capital-scarce developing countries, the bulk of FDI should

flow mainly from North to South. It doesn’t, and the result is what Deloitte Re-

search has called the ‘‘high-wage paradox.’’ Corporate executives are obviously

following a different set of metrics to determine optimal destinations for new

or expanded foreign subsidiaries. Probably it is because they know better than

the strategy of multinationals150

anyone that no positive statistical correlation has been demonstrated between

poverty in a host country and profits of manufacturing or services-providing

MNCs.

The most consistent theme in the where-FDI-is-going and where-it-is-

coming-from statistics is that in both directions it is concentrated in a relatively

few countries. The 2001 edition of The World Investment Report pointed out that

‘‘Despite its reach, . . .FDI is unevenly distributed. The world’s top 30 host

countries account for 95 per cent of total world FDI inflows and 90 per cent of

stocks.’’4 Asymmetry is especially prominent in the data for sources of outward

FDI, that is, the home countries of overseas subsidiaries. In 1980 and again in

2003, the countries classified by UNCTAD as developed accounted for 89 per-

cent of the outward stock of FDI; if nearly developed Hong Kong, Taiwan,

South Korea, and Singapore are added to this total, the share of the affluents

jumps to 95 percent. Geographic concentration is also evident when the share of

developed countries is disaggregated. Just nine countries (the United States,

the United Kingdom, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Switzerland, Japan,

Canada, and Italy) accounted for 84 percent of the $7.3 trillion in total outward

FDI stock owned by developed countries in 2003.5 About 90 of the world’s 100

largest nonfinancial multinationals were headquartered in the Triad countries.

The geographic concentration of MNCs has created an FDI divide between

haves and have-nots. Aggregated data do show a continuous and relatively sizable

increase in MNCs moving to developing and in-transition countries since 1990;

however, this is an exercise in statisticalmisdirection. A true depiction of FDI going

to developing countries requires disaggregation to reveal another case of major geo-

graphic concentration. In a word, the most advanced LDCs, often referred to as the

emerging markets, account for a disproportionate share. With recorded direct

investment inflows exceeding $50 billion in the early 2000s, China alone has been

taking more than 30 percent of the annual LDC total. The share of China and just

the next four largest recipients (Hong Kong, Singapore, Mexico, and Brazil) is 58

percent of all FDI flowing in 2003 to what UNCTAD classifies as developing

countries (nearly unchanged from their average 55 percent share in the 1992—97

time span). Inclusion of countries and territories that fall between emerging market

and developed country status—South Korea and Israel, for example—further

obscures numbers showing just how little the lower middle and lowest income

LDCs receive in FDI. The approximately 50 countries classified by UNCTAD as

least developed reported just over $7 billion in inflows in 2003, a trifling 1.25 per-

cent of the world total (as bad as this performance was, it represented a doubling of

their negligible share of average annual world inflows from 1992 through 1997).6 If

yet another statistical distortion caused by large investments by oil companies to

develop newly discovered reserves is circumvented, FDI in Africa, Central Asia,

where mncs invest and don ’t invest and why 151

and the Middle East has been minimal. The old adage that ‘‘it is better to be

exploited than ignored’’ suggests that big MNCs are doing a disservice to the

poorest, neediest countries, but not in the way that critics contend. Table 7.1 shows

how closely the magnitude of FDI flows reflect the differentiated economic

progress of East Asia, Latin America, and Africa.

Fundamentals of a Country’s Climate for FDI

Two considerations sit atop the hierarchy of factors determining where manu-

facturing FDI does or does not go. The first is the company’s best quantitative

guesstimate what the difference will be between projected total production costs

at a subsidiary and projected prices that can be charged for its output. Companies

focus on net profits—margin—not on individual items such as gross labor costs,

the need to complywith environmental protection regulations, and cost of utilities.

A second transcendent element of corporate decisions on where to invest is the

qualitative judgment as to how business-friendly or -unfriendly the investment

climate is in a potential host country. Though lacking a single, specific definition,

this term refers in general to the myriad factors (discussed in the sections to

follow) that are taken into consideration when companies balance risks and un-

certainties against expectations for positive returns. Investment climate is not a

quantifiable hard truth. It consists of perceptions by foreign enterprises about

how attractive or unattractive a country looks relative to other countries as a place

to make a long-term commitment of capital, personnel, and prestige.

table 7.1. FDI Inflows to Developing Countries* and Countries in Transition, by Region (in millions of U.S. dollars)

Annual Average

1992–97 2004

Total 130,000 268,100

Africa 6,000 18,100

Latin American & the Caribbean** 38,200 67,500

(of which: South America) (22,100) (37,900)

Asia, Pacific, and the Middle East 74,500 147,600

(of which: East, and Southeast Asia) (69,600) (130,700)

Eastern Europe and 11,500 35,000

Commonwealth of Independent States

*As classified by UNCTAD in its annual World Investment Report.

**Includes Mexico.

Source: UNCTAD, World Investment Reports, 2004 and 2005; Annex Table B.1

the strategy of multinationals152

The collective results of attitudes, actions, and inactions by the national gov-

ernment is the most decisive determinant of whether an investment climate

attracts or repels nonextractive MNCs. Depending on whether government

policies are overtly accommodating, neutral, mildly discouraging, indirectly neg-

ative, or proactively hostile, over time they will affect the volume, quality, size,

and composition of incoming FDI. Quality of governance, political stability, and

presence or absence of rule of law cannot be ignored by any foreign investor. Nor

can macroeconomic policies that affect all phases of a country’s economy. Fiscal

policy includes corporate tax rates, and monetary policy includes setting the cost

of borrowing (interest rates) in a country. Intermediate, or meso-economic fac-

tors are one small step below macro factors in importance when businesses

evaluate foreign locations. They include the breadth and depth of industrial

policies that provide various forms of assistance to targeted industries (direct

subsidies, tax breaks, exemption from antitrust laws, protection from import

competition, etc.), intensity of regulation of the business community, quality of

physical and human infrastructure, import barriers, and regulation of capital

outflows.

Michael Dell, founder of Dell, alluded to most of these factors when he sum-

marized what attracted his company to Ireland in 1990: It has industrial and tax

policies that are ‘‘consistently very supportive of businesses, independent of

which political party is in power. I believe this is because there are enough people

who remember the very bad times to de-politicize economic development.’’

Transportation and logistics are very good, and Ireland has a ‘‘good location—

easy to move products to major markets in Europe quickly.’’7 Hungary’s success

in attracting FDI is closely correlated with political stability and its early com-

mitment to a reformist, liberalizing policy path. Soon after it was freed from

Soviet domination, the government set out to quickly free prices, liberalize for-

eign trade, reduce domestic subsidies, privatize state-owned enterprises, and

improve the position of the private sector in general.8

Since the 1980s, the trend has clearly been for changes in official FDI policies

to move in the direction of encouraging investment inflows. The regulatory

changes classified on the UNCTAD Secretariat’s annual scoreboard as more

favorable toward FDI accounted for 95 percent of the total between the starting

year of 1991 and 2003, meaning that changes categorized as less favorable to FDI

accounted for a mere 5 percent. In 2003, 154 countries had an international

promotion agency or a government entity assigned an investment promotion

function.9 One simple litmus test of investment climate is how aggressive

and well-financed this agency is. Another is whether the promotion function is

overshadowed by another domestic agency that conducts exhaustive, time-

consuming screenings of applications for FDI that put the burden of proof on

interested investors to prove their value.

where mncs invest and don ’t invest and why 153

UNCTAD’s annualWorld Investment Report contains two indices designed to

serve as a more accurate guide to calculating a country’s success in attracting

incoming FDI than an unadjusted total of its annual inflows or cumulative stocks.

The Potential Index is based on several quantitative indicators (other than size of

GDP) that produce an index number for the extent to which a country’s assets

should in principle attract FDI. The Performance Index is the ratio of a country’s

share of global FDI inflows in a given year to its share of global GDP, a more

precise measurement than a simple FDI to GDP ratio. If a country’s ranking in

the Performance Index is significantly above (below) its ranking in the Potential

Index, it presumably is doing something right (wrong) in making itself attractive

to MNCs.10 Of some 140 countries examined, only Japan consistently ranks

among the leaders in potential at the same time it ranks among the laggards, that

is, the bottom decile, in performance. This is the result of a booming economy

being walled off for many years from incoming majority-owned FDI by formal

barriers and more recently the continued presence of informal hurdles to foreign

companies.

The first of four broad and partially overlapping FDI strategies that a gov-

ernment can adopt is a passive open-door policy with few or no proactive programs

to support it. This is largely a laissez-faire approach, open to the idea of incoming

MNCs but not linked to any industrial policies. The United States at the federal

level is one of the few practitioners of a posture declaring that government will

leave it to the market mechanism (except in extraordinary circumstances to reject

proposed inward investments) to decide the amounts and kinds of FDI that do or

do not enter. The second option is an open-door policy backed up by official

programs designed to maximize incoming investment. This is by far today’s most

widely used policy model and comes in various degrees of intensity. The most

aggressive governments will target certain companies and sectors as particularly

attractive additions to the local economy, court them, and offer major financial

incentives (see following discussion) to avoid losing out to another country.

Moving to the other side of the spectrum, a negative set of government policies

can be off-putting to companies looking for overseas investment sites. This third

policy strategy springs from innate suspicion of the motives of large foreign

corporations and is characterized by different degrees of disincentives. Typically,

a mandatory screening process created by statute will put foreign companies

through differing degrees of inquisition to determine if their proposed invest-

ment meets the host government’s tight or flexible criteria for protecting what is

defined as the national interest. Countries with intense doubts that ‘‘acceptable’’

amounts of FDI benefits will naturally spill over into the domestic economy can

use take-it-or-leave-it demands in seeking an adequate share of the economic

gains from foreign subsidiaries. A fourth option, indirect in nature and usually

unintentional, is for a government to manage domestic policy so poorly or to

the strategy of multinationals154

pursue a political agenda so extreme that nonextractive MNCs refuse to seriously

consider investing in it. The resulting dearth of FDI (and likely poor domestic

economic performance) in such cases is seldom considered serious enough to

force the political system to alter the policy status quo.

Some variables remain outside governmental control, for example, a country’s

endowments of raw materials and the number of its consumers. Incoming FDI is

not always determined (or repelled) by the conscious behavior (or misbehavior)

of governments in would-be host countries. The quality of domestic suppliers

and the aggressiveness of local unions are just two possible swing factors linked to

the private sector. Sometimes, a government in power is burdened with decades

of deep-rooted mismanagement and investment-retarding conditions created by

predecessors. Furthermore, the best intentions of senior politicians do not guar-

antee immediate change if other parts of the government are not on board. The

legislative body may oppose reforms and delay passage of enabling legislation;

skeptical career civil servants might drag their feet on implementation and en-

forcement of new regulations. As a 2005 World Bank report states: ‘‘Investment

climate improvements are a process, not an event.’’ Everything cannot and does

not have to be fixed at once.11

What MNCs Want in a Host Country

The academic and business literature is rich in descriptions of which economic,

political, and social criteria corporate officials consider to be important when they

consider overseas investment sites. Their ultimate goal is simple: finding a lo-

cation that will allow them to make the most money in the shortest time with the

least amount of adversity. Finding such a place is more complicated. No standard

set of attributes, each with an assigned relative weight of importance, exists in the

many lists of what matters in location published by business groups, international

organizations, and scholars. Determining where to invest is a case-by-case de-

cision. No single formula exists because specific strengths and weaknesses of a

country or region might receive high priority by one team of corporate evaluators

and be ignored by another, depending on what kind of investment is contem-

plated, which in turn will determine a subsidiary’s objectives and operational

needs. Furthermore, individual corporate cultures will assign different relative

importance to what attributes they require in a country, what they would like

to see, what negatives they can work around, and what is unequivocally unac-

ceptable. Calculating trade-offs between positive and negative country charac-

teristics is an art, not a science. In short, to understand whyMNCs go where they

go, it is once again necessary to acknowledge the heterogeneity factor, disag-

gregate, and accept a modicum of uncertainty and inconsistency.

where mncs invest and don ’t invest and why 155

Only resource-seeking investments retain a short, simple, and unchanging list

of priorities for choosing where to invest. The top three priorities are: reasonably

easy access to an abundant supply of a sought-after raw material, physical in-

frastructure that will permit it to be transported out of the host country at an

acceptable cost, and less than crushing corruption and environmental protection

regulations. A company looking to establish a subsidiary to drill for oil will have a

checklist whose contents and order bear little resemblance to that of a services

company or a manufacturer of goods looking to use a new subsidiary as an export

platform or as a vehicle to maximize sales in a foreign market.

Market-seeking investment is drawn to large economies with strong consumer

purchasing power and good records of growth, countries with above-average

human capital and physical infrastructure, and members of a major regional free

trade agreement. Most countries matching this profile are located in the Triad.

Efficiency-seeking investments go to carefully screened countries, usually LDCs

in which a relatively low wage scale will not be swamped by unproductive workers

and other high production costs, such as inadequate infrastructure, intrusive and

inconsistent regulation, and pervasive corruption. Priorities in labor force charac-

teristics differ between efficiency-seeking investors trying to minimize costs of

producing labor-intensive goods and market seekers trying to increase sales of

high value-added goods in prosperous markets. Finally, a decision to make a

foreign investment for the purpose of acquiring a strategic asset by purchasing or

merging with a foreign company presumably means that corporate-specific at-

tractions outweigh country-wide factors, such as labor costs.

Negative factors also will be weighted differently depending on the objective

of a planned investment. Prohibitive import barriers should not be a major con-

cern to what was designed to be a tariff-jumping, relatively self-sufficient, local

market—seeking subsidiary. The same prohibitive barriers will preclude plans

for a plant whose task is to assemble components made in other countries with

machinery that also is imported. China has been so extraordinarily attractive as a

growth market and a low-cost production site that foreign companies have flocked

there despite numerous negative conditions, especially the lack of rule of law,

which would be deal-breakers in virtually any other country. A booming market

with relatively low production costs can hide a lot of ugly blemishes.

Surveys asking corporate executives how they evaluate foreign locations ar-

guably provide the best insights into what matters most in the selection process

(it can only be assumed that anonymous responses genuinely reflect company

thinking). Unfortunately, only sporadic efforts have been made to systematically

collect and publicly disseminate this information. The only widely cited survey

of executives’ opinions on this subject that I found in my research was conducted

in 2001 by the firm Deloitte & Touche.12 Relatively few companies returned

completed questionnaires, either unwilling to take the time or reluctant to provide

the strategy of multinationals156

proprietary information. This survey therefore represents only a minute fraction

of the world’s MNCs that may or may not be a representative sample of the

thinking of the much larger MNC universe.

Consistent with the theme of FDI/MNC heterogeneity, no one factor—even

in a limited number of replies—was unanimously rated as critical when corpo-

rations choose or reject countries. Different objectives, needs, and strategies have

caused companies to design distinctive evaluation templates. There apparently is

no such a thing as a single criterion (except perhaps the absence of ongoing major

military hostilities) or minimum evaluation score that is unconditionally required

by all companies at all times in all potential host countries. Unanimity might have

appeared if the survey had disaggregated corporate responses and collated them

by the categories of resource, market, and efficiency-seeking investors. Of the top

twenty critical location factors, the one most frequently cited as very influential in

selecting a location was access to customers; it was mentioned by 77 percent of

the 191 responses received.

Other widely cited influential factors, in descending order of importance, were

a stable social and political environment, ease of doing business, reliability and

quality of physical infrastructure (transportation, telecommunications, and utili-

ties), ability to hire technical professionals, ability to hire management staff, level

of corruption, cost of labor, crime and safety, ability to hire skilled laborers, cor-

porate tax rates at the national level, costs of utilities, and quality of roads. Iden-

tified by less than 25 percent of respondents as very influential factors were access

to raw materials, availability and quality of university and technical training,

available land with connected utilities, local taxes, access to suppliers, labor

relations and unionization, and air freight and passenger service.13

Anecdotes of real world situations provide additional insights into the busi-

ness world’s approach to the question of where. The speed and rigor with which

countries in transition embarked on structural reforms to create a fully functional

market economy—liberalization, privatization, and regulatory and institutional

reforms of the economy—was especially important to the first wave of foreign

investors in Central Europe.14 When considering possible sites, Ericsson, the

Swedish-based multinational telecom equipment maker, has said it attaches

greatest weight to market size, quality of the bureaucracy, quality of infra-

structure (including customs clearance procedures), the tax system, trade poli-

cies, level of political risk, production costs including labor, and the availability of

suitable contractors and suppliers.15 Intel’s brief public recitation of its site

selection process for new factories inside and outside the United States lists the

quality of the local technical workforce, utilities, transportation capability, con-

struction and supplier capabilities, and regulatory and investment conditions.16

A General Electric business development officer introduced additional factors

when listing the criteria he would use to compare Mexico’s and China’s strengths

where mncs invest and don ’t invest and why 157

as sites for new manufacturing operations: labor and electricity costs, supplier

base, transportation costs and transit time, skill level and productivity of labor,

international telecommunications costs, protection of intellectual property, and

transparency in business regulations.17

A few more qualities need to be mentioned or expanded on to assemble a

comprehensive record of what corporations, especially in the secondary and ter-

tiary sectors, want in a host country. Good logistics mean that goods, people, and

communications can quickly, cheaply, and dependably be moved into, through,

and out of the host country. Companies want to go into markets where reasonably

transparent, predictable, nondiscriminatory, and honest legal and regulatory sys-

tems are in place. A desirable rule of law also enforces clearly enunciated rules at

the national and local levels, enforces commercial contracts, and defends property

rights, be they buildings, financial assets, or patents, copyrights, or trademarks.

The host country’s legal system should also establish and follow clear ground

rules for settling disputes between thegovernment and foreign subsidiaries.MNCs

prefer countries committed in law and spirit to the policy of national treatment,

whereby the host government is obligated to treat foreign-owned companies at

least as favorably as it does local companies in like circumstances.

A government will make itself more attractive to MNCs if political leaders and

the bureaucracy make it known that they are genuinely committed to facilitating

business development on a priority basis. Corporations look favorably on absence

of a large bureaucracy enamored with red tape and cheerfully keeping itself

powerful by requiring official approval of all manner of business activity. Clear

lines of authority among federal government agencies and between the national

and provincial governments further add to the appeal of a potential host country.

Other selling points are reasonable land prices and construction costs, a local

financial system willing and able to lend to foreign-controlled subsidiaries, and a

lifestyle attractive to expatriates from the parent company.

The ‘‘what’s already in place’’ syndrome can be sufficiently powerful in

three different ways to attract foreign investment. The first involves supplier—

customer relationships in the age of just-in-time delivery. A maker of interme-

diate goods may feel compelled to build a factory near a major overseas subsidiary

opened by an important client, lest more nimble competitors push it aside.

Agglomeration economies are another potential determinant of location decisions.

This concept refers to a company’s being able to enjoy what economists call

positive externalities by setting up business in a particular place. In plain English,

a locale may be compelling simply because companies in the same or related fields

are already there. These so-called clusters (best illustrated by Silicon Valley) arise

because a region offers an ample supply of skilled labor, excellent physical in-

frastructure, availability of raw materials, proximity to research institutions and

universities, and so on. As a cluster grows, so do the numbers of businesses

the strategy of multinationals158

supplying raw materials and intermediate goods and providing specialized ser-

vices (lawyers, venture capital, consultants, product designers, specialized ad-

vertising agencies, etc.). The burgeoning community of interests becomes an

important source of support to existing companies and new entrants alike.

Furthermore, executives value physical proximity to competitors and comple-

mentary businesses because it is helpful in recruiting new personnel and provides

an ideal observation post for staying informed about new products, technologies,

and business deals.

The third variant of the ‘‘what’s already in place’’ syndrome is the demon-

stration effect, considered by some as an offshoot of agglomeration economies.

Often a growing stock of inward FDI is itself sufficient to attract more foreign

subsidiaries; in some respects it is a corollary of Say’s Law that supply creates its

own demand. A countryside teeming with prospering and expanding MNCs

demonstrates an excellent investment climate far better than self-promoting

claims and statistics. Risk-averse companies, small firms with limited financial

resources, or larger companies with tight budgets sometimes choose to piggyback

rather than making expensive in-person inspections of various countries. In such

cases, a country is selected as the site for a new overseas subsidiary on the basis

that world-class companies with methodical site selection procedures made major

investments there, all of which thrived. Singapore and Ireland exemplify the old

adage that nothing succeeds like success (see discussion in next section).

Some countries have taken unilateral policy initiatives that propelled them to

the top of destinations lists maintained by foreign companies previously having

had no interest in them (see the discussion of Costa Rica and Intel in chapters 9

and 12). Creation of export processing zones, also called foreign trade zones and

special economic zones, has enabled some developing countries to make MNCs

an offer they could not resist. These cordoned-off districts offer attractive

inducements to foreign-owned factories built solely for the purpose of manu-

facturing goods for export or to process, test, or repackage goods for reexport.

Incentives include duty-free entry of all imports, reduced or deferred corporate

income taxes, below market prices for land, and relaxed regulatory controls. A

second initiative that has put some countries on the FDI map is announcement of

privatization of government-owned businesses and utilities on attractive terms.

Neither of these two initiatives has been as controversial or costly as financial

incentives given to MNCs, to be discussed later.

Case Studies: Countries That Attract FDI

Why Ireland and Singapore Are Masters of the Art of Attracting FDI Ireland and Singapore exhibit a surprising number of similarities. They are both

island countries with populations of about four million. Both have had their

where mncs invest and don ’t invest and why 159

economies and standards of living transformed for the better by relatively large

inflows of FDI. Success in attractingMNCs was not left to chance or the invisible

hand of the marketplace by either country. It was generated by high-priority,

popularly supported industrial policies crafted to create a probusiness milieu that

virtually shouted world-class reward-to-risk ratios for foreign investors. Both

countries created investment promotion agencies that have sufficient authority

and personnel to act as one-stop shops able to single-handedly help a foreign

company with all of the commercial, administrative, and legal details associated

with opening a subsidiary.

The book value of Ireland’s and Singapore’s cumulative FDI, valued at $229

and $160 billion, respectively, in 2004 put them at the top of the list of inward

FDI on a per capita basis (if Hong Kong and special situations like bank-laden tax

haven Caribbean islands are excluded). The two countries are also among the

world’s leaders when inward FDI is measured as a percent of GDP (126 and 150

percent in 2004, respectively).18 In absolute terms, Ireland had the sixth largest

and Singapore the thirteenth largest inward flow of FDI funds in 2003.19

Their economic histories are similar in that through the 1970s, both were

down-and-out, underperforming economies by almost anymeasure.Withno pros-

pects in sight for internally generated improvement, attracting large volumes of

high-quality FDI was designated a high-priority government objective. Market-

oriented economic policies, attractive political and legal environments, financial

incentives, aggressive marketing specifically aimed at foreign companies in high

value-added sectors, programs to boost education and technical training, and

geographical advantages made their shared quest a resounding success. Foreign

companies were accounting for about one-half of employment in the two

countries’ manufacturing sectors by the turn of the century. The evidence is

compelling that Ireland’s and Singapore’s success in attracting quality FDI was

the number one cause of subsequent higher GDP growth rates, reduced unem-

ployment, and rising standards of living. Good domestic economic policies were

an important number two cause.

For more than 100 years prior to the 1960s, one of Ireland’s principal exports

was its own people. Emigrants in search of a better life reduced its population

from roughly 8 million in the 1840s to a nadir of 2.8 million in 1961.20 In what

was a near overnight accomplishment for a national economy, Ireland became one

of the world’s major exporters of highly sophisticated technology goods, all but

entirely due to the massive presence of high quality FDI. More than 1,000 foreign

companies had established operations there by 2005, and they accounted for one-

quarter of total economic output.21 In roughly a decade beginning at the end of

the 1980s, it rose from low-income status within the European Union (EU) to

parity with the average per capita income of member countries. And it went from

being one of the slowest growing to one of the fastest growing EU countries.

the strategy of multinationals160

The Industrial Development Agency did a superb job of getting out the

message on Ireland’s many selling points as a host country: unrestricted export

access to the markets of other EU members, the lowest corporate tax rates in the

EU, and low labor costs (reflecting the union-government social partner-

ship calling for wage restraint), yet a relatively well-educated and high-skilled

workforce. It erected a first-class physical infrastructure, much of which was

financed by grants from EU structural and cohesion funds earmarked for aiding

less developed regions within the Union. The agency could also trumpet the

government’s providing tax holidays on profits earned from exporting and pro-

viding grants to defer start-up costs of new subsidiaries. Given the additional

bonus of its being an English-speaking country, a who’s who of U.S. high-tech

firms selected Ireland as their main export springboard to the massive EU

market.

Singapore is a city-state with very little land mass and no natural resources. It

also was host in 2005 to some 7,000 MNCs, a total that includes many shipping

companies, small firms, and companies maintaining only R&D and regional

headquarters facilities.22 Like Ireland, the dramatic and rapid up-market shift in

the composition of its exports from labor-intensive to skill- and technology-

intensive can be traced directly to the Singaporean government’s highly suc-

cessful FDI strategy of attracting companies that produced progressively higher

value-added goods. The Economic Development Board’s Web site boasts of

world-class physical, legal, and social infrastructure; a relatively low corporate tax

rate; tax deductions and grants for preferred business activities such as R&D

expenditures, start-up ventures, and establishment of regional headquarters of-

fices; a highly skilled, motivated, and disciplined workforce; a central location in

the booming East Asian market; an expanding network of free trade agreements

and bilateral investment guarantee agreements; the best quality of life in Asia;

and a university system whose curriculum by design was shifted to an emphasis

on technology and science.23

Why Foreign Capitalists Still Like China Better than India Troubled by prolonged slow growth and widespread poverty amidst fast-growing popu-

lations, China in the early 1980s and India a decade later set about partially and

gradually decontrolling their heavily regulated economies. The process is still

unfinished as political factors demand a measured pace despite overwhelming

data pointing to a link between economic liberalization and higher growth rates

and reduced poverty rates. Market-oriented reforms in both countries included

an opening of their previously closed economies to international trade and capital

flows. Despite the fact that the histories of China and India encouraged them to

associate MNCs with Western imperialism, step-by-step relaxation of controls

on incoming direct investment remained an important part of their deregulation

where mncs invest and don ’t invest and why 161

programs. Both were in great need of the capital, technology, and business know-

how that FDI can bring. Until the mid-1980s, only small amounts of FDI chose

to locate in China and even less flowed to India (an average of a token $62million

annually between 1980 and 1985). Now, having at least partially embracedmarket-

based reforms, both countries (on paper) are attractive candidates to host foreign

subsidiaries. Both offer overseas companies a seemingly inexhaustible supply of

extremely cheap labor and in numerical terms, the two largest consumer markets

in the world. The similarities end there.

China remains a political dictatorship and officially retains a communist,

largely state-owned economy. Its rule of law standards fall far short of Western

practices. Its officialdom is accountable only to each other, and its regulatory sys-

tem is still opaque. These conditions encourage official corruption. The country

holds the reputation in the United States and elsewhere of being the world’s most

prolific and brazen violator of foreign companies’ intellectual property rights.

Some foreign companies have discovered partners illegally selling counterfeit

versions of products produced by their joint ventures. In the early years, it was

common for Beijing to demand that foreign companies team up with a local

partner and transfer up-to-date technology. Yet another negative factor is Chi-

na’s banking system being insolvent by Western standards because of extensive

nonperforming loans.

India, on the other hand, is a democracy with a capitalist economic system. Its

growth rates have been above the world average for several years. Its legal system

and capital markets both function much better than those of China. India’s av-

erage wage rates are only slightly higher. Many Indians are fluent in the inter-

national business language, English. And the country has direct access to sea

routes, just like China.

Ironically, China is miles ahead in attracting FDI. China’s $280 billion of

aggregate FDI inflows from 1998 through 2003 were more than fifteen times

greater that that of India—$18 billion.24 At year end 2004, the book value, or cu-

mulative stock of China’s FDI had passed the $500 billion mark,25 a figure well

above India’s $39 billion. (A data disaggregation is necessary here: China’s FDI

inflow can be called inflated because much of it is not ‘‘foreign’’ in the strictest

sense of the term. Consensus estimates suggest that in a typical year, 60 percent

or more of the value of FDI inflows come from investors in Hong Kong and

Taiwan and from mainland Chinese firms engaging in round-tripping to take

advantage of tax breaks given only to foreign investors.)

China, as already noted, is by far the largest recipient of FDI among emerging

market countries and in most recent years has been the second largest destination

(after the United States) for direct investment flows. Ultimately, the reason for

this improbably big and quick success is that China wanted FDI badly, needed

the strategy of multinationals162

it badly, and eventually created an extremely attractive environment for both

efficiency-seeking and market-seeking investments. Leaders of the Chinese Com-

munist Party continue to believe that a major MNC presence is an indispensable

part of history’s biggest social contract: 1.3 billion people consenting to the

Party’s continuing to monopolize political power in return for a stronger econ-

omy capable of raising living standards on a sustained basis for large numbers of

people.

China first stuck its foot into the waters of attracting FDI by establishing

special economic zones (discussed in the next section) in the early 1980s. Pleased

with the success of what was a bold experiment for Beijing, not an official embrace

of a new economic ideology, the government added more zones and designated

‘‘open’’ coastal cities for relative policy autonomy in recruiting FDI. The

physical separation of the special zones allowed the Chinese government to

radically depart from socialist philosophy and provide a genuinely business-

accommodating environment. Foreign-controlled subsidiaries were given a wide

variety of tax concessions, including reduced rates and deferred taxes for several

years, an ultra low-wage but relatively educated and disciplined workforce, ex-

cellent infrastructure that was constantly upgraded, low cost power, duty free

or low tariff imports of capital equipment and intermediate goods, promises of

expedited regulatory procedures, and last but not least, absence of unions.

By the second half of the 1990s, China’s partial acceptance of market eco-

nomics had unlocked its enormous economic potential. In terms of attracting

FDI, the equivalent of a perfect storm resulted. Few major manufacturing com-

panies anywhere in the world could ignore the incredible combination of China’s

rapid growth, the perception that China was becoming the world’s low-cost

producer of thousands of labor-intensive and medium-technology goods, the

potential size of its consumer market, and the growing number of foreign com-

panies setting up subsidiaries there. Fears of the potentially lethal consequences

of being marginalized in such an incredibly attractive market led to spreading

boardroom chants of ‘‘we cannot afford not to be producing in China’’ and to

annual FDI flows of $40 to $50 billion.

India chose a different path. Politicians and civil servants could not shake

deeply held beliefs dating back to the country’s independence. The most im-

portant were the virtue of achieving economic self-sufficiency, the vices of un-

regulated markets, and the unfairness and indignity of being taken advantage of

by big Western companies. Thanks to democracy, mass discontent was only a

threat to the tenure of ruling parties, not a threat to trigger civil war as in China.

The Indian government for much of the 1970s and early 1980s became a case

study of how rightly or wrongly to antagonize foreign companies with unusually

intrusive demands and regulations. Some disinvestment resulted as several

where mncs invest and don ’t invest and why 163

companies, including IBM and Coca-Cola, shut down their operations in frus-

tration and literally locked the doors.

A big remaining problem for India is that good intentions, for good reason,

have fallen well short of convincing foreign corporate executives that the real ad-

vantages of choosing the country as a site for a manufacturing facility now out-

weigh the perceived disadvantages. A kind of perfect storm in reverse prevails.

India’s regulatory burden and the paperwork that goes with it are viewed as

excessively time-consuming, expensive, and unjustifiable in a country trying to

adopt a business-unfriendly mentality. What is needed, suggested The Economist,

is a major reform of the ‘‘inspector Raj’’ and the ‘‘license Raj’’—‘‘a creaking

edifice of central planning held together by miles of red tape.’’26

The country’s physical infrastructure is viewed as beingwoefully inadequate—

far behind that of China—with clogged roads, trains, and ports delaying ship-

ments and causing unacceptable increases in production costs. According to the

World Bank, India in 1980 had higher infrastructure stocks—power, roads, and

telecommunications—than China. However, the latter has invested so heavily in

infrastructure that it has overtaken India and is still widening the gap. Its lead in

infrastructure stocks ‘‘is now so large that for India to catch up only to China’s

present levels of stocks per capita, it would have to invest 12.5 percent of GDP

per year through 2015.’’27 Financial incentives are still minimal in relation to

comparable cost countries. Tax regulations are burdensome. Furthermore, labor

laws are restrictive—even more restrictive than those of communist China.

Foreign companies in the secondary sector have no use for the law prohibiting

any manufacturing company with 100 or more workers from laying off employees

without the seldom granted permission of the local or state government.28 Con-

tract labor is forbidden. Domestic investment is discouraged even more than

foreign, as seen by the nominal effort of the Indian textile industry to increase

production after termination of export ceilings imposed by the lapsed Agreement

on Textiles and Clothing.29

A consulting company report provides a good summation: ‘‘When asked to

describe what differentiated these two countries as investment destinations, most

respondents considered China to be ‘more business oriented’ than India.’’ The

majority also were of the view that ‘‘China has more FDI-friendly policies.’’30

That none of these weaknesses is insurmountable given adequate policy changes

is suggested by India’s impressive advances in the services sector, especially

information technology. Government regulation is less intrusive, a skilled labor

pool is available, and the telecommunications infrastructure has been adequate to

the task of supporting a boom in the arrival of subsidiaries of foreign business

services companies and outsourcing contracts received by Indian providers of

business services from foreign companies.

the strategy of multinationals164

The Thorny Issue of Government Incentives for MNCs

Corporate executives are like everyone else: They like to receive handouts from

governments. A can’t-miss stratagem to attract FDI, at least in theory, is for a

government to provide millions of dollars (or the equivalent) in up-front grants to

a foreign company that will reduce the costs, limit the risks, and increase the rate

of return on its investment. However, corporate decisions on where to invest

overseas are usually based on multiple factors; hence incentives in practice can be

viewed as an expensive government program whose necessity and true value

cannot be calculated with exactitude. It would be just another obscure unknown

aspect of the FDI/MNCs phenomena if not for impassioned opposition by some

to the idea of using tax revenues collected from middle and lower income people

to the fatten the bottom lines of big, rich foreign companies. The act of shifting

welfare from citizens to foreign multinationals becomes even more contentious if

a poor developing country is making the transfer of financial wealth to a well-

heeled MNC from the North.

Incentives to attract FDI are a component of industrial policy. The latter is an

umbrella term for various government policies and programs used by govern-

ment officials in the belief that they can create the best of all worlds by stuffing a

very tangible fistful of money into the invisible hand of the marketplace. As-

sistance is provided to targeted companies or sectors, such as information tech-

nology or biotechnology, to influence the private sector to engage in investment

and production activities to a greater degree than what they presumably would

have done in a free market situation with no government intervention.

The mix and magnitude of FDI incentives included in the final package

offered by a would-be host government to an interested MNC are determined on

a case-by-case basis by the relative leverage and negotiating skills each party

brings to the table. The standard benefits offered to foreign investors can be

divided into three categories. Fiscal incentives reduce a foreign corporation’s tax

liabilities by means of any or all of the following: reduction in the standard

corporate tax rate, tax holidays in which corporate income and property taxes are

deferred for a fixed number of years, accelerated depreciation allowances, tax

credits for domestic reinvestment of profits, and exemptions in the value-added

tax for capital goods and raw materials purchases. Income derived from exports

may be exempted indefinitely from corporate taxes or assessed at a preferen-

tial rate.

The second category, financial incentives, consists of direct grants that defray

one or more of an MNC’s expenses in getting a subsidiary up and running. These

nonrepayable subsidies can reduce the costs of land acquisition, construction,

worker training, and capital goods (factory equipment) purchases. Other financial

where mncs invest and don ’t invest and why 165

incentives provided by governments are subsidized loans and loan guarantees.

The third category of incentives is the catchall category of other. Modernized or

expanded transportation and telecommunications infrastructure, subsidized

power and water, exemption from import duties on raw materials and capital

equipment, preferential access to government contracts, closing the domesticmar-

ket to future direct investment by competing foreign companies, and preinvest-

ment feasibility studies are included here. So, too, is official commitment to raise

import barriers to protect the output of the new subsidiary from foreign com-

petition. Although seldom used, this policy can puncture the generalization that

MNCs are unwavering advocates of free trade.

Though the gross monetary outlays for incentives are fairly easy to calculate,

determining their net costs/net benefits is not. At worst, incentives can be a total

waste of government funds if a corporate recipient would have invested in a

country without them, perhaps because it was judged to offer the best chance for

long-term competitiveness of the new subsidiary.31 At best, the short-term costs

of inducements eventually will pale relative to long-term benefits. Increases in

jobs and tax revenues may eventually exceed original estimates by wide margins.

The financial success of a foreign subsidiary lured by generous incentives can

trigger a positive chain of events that includes a major expansion of the facility’s

operations (e.g., Intel in Costa Rica), arrival of direct investments by suppliers,

and a succession of minimally subsidized competitors and other companies.32

Under this scenario, the latter are drawn in by the original investment’s finan-

cial success and happiness with its governmental host, improved infrastructure,

and the arrival of firms providing specialized business services. In other words,

the demonstration effect and agglomeration economies just discussed come into

play.

Estimating in advance the cost/benefit ratio of any given incentives package is

a very imprecise art because one cannot predict its future effects, cannot know

the well-being of a domestic or regional economy if an investment had not

been made, and seldom can give precise answers to gray-area variables. For

example, would a country or region have been better advised using taxpayers’

money to create long-term economic strengths—better human and physical in-

frastructure—rather than dispensing short-term financial rewards to favored

companies? On the favorable side, it is possible that part or all of the costs of in-

centives might be recovered in the form of social goods, that is, positive spillovers

of superior knowledge and technology possessed by many MNCs (see chapter 12)

that would not have occurred in a free market environment. Economic theory

states that governmental assistance to a company can be justified if it is necessary

to convince management to establish the kind of subsidiary that maximizes social

benefits, for example, increases skill levels of workers, teaches domestic busi-

nesses to increase their productivity, and so on.33

the strategy of multinationals166

Not surprisingly, consensus does not characterize inquiries into the overall

merits of incentives. UNCTAD has concluded, ‘‘How to measure the cost and

benefits of incentives is complex and problematic; even when this can be done, the

implementation and administration of a calibrated incentives programme is often

very difficult and can be distorted by political objectives.’’ Also difficult to answer

is the larger question as to whether national welfare gains enhance world welfare

or come at the expense of other countries.34 Because studies are based largely on

interviews with a limited number of corporate executives, the selection of com-

panies for the sample, and the willingness of the executives interviewed to be

candid about a potentially touchy subject can skew the results in either direction.

Interestingly, there are indications that the importance accorded incentives

differs according to what kind of investment is being considered and what its

objectives are, a central theme of this study.35 When a site is being selected for

an efficiency-seeking export platform or for servicing a relatively small national

market, incentives are likely to be more important than for a subsidiary intended

to exploit a large, growing national market. Another reasonable conclusion is that

the value of any incentive package is likely to be most decisive when a company

has compiled a short list of two or three acceptable host countries relatively

evenly matched in economic and political fundamentals—and therefore need

something extra to stand out.

The desire to offer something extra has led to bidding wars in which national

and regional governments of rich and poor countries alike sometimes go to

dubious lengths as they seek to outbid one another to land attractive investment

projects. Examples abound of incentive packages that came close to deferring all

of a company’s plant-opening expenses or equated to hundreds of thousands of

dollars for every job initially created.36 Dow Chemical received a $6.8 billion

subsidy from the German government in 1996 to invest in a petrochemical plant

in the depressed eastern region of the country; it set a still unequaled record of

equating to $3.4million for each job created.37 Despite (or maybe because of) the

absence of any FDI incentives from Washington, an economic war of the states

periodically erupts in the United States. The most notable have involved South-

ern states aggressively vying for foreign-owned automobile plants. Alabama has

won four of these bidding contests. One consisted of a reported incentive package

worth $253 million to get a $300 million Mercedes-Benz plant in 1993, about

$169,000 for every job promised; a comparable $253 million in incentives was

given to Hyundai in 2002, about $125,000 per job promised.38

The monetary costs of these incentives need to be weighed against the German

government’s priority effort to revive the economy of the old East Germany, and

Southern states need to offset the steady erosion of jobs in the declining textile

and apparel industries that once were the mainstays of the region’s economy.

Expensive incentives, however, are not an absolute requirement even for an LDC

where mncs invest and don ’t invest and why 167

with solid economic and political attributes to attract quality direct investment.

This was the case with Costa Rica and Intel in the 1990s. The former granted the

latter ‘‘no special favors . . . , no side deals or firm-specific concessions.’’ The

concessions they did make—schools, transportation enhancements, free trade

zones, and so on, were ‘‘not unreasonable or capricious,’’ all were ‘‘generalizable

to other investors—and generally good for Costa Rica’s economy.’’39

A negative or positive attitude toward FDI incentives as a whole is going to be

linked to one’s answer to a much larger question: How much good or harm do

MNCs impart to host countries? Persons who believe they are exploitive likely

would find no redeeming qualities in incentives to attract them.Those who believe

MNCs surpass domestic companies in technology, management know-how, en-

hancement of worker skills, wages and benefits, and so on, likely would favor them.

If one believes that the impact of MNCs on host countries depends on case-by-

case company and country variables, the answer to the question of whether FDI

incentives are wise or foolish, necessary or unnecessary is likely to be: it depends. In

any event, in a perfect world the controversy over incentives could be easily

resolved, and the bidding wars quickly ended. Governments need only sign an

agreement to halt the process and let economic fundamentals be the selling points,

and then not violate the spirit or letter of self-restraint (see chapter 15).

What MNCs Don’t Want in a Host Country

The more successful economies do not lack for FDI. The more unsuccessful ones

do. Dozens of moderately successful economies are dissatisfied with the quantity

and quality of the direct investment they get and would like to upgrade on both

counts. Before examining deliberate and inadvertent government behaviors that

cause MNCs to write off countries as sites for their foreign subsidiaries, two over-

arching points need to be emphasized. First, a small amount of FDI in a country is

not necessarily unequivocal evidence that its economic performance and policies are

substandard. Whatever economic benefits MNCs might bring, the majority of

citizens may place abstract values, for example, control over national destiny and a

social status quo, ahead of material wealth and be happier without an influx of

foreign companies. Second, by discouraging incoming manufacturing and services

subsidiaries, however justified and admirable the motives, an individual country

cannot stop the proliferation of MNCs, nor can it humanize their practices. The

main result is generating gratitude by the countries where FDI is redirected. With

more than 200 countries and territories to choose from, manufacturing and services

corporations seldom have a problem finding locales where governing authorities roll

out the red carpet and meet company demands to seal the deal.

the strategy of multinationals168

The most effective policy to repel FDI is to ban it outright or at least in sectors

where sensitivity to foreign control is especially acute. In democracies, this can be

done either through constitutional amendments (as the Philippines did with min-

ing) or national legislation. Nearly every country, from the richest to the poorest,

has enacted statutes that specifically prevent foreigners from having controlling

interests in a relatively few stipulated business sectors. An absolute, across-the-

board ban on incoming FDI is a policy no longer being used. It has universally been

judged prohibitively expensive, though this verdict is subject to change without

prior warning. Not even North Korea has a total prohibition because it accepts

investment from South Korea, which it perceives to be a foreign country.

Various federal statutes in the United States limit foreign participation in

domestic airlines, radio and TV stations, nuclear energy, coastal and inland wa-

terway shipping, and certain segments of mining, among others. States have their

own series of restrictions, chiefly involving land ownership. A Congress alarmed

at the putative selling of America passed legislation that resulted in establish-

ment of an interagency Executive Branch committee that can stop foreign in-

vestors from acquiring or merging with U.S. firms if it determines the transaction

threatens to impair U.S. national security.40

A very effective means of discouraging incoming FDI is for a government to

engage in mass expropriation (nationalization) of foreign-held companies with

inadequate or no compensation. This practice has largely been phased out from

its peak popularity in the early 1970s as contemporary heads of government,

except for the occasional bellicose dictator, have come to view it as a short-sighted

and self-defeating.

Regulatory hassles are the most overlooked of the top reasons why MNCs are

disinclined to invest in certain countries. Most business regulations tend to be

obscure to everyone except those directly affected by them. Even if such burdens

are imposed in equal measure on locally owned business, MNCs view onerous

regulations, surprise announcements of new ones, and capricious, unpredictable

reinterpretations of existing regulations as aggravation they most definitely do

not countenance. Nor do they need to, with so many alternative destinations. The

World Bank emphasized the perils of a burdensome regulatory regime in its

Doing Business 2005 report. Businesses in poor countries were found to face much

greater regulatory burdens than those in rich countries: three times the admin-

istrative costs and nearly twice as many bureaucratic procedures and delays as-

sociated with them. Businesses in LDCs on average receive less than one-half the

property rights protections provided to them by the industrialized countries.41

Defined broadly, burdensome regulations also include import barriers that would

restrict shipments between an MNC’s subsidiaries and the need to pay bribes to

expedite cooperation by officialdom.

where mncs invest and don ’t invest and why 169

Existing investments are not immune from regulatory and governance prob-

lems. Sony closed a major audio equipment plant in Indonesia in 2004, allegedly

due to frustration with inconsistent regulation, corruption, and labor unrest.

RWE Thames Water withdrew in the same year from a water treatment project

that it had built and operated in Shanghai when the Chinese government changed

the rules on the rate of return for such investments. Disinvestment has become

common in countries achieving pariah status and becoming the target of official

sanctions. A number of multinationals decided that discretion was the better part

of valor and withdrew from South Africa, Burma, and Sudan when human rights

groups loudly complained that their corporate presence helped repressive re-

gimes stay in power.

Performance requirements are another means by which host countries make

themselves less attractive to foreign investors. The term refers to any of several

publicly announced operational limitations that a government can demand as the

price of admission for a proposed foreign subsidiary. The economic objective of

performance requirements is to constrain pursuit of profit in a manner that makes

the foreign company’s operations more compatible with a country’s development

goals and strategy. Some governments, mostly in LDCs, appreciate the potential

value of FDI but do not subscribe to a pure free market philosophy that assumes

a company acting in its own self-interest automatically promotes the national

interest.

One of the most common stipulations in the past was a local content require-

ment that required a minimum percentage of the final value of a subsidiary’s

output be produced locally, thereby further increasing domestic production and

jobs. The Trade-Related Investment Measures (TRIMs) Agreement concluded

in 1994 at the Uruguay Round of multilateral trade negotiations bars member

countries of the World Trade Organization from invoking this measure. The ra-

tionale is that local content requirements distort and interfere with market-

directed trade flows. The occasionally invoked requirement that the annual value

of exports be at least equal to a subsidiary’s total imports (known as trade bal-

ancing) also was banned by the TRIMs agreement because of its distorting

impact on trade. A still-used performance requirement requires a subsidiary to

export a minimum agreed-on percentage of the value of its annual output

(thereby guaranteeing foreign exchange earnings for the host country). Other

examples of mainstream performance requirements are stipulated transfers of

technology, agreement on how many local citizens will be placed in management

positions, limitations on repatriations of profits, a minimum level of taxation, and

demand that a factory will be built in a depressed, high-unemployment region of

the host country.

Below-average rates of economic growth rank near the top of the list of

things not wanted by companies scouting sites for overseas subsidiaries. A close

the strategy of multinationals170

statistical relationship has long existed between the LDCs having the lowest per

capita incomes and relative absence of FDI (see previous discussion and chapter

8). This is a connection whose root cause in virtually every instance is economic

policy mismanagement and poor governance, and in some cases, social unrest.

Although economic malaise inflicted by governments is seldom intentional, it is a

failing that extinguishes desire by nonextractive, risk-averse foreign companies to

invest. When developing countries do abysmally in the widely read rankings of

national economic and business performances, the odds are overwhelming that

they have long been absent from the radar screens of major MNCs. A positive

three-way statistical correlation frequently appears between countries with high

and growing standards of living, good grades in these international comparisons,

and high rates of FDI. The same three-way correlation exists in reverse for the

poorest countries. Direct investments by oil and mining companies often have a

strong financial incentive (and sometimes no alternative) to tolerate adverse con-

ditions that would scare off manufacturing and services companies. The poorest

countries typically have dysfunctional economies and an inconsequential number

of foreign-owned factories. As the next section points out, the least developed

countries do not have a monopoly on economic policies that scare off inward

manufacturing investment.

Country Case Studies: Why Nigeria and Venezuela

Are Masters of the Art of Repelling FDI

Nigeria and Venezuela live in parallel universes located many light years away

from the Ireland-Singapore galaxy. They are in a class by themselves as serial

underachievers in converting massive wealth earned from exports of their natural

resources into sustained economic progress. In the thirty-three-year period from

1974 (the initial year of the first oil shock) through 2006, Venezuela earned an

estimated $518 billion, and Nigeria earned an estimated $500 billion from oil ex-

ports.42 Poor governance and economic policy mismanagement in both countries

have resulted in a nearly total absence of incoming FDI in manufacturing or

services for many years, their oil bonanza notwithstanding. This should not be

the situation when a country on paper offers foreign companies relatively low-

cost labor, a large domestic market, or both.43 Nigeria and Venezuela both did

poorly in the Heritage Foundation’s 2005 Index of Economic Freedom (numbers

141 and 146, respectively, out of 155 countries evaluated). Interestingly, Vene-

zuela ranked first and Nigeria third in the list of countries exhibiting the greatest

decline in economic freedom over the eleven-year history of the index.44

Nigeria’s noxious economic environment has caused steady deteriorations in

per capita incomes and living standards since the late 1970s. A good clue as to

how this happened is the World Bank’s estimate that approximately 80 percent of

where mncs invest and don ’t invest and why 171

the country’s oil and natural gas revenues have gone to just 1 percent of the

population.45 A Nigerian government official, quoted in a 2005 International

Monetary Fund publication, estimated that corruption andmismanagement, even

after reforms, still swallowed as much as 40 percent of the country’s annual oil

income while nearly 75 percent of the country’s population continues to live

below the poverty line.46 Most extractive companies operating there must pro-

vide their own electricity, water, Internet, and telephone facilities rather than rely

on substandard and erratic public utilities.47 The country’s economic and po-

litical shortcomings and the resulting negative business environment are mani-

fested in a perennially dismal showing in major rankings of comparative national

economic performance:

� The bottom 10 percent of the 135 countries included in the World Bank’s

estimates of per capita gross national income in purchasing parity terms.

At $900, Nigeria’s per capita income in 2003 was well below the average

of $2,190 for low-income countries. � Number 98 out of 140 countries on UNCTAD’s index for potential

inward FDI in 2000–2002. � The 144th most corrupt country out of 146 listed in Transparency In-

ternational’s (an NGO) Corruption Perceptions Index for 2004. � Number 81 in the 103 countries included in the World Economic Fo-

rum’s Business Competitiveness Index for 2004–2005. � The eighth most risky (politically and economically) emerging market

country in 2004 according to the Economist Intelligence Unit’s rankings.

‘‘Nigeria is an insecure environment for commercial operations.’’48

Venezuela’s per capita income has held steady at a higher level than Nigeria’s,

but its recent economic development has been woeful given its oil wealth. It was

the third riskiest emerging market on The Economist’s 2004 list, the 88th country

in the World Economic Forum’s competitiveness list, and 114th in Transparency

International’s corruption perceptions list. Venezuela’s current problem attract-

ing manufacturing FDI is neither absence of prospective consumer buying power

nor relatively high wages, but its mercurial political leader, Hugo Chavez. His

anticapitalist rhetoric, the unremitting turbulence and political polarization that

followed shortly after his inauguration in 1999, and decay of political institutions

have devastated the atmosphere for nonoil FDI.49 The Economist Intelligence

Unit’s assessment that ‘‘most non-oil FDI will continue to be put off by the

uncertain legal and regulatory regimes’’ is classic understatement.50 Disaggre-

gated data (not available for Nigeria) show that FDI inflows in the manufacturing

sector were effectively zero from 1994 through 2002, the latest year data is

the strategy of multinationals172

available. The country’s accumulated stock or book value of FDI in the sec-

ondary sector was $3.9 billion in 2002, exactly the same as it was in 1993.51

In contrast to the vicious cycles and poor rankings of Nigeria and Venezuela,

the masters of attracting FDI fared much better. Singapore ranked 10th, 2nd,

and 5th on the above-mentioned competitiveness, economic freedom, and

(non)corruption perception indices, respectively. Ireland’s standings in the same

indices were 22nd, 5th, and 17th.

Notes

1. Data sources: UNCTAD,World Investment Report 2004, p. 370, andWorld Investment

Report 2005, p. 303, both available online at http://www.unctad.org; accessed No-

vember 2005.

2. Data source: World Bank, Word Development Indicators database, statistics are for

2003, available online at http://devdata.worldbank.org/wdi2005/Cover.htm; ac-

cessed November 2005.

3. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2001, p. 9.

4. Ibid., p. xv.

5. Data source: UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2004. I have ignored the large

numbers for inflows into and outflows from Luxembourg because of the distortions

caused by ‘‘trans-shipments’’ of FDI by holding companies and extensive investments

in thinly regulated banking offices.

6. Data source: UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2004.

7. As quoted in Thomas Friedman, ‘‘The End of the Rainbow,’’ New York Times, June

29, 2005, p. A23.

8. The Economist Intelligence Unit, ‘‘Hungary—Country Profile 2005,’’ p. 31, available

online at http://www.eiu.com; accessed September 2005.

9. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2003, p. 29.

10. The UNCTAD Secretariat compares national performance in the two indices in detail

by presenting a fourfold matrix of inward FDI performance and potential: (1) front-

runners: countries with high FDI potential and performance; (2) above potential: coun-

trieswith lowFDI potential but strongFDIperformance; (3) belowpotential: countries

with high FDI potential but low FDI performance; and (4) underperformers: coun-

tries with both low FDI potential and performance.

11. The World Bank, World Development Report 2005, p. 15, available online at http://

www.worldbank.org; accessed May 2005.

12. The survey was conducted on behalf of the Multilateral Investment Guarantee

Agency, an affiliate of the World Bank.

13. ‘‘Foreign Direct Investment Survey,’’ January 2002, p. 19, available online at http://

www.ipa.net/documents/WorldBank/databases/survey/FDIsurvey/fdisurvey.pdf;

accessed April 2005.

where mncs invest and don ’t invest and why 173

14. Magdolna Sass, ‘‘FDI in Hungary—The First Mover’s Advantage and Disadvan-

tage,’’ European Investment Bank Papers, 9(2), 2004, p. 72.

15. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2002, p. 137.

16. Source: http://www.intel.com/pressroom; accessed March 2005.

17. U.S. International Trade Commission, ‘‘Industry Trade and Technology Review,’’

July 2002, p. 19, available online at http://www.usitc.gov; accessed April 2005.

18. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2005, Annex tables B.2, B.3.

19. Data source: Ibid., pp. 367–70. Data for 2003 are used here because Ireland and

Singapore had unusually low and high FDI inflows, respectively, in 2004.

20. Eileen M. Doherty, ‘‘Evaluating FDI-Led Development: The Celtic (Paper?) Tiger,’’

Working paper, Columbia International Affairs Online, January 1998, available online

at http://www.ciaonet.org; accessed November 2004.

21. Data source: http://www.idaireland.com; accessed May 2006.

22. Singapore Economic Development Board, available online at http://www.edb

.gov.sg; accessed November 2004.

23. The URL for the board’s exhaustive Web site is http://www.edb.gov.sg.

24. Data source: UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2004, p. 370.

25. Data derived from http://www.uschina.org/china-statistics.html and various press

reports.

26. ‘‘Can India Work?’’ The Economist, June 12, 2004, p. 67.

27. TheWorld Bank, ‘‘India—InclusiveGrowth and ServiceDelivery: Building on India’s

Success,’’ May 29, 2006, p. 106; available online at http://siteresources.worldbank

.org/SOUTHASIAEXT/Resources/DPR_FullReport.pdf; accessed July, 2006.

28. Business Week Online, ‘‘India’s Manufacturers in Shackles,’’ October 20, 2003,

available online at http://www.businessweek.com; accessed February 2005.

29. ‘‘India Plays Catch-Up in Textiles,’’ Wall Street Journal, December 1, 2005, p. A15.

30. A. T. Kearney, ‘‘FDI Confidence Audit: India,’’ February 2001, p. 16, available

online at http://www.atkearney.com; accessed June 2005.

31. This is no way implies that government officials can or should know at the time they

are negotiating an incentives package that the company has made such a determina-

tion.

32. I could find no data or articles providing estimates on the extent of follow-up jobs

created in the years after major foreign subsidiaries began production in various

countries.

33. The theory is based on the concept that because a company does not consider the

possibility of favorable spillovers to society at large in the home country when cal-

culating returns on investment, social returns can exceed private returns. The rest of

society in a host country can free ride on certain benefits provided by a new subsidiary.

In theory, incentives can be formulated to convince an MNC to invest in a manner

that maximizes positive externalities and social returns, that is, spillovers of knowl-

edge and technology are maximized. Converting these variables into hard, convincing

numbers is seldom possible.

34. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 1995, p. 299.

the strategy of multinationals174

35. For a good survey of studies on FDI incentives, see Theodore H.Moran, Foreign Direct

Investment and Development (Washington, DC: Institute for International Economics,

1998), pp. 98–104; also UNCTAD’s World Investment Report 1998, p. 103.

36. For a scoreboard of the cost of incentives per job created in a number of major FDI

projects, see UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2002, pp. 204–5.

37. Ibid.

38. Data sources:Wall Street Journal, April 3, 2002, p. 1, and FDi Magazine,December 2,

2002, available online at http://www.fdimagazine.com; accessed April 2004.

39. Debora Spar, ‘‘Attracting High Technology Investment—Intel’s Costa Rican Plant,’’

Foreign Investment Advisory Service Occasional Paper 11, April 1998, p. 23.

40. The so-called Exon-Florio provision was contained in trade legislation enacted in

1988. It has resulted in only one known direct rejection of a proposed takeover as of

2004. It may have discouraged some contemplated takeovers or mergers from moving

forward.

41. ‘‘Removing Obstacles to Growth: An Overview,’’ available online at http://

www.worldbank.org/Documents/DoingBusiness/Intro.pdf#search; accessed March

2005.

42. Calculated from unpublished data provided to the author by the Energy Information

Administration, U.S. Department of Energy, June 2005.

43. With a population well in excess of 100 million people, Nigeria was ranked as the

world’s tenth most populous country in 2003 by many estimates.

44. Heritage Foundation, ‘‘Executive Summary,’’ 2005 Index of Economic Freedom,

available online at http://www.heritage.org; accessed May 2005. Venezuela ranked

fifty-third and Nigeria fifty-ninth, respectively, in an evaluation of the business en-

vironment in sixty countries by the Economist Intelligence Unit’s World Investment

Prospects, 2001.

45. U.S. Department of Energy, ‘‘OPEC Revenues: Country Details,’’ January 2005,

available online at http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/orevcoun.html; accessed

February 2005.

46. IMF Survey, February 7, 2005, p. 22.

47. The Economist Intelligence Unit, ‘‘Nigeria Risk: Risk Overview,’’ June 2005, avail-

able online at http://www.eiu.com; accessed June 2005.

48. Data sources: http://www.worldbank.org, http://www.unctad.org, http://www

.transparency.org, http://www.weforum.org, The Economist,May 29, 2004, p. 98, and

the Economist Intelligence Unit, 2006, as quoted at http://www.tmc.met.com/

usubmit/2006/06/14/1683314.htm; accessed June, 2006.

49. The Economist Intelligence Unit, ‘‘Country Report—Venezuela,’’ May 2005, avail-

able online at http://www.eiu.com; accessed June 2005.

50. The Economist Intelligence Unit, Executive Briefing, ‘‘Venezuela: Foreign Invest-

ment,’’ October 2003, and ‘‘Venezuela Risk: Risk Overview,’’ June 2005, available

online at http://www.eb.eiu.com; accessed June 2005.

51. Data source: UNCTAD, ‘‘FDI Country Profiles,’’ available online at http://www

.unctad.org/templates/page.asp?intItemID¼3198&lang¼1; accessed May 2005.

where mncs invest and don ’t invest and why 175

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PART III

Impact on the International Order

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8

effects of foreign direct investment on less developed countries Vagaries, Variables, Negatives, and Positives

The most contentious single point regarding the merits of foreigndirect investment (FDI) and multinational corporations (MNCs) is whether on balance they help or hinder the economic development of less

developed countries (LDCs). A resolution of the polemics is not in sight. Sup-

porters of international business argue that the efficiency and know-how of pri-

vate enterprise allow foreign subsidiaries to play a uniquely valuable role in

accelerating economic growth and raising living standards and workers’ skill lev-

els in low-income countries. Critics maintain that venal efforts by foreign com-

panies to maximize profits are so overwhelmingly detrimental to the economic

and social fabric of LDCs that MNCs should be tightly regulated if not banned

outright. A third assessment is that in some cases, economic and political con-

ditions in a host country are the independent variables determining the effects of

incoming direct investment, not the other way around. The absence of a clear

answer leaves policy makers in LDCs with mixed signals in deciding how much

or how little FDI they should allow to enter.

The structure of this chapter conforms to the integrating themes of this

book—the importance of disaggregation, the fallacy of generalization, and the

ability of perceptions to define reality. These themes are directly applicable to the

many layers and manifold ambiguities of the LDC–FDI relationship. The first

section discusses the context for the argument that uncertainties and conceptual

obstacles are too great to allow a definitive, black or white—and accurate—

answer to the contentious question of how well or poorly FDI has affected the

economic well-being of LDCs. The remainder of the chapter discusses four

179

credible answers. The second and third sections summarize, respectively, two

mutually exclusive but plausible views on whether incoming FDI on balance has

harmed or bolstered economic development in LDCs. These perspectives are

presented in the form of two aggressive, conflicting legal briefs that aim to do

justice to the pro and con sides without injecting any of the author’s value

judgments as to which is preferable and where the holes are in the arguments.

(Neutrality in this case should come easily because the author is not enamored

with either of these two sides.)

The fourth section is a lengthy examination of the many variables that justify

yet another call for disaggregation. A number of credible assessments of the net

impact of FDI on LDCs are possible; the facts depend on circumstances. Dis-

aggregation is essential to control for the range of conditions that exist within

host countries and for the diverse characteristics associated with the many forms

of FDI and MNCs. The ‘‘it depends’’ mantra, repeated throughout this chapter,

has the additional credibility of being consistent with the findings of a majority

of widely cited academic studies produced over the past twenty years on the

FDI–LDC interface. The chapter’s last section argues that due to the pervasive

murkiness of the issue, a fourth legitimate response is that we simply do not know

for sure whether the cumulative net effects of FDI on LDCs as a group should be

labeled positive or negative.

Eight Obstacles to a Clear-Cut, Definitive,

and Accurate Assessment of the Effects

of FDI and MNCs on LDCs

The much contested issue of how FDI and MNCs have affected the economic

development, living standards, poverty reduction efforts, and growth rates of

LDCs is arguably the single best validation of this study’s thesis on how best to

analyze and assess these international business phenomena. The ongoing em-

phases on complexity, heterogeneity, multiple versions of ‘‘the truth,’’ uncer-

tainty, and inconsistency apply to virtually all aspects of FDI and MNCs, but

especially so in this case. Generalizations lacking qualifications about their effects

on the economies of LDCs brazenly ignore the existence of very credible con-

flicting arguments. ‘‘Determining exactly how FDI affects development has

proven to be remarkably elusive.’’1

The conflicting schools of thought on whether FDI is a meaningful catalyst of

economic growth in LDCs are graphically displayed in a table appearing in a

nongovernmental organization (NGO) monograph containing a review of the

scholarly literature. Next to a list of fifteen published studies is a column that lists

which of four different answers each gave to the overriding question of FDI

impact on the international order180

being an engine of LDC growth: yes, mainly yes, no, and maybe.2 A second col-

umn summarizes the main variables cited by each of these studies as determi-

nants of whether FDI promotes growth. No two sets of variables are identical!

Conflicting results should not be a cause for angst because they are natural out-

growths of studies examining subjects short on simplicity and hard facts. Eight

major obstacles to a single unambiguous, unassailable, and all-inclusive assess-

ment of FDI’s impact on lower income countries can be easily identified.

The first is agreeing on the best criteria to determine which countries to

designate as developing or LDCs. It is far from clear what countries this chapter

deals with. The terms third world and the South make sense only in political

terms. With the exception of Thailand, all countries designated third world at

some time were forcibly colonized or made spheres of influence (e.g., China) by

industrial countries, mainly in Western Europe. All of them believe, with dif-

ferent intensities of resentment, that the few rich countries exercise great power

in the international arena and account for a large percentage of the world’s wealth

that in both cases are grossly out of proportion to their small share of the world’s

population.

In the realm of economics, the terms third world and South lack substance. The

countries of Africa, East and South and Western Asia, Eastern Europe, and Latin

America and the Caribbean collectively share economic diversity. The only other

thing they have in common economically is the status of not being among the

twenty-seven sovereign countries (plus Taiwan and Hong Kong) classified by the

International Monetary Fund (IMF) as relatively wealthy industrialized coun-

tries, that is, the North. For purposes of economic analysis and comparison, the

countries colloquially designated as third world should be divided into six sep-

arate categories. Countries in each of these groupings share similarities in terms

of both their levels of economic prosperity and relationships with MNCs. The

six should be discussed as parts of two larger classifications. The first includes

two subgroups of countries that definitely meet the economic criteria for being

considered relatively poor and below average in terms of economic development.

The second classification consists of four subgroups whose statistical profiles

suggest that they have graduated to a status somewhere between intermediate and

low-level developed. The true LDCs can be divided between those that are

moderately well-off countries (e.g., India, Peru, and Mauritius) and the least

developed countries (a category including most Sub-Saharan countries and some

in South Asia and Central America, e.g., Afghanistan and Honduras).

Value judgments determine whether the other four subgroups of countries

truly belong in the LDC category and in this chapter. The first subgroup consists

of several oil-rich countries in the Persian Gulf region that are among the

countries having the highest per capita incomes. Emerging markets has become a

phrase applicable to countries that have unofficially graduated from developing

effects of fdi on ldcs 181

status by virtue of their relatively high standard of living compared to truly poor

LDCs and their ability to attract considerable inflows of private capital, including

FDI in the manufacturing sector. Emerging market countries account for two

subgroups, one appropriately labeled emerging and the other entry level developed.

Thailand, Brazil, and Malaysia exemplify the former, whereas Korea, Singapore,

and Israel exemplify the latter category. The fourth subgroup consists of former

communist bloc countries and former Soviet republics, plus China. Perhaps they

have now passed the deadline for continued designation as countries in transition

from communism to market-based economies. Given their wide range of eco-

nomic development and standards of living in these countries, an argument can

be made for eliminating this subgroup and reassigning them to the categories of

least developed, moderately developed, emerging market (Russia, for example),

or entry level developed (Central Europe).

A second formidable obstacle in constructing an accurate blueprint of the

LDC–FDI relationship is an outgrowth of the first obstacle: finding consistencies

among heterogeneous FDI/MNCs (see chapter 4) as well as consistencies within

the heterogeneous economies of up to 160 countries. The domestic economies of

the nonrich countries display no significant common characteristics. They epito-

mize heterogeneity. They are not even all poor in the conventional sense. Indi-

cators of economic diversity begin with the wide arithmetic spread that LDCs

display in basic development indicators such as per capita GDP, average level

of education, and life expectancy. The developing country category includes

countries with fabulous oil wealth and well above-average per capita incomes

along with those having relatively sophisticated manufacturing and services

sectors. The category also includes countries suffering pervasive and entrenched

poverty that is literally life-threatening to a significant percentage of their pop-

ulations. The relatively prosperous economies of countries like Kuwait (per

capita income in excess of $16,000 in 2003) and Malaysia have nothing in com-

mon with the backwardness afflicting Ethiopia (per capita income of $90 in 2003),

Afghanistan, or Malawi. China and India, each with populations equivalent to

about one-fifth of humankind, stand in sharp contrast to several island countries

in the Caribbean and Pacific having populations numbering only in the tens of

thousands.

The hierarchal nature of economic performance and living standards among

‘‘LDCs’’ broadly defined creates a third conceptual obstacle to a hard-and-fast

determination of how FDI affects them as a group. Statistics have long shown a

very concentrated geographical distribution of FDI in the developing countries

as measured by both amounts and kinds. This distribution closely correlates with

relative economic performance. The result is that LDCs as a collective have

registered a skewed set of experiences with incoming MNCs. Many of the least

developed, resource-poor countries to this day have received negligible FDI and

impact on the international order182

therefore have recorded no statistically meaningful effects, good or bad, from it.

Other countries, principally in the Middle East and Africa, have mainly or ex-

clusively attracted resource-extracting companies. Many of the latter have com-

piled a long historical record of acting in an imperious fashion and generating

only a few jobs for locals but lots of under-the-table cash for local political leaders

and power brokers. A second group of countries, most of which are in South

Asia, possess large numbers of unskilled labor and consequently attract mainly or

exclusively labor-intensive manufacturers needing relatively low-paid workers

for relatively simple tasks. Finally, a third category is mostly composed of East

Asian and South American countries where much of the South’s FDI in so-

phisticated manufacturing and services is located, along with the relatively high

wages associated with skilled labor.

The asymmetrical country-by-country distribution of FDI among LDCs/

countries in transition creates a situation in which a single set of statistics can be

interpreted in two different ways. On one level, it is factually correct to argue that

inward FDI has become an increasingly important source, in relative and ab-

solute terms, of much-needed convertible hard currency for LDCs.3 According

to UNCTAD data, FDI as a percentage of total capital flows to LDCs rose from

6 percent in 1980 to 60 percent in 2000.4 The book value of FDI in developing

and transition countries jumped from an estimated $302 billion in 1980 to $2.4

trillion in 2004. Annual inward flows in these countries grew at an even faster

rate, from an estimated annual average rate of just over $13 billion in the years

from 1981 through 1986 to an unusually strong $268 billion in 2004.5 Annual

inflows of FDI to LDCs now dwarf the totals for official aid flows; the former

were ten times as large as the latter in 2000. As recently as the early 1990s, these

two categories of capital flows were about equal.6

Although FDI is very important for developing countries in arithmetic terms

as a means of earning hard currency, a disaggregation of investment flow data

is essential to provide a better depiction of reality. The fact is that inward FDI is a

major source of potential benefits (or costs) to a relatively small number of

economically advanced LDCs. For many years, they have accounted for a dis-

proportionately large percentage of new FDI in the South. One country, China,

has typically accounted for about 30 percent of FDI flows to all developing

countries since the mid-1990s. China together with the next four largest nonin-

dustrial country recipients of FDI accounted for 50–60 percent of total flows in

each year from the mid-1990s through the early 2000s. In 2001, the last year that

UNCTAD published these numbers in their annualWorld Investment Report, the

share of the top thirty host developing countries was 95 percent of the total. This

means that more than 130 LDCs and countries in transition on the middle and

lower rungs of the economic development hierarchy received minimal FDI. In

2004, identified FDI flows to the more than fifty countries in Africa were $18

effects of fdi on ldcs 183

billion, only 0.07 percent of flows to all developing countries and a mere 0.027

percent of world totals.7

One more clarification is needed to erase any and all obfuscation in the sta-

tistics on geographical concentration of FDI in LDCs. There is more symmetry

than meets the eye when it is noted that the largest recipients of FDI have

an approximately equally large share of the GDP, employment, and exports of all

countries categorized as less developed. A less skewed picture results if

UNCTAD’s recently devised Inward FDI Performance Index is used; it calcu-

lates the ratio of a country’s percentage of global FDI inflows to its share of global

GDP. When absolute receipts of FDI are adjusted for a country’s relative eco-

nomic size, the results are surprising: Some relatively obscure developing poor

countries rank near the top. The explanation is that a small number of high-cost

incoming foreign subsidiaries can be statistically significant in a country with

a small GDP. Because of booming foreign-owned oil drilling ventures, Azer-

baijan, Angola, Gambia, and Brunei were among the top seven performers in

UNCTAD’s GDP-adjusted FDI Performance Index rankings for 2001–2003.

(Another statistical anomaly is Luxembourg-Belgium’s being ranked first since

the performance index started, a consequence of extensive financial and holding

company investments lured by minimal regulations; trans-shipped FDI capital

flows; and a relatively small GDP.)8

A fourth obstacle arises from conflicting views on how to define economic

development. The question in qualitative terms is whether in fact it is first and

foremost an economic process. Some have made the case that a country’s pro-

gression to advanced industrialized economy status must be preceded or at least

accompanied by social modernization. Defining development in quantitative

terms poses a separate set of dilemmas. ‘‘Per capita’’ data are averages of a sta-

tistical universe that can be distorted if a country’s population is divided between

a few extremely wealthy persons and a majority of very poor citizens.

The more narrow term economic growth is largely defined through commonly

used quantitative indicators. However, a larger, more important question is what

are the economic, social, political, and psychological forces that have elevated a

limited number of countries to comparative affluence? Which of these forces are

essential and which are optional? Is a separate configuration needed for every

country to complement unique national characteristics? If we knew the correct

answers, we would know what actions to take, and the number of poor countries

would progressively shrink as would the more than one billion people currently

living subsistence lives on incomes equivalent to $2 a day or less. Until and unless

the abstruse wiring in the black box of economic development is fully mastered, it

is safe to assume that no one will be able to devise a beyond-a-reasonable-doubt

method of determining how diverse kinds of FDI andMNCs affect the economic

impact on the international order184

well-being of a large number of economically, politically, and socially diverse

developing countries.

The methodological difficulties of correctly identifying cause and effect and

distinguishing between cause and correlation constitute a fifth obstacle to de-

finitively assessing FDI’s impact on LDCs. Knowing in which direction lines of

causality flow in this case is problematic because they can run in two directions:

inward FDI stimulating economic growth and economic growth stimulating

incoming direct investment. A host country’s internal conditions are a decisive

factor in corporate decisions on where to invest and what kind of manufacturing

facility to build. A demonstrable record of successful growth, most likely the

result of a favorable economic and political domestic environment, in theory can

‘‘cause’’ FDI to be established in particular LDCs. The extent to which lines of

causality run in this direction cannot be pinpointed with precision due to dis-

agreement among researchers over the proper statistical means of controlling

‘‘endogeneity biases,’’ that is, preexisting conditions in a host country or sector

that encouraged or discouraged the arrival of FDI. If countries or sectors are ex

ante relatively productive, then statistical observations of ex post high produc-

tivity are not proof that entry of foreign companies was the cause of above-

average productivity.9

Dani Rodrik has argued that ‘‘much, if not most’’ of the correlation between

FDI and superior economic performance seems to be ‘‘driven by reverse cau-

sality: multinational enterprises tend to locate in the more productive and profit-

able economies.’’10 In cases where favorable internal economic conditions and

strong growth rates persuade foreign-based companies to establish operations in a

particular LDC, new FDI is a lagging indicator that a government has im-

plemented an effective economic development and growth plan.

A convincing argument could be made in the early 2000s that in only two

countries can inward FDI be clearly identified as being directly responsible for

most of the accelerated rates of increases in a home country’s GDP, national

income, average per capita incomes, and technological sophistication. Singapore

and Ireland are the major exceptions to the rule that no relatively low-income

country has yet attracted the sheer volume of high-quality, nonoil FDI relative to

population and GDP that the influx of foreign-owned factories can unequivocally

be identified as the number one source of accelerated economic growth. For all

other developing countries, the data are insufficient to assert categorically that

FDI is the major cause of accelerated economic development and to proclaim that

it produced results superior to what an equivalent amount of well-designed

domestic investment could have accomplished.

Certain motives for FDI are more likely than others to exemplify reverse

causality. Incoming subsidiaries are most likely to follow economic growth when

effects of fdi on ldcs 185

they are market-seeking in nature (see chapter 4). By definition, they are attracted

by the buying power of potential customers in foreign markets. When the sub-

sidiary is resource-seeking, incoming FDI is least likely to be generated by a

country’s rate of economic growth because the presence and accessibility of

natural resources are the most important variables. Efficiency-seeking, vertically

integrated foreign subsidiaries would be somewhere in the middle in view of their

need to weigh a number of variables, for example, labor costs, regulatory envi-

ronment, and absence of trade restrictions. Finally, it is possible that in some

cases causality is not unidirectional. New inward FDI and a host country’s track

record of economic success might equally induce increases in the other. The

causal process is ‘‘bidirectional’’ if both incoming FDI and domestic economic

growth are mutually reinforcing.11

Obstacle number six to a clear-cut assessment of how FDI affects economic

development is the presumption that at least some of the researchers examin-

ing this sometimes emotionally charged question have been overly influenced

by their conscious or unconscious ideological values (see chapter 5). One of the

most respected academicians specializing in the study of MNCs, Richard E.

Caves, was uncharacteristically blunt when writing that the empirical research on

the effects of FDI on the LDCs’ economic fortunes has suffered both from a lack

of ‘‘theoretical guidance and in some cases from special pleading by the re-

searchers. . . .The statistical studies of this issue, it must be said, bear strong

imprints of their authors’ prior beliefs about whether a negative or positive

relationship would emerge.’’12

Yet another conceptual problem is the absence of proof inherent in coun-

terfactual conjecture. Looking backward, it cannot be known how a host coun-

try’s economy and social and political systems would have fared if some or all

foreign subsidiaries had stayed away or acted differently. Similarly, when looking

forward, forecasts about future trends in existing direct investment in LDCs are

pure guesswork. There is no way of knowing if the positive growth effects of

newly arrived FDI are temporary or long-term. It cannot be known if a given

subsidiary will expand or by how much, and the extent (if any) to which its

success attracts other companies to establish job-creating production facilities.

Neither can it be known if foreign companies will get frustrated with the results

of an investment, drop good-citizen strategies, and switch to a strict emphasis

on self-serving, profit-maximizing actions that harm the interests of the host

country.

The eighth and final impediment to a clear-cut assessment is that many if not

most of the factors that shape the impact—favorable and negative—of foreign-

owned subsidiaries are equally relevant in shaping their impact on wealthy, mid-

dle-income, and poor countries. The nature and business objective of a foreign

subsidiary in most cases will be at least equal in importance to the average income

impact on the international order186

and education levels in the host country. Consequently, it is not appropriate to

consider LDCs in complete isolation as if they were a fully autonomous subset of

the generic issue of the costs and benefits of FDI/MNCs on host countries.

Accordingly, the next two sections, the first presenting the potentially deleterious

effects and the second the potentially beneficial effects, are relatively brief. They

will focus only on LDC-specific issues, not a broader discussion of praise and

then of condemnation of incoming direct investment for all host countries as will

be presented in chapters 12 and 13.

Potential Harm of FDI to Developing Countries

It is almost self-evident that some subsidiaries ‘‘can have an adverse effect on

development.’’13 MNCs can be harmful to developing countries for rea-

sons proven and perceived, and both economic and social (see chapters 3, 4, and

13). Antipathy toward them was and is a natural reaction in countries trying to

permanently erase memories of the colonial experience and still angry at the one-

sided long-term deals that foreign-owned, raw materials-extracting companies

negotiated with compliant local governments or colonial rulers. Attitudes toward

MNCs are still affected by recollections of the United Fruit Company’s impe-

rious reign early last century as a kind of government within a government in

some Central American countries. A classic case study of corporate misbehavior

was the company’s role in bringing about the U.S. government–engineered coup

in 1954 that ended the elected presidency of Jacobo Arbenz in Guatemala and

started a prolonged period of political unrest in the country. The illegal inter-

ference by ITT Corporation in Chilean politics during the early 1970s (see

chapter 13) led to a barrage of negative publicity and a one-way downward spiral

in the company’s position in Chile.

These events sustain the mistrust that is a natural reaction for those who see

the relatively fragile political and economic systems of LDCs as no match for the

big money, power, and ruthlessness of MNCs, many of whom are adept at play-

ing governments off against one another. The zeitgeist of the 1960s and 1970s

portrayed multinationals as exploiters that removed far more wealth from de-

veloping countries than they added. Furthermore, multinationals were typically

perceived in the third world as vehicles used by their home-country governments

to project political power and influence in other regions.14 A popular view in

both developing and industrialized countries was that the average LDC on bal-

ance would be the victim of long-lasting economic harm by allowing foreign-

controlled, monopoly-bent corporations to enter and dominate the undeveloped,

imperfectly competitive domestic market. Hence the hypothesis that because

MNCs operating in LDCs frequently mean increased unemployment, unequal

effects of fdi on ldcs 187

income distribution, and capital outflows, there ‘‘can be little doubt’’ that the

eventual impact of inward FDI ‘‘can only contribute to the further impover-

ishment of the poorest 60 to 80 percent of Third World populations.’’ The ‘‘clear

message’’ was that the continued and unchecked expansion of MNCs into the

third world would increase the instability of these societies.15

What this study repeatedly refers to as low quality FDI (see chapters 4, 13,

and 14) can inflict enough financial harm on a developing country that it could

credibly be claimed that the host country would have been far better off without

it. The heterogeneity of FDI and MNCs undermines the assumption that the

inherent virtues of a foreign-controlled subsidiary mean net benefits automati-

cally ensue. Locally owned companies in developing countries are especially sus-

ceptible to being crowded out in any of several ways by larger, wealthier, andmore

competitive foreign companies. MNCs’ financial clout, for example, can give

them priority access to loans from local banks and relatively low interest rates.

They might also secure preferential access to locally held balances of foreign

exchange, usually in critically short supply in an LDC, for use by the subsidiary

to pay for imports and to repatriate profits. When FDI takes place in the form of

an acquisition, wholesale eliminations of jobs may take place in connection with a

restructuring by the foreign purchaser.

In the external sector, the balance of payments position of a host country can

be adversely affected by incoming FDI. A low-income country could see an

especially painful diminution of its already limited holdings of convertible for-

eign exchange that otherwise could be used to pay for needed imports of capital

goods like factory machinery and telecommunications and transportation equip-

ment. The costs of components and machinery imported by a foreign subsidiary

could exceed its export earnings, assuming it has any. Profits repatriated over

time by subsidiaries to their headquarters countries could be geometrically

greater than the value of foreign exchange originally sent into the host country to

build the subsidiaries.

The ‘‘curse of natural resources’’ is a relatively new phrase that refers to the

growing body of evidence that a perverse relationship often exists between eco-

nomic development and royalty payments to LDCs fromMNCs who are extract-

ing oil and mineral wealth. Endowments of natural resources in demand

internationally ‘‘can be bad for growth and bad for democracy, since they tend to

impede the development of institutions and values critical to open, market-based

economies and political freedom: civil liberties, the rule of law, protection of

property rights, and political participation.’’16 Authoritarian political leaders

in Iraq, Nigeria, and elsewhere have established an inglorious track record of

siphoning off for their own use billions of dollars of royalties paid to their gov-

ernments that otherwise could have been spent on development and poverty-

reduction projects. In the words of Catholic Relief Services,

impact on the international order188

The gap between expectations and the dismal economic performance of

oil-exporting countries is politically explosive. Because oil governments

funnel petrodollars to their own friends, family, military and political sup-

porters, social class, ethnic or religious groups, their populations see for-

eigners and favorites getting rich, but their own lot does not change. In the

context of apparent oil riches, it may even get worse.17

This syndrome became so pervasive18 that the World Bank initiated a novel

arrangement in 2000 with the government of Chad, a destitute country with an

old tradition of corruption and a windfall from new oil production. In an effort to

break the pattern in other countries of oil riches gone astray, the World Bank

designed an agreement intended to provide for public disclosure of the value of

royalties paid by foreign oil companies to the government and to ensure that

minimum percentages of these monies are allocated to economic development

and poverty reduction. The long-term success of the plan was jeopardized early

on when Chad’s leaders demanded that they be given more money for current

expenditures, mostly for military use.

In addition to being the main symbols of how inward FDI in the primary

sector can be prohibitively costly to host countries, LDCs have been at the

epicenter of loud protests that MNCs have unconscionably exploited third-world

workers in their unceasing quest for larger profits. Human rights NGOs around

the world have produced evidence of sweatshop conditions where workers, some

of whom were children, experienced one or more of the following: long hours for

relatively little pay; factories that were unsafe, unhealthy, and uncomfortable;

and prohibitions against bargaining collectively or forming a union. The factories

in question always are located in low-wage countries. They typically are part of a

trans-border assembly line of apparel or footwear to be sold in affluent countries

bearing the labels of retail chains or companies like Nike and Levi Strauss. Only

credible threats of consumer boycotts forced these companies to respond to

public demands with programs to provide better protection of workers’ rights,

which they largely administer by self-regulation.

The ongoing debate on the sweatshop problem raises three subjective ques-

tions, the uncertain answers to which are shaped by ideological beliefs. The first

is how widespread are sweatshops. Insinuations by antiglobalization, prolabor

forces that virtually all export-related factories in low-income countries shame-

lessly exploited their workers were exaggerated even when demands for the

upgrading of working conditions first began in the 1990s. The second question

is how culpable are foreign-owned companies for harsh working conditions—

compared to Western standards—when virtually all of the most criticized fac-

tories are not subsidiaries of industrial country MNCs. Sweatshops were and are

contractors operated by local owners who have contracted to be suppliers to

effects of fdi on ldcs 189

foreign consumer goods companies. Nike, the company attracting the most

negative publicity, does not formally meet the definition of an MNC: It does not

partly or wholly own any of the factories abroad that make its athletic shoes.

These plants are licensees. Finally, the most delicate question is the extent to

which Western values and labor practices (including child labor) should be im-

posed on contractors to American or European companies when the former are

foreign-owned firms doing business outside the jurisdiction of the countries in

which the contracting companies are domiciled.

Potential Benefits of FDI to Developing Countries

By the early 1990s, the image of MNCs in the third world had undergone a

radical makeover that gained momentum without planning or leadership. Official

attitudes in most of the South had completed a transition from a mindset based

on suspicion and tinged with implied threats of expropriation to one of desire and

a sudden generosity anxious to offer financial incentives for multinationals to set

up shop and help promote growth. As is the case with most great transforma-

tions, several factors were responsible for convincing decision makers in Africa,

Asia, and Latin America that hostility to FDI had become too high a price

to pay in an increasingly interdependent world economy. Implosion of the com-

munist economic model encouraged an embrace of market-based economic prac-

tices. Instead of being viewed as a metaphor for neocolonialism, FDI became for

many a symbol of hope in solving long-festering problems of low standards of

living and lagging technological capabilities. The opening of the door to foreign

companies and the adoption by LDCs of business-friendly policies led to a surge in

FDI that can be viewed in two different ways, depending on one’s value judg-

ments. It can be characterized as a new pragmatism about what kinds of economic

policies produce the best results. This policy turnaround can also be viewed as a

sellout in which the relatively few owners of capital found new populations of

workers to exploit on the road to further enrichment.

For better or worse, the pro-FDI stance eventually received the imprimatur of

most of the development establishment, in particular the major international or-

ganizations whose primary mission is promoting growth and reducing poverty in

LDCs. UNCTAD, the only major global economic organization controlled by

the third-world countries, stated in itsWorld Investment Report for 1999 that FDI

‘‘can play an important role in complementing the efforts of national firms’’ to

improve a country’s international competitiveness.19 The so-called Monterrey

Consensus of 2002 articulated the consensus of the attendees at a major confer-

ence held under UNCTAD’s auspices. It proclaimed that ‘‘private capital flows,

particularly foreign direct investment, along with international financial stability,

impact on the international order190

are vital complements to national and international development efforts.’’ FDI

‘‘contributes toward financing sustained growth over the long term.’’20

A research paper prepared by staff members of the World Bank typifies that

institution’s firm and often repeated conviction that incoming direct investment

as a whole is far more beneficial than harmful to the development process:

FDI is a key ingredient for successful economic growth in developing

countries. This is because the very essence of economic development is the

rapid and efficient transfer and adoption of ‘‘best practice’’ across borders.

FDI is particularly well suited to effect this and translate it into broad-

based growth, not least by upgrading human capital. As growth is the

single-most important factor affecting poverty reduction, FDI is central to

achieving that goal.21

Most of the relevant literature, including this study, emphasizes the potential

for inward FDI to be more beneficial than harmful to LDCs. The notion of

automaticity is mainly the province of passionate believers in the market mecha-

nism. In any event, arguments have been repeatedly made that high-quality FDI

usually brings with it a highly desirable series of state-of-the-art business prac-

tices.Without a competitive edge, companies are loathe to risk the money, energy,

and reputation associated with investing in a foreign market (see chapter 6). By

definition, most if not all large MNCs have achieved above-average success in

their business category. Foreign companies possessing highly regarded products

or services, creating relatively high-paying jobs, and bringing with them ad-

vanced levels of technology, management capabilities, and marketing acumen can

be an attractive addition to economies at any level of development. Where star

companies can shine the brightest and have the most dramatic results is in capital-

short LDCs making the right policy moves to overcome economic backwardness.

Leaving aside potential disadvantages, such as displaced local companies, the

economy-bolstering benefits that an LDC potentially can receive from high-

quality investments include the following:

� Investment capital; � Additional jobs, many of which provide workers with higher levels of

training and wages than those provided by local companies;

� Expanded sales and profits for local businesses as MNCs buy compo-

nents, equipment, and services from them (sometimes MNCs provide

technical and financial assistance to local contractors so that they can

meet MNCs’ high standards);

� Advanced technology to increase productivity, produce higher value-

added goods, lower costs, and improve quality control;

effects of fdi on ldcs 191

� Advanced management techniques; � Increased exports and foreign exchange earnings; � Secondary effects: forcing local competitors to perform at higher levels of

competitiveness; additional investments attracted by the success of the

first wave of investment; trained workers leaving a foreign subsidiary and

starting their own business or transferring their expertise to a local

company; and improved environmental protection.

The potential benefits of inward FDI to LDCs are perhaps best described as

an aggregate, not as individual items; in other words, the whole may be greater

than the sum of its parts. Theodore Moran characterizes the contribution of

foreign-controlled subsidiaries as ‘‘integrated packages—technology, business

techniques, management skills, human-relations policies, and marketing cap-

abilities—that place host-country plants on the frontier of industry best prac-

tices, and keep them there.’’22 The package of benefits analogy was also used by

two UNCTAD economists: ‘‘Not only can FDI add to investible resources and

capital formation, but, perhaps more important, it is also a means of transferring

production technology, skills, innovative capacity, and organizational and man-

agerial practices between locations, as well as of accessing international marketing

networks.’’23

FDI is widely cited as the most desirable form of private capital inflow for

LDCs. Short-term capital flows, mainly portfolio investment (stocks and bonds)

and bank lending, are volatile, which is why they are sometimes referred to as hot

money. The several financial crises that disrupted emerging market countries in

Asia and Latin America beginning in the 1980s can be succinctly described as

stampedes of short-term capital out of these countries. FDI-related capital flows

are different. They are based on business decisions involving a long-term com-

mitment to the host country. This is partly because of the very large amounts of

money involved and the fact that FDI takes the form of buildings and assembly

lines that cannot be easily or cheaply removed at the first hint of trouble or shift

in relative interest rates. FDI inflows have the additional advantage over bank

loans of not creating debt. A Brookings Institution study examined the question

of whether the benefits to LDCs from unregulated capital inflows were sufficient

to offset the risks. It concluded, ‘‘The answer would appear to be a strong yes for

FDI.’’24

Finally, the conventional wisdom that the economic benefits FDI can bestow

on LDCs comes solely from investment flows into those countries is obsolete. It

was previously argued (see chapters 1 and 4) that being dynamic phenomena,

FDI andMNCs are constantly mutating into new kinds and shapes. A major new

variant is the increased number of LDC-based companies becoming multi-

nationals by establishing overseas subsidiaries or acquiring foreign companies.

impact on the international order192

They do so for the same long list of reasons that industrial country-headquartered

companies go abroad (see chapter 6). As a result, their overseas subsidiaries now

consist of all the major forms: resource, market, and efficiency-seeking

subsidiaries in manufacturing, services, R&D, and so on. Negligible until the late

1980s, the estimated outward FDI flows from the developing countries of $83

billion in 2004 (an unusually high amount) accounted for about 11 percent of total

world flows.25

As more LDCs see their home-grown companies expand production facilities

in other countries, they increasingly will be on the receiving end of the advan-

tages (stronger, faster-growing companies, increased exports, and growing re-

patriation of profits) as well as the disadvantages (declines in jobs and exports,

and increases in capital outflows) accruing to home countries. If researchers

subsequently determine that outward FDI is providing the same degree of benefit

to them as it has had for industrial countries, an entire new aspect of MNC

contributions to the prosperity of developing countries will be confirmed.26

‘‘It Depends’’: Variables That Can Determine

the Impact of FDI on LDCs

One of the most common themes in scholarly articles is that the economic impact

of FDI on LDCs ranges from good to bad depending on circumstances. To use

this study’s terminology, it depends on the array of variables that present

themselves in a particular country at a particular point in time. Although various

authors identify different variables determining the multinationals’ effects on

economic development, they generally agree that there are compelling reasons to

refrain from advancing a definitive, all-inclusive assessment of the FDI–LDC

relationship. The equivocation inherent in the ‘‘it depends’’ approach derives

from a two-pronged heterogeneity: (1) the idiosyncratic nature of 160 developing

and in-transition economies, and (2) the distinctive objectives and operations of

the various kinds of FDI and MNCs. Peter Nunnenkamp and Julius Spatz of the

Kiel Institute in Germany put it this way: ‘‘The link between FDI and economic

growth varies between different types of FDI and . . . host-country characteristics

have an important say in this respect.’’27 FDI has not been and cannot be a

universal cure-all for LDCs, partly because of its inherent limitations and partly

because its unique advantages are most likely to flourish only under supportive

host-country conditions that are usually lacking in the poorer developing

countries.28

The school of thought stressing the importance of these variables affirms only

the potential for a net positive contribution by FDI to economic development in

LDCs. This approach is skeptical that the arrival of direct investment by itself

effects of fdi on ldcs 193

box 8.1 China Expands Abroad: The Surprising Growth of Outward

FDI from a Low-Wage Communist Country

While the spotlight has been focused on the tidal wave of FDI going into China, the

country has quietly and surprisingly become one of the developing world’s largest

sources of outward direct investment. All signs point to a continuation of this trend

because it has two strong forces behind it: the same business decisions that spurred

Western companies to become multinationals and the active encouragement from a

national government flush with a more than ample supply of dollars to finance the

deals. ‘‘The Chinese government encourages local enterprises to ‘make positive

moves overseas’ because the rise of China as a major economic power is dependent

upon the evolution of Chinese companies into world-class enterprises,’’ explained a

senior Chinese executive.* China’s outward FDI rose from an annual average of

well under $1 billion during the late 1980s and early 1990s to an average of $3.7

billion in the three-year period beginning in 2001.**Most of this increase was in the

form of overseas acquisitions by companies partly or wholly owned by the gov-

ernment. China’s increasing outward direct investments have come in two forms:

resource-seeking, mainly in developing countries, and market- and asset-seeking,

mainly in high-wage industrialized countries.

Desire borne of insecurity led to aggressive investments in overseas oil, natural

gas, and mining ventures, all of which were intended to secure future supplies of

raw materials to meet the voracious appetite of China’s burgeoning manufacturing

sector. The government’s policy of acquiring as many energy assets as possible led

to direct investments in oil and natural gas fields in rogue states like Sudan, Burma,

and Iran. Opportunities abound for China in these countries because they are

either unofficially shunned by foreign investors in the industrialized countries or

the targets of governmentally imposed U.S. and European sanctions.

Some Chinese manufacturing firms have felt that becoming an MNC is a

prerequisite for long-term growth and survival. In part, their establishment of

overseas operations has been and is motivated by traditional desires to assure

continued access to foreign markets for their goods and to establish local distri-

bution networks to support growing exports. But in addition, increased outward

Chinese FDI reflects what likely will become a major new trend among big LDC-

based companies: acquiring advanced technology, internationally recognized brand

names, and marketing know-how by acquiring full or part ownership of companies

in industrialized countries. As the product cycle in manufacturing shortens and the

pace of technological change accelerates, the costs and time required to internally

develop state-of-the-art technology and sought-after brand names are becoming

increasingly burdensome to corporations aspiring to world-class status.

Some companies, like Haier (see chapter 4) have invested abroad to expand

sales and build international brand recognition. Others are acquiring established

companies and product lines, most notably Lenovo Corporation’s $1.75 billion

purchase in 2004 of IBM’s personal computer business (which triggered Lenovo’s

decision to move its world headquarters to New York State). Earlier, the TCL

Corporation acquired control of the television unit of the Thomson Corporation of

France (which has rights to the RCA recording label). The most counterintuitive

(continued )

194

will generate significant and sustained boosts to host countries’ economies. In

fact, no conclusive proof exists that improved economic performance automat-

ically follows in a country gaining foreign-owned subsidiaries. Context is

all-important. FDI’s ability to be a catalyst of positive change is contingent on

existence of conditions favorable to economic growth in the host country and

arrival of foreign subsidiaries meeting a minimum level of quality. A typical

conclusion of econometric studies is that FDI inflows do not exert an influence on

economic growth that is independent of other factors that contribute to growth.29

A survey of the literature concluded that ‘‘while substantial support exists for

positive spillovers from FDI, there is no consensus on causality.’’ However, it

was noted that there is increasing conviction that FDI is positively correlated with

economic growth.30 In other words, ‘‘fast growth and large FDI inflows go hand

in hand in many instances,’’ but the line of causality is not always clear.31 An

econometric study of the interaction between FDI and economic growth con-

cluded that ‘‘the causal relationship between FDI and growth is characterized by

a considerable degree of heterogeneity.’’32

A widely quoted observation by Swedish economist Ari Kokko gets to the

heart of the consequences when two heterogeneous forces dominate: ‘‘It seems

clear that host country and host industry characteristics determine the impact of

FDI and that systemic differences between countries and industries should be

expected.’’ The need to disaggregate is implied by the ‘‘strong evidence pointing

to the potential for significant spillover benefits from FDI, but also ample evi-

dence indicating that spillovers do not occur automatically.’’33 Hence, ‘‘ensuring

reason that Chinese enterprises invest overseas is the occasional need to relocate

mature industries to lower wage countries, for example, bicycle production in

Ghana. In the future, a growing impetus to Chinese overseas FDI is likely to be the

need to circumvent mounting threats of import barriers by trading partners; this

was the path followed by several Japanese companies in the 1980s in the wake of

that country’s export boom.

Even more ironic than the country thought to have the world’s lowest pro-

duction costs expanding its overseas direct investments is the growing number

of investment promotion agencies from countries including Ireland, Denmark,

Sweden, and Malaysia that have tried to capitalize on this trend by opening branch

offices in China to court outward investors.

The future will also shed light on the interesting question of how well Chinese

companies fare after acquiring foreign businesses with very different corporate

cultures, staffed by workers of very different national cultures some of whom will

be unionized, and operating in rule of law-based democracies.

*Dongsheng Li, chairman and CEO of TCL Corporation, ‘‘The Future of Asia,’’ May 26, 2005,

available online at http://www.nni.nikkei.co.jp; accessed July, 2005.

**Data source: UNCTAD, World Investment Report 1996 and 2004.

effects of fdi on ldcs 195

a large quantity of FDI alone is not sufficient for the objective of generating

growth and poverty reduction.’’34

FDI having mixed results in advancing economic development is the

inevitable outcome of the larger reality that not all incoming FDI is created equal.

One study found that relatively substandard, low benefits–yielding performance

is likely to be associated with a subsidiary that does not operate on a relatively free

market, high-volume basis. A plant is likely to suffer diminished efficiency, for

example, if it is operating in a country imposing burdensome, market-distorting

regulations on incoming FDI, such as mandating domestic content require-

ments and minority ownership for local companies, or it is manufacturing con-

sumer goods for sale only in a host country closed to imports.35 Conversely, much

greater efficiency and host country benefits should be expected from a wholly

owned subsidiary operating in a market-oriented environment and producing

sophisticated components for assembly into high-tech finished goods that will be

sold by the parent on a global basis. Such circumstances encourage maximum

emphasis on corporate best practices.

The sheer number of outcomes possible with so many variables in play makes

it a mathematical certainty that over time and throughout the developing world,

the effects of tens of thousands of foreign-controlled or -owned subsidiaries

on economic development can fall anywhere in a span that begins with grievous

harm and ends with stimulation to growth that exceeds other sources. Midway

between the poles is a broad zone of irrelevance. Foreign-controlled subsidiaries

might have had a negligible role in the acceleration of growth rates enjoyed in a

given developing country. Incoming FDI could also be judged a nonfactor if no

boost in growth rates was recorded after the arrival of several foreign subsidiaries.

A third scenario where FDI might have negligible value added is if it was at-

tracted by a host country’s preexisting successful formula for economic success

that would have performed brilliantly even without the arrival of MNCs.

The state of an LDC’s domestic economy is always a variable in determining

the extent and nature of the impact of incoming FDI; the only question is how

important it is on a case-by-case basis. A close examination of the historical re-

cord will indicate that externally induced economic growth, be it from FDI or

foreign aid, seldom occurs in a vacuum devoid of endogenous factors. The reason

for this is the unrelenting importance of the host country’s larger economic and

political environments, which can range from highly conducive to brutally hostile

to economic progress. The UNCTAD Secretariat’s advice is that if countries

want to achieve their development objectives, they cannot pursue FDI policies in

isolation. ‘‘Instead, they must be inextricably linked with policies in core areas of

economic development’’ (new business capacity and enhanced technological skills,

for example).36 Development policies need to be adapted that will be compatible

with economic and political landscapes that vary from one country to another.

impact on the international order196

Hence, ‘‘There is no ideal development strategy with respect to the use of FDI

that is common to all countries at all times.’’37

If a country is lacking the preconditions necessary for efficient operation of

foreign subsidiaries, it is unlikely to experience significant FDI-induced growth and

poverty reduction even if it throws its doors wide open to foreign companies.

Inward FDI in such circumstances ‘‘may even be counter-productive.’’38 A differ-

ent study reached a similar conclusion: Generally it seems to be much easier

for a developing country to attract FDI than to derive macroeconomic benefits

from it.39

What, then, are the elements of a successful development strategy that must

be in place in a host country for the odds to favor a demonstrably positive effect

from incoming FDI? Once again, different econometric studies point to different

causal factors. A relatively high level of human capital, a term for an estimate of

the aggregate skills, training, and education of a county’s labor force, is one of the

most frequently cited. A typical finding is that FDI significantly contributes to a

host country’s economic development ‘‘only when a sufficient absorptive capabil-

ity of advanced technologies is available in the host country: The higher the level

of education of the labor force, the greater the gain in growth from a given FDI

inflow.’’40 The ‘‘most robust finding’’ of another study was that ‘‘the effect of

FDI on economic growth is dependent on the level of human capital available in

the host economy. . . .There is a strong positive interaction between FDI and the

level of educational attainment’’ in a country. Furthermore, ‘‘it is likely that at

very low levels of human capital, the contribution of FDI to growth is close to nil

and that it rises rapidly at higher levels of human capital.’’41 One tangible reason

for this correlation is that the more sophisticated is a host country’s labor force,

the greater the likelihood that MNCs will transfer sophisticated technology to

their subsidiaries, create relatively high-paying jobs, and buy parts, factory equip-

ment, and services from local businesses.

Some studies qualify the importance of a highly skilled labor force by sug-

gesting that it is a necessary but usually not sufficient factor in making incoming

FDI an effective agent of change and growth within LDCs. Their ability to cap-

ture the maximum benefits of FDI has been linked to the presence of other

favorable internal variables. FDI appears ‘‘most effective as an agent of change

in economies that possess a threshold level of human capital and skills and in those

economies that have attained a threshold level of growth.’’42 Presumably, a strong

economic performance is an outgrowth of an economic and political environment

that has been accommodating to the local private sector and will likely interact

positively with new foreign subsidiaries. The main pillars of an MNC-enticing

environment, discussed at length in chapter 7, are limited government regulation

of the business sector; rule of law; competent, honest government; a good edu-

cational and vocational training system; and good physical infrastructure.

effects of fdi on ldcs 197

The second mega-variable universally influencing the nature and degree of

FDI/MNCs impact on LDCs is the foreign subsidiaries themselves. However

good or bad is the host country’s economic progress, the questions of which kinds

of investments (see chapter 4) are involved and their levels of quality are always

important if not critical variables. Unfortunately, the empirical literature usually

fails to do analysis at the company level and thus is unable to determine if cer-

tain kinds of subsidiaries have a tendency to provide the host country with net

benefits or net costs. The diverging results of studies about FDI’s role in the

development process are probably

explained in terms of the varying quality of FDI inflows received by dif-

ferent countries. Companies are guided by different motivations when

establishing overseas subsidiaries, and different business strategies lead to

different forms of behavior and effects on host countries. The literature

has, however, tended to treat FDI as a homogeneous resource benefiting

the recipients in the same manner and has neglected any potential differ-

ences in the quality of FDI received.43

Efficiency-seeking subsidiaries that are vertically integrated into the global

sourcing network of their parent company were found to be the most beneficial to

the development process in a study conducted by Theodore Moran, an academic

specialist in this field. He determined that the investments most favorable for

host countries, what this study would classify as high-quality investment, are

subsidiaries designed to be integral parts of the parent company’s effort to max-

imize its international competitive strength. When this is the case, a high sta-

tistical probability exists that positive spillovers in the form of well above-average

technology transfers, wages, and managerial and marketing techniques will ensue

‘‘far in excess’’ of what is commonly assumed.44 At the opposite end of the costs-

benefits spectrum, resource-seeking investments have had a dismal record of

lifting poor countries (exclusive of Persian Gulf oil-producing states) to middle

or higher income status, as discussed previously in this chapter and in chapters 4

and 13.

An additional variable determining how FDI affects the development of

LDCs, one combining elements of the two mega-variables (local conditions and

quality of subsidiary) is whether a foreign subsidiary faces significant competition,

from within the host country and/or from imports. The productivity level,

pricing policies, and innovation record of any enterprise, domestic or global, are

functions of concerns, or lack thereof, for inroads by competitors.

Two recent case studies provide a clear illustration of how diametrically

different developing countries’ experiences with foreign-owned subsidiaries can

impact on the international order198

be. A gold mine operated by Newmont Mining Corporation in Indonesia is al-

leged to have seriously polluted nearby waters with arsenic and the air with

mercury emissions. Assuming all charges are accurate, the minuscule financial

stimulus from a single mine in one of the most populous countries in the world

and the few if any lasting economic benefits that will remain after all mining

operations are halted mean that the national effect of this foreign investment on

Indonesia is growth too small to be measured, and its regional effect is hundreds

of sick and disabled people who may have to permanently leave their polluted

homes.45 The virtuous cycle of events triggered by GM’s decision in 1979 to

open four engine-making plants in Mexico stands in stark contrast. Ford,

Chrysler, Nissan, and Volkswagen followed GM’s lead and established auto-

mobile assembly and parts-making plants. A third wave of incoming FDI con-

sisted of foreign auto parts companies wanting to be near their auto assembler

customers (in addition, Mexican-owned subcontractors sprang up). Within a few

years, 120,000 jobs had been created and automotive export levels passed $1.5

billion annually.46

There Is No Way of Knowing for Sure

A fourth credible assessment of the total impact of FDI and MNCs on the

economies of LDCs is that a lack of concrete evidence makes it anybody’s guess.

Richard Caves spoke to this point when he acerbically wrote that economic

analysis to date had played no great part in resolving disputes between critics and

defenders of FDI’s role in the development process. ‘‘There is little consensus on

what institutions and policies most effectively promote the goal of economic

development, and writings on the economic role of [MNCs] have correspond-

ingly run a high ratio of polemic to documented evidence.’’47

No one has yet demonstrated that FDI is a prerequisite for accelerated growth

or development in LDCs. A paper by Britain’s Overseas Development Institute

concluded, ‘‘The evidence that FDI contributes to economic growth is encour-

aging rather than compelling.’’ Because internal variables in each country are

equally or more important, ‘‘One cannot simply assume that FDI will contribute

to poverty reduction through fostering growth in [LDCs].’’48 Incoming direct

investment has not even been a constant in major LDC economic success stories.

Singapore, Malaysia, and Thailand are examples of countries using efficiency-

seeking, vertical FDI as centerpieces in successful strategies to accelerate growth

and increase incomes. South Korea and Taiwan relied on good governance,

sound economic policies, and human capital to overcome backward economies,

large military expenditures, and the absence of raw materials. They rose from

effects of fdi on ldcs 199

poverty to upper-middle-class status in a few decades despite formal barriers

that severely curtailed incoming FDI. Along with Japan, they are part of a very ex-

clusive club that prospered through a strategy emphasizing the licensing of foreign

technology and use of industrial policy to foster internal innovation capabilities

and an efficient manufacturing sector (thereby providing yet another example of

the folly of generalization about the FDI/MNC phenomena). Governmental

authorities in colonial Hong Kong opted for a third policy path to economic

success: provide good governance and infrastructure, then stand aside and let the

private sector make the decisions on how to allocate resources and what lines of

business to start.49 In sum, no definitive guidelines exist to tell decision makers

what kinds of FDI policies would most swiftly move them along the road to

prosperity.

Economic growth is the end product of too many complex factors interacting

in different countries in different and subtle ways to allow them to be untangled,

clearly identified, and evaluated for importance. UNCTAD’s 1999 World In-

vestment Report concluded, ‘‘Since growth depends on many factors whose effects

are difficult to disentangle, and since FDI itself affects several of these factors, an

indeterminate conclusion is probably the most sensible’’ (p. 315).

Caves spoke to the ‘‘we do not know for sure’’ response when he wrote that

No overall theoretical prediction connects the stock of foreign investment

in the LDC [sic] to the rate at which its national income grows. Even if

foreign investment should have spillover effects that raise the level of na-

tional income, these need not translate into an ongoing favorable effect on

the rate of growth. If foreign investment generates a flow of investible tax

revenues for the government, it can increase the growth rate. If it reduces

the LDC [sic] private sector’s rate of saving, it can lower the growth rate.

Many other hypotheses are possible. . . .The relationship between [an]

LDC’s stock of foreign investment and its subsequent economic growth is a

matter on which we totally lack trustworthy conclusions.50

An overabundance of variables, ambiguities, methodological problems, and

deeply held values seems to stand in the way of knowing for sure where to place

FDI’s cumulative effects on the continuum that extends from major catalyst of

growth and improved living standards in LDCs to neo-imperialist and amoral

exploiter. ‘‘While an exhaustive literature has already emerged to support each

side of the debate, closure remains elusive.’’51 Full closure may never occur if the

main conclusion of a book written by three scholars in the field is accurate: ‘‘A

search for a ‘universal result’ of FDI on a developing country economy is simply

misguided. FDI can have dramatically differing impacts—both positive and

negative.’’52 In other words, the impact depends on circumstances.

impact on the international order200

Notes

1. ‘‘Introduction and Overview,’’ in Theodore H. Moran, Edward M. Graham, and

Magnus Blomstrom, eds., Does Foreign Direct Investment Promote Development?

(Washington, DC: Institute for International Economics, 2005), p. 1.

2. ‘‘Searching for the Holy Grail? Making FDI Work for Sustainable Development,’’

March 2003, Appendix 1, available online at http://www.wwf.org.uk/researcher;

accessed March 2005.

3. Inflows of dollars and other convertible currencies play an important financial role in the

development process. The larger a country’s net inflow of capital, the larger is its

potential ability to pay for the imports needed to promote economic growth and rising

living standards. By definition, an underdeveloped country has a limited export capac-

ity but an overwhelming dependence on imported consumer goods, such as food and

medicine, and capital goods, such as transportation and telecommunications equipment,

factory machinery, computers, schoolbooks, and so on. For balance of payments rea-

sons, the ability of countries to import is roughly limited to the combination of earnings

of hard currency from exporting and net capital inflows. A trade surplus is a dubious

achievement for a poor country striving to overcome the limits of an undeveloped

economy. Despite the popular notion that a trade surplus is good and a deficit is bad,

economic theory tells us that an LDC is materially better off being a net taker of growth-

promoting and living standards–increasing, real economic resources (goods and services)

from the rest of the world. It would finance the resulting trade deficit with capital inflows.

4. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2002, p. 12, available online at http://www

.unctad.org; accessed January 2005.

5. Data sources: UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2004 and 2005.

6. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2002, p. 12, and 2004, p. 5.

7. Data sources: UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2005, Annex table B.1.

8. Data source: UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2004, Annex table A.I.5.

9. Linda Goldberg, ‘‘Financial-Sector Foreign Direct Investment and Host Countries:

New and Old Lessons,’’ Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Paper, April 2004,

available online at http://www.ny.frb.org/research; accessed January 2005.

10. Dani Rodrik, The New Global Economy and Developing Countries: Making Openness

Work (Washington, DC: Overseas Development Council, 1999), p. 37.

11. KevinHonglin Zhang, ‘‘Does ForeignDirect Investment Promote Economic Growth?

Evidence from East Asia and Latin America,’’ Contemporary Economic Policy, April

2001, p. 176.

12. Richard E. Caves, Multinational Enterprise and Economic Analysis, 2nd ed. (Cam-

bridge: Cambridge University Press, 1996), pp. 235–36.

13. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 1999, p. 155.

14. Edward M. Graham, Fighting the Wrong Enemy (Washington, DC: Institute for In-

ternational Economics, 2000), p. 168.

15. Ronald Müller, ‘‘The Multinational Corporation and the Underdevelopment of the

Third World,’’ in Charles K. Wilber, ed., The Political Economy of Development and

Underdevelopment (New York: Random House, 1973), p. 146–47.

effects of fdi on ldcs 201

16. Nancy Birdsall and Arvind Subramanian, ‘‘Saving Iraq from Its Oil,’’ Foreign Affairs,

July/August 2004, p. 77.

17. Catholic Relief Services, ‘‘Bottom of the Barrel—Africa’s Oil Boom and the Poor,’’ June

2003, p. 23, available online at http://www.catholicrelief.org; accessed January 2005.

18. In its 2003 report on human rights practices in Equatorial Guinea, another newly oil-

rich country, the U.S. State Department stated that ‘‘there was little evidence that

the Government used the country’s oil wealth for the public good. Most oil wealth

appears to be concentrated in the hands of top government officials while the majority

of the population remained poor. Most foreign economic assistance was suspended

due to the lack of economic reform and the Government’s poor human rights record.’’

Available online at http://www.state.gov/g/drl/hrrpt/2003.

19. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 1999, p. xxiv.

20. ‘‘Monterrey Consensus of the International Conference on Financing for Develop-

ment,’’ 2002, available online at http://www.un.org/esa/ffd/aconf198-11.pdf; ac-

cessed April 2005.

21. Bita Hadjimichael, Carl Aaron, and Michael Klein, ‘‘Foreign Direct Investment and

Poverty Reduction,’’ World Bank Working Paper no. 2613, June 2001, p. 2, available

online at http://www.worldbank.org; accessed October 2004.

22. Theodore H. Moran, Beyond Sweatshops—Foreign Direct Investment and Globalization

in Developing Countries (Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press, 2002), p. 162.

23. Padma Mallampally and Karl P. Sauvant, ‘‘Foreign Direct Investment in Developing

Countries,’’ Finance and Development, March 1999, p. 35.

24. Barry P. Bosworth and Susan M. Collins, ‘‘Capital Flows to Developing Economies:

Implications for Saving and Investment,’’ Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1,

1999, p. 165.

25. Data source: UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2005, Annex table B.1.

26. The traditional assumption that costs and benefits of FDI on LDCs accrue solely from

incoming subsidiaries from the North is doubly obsolete. Not only are more companies

that started in the countries of the South going multinational, but an estimated one-

third of FDI inflows into LDCs at the start of the new century came from other

LDCs. Data source: Dilek Aykut and Dilip Ratha, ‘‘South-South FDI Flows: How

Big Are They?,’’ Transnational Corporations, April 2004, p. 149, available online at

http://www.unctad.org; accessed February 2005.

27. Peter Nunnenkamp and Julius Spatz, ‘‘FDI and Economic Growth in Developing

Economies: How Relevant Are Host-Economy and Industry Characteristics?,’’

Transnational Corporations, December 2004, p. 76, available online at http://www

.unctad.org; accessed February 2005.

28. Peter Nunnenkamp, ‘‘To What Extent Can Foreign Direct Investment Help Achieve

International Development Goals?,’’ Kiel Working Paper no. 1128, October 2002,

pp. 6–7, available online at http://www.uni-kiel.de/ifw/pub/kap/2002/kap1128

.pdf, accessed January 2005.

29. Maria Carkovic and Ross Levine, ‘‘Does Foreign Direct Investment Accelerate Eco-

nomic Growth?’’ May 2002, p. 13, available online at http://www.worldbank.org/

research/conferences/financial_globalization/fdi.pdf, accessed December 2004.

impact on the international order202

30. Ewe-Ghee Lim, ‘‘Determinants of, and the Relations between, Foreign Direct Invest-

ment and Growth: A Summary of the Recent Literature,’’ IMF Working Paper 01/

75, November 2001, available online at http://www.imf.org; accessed March 2005.

31. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 1999, p. 315.

32. Abdur Chowdhury andGeorgeMavrotas, ‘‘FDI andGrowth: A Causal Relationship,’’

WIDER Research Paper no. 2005/25, June 2005, p. 8, available online at http://

www.wider.unu.edu/publications/rps/rps2005/rp2005-25.pdf; accessed June 2005;

emphasis added.

33. Ari Kokko, ‘‘Globalization and FDI Incentives,’’ paper presented to the World Bank

ABCDE-Europe Conference, June 2002, p. 5, available online at http://www

.worldbank.org; accessed April 2005.

34. Dirk Willem te Velde, ‘‘Policies towards Foreign Direct Investment in Developing

Countries: Emerging Best-Practices and Outstanding Issues,’’ March 2001, available

online at http://www.odi.org.uk/iedg/fdi_conference/dwpaper.pdf; accessed Janu-

ary 2005.

35. Theodore H. Moran, ‘‘Foreign Direct Investment and Development: A Reassessment

of the Evidence and Policy Implications,’’ 1999, pp. 42, 45–47, available online at

http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/52/47/25555208.pdf; accessed January, 2005.

36. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 1999, p. 156.

37. Ibid., p. xxv.

38. V. N. Balasubramanyam and Vidya Mahambare, ‘‘FDI in India,’’ Transnational

Corporations, August 2003, pp. 45, 69, available online at http://www.unctad.org;

accessed February 2005.

39. Nunnenkamp and Spatz, ‘‘FDI and Economic Growth,’’ p. 80.

40. Peter Nunnenkamp, ‘‘Foreign Direct Investment in Developing Countries: What

Economists (Don’t) Know and What Policymakers Should (Not) Do!,’’ 2002, p. 29,

available online at http://www.cuts-international.org; accessed January 2005.

41. Eduardo Borensztein, Jose de Gregorio, and Jong-Wha Lee, ‘‘How Does Foreign

Direct Investment Affect Economic Growth?,’’ Journal of International Economics, 45,

1998, pp. 134, 126.

42. Balasubramanyam and Mahambare, ‘‘FDI in India,’’ p. 63.

43. Nagesh Kumar,Globalization and the Quality of Foreign Direct Investment (New Delhi:

Oxford University Press, 2002), p. 4.

44. Theodore H. Moran, ‘‘Foreign Direct Investment and Development: A Reassessment

of the Evidence and Policy Implications,’’ pp. 42–43.

45. TheNew York Times has reported extensively on the nature of the pollution problems

that emerged near the mine site and the subsequent investigations and legal action

taken by the Indonesian government against the company; see, among others, articles

in the issues dated September 8, 2004; December 22, 2004; and March 28, 2005.

46. Theodore H. Moran, Foreign Direct Investment and Development (Washington, DC:

Institute for International Economics, 1998), pp. 54–56.

47. Richard E. Caves, Multinational Enterprise and Economic Analysis (Cambridge:

Cambridge University Press, 1982), p. 252. Interestingly, this critical comment seems

to have been deleted from the second edition of his textbook.

effects of fdi on ldcs 203

48. Overseas Development Institute, ‘‘Foreign Direct Investment: Who Gains?,’’ Briefing

Paper dated April 2002, p. 1, available online at http://www.odi.org.uk/publications/

briefing/bp_may02.pdf; accessed October 2005.

49. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 1999, Overview, p. xxv.

50. Caves, Multinational Enterprise, 2nd ed., pp. 235, 237.

51. Asian Development Bank, ‘‘Impact of Foreign Direct Investment,’’ Asian Develop-

ment Outlook 2004, p. 4, available online at http://www.adb.org/documents/books/

ADO/2004/part030200.asp; accessed December 2005.

52. Theodore H. Moran, Edward M. Graham, and Magnus Blomström, ‘‘Conclusions

and Implications for FDI Policy in Developing Countries, NewMethods of Research,

and a Future Research Agenda,’’ in Moran, Graham, and Blomström, Does Foreign

Direct Investment Promote Development? (Washington, D.C.: Institute for International

Economics and the center for Global Development, 2005), p. 375.

impact on the international order204

9

why and how multinational corporations have altered international trade

The proliferation of foreign direct investment (FDI) and the rapid,sustained increase in the output of multinational corporations (MNCs) have irreversibly changed the determination of what individual countries

do and do not import and export. Sometime in the 1980s, FDI unobtrusively

passed foreign trade to become the primary vehicle by which large manufacturing

companies sell their goods to customers in foreign countries. The reason for this

transition is straightforward: A growing majority of companies for many reasons

perceive overseas production as the superior business strategy. Dependence on

traditional exports has been eroded by basic changes in the way international

business is conducted.

This chapter examines the various ways in which the FDI/MNC phenomena

created a new era in international trade relations. It examines from various per-

spectives why some analysts believe that competitive strengths of companies may

soon surpass (if they have not already done so) national comparative advantage as

the dominant factor determining the product composition of most countries’

foreign trade. The first section surveys the data demonstrating the extent to which

overseas production as a whole has displaced exports as the primary marketing

vehicle for selling to foreign consumers. Next, a series of case studies examines

the potentially dramatic impact FDI can have on country trade patterns. The

third section examines the long-standing debate about the extent to which the

shift by MNCs to overseas production has reduced—or more likely, increased—

employment and exports in home countries. The final section investigates the

degree to which FDI’s effects on merchandise trade flows may have rendered

traditional trade theory obsolete. After considering the failure of efforts to revise

trade theory to explicitly consider the trade effects of MNC proliferation, the

205

suggestion is made to include FDI as a basic factor determining the product com-

position of host countries’ exports and, to a lesser extent, imports.

Measuring the Changing Foreign Trade–FDI Dynamic

The international trading system has outgrown being a straightforward exchange

of goods and services between countries dictated by their relative economic

strengths and weaknesses. In fact, the spread of FDI has made foreign trade into

a much more complicated process. Depending on circumstances and market

conditions, MNCs as a group can and do affect the volume of trade and alter the

product composition of trade flows. Since the 1970s, a steadily growing per-

centage of trade has consisted of overseas shipments by large MNCs, often to a

company’s subsidiaries in other countries. A significant though incalculable

amount of potential international trade flows no longer takes place because for-

eign markets are increasingly served by overseas production facilities of MNCs in

lieu of exporting finished products from the headquarters country. The con-

temporary trading system can be fully understood only ‘‘in the context of the

operations’’ of MNCs.1 A noted scholar in this field, Edward M. Graham, wrote

in 1996 that ‘‘foreign direct investment has by some measures become even more

important than international trade.’’2 Two Wall Street economists writing three

years later were much less equivocal in making the case for the relative impor-

tance of FDI: ‘‘Trade is no longer the primary vehicle for global interaction and

integration. . . .Foreign direct investment has become the primary means by

which firms compete in markets.’’3

Ripple effects throughout the trading system from the boom in overseas pro-

duction are more than abstractions of interest solely to academics. Output by

foreign subsidiaries is large enough to have broad economic implications, among

which are alterations in national patterns of industrial production, GDP growth

rates, and the creation and loss of jobs. These shifts also have potential political

consequences if changing economic conditions change voters’ satisfaction with

their government’s performance.

Defense of the still contested argument that companies are close to or at the

point of supplanting country characteristics as the principal determinants of in-

ternational trade flows rests primarily on relatively hard data. Perhaps the most

striking corroborative numbers appear in the first chapter of the UNCTAD’s

annualWorld Investment Report. Its estimate of global sales by foreign subsidiaries

in all countries during 2004 was $18.7 trillion, an amount almost double the

recorded total of $11 trillion in worldwide exports of goods and services. The rel-

atively recent growth spurt in the value of overseas production can be seen in two

additional numbers: The 2004 sales total was more than triple the figure for 1990,

impact on the international order206

while the 1982 foreign subsidiaries’ sales total of $2.8 trillion was just slightly in

excess of total of world exports for that year. Exports by foreign subsidiaries in

2004 were estimated at $3.7 trillion, or about one-third of world exports.4 If this

figure is added to the estimates for exports by MNCs from their headquarters

country, the result is the educated guess that approximately two-thirds of all

world trade in goods is accounted for by MNCs.5

The World Trade Organization and UNCTAD secretariats have estimated

that one-third of international trade is now accounted for by intrafirm trade,

transactions between two subsidiaries of the same company in two different

countries, as opposed to arm’s-length sales to an unrelated buyer.6 In addition to

suggesting that a large (and perhaps growing) percentage of trade is conducted

within MNCs, this figure adds weight to the argument that FDI is mostly a

complement to foreign trade, not a replacement for exports from the home coun-

try, as will be discussed. One of China’s largest bilateral trade deficits in 2002 was

with Taiwan. Two-thirds of its imports from Taiwan that year consisted of parts

and components that were then assembled into finished goods in factories owned

by Taiwanese firms.7 GM estimated that it exported more than $1.4 billion in

U.S.-made products, components, and machinery to its facilities in China be-

tween 1998 and 2003.8 The growth of intrafirm trade also relates to the thesis that

the economics of high-tech production has changed many of the rules of inter-

national trade. Increasingly complicated electronics products and automobiles

exemplify the reliance by MNCs on vertical integration in which subsidiaries in

various countries produce and export parts to other subsidiaries for assembly into

finished products that are then sold around the world.

China’s export surge since the mid-1990s is one of the great economic success

stories in the modern era. It is partly explainable by that country’s extraordinary

endowment of reasonably skilled, well-disciplined, and very low-wage workers. A

bigger explanation of this success is not directly related to domestic comparative

advantage. Wholly and partially owned foreign subsidiaries have played a very

significant role that is not widely appreciated. Consensus estimates in 2004 put

their share at about 55 percent (and climbing) of total Chinese exports, up from

less than 6 percent in 1986.9More significantly, the share of exports of technology-

intensive goods accounted for by foreign-controlled companies rose to 81 percent

in 2000; MNCs accounted for more than 90 percent of electronic circuits and

mobile phones exported by China.10

Other countries demonstrate how being a host to multiple foreign-owned

companies can lead to export success in the high-tech sector despite the absence

of indigenous strength in advanced manufacturing and technological know-how.

When theWorld Bank measured high-tech products as a proportion of total man-

ufactured exports during 2002, the highest percentages were achieved by Ireland,

the Philippines (where the top four exporters in 2002 were foreign-owned

why and how mncs have altered international trade 207

companies in the semiconductor sector),11 Singapore, and Malaysia. Because the

largest exporters in these countries mainly consist of foreign-owned information

technology companies, their high-tech exports on average accounted for nearly

60 percent of their manufactures exports. This figure is roughly double the

comparable figures for the world’s two most technologically sophisticated econo-

mies, the United States and Japan (and triple that of Germany).12 Without in-

coming FDI, there is no reason to believe that any of these four countries would

have anything resembling a demonstrable comparative advantage in high-end

electronics products.

Incoming FDI in some cases can reduce a country’s imports; this happens if a

foreign subsidiary begins local manufacture of goods that previously had been

exported to the host country from the MNC’s home country. U.S. imports of

cars from Japan declined in number after the early 1980s despite a steady increase

in the share of the American market enjoyed by Japanese producers. The simple

reason is that all major Japanese automobile companies now sell to American

consumers mainly through their assembly plants in the United States. Imports of

assembly line machinery and certain auto parts may have increased, but U.S.

imports of the finished product are far less than they would have been in the ab-

sence of the incoming FDI that followed in the wake of U.S. government de-

mands for a ceiling on Japanese auto exports (see chapter 6).

MNCs have had a major impact, particularly in the United States, on inter-

national trade policy by becoming the single most important lobbying force on

behalf of liberal trade. (In theory, this influence can work in the opposite di-

rection if a foreign subsidiary presses the host country to restrict imports of goods

that compete with its local production.) By their very nature, multinationals

disdain governments circumscribing their ability to freely move goods, services,

and capital across national borders whenever and wherever corporate strategy

sees fit. American-based MNCs have been the most active and effective voices in

Washington since the 1970s in arguing against imposition of new protectionist

measures. Publicly, they cite fears that they could face retaliation in over-

seas markets; privately, they oppose constraints on their ability to import what-

ever and whenever they want. Interest groups composed of U.S.-owned MNCs,

mainly the Emergency Committee for American Trade and the Business

Roundtable, have been very effective in generating grassroots pressure on mem-

bers of Congress to refrain from passing legislation that would impose new

barriers to imports and to approve legislation enabling U.S. participation in

bilateral, regional, and multilateral trade liberalization agreements. The exact

opposite holds true for ‘‘domestic-based’’ industries, that is, those whose major

producers are non-MNCs lacking overseas subsidiaries. Agriculture, textiles and

apparel, and steel top the list of industries in the United States and many other

countries that have regularly sought reduced import competition. The extent of a

impact on the international order208

sector’s international presence tends to be inversely proportionate to its support

for protectionist trade policies.

Two strikingly different forms of trade policy have at times served to encour-

age companies to invest overseas. Protectionist trade policies created the strat-

egy of tariff jumping, that is, establishing foreign subsidiaries within countries to

bypass import barriers (see chapter 6). Conversely, the process of trade liber-

alization has made vertical FDI feasible by allowing MNCs to freely ship parts

and assembled final products from one country to another on the basis of market

considerations.

Country Case Studies: The Impact of MNCs on National

Trade Performance

Data excluding the role of sales by overseas subsidiaries ‘‘are increasingly partial

and misleading as indicators of national competitiveness or fundamental trends in

the world economy.’’13 The limitations of considering only conventional trade

flows are more apparent in some countries than others.

The United States

The possibility that a major American manufacturing company (outside of the

aerospace and weapons sectors) enjoys sufficient competitive advantage to be will-

ing to rely solely on exporting to sell its products in overseas markets has all but

disappeared. Having a dominant global market share even in the high-tech sector is

no longer sustained by exporting alone, even with a limited number of competitors

and relatively cheap overnight air freight services. For example, Dell is widely

considered to be the most efficient assembler of personal computers in the world

today. It now takes a single worker in its state of the art factories about five minutes

to assemble a PC; the total labor cost is at most 2 percent of the machine.14

Textbook comparative advantage or no, once Dell decided to be a major global

player (overseas sales accounted for 36 percent of net revenue in its 2004 fiscal

year),15 exports became irrelevant to the company’s global strategy. ‘‘Dell is not an

exporter of products from the U.S. to other countries.’’16 Computer equipment

ordered by customers in Europe, Asia, and Latin America is shipped from Dell’s

overseas subsidiaries in Ireland, Malaysia and China, and Brazil, respectively. A

similar global marketing strategy is used by Intel and Microsoft, two other world

giants in their fields that produce products that are easy and cheap to ship.

It has been argued that ‘‘U.S. exports and imports are increasingly dictated by

the strategies of both U.S. and foreign multinationals.’’17 Emphasis on FDI in

overseas marketing means that the traditional goods and services trade balance no

longer adequately measures the total ability of U.S. industry to sell in foreign

why and how mncs have altered international trade 209

markets. The more accurate gauge combines trade and FDI. Step one in con-

structing a broader ‘‘international sales’’ figure for the United States is to add

together annual U.S. exports and annual sales of majority-owned U.S. overseas

subsidiaries (a process that involves some double-counting, as explained shortly).

The second step is to subtract from this figure the total obtained after combining

U.S. imports with sales in the United States of majority-owned subsidiaries of

foreign-based MNCs (which also involves some double-counting). On this basis,

a net U.S. international sales figure would have been in surplus until the start of

the new millennium owing to the fact that sales of overseas U.S. subsidiaries

exceeded sales of foreign-owned subsidiaries in the United States. After that

point, the U.S. goods and services deficit grew so large as to swamp the FDI sales

surplus, and the combined trade/direct investment balance moved into deficit.

The impact of inward and outward FDI on overall U.S. foreign trade flows is

of special significance because the United States is the world’s largest home and

host country for FDI; the book value (original cost) of each is in excess of $1.2

trillion. How inward FDI affects its two-way trade flows can be examined in

some detail because the United States (at least in early 2006) was the only country

regularly publishing comprehensive data on the role of MNCs in its exports and

imports. The statistical relationship between conventional cross-border trade and

production overseas by U.S.-owned MNCs is sufficiently clear that an economic

study by the U.S. International Trade Commission asserted that sales by foreign

subsidiaries are the ‘‘predominant mode of delivering both American goods and

services to foreign customers.’’18

One measure of the growing role of FDI in U.S. trade is the U.S. Department

of Commerce’s disaggregated data showing the amounts of U.S. imports and

exports accounted for by MNC activity. As seen in figure 9.1, roughly 78 percent

of all exports of U.S. goods in 2003 can be linked to various sales transac-

tions involving American MNCs, their overseas subsidiaries, and subsidiaries of

foreign-owned MNCs operating in the United States. More than one-fifth of all

exports were intrafirm transactions, that is, sales of components, raw materials,

and finished goods by U.S. parents directly to their foreign affiliates (a synonym

for subsidiaries preferred by the Department of Commerce). Exports by majority-

owned foreign subsidiaries located in the United States contributed an impres-

sive 21 percent of U.S. goods exports (up from 15.5 percent of total U.S. exports

in 1987), a figure bolstered by large shipments from subsidiaries of Japanese

trading companies. Some kind of MNC-related activity accounted for nearly

two-thirds of total U.S. imports in 2003 (see figure 9.2).

Since the late 1970s, annual sales of goods and services produced by majority-

owned U.S. foreign subsidiaries have been more than twice as large as U.S.

exports (the ratio has been growing in recent years, the result of subsidiaries’

annual sales growing faster than exports). Total sales of majority-owned U.S.

impact on the international order210

Imports Shipped to U.S. Parent Companies by

Foreigners Other Than Their Own

Affiliates: 18%

Intra-MNC Imports (U.S.-Owned MNCs):

15%

Imports Not Associated with MNCs:

36%

Imports Shipped by U.S.-Owned

Overseas Affiliates to U.S. Persons Other Than Their Own Parents:

3%

Imports to Majority-Owned U.S. Affiliates of Foreign-Owned

MNCs: 28%

figure 9.2. U.S. trade in goods associated with MNCs in 2003. MNC-associated

imports (64%). Total imports: $1,257 billion.

Exports Shipped by U.S. Parent Companies to Foreigners Other

Than Their Own Affiliates: 31%

Intra-MNC Exports (U.S.-Owned MNCs):

22%

Exports Not Associated with MNCs:

22%

Exports Shipped to U.S.-Owned Overseas Affiliates by U.S.

Persons Other Than Their Own Parents:

4%

Exports by Majority-Owned U.S. Affiliates of Foreign-Owned

MNCs: 21%

figure 9.1. U.S. trade in goods associated with MNCs in 2003. MNC-associated exports (78%). Total exports: $725 billion. Source:U.S. Commerce Department,

Bureau of Economic Analysis.

why and how mncs have altered international trade 211

overseas operations in 2003 were $2.9 trillion,19 as compared to goods and ser-

vices exports of $1 trillion; this means that only 26 percent of ‘‘total deliveries’’ of

U.S. goods and services to foreign customers in that year were in the form of tra-

ditional cross-border exports. However, these numbers somewhat overstate the

role of foreign production in U.S. global commercial success probably by at least

20 percent. This results from the double-counting of some foreign subsidiaries’

sales incorporating components imported from the United States and other sales

consisting of exports from American-based companies to overseas wholesal-

ing and retailing affiliates. In addition, the Department of Commerce’s compi-

lation of all sales by overseas subsidiaries includes oil extracted and sold

abroad by U.S.-owned oil companies, not a true measure of American corporate

competitiveness.

The ratio for sales to Western European customers is even more striking.

Sales ofmajority-ownedU.S. subsidiaries in Europe in 2003 (some ofwhichwould

have been sold outside Europe) exceeded $1.5 trillion, compared to U.S. exports

to Western Europe of only $166 billion. This is a nine-to-one ratio and means

that 90 percent of all goods delivered by American companies to European

customers in 2003 came from their local subsidiaries.20

European multinationals use exactly the same marketing priorities in selling to

U.S.-based customers. Sales of majority-owned Western European subsidiaries

in the United States were estimated at $1.3 trillion in 2003, five times greater

than U.S. imports of $266 billion in that year. Germany surpassed the United

States in 2003 as the world’s largest, most successful exporting country, but its

companies sold four and a half times more in the United States in that year

through their majority-ownedU.S.-based subsidiaries ($301 billion) than through

exporting.21 Despite the strong surge in U.S. imports since the 1990s, total sales

of goods produced by foreign subsidiaries in the United States have grown

steadily. Their $2.1 trillion of sales in 2003 were well in excess of total imports of

U.S. goods and services ($1.5 trillion) and had grown to be five times larger than

their U.S. sales in 1980.22

One final statistical note: U.S. FDI in China did not reach significant levels

until the mid- to late 1990s, yet by 2003, sales by American-controlled enter-

prises in that booming market were nearly twice as large as U.S. exports to it.23

FDI’s Radical Makeovers: Ireland and Singapore

Ireland and Singapore can both point to FDI as the most important factor in their

highly successful, sustained, and largely export-led economic growth rates over

the past two decades. The surge in sophisticated, capital-intensive exports by

both countries was not home-grown: An estimated 90 percent of their exports of

manufactured goods is accounted for by an impressive assemblage of world-class

impact on the international order212

MNCs operating there.24 In other words, virtually none of Singapore’s or Ireland’s

exports of manufactured goods has anything to do with domestic companies or the

countries’ relative endowments of land, labor, and capital. In the words of Robert

Lipsey, ‘‘One could not have predicted the current comparative advantage of

Ireland from its comparative advantage before inward investment was liberalized,

which was that of an agricultural country.’’25

Within the span of a generation, Ireland went from one of the least developed

and slowest growing economies of Western Europe to become a major exporter of

microprocessors (it is the home to the largest Intel chip manufacturing operation

outside of the United States, and Intel is the country’s largest exporter), com-

puters, pharmaceuticals, and medical equipment. Ireland claims to have sur-

passed the United States to become the world’s largest exporter of software,

90 percent of which is shipped by subsidiaries of foreign companies.26 Much of

the impetus behind the rise of the Irish economy since the 1970s ‘‘can be ex-

plained in terms of the quite phenomenal growth of export-oriented FDI in manu-

facturing, from a zero base in the late 1950s to a situation where [in the late 1990s]

almost 65 per cent of gross output . . . in manufacturing is in foreign-owned export-

oriented firms.’’27

Within the span of a generation, Singapore made the transition from poor

colony, whose economy had been heavily dependent on a British naval base, to

affluent exporter of advanced electronics, precision engineering, and other high

value-added goods. Here, too, the sophisticated composition of their exports does

not reflect any conventional measure of relative endowments of land, labor, and

capital. In fact, at the time it achieved independence in 1965, the political lead-

ership concluded that the small island lacked the capital, market size, and natural

resources to industrialize to the degree necessary to reduce unemployment and

enhance living standards. An additional problem was the domestic business sec-

tor having had expertise in entrepôot trade, but not domestic manufacturing or

exporting domestically produced goods. Lee Kuan Yew, the first prime minister

and architect of Singapore’s economic modernization, wrote of his belief that

despite their poor image at the time, MNCs were the only answer to the new

country’s deep-rooted economic problems and bleak prospects. Economic de-

velopment strategies revolved around the priority goal of making ‘‘it possible for

investors to operate successfully and profitably in Singapore despite our lack of a

domestic market and natural resources. . . .Had we waited for our traders to learn

to be industrialists, we would have starved.’’28

The inferred linkage in these two countries between well above-average

economic success and well above-average inflows of FDI raises one red flag. If

trends were to dramatically change, both countries might find that they had gone

too far in depending on foreign-controlled companies for sustaining their pros-

perity while doing little to foster their own world-class industrial companies.

why and how mncs have altered international trade 213

All That Glitters Is Not Gold: Costa Rica and Hungary

Incoming FDI has been sufficient in a few countries to have had a dramatic effect

on trade, but its long-term growth has been insufficient to directly boost GDP

growth, national income, and the overall employment rate on a sustained basis to

the extent it did in Ireland and Singapore. At first glance, an MNC-induced

export boom is dramatic testament to the virtue of incoming FDI because in most

cases, it is inconceivable that the kinds and value of manufactured goods sub-

sequently exported would have been possible without the output of foreign-

controlled companies. Like somuch else that surrounds this subject area, however,

a closer examination yields a more ambiguous story. Big MNC-induced increases

in exports sometime are accompanied by nearly as large MNC-induced increases

in imports. An increase in imports is a function of the extent to which a foreign

subsidiary is producing goods from scratch for the local market as opposed to as-

sembling components, mostly produced in another country, for reexport to other

markets. Although a foreign subsidiary under normal circumstances exports at

least slightly more than it imports, repatriated profits also may limit the net for-

eign exchange earnings produced by FDI in a host country. The extent of earnings

retained in-country is based on decisions by individual MNCs in connection with

plans to upgrade and/or expand their overseas subsidiaries and corporate tax

considerations.

In theory, Costa Rica should not be exporting state-of-the-art microproces-

sors (also called logic chips and central processing units) because it is a middle-

level developing country, lacking in capital and technological know-how relative

to advanced industrialized countries. In theory, Intel, the world’s largest maker

of semiconductors, could rely solely on exports: It has a comfortable majority of

the world market for the semiconductor chips that are the brains of computers

and networking and telecommunications systems. These highly sophisticated

integrated circuits are relatively capital-intensive to manufacture and relatively

nonlabor-intensive to test and assemble. Plus they are small and light enough to

be cheaply air-freighted by the tens of thousands.

In practice, the situation is different. Costa Rica’s human capital, stable and

competent government, and business-friendly economic policies bestow on it a

comparative advantage in attracting certain kinds of FDI. Intel was interested in

further geographic diversification to minimize unforeseen risks that could disrupt

production or shipments of product to customers and to dilute the risk of new

legislation that could increase production costs. The company’s actions also

suggested an interest in reducing labor costs in the testing and assembly phases of

chip making and in receiving tax incentives to further lower production costs.

Presumably, it does not believe its dominant market share makes it permanently

invulnerable to price cutting and innovations by competitors.29

impact on the international order214

Costa Rica became a major exporter of what may be the world’s most so-

phisticated manufactured product, not for traditional trade reasons but because

of a foreign-owned facility built in 1997 to test and do the final assembly for the

microprocessors whose design and ultra-complex circuitry had been produced in

the United States. The approximate impact of the billion-dollar-plus annual

overseas shipments by Intel’s subsidiary is reflected in the increase in Costa

Rica’s exports from $4 billion in 1996 to $6 billion in 1999. A disaggregation of

the country’s exports for 2000 showed that Intel’s overseas shipments of $1.7

billion accounted for about one-quarter of the country’s total exports. Forty-four

percent of its exports in that year were accounted for by the twenty largest for-

eign MNC exporters.30

This is only part of the story of the effects of the Intel investment on Costa

Rica’s balance of payments and foreign exchange earnings. As is the case with any

foreign subsidiary, there are two potentially offsetting factors that in any given

year can negate much or even all of the benefits of incremental exports. Ac-

cording to official statistics, Costa Rica exported microprocessor chips valued at

$1.4 billion in 2003, but it was also importing unassembled chips valued at $1

billion, to which it was adding value, not making from scratch.31 That virtually all

of this two-way trade was accounted for by Intel is suggested by U.S. government

trade data showing that U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to Costa Rica in that

year were $1 billion.32

The second factor mitigating the positive impact on Costa Rica’s overall bal-

ance of payments is the apparent profitability of the subsidiary; it can be as-

sumed that in most years, Intel repatriates a varying amount of profits back to

its California headquarters. This is suggested by the jump in the country’s in-

come payments remitted to other countries from $434 million in 1997 to $1.5

billion in 2000.33 Confidentiality precludes a public breakdown of exactly how

much of this total can be attributed to Intel. In any given year, the company’s

headquarters could be a net exporter of capital to Costa Rica as it presumably was

in 1999, when it built a second plant there. Even if one were to make the probably

incorrect assumption that this subsidiary provided minimal net foreign exchange

earnings over an extended period of time, this would not negate the considerable

internal benefits accruing from increased employment with relatively high wages,

enhanced labor skills, local procurement, the showcasing of Costa Rica as a good

place for FDI, and so on.

The big-export-increment/big-import-increment syndrome is also evident in

Hungary, one of the premier success stories of Central and Eastern European

countries making the transition from a government-owned command economy to a

market-based order. Exports grew by a robust 300 percent plus between 1991 and

2003, but imports jumped by almost 400 percent. Both increases reflect the pro-

pensity of foreign subsidiaries to reexport goods assembled from components

why and how mncs have altered international trade 215

mostly made elsewhere. According to estimates, 80 to 90 percent of Hungary’s ex-

ports are shipped by foreign-owned or -controlled subsidiaries.34 Approximately 45

percent of total exports in 2000 came from just the fifty largest MNC exporters.35

The country’s top three export goods—telecommunications appliances, auto en-

gines, and automobiles—are FDI driven; they accounted for 18 percent of total ex-

ports in 2002, up from virtually zero in 1992, the pre-FDI era.36 The secretariat

of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) in 2004

attributed much of the strong growth of the Hungarian economy since 1997 to

a ‘‘dynamic export sector largely made up of foreign-invested firms and rapid

integration into European production networks.’’37 MNCs, in the words of

the UNCTAD Secretariat, ‘‘have been the main drivers of export growth in

Hungary.’’38

Although there is no evidence of incoming FDI harming the economic de-

velopment of Hungary, neither is there any convincing evidence that it has forged

strong links with the domestic economic sector and created substantial numbers

of jobs outside the export sector. Much of the work of foreign subsidiaries con-

sists of assembling imported components for reexport to higher wage Western

European countries. Local sourcing of intermediate goods to date appears to have

been relatively limited. Some worry that the country has become too dependent

on foreign companies, one result of which is a diminution of efforts to nur-

ture domestic entrepreneurship.

Export Success without MNCs: Japan and South Korea

In keeping with the theme that avoiding generalizations is the best approach to

studying the subject matter, Japan and South Korea represent clear-cut case studies

of great export success being attained by countries without any meaningful boost

from inward FDI (and with no meaningful endowments of natural resources).

Japan’s overriding priority afterWorldWar II was to rebuild its shattered economy

without compromising its strong, unstinting historical drive to keep external in-

fluences at arm’s length. Preservation of its much cherished 2,000-year-old culture

was of utmost importance. Maintaining control over its economic destiny was

incompatible with opening the doors to strong American companies at a time when

the weakened Japanese economy was highly vulnerable to foreign competition.

Profit-maximizing Western companies, unlikely to understand or comply with

unique informal rules of the Japanese system (e.g., close cooperation between

industry and government, collusion among big firms, etc.) would be far more

trouble than they were worth. Restrictions—all FDI through the late 1960s was

prohibited unless specifically approved by the government—kept majority-owned

foreign subsidiaries to an absolute minimum until the 1990s. Even after controls

were eased, relatively high land costs, difficulties in hiring skilled local personnel,

impact on the international order216

continued prohibitions on unfriendly takeovers, and zoning hassles limited the

number of foreign companies establishing a manufacturing subsidiary there.

The subsequent Japanese economic miracle, as it was rightly called, did not

seem in any way hampered by the dearth of foreign-owned or -controlled sub-

sidiaries. Superlative Japanese companies in sectors like electronics, automobiles,

and precision instruments achieved world class status in a relatively short period of

time. The country’s record of export growth from the 1960s until the early 1990s

was the best in the world. It long enjoyed the world’s biggest merchandise trade

surplus until being passed by China in 2005. Major production innovations such as

just-in-time delivery, an unprecedented ability to seek out and license new foreign

technologies and products, willingness to disregard profits in the short run, fi-

nancial assistance from the Japanese government, and a nearly fanatical drive to

succeed in foreign markets created a mighty export machine devoid of non-

Japanese MNCs. Despite a much more welcoming environment for incoming

direct investment since the late 1990s (particularly to rescue distressed domestic

companies), Japan remains an outlier. The book value of inward FDI as a per-

centage of GDP is by far the lowest among industrial countries, only 2 percent in

2003; this is one-tenth the average percentage for developed countries as a group.39

South Korea was a less developed country (LDC) with rather bleak prospects

at the start of the 1960s. It was recovering from a destructive civil war, lacked

natural resources, and was heavily dependent on U.S. foreign aid. By the start of

the millennium, steady economic growth and the emergence of a world-class

manufacturing sector qualified it for membership in the OECD, the economic

policy coordinating group open only to advanced industrialized countries. Korea

was the twelfth largest exporter in the world in 2005, thanks mainly to technolog-

ically sophisticated products such as semiconductors and automobiles. Never-

theless, it, too, followed the Japanese model of barring most FDI because of acute

sensitivity to foreign domination and confidence that it could succeed econom-

ically on its own. Korea, in the words of UNCTAD, ‘‘remains one of the few

examples of a developing country that has become an export winner mainly by

way of low-equity relationships’’ with MNCs.40 The book value of its inward

FDI was an unusually low 1.8 percent of GDP in 1995, the period just prior to

its financial crisis, which forced a policy about-face. In fact, inward FDI in what

is an attractive market for such investments was marginally lower as a percent of

GDP than the percentage of Korea’s outward FDI in that year.

The Debate over Displaced Exports and Lost Jobs

One of the few FDI/MNC controversies concerning their impact on the interests

of the home country is the question of the extent (if any) to which overseas

why and how mncs have altered international trade 217

production causes the loss of exports and the jobs that come along with them. The

debate was initiated in the United States in the early 1970s when the American

Federation of Labor–Congress of Industrial Organizations (AFL-CIO) aban-

doned its liberal trade policy stance and switched to advocacy of new restrictions

on imports and on FDI by American companies. The labor confederation’s ob-

jective was to curb the alleged increase in the export of American jobs.

Critics of MNCs view the issue in terms of a commonsense argument: When a

company switches its marketing strategy from exporting to serving foreign mar-

kets through production by overseas subsidiaries, workers in the home country

that have been producing the affected goods or services are likely to lose their

jobs. Those persons sensitive to the interests of workers are further incensed by

the anecdotal evidence indicating that some companies threaten their workers

with moving production facilities to another country if they do not accept man-

agement’s offers of frozen or reduced wages and benefits or if workers declare

their intent to unionize. Both of these scenarios add fuel to the fires of those who

view globalization and MNCs as unfair, unjustifiable exploitation of the majority

by a small minority.

There is, of course, the inevitable other side of the story and tinge of vague-

ness. Unequivocal proof is absent because of the counterfactual dilemma com-

mon to most FDI/MNC controversies: There is no way to know how well or

poorly exports of specific goods from a specific company would have held up if

individual overseas subsidiaries had not been established. Only turning back time

and prohibiting specific overseas investment projects would allow an empirical

measure of whether jobs and exports would have been preserved, increased, or

lost in the absence of a move to overseas production.

The most appropriate answer to the conundrum of the impact of FDI on

home countries’ exports is this study’s often repeated refrain: It depends. First, it

depends on what exactly is being measured: specific jobs and exports or aggregate

employment and exports. If the focus is on the former, it is probable that at least

some companies will export less following the establishment of one or more for-

eign factories specifically designed as substitutes for exporting. In addition, some

workers can be expected to lose their jobs. In the United States, the most vul-

nerable workers, as is usually the case, would be those having relatively low skills

and education. The result is a question of fairness, a political and social issue, not

really an economic one because only a small fraction of a country’s total work-

force is adversely affected by foreign subsidiaries coming online. The precise

number of export sector workers who otherwise would have permanently

retained their jobs in the absence of FDI has never been determined for any host

country and probably never will.

Efforts to compile convincing evidence of direct causation between new

outward FDI and job losses are further hampered by a number of possible miti-

impact on the international order218

gating circumstances. For example, there is no reason to assume that an outsider

can know if a company shifting production overseas has truly exaggerated the

need to preserve foreign markets through FDI. In the long term, a company’s

exports might shrivel because changing overseas market conditions would best

have been addressed by FDI. Faulty strategy by a company mistakenly sticking to

the marketing status quo, instead of shifting production overseas to maintain

competitiveness, could in theory be the cause of diminished competitiveness and

losses of jobs and exports in the home country. When overseas subsidiaries

are established to skirt newly imposed import barriers, the case that a steady to

growing level of exports would have continued in their absence is dubious at best.

Another microeconomic variable is the number of workers whose production

tasks have been shifted to an overseas subsidiary of their companies but who do

not lose their jobs. Rising domestic demand for the product they were assembling

could leave production schedules unchanged in home country factories. In ad-

dition, workers may be switched to producing other corporate products that are

enjoying growing sales at home or abroad. Furthermore, if a company regularly

introduces new or improved versions of products, as successful exporters and

MNCs tend to do, it may simply reassign the assembly line workers no longer

producing the old line of exports to a newly opened assembly line elsewhere in

the factory. Laying off workers is not necessarily the outcome of a dynamic,

growing company’s recourse to overseas production for a specific product.

If analysis is made at the macro level, the plight of the relative few who may

have lost jobs becomes a secondary issue in economic terms. No universal, one-

to-one relationship exists between jobs lost to FDI—or imports for that matter—

and the aggregate size of a country’s labor force. Even assuming some job losses

from runaway plants and rising imports, the business cycle in a market economy

is the critical variable determining overall demand for labor. Domestic economic

conditions in turn are the main determinant of whether those unemployed (for

any reason) can find new jobs and whether most of these jobs pay as much or

more than those lost.

Similarly, even if some degree of lost exports is assumed after expanded

overseas production, the home country does not necessarily suffer a loss in ag-

gregate exports. Indirect statistical evidence exists to suggest that most overseas

direct investment is complementary with exports, not a substitute. Establishment

of overseas production facilities can be simultaneously trade-displacing and

trade-creating. As previously demonstrated in this chapter, intrafirm trade has

grown steadily in the wake of the proliferation of MNCs. There are data for a few

countries indicating that exports of different products increase when domestic

companies establish foreign subsidiaries. The new wave of exports includes raw

materials, components, and capital equipment, that is, machinery for the assem-

bly line. It is also common for overseas manufacturing subsidiaries to serve as

why and how mncs have altered international trade 219

distributors for models of finished products (some of which may not have pre-

viously known export success) that continue to be manufactured only in the

headquarters country. Not every FDI venture generates a level of exports near or

above those that have been displaced. It depends on the nature of the subsidi-

ary. Vertical integration consisting of subsidiaries created for final assembly

and re-export of intermediate goods manufactured at corporate headquarters is

likely to have a robust effect on exports from the parent company and capi-

tal goods producers in the home country. Conversely, in cases of horizontal FDI

where a subsidiary is tasked with manufacturing consumer goods for the local

market, the likelihood of a fully offsetting increase in exports—assuming the

parent company previously had been exporting to that market—is possible but

less likely, especially if parts or ingredients can be obtained locally.

Two additional variables undermine the validity of generalizations about the

negative trade impact of FDI on home countries. The first concerns the extent to

which existing flows of exports are physically displaced. Overseas subsidiaries

may be established to develop sales in a foreign market before significant export

penetration has been achieved. China exemplifies a super-fast growing market

that prior to the late 1980s was not an export destination for American compa-

nies. Profit potential, not preservation of an existing volume of exports, was the

dominant motive for these companies to invest in that country. American workers

might have suffered what economists call an opportunity cost when U.S-owned

or controlled factories were opened in China. It is theoretically possible that U.S.

exports and jobs would have grown dramatically in the absence of direct in-

vestments there. Once again, magnitude is a hypothetical; it cannot be known for

sure by how much and for how long exports would have grown if FDI had not

taken place. Moreover, as already indicated, a successful new subsidiary can re-

sult in a net increase in exports from the headquarters country. A final variable

influencing the impact of outward direct investment on a home country’s trade

balance is the amount of goods foreign subsidiaries export back to it. This is not

common in the case of the United States, although many U.S.-owned plants in

Mexico were established to make goods for sale in the American market. Many

Japanese companies shifted production of labor-intensive components to subs-

idiaries in lower labor cost Asian countries, a strategy that increased Japanese

imports but helped sustain the global price competitiveness of a wide variety of

domestically produced finished goods.

For the United States at least, FDI as a whole has not yet been shown to be

an unequivocal cause of serious or sustained harm to aggregate exports or

employment. The nonpartisan U.S. International Trade Commission issued a

study in 2000 that stated, ‘‘The balance of evidence indicates that U.S. exports

tend to be positively associated with U.S. direct investment abroad’’ and that the

data indicate that ‘‘U.S. direct investment abroad is a complement to, rather than

impact on the international order220

a substitute for, U.S. exports.’’41 The 1991 report of the President’s Council of

Economic Advisers asserted that ‘‘On a net basis, it is highly doubtful that U.S.

direct investment abroad reduces U.S. exports or displaces U.S. jobs’’ (emphasis in

original). The gist of the reason for making this conclusion is that FDI helps

American companies be more competitive internationally and allocate their re-

sources more efficiently, both of which tend to create exports and jobs.42 A com-

parative study of American, Japanese, and Swedish-based MNCs determined

that parent companies’ worldwide exports tend to be large, relative to their output,

when the firms’ overseas production is large.43 Long-time FDI scholar Robert

Lipsey posits, ‘‘There is probably no universal relationship between outward

investment and home-country exports, and to the extent that any relationship is

present, outward FDI is more often found to promote exports than to compete

with them.’’44

UNCTAD, which is controlled by the developing countries, analyzed the

trade-FDI nexus in a slightly different manner:

FDI and trade flows are determined simultaneously. . . .The issue is no

longer whether trade leads to FDI or FDI to trade; whether FDI substi-

tutes for trade or trade substitutes for FDI or whether they complement

each other. Rather, it is: how do firms access resources—wherever they are

located—in the interest of organizing production as profitably as possible

for the national, regional, or global markets they wish to serve? . . .The

decision where to locate . . . is a decision where to invest and from where to

trade. . . . It follows that, increasingly, what matters are the factors that

make particular locations advantageous for particular activities.45

A discussion of the impact of outward FDI on exports is not complete without

mention of the possibility of a reverse correlation between the two phenomena. A

credible case can be made that the absence of majority-owned subsidiaries in a

foreign market may impede a country’s ability to export. Indirect support for such

a thesis comes from a comparison of two statistical correlations that spanned

more than thirty years beginning in the early 1960s. The first is the existence of a

strong U.S. export performance and chronic U.S. trade surpluses with Western

Europe (that lasted until the early 1990s when the U.S. trade balance began to

deteriorate universally) despite the fact that a clear majority of large American

exporting companies were mainly supplying European customers with products

made by subsidiaries within the EU.

The second correlation is the relatively poor U.S. export performance that

contributed to chronic bilateral trade deficits with Japan on the one hand, and the

relative dearth of FDI by American manufacturing companies in that county on

the other hand. Dennis Encarnation, a Harvard Business School professor,

why and how mncs have altered international trade 221

advanced the novel thesis that the main reason behind the long string of U.S.

trade deficits with Japan was the fact that formal and informal Japanese barriers

had severely limited the number of incoming majority-owned U.S. manu-

facturing subsidiaries, ‘‘long . . . the principal sources of foreign sales’’ by these

companies.

FDI has moved national competition beyond simple bilateral rivalries to

encompass multilateral contests among the far-flung (but closely linked)

subsidiaries of multinational corporations. Today, these transformations

must be acknowledged and regarded as fundamental; in their wake, old

standards of international trade and bilateral relations have been rendered

insufficient as fair measures of national success in economic rivalries among

industrialized countries. . . . In Japan, the lower incidence of majority [sic]

U.S. subsidiaries has effectively denied to American multinationals the

same access for U.S. exports that they have enjoyed in other industrialized

countries.46

Is an ‘‘MNC-Centric’’ Trading System Compatible

with Trade Theory?

Given the extent to which the global spread of MNCs has altered the compo-

sition of international trade flows, it logically follows that the two-centuries-old

body of theory used to explain the underlying dynamics and results of trade

might be totally out of date. Exactly how much FDI-induced change has deval-

ued traditional (classical and neoclassical) trade theory47 is another complex

question having no single, universally applicable answer. Two different charac-

terizations of the impact on trade theory can be given depending on which of two

perspectives is used to evaluate the situation; the first looks only at traditional

theory, while the other perspective incorporates efforts by a growing number of

theorists to expand and modernize it.

The strongest case for devalued relevance can be made when examining the

well-known core elements of classical and neoclassical trade theory. The long

revered theory of comparative advantage has become part of popular culture, at

least in the United States, in large part because it is in the curriculum of every

university course dealing with the basic concepts of foreign trade. To say that the

logic of comparative advantage has been repealed outright is to overstate the case.

However, the cumulative impact of the spread of FDI and MNCs, together with

other business and economic changes, has been to leave only the rudimentary

concepts of classical and neoclassical theory in sync with current patterns of in-

ternational competitiveness and trade flows. At the heart of David Ricardo’s early

impact on the international order222

nineteenth-century theory of comparative advantage is the assertion that if two

countries specialize in the production of only those goods that each can produce

relatively more efficiently and then exchange the goods with one another, both

countries are better off than if they had not specialized and engaged in trade.48

Utilizing limited resources in the most efficient manner is mutually advantageous

because specialization of production followed by a maximum flow of trade (rel-

atively efficiently produced goods in exchange for goods that would be relatively

costly to produce at home) would expand output, reduce costs and prices, and

increase the material well-being of both parties by allowing for increased con-

sumption.

The most important reason that at least the essence of this premise remains

valid is that countries still differ in terms of their relative abundance of capital,

labor, land, and natural resources. It follows then that all things held constant,

countries would tend to be relatively more efficient in producing and exporting

goods that require relatively intensive use of their most plentiful and therefore

relatively cheap factor. Comparative advantage is the intellectual lodestar for

the pursuit of liberal trade policies in which governments impose a minimum of

barriers and distortions to the flow of international commerce determined by free

market forces. Free trade based on comparative advantage is consistent with the

belief held by the vast majority of economists (at least those trained in the so-

called Anglo-Saxon school) that in economic theory terms, the ultimate logic of

foreign trade is the opportunity for countries to obtain goods that others can

produce more efficiently and cheaply. Exporting, according to this theory, is

merely the means to pay for the ends, i.e., imports.

Classical trade theory does not make reference to FDI because, for reasons

discussed in chapter 3, it did not exist as such in the early 1800s. Still, the

principle of comparative advantage is observable in the fact that MNCs establish

overseas subsidiaries in labor-abundant, relatively low-wage LDCs for the pur-

pose of minimizing the cost of making relatively standardized, labor-intensive

goods, most or all of which will be exported. The theory is also consistent with

the preponderance of relatively high value-added manufacturing FDI being lo-

cated in industrialized countries with skilled, albeit well-paid workers and large,

growing, and prosperous markets.

Once beyond these arguments, however, the specifics of traditional trade

theory begin to unravel. Accusations of invalid assumptions and debilitating

obsolescence are mainly aimed at a crucial follow-up to Ricardo’s identification of

comparative advantage. Two Swedish economists, Eli Heckscher and Bertil

Ohlin, in the early twentieth century purported to explain why comparative ad-

vantage exists. Their theorem is traditionally explained by an oversimplified

model consisting of two countries exchanging two products, one a light manu-

facture and the other an agricultural commodity—not the closest representation

why and how mncs have altered international trade 223

of today’s sophisticated manufactured goods and complex trading patterns. A

more serious shortcoming is that the theorem is based on a number of assump-

tions that even if they were valid 100 years ago, are clearly unrealistic in today’s

world economy. The conclusions of any theory are only as good as its assump-

tions, and the assumptions in this instance have problems. Some trade theorists,

wrote John Dunning, ‘‘were less concerned with explanations of the composition

of goods and factors actually traded across boundaries . . . than with theorizing on

what would occur if, in the real world, certain conditions were present.’’49

A clearly outdated assumption of neoclassical trade theory is immobility of

capital (and labor) across national borders; if true, companies would be severely

hampered in transferring production abroad to take advantage of cheaper labor.

Among several other untenable assumptions are constant returns to scale (cor-

porate size does not count in traditional trade theory, so incremental production

was presumed not to reduce marginal costs and permit economies of scale), per-

fect competition (monopolies tend to distort the influence of factor endowments),

ease of market entry to any new or existing company wishing to adopt new product

lines, and comparable technological capability. Information about technology was

presumed to be freely available to all interested parties in all countries. In the

real world, technology is protected by patents. Heckscher-Ohlin’s assumption of

perfect competition conflicts with the new reality that high-tech firms face fixed

costs in the billions of dollars to bring major new products to market. The result

is that the arrival of new competitors is relatively infrequent; companies without

vast financial resources face major barriers to market entry.

The traditional version of comparative advantage is inconsistent with two

observable realities associated with the contemporary flow and composition of

international trade. A large majority of trade takes place among industrialized

countries possessing similar levels of technology and comparable factor endow-

ments. A newer trend is the sharp increase in intra-industry trade, in which

industrialized countries export and import the same general kinds of manu-

factured goods. Neither of these trade realities reflects specialization based on

relative efficiency. Rather, they reflect two basic changes in business economics,

specifically increasing product differentiation and specialization within many

manufacturing sectors, e.g. automobiles, machinery, and chemicals; and secondly,

the efficiencies accruing to big companies from economies of scale, or more

specifically, increasing returns to scale.

Economies of scale occur when a company is able to reduce average unit

production costs by increasing the amount of total output, i.e., output grows by

a greater amount in proportion to increases in capital and labor inputs. Volume

can bring lower unit costs in several ways. A company can amortize fixed costs

over a larger sales base, enable production line workers to move more quickly

down the learning curve by mastering assembly techniques and finding short-

impact on the international order224

cuts, and stand a better chance of being able to demand lower prices from sup-

pliers and contractors. With the more advanced industrial countries being fairly

similar in their competitive strengths, intense pressure exists among world-class

manufacturing companies to gain a competitive edge from better technology and

lower production costs than rivals and would-be rivals.

The Heckscher-Ohlin theorem also can be faulted for implicitly assuming im-

mutable differences in countries’ relative endowments of land, labor, and capital,

the three principal factors of production and the presumed main determinants of

national competitiveness. Immutability in turn implies that a country’s com-

parative advantage was effectively permanent. In other words, it would be dif-

ficult to impossible for a capital-poor, technology-deficient country to upgrade its

productivity and know-how to catch up with the most technologically sophisti-

cated countries in the manufacture of more sophisticated, up-market goods.

The policy inference is that economic policy-makers should accept domestic

production and foreign trade as being based on a presumably unalterable status

quo. The theorem does not mention the MNC, despite the facts that it now

regularly alters factor proportions of host countries and that relative levels of

corporate technological sophistication obviously have become very important de-

terminants of who exports and imports what.

The behavior of contemporary MNCs is inconsistent with traditional trade

theory in several other ways. Most FDI consists of companies based in indus-

trialized countries investing in other industrialized countries whose relative fac-

tor endowment is similar to their home country. Production costs therefore tend

to be roughly comparable and occasionally even slightly higher. When MNCs

from wealthy industrialized countries establish subsidiaries in similar economies,

they in effect have issued a vote of no confidence in the ability of comparative

advantage in the home country to ensure a desired level of sales to foreign cus-

tomers. FDI has overtaken exporting because it has become the corporate method

of choice to preserve and expand overseas markets for most manufactured goods.

The classical and neoclassical calculation of comparative advantage ignores the

increasing importance of corporate entrepreneurship (as later articulated by Jo-

seph Schumpeter) in producing innovations that can change a country’s inter-

national trade profile. This is an acceptable omission in a nineteenth-century

model in which two countries are trading wine and cloth, but not in a real world

of multiple countries trading myriad technology-intensive and differenti-

ated manufactured goods where being first to market can be critically important.

‘‘National prosperity is created, not inherited. . . . A nation’s competitiveness

depends on the capacity of its industry to innovate and upgrade,’’ wrote Michael

Porter.50 ‘‘At best, factor comparative advantage theory is coming to be seen as

useful primarily for explaining broad tendencies in the patterns of trade . . . rather

than whether a nation exports or imports in individual industries.’’51 While

why and how mncs have altered international trade 225

patterns of trade are still influenced by the skills and costs of labor in different

locales, it is not comparative advantage in a literal sense that matters, but the

overall productivity of a location in combining all inputs (including imported

components) into finished goods.52

Traditional trade theory does not explain why a Finnish company, Nokia,

began as a paper mill as befits its origins in a country with a rich endowment of

forests, but eventually grew into a sprawling multinational enterprise after be-

coming the innovative force and world market leader in the manufacture of cell

phones. Comparative advantage does not explain why research at Intel developed

and still dominates the microprocessor field. This company and Advanced Mi-

cro Devices Corporation are solely responsible for the United States being the

world’s largest exporter of logic chips, while the country simultaneously is a large

net importer of memory chips. The latter is also a member of the integrated cir-

cuit family, a differentiated product that American companies are hard-pressed

to produce as cheaply as some East Asian countries. Neither can traditional the-

ory explain why Intel has extensive overseas production to augment exports (see

the first section of this chapter). The growing importance of company innovation

relative to innate national comparative advantage is further suggested by the

potential ability of a handful of bright software engineers in any of several dozen

countries to get together in a basement, come up with a better antivirus or an-

tispam program, and start a successful exporting company. ‘‘In today’s inte-

grated, knowledge-based, world economy, there is an international division of

mental labor.’’53

FDI also has changed trade patterns by transferring technology and manu-

facturing capabilities that can reduce or eliminate the need for host countries to

import goods that they previously were unable to produce themselves. By com-

bining a parent company’s proprietary technology, production techniques, and

marketing savvy with relatively well-educated and dedicated workers, an overseas

subsidiary may be able to create competitive advantage in a host country in very

short order. The result is that market forces generated by a foreign-controlled

or -owned company have trumped comparative disadvantage and created do-

mestic production that is sufficiently efficient to reduce or eliminate imports of

certain manufactured goods. Looked at from the opposite direction, establish-

ment of overseas subsidiaries under certain conditions can terminate the exports

of goods from home countries that they previously had produced on a relatively

low-cost basis.

Conventional concepts of relative factor endowments would also fail to predict

or explain how inward FDI in little more than a decade transformed a capital-,

technology-, and management-challenged Slovakia from a relatively backward

communist economy at the start of the 1990s into a major European center for the

production and export of technology-intensive automobiles. Nor is the traditional

impact on the international order226

construct of comparative advantage consistent with the role of foreign compa-

nies in transforming labor- and land-abundant China into a growing exporter of

capital-intensive electronics and information technology products. Costa Rica’s

relative factor endowment does not explain how, on a nearly overnight basis, its

single largest export item became state-of-the-art semiconductor chips (see fol-

lowing discussion).

A very malleable interpretation of the traditional tenets of comparative ad-

vantage, one emphasizing location and stretching the theory close to the point of

being unrecognizable, can partially explain why these particular investments

were made. The availability of relatively low-paid but reasonably skilled workers

in these three countries was definitely a factor in attracting foreign subsidiaries.

However, if these countries had exhibited below-average endowments of the new

nontraditional factors of production like an accommodating economic environ-

ment (which would include financial incentives), good government, and adequate

infrastructure, it is unlikely they would have been able to convince the foreign

companies in these cases to invest.

Finally, it is difficult to reconcile the Heckscher-Ohlin theorem with internal

transfer prices (see chapter 13) that do not accurately reflect the true costs of goods

moving between two subsidiaries of the same company, one located in a high-tax

country and the other situated in a low-tax country.

Academic economists of various ideological leanings have sought to close

the disconnect between theory and an MNC-centric world trading system by

amending and updating classical and neoclassical trade theory, for example, re-

lating trade flows to increasing returns to scale rather than constant returns to

scale. Their starting point is to assert that the ideas of Ricardo, Heckscher, and

Ohlin do not represent the final, inviolate word for explaining why countries

export and import as they do.54 Paul Krugman wryly alluded to the inadequacies

of the traditional precepts when he observed that

Most students of international trade have long had at least a sneaking

suspicion that conventional models of comparative advantage do not give

an adequate account of world trade. . . . It is hard to reconcile what we see

in the manufactures trade with the assumptions of standard trade theory.

In particular, much of the world’s trade in manufactures is trade between

industrial countries with similar relative factor endowments; furthermore,

much of the trade between these countries involves two-way exchanges of

goods produced with similar factor proportions. Where is the source of

comparative advantage?55

The ‘‘new’’ trade theories are not well known outside of a small group of

international economic theorists and economics majors taking advanced courses

why and how mncs have altered international trade 227

in trade theory. Interestingly, some of the more widely cited of the new ideas

overlap with major premises in this book. Both assert that differences between

countries cannot be considered as the sole or even dominant basis of foreign trade

when corporate differences (e.g., technological sophistication, product innova-

tion, and proficiency in managing information and complex logistical systems)

and intrafirm trade have become as important, if not more so, than country factor

endowments. Another overlap between the new trade theory and the study of

FDI/MNCs is found in the Krugman model that links successful exporting with

the corporate pursuit of economies of scale that in turn leads to oligopolistic

competition (a relatively few companies having a large percentage of the total

market share for sales of a given product).

Despite their useful work, trade theory revisionists (used in the best sense of

the term) have curiously failed to make a formal affirmation of the important

impact that MNCs have in determining and explaining contemporary trade pat-

terns. Every one of the many textbooks for the introductory international eco-

nomics course examined by the author still discusses FDI in a separate chapter

from the one reciting post–Heckscher-Ohlin trade theories. This arguably inap-

propriate separation fails to give proper weight to the important role that the pro-

liferation of multinational production has had in making necessary the further

evolution of traditional trade theory. A rare exception to this artificial dichotomy

is Lipsey’s assertion that ‘‘a country’s exports depend not only on the conven-

tional factor endowments and advantages of the country as a geographical entity,

but also on the firm-specific advantages of the firms producing there.’’56

A widely used basic international economics textbook is by Paul Krugman and

Maurice Obstfeld. Although stating that MNCs ‘‘play an important part in world

trade,’’ the authors argue that ‘‘multinational corporations probably are not as

important a factor in the world economy as their visibility would suggest.’’ This

reasoning is based on the premise that ‘‘the factors that determine a multinational

corporation’s decision about where to produce are probably not much different

from those that determine the pattern of trade in general.’’ A company’s decision

to produce the same good inmore than one country, the concept of location, is said

to be ‘‘no different from ordinary trade theory. If multinationals were not there,

the same things would still happen, though perhaps not to the same extent.’’57

I respectfully disagree. There is no factual basis for declaring that the same

economic transactions ‘‘would still happen’’ in the absence of MNCs. Further-

more, there are far too many intricacies to the questions of why and where FDI

takes place (see chapters 6 and 7) to dismiss them simply as subsets of trade theory.

Failure to view FDI as a distinctive cause of trade flows instead of a synonym for

trade theory is not consistent with a micro examination of the far-reaching effects

on the trading patterns of various countries discussed in previous sections of this

impact on the international order228

chapter. Viewing trade theory and FDI theory as coterminous cannot explain

why ‘‘FDI flows into Ireland have not gone primarily into sectors in which the

economy had a traditional comparative advantage. In fact, traditional measures of

revealed comparative advantage are a very poor predictor of subsequent sectoral

developments.’’ The Irish experience clearly suggests that FDI manufacturing

inflows go primarily into sectors in which there are increasing returns to scale for

the company, not into those where there is a presumption of country ‘‘compar-

ative advantage.58 Another scholar had a similar conclusion about the Irish ex-

perience: ‘‘Once it opened up to FDI inflows, . . . the missing link needed for

manufactured exports was supplied by the foreign firms, and Ireland’s com-

parative advantage was transformed.’’59

The best course of action to integrate FDI’s impact on today’s trading system

into the new generation of trade theory is to introduce a new criterion for ex-

plaining (in part) the product composition of a country’s exports. An explicit new

element of comparative advantage should be the ability of that country to attract

and retain incoming FDI that produces more sophisticated, higher quality goods than

the domestic sector would be capable of acting on its own. Trade theory should ex-

plicitly accept that in the long run, decisions made for any number of reasons by

senior executives in MNCs regarding where to produce what goods and services

will be an increasingly important variable in determining the direction and com-

position of trade for many host and home countries. A new factor of production

has been added to the equation.

Notes

1. Geoffrey Jones, The Evolution of International Business: An Introduction (London:

Routledge, 1996), p. 247.

2. Edward M. Graham, Global Corporations and National Governments (Washington,

DC: Institute for International Economics, 1996), p. 13.

3. Joseph P. Quinlan and Andrea Prochniak, ‘‘Whose Trade Deficit Is It Anyway? A

New Perspective on America’s Trade Gap,’’ Investment Perspectives, Morgan Stanley

Dean Witter report dated October 13, 1999, p. 9.

4. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2005, p. 14, available online at http://www

.unctad.org; accessed January 2006.

5. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2000, p. 153.

6. Ibid., and World Trade Organization, Annual Report, 1996, volume 1, p. 44.

7. Testimony of Nicholas Lardy to the House Committee on International Relations,

October 21, 2003, available online at http://www.iie.com; accessed November 2004.

Taiwan’s bilateral surplus with China in 2005 was the largest of any of China’s trading

partners.

why and how mncs have altered international trade 229

8. Data source: Robert Zoellick, ‘‘China and America: Power and Responsibility,’’

speech of February 24, 2004, p. 7, available online at http://www.ustr.gov; accessed

November 2005.

9. See, for example, Ministry of Commerce of China, ‘‘2003 Report of Foreign In-

vestment in China,’’ chapter 6, available online at http://www.mofcom.gov.cn, ac-

cessed January 2005.

10. Data source: UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2002, p. 162.

11. ‘‘Filipino Direct, Export/Import Rankings,’’ available online at http://www.filipino-

directory.com/framesets/exportimportf.html; accessed January 2005.

12. World Bank, World Development Report, 2005, available online at http://www

.worldbank.org; accessed January 2005.

13. DeAnne Julius, Global Companies and Public Policy (London: Royal Institute for

International Affairs, 1990), p. 71.

14. ‘‘Who’s Afraid of China? Not Super-Efficient Dell,’’ New York Times, December 19,

2004, p. III 4.

15. Data source: Dell’s annual 10-K report for 2004, available online at http://www

.dell.com; accessed January 2005.

16. E-mail from Dell to the author, dated March 18, 2005.

17. Quinlan and Prochniak, ‘‘Whose Trade Deficit Is It Anyway?’’

18. U.S. International Trade Commission, Examination of U.S. Inbound and Outbound

Direct Investment, Staff Research Study 26, January 2001, p. 5-1.

19. Data source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Survey of

Current Business, July 2005, p. 25, available online at http://www.bea.gov; accessed

December 2005.

20. Data derived from ibid., p. 25, for affiliate sales, and U.S. Department of Commerce,

U.S. Aggregate Foreign Trade Data, 2004 and Prior Years, available online at http://

www.ita.doc.gov/td/industry/otea/usfth; accessed January 2006.

21. Data derived from U.S. Department of Commerce, Survey of Current Business, Au-

gust 2005, p. 214, for affiliate sales; and U.S. Department of Commerce, U.S. Ag-

gregate Foreign Trade Data, 2004 and Prior Years; accessed January 2006.

22. Data sources: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Survey

of Current Business, July 1994 and July 2005, available online at http://www.bea.gov;

accessed January 2006.

23. Data sources: U.S. Department of Commerce, Survey of Current Business, July 2005,

and U.S. Aggregate Foreign Trade Data, 2004 and Prior Years.

24. Data sources: Frank Barry, ‘‘Export-Platform Direct Investment: The Irish Experi-

ence,’’ European Investment Bank Papers, 9(2), 2004, p. 9; and Time Asia, July 7, 2003,

available online at http://www.time.com/time/asia; accessed October 2004.

25. Robert Lipsey, ‘‘Home and Host Country Effects of FDI,’’ in Robert Baldwin and L.

Alan Winters, eds., Challenges to Globalization (Chicago: University of Chicago Press,

2004), p. 366.

26. Data sources: IDA Ireland, available online at http://www.idaireland.com; accessed

January 2005; and UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2002, p. 174.

impact on the international order230

27. Frank Barry, John Bradley, and Eoin O’Malley, ‘‘Indigenous and Foreign Industry:

Characteristics and Performance,’’ in Frank Barry, ed., Understanding Ireland’s Eco-

nomic Growth (London: Macmillan, 1999), p. 45.

28. Lee Kuan Yew, From Third World to First—The Singapore Story: 1965–2000 (New

York: HarperCollins, 2000), pp. 58, 66.

29. The wisdom of Intel’s desire to ‘‘run scared’’ was demonstrated first when IBM,

Toshiba, and Sony unveiled a revolutionary new microprocessor in early 2005, and

again, later in the year when archrival Advanced Micro Devices began increasing its

market share at the expense of Intel.

30. Data source: UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2002, p. 168.

31. Costa Rican Ministry of International Trade, available online at http://www.comex

.go.cr; accessed January 2005.

32. Data source: ‘‘U.S. Commodity Trade with Top 80 Trading Partners, 1999–03,’’

available online at http://www.ita.doc.gov/td/industry/otea/usfth; accessed January

2005.

33. International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics, various issues.

34. Data sources: Magdolna Sass, ‘‘FDI in Hungary—The First Mover’s Advantage and

Disadvantage,’’ European Investment Bank Papers, 9(2), 2004, p. 64; Ben Aris, ‘‘Mud-

dling through Deficit Troubles,’’ Euromoney, April 2005.

35. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2002, p. 170.

36. Sass, ‘‘FDI in Hungary,’’ pp. 82–83.

37. OECD, ‘‘Economic Survey—Hungary 2004: Key Issues and Challenges,’’ available

online at http://www.oecd.org; accessed February 2005.

38. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2002, p. 169.

39. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2004, p. 399.

40. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2002, p. 178.

41. U.S. International Trade Commission, Examination of U.S. Inbound and Outbound

Direct Investment, pp. 2–6, 5–7.

42. Economic Report of the President, 1991 (Washington, DC: Government Printing Office,

1991), p. 259.

43. Robert Lipsey, Eric Ramstetter, and Magnus Blomstrom, ‘‘Outward FDI and Parent

Exports and Employment: Japan, the United States, and Sweden,’’ National Bureau

of Economic Research Working Paper no. 7623, March 2000, p. 1, available online at

http://www.nber.org; accessed December 2004.

44. Lipsey, ‘‘Home and Host Country Effects,’’ p. 369.

45. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 1996, p. 14.

46. Dennis Encarnation, Rivals beyond Trade (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press,

1992), pp. 5, 31.

47. Discussion of traditional trade theory in this case is limited to so-called free

trade theory. Mercantilism, the theory that a country’s wealth is enhanced by

maximizing exports and minimizing imports, has been arbitrarily excluded because

it does not reflect the stated trade policy preferences of the major trading

countries.

why and how mncs have altered international trade 231

48. The theory also asserts mutual gain if one country specializes in producing and

exporting the good for which it has the smaller absolute disadvantage, that is, in cases

where the other country has an absolute advantage in both goods.

49. John H. Dunning, Explaining International Production (Boston: Unwin Hyman, 1988),

p. 13.

50. Michael E. Porter, ‘‘The Competitive Advantage of Nations,’’ Harvard Business Re-

view, March–April 1990, p. 73.

51. Michael E. Porter, The Competitive Advantage of Nations (New York: Free Press,

1990), p. 12.

52. E-mail sent to the author by Michael Porter of the Harvard Business School, De-

cember 23, 2004.

53. Bruce Kogut, ‘‘International Business: The New Bottom Line,’’ Foreign Policy,

spring 1998, p. 162.

54. I thank my colleague, Robert A. Blecker, for this observation.

55. Paul R. Krugman, ‘‘New Theories of Trade among Industrial Countries,’’ American

Economic Association Papers and Proceedings, May 1983, p. 343.

56. Robert Lipsey, ‘‘Discussion,’’ in Heinz Herrmann and Robert Lipsey, eds., Foreign

Direct Investment in the Real and Financial Sector of Industrial Countries (Berlin:

Springer-Verlag, 2003), p. 210.

57. Paul R. Krugman and Maurice Obstfeld, International Economics—Theory and Prac-

tice, 5th ed. (Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley, 2000), pp. 172–74.

58. Barry, Bradley, and O’Malley, ‘‘Indigenous and Foreign Industry,’’ pp. 48–49.

59. Lipsey, ‘‘Discussion,’’ p. 210.

impact on the international order232

10

multinational corporations versus the nation-state Has Sovereignty Been Outsourced?

Multinational companies (MNCs) have amassed sufficient collec-tive muscle to reshape the international political and economic landscape. The problem is that the specifics associated with this megatrend

are blurred by layers of uncertainty. Not enough hard data exist to definitively

describe the nature and extent of the changes introduced by global companies

into the nation-state–based international order. On the one hand, it is a plausible

thesis that in the aggregate, sovereign governments have lost their historical

monopoly to formulate and administer social and economic policies and to con-

duct international, that is, state-to-state relations essentially as they see fit. On the

other hand, it is a contestable assertion that governments have been pushed aside

by anMNC juggernaut. The bottom line question is this: Have the changes in the

country-centric international political order been marginal or structural? Have

governments involuntarily lost a significant degree of authority, power, and in-

fluence in both quantitative and qualitative terms?

Even if we accept the proposition that MNCs have indeed become equal to or

more powerful than nation-states and thereby have ‘‘significantly’’ shrunk gov-

ernments’ power, two more questions arise that are equally difficult to answer.

First, to what extent have the foreign direct investment (FDI)/MNC phenomena

been a direct cause of the reconfigured balance of power? Second, is a diminution

of national sovereignty a good or bad thing? Conceivably, a major dilution of

governmental might by private enterprise is something to be welcomed, not

condemned.

Once again, the familiar all-purpose answer to all the above is: It depends.

And once again, the core methodology of this study’s examination of the nature

and impact of FDI and MNCs is fully applicable. When seeking an objective and

accurate answer to the question of whether MNCs have seriously eroded national

233

sovereignty, there are at least three legitimate, at least partially accurate answers:

yes, no, and it’s uncertain.

The first section of this chapter considers definitions; the ‘‘it depends’’ syn-

drome begins with the vagaries of exactly how to describe the nature and context of

sovereignty.The next two sections present the arguments for and against the prop-

osition thatMNCs now are able to have their way with government officials. Belief

that the private sector has overtaken the power and prestige of sovereign govern-

ments to determine the destinies of nations and peoples’ economic well-being is

one of the more dramatic criticisms of big business’s impact. Belief that this shift

has occurred, in turn, is the source of urgings in some quarters that the historical

imbalance of power be restored, ensuring once again that the peoples’ elected rep-

resentatives hold sway over profit-seeking corporate executives. The fourth and

final section makes the case for uncertainty, synthesis, and framing the debate in

different, more relevant terms.

Traditional Definitions and Semantics

It is advisable to begin by affirming that I am not comparing countries with

MNCs; the latter, in my opinion, are clearly not more important or more pow-

erful than entire countries, especially large and powerful ones. A popular conten-

tion that is worth investigating holds that MNCs collectively have diminished the

ability of governments to exercise their supreme powers within their countries’

borders to unprecedented and presumably undesirable degrees. Allegedly, these

companies have grown so big and economically powerful as to leave national gov-

ernments with severely diminished power and different means of exercising it.

The big question is determining to what extent, if any, the proliferation of

FDI can be linked to a ‘‘significant’’ decline in or dilution of national sovereignty

in theory and practice. Linkage is suggested by circumstantial evidence; it cannot

be proved by laboratory-proven facts. The search for at least a tentative answer

begins with selection of the ‘‘right’’ definition of the term, a task more difficult

than it appears on the surface. Sovereignty, like FDI and MNCs, is a complex

abstraction that has inspired conflicting interpretations of what the term actually

entails. Most persons who believe that MNCs have undermined sovereignty

equate the term with the ability of a government to exercise absolute control—

deferring to no other power center—to determine what constitutes acceptable

behavior and standards within a country’s borders and to ensure the public’s

compliance with designated behavior and standards. Those who believe in the

continued dominance of the nation-state tend to use a narrower, more legalistic

approach that equates sovereignty with the unchallenged ability to conduct affairs

of state that include enactment and enforcement of laws, collection of taxes,

impact on the international order234

articulation of policy goals, waging war, and so on. In keeping with this study’s

preference for an eclectic viewpoint, the working definition used here is Stephen

D. Krasner’s broad description of sovereignty as exhibiting four distinct char-

acteristics:

� Ability to control activities within and across a country’s borders, in-

cluding the movement of goods, capital, and people;

� Possession of clear title to ultimate political authority within the state; � Ultimate arbiter of internal behavior, independent of any external au-

thority (Westphalian sovereignty); and

� Formal diplomatic recognition by other nation-states that a government

is able and entitled to exercise sovereign control of its territory.1

In point of fact, it is not necessary for a state to simultaneously meet all four

criteria to claim sovereignty. For example, ineffective governments in failed

states whose control over domestic events is systematically disintegrating remain

legally sovereign as long as they retain diplomatic recognition. Although Taiwan

technically is sovereign by virtue of meeting the first three of the criteria, it enjoys

only limited diplomatic recognition as a government of an independent nation-

state.

Sovereignty has two dimensions: internal and external. ParaphrasingMaxWe-

ber, a government is internally sovereign if it enjoys a monopoly as the ultimate

authority regulating a range of social activities, including economic policies,

within its country’s borders.2 That may be overstating it a bit, given the historical

fact that soon after nation-states emerged in their modern form in the mid-

seventeenth century, they began an ongoing process of diluting their absolute

authority by voluntarily signing a steady stream of bilateral and regional treaties,

alliances, and agreements with other sovereign states as well as with international

organizations. For more than 350 years, governments of modern nation-states

have been willing to cede some areas of sovereignty and autonomy by committing

themselves to observe international commitments, thereby reducing their free-

dom of action. This sacrifice is presumed to be offset by the increased likelihood

that mutual cooperation with other countries will be instrumental in achieving

larger policy objectives in the national security, economic, and other spheres. Al-

though unrecognized at the time, the level of international economic interde-

pendence had reached record high levels in the early years of the twentieth

century, thereby marking the first stage of disconnect between an increasingly

integrated world economy and the long-standing political system of differenti-

ated nation-states. A 1930 article in The Economist warned of the consequences of

economics and politics ‘‘falling out of gear with one another,’’ the result of the

world economy’s evolving into a single ‘‘all-embracing’’ unit while the interna-

mncs vs . the nation-state 235

tional political system remained arbitrarily partitioned into a mélange of sover-

eign nation-states.3

An assessment of the durability of external sovereignty also produces equiv-

ocal results. On one level, it is undiminished because it still can be measured in

relatively finite terms: recognition of a government by other nation-states and

all the negotiations and pomp that goes with it. On the other hand, as will be

discussed, the conduct of all manner of international relations can no longer be

characterized as the exclusive preserve of nation-states.

All things considered, the thesis that national sovereignty has been seriously

undermined and bypassed by big, powerful MNCs is yet another issue whose

complexity and abstract nature guarantee different perceptions and perspectives.

To ask whether MNCs have hollowed out the sovereignty of nation-states is to

invite three responses familiar by now to readers of this study: affirmative, neg-

ative, and indeterminate, the latter consisting of a gray area combining elements

of the first two answers and emphasizing imponderables. These three answers, as

usual, coincide with the three larger perceptions as to whether FDI and MNCs

are positive, negative, or indeterminate forces.

Yes, Globalization and MNCs Have Substantially

Diminished the Power and Role of the Nation-State

The proposition that MNCs have left governments with little more than titular

sovereignty has been advanced by analysts on both ends of the political spectrum.

The reasoning differs, and some analysis takes place at the higher analytical level

of globalization rather than being MNC-specific. Still, the common bottom line

here is that the rising market power of multinationals has allegedly placed them

on a level either equal to or above governments as determinants of the economic

and (in some ways) political destinies of nation-states. Another commonality in the

analytic commentary associated with this thesis is that none of the underlying

rationale is based on hard empirical data; it is, to borrow a phrase from the art

world, abstract impressionism. The academic and public debate additionally suf-

fers from the tendency to view the sovereignty question as an either/or proposition

within a zero-sum game situation. In fact, it is an and situation. Many cases of

private governance exhibit no actual shift away from public to private sectors.

‘‘Instead, firms have created a new transnational world of transaction flows that did

not exist previously.’’4

One part of the case for the ascendancy of MNC power over national gov-

ernments is that global corporate networks allegedly have structurally altered

interactions between the official and private sectors. Global production and sales

strategies are seen as having fused national markets and having created ‘‘an eco-

impact on the international order236

nomic geography that subsumes multiple political geographies.’’ A govern-

ment no longer proactively calls the shots within its territory, as demonstrated by

MNCs’ record of successful solicitations of favorable tax and regulatory treat-

ment. ‘‘While globalization integrates markets, it fragments politics.’’5 Another

part of the argument speaks of the growing divergence between economic and

political space. Markets have outgrown national boundaries. As big corporations

further expand their international operations, the gap continues to widen be-

tween the global sweep of MNCs and the jurisdictional reach of nation-state

governments.6

The late Susan Strange, a respected centrist scholar of international political

economy, argued that globalized, ‘‘impersonal forces of world markets,’’ have

been integrated since World War II ‘‘more by private enterprise in finance, in-

dustry and trade than by the cooperative decisions of governments.’’ Transna-

tional commercial activity has become ‘‘more powerful than the states to whom

ultimate political authority over society and economy is supposed to belong.

Where states were once the masters of markets, now it is the markets which, on

many crucial issues, are the master over the governments of states.’’7

Distancing herself from the view that national sovereignty had been stripped

of any meaning by MNCs, Strange argued it was more accurate to say that the

nation-state was undergoing a metamorphosis. The latter was triggered by

structural changes in the world economy stemming from technological and fi-

nancial changes and the accelerated integration of national economies into a

single global marketplace.8 MNCs have encroached enough on the traditional

‘‘domains of power’’ of national governments to reduce them to ‘‘ just one source

of authority among several, with limited powers and resources.’’ The center of

gravity in world politics, in her view, had shifted in favor of multinationals, who,

while not taking over from national governments, were nevertheless ‘‘increas-

ingly exercising a parallel authority alongside governments’’ in matters involving

the full spectrum of economic policy management.9

Kenichi Ohmae is the spokesman for a school of thought that says govern-

ments have lost their traditional role because the economic concept of nation-

states has been rendered meaningless in an era when the international economy is

so tightly integrated that a borderless world has evolved. His view is that anti-

quated efforts by governments to protect domestic economic interests against

external competition wind up harming the economic welfare of their people to an

unacceptable degree. Why? Because it is no longer national economies that are

the main units of competition in today’s globalized marketplace. What really

matters in the contemporary world economy are regional manufacturing clusters

(dubbed region states) whose boundaries have been drawn by transnational ef-

ficiency-seeking market forces, mainly MNCs, not by political fiat and historical

happenstance. Region states, inOhmae’s vision, are ‘‘natural economic zones’’ that

mncs vs . the nation-state 237

encompass two or more countries as often as they fall within a single state. They

‘‘follow, rather than precede, real flows of human activity.’’10

Traditional roles of governments are alleged to be as obsolete in political terms

as arbitrarily drawn national borders are for commercial purposes. By implica-

tion, civil servants who try to interfere with market-driven international flows of

goods, services, and capital are living in a bygone era, mistakenly believing they

still possess unchallengeable control over economic forces within their borders. A

widely published author while a senior partner in the Japanese office of the

management consultants McKinsey and Company, Ohmae wrote that in a tightly

globalized economy, the nation-state has become ‘‘an unnatural, even dysfunc-

tional, unit for organizing human activity and managing economic endeavor. . . .

It represents no genuine, shared community of economic interests.’’ Nation-

states obscure the ‘‘true linkages and synergies that exist among often disparate

populations by combining important measures of human activity at the wrong

level of analysis.’’11

Taking a political science approach, Harvard scholar John Ruggie reaches a

similar conclusion. He describes a newly emerging global public domain that is

intellectually and physically distinct from the traditional system based on nation-

states. Instead, it has become an international order consisting of interactions

among transnational nonstate actors at least as much as between states. The end

result is that the process for making authoritative allocations of values in societies

is one that increasingly ‘‘reaches beyond the confines of national boundaries’’ and

where a growing percentage of norms is determined through transnational chan-

nels and processes. MNCs operate globally and ‘‘function in near-real time,

leaving behind the slower moving, state-mediated inter-national world of arms-

length economic transactions and traditional international legal mechanisms,

even as they depend on that world for their licenses to operate and to protect their

property rights.’’12

Others emphasize the point that MNCs now engage in activities previously

reserved for governments, for example, building physical infrastructure and

setting product standards; they see the result as a blurring of the lines between

the public and private sectors. Big global companies ‘‘have acquired power and

resources on a scale previously held only by national governments. In the exercise

of these powers in the pursuits of corporate ends, the activities of MNCs . . . are

often comparable to or even surpass those of the action of governments.’’13 The

ability of sovereign nations to control the behavior and impact of MNCs in-

creasingly is in doubt.

A totally different perspective on the sovereign state versus MNC power

relationship holds that a major new economic era has begun. We again encounter

the theme that the status quo is not forever and that the dynamic nature of the

impact on the international order238

FDI/MNC phenomena reduces analysis to a snapshot of a moment in time that

has a limited shelf life. Stephen J. Kobrin of theWharton Business School believes

there is a point when ‘‘degree becomes kind, where the erosion of autonomy and

control over an economy and economic actors renders the presumptive right of

states as the supreme authority within their borders relatively meaningless.’’14

That point appears to have been reached in recent years, he argues, with the full-

blown emergence of the digital revolution as manifested in the Internet and

electronic commerce.This is a trend capable of doing something unprecedented—

undermining governments’ trump card of being able to deny foreign companies

access to their sovereign territory. Absolute geographic jurisdiction may not be

viable in cyberspace. To the extent that markets continue to migrate there and

digital transactions become more common, territorial sovereignty will be less able

to provide the basis for effective or efficient governance, Kobrin claims. The

continued rise of nontraditional MNCs doing business through computer servers

located in the headquarters country is one of several reasons to question the ability

of nation-states to remain the supreme authority domestically and the dominant

constituent unit of the international system. He concludes that ‘‘This time

around, sovereignty in terms of both domestic authority and mutually exclusive

territoriality may really be ‘at bay.’ ’’15

Analysts on the left of the political spectrum have criticized the rise of MNC

power relative to governments in blunter, more negative terms. ‘‘Stateless cor-

porations have given rise to corporate states,’’ said the head of a Canadian non-

governmental organization (NGO).16 A task force claimed that ‘‘governments

have been largely stripped of the powers and tools they once had to regulate the

investments of global corporations.’’17 A third view is that ‘‘increasingly, corpo-

rations dictate the decisions of their supposed overseers in government and con-

trol domains of society once firmly embedded within the public sphere.’’18

Convinced that the nation-state faces a crisis of relevance, another author won-

dered, ‘‘What remains of its purpose and power if authority over domestic social

standards is yielded to disinterested market forces? If governments are reduced to

bidding for the favors of multinational enterprises, what basis will citizens have

for determining their own destinies?’’19

The most scathing assessment comes from Ralph Nader, who believes that

MNC-induced globalization

impinges deeply on the ability of any nation to control commercial activity

with democratically elected laws. Globalization’s tactic is to eliminate

democratic decision-making and accountability over matters as intimate as

the safety of food, pharmaceuticals and motor vehicles, or the way a coun-

try may use or conserve its land, water, and minerals, and other resources.

mncs vs . the nation-state 239

What we have now in this type of globalization is a slow-motion coup

d’etat, a low-intensity war waged to redefine free society as subordinate

to . . . big business uber alles.20

Governments have been ‘‘hijacked by corporate power, the multinationals

mostly. They have their own people in government.’’ The result, Nader claimed,

is a ‘‘convergence, almost a phalanx, of business controlling government and

turning it against its own people.’’21

No, Multinational Companies Have Not in Fact

Eclipsed Nation-States

Reports of the death of national sovereignty have been frequent, but to many ob-

servers, they are premature. This section summarizes the school of thought that

believes governments still have the clear upper hand in running their countries.

At least two outstanding scholars did some hasty extrapolations and produced er-

roneous forecasts of the demise of governmental authority and relevance, the

purported victim of increasingly powerful MNCs. Charles Kindleberger of MIT

asserted in 1969 that the ‘‘nation-state is just about through as an economic

unit.’’22 Two years later, Harvard’s Raymond Vernon started his classic book,

Sovereignty at Bay, by asserting that nation-states ‘‘are feeling naked. Concepts

such as sovereignty and national economic strength appear curiously drained of

meaning.’’23 Multinational enterprises were cited as one of the institutions pri-

marily responsible for these changes.

‘‘Sovereignty at bay’’ entered the language as the metaphor of choice to

express the notion that the power of MNCs had reached extraordinary heights.

However, according to Vernon, the phrase was not a fully accurate reflection of a

conviction that state sovereignty had been eclipsed by multinational companies.

He later wrote: ‘‘If you want to draw public attention to your opus, find an

evocative title. But if you want readers to remember its content, resist a title that

carries only half the message.’’ He argued that he did not predict ‘‘the decline of

nation-states and the emergence of a world of stateless global corporations’’

because he felt the public would appreciate the advantages of both large cor-

porations and strong governments. ‘‘I saw two systems . . . each legitimated by

popular consent, each potentially useful to the other, yet each containing features

antagonistic to the other.’’24

Even the most ineffectual government has the unequivocal authority to phys-

ically block the entrance of a foreign subsidiary that is not welcomed. Once up

and running, it is more common for foreign-owned or -controlled corporations to

turn to the host government for assistance in advancing or protecting their in-

impact on the international order240

terest than vice versa. A government can force a foreign subsidiary to leave by

tightening regulatory controls, raising the cost of doing business, or threatening

to arrest executives, among other things. A ‘‘multinational’’ company does not

literally exist in legal terms. Its headquarters and overseas subsidiaries all must be

incorporated in accordance with the laws of each country in which it operates.

The EU Commission in 2001 effectively vetoed the proposed merger between

two A-list U.S. companies, General Electric and Honeywell—despite prior ap-

proval by the U.S. Department of Justice, the ever-vigilant protector of the tough

U.S. antitrust laws. The EU Commission’s controversial final determination held

that the market strength of the combined companies in aircraft components

and leasing would violate the EU’s dominant position principle in the aerospace

sector. Given the importance of the European market, the two companies called

off the merger after additional pleading and pressure from the companies and the

Bush administration fell on deaf ears at the EU’s headquarters.25

The argument that globalization in general and MNCs in particular have

significantly eroded sovereignty over the past three decades ignores the fact that

for centuries, both the control and authority of nation-states have been chal-

lenged on a regular basis. This is the inevitable consequence of an international

system that is based on territorial states but lacks a universal authority structure.

According to Krasner, it is an ‘‘anarchical system’’ in which the ‘‘interests of the

strong will not necessarily coincide with accepted norms.’’ He thinks the argu-

ment that the challenge to sovereignty is a post-MNC, late-twentieth-century

phenomenon ignores another historical fact: At the start of the twentieth century,

some measures of international economic interdependence, capital flows in

particular, were as high as they were at the end of the century.26 Contemporary

technological change ‘‘has complicated state control in some areas, but there is no

evident secular trend.’’ The nation-state arguably has never retained full uni-

lateral control over its domain, in part because of centuries of treaty making in

which some national autonomy was yielded for the greater benefits accruing from

international cooperation.27

The nation-state ‘‘is still the only universally recognized way of organiz-

ing political life.’’ States have lost bits and pieces of their sovereignty ‘‘in terms

of autonomy (if, indeed, they had complete or absolute sovereignty to start

with . . .) . . . Yet this erosion of sovereignty does not signify that they have all

become dysfunctional or obsolete.’’28 David Fieldhouse has argued that the host

government still has the upper hand and can set the rules of engagement.

At the macro-economic level it can adjust its policies in such a way that it

is no longer possible for MNCs to make ‘‘excessive’’ profits. . . .At the

administrative level, it is always possible to use anti-trust laws against

excessive concentration, to impose quotas, limit prices, above all to insist

mncs vs . the nation-state 241

on a minimal level of local participation in the equity and of nationals in

employment.

The ultimate sanction of nationalization happens infrequently, allegedly be-

cause experience shows that even very large foreign corporations will normally

accept hard-and-fast demands from small states.29

MNCs can be viewed as just one of several vehicles that nation-states can

exploit to exercise national power.30 The two are not necessarily independent

power centers engaged in a zero-sum game of domination with governments.

To the extent that MNCs serve as means for governments to exert and enhance

national power, they are sovereignty affirming rather than sovereignty dimin-

ishing.31 A main theme of Robert Gilpin’s classic book on MNCs and national

power was the role of American corporate FDI as one of the three pillars (along

with nuclear superiority and the international role of the dollar) of U.S. global

hegemony in the early post–WorldWar II era. Overstating the case a bit, he wrote

that if British economic hegemony earlier in the century had been based on the

city of London’s global financialmight, America’s ‘‘was based largely on hermulti-

national corporations.’’32 Repatriated profits from these investments, he noted,

helped offset the balance of payments costs of the worldwide U.S. military

presence and foreign aid—thus aiding and abetting achievement of governmental

priorities, not undermining sovereignty.

Governments have used their authority to integrate their countries into the

global economy and admit foreign-owned and -controlled subsidiaries because

internationalization and strong national economic performance are statistically

linked (see chapter 8), and strong economic performance strengthens the legit-

imacy of the state and the popularity of its leaders. ‘‘If integration is chosen,

rather than imposed, it is impossible to argue that it renders states impotent.’’

The real question, according to Martin Wolf, concerns the nature of individual

trade-offs between domestic and international priorities that government leaders

confront after embracing economic interdependence.33

Rephrasing the Question and Placing It

in a Larger Context

The kind of absolute authority originally bestowed on the governments of sov-

ereign countries by the Westphalian system that emerged in the mid-seventeenth

century could not be expected to remain immune forever from the cumulative

effects of changing conditions and circumstances, both inside and outside of their

borders. National borders are mainly the results of accidents of history and

political compromise. They were not configured as the result of careful planning

impact on the international order242

aimed at ensuring self-sufficiency or optimal operating efficiency in the territory

being carved out. Even if borders had been designed with that intent hundreds of

years ago, increasingly complex manufacturing processes eventually would have

outgrown the home market. No nation-state has ever come near to being perma-

nently self-sufficient in economic resources, national security, or, more recently,

protection of the environment, prevention of terrorism, and containment of drug

trafficking. ‘‘Increasingly, resources and threats that matter . . . circulate and

shape lives and economies with little regard for political boundaries. . . . Even the

most powerful states find the marketplace and international public opinion

compelling them more often to follow a particular course’’ of action.34

The question of whether sovereignty has been ceded to megacorporations is

best analyzed by rejecting a simple yes-or-no approach, as is also the case for best

assessing the overall merits of FDI and MNCs. In both cases, the soundest

approach is synthesizing multiple factors. What is happening is more a case of

governments—for several reasons—losing their once-upon-a-time claim to be the

exclusive arbiters of public policy, regulators of behavior, and controllers of na-

tional destiny than the amoral snatching of state power by profit-driven MNCs.

An effort to better comprehend the broad implications of the new challenges and

obligations facing nation-states in an increasingly complicated world would be a

useful line of inquiry. It surely would be a more productive intellectual pursuit

than trying to keep a subjective score for an ill-defined supremacy contest be-

tween governments and MNCs. The main reason that the numbers and eco-

nomic strength of MNCs rose steadily has been their ability to effectively address

a major event in economic history: the end of national markets for production and

sales of goods having high fixed costs. If their power and impact have nearly

reached, equaled, or exceeded parity with national governments, it is mainly in

the context of MNCs being an effect of larger structural changes in the economic

and technological order, not a cause of diminished sovereignty as traditionally

defined.

The twentieth century saw major challenges emerge to the exclusive power of

governments. The first developed in the wake of the Great Depression of the

1930s. Governments simultaneously found themselves confronted with an eco-

nomic crisis of unprecedented proportions and exposed to the breakthrough

concepts of John Maynard Keynes that explained how activist/countercyclical

fiscal and monetary policies could revive economic growth and cure recessions.

Without any formal fanfare, a policy revolution was born: Political leaders ac-

cepted responsibility for providing a well-functioning economy. Economic policy

joined national security to become the two major responsibilities of governments.

National elections for the first time began to reflect the ability of politicians to

deliver the three fundamental economic benchmarks—growth, full employment,

and price stability.

mncs vs . the nation-state 243

Just how severely nation-states, especially the smaller ones, were becoming

limited in unilaterally achieving these goals became patently obvious after World

War II, when international economic interdependence reached and passed crit-

ical mass. Partial, voluntary surrenders of economic sovereignty became the price

to be paid if national leaders were to provide their citizens a rising standard of

living and maximize the international competitiveness of the domestic busi-

ness sector. Specialization of production, global marketing, and relatively un-

restricted, market-directed flows of trade and capital among countries became the

lodestar of economic efficiency and prosperity. Access by domestic producers to

large, affluent, and high-growth foreign markets was now a critical issue. Reci-

procity became a currency of the international realm: Domestic markets were

opened to imports and direct investment in return for access to other countries’

markets, a mutually beneficial situation in which all participating countries en-

hance their economic efficiency.

The European Union, begun in 1958, remains the greatest example of the

rationale for voluntary surrender of state sovereignty to achieve national goals to a

degree otherwise unattainable. Politically, the EU has always been about pre-

venting another major war among the European powers by tightly integrating the

Continent’s national economies. Membership is politically appealing because

when speaking out in the international arena as part of a large, influential regional

group, the small and medium-sized European countries have a much louder and

more powerful voice than if speaking on their own. Economically, the EU is the

prototype of regional cooperation where scale provides far greater economic

efficiency and material benefits to member countries than they could hope to

attain through go-it-alone efforts. Despite the requirement to cede authority over

many aspects of traditional state prerogatives—monetary policy, currency ex-

change rates, international trade negotiations, agricultural policy, and so on—to

EU institutions, countries have literally been lining up since the late 1960s to join

this unprecedented venture in supranational government. Member governments

have not so much been motivated by an aesthetic desire to shrink their sover-

eignty and renounce nationalism than by pragmatism. An old aphorism applies:

Less is more. It is now taken for granted throughout Europe that EU mem-

bership is invaluable for delivering the economic benefits that voters demand and

the prestige political leaders want. The common rules and regulations imposed

on EU members have grown steadily in number, a trend that is counterintuitive

until it is noted that many of the priority economic objectives and obligations

assumed by the modern nation-state have moved out of its reach when acting

alone as an independent agent.

Another late-twentieth-century challenge to sovereignty was the emergence

of transnational actors, defined as groups, businesses, coalitions, organizations, and

so on, that are active in multiple countries and operate independently of any

impact on the international order244

government. Energized by technological and communications advances that

encouraged and reduced the costs of international activities, transnational actors

have played a leading role (along with international organizations) in reformatting

the old system of exclusive, unchallenged governmental sovereignty into a power/

influence-sharing arrangement. It is a fact of life that governments have ceased to

be the sole entities capable of affecting the course of trends and events within

and between countries. The influx of new movers and shakers has visibly made

international public policy making a more inclusive process. How positive or neg-

ative is this trend remains a matter of subjective opinion, not universally accepted

truth.

MNCs are the most frequently discussed and most visible category of trans-

national actor, and they have become the number one symbol of globalization.

Nation-states and multinational companies have a symbiotic relationship of

unique dimensions. Each has something the other needs to succeed in its mission;

governments provide legitimacy and corporations provide jobs, exports, tax rev-

enues, and so on. Yet the overall situation is too complicated to declare the two to

be natural allies or to describe MNCs as docile contributors to government rule.

Both possess such dissimilar goals and culture that the ensuing limits to mutual

trust and understanding discourage both from wanting to get too close or depen-

dent on the other. The result is a relationship that is ‘‘both cooperative and

competing, both supportive and conflictual. They operate in a fully dialectical

relationship, locked into unified but contradictory roles and positions.’’35 Neither

side has absolute dominance over the other on a day-to-day basis. This rule is not

applicable when governments forbid a foreign company from establishing a

subsidiary in its territory, expropriate one that is already functioning, or when

MNCs refuse to invest in a country or shut down an operational overseas sub-

sidiary.

NGOs (see chapter 11) are another powerful subset of transnational actors.

Broadly defined, NGOs equate to civil society, that part of the social order that

falls between individuals and their government, exclusive of profit-seeking en-

tities. Their ranks are made up of a wide range of nonprofit, citizen-based or-

ganizations and volunteer groups that include public interest groups concerned

with economic development, human rights, and environmental issues; labor

unions; grant-giving foundations; and bands of armed revolutionaries. The rel-

atively meteoric rise of the influence, numbers, activity, and budgets of NGOs

has made them forces to be reckoned with in national capitals and global media

attention. It would be a major error of omission not to name them, along with

MNCs, as the major nongovernment actors responsible for erosion of some outer

layers of sovereignty. Advocates of social equity and critics of profit-driven

corporate activities applaud NGOs’ conscious efforts to (1) wrest traditional pre-

rogatives from government, and (2) influence public policy. A double standard is

mncs vs . the nation-state 245

at work here inasmuch as they condemn MNCs for attempting to do the same

thing on an indirect basis.

Both nonprofit and for-profit transnational actors engage in activities that

sometimes complement and sometimes compete with governmental responsi-

bilities. Private charitable groups, sometimes operating under government con-

tract, regularly provide nonstate foreign aid, medical treatment, disaster relief,

and refugee assistance to developing countries. Profit-seeking transnational ac-

tors are equally involved in quasi-governmental activity. Credit-rating companies

can cost or save countries hundreds of millions of dollars annually in interna-

tional borrowing costs, depending on how good or bad they rate the economic

outlook for a country. Commercial banks in the second half of the 1970s sup-

planted governments as the main source of capital flows used by many Latin

American countries to pay for imports, repay old debts, and finance capital

outflows by the wealthy. Financial companies have crafted internationally ac-

cepted accounting and stock-clearing standards. Representatives of MNCs par-

ticipating in the TransAtlantic Business Dialogue have facilitated official

agreements to reduce testing and certification costs in several industrial sectors

and have established industry-wide consensus on a number of uniform product

standards accepted by EU and U.S. companies.36 Jessica Mathews suggests

that nation-states may ‘‘no longer be the natural problem-solving unit. . . .The

new technologies encourage noninstitutional, shifting networks over the fixed

bureaucratic hierarchies that are the hallmark of the single-voiced sovereign

state.’’37 This imputed dilution of national sovereignty and rise in private au-

thority have been termed international governance without government by distin-

guished international relations theorist James Rosenau. Unlike government,

governance refers to activities based on shared goals that do not necessarily derive

from legal and formally prescribed responsibilities ultimately enforced by police

powers. ‘‘Governments still operate and they are still sovereign in a number of

ways; but . . . some of their authority has been relocated toward sub-national

collectivities.’’38

International organizations are a third outside force that has diluted the his-

torical potency of sovereignty. Nation-states’ maneuverability is restrained after

voluntarily joining international economic organizations and agreeing to abide by

the detailed rules covering international trade and monetary policies set out,

respectively, in the International Monetary Fund’s and World Trade Organi-

zation’s articles of agreement. Being part of a system that forces other countries

to respect your economic rights is another situation where governments have

judged a modicum of surrendered sovereignty to be a favorable trade-off.

The argument that national sovereignty has not been eviscerated by MNCs or

any other challengers is not necessarily an assertion that it is business as usual for

impact on the international order246

the power of national governments. Loss of autonomy is a more accurate phrase in

describing what governments have visibly lost to globalization in general and the

proliferation of FDI in particular. Inability to unilaterally chart the course of a

country’s economy exactly in accordance with the desires of political leaders is

now an accepted reality; loss by government of the supreme power to write,

interpret, and enforce rules and laws within a country’s territory is a less than a

unanimously held belief. Policy makers in some countries indeed feel beholden to

large corporations, whether domestically or foreign-owned, for the boost they can

give the domestic economy and the contribution they can make to the politi-

cal popularity (and in some cases, campaign funds) of a country’s top leaders.

Although the latter officially retain ultimate legal authority to establish whatever

economic policies they choose, many policy makers today perceive the cost of

alienating existing and potential foreign direct investors as prohibitively expen-

sive in practical terms and therefore a prerogative to be shunned. Acceding to

MNCs’ demands for favorable tax treatment, relaxed regulatory rigor, direct

subsidies, or improved infrastructure is still not mandatory or inevitable, just

more compelling than in previous decades.

Other facets of international economic interdependence can affect the per-

formance of national economies and curtail the autonomy of economic policy

makers on a much broader and more forceful basis than incoming FDI. Exog-

enous variables outside the control of governments have become at least as im-

portant as endogenous variables in determining national economic performance.

Countries suffering inflation rates and current account deficits far higher the

international norm are increasingly likely to be victims of what effectively is a

vote of no confidence by the international investment community. As the

many financial crises suffered in the 1990s by emerging market countries in East

Asia and Latin America confirm, governments following what are perceived as

‘‘irresponsible’’ economic policies can expect severe retribution when foreign

exchange traders and owners of local stocks and bonds investors begin a massive,

recession-inducing sell-off of a country’s financial assets. Countries dependent

on export-led growth can and do suffer economic downturns—through no fault

of the party in power—when their major trading partners slide into recession.

Given deep economic interdependence in North America, Canadian policy mak-

ers cannot fully immunize their country against changing economics in the

United States.

At a time when countries routinely criticize each other on policies previously

considered internal matters off limits to foreign meddling, the demarcation line

between domestic and international economics has all but vanished. Today, ag-

ricultural support programs, enforcement of antitrust laws, transparency of gov-

ernment procurement procedures, and so on are being modified to reduce their

mncs vs . the nation-state 247

distortions to foreign trade flows. The Economist quoted a former chancellor of the

exchequer lamenting that ‘‘the plain fact is that the nation state as it has existed

for nearly two centuries is being undermined. . . .The ability of national govern-

ments to decide their exchange rate, interest rate, trade flows, investment and

output has been savagely crippled by market forces.’’39 Very little of this is at-

tributable to FDI. Viewed in the larger context, MNCs are among the many ef-

fects of technological change on the world economy. They are not the main

instigators of either global economic change or diminished national autonomy.

They are coincident indicators.

An untested and perhaps incorrect assumption lies at the base of the hy-

pothesis that Internet-oriented MNCs are candidates for being the straw that

breaks the back of sovereignty. It is far from certain that of purveyors of

e-commerce will become the typical MNC or that they will adopt a business

model that refutes the need to accommodate all or most of the dictates (including

paying sales taxes, not selling banned goods, censoring certain Web sites and

search engine terms, and hiring locals as executives) of governments in countries

where large numbers of their foreign consumers reside. There is also the question

of cause and effect. It can be argued, but not unequivocally proven, that the

revolution in information and telecommunications technologies, along with cheap

overnight delivery services, is the culprit/hero responsible for inaugurating a

genuinely new era in diminished governmental authority. The continued growth

of business on a transnational basis may be just another effect of this revolution.

Finally, another often repeated thesis in previous chapters is applicable to the

consideration of MNCs’ impact on sovereignty: Disaggregate, do not generalize.

Part of any analysis of gauging the ability of MNCs’ economic power to trump

national sovereignty is to take a country-by-country approach in lieu of sweeping

statements about 190 individual nation-states. Large and affluent countries infre-

quently bow to the demands and tolerate the transgressions of MNCs. Eco-

nomically distressed countries desperate to lure direct investments and countries

whose leaders seek personal enrichment presumably have a higher propensity to

customize policies, laws, and regulations as a means to curry favor with foreign

companies even at the price of skimping on domestic priorities. If an LDC

government is

too weak or class-dominated, if its officials are too ignorant or corrupt to

promote ‘‘suitable’’ policies, then sovereignty becomes no defence against

the MNC. So, ultimately, our assessment of the probable and potential

impact of MNCs on host countries must turn on how effectively the host

state performs its role as maker of policy and defender of the ‘‘national

interest.’’40

impact on the international order248

The more attractive a country is to foreign investors, the less intense the

pressure should be on government leaders to compromise their values to attract

and keep the subsidiaries of relatively wealthy foreign companies. The U.S.

government is content to keep its hands off all dealings with foreign investors

except where national security might be compromised (leaving the states to wave

welcoming banners and incentive money). With foreign companies knocking

down the door to get in, the government of China has felt little or no need to

kowtow. Unless one categorizes the Chinese Communist Party’s creation of an

efficient, business-friendly environment as a sell-out, no case has been (or is

likely to be) made that China’s sovereignty has been eroded by MNCs pressuring

the government to take actions it does not want to take. When senior Chinese

officials demand technology transfers as a precondition for entry, they are seldom

refused, even by companies as large as General Motors. When the government

refuses to intervene to halt violations of intellectual property rights, big foreign

companies have no recourse; it becomes a cost of doing business there.

Some leaders are not willing to curb their control freak proclivities to attract

more direct investment. Vladimir Putin’s preference to rule like a czar rather

than implement an effective rule of law is a case of putting preservation of sov-

ereign prerogative ahead of creating an attractive environment for inward FDI.

Costa Rica’s accommodation of relatively moderate demands by Intel, namely,

improved physical infrastructure and expanded vocational training programs, as

described in chapter 7, demonstrated that FDI can be attracted for moderate

concessions that have no major adverse effects on the long-term economic in-

terests of the local population. Even compliant governments with little leverage

have the potential power to assert their ultimate authority over powerful MNCs

operating within their borders. The classic example of this is the nationalization

of big multinational oil companies’ local subsidiaries by members of OPEC states

in the 1970s. These acts grew out of decades of frustration over being powerless

to determine production volumes and prices of their most valuable and nonrep-

lenishable natural resource.

In sum, the role of the nation-state has been modified on a continuous basis for

centuries by the constant pace of change in the international order, principally

from progress in technology, communications, and transportation. A dispas-

sionate look at the evidence suggests MNCs have played only an indirect role in

diminishing the autonomy of nation-states and increasing the level of acceptance

by government leaders that this decline is inevitable and advantageous. The idea

of a serious diminution in sovereignty caused specifically by multinationals is a

harder sell. In the final analysis, this conclusion reflects the author’s perceptions;

given a slightly different set of values, the conclusion would have pointed to an

unfortunate sell-out of political sovereignty to cash-rich MNCs.

mncs vs . the nation-state 249

Notes

1. Stephen D. Krasner, ‘‘Globalization and Sovereignty,’’ in David Smith, Dorothy

Solinger, and Steven Topik, eds., States and Sovereignty in the Global Economy (New

York: Routledge, 1999), pp. 34–42.

2. Wolfgang H. Reinicke, ‘‘Global Public Policy,’’ Foreign Affairs, November/Decem-

ber 1997, p. 129.

3. As quoted in. Stephen J. Kobrin, ‘‘Sovereignty @ Bay: Globalization, Multinational

Enterprise, and the International Political System,’’ in Alan M. Rugman and Thomas

L. Brewer, eds., The Oxford Handbook of International Business (New York: Oxford

University Press, 2001), p. 186.

4. John G. Ruggie, ‘‘Reconstituting the Global Public Domain: Issues, Ac-

tors, and Practices,’’ Harvard Faculty Research Working Papers Series, July 2004, p.

7, emphasis in original, available online at http://ksgnotes1.harvard.edu/Research/

wpaper.nsf/rwp/RWP04-031/$File/rwp04_031_Ruggie.pdf; accessed August 2005.

5. Reinicke, ‘‘Global Public Policy,’’ p. 130.

6. Kobrin, ‘‘Sovereignty @ Bay,’’ pp. 186, 200.

7. Susan Strange, The Retreat of the State—The Diffusion of Power in the World Economy

(Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1996), p. 4.

8. Ibid., pp. 14, 72–73.

9. Ibid., p. 65; emphasis added.

10. Kenichi Ohmae, ‘‘The Rise of the Region State,’’ Foreign Affairs, spring 1993,

pp. 78–79.

11. Ibid., p. 78.

12. Ruggie, ‘‘Reconstituting the Global Public Domain,’’ pp. 32, 35, 7; emphasis in

original.

13. Medard Gabel and Henry Bruner, Global Inc.: An Atlas of the Multinational Corpo-

ration (New York: New Press, 2003), pp. 120, 7.

14. Kobrin, ‘‘Sovereignty @ Bay,’’ p. 191.

15. Ibid., pp. 200–201.

16. Maude Barlow, as quoted in Robin Broad, ed., Global Backlash (Lanham, MD:

Rowman and Littlefield, 2002), p. 43.

17. The International Forum on Globalization, Alternatives to Economic Globalization

(San Francisco: Berrett-Koehler, 2002), p. 143.

18. Joel Bakan, The Corporation—The Pathological Pursuit of Power (New York: Free

Press, 2004), p. 5.

19. William Greider, One World, Ready or Not—The Manic Logic of Global Capitalism

(New York: Simon and Schuster, 1997), p. 334.

20. Ralph Nader, ‘‘Introduction,’’ in Lori Wallach and Michelle Sforza, The WTO—Five

Years of Reasons to Resist Corporate Globalization, available online at http://www

.thirdworldtraveler.com/WTO_MAI/WTO_FiveYears.html; accessed December

2005.

21. Ralph Nader interviewed by LA-Weekly, as quoted in Manfred B. Steger, Globalism

(Lanham, MD: Rowman and Littlefield, 2002), p. 107.

impact on the international order250

22. Charles P. Kindleberger, American Business Abroad: Six Lectures on Direct Investment

(New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 1969), p. 207.

23. Raymond Vernon, Sovereignty at Bay (New York: Basic Books, 1971), p. 3.

24. Raymond Vernon, ‘‘Sovereignty at Bay: Twenty Years After,’’ in Lorraine Eden and

Evan Potter, eds., Multinationals in the Global Political Economy (New York: St.

Martin’s, 1993), p. 19.

25. Technically, General Electric refused to comply with the commission’s demands for

product line divestitures as a precondition for approval.

26. Krasner, ‘‘Globalization and Sovereignty,’’ pp. 34, 37.

27. Ibid., p., 49.

28. Arie Kacowicz, ‘‘Regionalization, Globalization, and Nationalism,’’ Kellogg Institute

for International Studies, Working Paper Series no. 262, December 1998, pp. 39–40,

available online at http://www.nd.edu/~kellogg/WPS/262.pdf; accessed June 2005.

29. David Fieldhouse, ‘‘ ‘A New Imperial System’? The Role of the Multinational Cor-

porations Reconsidered,’’ in Jeffry [sic] A. Frieden and David A. Lake, eds., Inter-

national Political Economy (Boston: Bedford/St. Martin’s, 2000), p. 178.

30. C. Fred Bergsten, Thomas Horst, and Theodore Moran, American Multinationals and

American Interests (Washington, DC: Brookings Institution, 1978), p. 333.

31. Kobrin, ‘‘Sovereignty @ Bay,’’ p. 183.

32. Robert Gilpin,U.S. Power and the Multinational Corporation (New York: Basic Books,

1975), pp. 139, 161.

33. Martin Wolf, Why Globalization Works (New Haven, CT: Yale University Press,

2004), p. 251.

34. Jessica T. Mathews, ‘‘Power Shift,’’ Foreign Affairs, January/February 1997, p. 50.

35. D. M. Gordon, as quoted in Peter Dicken, Global Shift (New York: Guilford Press,

2003), p. 274.

36. TransAtlantic Business Dialogue, ‘‘About the TABD,’’ available online at http://

www.tabd.com/about; accessed November 2005.

37. Mathews, ‘‘Power Shift,’’ pp. 65–66.

38. James N. Rosenau, ‘‘Governance, Order, and Change inWorld Politics,’’ in J. Rosenau

and E. Czempiel, eds., Governance without Government: Order and Change in World

Politics (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1992), pp. 3–4.

39. ‘‘The Myth of the Powerless State,’’ The Economist, October 7, 1995, p. 15.

40. Fieldhouse, ‘‘ ‘A New Imperial System’?’’ p. 175.

mncs vs . the nation-state 251

11

the international regulation of multinational corporations Why There Is No Multilateral Foreign Direct Investment Regime

Government regulation and big business are inextricably linked. Allgovernments regulate companies operating within their jurisdic- tion to ensure consistency with domestic goals and values. International eco-

nomic relations are largely conducted on three levels: private sector commercial

and financial transactions, national rules and regulations affecting the private

sector’s behavior, and international rules and regulations adhered to by govern-

ments for the common good. A clearly defined international trading order exists,

as does an international monetary and financial order. A foreign direct investment

(FDI) regime dealing with investment policy and the actions of multinational

companies (MNCs) does not exist. This is an anomaly in view of the recognition

by senior political leaders that MNCs have a significant impact, real and potential,

on the performances of national economies.

Governments should be anxious to have a formal international framework in

place to steer FDI activity into what are deemed to be desirable directions. This

chapter seeks to explain this paradox in the context of previously developed

themes: complexity, heterogeneity, and deep differences in perceptions on the

net merits of MNCs. The first section addresses the core question of why

progress toward meaningful multilateral rules in this field continues to languish

(or, to use Raymond Vernon’s phrase, progress is coming at a ‘‘glacial pace’’).

The inquiry proceeds on two levels. At the macro level is the larger debate over

the optimal distribution of power between government and the marketplace,

252

domestic and global. The micro level encompasses more specific procedural and

substantive problems associated with an effort to negotiate a comprehensive

multilateral agreement on FDI policy. The chapter’s second section presents a

selective survey of the major government agreements and nonbinding multi-

lateral codes of conduct that collectively provide a rudimentary, decentralized

regulatory system addressing governmental actions and MNC behavior. Next

come two separate case studies of vehement disagreement on how to apportion

rights and responsibilities between the official and private sectors. The con-

flicting attitudes toward the proposed Multilateral Agreement on Investment

(MAI) and the existing Chapter 11 of the North American Free Trade Agree-

ment (NAFTA) are analyzed in depth because they demonstrate many of the

irreconcilable differences that have relegated a definitive multilateral agreement

on FDI and MNCs to an occasionally discussed abstraction rather than a reality.

Finally, a fifth section examines the relatively recent and rapid rise in the role of

nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) as unofficial external influences affect-

ing the behavior of both multinational enterprise and governments.

Why No FDI Regime Exists

‘‘Regimes’’ are common objectives, norms (rights and obligations), rules, and

procedures that establish a uniform set of standards voluntarily followed by

governments. They play a central role in managing the international economic

order. It is widely acknowledged that although growing international economic

interdependence has created new opportunities for pursuit of economic pros-

perity, it also has shrunk the ability of governments to achieve economic goals and

solve problems when acting alone. Recognition of this shrinkage is a major raison

d’être of the European Union. Because the economic benefits of interdepen-

dence to countries continue to exceed the political costs of diminished national

autonomy, governments allow their international trade policy and international

monetary and financial policies to be circumscribed by the multilateral regimes

governing them. By joining the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the

World Trade Organization (WTO), a country limits its right to impose proscribed

discriminatory economic measures against other countries. However, a govern-

ment joining these international economic organizations takes comfort in the

knowledge that all other signatories are required to extend it the same nondis-

criminatory treatment.

Even before World War II ended, the Allies began collective efforts to plan a

new international economic system, one that would prevent a return to the di-

sastrous, mutually harmful ‘‘beggar-your-neighbor’’ unilateralism of the 1930s.

The ill-advised, short-sighted adoption of restrictive international economic

the international regulation of mncs 253

measures by the major economies crippled international commerce and deepened

and prolonged the Great Depression. The Bretton Woods Conference of 1944

established the outline of a regime to define the rights and obligations of countries

in addressing balance of payments disequilibria, managing exchange rate policies,

and regulating international capital flows. A 1947 conference in Havana produced

international consensus on a protocol for trade policy behavior. In the same year,

the first round of multilateral tariff-cutting negotiations was completed under the

auspices of the newly created General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT).

The initial blueprints of both regimes were drafted in a matter of months, just

a little more than a blink of an eye relative to many subsequent international

economic negotiations. The international monetary and trade regimes are su-

pervised today by the IMF and WTO, respectively. They interpret and enforce

the rules their members are supposed to follow, and periodically they are the

venue for negotiations aimed at expanding or refining their respective regimes.

The two organizations have been instrumental in preserving the relatively liberal

(open and market-oriented) international economic order.1

Economic coordination efforts within the Organization for Economic Coop-

eration and Development (OECD) are examples of what might be called subre-

gime multilateralism. The industrial countries use it as a discussion forummainly

to stay in sync on the many domestic and international economic policies and

trends that collectively influence growth rates, employment levels, and price

stability in this highly interdependent group of countries. The developing coun-

tries have acted in a similar manner by giving permanence to and expanding

the mandate of the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development

(UNCTAD). It is the less developed countries’ (LDCs) preferred forum to

discuss means of restructuring the international economic order in ways that are

supportive of their special economic needs, and it acts as an advocate for mea-

sures to narrow the North–South income gap.

Conspicuous by their absence are multilateral principles and an institution to

regulate FDI and MNCs. The economics of these phenomena provide a com-

pelling case in favor of having such a regime. The last section of chapter 3

presented statistics showing that by consistently growing faster than total do-

mestic production (world GDP) and international trade, FDI has become an

increasingly important variable determining national economic performance and

for many countries is a more important means of selling to foreign customers

than exporting. Senior economic policy makers cannot ignore these trends, nor

can they suppress the desire to channel the economic power of MNCs in di-

rections that serve the national interest.

Multilateral efforts perceived by governments to influence the behavior of

MNCs would have a number of advantages over unilateral initiatives. First, most

impact on the international order254

large manufacturing and services MNCs are well positioned to stay one step

ahead of unwanted coercion by a single government. Many are so geographically

dispersed in their production and marketing activities that they have become less

dependent on the good graces of individual governments (except those in the

headquarters country and in their largest overseas markets) for survival and

financial success. They have achieved increased mobility that facilitates their

moving subsidiaries to places governed by more business-friendly regimes, to

places with lower production costs, or both. Second, a multilateral FDI agree-

ment also would have the potential to impose ceilings on financial incentives

offered to foreign companies. Such a restraint would save some governments a

lot of money, but no one wants to go first because others might not follow. ‘‘In

light of the increased significance of the MNC in every facet of the global econ-

omy, it is remarkable that there are not international rules to govern FDI.’’

Political economist Robert Gilpin added that ample evidence exists to suggest

that an international agreement governing MNCs and FDI would be ‘‘desirable’’

for charting good policies for countries and corporations.2

The politics of FDI are the principal obstacles to the creation of an interna-

tional FDI regime. The continuing stalemate in the larger sense is about value

judgments on the appropriate balance of power between governments and

markets, and more specifically about how much freedom governments should

grant MNCs. Articulation of a universally acceptable doctrine has been impos-

sible in the face of some fiendishly difficult normative questions concerning the

relationship between governments and markets. The different options and em-

phases for dealing with values and actors in an FDI regime are illustrated

graphically in table 11.1. Given the absence of incontrovertible truths, none of

these questions has an obvious first-best answer that is acceptable to all:

Whose behavior most needs to be restrained by multilateral rules: privately

owned corporations or the governments of host countries? In other words,

when it comes to FDI, is public sector interference or the private sector’s

self-centered pursuit of profit the greater threat to the interests of society as

whole? Can it be determined whether big business or big government is the

lesser of the evils, and if so, how? If it is not an all-or-nothing proposition,

what is the right balance in an FDI regime between pursuit of a ‘‘ just and

stable’’ social order and reliance on the private sector to create wealth, raise

living standards, and maximize efficiency? Should a code of good behavior

be more vigorously applied to government officials responsible for pro-

tecting the public’s welfare or to business executives responsible for ad-

vancing their corporations’ self-interests by providing goods and services

to consumers at affordable prices?

the international regulation of mncs 255

Absent resolution of these quandaries, there can be no effective multilateral

agreement on FDI that will be enthusiastically embraced by a majority of the

world’s countries. The virtues of reduced trade barriers and the need to correct

structural balance of payments disequilibria are simple and straightforward when

compared with the myriad substantive and technical issues associated with es-

tablishing universal standards for government and MNC behavior.

The odds are further stacked against implementation of a comprehensive regime

by the improbability that all interested parties will soon be able to get past their

many incompatible views. On the procedural side, no deadlines exist that would

pressure the factions to cobble together a compromise. The international economic

order can exist indefinitely without a multilateral agreement on FDI policy. On the

substantive side, compatible desires, needs, and attitudes have not, do not, and will

not come easily to the major factions: (1) host countries, (2) home countries, (3)

MNCs and their shareholders, and (4) stakeholders (the public at large, company

employees, the environment, and organized public interest groups). The first and

fourth of the major actors want governments to systematically seek significant net

benefits from foreign-owned subsidiaries. They feel it essential that host countries

have authority to demand that foreign subsidiaries conform to local laws, values,

and definitions of good corporate citizenship. Theirs is an emphasis on fairness.

Conversely, the second and third actors see the greatest good for the greatest

number of citizens coming from letting business operate relatively unencumbered

by government restrictions. Home countries rail against host countries that hin-

der the freedom and financial success of their overseas subsidiaries.MNCs combine

economic self-interest with free market ideology to preach their unique capacity to

maximize global wealth and economic efficiency. Their between-the-lines message

is that their substantial benefits will be denied to governments averse to creating

andmaintaining a favorable business environment for incoming direct investments.

Even if conceptual differences can be resolved, many procedural and practical

hurdles would remain. Getting past them is another prerequisite for achieving

consensus on what a multilateral system of FDI/MNC governance should look

table 11.1. Governance Trade-Offs

Efficiency-Oriented

Regime

Fairness-Oriented

Regime

Obligations and

Restraints

Maximum for Host

Governments; Minimum

for MNCs;

Maximum for MNCs;

Minimum for Host

Governments

Rights and Freedom

to Act

Maximum for MNCs;

Minimum for Host

Governments

Maximum for Host

Governments;

Minimum for MNCs

impact on the international order256

like. First of all, few governments have a clear, consistent, and unambiguous po-

sition onwhat they are seeking in anFDI regime.Most are unable to fully reconcile

two distinctly different subsets of FDI policy, one to deal with issues associated

with being a host country, the other to deal with issues associated with home-

country status. A double standard is inevitable in formulating two distinct sets of

policy positions to deal with different national self-interests. Government offi-

cials instinctively support maximum freedom of maneuver for their companies’

subsidiaries operating in other countries. However, when considering how to deal

with foreign-owned subsidiaries operating within their own jurisdiction, govern-

ments want the option of being able to ensure compatibility with national needs.

Devising principles simultaneously compatible with the interests of home and

host countries is no simple task.

Second, opinions on the right degree of regulation differ among countries.

Some still view inward FDI with suspicion and distrust, whereas others have

built their economic growth strategy around it. Attitudes toward international

business are filtered through prisms uniquely sculpted by different historical

experiences, different levels of economic development, and differing economic

ideologies. Capitalism is practiced in many distinctive forms around the globe

because no common agenda exists on the government–business relationship. In

short, infinite nuances exist as to how 190 sovereign countries redirect the in-

visible hand of the marketplace through interventionist economic policies and

intrusive controls on MNCs.

Although all countries accept the broad principle of the need to regulate the

business sector, each has its own ideas about how much and what mix of regu-

lation are called for. Japan and France exemplify countries with strong bureau-

cracies that have proactively promoted the development of targeted industries

through favorable treatment and financial subsidies. In return, these govern-

ments expect corporate executives to be responsive to their suggestions and

demands. At the opposite end of the spectrum is the adversarial relationship

mutually accepted by business and government in the United States. An ex-

traordinary burden of proof is imposed on Washington before it can use tax-

payers’ money to assist private companies. Where to draw the line, or a series of

lines, amidst a nearly infinite number of variations on the business–government

dynamic is among the most complex policy issues affecting decision makers.

Yet another source of government ambiguity standing in the way of a com-

prehensive FDI/MNC regime is the degree of regulatory autonomy nation-

states are willing to surrender to it. Chances are slim that most countries would

be willing to relinquish their right to refuse entry of foreign-owned subsidiaries

in sensitive sectors like defense, culture/mass media, and transportation. Nor is

it likely that all countries would agree to relinquish their right to offer finan-

cial incentives to prospective foreign investors. Developing countries would be

the international regulation of mncs 257

reluctant to cede authority to regulate the activities of foreign-owned extractive

companies or to dilute their right to demand transfers of advanced technology

from incoming MNC manufacturers. Congress is unlikely to approve partici-

pation in an investment treaty denying the U.S. government’s right to order

overseas subsidiaries of American companies to refrain from exporting to

countries targeted by U.S. export controls or trade sanctions.

Practical difficulties inhibiting consensus on FDI/MNC regulation do not

stop there. Successful negotiations to create an FDI regime will require extreme

consultations between government delegations and senior executives of domes-

tically headquartered MNCs. Multinationals will be the most directly affected by

the design and operation of the new regime—both in terms of how governments

can regulate them and what rights and obligations will be extended to companies.

Because every major phase of corporate operations potentially would be directly

affected by a multilateral agreement, most governments would feel it necessary to

get expert advice on the business consequences of proposals to regulate and pro-

tect MNCs.

A more specific problem is determining whether it would be both desirable

and legal to allow representatives of MNCs to directly participate in the nego-

tiation of a multinational FDI agreement. Some would argue that only authorized

representatives of national governments accountable to their citizens have the

legitimacy to negotiate that which will have the force of international law. The

counterargument is that MNCs will be more affected by a regime than govern-

ments and therefore cannot be denied access to the policy-making process; failure

to accommodate them risks an MNC backlash that would seek to defeat ratifi-

cation of the pact in key countries. A middle-ground arrangement would allow

business representatives to assemble in a room near the negotiators and provide

immediate advice and feedback when invited to do so. Similar questions can be

raised about the possible participation of the NGOs who have been outspoken in

demanding that MNCs operate in a more socially responsible, ethical manner.

A whole new set of practical problems arises if it is decided to accredit rep-

resentatives of MNCs and NGOs to the negotiations. What is a manageable

number of private sector participants? It presumably would make most sense to

keep the number small enough to prevent them from vastly outnumbering gov-

ernment officials. Once a number is agreed on by whoever is chosen to make that

decision, it then becomes necessary to determine the criteria to be used for

selecting a relatively small number of participants from a large statistical universe.

The worldwide total of economically important MNCs and politically active

NGOs in each case is in the tens of thousands. What would constitute a ‘‘rep-

resentative’’ group? How would noninvitees be able to make their views known?

Agreeing on the identities and numbers of direct and indirect negotiators is

hardly the end of the tough procedural and practical dilemmas discouraging

impact on the international order258

realization of an FDI regime. Selection of an appropriate venue for global talks

could be a major sticking point. Developing countries would not be keen to use

the WTO or the OECD, forums where they fear being bullied by industrialized

countries. The latter in turn would oppose talks under the auspices of UNCTAD

for fear that the more numerous developing countries would use the one-country,

one-vote rule to co-opt agenda-setting and decision making. If a regime is created

and requires institutional oversight, should the WTO’s trade jurisdiction be

extended to include FDI, or should an entirely new international economic or-

ganization be created?

Even if the preconditions for producing a global FDI/MNC regime were not

formidable, the basic question remains as to whether it is a good idea. If not, the

international economic order has been well served by failure to create it. An

unconventional thesis is that multilateral rules in this area ‘‘are not necessarily

desirable, let alone achievable.’’ Implementation of a multilateral agreement

could result in at least some LDCs believing it unnecessary to take the eco-

nomically vital but politically difficult steps of domestic regulatory and institu-

tional reforms needed to attract quality FDI on a sustained basis. Getting the

basics right, for example, macroeconomic stability, good governance, strong fi-

nancial systems, and industrial policies to improve corporate competitiveness, is

of utmost importance to attract high-quality direct investment.3 To the extent

the authors are correct in their assessment, an FDI regime is far from essential

and its absence is of little consequence. Countries wishing to publicize their

commitment to the basic property rights of foreign companies can sign bilateral

treaties with countries having significant outward direct investment.

An Abridged Survey of Existing Efforts to Regulate

FDI-Related Activities

In the absence of a formal FDI/MNC regime, an uncoordinated, narrowly

written collection of government agreements and nonbinding, voluntary codes of

conduct provide a limited number of rules and behavioral guidelines applicable to

host governments and MNCs. None seeks a balanced approach by establishing a

twin set of standards and obligations applicable to both businesses and govern-

ments.

Bilateral Treaties

Quantitatively speaking, the most prevalent kind of official accord in the

FDI realm consists of thousands of agreements signed on a bilateral basis.

the international regulation of mncs 259

Efficiency-wise, the proliferation of piecemeal bilateralism is second best to a

single uniform accord as the means of defining the parameters of FDI policy and

MNC behavior. Bilateral investment treaties take one of two forms. The nearly

2,600 bilateral ‘‘double taxation treaties’’ in force at the end of 2004 are designed

mainly to minimize the double taxation of MNCs’ earnings.4 This is what would

occur if a foreign-owned subsidiary paid corporate income taxes to the host

country and then, on repatriating those profits to headquarters, was forced to pay

a full second round of income taxes to the home country.5

A total of 176 countries were signatories to at least one of 2,400 more broadly

based bilateral investment treaties (BITs) signed between 1959, when the first of

these treaties was concluded, and 2004.6 They deal exclusively with protection of

a foreign-owned or -controlled subsidiary’s basic legal rights; they do not impose

any obligations on companies. Bilateral treaties include most or all of a core group

of policy guidelines aimed at restraining discriminatory or confiscatory govern-

ment behavior against inward FDI. At the top of the list typically are the mutual

obligations to apply ‘‘fair and equitable treatment’’ to local subsidiaries owned or

controlled by companies headquartered in the other country and to provide

‘‘national treatment,’’ that is, apply domestic laws and regulations to foreign

subsidiaries at least as favorably as locally owned companies.7 Other provisions

typically included are the rights of entry and establishment in each signatory

country by companies headquartered in the other (specified industrial sectors are

often excluded for reason of political or social sensitivity), the right to repatriate

profits, and standards for determining ‘‘fair’’ compensation in cases of expro-

priation. It is also customary to stipulate procedures for settling disputes that

might arise between a host government and a local subsidiary owned by a cor-

poration headquartered in the other signatory country. Investment accords em-

bedded in regional free trade agreements tend to be broader and deeper than

bilateral agreements. Countries committing themselves to regional free trade and

common economic institutions cannot at the same time arbitrarily exclude open-

door, nondiscriminatory policies toward incoming FDI from other member

countries.

The first major set of binding multilateral rules on FDI policy appeared in

the mid-1990s, following the successful completion of the Uruguay Round of

multilateral trade negotiations. The Agreement on Trade-Related Investment

Measures (TRIMs), subsequently incorporated into the WTO, was an important

symbolic first step by governments in formally recognizing the increasing inter-

connectedness between FDI and trade (see chapter 9). In practical terms, the

agreement’s impact on government actions has been small, owing to the unwilling-

ness of many developing countries to impose major new restraints on government

prerogatives. The net result is that TRIMs does not introduce any new limitations

on FDI policy actions; it merely bans specified investment-related measures con-

impact on the international order260

sidered to be inconsistent with the GATT provisions as updated in 1994. A limited

prohibition list of trade-distorting measures includes local content requirements

(which mandate that a minimum percentage by value of a foreign-owned subsid-

iary’s output must be made of locally produced goods) and trade balancing re-

quirements (these mandate that a foreign subsidiary’s exports offset imports, and/

or its capital inflows must balance its capital outflows).8

Nonbinding Codes

Nonbinding codes of conduct applicable to MNCs comprise a second category

of de facto regulation. Voluntary constraints on corporate behavior, a response to

critics and suspicious LDCs, take the form of principles laid out in codes of con-

duct covering broad areas of business practices and values. The most common are

human rights in general and labor rights in particular, environmental protection,

full disclosure of business activity, and ethical behavior. Accession to these codes

is based on pragmatic self-interest, not an altruistic desire by corporate chieftains

to create a better world. Multinationals agree to comply with these guidelines

mainly to enhance their public image as good corporate citizens. Additionally, by

agreeing to self-policing, they hope to preempt passage of intrusive and man-

datory controls by national legislation or international treaty. Corporate execu-

tives must walk a fine line between potential long-term benefits of having their

firms practice corporate social responsibility and the immediate desire of their

bosses, that is, the shareholders, for increased growth and profitability. The

willingness to voluntarily follow standards of conduct that can modestly increase

the costs of doing business came in two separate phases. Desire to placate the

suspicions and antipathy of LDCs was the major catalyst in the 1970s and 1980s.

Desire to defuse the public outcry from NGOs has been the major catalyst for

corporate social sensitivities since the mid-1990s (to be discussed in this chapter’s

penultimate section).

An uncountable number of corporate codes of conduct exist worldwide in-

asmuch as most MNCs have adopted a company code applicable to social, labor,

and environmental standards.9 More than forty ‘‘open’’ codes subscribed to by

multiple companies were identified in 2000.10 Nearly all lack quantifiable criteria

for determining corporate compliance and permanent monitoring mechanisms.

One of the few exceptions is the code administered by Social Accountability In-

ternational; companies adhering to its social accountability standard, known as

SA8000, allow independent auditing organizations to verify compliance with a

certifiable set of labor and human rights standards by on-site inspections of

factories and farms.11 Compliance with the provisions in all corporate codes is

based on moral suasion because none are grounded in international law, and none

have means to punish violations by signatory companies.

the international regulation of mncs 261

The two most influential voluntary codes of conduct, as measured by the

amount of public and corporate attention attracted, are administered by the

OECD and the United Nations. The OECD’s Guidelines for Multinational

Enterprises is the core instrument comprising the Declaration on International

Investment and Multinational Enterprises adopted by the OECD’S member

countries in 1976 and updated periodically. The guidelines are described as ‘‘one

of the world’s foremost corporate responsibility instruments’’ and the ‘‘only

multilaterally endorsed . . . code that governments are committed to promoting.’’

It expresses the shared values of the major FDI home and host countries (the

thirty OECD members and seven nonmember countries, as of 2005) in the form

of recommendations for responsible business conduct by MNCs operating in

the ‘‘adhering’’ countries.12 To achieve the end of encouraging the ‘‘positive con-

tributions’’ MNCs can make to economic and social progress, the guidelines spell

out general policies dealing with human rights, sustainable development, ap-

propriate corporate disclosure, and the need to ‘‘take full account’’ of established

policies in host countries; employment and industrial relations dealing with the

specifics of child and forced labor and nondiscrimination, and so on; environ-

mental protection; avoidance of bribery; respect for consumers’ interests; promo-

tion of technology and science transfers; competition policy, that is, a noncollusive

and competitive business climate; and respect for ‘‘both the letter and spirit of tax

laws.’’ Responses to complaints of noncompliance with these principles are lim-

ited to informal efforts of government agencies to ‘‘encourage’’ MNCs based in

their country to alter or stop practices considered inconsistent with the guide-

lines.

Disagreement surrounds assessments of the impact of the guidelines. The

OECD cites a number of reasons, such as an improved procedure for NGOs to

report allegations of corporate violations to governments, to claim that the guide-

lines ‘‘are becoming an important international benchmark for corporate respon-

sibility.’’13 However, a report issued in 2005 by OECD Watch, a multinational

public interest group, expressed no confidence in the ability of this code of

conduct to limit improper MNC behavior. ‘‘NGO experience with the Guide-

lines indicates that they are simply inadequate as a global mechanism to improve

the operation of multinationals and contribute to a reduction in conflict between

communities and investors in any comprehensive way.’’14 The guidelines are

‘‘simply inadequate and deficient’’ as a means of improving the performance of

multinationals. ‘‘Without the threat of effective sanctions, there is little incentive

for companies to ensure their operations are in compliance.’’15

A second high-visibility set of advisory guidelines is the Global Compact, a set

of values and a forum promoting ongoing discussions between MNCs and the

many citizen groups comprising civil society. Administered by the United Na-

tions, it ‘‘seeks to advance responsible corporate citizenship so that business can

impact on the international order262

be part of the solution to the challenges of globalisation’’ and can contribute to a

‘‘more sustainable and inclusive global economy.’’16More than 2,300 participating

corporations and some 400 participating NGOs, labor groups, and business as-

sociations from over 80 countries17 make it the largest, and most geographically

and functionally diverse of the nongovernmental instruments seeking to hold

MNCs to a higher level of social responsibility. Because no part of the principles

is binding, no legal action can be taken against noncomplying companies. The

Global Compact relies on policy dialogues between, and the enlightened self-

interest of, MNCs and stakeholders to promote adherence to its guiding prin-

ciples. They are similar to the OECDGuidelines in that they articulate standards

for business in four broad areas: respect for human rights, protection of workers’

rights, protection of the environment, and refusal to engage in bribery or cor-

rupt practices. Another similarity with the OECD code is criticism that the

nonbinding, nonenforceable nature of the principles has at best a marginal effect

in preventing abusive actions by MNCs that have indicated their intention to

adhere to the principles. A letter jointly sent to the UN by four major NGOs in

2003 expressed their growing dissatisfaction with the lack of ‘‘tangible evidence

of progress’’ generated by the Compact and their concern about the inadequacy

of its compliance mechanism.18

Regulatory Rorschach Test: The MAI

The daunting challenge of determining the optimal trade-off between govern-

ment obligations and rights on the one hand and MNC obligations and rights on

the other hand is clearly demonstrated by the fate of the proposed MAI. Al-

though never seeing the light of day, it serves as a unique case study in explaining

how the failure to create an FDI regulatory regime stems from the deeply rooted

differences in political and social values held by the champions and the critics of

MNCs. Most government officials and corporate executives viewed the proposed

pact’s free market orientation as a step toward a more efficient and prosperous

world economic order. Those who call for enhanced governmental oversight to

curb what they see as the multinationals’ excessive economic and political power

had a different reaction. To them, the largely pro-FDI language was a brazen

ploy to make the world safer for ever larger corporate profits and independence.

When the dust kicked up by the ensuing contretemps had settled, the anti-MNC

faction was triumphant.

Ironically, the effort to create a set of multilateral FDI rules began in the mid-

1990s as a relatively unheralded effort having no intention of breaking new

political ground. Most industrialized countries had long before lowered barri-

ers to incoming FDI and extended nondiscriminatory treatment to existing

the international regulation of mncs 263

foreign-owned or -controlled subsidiaries. The decision to convene the negotia-

tions primarily reflected consensus among economic officials in industrialized

countries that the time had come to consolidate into one document the re-

straints on government provisions common to the more than 1,500 BITs that

were in force at the time. As explained by an OECD official, ‘‘Although in-

vestment regimes have become much more open and welcoming in the recent

past, there is no assurance that they will remain so in the years to come. Even in

the OECD area, foreign investors still encounter barriers, discriminatory treat-

ment and legal and regulatory uncertainties.’’ An MAI was needed to strengthen

existing FDI policy guidelines by developing ‘‘a comprehensive agreement’’ that

incorporated the strongest features of existing multilateral, bilateral, regional,

and sectoral arrangements.19 ‘‘The benefits of rules that prevent backsliding and

encourage countries to become more investor-friendly are . . . obvious,’’ wrote

The Economist.20 Countries not belonging to the OECD were invited to partic-

ipate in the talks, and the announced intention was to have the finished treaty

open to accession by all countries.

A run-of-the-mill negotiation was anticipated. Negotiators labored in obscu-

rity behind closed doors for almost three years, attracting little media attention or

public interest. This changed in late 1997 when an NGO with negative feelings

about MNCs received a leaked copy of the draft text. (No finalized text was ever

produced.) NGOs were appalled at what they considered to be the one-sided,

proinvestor bias of the proposed agreement and were angry at being excluded

from the drafting process. They soon went into full attack mode that included a

Joint NGO Statement posted on the Internet and signed by more than 600

groups in more than 70 countries. It complained that the agreement as drafted was

‘‘completely unbalanced’’ in that it would greatly expand the rights of interna-

tional investors ‘‘far above those of governments, local communities, citizens,

workers and the environment.’’21 A development specialist complained that the

text of the treaty wrongly assumed ‘‘that there is no need to distinguish between

different types of foreign investment [and] that all foreign investments bring only

benefits but no costs. . . .Social, cultural, development, environmental and hu-

man rights concerns are also ignored in this approach.’’22

The more militant NGOs demonized the MAI as an effort ‘‘to multiply the

power of corporations over governments and eliminate policies that could restrict

the movement of factories and money around the world. It places corporate

profits above all other values’’ and ‘‘puts our democracy at risk.’’23 Public Cit-

izen, a Ralph Nader advocacy group, warned: ‘‘Imagine an international com-

mercial treaty empowering corporations and investors to sue governments directly

for cash compensation in retaliation for almost any government policy or action

that undermines profits. This is not the plot of a science fiction novel of future

corporate totalitarian rule. Rather, it is just one provision’’ of the MAI. The latter

impact on the international order264

was further described ‘‘as a slow motion coup d’etat against democratic gover-

nance.’’24 The Council of Canada called it something that ‘‘could crush Canada’’

and a ‘‘bill of rights for investors only.’’25

Opponents of the proposed MAI were especially incensed by the provision

that would have protected foreign subsidiaries from broadly defined expropria-

tion. It said, ‘‘A Contracting Party shall not expropriate or nationalize directly or

indirectly an investment in its territory of an investor of another Contracting

Party or take any measure or measures having equivalent effect’’ unless four specific

conditions were met (e.g., expropriation or its equivalent was in the public

interest and was accompanied by prompt and adequate compensation.)26 Op-

ponents of the MAI repeatedly charged that this clause would be interpreted as

barring any national law or regulation that impeded or would impede a foreign

investor’s right to make a profit. If true, this meant that environmental, health, or

workers’ rights legislation that in any way could threaten MNCs’ profits were

allegedly at risk because they could be interpreted as being incompatible with the

prohibition against de facto expropriation.27 Proponents never provided an ef-

fective counterargument to this charge.

The MAI negotiations were adjourned in late 1998, permanently as it turned

out, before final agreement on the text could be reached. It was a familiar story:

No consensus could be reached to reconcile bitterly contested views on the

proper formula for apportioning constraints on the conduct of governments and

on the operations of MNCs. The immediate cause of the treaty’s demise remains

a subject of controversy. The first of two conflicting postmortems concluded that

negotiators lost confidence that they could bridge the differences that remained

on several points. When the talks disbanded, the working draft contained many

brackets with alternative wording for unresolved issues. Most prominently, an

unwieldy number of proposals had been advanced by different delegations to ex-

empt sensitive sectors from the proposed further liberalization of barriers on in-

coming direct investment, for example, cultural industries (massmedia) inCanada

and motion pictures in France.

The other explanation is that the opposition of a global coalition of NGOs

brought down the MAI. They unquestionably mounted an unexpectedly vocif-

erous, ferocious, and widespread media blitz that surprised and rattled the

countries negotiating the agreement. At a minimum, the relentless criticism put

agreement further out of reach by exacerbating tensions and frustration among

the negotiators and their ministers. The effective grassroots attack on the MAI is

‘‘a cautionary tale about the impact of an electronically networked global civil

society.’’28 Perhaps the most accurate assessment is that either one of these two

explanations had the potential to derail the talks; in tandem, internal and external

pressures were inevitably fatal, especially in the absence of a strong push by the

international business community to keep the negotiations going. In any event,

the international regulation of mncs 265

the question of exactly what killed the MAI is far less important than the main

lesson learned from its demise: The two irreconcilable perceptions of the FDI/

MNC phenomena perpetuate irreconcilable visions of to how to construct an

FDI regime. Consensus on a model of international corporate governance re-

mains a long way off.

A persuasive case can be made that intent of the MAI was designed to be

MNC-friendly; the only real debate is whether the OECD countries went over-

board in the pursuit of this objective. An insight into the reason why even mod-

erate critics were convinced that the industrial countries had gone beyond the

pale comes from a comparison of the ideological leaning of the MAI’s text with

the very different approach embodied in another stillborn agreement: the pro-

posed UNCode of Conduct on Transnational Corporations. After two decades of

on-and-off effort, negotiations quietly dissipated in the early 1990s, partly the

result of ongoing dissension among LDCs, but mainly due to the industrialized

countries’ hostility to what they viewed as its inadequate treatment of host country

obligations to MNCs. Rightly or wrongly, the proposed UN Code was broadly

constructed to include a wide array of issues that included political principles

(e.g., respect for national sovereignty and human rights), development needs of

LDCs (e.g., encouragement of technology transfer and discouragement of

transfer pricing), and social goals (e.g., consumer, environmental, and cultural

protection). The draft code explicitly recognized that FDI as a whole had fa-

vorable as well as negative effects and favored a menu of actions intended to

maximize the former and minimize the latter.29 The two proposed agreements

were the products of contrasting paradigms. The balanced approach of the UN

Code was preferable, claimed Martin Khor, because it took into account the

rights and obligations of host countries and foreign investors, ensured that they

were properly balanced, and was based on the primary objective of contributing

to economic development and social and environmental objectives.30

No efforts have been made to resurrect negotiations toward a multilateral FDI

framework (as of mid 2006). One reason is that MNCs came to ‘‘prefer the

existing patchwork of BITs, and a low profile to escape NGOs’ interest.’’31

Going Overboard? NAFTA’s Chapter 11

One of the more incendiary disagreements about the regulation of FDI concerns

the present and future impact of Chapter 11 of NAFTA. The debate encompasses

the irreconcilable views that it is either (1) a socially harmful, excessively

probusiness framework for regulating foreign investment; or (2) an overdue lever

for MNCs to use against illegal government actions taken against them. Critics

see the provisions of Chapter 11 as imposing unacceptably strong direct and

impact on the international order266

indirect restraints on governments that hinder their ability to make public policy

choices consistent with the public’s health and welfare.32 Corporations and free

market advocates defend it as a fully justifiable means of providing investors with

legal rights to challenge acts of governments that violate their international treaty

obligations. It is another familiar story: Interested parties have looked at exactly

the same thing (touched different parts of the same elephant, so to speak) and,

guided by dissimilar philosophies, once more advanced two mutually exclusive

interpretations of its nature and desirability.

Differences of opinion are also natural outgrowths of the fact that Chapter 11

is in one sense unique and in another sense nothing new. It was the first time that

a regional free trade agreement provided a full set of legal rights and protections

to foreign direct investors (from other member countries). U.S. trade negotiators

are due much of the credit, or blame as the case may be, for this innovation. Their

action was motivated by the desire to lock Mexico into a system ensuring a

greater commitment by that country’s government and court system to respect

the rights of foreign investors than they had displayed historically.

Though unprecedented as inclusions in a trade agreement, Chapter 11’s pro-

visions introduced no new principles of international law.33 The litany of foreign

investors’ rights was identical to the guidelines that had begun appearing many

years previously in BITs. National treatment (treatment no less favorable than

what is accorded to domestically owned businesses with regards to establishment,

operation, expansion, and so on) is mandated, as are guarantees of ‘‘fair and

equitable treatment and full protection and security,’’ to subsidiaries owned

by companies from the other NAFTA member countries. Echoing the TRIMs

agreement (see previous discussion), Chapter 11 prohibits several governmen-

tally imposed performance requirements on foreign-owned companies.34

NAFTA Chapter 11’s two most contentious provisions also have roots in

bilateral investment treaties. Article 1110 establishes rules on expropriation and

dispute settlement. It stipulates, ‘‘No Party may directly or indirectly nationalize

or expropriate an investment of an investor of another Party in its territory or

take a measure tantamount to nationalization or expropriation’’ (emphasis added).

The term investment is not limited by the modifiers ‘‘foreign’’ or ‘‘direct.’’ The

prohibition is waived if four contingencies are met: The expropriation must

be done for a public purpose, on a nondiscriminatory basis, in accordance with

due process, and followed by just compensation by the government taking the

action.

The second super-charged lightning rod for criticism is Section B of Chapter

11, wherein private investors in NAFTA member countries are given the right to

pursue monetary claims for grievances against either of the other two NAFTA

governments. By following stipulated procedures, a corporate or individual

investor has the right to compel the foreign government to participate in a

the international regulation of mncs 267

three-member arbitration panel. The tribunal is charged with determining the

validity of the investor’s claim that it has incurred a financial loss from the for-

eign government’s alleged breach of the obligations just summarized. The panel’s

ruling on the dispute is binding. Like restraints on indirect expropriation, the

principle of investor-state arbitration had been a common feature in BITs for

many years.

Impassioned criticism has charged that Section B’s occasionally imprecise

wording gives foreign investors excessively wide latitude and a potent weapon to

challenge and demand compensation for almost any regulation, law, or proposed

law of another NAFTA government that has nothing more than a small, very

indirect negative impact on the financial well-being of a foreign subsidiary. Crit-

ics of MNCs and globalization intensely dislike Chapter 11 assigning no rights

whatsoever—not even to protect public health or the environment—to govern-

ments. They equally dislike the absence of any assigned responsibilities or lim-

itations imposed on investors. To them, the gross imbalance between rights

provided to foreign companies and obligations imposed on governments creates

an unacceptable bias in favor of one side in investor–state disputes, and once

again the interests and needs of society at large take a back seat to business’s

single-minded pursuit of profits.

Dismissing such criticism as sensationalized hyperbole becomes more difficult

as the list of corporations filing suits lengthens and the grounds for taking

NAFTA governments to arbitration expand at the hands of aggressive lawyers.

For example, the Canadian Cattlemen for Fair Trade filed a petition for recovery

of economic damages of at least $300 million they attribute to the U.S. gov-

ernment’s suspension of imports of Canadian cattle and processed beef after a

discovery of mad cow disease in Alberta. The organization’s case presumably will

try to stretch the reach of Chapter 11 by contending that what ostensibly was a

U.S. public health measure had the effect of harming investments made in

Canada for the purpose of exploiting free trade with the United States.35 The

Canadian ranchers have no U.S.-based investments. Supporters of this com-

plaint could not have been pleased when a Canadian activist was quoted as saying,

‘‘By entering into NAFTA, the United States no longer has the right to protect

its domestic cattle industry from contamination.’’36

Opponents are also irked that the arbitration procedures established in the

chapter ignore the doctrine of sovereign immunity that bars a government from

being sued or taken to arbitration unless it agrees to such a process or the suit is

expressly allowed by domestic law. Chapter 11 also ignores the principle that

only the state has the right of standing in disputes arising from intergovernmental

accords. Instead, critics charge, the provision implicitly recognizes a corporation,

when acting in the capacity of investor, ‘‘as an equal subject of international law,

on par with governments.’’37 Public Citizen argued that the provision’s language

impact on the international order268

empowers foreign investors to sue the U.S. government for cash compensation

for the alleged damage of federal, state, and local policies on profits and the value

of assets—a right not allowed under U.S. law.38 This is a form of discrimination

against domestic investors in the NAFTA countries because they have no re-

course to bring similar charges against their own government. The net effect is

that the NAFTA treaty arguably bestows on foreign investors operating within

the United States more favorable treatment than the Constitution requires be

extended to American businesses.39

A joint report by the International Institute for Sustainable Development and

the World Wildlife Federation argued that ‘‘the basic legitimacy of the process is

challenged by the ability of foreign investors to bypass local laws and legal pro-

cesses in favor of the international rights and processes domestic businesses do not

enjoy.’’ The dispute settlement procedure as currently designed and implemented

was characterized as ‘‘shockingly unsuited to the task of balancing private rights

against public goods in a legitimate and constructive manner.’’40 An angryMexican

scholar complained, ‘‘If a foreign corporation can override the efforts of elected

governments to protect the health of its citizens and the integrity of its environ-

ment, democracy itself is undermined.’’41 Even an article in the stolid New York

Times was anything but nuanced: ‘‘Their meetings are secret. . . .The decisions

they reach need not be fully disclosed. Yet the way a small group of international

tribunals handles disputes between investors and foreign governments has led

to . . . justice systems questioned and environmental regulations challenged. And it

is all in the name of protecting the rights of foreign investors.’’42 Another negative

view is that Chapter 11 has ‘‘created concern rather than value.’’43

One of the cases most often cited by critics had its roots in the 1993 purchase

of a Mexican company by Metalclad, an American corporation. The transaction

took place after the federal and the state governments in Mexico approved

construction permits for the company to build an underground hazardous waste

storage facility (described by opponents as a toxic waste dump). Construction

proceeded despite absence of the local municipality’s authorization for con-

struction; the company and its supporters claimed that it was told that federal and

state permits were sufficient. Prior to the site’s official opening, local residents

launched a series of heated protests, asserting that the soil at the site was too

unstable to ensure that toxic waste would not leak into underground water sources

(an assessment shared by some outside environmental groups). Faced with

strong, unstinting local resistance, the Municipality of Guadalcazar formally

denied the company a permit to begin underground storage of hazardous waste.

The state governor shortly thereafter declared the site and adjacent land a special

ecological zone protected from commercial development.

Metalclad filed suit under Chapter 11, charging the Mexican government with

violating the expropriation and fair and equitable treatment provisions. Absent

the international regulation of mncs 269

reconciliation between the two parties, the company was entitled to plead its case

before an arbitration tribunal. The latter sided with the plaintiff on both counts.

The 2000 ruling said the Mexican government had failed to fulfill its obligation to

provide ‘‘a transparent, clear and predictable framework for foreign investors.’’

The panel criticized what it found to be misleading and inaccurate assurances

by federal and state officials that their permission was sufficient to commence

operation of the facility. It further ruled that the municipal government had

exceeded its legal authority in demanding a local construction permit.44 In de-

claring that the treatment of Metalclad constituted acts ‘‘tantamount to expro-

priation,’’ the tribunal was the first to equate procedural actions by government

with expropriation. The definition of indirect expropriation under Chapter 11

was effectively expanded to official regulations that reduced the value of cor-

porate property.45

Defenders emphasize the absence of any significant new legal principles in

Chapter 11, the contents of which merely replicate concepts contained in many

bilateral investment treaties. Two Canadian scholars argued that the ‘‘unique-

ness’’ of these investor–state dispute resolution provisions ‘‘derives from the

decision by the three NAFTA parties to embed them within a broad trade and

investment agreement, expanding the prospect that they would be interpreted on

a broader basis than they would be as stand-alone provisions.’’ Although they

conceded that some litigants had made ‘‘creative and expansive claims suggesting

a very broad scope for Chapter 11,’’ they felt that the number of tribunal deci-

sions (as of 2001) in favor of investors was relatively small and ‘‘narrowly con-

ceived.’’46 The authors noted that in all instances when governments lost an

arbitration hearing involving environmental actions, the decision never ques-

tioned the legal validity of the underlying regulations. Arbitrators ruled only that

they had been applied in a discriminatory and confiscatory manner in a specific

situation.47 Even more important is the fact that arbitration panels cannot strike

down laws and regulations; they can only demand that a government compensate

a winning plaintiff for financial damages incurred from official actions.

Some lawyers laud the chapter for giving investors an overdue boost in their

historically tenuous legal standing vis-à-vis foreign governments.48 ‘‘Govern-

ments remain free to regulate, but on a basis consistent with jointly developed

rules set out in . . . trade and investment agreements.’’ This argument holds that

the power of the state to compel must be balanced by the right of the governed to

hold the state accountable in law. Because governments abuse power, make

mistakes, and sometimes intentionally implement measures that financially injure

foreigners, allegedly it is misguided to think that holding governments account-

able threatens democracy. ‘‘Foreign investors should be compensated for unfair

and discriminatory treatment, and they should be confident that they can operate

in a predictable business environment based on the rule of law. . . .The real risk is

impact on the international order270

that rational debate about free trade and investment will be stifled under the

weight of anti-free trade hysteria.’’49

A third perspective onNAFTAChapter 11 incorporates elements of both praise

and condemnation and then adds a dollop of uncertainty. It contends that on the

one hand, its content and objectives are sound in principle. But on the other hand,

it surmises that if the officials who drafted it had a crystal ball at the time, they

would have inserted qualifying language. Most of the original advocates assumed

that complaints and demands for arbitration would mostly target the Mexican

government and would deal with expropriation and traditional regulatory en-

cumbrances on foreign businesses. They assumed incorrectly on both accounts.

Whereas the United States and Canadian governments were used to being the

plaintiffs in investment disputes handled under bilateral treaties, both found them-

selves frequent defendants under Chapter 11. And much to the dismay of envi-

ronmental groups, many of the complaints challenged antipollution policies. The

synthesis approach holds that most of the unfortunate unanticipated consequences

of this provision could be corrected by some relatively minor amendments.

To see what a revision might look like, one need look no further than the

wording of the investment protection provision written into the U.S. free trade

agreement with Central America and the Dominican Republic that came ten years

after NAFTA. The revisions in the investment chapters came about ‘‘in direct

response’’ to guidance provided by Congress.50 The new agreement states that

nondiscriminatory regulatory actions designed and applied to protect the public

welfare (health and the environment, principally) do not constitute indirect ex-

propriations ‘‘except in rare circumstances.’’ Other original provisions are in-

cluded to expedite dismissal of ‘‘frivolous’’ claims and calls for establishment of

an appellate body to review financial awards ordered by arbitration tribunals.51

The eclectic view also espouses a wait-and-see attitude in lieu of final judg-

ment. Chapter 11 is viewed as a work in progress with a number of important

questions yet to be resolved. First, how important is the ‘‘intimidation factor?’’

Will national and local governments in fact ease up on enforcement of laws to

protect public health and safety if confronted with the possibility of paying out

many millions of dollars in compensatory damages? On the one hand, the roughly

$35 million paid out for five lost cases by the three governments through 2005 is

hardly financially crippling. On the other hand, the possibility exists of future

payoffs amounting to several hundreds of millions of dollars in addition to large

cumulative legal costs associated with what might be an increasing volume of ar-

bitration cases. These contingencies might encourage the U.S., Canadian, and

Mexican governments to back off strict enforcement of public health, environ-

mental, andworker protection actions that are challenged as violations ofNAFTA.

Those who worry about a perverse descent into a ‘‘pay the polluter’’ system point

to the settlement reached between the U.S.-based Ethyl Corporation and the

the international regulation of mncs 271

Canadian government. The latter rescinded a ban against a gasoline additive

declared to be a public health risk, and in return the company accepted payment

for damages that were a fraction of the $250 million it originally demanded.

Future complaints filed by aggrieved corporations could go in either of two

opposite directions. Legal counsel may push the envelope with an array of clever

arguments that expand the anti-expropriation clause well beyond what govern-

ments had intended. A different scenario is that the unexpected outcome of the

complaint brought by the Methanex Corporation against the state of California

may cause ‘‘plaintiff intimidation.’’52 The arbitration panel surprised many

people in unanimously ruling that the provisions of Chapter 11 did not apply

because California’s actions were not motivated by intent to harm foreign com-

panies. The arbiters wrote that even if they had jurisdiction, they saw no evi-

dence in this case of indirect expropriation. Potential corporate litigants might

have second thoughts about seeking arbitration in view of another part of the

panel’s ruling: Methanex was told to pay the U.S. government $4million to cover

its legal expenses.53 Legal activity under Chapter 11 in the future may increase,

decrease, or be altered by amended language. The best forecast of its long-term

effects is: ‘‘It depends.’’

Privatizing Regulation: The NGOs

NGOs have become a third actor in the dialogue conducted between MNCs and

national governments. The termNGO has been defined in various ways owing to

the great variance in these organizations’ structures, size of membership, and

budgets (some of which exceed $100 million annually). As agents of civil society,

they are independent, nonprofit, value-centered organizations that operate in the

broad political expanse between individual citizens and their government, ex-

cluding only profit-making business entities. The numerous policy fields in which

they are active include scrutinizing corporate behavior, protecting the environ-

ment, promoting workers’ rights, defending human rights, disbursing foreign aid

and humanitarian relief, promoting the economic interests of developing coun-

tries, and monitoring the work of international organizations. Their strategies

vary, as does the geographic scope of their activities—some are local, some

national, others global. Estimates of ‘‘multinational NGOs,’’ that is, those with

international programs, range from 20,000 to 30,000. (Inclusion of every national

and small local organization worldwide would put the total in the millions.)

Literally thousands of NGOs are interested in the ‘‘cross-cutting’’ theme that

big companies responding to the invisible hand of the marketplace are not likely

to act in harmony with the interests of society as a whole. NGOs display varying

degrees of antipathy toward MNCs (most preach reform, a few have the more

impact on the international order272

radical agenda of bringing big corporations to their knees) and to the globalization

of production and capital movements. The transformation of these convictions

into unofficial, but status quo–shaking actions constitutes a new form of quasi-

regulation of multinationals.

The impact of NGOs in the FDI realm has induced hundreds (if not thousands)

of MNCs to behave in ways inconsistent with pure pursuit of efficiency and profit

maximization. These were voluntary actions not legally required by law or regu-

latory edict, and seldom if ever recommended by shareholders. The emergence

of thousands of activist groups has forced large corporations ‘‘to make decisions

in newways, factoring in variables that once could be ignored: the costs and benefits

of capitulation versus compliance, the competitive dynamics of concession, and the

personal beliefs and preferences of top management.’’54 Just as no responsible

senior management team would ignore specific demands or complaints aimed at

them by a determined host government, no responsible management today would

refuse to give a fair hearing to specific demands or complaints aimed at its company

by influential and determined multinational NGOs. The corporate social respon-

sibility movement would not have become a significant part of theMNC experience

without the intense pressures from NGOs that hit critical mass only in the 1990s.

The behavior of high visibility multinationals today is more restrained and civic-

minded than it would be had many of them not been on the receiving end of civil

society’s aggressively unrelenting lobbying tactics. Few CEOs would have acted

purely on their own volition to commit their companies to comply with codes of

conduct or to abandon profitable business strategies to do the ‘‘right thing’’ to

protect workers’ rights or the environment.

Literally hundreds of NGOs have become very savvy in public relations

techniques in support of their efforts to shift MNC behavior into what they judge

to be a more socially beneficial direction. They have the skills, resources, and

depths of popular support that make it unwise for companies to confront them

head-on in the battle for public opinion.55 ‘‘In the contest between NGOs and

companies, size is no advantage.’’56 In fact, it can be a disadvantage: The bigger

the brand name, especially for consumer goods, the bigger the potential financial

hit from widely circulated and vitriolic criticism by a nonprofit organization os-

tensibly speaking on behalf of the public’s welfare. NGO tactics to modify MNC

behavior begins with quiet persuasion. If that does not produce acceptable results,

the message shifts to publicly embarrassing corporations and fomenting dissat-

isfaction among their customers. The next step is usually use of Internet-enabled

swarming by a phalanx of nonprofit activist groups from many countries. The

result is a bright, globally visible spotlight illuminating what they have identified

as the targeted company’s injurious or unethical behavior. Should a corporation

refuse to modify that behavior, it might face an escalation of tactics that can

include physical attacks on corporate property, disruption of annual company

the international regulation of mncs 273

meetings, and organized transnational consumer boycotts. NGOs have been very

good at getting out in front of issues by sensing emerging shifts in public con-

cerns and values. ‘‘They should be, since they are usually born during one of

those shifts and depend for their survival on keeping up with them.’’ NGOs do

not simply respond to these shifts; they often help redirect and control them.57

Efforts by NGOs to intimidate/enlighten corporations have been greeted with

both approbation and opposition. The deciding factor is perceptions, mainly the

evaluator’s acceptance or rejection of two ideas. The first is the relative validity of

the message of NGOs on the need for greater protection of labor and environ-

mental standards. The second is whether maximizing economic growth and

increasing living standards are best achieved by leaving MNCs relatively free to

deal with the rewards and risks of the marketplace.

A strong case can be made that advocacy groups, for better or worse, have

achieved a high rate of success in convincing MNCs to be responsive to their

various demands for behavior modification. Success is indirectly demonstrated

by NGOs’ continued disinterest in the traditional lobbying technique of peti-

tioning governments for new laws and tighter regulation of global companies. It

has proven quicker and more effective for them to make corporate executives

squirm. Success is also demonstrable by published references to instances of

corporate capitulation that are so voluminous that only a short list is practical

here. Pharmaceutical giants have lowered their prices of drugs to LDCs and

withdrawn lawsuits against governments in poor countries who were not en-

forcing patent enforcement of drugs to combat HIV/AIDS and other infectious

diseases. Some coffee retailers have responded to the desire of some consumers to

buy coffee that has been certified as ‘‘fair trade’’ goods, whereby growers are paid

‘‘fair’’ prices for their crops. Retailers and bankers have been convinced to cease

doing business with foreign lumber companies recklessly denuding forests. Wal-

Mart, the biggest retailer in the world, thought it appropriate to begin a program

to hold its many non-U.S. suppliers accountable for upholding high levels of

environmental and social standards.

Nike became a classic case study of successful civil society pressure when it

responded in the 1990s to a spreading consumer backlash to revelations of rel-

atively poor working conditions and low pay in the Asian factories making its pop-

ular line of athletic shoes. The unusual situation here is that these factories were

not owned or operated by Nike; they were locally owned contractors who were

for the most part conforming to local laws and pay scales. Clear and present

threats of reduced sales through a tarnished brand name caused Nike and other

companies, including Levi Strauss, Adidas, and the Gap, to refuse to do business

with alleged sweatshops. They agreed to assume permanent responsibility for

ensuring more Western-like treatment (excluding pay scales) for workers em-

ployed by foreign contractors.

impact on the international order274

Yet another manifestation of the impact of NGOs is the several international

business organizations and coalitions that have been created to promote corporate

social responsibility compatible with pursuit of financial success. Two examples

are the World Business Council for Sustainable Development and Business for

Social Responsibility. Some corporations open up their factories and those of

their major contractors to outside inspection and certification of compliance with

established labor standards; evaluations are provided by business-supported,

nonprofit organizations like Social Accountability International and the Fair

Labor Association. Unilever is one of many multinationals issuing annual cor-

porate environmental and social reports.

A high winning percentage by NGOs may be fact, but the desirability on bal-

ance of their victories is a hotly contested issue. Public interest activists staunchly

believe in the virtue of their mission because they consider efforts toward a more

equitable society and a cleaner environment to be positive goals outweighing any

other consideration. The opposing school of thought is critical of what they see as

self-appointed carriers of the moral torch and ask, ‘‘who elected the NGOs to

define and protect the public’s interest?’’ Critics assert that these groups are no

more inherently democratic or publicly accountable than the corporations they

pillory. Some claim they are less so. Elected governments must account to their

citizens, and corporations must account to their shareholders and to government

agencies charged with enforcing corporate laws. NGOs need only account to

their interested contributors.58 Some avid supporters of the free market dismiss

these organizations as special interest groups who may be unimpressed with the

profit motive, but are very motivated to generate publicity that can maximize

financial contributions. It has been suggested that inaccuracy seldom stops

a message from being posted on the Internet, the communications medium of

choice for most advocacy groups. Anecdotal evidence exists of questionable ac-

tions by individual organizations, running the gamut from conducting a misin-

formation campaign, presenting conjecture as fact, to issuing inaccurate or unwise

policy guidance stemming from too narrow a frame of reference or overeagerness

to impose Western values and economic standards on developing countries.59

‘‘The best of them, the ablest and most passionate, often suffer most from

tunnel vision, judging every public act by how it affects their particular interest.’’60

Jagdish Bhagwati declared, ‘‘NoNGO, or government, has the wisdom or the right

to lay down what corporations must do. Social good is multidimensional, and

different corporationsmay andmust define social responsibility, quite legitimately,

in different ways.’’61 The incipient backlash to the NGO movement has grown to

the point that at least one group disdainful of it has launched its own Web site

offering a critical perspective on the activities and claims of corporate gadflies.62

The infrequently articulated third possibility is that the net impact of the rise

of an activist civil society on international business cannot be generalized. Effects

the international regulation of mncs 275

can be positive or negative on balance, depending on specific circumstances as

well as on the company and NGO involved; in other words, ‘‘it depends.’’ Just

how extensive are the qualitative changes in MNC behavior directly attributed to

the ‘‘privatization of regulation’’ cannot be measured with anything close to pre-

cision. There is no definitive compilation of cases where MNCs capitulated to

NGO ‘‘name and shame’’ campaigns, nor is there a subcompilation determining

whether the capitulations were advisable.

Back to the Future

No one can rule out the eventual emergence of a brilliantly conceived enunciation

of policies and behavioral standards that would produce an optimal trade-off

between governmentally imposed regulation and corporate pursuit of competi-

tively priced goods and profits. The problem is that the formidable assets nec-

essary to resolve the many problems standing in the way of a regime acceptable to

all parties are not being allocated to this quest. The reason is perceived lack of

urgency. National governments andMNCs can live comfortably with status quo–

based, decentralized, and largely ad hoc guidelines affecting FDI policies and

MNC performance. Most corporations and many governments perceive the

greater danger to their goals is a groundswell of public support for an NGO-

designed regime unfavorable to their perceived self-interests; better not to risk

opening a Pandora’s box by getting too ambitious.

Whatever one’s position on the need for a comprehensive multilateral agree-

ment on FDI, it is clear that doubts about the cost-effectiveness of expending the

time, energy, and political capital necessary to produce a document acceptable to

all factions are strong enough to deflate enthusiasm at least for the foreseeable

future for going full steam ahead with negotiations. A strong, committed con-

stituency for universal investment rules is yet to be created. As Raymond Vernon

put it, ‘‘A long period of experimentation and travail will be needed before

anything like a comprehensive international regime for transnational corpora-

tions takes shape.’’63

Notes

1. Their value has been most evident in times of economic stress when governments

faced internal political pressures to adopt trade barriers or depreciating currencies as

means to discourage imports and stimulate exports. Governments often deflect these

pressures by pointing to the need to follow international rules against such actions.

2. Robert Gilpin, Global Political Economy—Understanding the International Economic

Order (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2001), pp. 300–301.

impact on the international order276

3. Stephen Young and Ana Teresa Tavares, ‘‘Multilateral Rules on FDI: Do We Need

Them? Will We Get Them? A Developing Country Perspective,’’ Transnational

Corporations, April 2004, pp. 1, 18–19.

4. Data source: UNCTAD, ‘‘Recent Developments in International Investment

Agreements,’’ August 30, 2005, available online at http://www.unctad.org/sections/

dite_dir/docs/webiteiit20051_en.pdf; accessed October 2005.

5. If one of two countries imposed zero or minimal corporate income taxes, no double

taxation could result and no tax treaty would be necessary.

6. Data source: UNCTAD, ‘‘Recent Developments in International Investment

Agreements.’’

7. This provision is often extended to include a most-favored-nation clause that says that

any favorable special treatment extended by the host government to subsidiaries of

third-country companies will be equally extended to subsidiaries of the treaty’s other

signatory government. In other words, if country A gives favorable tax treatment to

the local subsidiaries of companies headquartered in country K, it would be obligated

to extend the same special benefits to subsidiaries of companies from country B.

8. Two other Uruguay Round agreements partly touch on FDI policies: the General

Agreement on Trade in Services and the Agreement on Trade-Related Aspects of

Intellectual Property Rights.

9. To be listed on the New York Stock Exchange, companies now must adopt and

disclose a code of business conduct and ethics for directors, officers, and employees.

10. Estimate of the International Chamber of Commerce, as quoted by Susan A. Aar-

onson, ‘‘Oh, Behave!,’’ International Economy, March/April 2001, p. 41. The article

also contains a chart summarizing the scope and administration of nineteen codes of

corporate accountability.

11. Details of Social Accountability International’s programs are available on their Web

site, http://www.sa-intl.org.

12. OECD, ‘‘The OECD Guidelines for Multinational Enterprises,’’ Policy Brief, June

2000, p. 1, available online at http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/52/38/2958609.pdf;

accessed October 2005.

13. Ibid., p. 4.

14. OECD Watch, press release dated September 22, 2005, available online at http://

www.oecdwatch.org/content.htm; accessed November 2005.

15. OECDWatch, ‘‘Executive Summary,’’ Five Years On: A Review of the OECD Guide-

lines and National Contact Points, available online at http://www.OECDWatch.org/

docs/oecd_watch_5_years_on.pdf; accessed November 2005.

16. UN Global Compact, ‘‘Corporate Citizenship in the World Economy—The Global

Compact,’’ September 2004, available online at http://www.unglobalcompact.org;

accessed November 2005.

17. Data source: http://www.unglobalcompact.org; accessed November 2005.

18. Amnesty International, Human Rights Watch, the Lawyers Committee for Human

Rights, andOxfam International, ‘‘Letter toLouise Fréchette RaisingConcerns onUN

Global Compact,’’ April 7, 2003, available online at http://web.amnesty.org/pages/

ec-gcletter070403-eng; accessed November 2005.

the international regulation of mncs 277

19. William H. Witherell, ‘‘An Agreement on Investment,’’ OECD Observer, October/

November 1996, pp. 6–7.

20. ‘‘The Sinking of the MAI,’’ The Economist, March 14, 1998, p. 81. The article did go

on to say that ‘‘Less obvious is how, and where, to write [such rules].’’

21. Available online at http://www.citizen.org/print_article.cfm?ID¼1676; accessed May 2005.

22. Martin Khor, ‘‘Globalization and the South: Some Critical Issues,’’ UNCTAD

Discussion Paper no. 147, April 2000, p. 44, available online at http://www.unctad

.org/en/docs/dp_147.en.pdf; accessed November 2004.

23. ‘‘MAI—Democracy for Sale?,’’ available online at http://econwg.igc.org/MAI;

accessed March 2005.

24. Lori Wallach, ‘‘Everything You Wanted to Know about the Multilateral Agreement

on Investment,’’ Public Citizen, 1998, p. 1; a revised version of this report is available

online at http://mondediplo.com/1998/02/07mai.

25. The Council of Canadians, ‘‘The MAI Will Put the $queeze on Canada,’’ and ‘‘The

Multilateral Agreement on Investment,’’ undated reports available online at http://

www.flora.org/flora/archive/mai-info/flyer.htm and http://www.canadians.org/

sitemap.htm; accessed February 1999.

26. OECD, ‘‘TheMAI Negotiating Text (as of 24 April 1998),’’ available online at http://

www.nadir.org/nadir/initiativ/agp/free/mai/mai.pdf; accessedAugust2005,empha-

sis added.

27. Stephen J. Kobrin, ‘‘The MAI and the Clash of Globalizations,’’ Foreign Policy, fall

1998, p. 102.

28. Ibid., p. 99. Ironically, the worldwide coordination of the NGOs’ offensive and their

ability to get the word out to people who had never heard of the negotiations would

not have been possible before the information technology revolution that also accel-

erated the globalization process so disliked by most of civil society.

29. Khor, ‘‘Globalization and the South,’’ p. 42.

30. Ibid., p. 43.

31. David Robertson, ‘‘Multilateral Investment Rules,’’ in Bijit Bora, ed., Foreign Direct

Investment—Research Issues (London and New York: Routledge, 2002), p. 317.

32. Donald McRae, ‘‘Introduction,’’ in Laura Ritchie Dawson, ed., Whose Rights?

The NAFTA Chapter 11 Debate (Ottawa: Centre for Trade Policy and Law,

2002), p. 5.

33. This point was confirmed in two interviews with legal counsel at the Congressional

Research Service and the U.S. Department of State, December 2005.

34. NAFTA members may not compel local subsidiaries of companies headquartered in

another member country to agree to a minimum percentage of domestic content in

their output, minimum percentages of output to be exported, import/export bal-

ancing, or mandatory technology transfer.

35. The case had not been resolved as of May, 2006.

36. Public Citizen, ‘‘Canadian Cattlemen for Fair Trade v. United States—Mad

Cow Disease’’ (undated), available online at http://www.citizen.org/documents/

CanadianCattlemen_for_FairTrade.pdf; accessed October 2005.

impact on the international order278

37. Naomi Al-Or, ‘‘NAFTA Chapter Eleven and the Implications for the FTAA: The

Institutionalization of Investor Status in Public International Law,’’ Transnational

Corporations, August 2005, pp. 123–24, available online at http://www.unctad.org;

accessed November 2005.

38. Public Citizen, ‘‘NAFTA Chapter 11 Investor-State Cases,’’ September 2001,

p. viii, available online at http://www.citizen.org/documents/ACF186.pdf; accessed

August, 2004.

39. Ibid.

40. International Institute for Sustainable Development, ‘‘Private Rights, Public Prob-

lems,’’ 2001, p. 46, available online at http://www.iisd.org/pdf/trade_citizensguide

.pdf; accessed October 2005.

41. Fernando Bejarano Gonzalez, ‘‘Investment, Sovereignty, and the Environment: The

Metalclad Case and NAFTA’s Chapter 11,’’ in Timothy Wise, Hilda Salazar, and

Laura Carlsen, eds., Confronting Globalization (Bloomfield, CT: Kumarian Press,

2003), p. 17.

42. Anthony DePalma, ‘‘NAFTA’s Powerful Little Secret,’’ New York Times,March 11,

2001, p. III 1.

43. Katherine McGuire, ‘‘Commentary,’’ in Dawson, Whose Rights?, p. 173.

44. The panel awarded the company $16.7 million in compensation, an amount consid-

erably less than the $90 million originally sought by Metalclad.

45. Many analyses of this episode differ in their criticisms of the main players: some

disparaging the ethics of Metalclad, others questioning the motives of the Mexican

municipality. The main sources of this discussion of the Metalclad case are: Gonzalez,

‘‘Investment, Sovereignty, and the Environment’’; Public Citizen, ‘‘NAFTA Chapter

11 Investor-to-State Cases,’’ pp. 11–14; and Gary Clyde Hufbauer and Jeffrey J.

Schott, NAFTA Revisited, Achievements and Challenges (Washington, DC: Institute

for International Economics, 2005), pp. 231–33.

46. Michael M. Hart and William A. Dymond, ‘‘NAFTA Chapter 11: Precedents,

Principles, and Prospects,’’ in Dawson, Whose Rights?, p. 147.

47. Ibid., p. 153.

48. In the words of an American negotiator involved in drafting Chapter 11, private

investors in the first generation of bilateral investment treaties were disadvantaged in

having to ask their home government to seek arbitration with the host country on the

grounds it had violated its treaty obligations. The problem was that a home country’s

response might be based on political considerations. If so, redress for economic harm

inflicted on an investor by a foreign government was contingent on the political will

and the political calculation of its own government. The latter might arbitrarily choose

not to take up an investor’s complaint with a host government, perhaps because the

home country had a comparable practice or needed the host country’s vote in the UN.

Source: Daniel M. Price, ‘‘Chapter 11—Private Party vs. Government, Investor-State

Dispute Settlement: Frankenstein or Safety Valve?’’ Canada-U.S. Law Journal, 26(1),

2001, p. 112.

49. Ian A. Laird, ‘‘Chapter 11 Meets Chicken Little,’’ Chicago Journal of International

Law, spring 2001, p. 229.

the international regulation of mncs 279

50. Summary of ‘‘The Dominican Republic-Central America-United States Free Trade

Agreement,’’ available online at http://www.ustr.gov; accessed November 2005.

51. Ibid.

52. Methanex is a Canadian producer of methanol, an ingredient used in the manufacture

of a gasoline additive whose use was banned in California after growing evidence that

it was contaminating groundwater. The company countered that absence of conclu-

sive scientific proof meant the action amounted to unfair treatment and an indirect

expropriation of its assets. It demanded $970 million in compensatory damages.

53. Bureau of National Affairs, ‘‘NAFTA Panel Rejects Methanex’s Investment Claim

over MTBE Ban,’’ August 11, 2005, available online at http://www.bna.com/itr/

arch309.htm; accessed October 2005.

54. Debora L. Spar and Lane T. La Mure, ‘‘The Power of Activism: Assessing the

Impact of NGOs on Global Business,’’ California Management Review, spring 2003,

pp. 96–97.

55. Michael Yaziji, ‘‘Turning Gadflies into Allies,’’ Harvard Business Review, February

2004, p. 110.

56. ‘‘Living with the Enemy,’’ The Economist, August 9, 2003, p. 49.

57. Yaziji, ‘‘Turning Gadflies into Allies,’’ p. 14.

58. Gary Johns, ‘‘The NGO Challenge: Whose Democracy Is It Anyway?,’’ June 2003,

pp. 6, 4, available online at http://www.ngowatch.org; accessed October 2005.

59. One of the most frequently cited errors in calculation involved Greenpeace’s cam-

paign to force Royal Dutch Shell to dispose of an abandoned oil platform from the

North Sea on land instead of burying it at sea. After independent assessment agreed

with Shell’s assessment that deep-sea disposal would be less harmful and might even

be beneficial, Greenpeace apologized for an error in calculation, and Shell’s original

plan was implemented. For additional details, see David Baron, ‘‘Going Head to

Head,’’ Stanford Social Innovation Review, spring 2003, available online at http://

www.ssireview.com; accessed November 2005. Another much second-guessed NGO

initiative was the successful campaign in which Nike was convinced to force its

Pakistani contractor that made soccer balls to fire all child workers and commit itself to

using only adult employees. The fate of those children is unknown, but local traditions

and economic conditions suggest no reason to assume they returned to school or

upgraded their standard of living.

60. Jessica T. Mathews, ‘‘Power Shift,’’ Foreign Affairs, January/February 1997, p. 64.

61. Jagdish Bhagwati, ‘‘Coping with Antiglobalization—A Trilogy of Discontents,’’

Foreign Affairs, January/February 2002, p. 7.

62. See, for example, the American Enterprise Institute–sponsored http://www

.ngowatch.org, and Corporate Social Responsibility Watch at http://www.csrwatch

.com, sponsored by the Free Enterprise Education Institute.

63. Raymond Vernon, Exploring the Global Economy (Lanham, MD: University Press of

America and the Center for International Affairs of Harvard University, 1985), p. 96.

impact on the international order280

PART IV

Three Bottom Lines

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12

the case for foreign direct investment and multinational corporations

An objective and thorough evaluation of foreign direct investment(FDI) and multinational corporations (MNCs) must accept the qualification that neither phenomenon is in all ways and at all times economically

and socially beneficial in its impact. An unequivocally positive, thumbs-up eval-

uation arrives at a different conclusion: The available evidence categorically

demonstrates that the benefits of these international business phenomena dramat-

ically outweigh their very manageable costs. Perceived net benefits to the global

commons are so great that a clear-cut policy recommendation easily follows. Gov-

ernments should stay in the background and foster a favorable, hands-off business

climate for domestic firms and foreign-owned subsidiaries. What is best for society

is to let the private sector dowhat it does best: allocate resources in themost efficient

manner, produce good products at reasonable prices, create jobs, introduce new

products, and generate wealth for shareholders and stakeholders. The case for FDI

dismisses most of the arguments advanced against FDI and MNCs as being either

exaggerated, oversimplified, or factually inaccurate.

The principal purpose of this chapter is to distill the main arguments into a

thorough and convincing case in favor of MNCs and FDI. The objective is to

showcase the many ‘‘reasonable’’ arguments supporting the view that society and

governments should emphasize the discipline and incentives of the marketplace to

further increase the world’s material well-being and reduce its poverty. Winning

converts to this viewpoint is not an objective. In fact, the chapter has a subtle

agenda. It is to implicitly advance the idea that when the one-sided arguments that

follow are weighed against the contradictory one-sided arguments of the next

chapter, a relatively open-minded reader should encounter hesitation and equi-

vocation. Such a reader should entertain the thought that because both make some

283

sense, choosing one as representing the absolute, stand-on-its-own version of the

truth is a flawed approach. Introduction of doubt is a preliminary step to sug-

gesting the attractions of an eclectic middle-ground analysis that emphasizes the

need to appreciate the heterogeneity of the subject, the need to shun generaliza-

tions, and acceptance of the scarcity of absolute truths in an ocean of subjectivity.

As in the next chapter, the contents of this chapter do not necessarily reflect

the author’s views, and individual assertions may or may not be backed up with

what he regards as adequate evidence. The presentation should be considered the

equivalent of a legal brief designed to interpret reality in a way that influences the

opinions of those who read it. Although the most dubious, least substantiated

praise has been excluded, this chapter as a whole is intended to be argumentative,

not a demonstration of the scientific method at its most precise. The most impor-

tant commonality of the individual arguments presented here is that each pos-

sesses sufficient credibility to preclude its being dismissed as patently untrue or

irrelevant. The order in which the arguments are presented roughly follows a

macro to micro sequence; order does not imply importance. Too much subjec-

tivity and imprecision are involved to credibly argue that accurate weights can be

assigned to each of the benefits cited.

The Compelling Economic Logic of FDI and MNCs

The case in favor of FDI and MNCs can be summarized succinctly and con-

vincingly: it would make no sense to arbitrarily turn back the clock in an effort to

reapportion economic power that may or may not be too heavily concentrated in a

relatively few very large MNCs. Turning back the clock presupposes being able

to do the apparently impossible, namely, providing good answers to several core

questions. Globalization of production as opposed to what? What is a better al-

ternative? How much less independence should MNCs possess, and what criteria

should be used to make that determination?

Reverting to a relatively low-key, low-tech nineteenth-century-style economic

order would roll back living standards to a degree that would be neither politi-

cally acceptable nor economically justifiable. Economic growth rates would surely

decline. Small mom-and-pop operations may evoke nostalgia, but they cannot

afford the colossally high fixed costs of developing and manufacturing increas-

ingly sophisticated manufactured goods. Reverting to government-owned and

operated economies would be equal parts economic and political tragedy. Taking

such a disastrously self-defeating step backward would be tantamount to ignoring

the not-so-distant lessons learned from the implosion of Soviet-style commu-

nism. Any system that rests on the absurd notion that a few planners are smart

enough to fine-tune the millions of economic transactions that take place every

three bottom lines284

day in a country’s economy is doomed to failure. Bureaucratic meddling pales in

comparison with the core premise of the free market: Pursuit of individual in-

terest cumulatively adds up to the overall betterment of society. A system that

protects property, contracts, and personal initiative also provides protection

against the arbitrary power of the state.1 The private sector makes mistakes, too.

But in a free market environment, the inept and unresponsive disappear unless

subsidized by taxpayers, whom governments seldom if ever ask if they want their

tax payments used to bail out failing entrepreneurs and companies.

Private enterprise, regulated ‘‘within reason’’ by market-savvy politicians, is

the first-best means of accomplishing the most important economic goals. They

include allocating human and material resources in the most efficient manner,

generating and sustaining economic growth, raising standards of living, and re-

ducing poverty. The proliferation of MNCs has brought about the most efficient

global allocation of capital in history. These companies are uniquely adept in

determining where on the planet business costs are lowest and where among 190

countries they will get maximum returns on their money.

Reliance on free market forces and encouragement of MNCs is not a guar-

anteed formula for instant economic success free of missteps. Getting an intricate

mix of essential policies just right on a country-by-country basis is no easy task

for any government. Adoption of market-based reforms is a necessary but not

sufficient act for a country to steadily increase thematerial well-being of its people.

The suggestion that capitalism in general or MNCs in particular are a panacea for

domestic or international economic problems is a straw man. The ‘‘quick fix did

not work’’ argument has been used by clever opponents of free markets to point

out that reliance on the private sector has failed to put all countries on a short

road to prosperity that is devoid of potholes and detours. Turning entrepreneurs

and companies loose—in the right way and to the right degree—to pursue their

self-interests is only a part of the equation. The right kinds of economic regu-

lations and institutions, together with a competent and honest government, need

to be in place as well. Those who point to lingering inequities in the global

economy make no believable case against market-oriented economics and offer no

better alternative. Communism made equal distribution of income a top priority,

but succeeded only in making everyone poor, except for a handful of Party

leaders.

MNCs emerged as a logical and inevitable outgrowth of the generic corporate

structure that has proven its worth over the course of three centuries:

The company has been one of the West’s great competitive advantages. . . .

Civilizations that once outstripped the West yet failed to develop private-

sector companies—notably China and the Islamic world—fell farther and

farther behind. It cannot be just coincidence that Asia’s most conspicuous

the case for fdi and mncs 285

economic success is also the country that most obviously embraced com-

panies—Japan.2

The virtue of MNCs is that they represent the most advanced and most

efficient form of the corporation. ‘‘Relative to their domestic counterparts,

multinationals are larger, pay their workers higher wages, have higher factor pro-

ductivity, are more intensive in capital, skilled labour, and intellectual property,

are more profitable, and are more likely to export.’’ It is not surprising that

MNCs possess these attributes ‘‘given that to become a viable multinational, a

firm must have outperformed domestic and foreign rivals.’’3 Corporations did

not invent ‘‘multinationalism’’ as part of an orchestrated plot to facilitate making

ever greater profits. Instead, going multinational was mostly a case of necessity

born in the economics of the high-tech sector and perceived necessity of in-

creased growth and profits. Going multinational was progressively facilitated by

technological and scientific innovations and a more liberal international economic

order, all of which freed business from the confines of its home market.

Large, financially successful global companies got that way and stay that way

by being very good at giving the public what it wants and needs: quality goods

and services at competitive prices and a steady procession of new products and

cost-cutting methods for old ones. Well-managed companies do not rest their on

their laurels after reaching a comfortable plateau. They correctly equate com-

placency and static sales with the first step in becoming an unsuccessful company

flailing against better managed competitors. When these companies start or add

to overseas production, it is not necessarily a zero-sum game for the home

country; the presumption of offsetting declines in domestic jobs and production

is seldom documented. New or enlarged overseas subsidiaries seldom cause cor-

porations to lose their status as relatively fast-growing businesses in their home

market. If anything, international expansion is likely to invigorate a firm and

enlarge its product line, sales, and profits. The most probable outcome in such

companies is more, not fewer jobs.

A good way of assessing the strengths and gifts of MNCs is to recognize their

unrivaled array of propriety assets, namely the ownership advantages that con-

vinced them they could succeed in foreign markets against local competitors ex-

pert in how business is done there. In addition to their proprietary technology,

multinationals derive competitive strength from patented and trademarked brand

names, the ability to organize and integrate production across countries, the

ability to establish sophisticated marketing networks, and so on. Taken together,

in the judgment of the UNCTAD Secretariat, these advantages mean MNCs

‘‘can contribute significantly to economic development in host countries’’ (as

long as the company transfers at least some of its advantages and the host country

has the capacity to make good use of them).4 When manufacturing or service

three bottom lines286

companies set up overseas subsidiaries to enhance their competitive positions in

the international marketplace, it is in their self-interest to ensure that those

factories or offices

perform at their highest level possible in terms of quality, reliability, time-

liness, and price. The plants are designed to capture all potential economies

of scale, and to sustain a position at the cutting edge of industry best

practices. ‘‘Parental supervision’’ of the subsidiary is intimate and ongoing,

and both technologies and business practices are frequently upgraded.5

A thriving overseas business presence is increasingly a requirement and indi-

cator of overall success; this connection applies to corporations headquartered in

industrialized and developing countries alike. American companies with global

operations account for the majority of domestic U.S. investment in physical capital

(plants and equipment) in the manufacturing sector. ‘‘This helps raise U.S. pro-

ductivity by providing more inputs for people to work with.’’ American MNCs

perform the majority, between 50 and 60 percent, of total U.S. research and

development. ‘‘This helps raise U.S. productivity by leading to improved tech-

nologies for producing products more efficiently.’’6 Relatively large increases in

worker productivity explains why American companies with overseas operations

are able to pay their workers higher wages on average than those who are not

multinationals. Because global operations increase net income and competitiveness,

the ability of American corporations to raise the U.S. standard of living ‘‘depends

crucially on their ability to undertake foreign direct investment abroad.’’7

The economic benefits of MNCs are further demonstrated by the close statis-

tical correlation between countries with relatively good domestic economic per-

formances and relatively strong ability to attract inward FDI. A close correlation

also exists between poorly performing national economies and a minimal presence

of nonextractive foreign subsidiaries. Economic and political factors inimical to a

prosperous domestic economy discourage FDI by creating poor investment cli-

mates. Domestic economic success appears to promote inward direct investment

more than the other way around. The result is that the presence or nonpresence of

MNCs in the manufacturing sector is usually a reliable litmus test for the quality of

a country’s domestic economic performance. Market-seeking direct investment is

attracted first and foremost by the spending power of local consumers; poor do-

mestic economic policies are inconsistent with increasing consumer spending

power. Efficiency-seeking foreign subsidiaries are attracted by relatively low wages,

but only in the context of a favorable economic and political environment.

Japan and South Korea are the most notable exceptions to the rule that FDI

follows and reinforces domestic economic strength. The two countries shunned

foreign-owned or -controlled subsidiaries in the early phases of their remarkable

the case for fdi and mncs 287

box 12.1 Inward FDI as a Barometer of Economic Development

Economic data suggest that the relative amount of inward FDI in a (nonoil) de-

veloping country is a good indicator of how well or poorly that country has done in

its efforts to develop. An interesting positive four-way statistical correlation is

discernible between market-based economic policies, above-average GDP growth

rates, a relatively strong export sector, and an above-average presence of MNCs.

Conversely, an equally interesting negative statistical correlation exists between

nonmarket economic policies, below-average growth rates, a relatively weak export

sector, and a below-average presence of MNCs. Although it is vulnerable to an

accusation of selectively choosing the statistics to make a preconceived point, a

comparison of key economic indicators for Singapore and India suggests that the

presence of FDI can be a mirror image of the degree to which a nation is employing

successful development strategies.

Singapore’s policy of actively courting incoming FDI has been backed up by

specially designed business-friendly policies and an emphasis on providing an

educated workforce and modern infrastructure. The country was very successful in

attracting a long line of increasingly sophisticated foreign-owned manufacturing,

service, and R&D subsidiaries (see chapters 7 and 9). India’s postcolonial aversion

to any form of foreign intervention in its internal affairs and a penchant for

socialistic economic policies was, until recently, so resolute as to be a big factor in

making it a laggard in economic progress in comparison to most Asian countries.

Efforts to implement economic reforms and build better infrastructure in India

continue but have not progressed sufficiently to allow development of a strong

manufacturing sector or allow the country to dispel its reputation for being

inhospitable to foreign subsidiaries (see chapter 7). If a strong, competitive, and

largely home-grown services sector had not emerged at the turn of the century, the

upturn in India’s growth rates in recent years would have been much lower. (The

success of services is directly attributable to the facts that India’s telecommuni-

cations network is arguably the jewel in its infrastructure crown, and the sector

tends not to be as closely regulated as manufacturing.)

Readers can draw their own conclusions about the FDI–economic growth-

export relationship from the statistical comparisons that follow.

Singapore India

Population 4.2 million 1.1 billion

Per capita national income $21,000.00 $540.00

Value of FDI inward stock $147.3 billion $30.8 billion

Per capita value of inward FDI $35,000 $36.00

Total exports (excludes reexports) $80 billion $56 billion

Per capita value of exports $19,000.00 $20.00

Data sources: World Bank for population and per capita national income; UNCTAD for FDI; and

World Trade Organization for exports. The statistics are for 2003–2004.

288

economic recovery and development after World War II. However, some foreign

economists attribute many of the economic problems Japan and Korea unex-

pectedly experienced in the 1990s to a delayed reaction to their prolonged

market-distorting emphasis on industrial policy that discouraged the presence of

foreign imports and investments. Government planning has a high propensity to

channel too many resources to relatively inefficient sectors, a mistake associated

with the tendency to target industries for government support on the basis of

political fiat and friendships more than economic logic. The correlation between

the degree of inward FDI and domestic economic performance is suggested in

box 12.1, where key economic indicators for Singapore and India are compared.

Direct Economic Benefits to the Host Country

FDI is more than a transfer of money, just as MNCs are more than just oversized

versions of domestic companies. A unique synergy of economic benefits and tech-

nical knowledge is inherent in relatively high-quality inward direct investment.

The whole is larger than the sum of its parts. FDI was characterized by The

Economist as being more than ‘‘mere ‘capital’: it is a uniquely potent bundle of

capital, contacts, and managerial and technological knowledge.’’8 The more dy-

namic MNCs bring to host countries best practices—techniques or methodologies

that have proven to be the best ways of doing things—in development of new

technology, management and marketing skills, information processing, human

resources, and so on. FDI provides a net beneficial impact to the host countrywhen

it comes in the form of hard to replicate ‘‘integrated packages that place host-

country plants on the frontier of industry best practices, and keep them there.’’9

John Dunning wrote that one of the unique competitive advantages of a large

MNC in our knowledge-based, globalizing economy ‘‘is its ability to identify,

access, harness, and effectively coordinate and deploy resources and capabilities

from throughout the world.’’10

The most direct benefit of FDI has been described as a foreign subsidiary

using sophisticated means to produce goods in a host country that ‘‘embody the

latest and best technologies, in a facility that uses state-of-the-art production

methods. The result can be lower prices and higher quality goods and services for

consumers in these countries’’ as well as relatively higher wages to its employees

(see next section).11 Many foreign subsidiaries not only bring with them ad-

vanced production methods, but also the employee training programs and man-

agerial know-how needed to make maximum use of the technology.12

FDIhas demonstrated that it provides a greater long-termcontribution toGDP

and income growth in host countries than the two othermajor private capital flows,

bank loans and portfolio investments. Direct investment’s uniquely long-term

the case for fdi and mncs 289

time perspective makes it relatively less volatile. As demonstrated during the

Asian financial crisis in the late 1990s, it is far less likely to exit if a host country

incurs short-term problems. Though foreign borrowing is often used to finance

consumption, FDI is usually used for productive investments to expand or

update production capacity or infrastructure.

A McKinsey Global Institute study of FDI in five sectors spread over four

advanced developing countries described the single biggest impact of FDI on

host economies as the improvement in the standards of living of the populace,

‘‘with consumers directly benefiting from lower prices, higher-quality goods and

more choice. Improved productivity and output in the sector and its suppliers

indirectly contributed to increasing national income.’’13 The boost to the stan-

dard of living of consumers in host countries is the hidden success story of FDI

because ‘‘consumers are a fragmented, less vocal political body than, say, incum-

bent domestic companies’’—and antiglobalization demonstrators. The case stud-

ies suggested to the think tank’s analysts that although a limited number of jobs

are periodically lost ‘‘through elimination of inefficient local players or stream-

lining inefficient production operations,’’ benefits to the consuming public and

increased national wealth more than compensated.14

One of the most important economic benefits of incoming FDI is the cross-

border transfer and diffusion of technology. MNCs are now the world’s number

one source of new technologies in the manufacturing, information processing,

telecommunications, oil exploration and drilling, and mineral extraction sectors.

Cutting-edge research and development in the high-tech sector has become

incredibly complex and enormously to prohibitively expensive, but the need for

and benefits of innovation are universal. Large MNCs are, with increasing fre-

quency, the only organizations capable of financing and exploiting R&D on a

grand scale. What allows them to do this is their ability to sell the resulting

products in mass volume in markets worldwide (the concept of economies of

scale is discussed in chapter 6), blue-chip credit rating, and opportunity to defray

costs by entering into strategic alliances with other financially well-off MNCs.15

The simplest forms of technology transfer consist of (1) a new foreign sub-

sidiary’s utilizing proprietary technological capabilities superior to those of host

country companies, and (2) expertly designed programs to train local workers in

state-of-the-art manufacturing processes. Some leakage, that is, domestic spill-

over, of technology is likely to occur because thousands of local citizens may have

an opportunity to observe a typical foreign company’s operations on a first- or

secondhand basis. Technology spillovers occur in several ways. One involves

resignations from a foreign subsidiary by highly trained workers who take their

advanced knowledge to an existing local company or set up their own businesses.

Competitive pressures are another source of spillovers. Local competitors may

determine that their survival requires them to imitate as closely as possible the best

three bottom lines290

practices of a foreign-owned subsidiary. This strategy would be implemented by

indigenous companies adopting better management practices and investing in

updated capital equipment (two good examples of where this has happened are

telecommunications and retailing), both of which tend to increase efficiency and

lower prices. These results in turn create additional benefits for a host country’s

economic well-being. In a word, FDI increases the level of competition in host

countries. When greenfield investments add to the number of market partici-

pants, consumers can expect lower prices, more choice, and accelerated intro-

duction of new products and services—not to mention more jobs.

Anecdotal evidence shows that diffusion of technology also takes place when

MNCs provide special training and financial resources to their local suppliers of

intermediate goods and of services. It is in the self-interest of foreign manufac-

turers to upgrade local suppliers’ technological capabilities, improve their quality

control and on-time delivery performance, and help them lower costs. In the 1980s,

the Singapore-based subsidiary of a European electronics multinational helped its

most important local suppliers automate their production facilities and occasionally

bought needed machinery and leased it to them. When needed, the company also

helped retrain the suppliers’ workforces. To enable these same Singaporean sup-

pliers to reach economies of scale, the European company and a nearby American-

owned electronics subsidiary provided marketing expertise that enabled some of

the local contractors to begin selling components in foreign markets. After first

selling to overseas subsidiaries of the two MNCs and then exporting to indepen-

dent buyers, three of the indigenous Singapore firms that started out as suppliers

of printed circuit boards to local MNCs grew to the top rank of electronic

manufacturing services companies.16 A second example of MNC-local economy

linkage via technology transfer is Dell’s assistance to a Chinese electronics firm it

contracted to build Dell-branded flat-screen TVs. The Dallas-based company

helped the contractor reconfigure assembly lines to increase output and advised it

on quality control, cost-cutting, and exporting.17 Far more common is the basic

form of so-called backward linkages between foreign subsidiaries and the host

country economy: increasing purchases of goods and services from local companies

resulting in expansion of existing domestic businesses and creation of new ones.

An additional benefit of inward FDI is its ability to fill two financial gaps that

exist in most countries. The first is a shortfall of available private investment

capital resulting from insufficient domestic saving and/or government budget

deficits. Absent the foreign investor, expansion of indigenous production and

jobs through construction of a new production facility would not have taken

place. A financially sound MNC has greater internal financial resources and

greater ability to borrow in capital markets than just about any firm operating

only within one country. The second financial gap is the shortfall experienced in

most countries of foreign exchange to pay for desired imports. Efficiency-seeking

the case for fdi and mncs 291

FDI designed as an export platform will generate dollars, euros, and so on, much

of which will likely remain in-country. MNCs have an edge on domestic com-

panies in the ability to export because of advanced proprietary technology, lower

average costs from economies of scale, greater knowledge of world markets, and

the possibility of extensive intrafirm trade, that is, exports to a sister subsidiary of

the company located in another country.

For transition countries, FDI can be particularly effective as a stimulant to

economic development by ‘‘accelerating the transition from a planned to a market

economy. This is because it helps speed up industrial restructuring and the de-

velopment of markets and market-oriented behaviour of economic agents.’’18 Even

the U.S. economy enjoys measurable benefits from incoming FDI. A statistical

analysis by two International Monetary Fund (IMF) economists suggested that

FDI led to ‘‘significant’’ productivity gains for domestic firms. The size of FDI

spillovers was categorized as ‘‘economically important’’ because they accounted for

an estimated 11 percent of the productivity growth of American manufacturing

firms between 1987 and 1996.19

Finally, foreign-owned or -controlled manufacturing subsidiaries are attrac-

tive because they mostly are more efficient than purely domestic companies. In

short, they produce more product per input of capital or labor. ‘‘The evidence on

productivity, whatever the measure, is close to unanimous on the higher pro-

ductivity of foreign-owned plants in both developed and developing countries.’’

In some cases, this higher productivity is a function of the higher capital intensity

or larger scale production of most foreign subsidiaries relative to domestic

manufacturers.20 Foreign-owned or -controlled companies tend to be the ‘‘most

dynamic and productive firms’’ in China. Output of foreign-invested industrial

firms in that country expanded at four times the rate of local enterprises during

the 1994–97 period, and their labor productivity was almost twice that of state-

and locally owned enterprises. Research suggests that domestic enterprises

benefited from the presence of foreign MNCs ‘‘both through increased sales and

positive spillovers.’’21

More Jobs, Higher Incomes

One does not read about subsidiaries of MNCs being hampered by vacancies

caused by their inability to hire enough new workers or by rapid turnover of

existing staff. The reason is that these jobs are in high demand, and the reason they

are in high demand is that wages, benefits, and working conditions on average

are well above prevailing local standards. Establishment of a foreign-owned or

-controlled manufacturing subsidiary in most cases has meant creation of new jobs

requiring above-average skills and therefore paying above-average wages. The

three bottom lines292

primary motive for national and regional governments giving incentives to attract

incoming MNCs is expectation that high-quality, relatively high-paying jobs will

be created, always and everywhere a high-priority political goal.

As an empirical matter, ‘‘there is virtually no careful and systematic evidence

demonstrating that, as a generality, multinational firms adversely affect their

workers, . . .worsen working conditions, pay lower wages than in alternative em-

ployment, or repress worker rights.’’ In fact, a large body of empirical evidence

exists ‘‘indicating that the opposite is the case.’’ Foreign-owned subsidiaries in-

crease wage levels ‘‘both by raising labor productivity and by expanding the scale of

production,’’ and in doing so improve the conditions of work.22 An Organization

for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) survey in 2001 found

‘‘compensation per employee of firms under foreign control in all countries was

substantially higher than the average for national firms.’’23 To compensate for any

possibility of pro-MNC bias in these sources, consider the conclusion by the

economic development-oriented Overseas Development Institute located in Great

Britain: ‘‘Almost all evidence shows that FDI and foreign ownership are associated

with higher wages for all types of workers.’’24

In reviewing 1994 data, Edward Graham calculated that average compensation

paid by foreign affiliates of U.S. manufacturing companies was 1.4 times as large as

average domestic manufacturing wages in high-income countries (about $10,000

more in absolute terms), 1.8 times those of middle-income countries, and twice the

average manufacturing wage in low-income countries.25 Critics who decry low

salaries paid by Western companies in lower-income less developed countries

(LDCs) ignore basic laws of economics. Hourly wages are relatively low in LDCs in

large part because prices of basic consumer staples like housing, food, and clothing

are much lower. The local purchasing power of salaries is therefore higher than it

appears when the local currency is converted into dollars at the nominal exchange

rate. The other important reasonwages are lower inLDCs is that workers on average

have lower productivity levels than their counterparts in industrialized countries.

Wage increases outpacing productivity increases is a classic cause of inflation.

As to whyMNCs provide greater pay and benefits than domestic producers, the

short answer is ‘‘it depends’’ on the supply of qualified workers, the company’s

human resources standards, its line of business, and the host country. The basic

reason is that relatively large MNCs possess world-class technological, managerial,

and marketing know-how that significantly increase their relative efficiency, a

virtual prerequisite for competing successfully in what are for them literally foreign

environments for conducting business. Manufacturing subsidiaries of MNCs

typically use technologies that make their workers more productive than those of

less sophisticated domestically owned rivals.26 Pay differentials to some extent

reflect the industry composition of FDI that is weighted toward relatively high-

wage industry sectors: high value-added manufacturing and services.27

the case for fdi and mncs 293

A frequent motivation for paying higher wages is the desire to minimize em-

ployee turnover. This not only reduces costs of training new workers, it also cuts

down on the number of experienced personnel leaving and taking their knowledge

of a foreign subsidiary’s advanced operating procedures to competitors. In some

countries, workers may be reluctant to work for foreign companies because of a

cultural stigma attached to working for a Western company. In the case of Japan,

higher wages by MNCs are needed to offset their not offering guarantee of lifetime

employment as large Japanese companies do. No matter what the reason, large

MNCs have the financial resources to pay relatively well, especially in LDCs where

salaries are relatively low.

There is little evidence that FDI makes workers in host countries who are not

employed by foreign-owned companies worse off. Nor is there sufficient evi-

dence to prove the long-standing criticism that FDI hurts the labor force of home

countries. ‘‘Outward U.S. FDI, if anything, in the aggregate tends to create

rather than destroy U.S. job opportunities in high-wage, export-oriented in-

dustries.’’ Viewed in full perspective, ‘‘outward direct investment helps

rather than hurts U.S. workers’’ (see chapter 9).28 There is merit in the argu-

ments that the brunt of job losses in industrialized home countries mainly affects

lower skilled workers and that the arrival of a subsidiary with sophisticated

manufacturing processes does not mean a bounty for unskilled workers in the

host country. Everything is relative, however. What matters most is that as a

whole, FDI provides the greatest good to the greatest number. In the case of

eBay, an online auction and buy/sell site, the relatively few jobs created at its

overseas subsidiaries are geometrically outnumbered by the number of jobs and

income flows created by small businesses and local artisans being able to show

and sell their wares with no overhead by using the company’s universally ac-

cessible Web sites. The company believes that it further defies the image of

MNCs exacerbating the gap between the few rich and the many poor by making

new and used goods available to the masses at relatively low prices.29

Foreign-owned factories get good grades for adhering to high safety and health

standards. Image-conscious MNCs will think more than twice about violating

workers’ rights, such as overtly blocking unionization efforts, lest such actions be

damned on the Internet sites of nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) around

the world. Factories derided as being sweatshops are not subsidiaries of American,

European, or Japanese multinationals. They are locally owned companies whose

labor practices are not subject to the laws of their overseas clients’ countries. Most

MNCs also bring with them in-house training and incentives programs designed to

expedite the promotions of exceptional employees. Although hard data are lacking,

the relatively generous labor policies of multinationals suggest the likelihood that

most provide vacation, sick days, and pension plans at levels comparable to or

better than the average of local companies.

three bottom lines294

The Multiple Benefits of High-Quality Investment

To dramatize the potential for high-quality FDI to unleash a chain effect of

positive economic effects, let us imagine a best-case scenario of a new foreign-

owned manufacturing subsidiary whose multiple beneficial economic effects so

clearly exceed any downsides that the host country clearly is better off having

received it. This hypothetical investment from heaven is a newly built greenfield

plant to manufacture most of the components for and assemble a computerized

medical diagnostic device. No domestic companies are crowded out because none

produce anything like this newly invented and patented product. The land ac-

quisition, construction, installation of production lines, training of workers, and

all other preproduction expenses are financed by capital transfers from the for-

eign company’s headquarters to the new host country, where it is converted into

local currency. Other than receiving the standard tax breaks and some minor

improvements in transportation infrastructure, the company neither demands

nor receives any special incentives.

A thousand new jobs are created, mostly requiring relatively skilled workers

who will still need advanced training by the subsidiary in how the medical device

works and in the parent company’s assembly techniques. Sales increase both within

the host country and in neighboring countries (some of whom have free trade

agreements with the host) because the device is reasonably priced and proves to be

the most successful means of early detection of the illnesses it was designed to

search for. The plant’s production capacity is soon enlarged, paid for mainly with

reinvested profits. The labor force grows. Experienced local workers are promoted

to management positions previously held by expatriates. Purchases of components

from local vendors grow steadily as they become increasingly adept at meeting the

foreign company’s standards of quality, on-time delivery, and cost. Some of the

suppliers are able to ingratiate themselves with the foreign subsidiary because they

were started by former employees of the plant who became well-schooled in its

needs and procedures.

Exports from the plant steadily increase, and most of the subsidiary’s growing

foreign exchange earnings is exchanged for local currency to pay for rising do-

mestic expenses and to pay for imports of new, cutting-edge machinery. The

nature of the assembly process for the medical device has no negative impact on

the environment. The host country’s corporate tax rate is average so there is no

incentive for the parent company to manipulate transfer prices or to dodge taxes.

Over a slightly longer time span, the host government’s focused strategy of

attracting makers of scientific and medical instruments bears fruit. Thanks in part

to official funding, expanded vocational training programs at technical and engi-

neering colleges and management training programs significantly upgrade the

quantity and quality of the local labor force. This factor, along with the success of

the case for fdi and mncs 295

the original foreign investment and an aggressive, well-designed government

promotion effort, begins to attract companies in this and other targeted sectors. The

result is an expanding cluster of foreign makers of sophisticated instruments whose

factories are built by local contractors. A virtuous cycle produces sustained in-

creases in output, employment, exports, and tax revenues. Poverty and unem-

ployment in the country are not eradicated, but a significant number of workers

come out ahead. They either directly benefit from the higher real wages allowed by

increased productivity in the incoming MNCs or indirectly benefit by selling to

their fellow countrymen the additional goods and services associated with higher

living standards.Others are indirectly helped by the increased government spending

on social services facilitated by the increased collection of corporate and individual

income taxes. Measurable harm inflicted on the public at large is nil.

This idealized version of incoming FDI is rare, but not fiction. The reality of

recurring benefits to recipients of FDI is demonstrated in the three case studies

presented in the final section of this chapter. Detractors of free market economics

will complain that most developing countries do not have the human and physical

infrastructure and quality of governance to attract and reapmaximum rewards from

high-quality direct investment. This is an accurate assessment. The larger point is

that responsibility for this condition lies with individual countries, not withMNCs.

The Critics Are, at a Minimum, Confused

Part of arguing the case in favor of FDI and MNCs consists of pointing out the

flaws in the arguments made against them, either out of confusion or deliberate

distortion. In its 2004 outlook for Asian economies, the Asian Development

Bank caustically observed, ‘‘One cannot help but note in passing that some of

the strongest criticisms of [MNCs] emanate from countries with the smallest

FDI presence.’’30 Another large source of loud criticism, one might note, is

middle- and upper-class youth from rich countries who have not suffered di-

rectly at the hands of MNCs, and certainly never worked for one, but whose

value systems simply abhor big business. Even the more moderate, better in-

formed critics misconstrue cause and effect relationships and wrongly hold

multinationals responsible for creating many of the world economy’s very real

shortcomings. The MNC is largely a product of its environment, often shaped by

forces beyond its control (see chapter 3). People are not poor because some big

global companies are profitable and their senior executives are well paid. Multi-

nationals are not the cause of global poverty, illiteracy, or an uneven distribution

of income. If the collective governments of the world have not cured these

problems, MNCs cannot be expected to accomplish these feats. Instead, domestic

three bottom lines296

and global companies should be given credit for at least alleviating many of these

problems in countries where they have been given the chance to thrive.

Efforts to link exploitation of the masses and democracy deficits withMNCs are

supported by little hard evidence beyond scattered anecdotes that do not dem-

onstrate systemic failures. Clear-cut examples of social injustices and economic

exploitation by the many small and medium-sized manufacturing companies with

only one or two foreign subsidiaries and multinational service companies are nearly

nonexistent. The major U.S.-based Internet search engine companies are going

multinational, but they are far from being threats to abuse highly paid, skilled

information technology workers, fix prices (certainly not as long as their services

remain free), visibly add to distortions in income distribution, despoil the envi-

ronment, or Americanize foreign cultures (especially if their Web site is in the local

language). Furthermore, the idea that multinationals could be a serious threat to

democracy and personal freedom ‘‘appears strange, if not ridiculous.’’31 Outside of

natural resource seekers, multinationals are seldom active and influential in dic-

tatorships of the Right or Left.

The case against MNCs also suffers from the critics’ fallacy of always pointing

to the usual suspects to demonstrate international business behavior at its worst.

It is a less than stellar methodology when the misdeeds of a relatively few mis-

creants—mining and oil companies, United Fruit, ITT, and so on—are repeat-

edly retold and are extrapolated to create a one-dimensional model of gigantic,

evil global companies with far too much power for anybody’s good. Extractive

companies often operate in very rough neighborhoods and by necessity will

behave accordingly to survive. To extract the oil or minerals they seek and the

world needs, they must accommodate the government of the host country, no

matter how benevolent or evil it is. This is not an apology for their actions, just a

reminder that they represent only one narrow kind of multinational enterprise

and are not typical of the species.

The aforementioned Asian Development Bank report, continuing its un-

usually blunt language, said it is ‘‘important’’ to emphasize that MNCs ‘‘gen-

erally adapt to the local commercial environment. Any assessment of their impact

needs to make due allowance for this factor.’’ Foreign-based MNCs ‘‘cannot

reasonably be expected to behave any differently from local firms.’’ For example,

foreign subsidiaries will have little choice but to make payments to local leaders if

corruption is deeply embedded in the host country’s business and political cul-

tures. Technology spillovers are likely to be limited when the local human capital

base is weak. In sum, ‘‘it is important to diagnose the root cause of a particular

problem, rather than engage in an exercise of ‘guilt by association.’ ’’32

The bank’s report, though properly justifying some corporate behavior under

extreme circumstances, underestimates the growth of good corporate citizenship

the case for fdi and mncs 297

whether for altruistic reasons or concerns about threats to sales, market share,

and profits. MNCs in the manufacturing and services sectors have observed the

downside of controversial business practices that at a minimum can generate

torrents of bad publicity and calls for government interventions to be transmitted

around the world via the Internet, and at worst result in customer boycotts.

‘‘When multinational corporations go abroad, they take more than their capital

and technology with them. They also take their brand names, their reputations,

and their international images.’’ This reality has become especially important in

recent years as major U.S., European, and Japanese multinationals have come

under intense scrutiny by the international media and activist NGOs, much more

so than local firms.33

When locally owned, nonexporting companies in countries like Vietnam,

Bangladesh, or Honduras exploit workers, few in the West know or deeply care.

These abuses are given a free pass as purely internal matters by activists in the

North. The situation changes radically when those same producers become sup-

pliers to multinationals like Reebok, Nike, Levi Strauss, or Disney. The per-

ceived missteps of large MNCs have become targets of the wrath of a growing

number of a relatively new kind of multinational institution: influential NGOs

concerned with human rights and environmental protection. Responding to well-

orchestrated, global public outcries has become a genuine bottom-line concern

for companies finding themselves in the glare of a worldwide spotlight portraying

them as callous robber barons. ‘‘Under these circumstances, the old Leninist link

between multinational firms and foreign exploitation seems outmoded or even

contradictory. Rather than having an interest in subverting human rights, cor-

porations—particularly high-profile firms from open and democratic societies—

may well see the commercial benefits of promoting human rights.’’ In an

international order increasingly sensitive to international media and transnational

activism, ‘‘U.S. multinationals could be—indeed may already be—a powerful

instrument in the pursuit of human rights.’’34

Unfair invective is also hurled at MNCs for ‘‘deserting’’ host countries for

lower production costs elsewhere. If a foreign-owned company sees tax rates as

well as power and telecommunications costs steadily rise, the local educational

system falter, and political stability decline relative to other markets, what is the

right course of action? Should it ignore free market emphasis on efficiency? Does

the company have a moral obligation to stay put and protect its workers today

but risk a potentially devastating long-term decline in sales? Don’t host

countries have some obligation for providing a competitive environment for

foreign subsidiaries?

A major distortion to the critics’ case is their unremitting comparison of the

global sales of corporations to the size of countries’ economies. These two mea-

surements are compiled on a completely different basis, the result being that a

three bottom lines298

direct comparison grossly exaggerates the dollar size of MNCs. Apparently the

jeremiad that a majority of the 100 largest economies in the world are corpora-

tions and MNCs have grown as large as countries is too good a rallying cry to

abandon merely because a few economists have pointed out that it is factually

wrong (see box 3.1). The power of MNCs is also exaggerated by critics wrongly

equating sales volume with ability to set prices and bombard consumers into

submission with nonstop, globe-circling advertising. ‘‘The evidence bears out the

proposition that companies do not dominate markets, but rather that markets

dominate companies. Privatization and international economic integration have

made markets more competitive and . . . companies less powerful within their

markets.’’35 Even in an era of shrinking numbers of major automobile makers,

General Motors, the world’s largest carmaker, has watched its market share

steadily deteriorate in its own home market. The chief cause of this decline for

the past several years has been the inability of GM—or Ford—to devise long-

term antidotes to the steadily growing popularity of cars produced by the North

American subsidiaries of Japanese companies and to steadily rising costs of

medical benefits paid to its workers and pensioners.

The Race to the Bottom Is a Myth

The major flaw in the critics’ assertion thatMNCs are gravitating to countries with

the lowest labor standards and least enforcement of environmental protection laws

is the absence of evidence to support it. Empirical data is also lacking to support the

ancillary argument that countries are in a competitive race to reduce their labor and

environmental standards to attract high volumes of FDI. The data for many years

have shown unequivocally that nonextractive foreign subsidiaries are concentrated

in high-income, high-wage countries with vigorous enforcement of antipollution

statutes, and at the same time are nearly absent in the poorest countries with the

lowest wages (see chapter 7). If governments were in a genuine race to promise

higher profit margins to foreign companies, the countries attracting the most FDI

should have well below-average wage rates and workers’ rights, and they should be

choking on pollution.36 They don’t and they aren’t.

The so-called race to the bottom is a chimera. Indeed, ‘‘a growing body of

research suggests . . . that foreign direct investment is generally beneficial to de-

veloping countries, creating the socioeconomic conditions conducive to the im-

provement of human rights and environmental quality in host countries.’’37

Because most MNCs place a premium on recruiting and retaining skilled, disci-

plined labor and usually bring with them the same advanced pollution abatement

equipment used in their home countries, it is more credible to assert that a race to

the top is under way. Workers lacking discipline, skills, commitment to come to

the case for fdi and mncs 299

work every day, initiative, and literacy are not attractive to corporations even at

pennies per hour.38 AnMIT study quoted the head of a Hong Kong company with

extensive production facilities in China as bluntly saying, ‘‘If you pay peanuts, you

get monkeys.’’ Guided by this calculation, the company’s Chinese subsidiaries pay

far above-average local wages to be able to ‘‘hire people with the right kind of

education, motivation, and willingness to stay with the company.’’39

Wage rates are but a fraction of the costs of producing all but the simplest

goods. More important is the sum of the costs of raw materials and components,

labor productivity, utilities to power a factory, taxes, transportation, compliance

with local business regulations and licenses, worker training and recruiting, se-

curity for plant and key personnel, and so on. The costs of constantly recruiting

and training new workers in a high-turnover situation tend to be downplayed or

ignored outright by those without managerial experience in the manufacturing

sector. Furthermore, the really important measure is not absolute levels of wages

and benefits but unit labor costs, which are the labor costs of producing a given

value of production.40

The ample evidence that MNCs on average pay wages well above prevailing

local rates was discussed previously and does not need to be repeated. What does

need mentioning is that ‘‘there is no solid evidence that countries with poorly

protected worker rights attract FDI. If anything, investors apparently prefer lo-

cations in which workers and the public more generally function in a stable political

and social environment in which civil liberties are well established and enforced.’’41

It is unrealistic to expect MNCs to force changes in local laws and attitudes in

developing and in-transition countries that do not provide full freedoms to workers

to form unions and bargain collectively. The important point is that despite claims

of a sellout of labor to placate giant corporations, the data do not show any

significant deterioration of freedom of association rights since the 1980s. ‘‘On the

contrary, they show that the move to democracy in developing countries has been

accompanied in several [of these countries]—notably in Latin America—by some

improvement in the protection of workers’ right to associate.’’42

Studies to determine if FDI is being drawn to countries with minimal envi-

ronmental standards invariably conclude that they are not. Reality is just the

opposite of what critics of MNCs claim. The arrival of foreign manufacturing

subsidiaries is positively correlated with high levels of environmental protection. A

World Bank working paper concluded, ‘‘Pollution control is not a critical cost

factor for most private firms’’ and environmental protection expenses ‘‘are gen-

erally not a critical factor in location decisions.’’43 The authors of another World

Bank study reported that after conducting a variety of empirical tests, they ‘‘found

almost no evidence of pollution havens. Instead, we find that foreign firms are less

polluting than their peers in developing countries.’’ Pollution abatement costs as a

variable in determining the geographical distribution of FDI were found to be

three bottom lines300

‘‘very small, if not zero.’’ This result was deemed ‘‘not surprising in light of the fact

that pollution abatement expenditures are only a tiny fraction of overall costs.’’44

Existence of an environmental race to the bottom was ‘‘not substantiated by the

data’’ according to a study by three scholars. The most common corporate envi-

ronmental practice in their sample was adoption of a single stringent internal

corporate standard on a universal basis. Although the authors of the study found

that a few companies with less-than-stellar finances and management are from time

to time tempted to choose locations with lower antipollution regulations, there

‘‘appear to be forces that encourage MNCs to integrate and standardize their

environmental practices globally.’’ In many cases it is cost-effective to adopt global

corporate standards that exceed local requirements. This allows for the efficiencies

that come with standardized company procedures. It also avoids the potential costs

of retrofitting when environmental laws become more stringent.45 This kind of

upgrade inevitably happens after a countryhas enjoyedprolonged economic growth.

A growing middle class typically demands cleaner air, water, and land, and the

government has enough revenue to respond.

The relatively low cost of installing its most advanced antipollution technology

in all its factories in all countries also appeals to the average MNC as a means of

protecting the corporate reputation from accusations of being an insensitive pol-

luter. Maintaining universally high environmental protection standards also avoids

the occasional confrontation with local officials and multilateral NGOs unsatisfied

with the fact that a particular foreign subsidiary is technically in compliance, but

with relatively low national environmental protection standards. An important but

often overlooked factor is that advanced pollution abatement technologies that

concentrate on changes in the manufacturing or production process (rather than at

the smokestack level) ‘‘can actually lower operating costs rather than raise them.’’46

Country Case Studies: Virtuous Cycles

and High-Quality FDI

A good way to assess the benefits of a new foreign subsidiary to a host country is to

take a long-term perspective, one that can incorporate the possibility that the initial

investment will generate additional phases of economic activity. Agglomeration

economies and the demonstration effect (see chapter 7) explain how successful FDI

in itself can be a magnet for additional investments. Assessing a new foreign

subsidiary in isolation by assuming that no favorable secondary and tertiary effects

will be forthcoming is often a mistake.

The fallacy of short-sighted judgment in evaluating the net value of a direct

investment project is demonstrated in the case of Alabama’s quarter-billion-

dollar incentive package in 1993. Much criticized at the time, it was the price of

the case for fdi and mncs 301

convincing Mercedes-Benz to build an automobile assembly plant there instead

of another southern state. State officials in the moment did appear to be overly

generous if the incentives are measured in terms of the prorated cost of each

initial job created and contrasted with the alternative of increased state spending

on schools and social welfare. When measured by the bigger, longer term picture,

however, this is a classic case study of a risky but ultimately cost-effective in-

vestment. To paraphrase the title of an old song, ‘‘Cars Fell on Alabama.’’

In 1993, Alabama had no experience in manufacturing automobiles, but it is

projected to be the one of the largest automobile-producing U.S. states in 2006,

when output is scheduled to reach three quarters of a million vehicles annually.

The early success of the pioneering Mercedes subsidiary prompted a major ex-

pansion, completed in 2005, that increased production and doubled its workforce

to 4,000. Alabama’s incentives and the smooth start of this subsidiary led to the

second phase of the virtuous cycle: attracting other carmakers. Honda opened an

assembly plant in 2001 and three years later added a second production line that

significantly expanded the plant’s output and workforce. Hyundai (from lower

wage South Korea) began operations of its $1 billion-plus plant in 2005 and

should equal Honda’s annual output of 300,000 vehicles when it reaches full

production. Toyota opened a plant to make engines for SUVs and pick-up trucks

in 2003; it broke ground two years later for a major expansion designed to nearly

double output and workforce.47

The clustering effect blossomed as third- and fourth-round effects from the

initial Mercedes-Benz investment appeared, first in the form of a big inflow of

prime contractors to the manufacturing, assembly, and engine plants and second

when subcontractors began opening plants. The linkages between automakers

and parts makers were still growing in volume and economic impact at the end of

2005. Capital investments in Alabama by dozens of new and expanding suppliers

totaled an estimated $780million during the first ten months of 2004, creating an

estimated 3,437 new jobs in the process.48 The automobile and auto parts in-

dustries in total invested some $6.4 billion and created 35,000 jobs between 1993

and mid-2004. A trade association promoting cooperation and sharing of tech-

nical information among parts and subcomponents producers in the state had

nearly 400 member companies in 2004.49 Viewed in a broader perspective, the

automobile cluster is embellishing the state’s image and helps fuel other eco-

nomic development efforts, according to a senior official of the Economic De-

velopment Partnership of Alabama.50 The virtuous cycle continues even further

by contributing to what economists call the multiplier effect; the growing in-

comes of the workers at these plants generate spending, which in turn stimulates

increases in retail businesses and new home sales. The increase in retailing

entrepreneurs and employees adds a whole new round of income and spending.

Rising payrolls are especially welcome in a state that had been suffering from a

three bottom lines302

shrinking tax base brought on by the import-induced declines in production and

jobs in textiles and apparel—at one time Alabama’s core industries.

A similar virtuous cycle was experienced far away in Slovakia. Well thought-out

and executed policy strategies led to considerable success in attracting MNCs.

Inward FDI was the main reason the country, an economic backwater in the mid-

1990s with a stagnant GDP and nearly 20 percent unemployment, was transformed

into one of the fastest-growing countries in Central and Western Europe by 2005.

The combination of the demonstration effect, a good geographic location with

good transportation links, tax and labor law changes initiated by a probusiness

government, relatively low labor costs (about one-eighth those of high-costWestern

European economies), financial incentives, membership in the EU, and political

stability collectively contributed to the upsurge in FDI. Like Alabama, the biggest

investments have been by automobile makers: Volkswagen (the country’s largest

company and largest exporter), Peugeot Citroën, Kia-Hyundai, and Ford. If, as

projected, Slovakia produces 850,000 cars annually in 2007, it will become the

world’s largest car producer on a per capita basis.51 When the assembly plants

are at full capacity and suppliers have finished setting up their plants, more than

30,000 new jobs will have been created in a country of just over 5 million people.

Costa Rica’s CINDE (Coalition of Development Incentives), the nonprofit,

nongovernmental agency responsible for coordinating promotion of incoming

FDI, is properly credited with playing a crucial role in convincing Intel to build a

massive assembly and testing plant for its state-of-the-art microprocessors (see

chapter 7). A virtuous cycle quickly followed after it became fully operational in

1998. An estimated five percentage points of Costa Rica’s 8 percent GDP growth

(or 60 percent of the increment) in 1999 was attributable to the start-up of this

one plant. Its $330 million of value-added accounted for approximately 7 percent

of real GDP that year.52 Hundreds of well-paying jobs were created, in most

cases for workers whose existing knowledge and skills were enhanced through

advanced technical training. A potentially inflationary upward spiral in salaries

did not occur, the presumed reason being an anticipated increase in the supply of

skilled labor stemming from creation of new programs in institutions of higher

education and jumps in enrollment in existing engineering and vocational pro-

grams.53 In addition to internal employee training programs, Intel provides fi-

nancial support for degree and certificate programs in institutions of higher

learning in technology and engineering, updated teachers’ training, and advanced

English language training. The subsidiary’s strongest educational link is with the

Costa Rican Technology Institute, whose Intel Associate status allows it to apply

for company-funded grants for specific R&D projects as well as funding for

faculty and students to engage in educational exchange activities.54

Linkage to the Costa Rican economy also came from Intel’s training of an es-

timated one-third of its local suppliers to increase their performance quality and

the case for fdi and mncs 303

decrease prices.55 Last but not least, the Intel plant dramatically demonstrated that

Costa Rica was an attractive location for sophisticated high-tech assembly opera-

tions. This status enhances the potential for future development of a cluster of

sophisticated electronics producers and their suppliers. The country’s ‘‘greater

clarity’’ in its strategic objectives for attracting FDI, ‘‘appropriate national policy

instruments, and solid institutions’’ have combined to produce a major example of

the potential benefits of incoming MNCs. Costa Rica ‘‘without a doubt . . . has

become a shining example of how economies can progress towards better condi-

tions in the framework of assembly operations, since it upgraded these activities in

two major steps: from natural resources to apparel and from apparel to electron-

ics,’’ according to a UN report.56

Major success stories in attracting high-quality direct investments usually are

related to a jurisdiction’s operation of an effective investment promotion effort

that impresses foreign companies that have many potential sites to choose from.

‘‘Recruiting’’ efforts concentrate on what country and state governments have

targeted as high-quality manufacturing and service sectors that are a good match

for the assets at their disposal. Alabama’s industrial workforce training program

was ranked number one in the United States in a 2004 survey of industrial site

selection consultants by Expansion Management magazine. The program uses its

own funds to recruit, evaluate, and put selected applicants through a preliminary

training program in basic factory skills. Those who make the grade are referred to

in-state automakers, thus providing them with a ready-made pool of prescreened

workers.57

Postscript

The reader is reminded that this chapter, like the one that follows, is designed to

present the most convincing, credible case possible for one side of an ambiguous

and contentious issue. Although no factually untrue statements were knowingly

made, the arguments presented herein do not necessarily represent the author’s

views. The data advanced in support of these arguments do not necessarily meet

the author’s standards of full academic rigor.

Notes

1. Daniel Yergin and Joseph Stanislaw, The Commanding Heights (New York: Simon and

Schuster, 1998), pp. 389–90.

2. John Micklethwait and Adrian Wooldridge, The Company (New York: Modern

Library, 2003), pp. xx–xxi.

three bottom lines304

3. Gordon H. Hanson, ‘‘Should Countries Promote Foreign Direct Investment?,’’

February 2001, p. 13, available online at http://www.unctad.org/en/docs/pogdsmd

pbg24dg.en.pdf. accessed February 2005.

4. UNCTAD,World Investment Report 1999, Overview, p. 31, available online at http://

www.unctad.org; accessed December 2004.

5. Theodore H. Moran, Beyond Sweatshops—Foreign Direct Investment and Globalization

in Developing Countries (Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press, 2002), p. 117.

6. Matthew J. Slaughter, ‘‘Global Investments, American Returns,’’ Report prepared for

the Emergency Committee for American Trade, 1998, p. 51, available online at http://

www.ecattrade.com, accessed November 2004.

7. Ibid., pp. 29, 51.

8. The Economist, February 24, 2001, p. 80.

9. Moran, Beyond Sweatshops, p. 162.

10. John H. Dunning, ‘‘Globalization and the Knowledge Economy,’’ in John H. Dun-

ning, ed., Regions, Globalization, and the Knowledge-Based Economy (New York:

Oxford University Press, 2000), p. 28.

11. Edward M. Graham, Fighting the Wrong Enemy—Antiglobal Activists and Multina-

tional Enterprises (Washington, DC: Institute for International Economics, 2000), p. 5.

12. JBIC Institute, Japan Bank for International Cooperation, ‘‘Foreign Direct Invest-

ment and Development: Where Do We Stand?,’’ Research Paper no. 15, June 2002,

p. 1, available online at http://www.jbic.go.jp/english/research/report/paper/pdf/

rp15_e.pdf; accessed March 2005.

13. McKinsey Global Institute, ‘‘New Horizons: Multinational Company Investment in

Developing Economies,’’ October 2003, Executive Summary, p. 1; available online at

http://www.mckinsey.com/mgi; accessed November 2004.

14. Ibid., chap. 1, p. 17, and Introduction.

15. Medard Gabel and Henry Bruner, Global Inc.—An Atlas of the Multinational Cor-

poration (New York: New Press, 2003), p. 126.

16. Moran, Beyond Sweatshops, p. 125. The Singaporean companies are Flextronics,

NatSteel Electronics, and Venture.

17. ‘‘Dell Finds Success in China’s Maturing Market,’’ Wall Street Journal, July 5, 2005,

p. A8.

18. Magdolna Sass, ‘‘FDI in Hungary—The First Mover’s Advantage and Disadvan-

tage,’’ European Investment Bank Papers, 9(2), 2002, p. 77.

19. Wolfgang Keller and Stephen R. Yeaple, ‘‘Multinational Enterprises, International

Trade, and Productivity Growth: Firm-Level Evidence from the United States,’’

IMF Working Paper 03/248, December 2003, p. 34, available online at http://

www.imf.org; accessed September 2004.

20. Robert E. Lipsey, ‘‘Home- and Host-Country Effects of Foreign Direct Investment,’’

in Robert E. Baldwin and L. AlanWinters, eds., Challenges to Globalization—Analyzing

the Economics (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2004), p. 358.

21. Wanda Tseng and Harm Zebregs, ‘‘Foreign Direct Investment in China: Some

Lessons for Other Countries,’’ IMF Policy Discussion Paper, February 2002, pp. 19–

20, available online at http://www.imf.org; accessed July 2005.

the case for fdi and mncs 305

22. Drusilla Brown, Alan Deardorff, and Robert Stern, ‘‘The Effects of Multinational

Production on Wages and Working Conditions,’’ in Baldwin and Winters, Challenges

to Globalization, p. 322.

23. OECD, ‘‘Measuring Globalisation 2001,’’ main findings available online at http://

www.oecd.org; accessed March 2005.

24. Overseas Development Institute, ‘‘Foreign Direct Investment: Who Gains?,’’ ODI

Briefing Paper, April 2002, p. 2, available online at http://www.odi.org.uk; accessed

October 2004.

25. Graham, Fighting the Wrong Enemy, p. 94.

26. Ibid., p. 88.

27. Lipsey, ‘‘Home- and Host-Country Effects,’’ p. 345.

28. Graham, Fighting the Wrong Enemy, pp. 95, 83.

29. Telephone interview with Matt Brannick, president of eBay International, September

2005.

30. Asian Development Bank, Asian Development Outlook 2004, p. 260, available online at

http://www.adb.org/Documents/Books/Ado/2004/Ad02004_Part3.pdf; accessed

April 2005.

31. David Henderson, ‘‘The MAI Affair: A Story and its Lessons,’’ n.d., p. 59, available

online at http://www.cairnsgroupfarmers.org/ni/reportspapers/maipaper.pdf; ac-

cessed September 2005.

32. Asian Development Bank, Asian Development Outlook 2004, p. 260.

33. Debora Spar, ‘‘Foreign Investment and Human Rights,’’ Challenge, January/Feb-

ruary 1999, pp. 70, 75.

34. Debora Spar, ‘‘The Spotlight and the Bottom Line,’’ Foreign Affairs, March/April

1998, p. 12.

35. Martin Wolf, Why Globalization Works (New Haven, CT: Yale University Press,

2004), p. 225.

36. Again, China should be considered an exception.

37. Minxin Pei and Merritt Lyon, ‘‘Bullish on Democracy,’’ National Interest, winter

2002/2003, pp. 79–80.

38. The real test of the cost of labor is productivity, or output per unit of work, not hourly

wages.

39. Suzanne Berger and the MIT Industrial Performance Center, How We Compete—

What Companies around the World Are Doing to Make It in Today’s Global Economy

(New York: Currency-Doubleday, 2006), p. 260.

40. Ibid.

41. Brown, Deardorff, and Stern, ‘‘The Effects of Multinational Production,’’ p. 321.

42. JBIC Institute, ‘‘Foreign Direct Investment and Development,’’ p. 86.

43. David Wheeler, ‘‘Racing to the Bottom? Foreign Investment and Air Pollution in

Developing Countries,’’ World Bank Policy Research Working Paper no. 2524,

January 2001, pp. 5, 11, available online at http://www.worldbank.org; accessed May

2005.

44. Gunnar S. Eskeland and Ann E. Harrison, ‘‘Moving to Greener Pastures? Multina-

tionals and the Pollution-Haven Hypothesis,’’ World Bank Policy Research Working

three bottom lines306

Paper no. 1744, March 1997, pp. 27–29, available online at http://www.worldbank

.org; accessed December 2004.

45. Glen Dowell, Stuart Hart, and Bernard Yeung, ‘‘Do Corporate Environmental

Standards Create or Destroy Market Value?,’’ Management Science, August 2000, pp.

1072, 1060.

46. Ibid., pp. 1062–63.

47. Barbara Sloan, ‘‘Alabama Takes Spotlight in Detroit,’’ Partners, spring 2005, pp. 28–

32, available online at http://www.edpa.org/pdfs/sp05art6.pdf; accessed June 2005;

and ‘‘Automotive Brief—Toyota Motor Corp.: Auto Maker Will Nearly Double Size

of Alabama Engine Plant,’’ Wall Street Journal, September 27, 2004, p. 1, available

online from the ABI/Inform Database; accessed June 2005.

48. ‘‘Automotive Suppliers Invest $779 Million in ’04,’’ Birmingham Business Journal,

December 24, 2004, p. 6, available online from the ABI/Inform Database; accessed

June 2005.

49. Data source on the Automotive Manufacturing Improvement Network of Alabama:

‘‘Suppliers in Alabama Join Forces,’’ Automotive News, November 15, 2004, available

online from the ABI/Inform Database; accessed June 2005.

50. Steve Sewell, as quoted in ‘‘Car Industry No Longer ‘Fledgling’ in Alabama,’’Knight-

Ridder Tribune Business News, May 9, 2004, p. 1, available online from the ABI/

Inform Database, accessed June 2005.

51. ‘‘Once a Backwater, Slovakia Surges,’’ New York Times, December 28, 2004, p. W1.

52. Data sources: Felipe Larrain, Luis Lopez-Calva, and Andres Rodriguez-Clare, ‘‘Intel:

A Case Study of Foreign Direct Investment in Central America,’’ Harvard Center for

International Development Working Paper no. 58, December 2000, p. 14, available

online at http://www.cid.harvard.edu; accessed October 2004; and U.N. Economic

Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean, Economic Survey of Latin America

and the Caribbean, 1999–2000, p. 181, available online at http://www.eclac.org;

accessed April 2005.

53. Larrain, Lopez-Calva, and Rodriguez-Clare, ‘‘Intel: A Case Study,’’ p. 31.

54. Ibid., pp. 23, 5.

55. Ibid., p. 26.

56. U.N. Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean, Foreign Investment

in Latin America and the Caribbean, 2003, pp. 17, 75–76, available online at http://

www.eclac.org; accessed April 2005.

57. ‘‘Work Force Training: Providing a Competitive Advantages for Expanding Com-

panies,’’ Expansion Management, August 15, 2004, available online at http://www.

expansionmanagement.com; accessed June 2005. The training program, part of

Alabama’s two-year college system, had been ranked in the top ten of the magazine’s

survey since 1997.

the case for fdi and mncs 307

13

the case against foreign direct investment and multinational corporations

An objective and thorough evaluation of foreign direct investment(FDI) and multinational corporations (MNCs) must accept the qualification that neither phenomenon is in all ways and at all times economically

and socially harmful in its impact. An unequivocally critical, thumbs-down eval-

uation arrives at a different conclusion: The available evidence categorically

demonstrates that the negative effects of these international business phenomena

dramatically outweigh their very meager benefits. Perceived net costs to the global

commons are so great that a clear-cut policy recommendation easily follows.

Governments should do what they are elected to do: run the country, promote

the interests of the majority, and vigorously act to reduce if not eliminate the

many harmful and inequitable effects of big multinational companies. What is

best for society is to have the public sector ensure more equitable distributions of

income and the benefits of globalization. The case against dismisses most of the

arguments advanced in favor of FDI and MNCs as being either exaggerated,

oversimplified, or factually inaccurate.

The principal purpose of this chapter is to distill the main arguments into a

thorough and convincing case against MNCs and FDI as they currently operate.

The objective is to showcase the many ‘‘reasonable’’ arguments supporting the

view that society and governments are off-course in believing that markets, if left

alone, will work wonders in broadly increasing the material well-being of the

world’s people and reduce poverty. As with chapter 12, this chapter has a subtle

agenda. It is to implicitly advance the idea that when the one-sided arguments that

follow are weighed against the contradictory one-sided arguments of the previous

chapter, a relatively open-minded reader again should encounter hesitation and

equivocation. Such a reader should entertain the thought that because both make

some sense, choosing one as representing the absolute, stand-on-its-own version of

308

the truth is a flawed approach. Introduction of doubt is a preliminary step to sug-

gesting the attractions of an eclectic middle-ground analysis that emphasizes the

need to appreciate the heterogeneity of the subject, the need to shun generaliza-

tions, and acceptance of the scarcity of absolute truths in an ocean of subjectivity.

As in the previous chapter, the contents of this chapter do not necessarily reflect

the author’s views, and individual assertions may or may not be backed up with

what he regards as adequate evidence. The presentation should be considered the

equivalent of a legal brief designed to interpret reality in a way that influences the

opinions of those who read it. Although the most dubious, least substantiated

condemnations have been excluded, this chapter as a whole is intended to be argu-

mentative, not a demonstration of the scientific method at its most precise. The

most important commonality of the individual arguments presented here is that

each possesses sufficient credibility to preclude its being dismissed as patently

untrue or irrelevant. The order in which the arguments are presented roughly

follows a macro to micro sequence; order does not imply importance. Too much

subjectivity and imprecision are involved to credibly argue that accurate weights

can be assigned to each of the downsides cited.

The Inevitability of FDI-Induced Harm

An UNCTAD report makes the case succinctly and convincingly: ‘‘Not all FDI

is . . . always and automatically in the best interest of host countries.’’1 The ac-

curacy of this statement begins with the larger truth that irreconcilable differ-

ences between nation-states andMNCs guarantee that their interests are not fully

compatible. Profit maximization is inherently linked with maximization of effi-

ciency but not necessarily maximization of national economic and social goals.

Multinationals have no incentive to place the needs of host countries before their

own. The inevitable result is that most FDI activity is either detrimental or of

minimal value to the economic and social orders of the host. Furthermore,

nothing in the relentless pursuit of growth and profits suggests that the majority

of FDI activity is beneficial to home countries.

Companies, whether domestic or multinational, are not committed to treating

any country as an equal partner in a common pursuit of financial gain. The

people who run corporations are not hired and paid to be big picture–seeing

altruists who put the public good of host and home countries ahead of the good of

the company. Privately owned manufacturing corporations are neither charities,

social services providers, nor regulated public utilities. They are established to

reward the financial commitment made by their owner/investors by selling goods

and services that the public needs and wants, not to champion social causes.

An international consumer boycott and accusations of being baby killers were

the case against fdi and mncs 309

necessary to get Nestlé and other multinational producers of infant formula in the

1980s to address the health problems their products were causing in less developed

countries (LDCs). Contaminated water and the absence of facilities to sterilize and

refrigerate turned what was a safe product in the North into a dangerous substitute

for breast milk in the South—although it remained legal to sell.2 Press articles

regularly report reluctance by automobile companies to issue voluntary recalls for

defects not yet proven to be a dire safety risk. In the executive suite, the burden of

proof is always on the employee who proposes doing something socially mag-

nanimous but harmful to the bottom line.

Conscious commitment to putting the public good first is least likely to be

found in corporations operating on a global basis. MNCs are not merely large

versions of domestic corporations. They are huge organizations with unprece-

dented control over economic resources. They are not just business firms, but the

most complex and most highly developed agents of world capitalism, operating in

the most important branches and the most highly concentrated sectors of ad-

vanced economies.3 In the opinion of the late Raymond Vernon, a distinguished

early scholar in the field, ‘‘The multinational enterprise has come to be seen as

the embodiment of almost anything disconcerting about modern industrial so-

ciety.’’ MNCs did not become magnets for criticism by chance or bad luck. As a

rule, he felt they are ‘‘conspicuously well-endowed with money and knowledge;

they are entrenched in industries difficult to enter; and they are viewed as for-

eigners in the eyes of most governments with which they deal.’’ In Vernon’s

view, MNCs’ presence in LDCs ‘‘has drawn the hostility of those eager to

develop a strong national identity free of outside influence, those repelled by the

costs of industrialization, those at war with capitalism as a system, and those

distrustful of the politics of the rich industrialized states.’’4 These feelings can be

fully justified.

As corporations go global, their growing competitiveness and financial power

weaken the institutional base of national economies. ‘‘This inhibits equity and

legitimacy.’’5 The mistaken belief that domestic investment cannot be equally

effective as a means to promote development and increase jobs has caused the

majority of the world’s governments to opt for the short-sighted, quick-fix strategy

of urging foreign companies to open subsidiaries. In bending over backward to

ingratiate themselves with MNCs, government leaders regularly place foreign

corporations’ demands ahead of the needs of the citizens who elected them.

Because multinationals by definition move resources and do business on a global

scale, they are ‘‘less concerned with advancing national goals than with pursuing

objectives internal to the firm—principally growth, profits, proprietary technology,

strategic alliances, return on investment, and market power.’’6 ‘‘Stateless corpo-

rations have given rise to corporate states.’’7 An inherent contradiction results from

the desire of MNCs to integrate activities on a global basis with little regard for

three bottom lines310

national borders while the people and government of a host country seek to in-

tegrate foreign subsidiaries in the best way possible into their national economy.8

‘‘If not adequately regulated, FDI can compound economic, financial, and social

problems.’’9 The problem is that adequate regulation is not always forthcoming.

Many governments lack the ability to stand up to big foreign corporations and

impose regulations compatible with national needs rather than the demands of

these companies. If a government is too weak, out of touch, or corrupt to promote

suitable policies, sovereignty will be no match for MNC power.10 Ultimately, an

assessment of the probable impact of MNCs on host countries turns on how

effectively the government of the host country performs its role as maker of policy

and defender of what it is judged to be the national interest.11 Too often, that

performance is ineffective.

Manipulation of transfer prices is a prime example of how corporate self-

interest can surreptitiously siphon off benefits due to countries in which they are

doing business. Internal accounting legerdemain allows MNCs to engage in a kind

of high-tech tax evasion. Transfer prices refer to the prices that different units of

the same business organization (for our purposes, a parent company and one of its

overseas subsidiaries) charge one another for finished products, components,

factory machinery, or services. Transactions between related parties do not typi-

cally follow the market-directed rules of arm’s-length transactions between unre-

lated entities. Multinationals can establish internal costs that arbitrarily raise or

lower transfer prices to minimize the amount of taxes or tariff duties owed to

national governments.

Profits of a parent company can be enhanced simply by charging higher prices

for goods and services sent to subsidiaries located in relatively high tax countries,

thereby minimizing or eliminating the subsidiary’s profits and thus reducing tax

liabilities. If a subsidiary is operating in a low tax country, transfer price leger-

demain would consist of charging it artificially low prices, thereby maximizing

profits where they will be taxed least. National tax agencies are exercising increased

vigilance to discourage manipulation of transfer prices, but outsiders probably will

never be able to completely penetrate the caliginous haze that shrouds real costs

within massive corporations conducting tens or hundreds of thousands of transac-

tions annually among their subsidiaries in dozens of far-flung countries. This

problem might explain why a private study found that subsidiaries of U.S. cor-

porations operating in four major tax havens (the Netherlands, Ireland, Bermuda,

and Luxembourg) had 46 percent of their profits in these four jurisdictions in 2001,

but only 9 percent of their employees and just under 13 percent of their plant and

equipment.12

Artificially low transfer prices can also be applied to shipments to subsidiaries

in high tariff countries, thereby depriving importing countries of another form of

revenue. Artificially high transfer prices invoiced by headquarters can also serve

the case against fdi and mncs 311

as a clandestine means of evading host government restrictions on the amount of

profits that foreign subsidiaries can remit to their parents.

Corporate actions showing disdain for the interests of the host country are not

always the subtle handiwork of the accounting department. The combination of

anger, fear, and aggressiveness has led companies to intervene directly in the

domestic political sphere. Information on the frequency of such behavior is hard

to come by because shady activities involving political leaders and executives of

foreign corporations are not conducted in public and not always exposed. One of

the classic examples of this phenomenon, ITT’s intervention in Chilean politics

in the 1970s, is discussed shortly.

All things considered, questions are constantly and understandably raised about

who controls MNCs and by what means. Their demonstrated capacity to harm the

public’s well-being makes them too dangerous to be left to their own devices. The

idea that MNCs can police themselves is illusory, and the relatively new concept of

corporate social responsibility is disingenuous. As a study by Christian Aid con-

cluded, ‘‘While there are some companies that act responsibly much of the time,

and many companies that act responsibly some of the time, the [corporate social

responsibility] landscape is uneven.’’ The organization has seen too many cases

where the ‘‘rhetoric and the reality are simply contradictory.’’ Because corporate

social responsibility ‘‘can become mere a branch of PR,’’ Christian Aid opined that

self-policing of corporate promises of responsible and ethical behavior is a ‘‘com-

pletely inadequate response to the sometime devastating impact that multinational

companies can have.’’13 Harvard Business School Professor Michael Porter

characterized corporate social responsibility as ‘‘a religion filled with priests, in

which there is no need for evidence or theory. . . . It is all a defensive effort, a PR

game in which companies primarily react to deal with the critics and the pressure

from activists.’’14 Many people believe that enlightened corporate statements

notwithstanding, the dominant philosophy of business executives was perfectly

summed up by Milton Friedman in 1970: ‘‘There is one and only one social

responsibility of business—to use its resources and engage in activities designed to

increase profits so long as it stays within the rules of the game.’’15

At the same time that harmful consequences of FDI and some of the duplicity

by MNCs are part of the public record, the presumed economic benefits of con-

centrating production in the lowest-cost locations are another cruel deception.

These benefits exist only in economics textbooks and corporate press releases. The

consuming public at large should take with the proverbial grain of salt the claim

that the increase in our material well-being over the past half-century is mostly

attributable to the spread of MNCs. The growing domination of world markets by

fewer and bigger companies with increasing power to set or influence market prices

is at best a mixed blessing. Unless one has sold an MNC’s stock at a profit, there is

no way to unequivocally demonstrate that MNCs have been indispensable in

three bottom lines312

raising living standards. Despite the efficiency hype from supporters of MNCs, no

one has demonstrated that establishment of new foreign subsidiaries always or even

mostly results in lower prices rather than bigger profit margins. Neither has it been

proven that domestic companies on average could not have reached the same level

of efficiency, or at least come close, as did incoming FDI.

MNCs Are Too Powerful and Inherently Anticompetitive

A common criticism of MNCs has always been that their very function is to make

competition imperfect. By limiting the number of competitors in the market,

they distort the economic process and obtain monopoly rents (excess profits)

through dominant market shares. Their actions have made them ‘‘agents of a new

mercantilism, which has historically tended toward some form of imperialism.’’16

Big global companies may not have a conscious malign intent, but they cannot

escape having a malign impact on the quest for greater economic good for the

greater number. The outlook is for more of the same: increasing concentrations

of market power in quasi-monopolistic MNCs that grow progressively larger in

size, in part through a continuous series of cross-national mergers and acquisi-

tions. Fewer MNCs ‘‘are gaining a large and rapidly increasing proportion of

world economic resources, production, and market shares.’’17 The most dis-

quieting aspect of the bigness trend is the degree to which large and powerful

MNCs increasingly dominate world markets in the strategic industrial sectors:

telecommunications, information and software, electronics, machinery, auto-

mobiles, pharmaceuticals, mass media, and so on.

The downside of an international economic order dominated by large MNCs

was first recognized in the 1960s by Stephen Hymer, a pioneer scholar in the field

(see chapter 6). He foresaw what indeed has materialized: increasing worldwide

asymmetries in the distribution of economic power and benefits. A system based

on powerful global companies enjoying monopoly rents centralizes high-level

corporate decision-making positions ‘‘in a few key cities in the advanced coun-

tries, surrounded by a number of regional sub-capitals, and confine the rest of the

world to lower levels of activity and income. . . . Income, status, authority, and

consumption patterns would radiate out from these centers along a declining

curve, and the existing pattern of inequality would be perpetuated.’’18 More

recently, a labor union official suggested that the ‘‘benefits of the global economy

are reaped disproportionately by the handful of countries and companies that set

rules and shape markets.’’19

A large-scale MNC entering an average-sized host country market usually is

able to parlay its financial and technological power and its management and

marketing skills into an oligopolistic if not a monopolistic position in the local mar-

the case against fdi and mncs 313

ket. A highly competitive and ambitious MNC expands, structures, and confines

the development of the host economy. It introduces new production, but may by

this very act permit no other introduction of competing production. ‘‘Thus the

normal constraints . . . of competition in products and prices may not be pres-

ent.’’20 Crowding out of domestic producers is a risk whenever incoming direct

investment is in head-on competition with locals (i.e., when a foreign-controlled

subsidiary is market-seeking rather than an efficiency-seeking export platform).

Local firms have been driven out of business and new firms discouraged as the

results of MNCs’ being more efficient, having better access to financial resources,

engaging in anticompetitive practices, or all three.21 Crowding out can also occur

when cash-rich MNCs offer higher salaries to lure the most productive workers

away from locally owned businesses.

Another aspect of the anticompetitive bent of MNCs is their propensity to

cartelize. The apex of international cartel behavior existed during the Depression

years of the 1930s when sales and profits shrank and most governments looked the

other way. Corporate efforts to control output and prices on a worldwide basis

were concentrated in those rawmaterials and manufacturing sectors, for example,

steel, chemicals, and aluminum, where the products were similar and the number

of competing producers was limited. Collusion extended to mutual agreements on

market share allocations and exporters charging the same prices in foreign mar-

kets as those agreed on by domestic producers.22 In today’s world, formal un-

derstandings are not an absolute prerequisite limiting competition across national

borders. If three MNCs dominate the world market for a given product, three

unilateral, uncoordinated decisions not to aggressively compete for market share

through low prices become the economic equivalent of a cartel.

Low-Quality FDI Can Be Worse Than None at All

Advocates of multinationals like to talk about high quality incoming direct in-

vestment (see chapters 8, 12, and 14) that create good jobs and produce high-tech

goods. By ignoring the (allegedly) greater preponderance of low quality direct

investments that are more harmful than beneficial to host countries, advocates are

telling only partial truths. First of all, a significant proportion of new FDI since the

1990s has been in the form of mergers and acquisitions, in which the initial effect is

simply a transfer of ownership from a domestic to a foreign company. A capricious

absentee landlord and a drain on the host country’s foreign exchange holdings can

easily negate the few to nonexistent positive effects of a foreign takeover. Second,

foreign-owned subsidiaries often function as islands cut off from the mainland of

the domestic business sector and devoid of linkages and knowledge spillovers.

three bottom lines314

Third, many jobs in foreign subsidiaries, especially in LDCs, are relatively dead-

end, involving unskilled, low-paid, and monotonous work with no hope for ad-

vancement.

If incoming direct investment was guaranteed to produce positive externalities

(for example, spillovers of technology and enhanced worker skills, and extensive

linkages with local businesses), the prospect of anticompetitive tendencies and

other negative effects would, in most cases, be a risk worth taking. That these

externalities may never materialize can be seen in the case of the Irish economy,

one of the great success stories from inward FDI. The links between foreign

subsidiaries and local businesses were virtually nonexistent until the government

came to the realization in the 1980s that indigenous high-tech export-oriented

firms were not emerging and there was no indication that the presence of growing

FDI would inspire creation of any in the foreseeable future. All signs pointed to the

government giving too much preference and assistance to foreign MNCs and

ignoring indigenous businesses.23 Today, spillover and linkage effects are better,

but still limited mainly to low-end support industries. By way of example, locally

owned printing plants have increased in great number in response to the demand

by U.S. software firms for instruction manuals. ‘‘On the whole, the belief that

competition would whip native industries into shape has not been sustained. In-

stead, it has snuffed them out.’’24 Ireland is at risk for becoming overly dependent

on the kindness of foreigners.

The lack of a spillover effect by foreign-owned automobile assembly plants in

Mexico further demonstrates how MNCs and local business can live in two

separate worlds. Despite being in Mexico for forty years, foreign automobile

plants reportedly have generated relatively little business for local suppliers and

have not transmitted much technological know-how. The Volkswagen plant

there stresses the point that it buys 60 percent of its parts domestically, but the

‘‘local’’ suppliers are virtually all foreign-owned and import most of the materials

they use. ‘‘In spite of the fact that Mexico has been host to many car plants, we

don’t know how to build a car,’’ said a local academic.25

To dramatize the potential for low quality FDI to unleash massive harm, let us

imagine a bad news scenario of a new foreign-owned manufacturing subsidiary

whose multiple deleterious economic effects so clearly exceed its benefits that the

host country clearly would have been better off without it. This hypothetical

investment from hell is born as an acquisition of a local producer of toiletries and

cosmetics, so no net increase in production results. The takeover is financed by

borrowing from a local bank, the parent company having been able to get fa-

vorable loan terms on the basis of its excellent global credit rating. No foreign

exchange flows in. Less capital is available for lending by the banking system to

indigenous businesses and entrepreneurs.

the case against fdi and mncs 315

No new jobs are created. In fact, many existing ones are lost. In connection

with implementation of the parent’s lean production techniques, up to one-third

of the acquired company’s labor force is summarily dismissed. Most if not all

senior executives and top managers are replaced with expatriates from corporate

headquarters. Workers who remain are told that if they do not meet higher

assigned production quotas, they will also be heading out the door—and that

they should not even think about trying to unionize. Those that stay may be

taught to use more sophisticated machinery, but their job skills are not signifi-

cantly enhanced. They remain assembly line workers knowing only how to turn

out endless batches of bath soap and lipstick.

Pricing strategy finds the ‘‘sweet spot’’ that allows output to be sold below the

prices of domestic competitors but still earn a modest profit. This is only a tem-

porary business strategy. The foreign company’s long-term plan is to become a

quasi-monopolist, raising prices after a sufficient number of local competitors are

driven out of the market by the combination of clever advertising of a world-class

brand name and low prices. Marketing will be aggressive enough to discourage

local entrepreneurs from entering the market and providing new competition.

Profits notwithstanding, the new foreign subsidiary differs from the domes-

tically owned company that was acquired in that it pays no corporate income

taxes. This is the result of its being granted a tax holiday by the host government

as an inducement to make the investment. Once this exemption ends, the MNC

plans to use transfer prices (see previous discussion) to produce paper losses for

its subsidiary in the host country. Profits earned by the subsidiary in question will

be booked to a subsidiary in a country with lower taxes. At least one of the newly

retooled plants will increase water pollution levels. Contingency plans call for any

efforts by the host government to tighten regulation of the subsidiary to be re-

buffed by a carrot-and-stick strategy. Campaign contributions to influential pol-

iticians will be made simultaneously with threats to close the local plant(s).

Further economic harm comes in the form of adverse effects on the host

country’s balance of payments. Although no capital flowed in to pay for the initial

investment, the foreign company regularly remits profits to headquarters in lieu

of reinvesting to expand or upgrade the subsidiary. It regularly imports raw

materials, intermediate goods, assembly line machinery, and business services,

having determined that local suppliers cannot meet its demanding requirements.

The subsidiary does not export. The aggregate result is a drain on the host

country’s limited foreign exchange earnings that might otherwise have been

spent on imports needed to meet basic human needs and promote economic

development. A low-income country should not be forced to freeze or cut back on

imports and internal investment to export capital to cash-rich parent companies

in affluent industrialized countries.

three bottom lines316

As harmful and unappealing as a manufacturing subsidiary with this profile

would be to a host country’s economy, it is not an absolute worst-case scenario. A

more definitive version of the ultimate undesirable incoming direct investment

would be an amoral foreign mining company truly adroit at bribing government

officials (a profile that a cynic would say excludes only a very few multinational

mining and petroleum companies). On day one, it begins secretly depositing vast

sums in the offshore bank accounts of the host country’s top leaders. In return,

the foreign company’s subsidiary is allowed to pay well below-market value

royalties for the ores or oil it recovers. It also receives quiet assurance that envi-

ronmental protection laws will not be vigorously applied to its local mining or oil

drilling operations. After denuding the countryside of its mineral riches, the

MNC quickly removes its equipment and personnel, leaving the locals to deal

with the negative spillovers of land ravaged from open pit mining, water pollution,

depleted natural resources, and so on. Spillovers of knowledge and technology to

the host country are nil, as are lasting benefits.

Neither Fairness nor More Efficiency

Workers have waged an uphill, largely unsuccessful battle since the Industrial

Revolution for an equitable share of the income generated from their physical

efforts. As noted in chapter 5, the estimated gap has grown to the point where the

average U.S. corporate president earns in just one business day what the average

rank-and-file worker earns in an entire year. The globalization of production has

dealt a serious setback to this struggle by further shifting the balance of power in

favor of the corporation. For many years, the average manufacturing company

has enjoyed greater mobility in moving across national borders than labor. More

recently, progress in technology, reduced communications and transportation

costs, and the knowledge-intensive nature of the information technology sector

have made it even easier and less expensive for medium and large corporations to

relocate factories and service facilities to lower cost countries. Another recent

trend is the increasing ease with which MNCs that become dissatisfied with wage

rates or governmental regulation in one country can find qualified labor in an-

other country willing to do the same work for less money, another government

willing to impose fewer restrictions, or both.

The MNC has corrupted the core dilemma of economic policy: finding the

optimal trade-off between pursuit of fairness (equity) and efficiency. The grow-

ing trend to transferring production to subsidiaries in lower cost/lower wage

countries reduces labor’s share, already too small in the eyes of most people, of

the economic pie. However, the new workforce will be less, or at best equally,

the case against fdi and mncs 317

productive compared to the workers they replaced. Efficiency in the narrow sense

of the term has not been increased; instead, the reduction in salary outlays

exceeded the decline in productivity in the newly opened foreign subsidiary. A

huge question is how the MNC responds to the bonanza it gets from reduced

production costs. It has two options: lower prices or generate higher profit mar-

gins and greater rewards to shareholders (through higher stock prices and in-

creased dividends). The consensus answer is that in most cases, prices remain

unchanged and profits rise.

The growing propensity of production lines being shifted to lower cost

countries, sometimes in connection with financial incentives being provided by

the new host country, is best described as a ‘‘ratcheting down to the bottom.’’26

As a result of their denouncing a race to the bottom that does not literally exist,

some of the more strident critics of globalization are often summarily dismissed;

this does a disservice to the genuine plight of relatively well-paid production line

workers. Attention is diverted from the fact that the negotiating position of

factory workers at MNCs is deteriorating badly. They face unprecedented

threats to job security, salaries, and retirement benefits as companies use their

mobility advantage to find ever cheaper labor in the far corners of the world.

Sometimes a company does not physically transfer an assembly line to another

country, but workers still suffer economic setbacks. De facto ratcheting down

occurs when a company demands that its production workers ‘‘voluntarily’’ agree

to givebacks in the form of lower wages, increased hours worked, stricter work

rules, or all of the above. This demand is backed up by management explaining

how increasing competitive pressures leave it no alternative to move production

to another country unless it can reduce labor costs.

The increasing frequency with which manufacturing companies move their

subsidiaries to another country is eroding a classic argument about the relative

attractiveness of FDI inflows as long-term commitments. Permanence is no

longer a sure thing, and their longevity premium over shorter term, more volatile

capital flows like bank borrowing and foreign portfolio investment has started to

erode. Prosperity based on the presence of MNCs has become hostage to a self-

absorbed movable beast. A global jobs auction is now under way. MNCs ‘‘are, in

effect, conducting a peripatetic global jobs competition, awarding shares of

production to those who make the highest bids.’’27

The full human toll from MNCs’ increasing mobility is unknown because a

complete count cannot be made of instances where production continued un-

interrupted after workers quietly capitulated to management ultimatums and

accepted reduced incomes and benefits. Even if the percentage of workers hurt by

this trend is a relatively small percentage of the total workforce, the absolute

numbers appear to be growing, and little or nothing is being done to give comfort

to or diminish the injury of the many workers whose jobs and earning power have

three bottom lines318

been and will be adversely affected.28 The intensifying need to placate the de-

mands of MNCs is curtailing government’s ability to respond to the plight of the

unemployed with increased spending. ‘‘Just when working people most need the

nation-state as a buffer from the world economy, it is abandoning them.’’29

Workers in the more industrialized countries of Western Europe have achieved

the highest average levels of salaries, job security, vacation time, and social benefits

ever measured. The quality of life attained by skilled workers in the industrial

sectors of those countries has come to symbolize the magnificent possibilities of

capitalism with a heart. The bounty of the economic system tipped in favor of the

working majority. However, believers in the Marxist view on exploitation of the

masses may yet have the last laugh. The writing on the wall becomes clearer every

day: Labor’s share of national income and its leisure time appear to have peaked

and regressed well into the early stages of decline. The main cause: the ratcheting

down syndrome. Europeans feel no guilt for enjoying the good life and believe they

deserve to retain it. The fact is that they ‘‘have gained politically and socially what

many Americans say they want . . . but have been unable to achieve politically.

Americans, too, would like to have employment security, more flexibility, more

leisure, fewer worries about health care and pensions.’’30

Germany is the best example of globalization’s tightening squeeze on Euro-

pean labor. Absorbing what are widely regarded as the world’s most expensive

labor costs has not prevented the country’s major manufacturers from continuing

to be world-class competitors and the backbone of the country’s long-running

trade surplus. Despite its much smaller economy, Germany passed the United

States in 2003 to become the world’s largest exporter of goods. The workers’

skills and relatively high productivity notwithstanding, time seems to be running

out on the quality of life achievements of the German labor movement. Large

employers are avidly exploiting new opportunities for reduced costs and in-

creased profit margins in Central Europe. The average cost of wages and benefits

paid to relatively skilled labor in Hungary, Poland, the Czech Republic, and

Slovakia is estimated to be as low as one-sixth of the equivalent German rate

when longer work weeks are included in the comparison. Now that these

countries are members of the European Union, they have become ideal locations

for efficiency-seeking FDI, more specifically export platforms for industrial

shipments to Western Europe.

Central Europe is to German workers as Mexico is to American workers:

They are the lower wage neighbors whose workers are highly productive when

placed in a foreign subsidiary with state of the art technology and managerial

supervision from the parent company. Factory workers in Germany and the

United States have been hard hit, more than in any other country, by domestic

corporations building a growing percentage of their new plants in other countries

and switching existing production to a subsidiary in a lower cost country. ‘‘All

the case against fdi and mncs 319

new [automobile] plants built in Europe will be built in Central or Eastern

Europe,’’ the chairman of French auto giant Renault was quoted as saying.31 The

setbacks suffered by German workers are easily demonstrated by the series of

concessions made by their unions in 2004 in return for job security. Across-the-

board givebacks to the electronics giant Siemens by the powerful union IG

Metall were the most dramatic. In return for the company’s agreement not to

shift mobile phone production for at least two years from two German plants to

Hungary, the workers in these plants will work an additional five hours a week

(from thirty-five to forty hours) at no increase in pay, which equates to a cut in

the hourly wage rate. In addition, downward adjustments were made in Christ-

mas bonuses and vacation pay.

Less dramatic concessions (effectively wage freezes) were granted later in the

year to DaimlerChrysler and Volkswagen, in both cases to defuse their threats of

shifting production eastward. Workers at a GMOpel plant in Germany agreed in

early 2005 to reductions in scheduled future wage increases and more flexible

working hours; this was the price of convincing GM to build new models of Opel

and Saab in the German plant rather than at its subsidiary in Sweden. An

educated guess about future labor-management trends in Germany and else-

where in Western Europe is that the givebacks of 2004 are the wave of the future.

Second-tier wage countries in Europe enjoy no immunity from the FDI

ratcheting down process. When Volkswagen announced in late 2002 that it in-

tended to lay off 500 of the 5,000 workers at its assembly plant in Pamplona,

Spain, the five unions representing workers at the plant initially took a hard-line

position in opposition. They soon became more conciliatory in response to the

advice of a senior union official at the carmaker’s main plant in Germany. Wages

for workers at the Spanish plant were well below their German counterparts but

more than double those in Slovakia, where the company had been expanding

manufacturing capacity. An overly rigid position, the union official warned, would

likely result in management shifting significant production from Spain to the

east. Several weeks later, the Pamplona workers accepted a 5 percent pay cut, and

VW canceled the layoffs. In the age of globalization, the union official later

lamented, ‘‘one has to be willing to go in a different direction.’’32 Only a few years

earlier, winning this sort of concession would have been unthinkable for most

Western European companies. European unions had long waged a bitter fight

against even modest givebacks to employers while demanding and winning pay

raises and shorter work weeks.33

The ratcheting down process started in the high-wage countries but is now in

full swing in moderate-income countries. Foreign subsidiaries have already begun

abandoning Mexico and Central Europe in the continuing move down-market to

still lower wage countries. In the process, Hungary and the Czech Republic have

three bottom lines320

become giant intake and outtake conduits for FDI. At the same time that MNCs

are being attracted to Central Europe, others are closing subsidiaries they estab-

lished just a few years earlier and heading east, mainly to China, in search of

even lower wage/lower cost locations.34 Flextronics, a multinational electronic

manufacturing services company under contract to assemble the Microsoft Xbox

game player, originally opted to assemble it in Hungary. Not quite a year into

production, it shut down the production line and moved it to southern China,

where the wages were considerably lower. In yet another example of the need to

avoid overgeneralization and look at facts on a case-by-case basis, employment in

Flextronics’ Hungarian plant remained steady in the early 2000s. Ironically, it was

partly due to a new contract for final assembly of TV sets made by a Chinese

company, presumably for sale in Europe.35

A prime example of ratcheting down is the automobile wire harness industry,

which binds wires that deliver electrical current to accessories like headlights and

power windows. The first stage of production migration went from the United

States to Mexico. Then, as automobile assemblers intensified demands on their

suppliers for periodic price reductions, the labor-intensive assembly of wire har-

ness in Mexico began looking expensive to some of the companies that had relo-

cated there. The second wave of migration commenced when they began moving

subsidiaries to lower wage Honduras and still lower wage China; the result has

been a decline in Mexico’s share of exports of the product to the U.S. market.

Declining wire harness production is only one small part of the larger trend of

foreign companies abandoning Mexico for a lower rung on the international

income hierarchy. In 2002 alone, an estimated 200,000-plus manufacturing jobs

were lost in that country. The principal cause was the departure of more than 300

plants, mostly U.S.-owned export platforms known as maquiladoras that had

been engaged in labor-intensive work. Once again, the most frequent destination

was China, where total production costs were low enough to offset its greater

distance from the American market.36 ‘‘Mexican workers are in the untenable

position of not earning enough for a good life, but too much for job security. It’s a

treadmill that’s trapping developing countries as they struggle to keep what had

been Americans’ jobs.’’37 Another strain on the already inadequate social safety

net in Mexico will result from the multiyear staged reductions in corporate

income tax rates that began in 2005, part of an effort to make the country more

business-friendly.

Ultimately, the effect of ratcheting down is to further reduce labor’s share of

total income and further increase the already unequal distribution of income.

‘‘A world in which the assets of the 200 richest people are greater than the

combined income of the more than 2 billion people at the other end of the

economic ladder should give everyone pause,’’ wrote a U.S. union official.38

the case against fdi and mncs 321

An Open Door to FDI Can and Does Threaten

Self-Determination

MNCs are the main reason that a globalized economy distributes most of its

benefits to a small, already wealthy minority, leaving the majority helplessly to cope

with the harm and disadvantages inherent in MNCs. At some point in every

country, incoming FDI becomes excessive—it crosses a line at which point it

begins inflicting an unhealthy loss of economic autonomy on the host and begins

handing foreign investors an unhealthy degree of influence over the country’s eco-

nomic future. The excessive power accruing to the big multinationals inevitably

comes at the expense of the public good and democratic principles. Critics have

warned that gigantic corporations, answerable only to themselves, are pushing

societies into an amorphous, disenfranchised mass in which individuals and groups

lose control over their own lives and are subjugated to these firms’ exploitive

activities.39

Western Europe and Canada became sensitive in the 1960s to the possibility of

suffering an intolerable and irreversible loss of control over their economic

destinies after watching waves of American MNCs enter and become critical

components of their domestic economies. Both went through long periods of

angst in an unsuccessful effort to find cost-effective ways of capping this growing

dependence. Although they never imposed formal barriers, their disquiet persists

today, especially in sectors like mass media that are perceived to threaten a

nation’s cultural heritage.

Japan and Korea took a far more restrictive stance against incoming FDI in

the post–World War II period. In a word, they effectively banned it in the belief

that it came with too many harmful strings attached. Neither suffered significant

economic harm by doing so, relying instead on domestic saving and borrowed

foreign capital to finance very high rates of domestic investment. Industrializa-

tion was successfully carried out by national champions, members of keiretsu

groups in Japan and chaebols in Korea.

Japan expressly excluded majority-owned foreign investment, with only a few

exceptions until the 1970s, when intense pressure from the United States led to a

reluctant, gradual easing of barriers to FDI. Japanese economic planners worried

that the presence of foreign companies would interfere too much with their grand

design for economic recovery. The consensus view was that foreigners could never

understand and accept the unique rules of the Japanese version of capitalism,

especially the unwritten but rigid mutual obligations of the government–business

relationship. If foreign companies wanted to profit from Japan’s economic recov-

ery, they were required to do so in a passive manner that did nothing to interfere

with economic self-determination. They had to team with a local partner owning

three bottom lines322

at least 50 percent of a joint venture or license their technology to a Japanese

company.

Prior to an about-face in attitude in 1998 forced by the Asian financial crisis

and its aftermath,

The general fear of Korean industries being dominated by foreign entities—

a fear deeply rooted inmemories of Japan’s colonization from 1910 to 1945—

was too widespread inside Korea for the government to accommodate

foreign management. Even today, there is a lingering suspicion that FDI is

really just a means for foreigners to control Korean industries.40

Americans long viewed this foreign trepidation and resentment as overly

emotional, unsophisticated xenophobia. By the late 1980s, however, many Amer-

icans familiar with FDI issues had adopted the same stance, never mind the large

size of the U.S. GDP relative to the inflow and the continuing U.S. status as the

largest outward direct investor by a wide margin. The catalyst triggering

the sudden outbreak of not unfounded American fears of excessive loss of eco-

nomic autonomy was the surge in FDI by Japan, much of which consisted of

acquisitions. The country was widely viewed as unfairly having tens of billions of

dollars to invest in the United States by virtue of being an adversarial trading

partner that restricted imports, aggressively pushed exports, and did not allow

foreign takeovers of Japanese companies. The Japanese encouraged further re-

sentment by developing an infatuation with trophy acquisitions (Rockefeller

Center, two Hollywood movie studios, Pebble Beach Golf Club, and so on).

All things considered, some thoughtful Americans felt the volume of FDI

inflows in the 1980s was excessive even for the world’s largest national economy.

For example, there was the warning, ‘‘The heaviest price paid by Americans is

the loss of a measure of political independence. The political activity generated

by foreign investors becomes more visible daily.’’41 The presumably interna-

tionalist associate editor of the journal Foreign Policy worried that

Foreigners with fistfuls of devalued dollars now comb America for banks,

businesses, factories, land, and securities. . . .The most pervasive concern

about foreign investment is that it will reduce America’s economic and

political autonomy. . . .Particularly worrisome is the growing reliance of

American high-tech start-up companies on foreign partners for cash and

manufacturing expertise. The quid pro quo is usually a transfer of new

technologies to the foreign investors, creating future competitors.42

Those who believe history repeats itself were in their element in June 2005,

when two closely timed announcements from China triggered a visceral American

the case against fdi and mncs 323

reaction poignantly encapsulated by the Wall Street Journal headline ‘‘China Inc.

Looks Set to Outdo Old Japan Inc.’’43 A Chinese appliance maker announced a

cash bid for Maytag, and a Chinese oil company (partly owned by the Chinese

government) announced its intention to take control of Unocal Corporation, an

American oil company. The latter takeover proposal created the image in many

Americans’ minds of the new owners diverting petroleum from American SUVs to

Chinese military vehicles. Public opinion was further agitated by the (correct)

belief that increased FDI inflows from and acquisitions by China were facilitated

by its enormous bilateral trade surplus with the United States. Furthermore, many

Americans believed the bilateral surplus to largely be the result of China’s unfair

trading practices and maintenance of an undervalued exchange rate to enhance its

already formidable competitiveness. Even more serious, some Americans worried

that Chinese outward FDI would help finance its long-term foreign policy agenda

of diminishing the U.S. role as an Asian power.

MNCs are the cat’s paw of globalization’s threat to cultural autonomy. Mass

media, food, clothing, and restaurant companies, mainly from the United States,

have bulldozed a lot of people from other countries into adopting tastes and

lifestyle preferences of an alien, highly materialistic society. National cultures

and values are being diluted on a worldwide basis to an unprecedented extent.

Simmering resentment to the perceived Americanization of the planet was

demonstrated by José Bové, a French farmer-activist whose anger (and flair for

publicity) impelled him to wreck a local McDonald’s restaurant. His actions were

wrong, but he spoke for a rising frustration abroad when he denounced the

company as a symbol of the ‘‘standardization of food’’ and a general indicator of

what was wrong with the world. To him, the Golden Arches ‘‘represents glob-

alization, multinationals, and the power of the market. Then it stands for in-

dustrially produced food bad for traditional farmers and bad for your health.’’44

Case Studies: Extractive MNCs Are Still Masters

of Bad Corporate Citizenship

Not even the most ardent supporter of FDI andMNCs can excuse the malodorous

record of harm these companies have inflicted on host countries by natural re-

source–extractive companies. These kinds of subsidiaries have been caught in

unethical, illegal, and harmful acts in numbers far greater than their share of total

global direct investment. With geology dictating where they invest overseas, they

do not have the option of shopping for a pleasant investment climate as do their

relatively refined counterparts in the manufacturing and services sectors. To

protect their mining and cultivation rights, they have frequently intimidated and

bribed relatively weak, inexperienced third world governments. If bribes are used

three bottom lines324

to secure sweetheart deals consisting of below-market royalty payments and re-

duced corporate taxes, the inhabitants of poor countries are denied the full benefits

of what usually are nonrenewable sources of national wealth. The public good is

also harmed if MNC payments to officials’ offshore bank accounts buy exemptions

from compliance with local environmental protection laws.

The long historical record of misdeeds by primary sector subsidiaries inspired

and sustains the criticism that MNCs make no effort to promote democracy or

protect human rights. They rebuff this criticism with the hollow claim that they

need to respect national sovereignty and follow the rules of operation laid down

by governments, whether democratically elected or authoritarian regimes of the

right and left. Though literally true, this defense omits reference to their efforts

to topple governments when respect for the sanctity of national sovereignty is

inconvenient.

In an admirably dispassionate historical study of MNC operations in devel-

oping countries, Daniel Litvin is less critical than resigned to what he views as

something akin to congenital misconduct by foreign-owned extractive companies

operating in LDCs. He writes that the complexity of the relationships suggests a

systemic problem, an apparent outgrowth of the ‘‘inherent limits to the capacity

of largemultinationals tomanage social and political issues in developing countries

effectively.’’ Repeatedly and in a pattern ‘‘too pronounced to be coincidental . . .

multinationals have exercised their power in unplanned, unsophisticated, or self-

defeating ways.’’45

Historically, extractive MNCs have been the ones most frequently caught

contravening local laws and interfering in the domestic political affairs of the host

country. The United Fruit Company was an indirect participant in the 1954

overthrow of the democratically elected president of Guatemala, Jacobo Arbenz.

Fearful that some of the company’s vast property would be expropriated as part

of a land reform program, senior executives of United Fruit fanned the flames of

fear in the U.S. government that the overtly left-leaning Arbenz administration

would lead to the spread of communism in Central America. The company then

quietly aided and abetted a CIA operation that culminated in a successful military

coup restoring right-wing leadership. United Fruit won the battle but lost the war.

Over the long term, its power over the Guatemalan government waned. Disclosure

of its role in the toppling of the government permanently tarnished the company’s

reputation, and it is still linked to the decades of low-intensity civil war in Gua-

temala that were unleashed by the coup.46

Another example of MNC interference with national sovereignty unfolded in

1960 shortly after the country then known as the Congo received its indepen-

dence from Belgium. Union Minerè literally financed the brief secession of

Katanga, the province where its massive mining operations in copper, uranium,

and cobalt were located. Fearful of an upsurge in nationalism and the spread of

the case against fdi and mncs 325

political chaos in a country ill-prepared for a smooth transition to statehood, the

company diverted its considerable tax payments from the national government to

the much friendlier and protective provincial government.47

A more recent case study of an MNC plotting the overthrow of a government

it found inconvenient involved ITT Corporation, a U.S.-based services con-

glomerate. The drama began in 1970, when the company decided it needed to

protect its Chilean telephone business from the perceived threat of nationaliza-

tion. It first actively sought to thwart the election of Salvador Allende, a Marxist,

as president, and then after he was elected, to engineer his ouster. In the process,

ITT not only engaged in a variety of illegal and unethical in-country activities on

its own against Allende the candidate, but also urged the Nixon administration to

impose economic sanctions against Allende’s administration and the CIA to

engage in disruptive clandestine activities against the regime.48 Later, an inter-

nally inspired military coup resulted in Allende’s death. ITT may have won the

battle but it lost the war. The company never fully dispelled suspicions in the

United States, Chile, and elsewhere that it was involved in Allende’s demise.49

Once again, it was a case of corporate malevolence creating a situation in which all

concerned parties were hurt.

A corporate public relations offensive continues to trumpet the theme that big

business has accepted the need to act in a more socially responsible manner—

because it is the right thing to do, and a negative public image is bad for business.

The image of kinder, gentler CEOs has created a widespread impression that the

insensitive, swashbuckling mindset epitomized by extractive MNCs is over. This

image is inconsistent with the facts. Despite learning from history that efforts to

topple host governments tend to be bad for business and despite sincere efforts

by some companies to be guided by the corporate social responsibility ethic,

reports of injurious and/or callous behavior continue unabated. The prolonged

pollution in Indonesia traced to Newmont Mining Corporation was described in

chapter 8. Shell oil company in 2005 was still dealing with a public relations

disaster created by the widespread perception that it has been a co-conspirator,

along with the government of Nigeria, in the persecution of people living in the

oil-rich regions of that country. Indigenous peoples have been brutally sup-

pressed by the Nigerian army when complaining about the water and land pol-

lution caused by oil drilling and about their not receiving an equitable share of the

royalties paid by the oil companies. After investigating the situation, a nongov-

ernmental organization (NGO) concluded, ‘‘Acknowledging the difficult context

of oil operations in Nigeria does not . . . absolve the oil companies from respon-

sibility for the human rights abuses taking place in the Niger Delta: whether by

action or omission they play a role.’’50

Turning to Latin America, a question can be raised: Are multinational mining

companies helping reduce poverty in Peru? Not according to a study by Christian

three bottom lines326

Aid. The economic benefits currently being provided to Peruvians by FDI in

mining often accrue to the already well-off and ‘‘are easily outweighed by the high

costs borne by the poor. Rather than reducing poverty, the evidence suggest that

mining many be entrenching it’’ through greater pollution, land seizures, and

reduced education and health care services in the remote villages where mining is

concentrated. Policy changes, including reduced corporate taxes, over the past

decade have been successful in attracting multinational mining companies to Peru,

but they ‘‘have not led to improvements in the lives of the rural poor who have to

live near the mines.’’51

Oil and other natural resource–producing MNCs can indirectly contribute to

economic malaise in a host country even if they are paying a fair price for extracted

natural resources. The ultimate benefits of resource-seeking FDI are only partially

determined by the monetary value of the hard currency royalties generated by

exports. The principal variable is how effectively the government spends the

revenues generated. The record here is not good. Some observers have suggested,

with only slight exaggeration, that oil and other valuable raw materials have been a

curse to those countries receiving large amounts of royalty payments for them. The

inflow of financial riches seems to encourage national laxity and overconfidence,

insufficient financial controls, corruption, and wasteful spending in these countries

far more than economic development and poverty reduction (see chapter 8).

Offshoring: The Newest Phase of the

Disenfranchisement of the Majority

The latest socially disruptive by-product of the twin trends of constant change in

technology and the constant ratcheting down of working-class leverage in dealing

with management is offshoring.52 This term does not yet have a single, universally

accepted definition. It is used here to describe the business strategy of trans-

ferring the work done by relatively high-skilled, high-paid service employees in

industrialized countries to workers with comparable skills and education in

LDCs whose salaries are significantly less. The new workers can be employed at

an overseas subsidiary of the MNC doing the layoffs or at a locally owned

business services firm, most likely located in India or the Philippines.

Technological progress in computing power and telecommunications has

transformed an increasing number of service jobs from nontradable sectors to

tradable ones; in short, a steady array of service jobs are joining manufactured

goods in becoming vulnerable to foreign competition. With an ever-increasing

amount of business activity being digitalized and with the growing availability of

well-educated, English-speaking, relatively low-wage workers overseas, hun-

dreds of millions of new workers have been added to the global labor pool. In

the case against fdi and mncs 327

some respects, the growing offshoring of jobs is merely another phase of com-

panies concentrating economic activity in the lowest cost location as they seek an

ever-increasing level of efficiency in using the world’s limited resources. Off-

shoring might have remained just a footnote in the larger trade policy debate if

the movement of jobs from the United States and Western Europe had stopped

at what might be described as its first phase. No big political backlash resulted

from the initial overseas transfer of lower skilled services jobs, mainly rote data

entry of credit card and mortgage applications, the writing of long, elemen-

tary software code, and call centers answering customer questions. The politi-

cal firestorm began as the quantity and quality of services jobs being exported

increased.

The real meaning of offshoring is that the relatively few owners of capital and

corporate executives have reached another milestone in their efforts to give

themselves more money by giving less to the working majority. In the services

sector as in manufacturing, if a company switches production to a lower cost

locale overseas, it has the choice of increasing its profit margin or passing the

savings on to consumers via lower prices. When it comes to allocating the fi-

nancial gains from offshoring, look for corporate greed, especially among U.S.

MNCs, to select the profit-enhancement option. Offshoring is just another way

for international business to communicate the message to workers that they are

losing the right to rising incomes and job security. Only executives and share-

holders are guaranteed benefits from the globalization of production. When the

high-skill jobs of software engineers, radiologists, architects, legal and financial

researchers, accountants, and tax professionals can be done more cheaply over-

seas and with no precipitous drop in quality, incomes and standards of living in

relatively affluent countries are at greater risk than ever before. New York

Senator Charles Schumer coauthored an op-ed article in the New York Times in

which he expressed concern that the United States might be ‘‘entering a new

economic era in which American workers will face direct global competition at

almost every job level. . . .American jobs are being lost not to competition from

foreign companies, but to multinational corporations, often with American roots,

that are cutting costs by shifting operations to low-wage countries.’’53

One of the reasons that long-term predictions about the number of service

jobs moving offshore are especially tricky is that a small self-correcting element

may come into play. If and when offshoring begins to destroy the jobs of econo-

mists, corporate public relations flacks, and general purpose intellectuals, the

ranks of supporters for a hands-off approach to MNCs and liberal trade will be

decimated, and the ranks of opponents will swell in number. Sooner or later, a

broad-based political backlash against job insecurity will rebalance the corporate-

dominated economic order.

three bottom lines328

Postscript

The reader is reminded that this chapter, like the previous one, is designed to

present the most convincing, credible case possible for one side of an ambiguous

and contentious issue. Although no factually untrue statements were knowingly

made, the arguments presented herein do not necessarily represent the author’s

views. The data advanced in support of these arguments do not necessarily meet

the author’s standards of full academic rigor.

Notes

1. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 1999, p. 155, available online at http://www

.unctad.org; accessed November 2004.

2. Kathryn Sikkink, ‘‘Codes of Conduct for Transnational Corporations: The Case of

the WHO/UNICEF Code,’’ International Organization, autumn 1986, pp. 820–21.

3. Volker Bornschier, ‘‘Multinational Corporations in World System Perspective,’’

in Wolfgang Mommsen and Jurgen Osterhammel, eds., Imperialism and After—

Continuities and Discontinuities (Boston: Allen and Unwin, 1986), p. 243.

4. Raymond Vernon, Storm over the Multinationals—The Real Issues (Cambridge, MA:

Harvard University Press, 1977), pp. 19, 27, 145–46.

5. Dani Rodrik, ‘‘Governance of Economic Globalization,’’ in Joseph Nye Jr. and John

Donohue, eds., Governance in a Globalizing World (Washington, DC: Brookings In-

stitution Press, 2000), p. 348.

6. U.S. Congress, Office of Technology Assessment, Multinationals and the National

Interest: Playing by Different Rules (Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing

Office, 1993), pp. 1–2.

7. Maude Barlow, as quoted in Robin Broad, ed., Global Backlash (Lanham, MD:

Rowman and Littlefield, 2002), p. 43.

8. Stephen D. Krasner, Structural Conflict: The Third World against Global Liberalism

(Berkeley: University of California Press, 1985), p. 179.

9. Oxfam International, ‘‘The Emperor’s New Clothes,’’ Briefing Paper no. 46, 2003,

p. 8, available online at http://www.oxfam.org; accessed January 2005.

10. David Fieldhouse, ‘‘A New Imperial System? The Role of the Multinational Cor-

porations Reconsidered,’’ in Wolfgang Mommsen and Jurgen Osterhammel, eds.,

Imperialism and After—Continuities and Discontinuities (London: Allen and Unwin,

1986), p. 234.

11. Ibid.

12. Steven Rattner, ‘‘Why Companies Pay Less,’’Washington Post,May 18, 2004, p. A19,

quoting a study conducted by Tax Notes.

13. Christian Aid, ‘‘Behind the Mask—The Real Face of CSR,’’ 2004, available online at

http://www.christian-aid.co.uk; accessed May 2005.

the case against fdi and mncs 329

14. European Business Forum, ‘‘CSR—A Religion with Too Many Priests? Michael

Porter,’’ EBF Debates, 15, 2003, available online at http://www.ebfonline.com/

at_forum/at_forum.asp?id¼421&linked¼418; accessed June 2005. 15. As quoted in Michael Hoffman and Jennifer Moore, eds., Business Ethics: Readings

and Cases in Corporate Morality (New York: McGraw-Hill, 1984), p. 157.

16. Fieldhouse, ‘‘A New Imperial System?,’’ p. 236.

17. Martin Khor, ‘‘Globalization and the South: Some Critical Issues,’’ UNCTAD

Discussion Paper no. 147, April 2000, p. 4, available online at http://www.unctad

.org/en/docs/dp_147.en.pdf; accessed September 2004.

18. As quoted in Fieldhouse, ‘‘A New Imperial System?,’’ p. 228.

19. Jay Mazur, ‘‘Labor’s New Internationalism,’’ Foreign Affairs, January/February 2000,

p. 80.

20. Henry J. Steiner and Detlev F. Vagts, Transnational Legal Problems, 2nd ed. (Mineola,

NY: Foundation Press, 1976), p. 1185.

21. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2003, p. 105.

22. Geoffrey Jones, The Evolution of International Business (London: Routledge, 1996), p.

124.

23. Eileen Doherty, ‘‘Evaluating FDI-Led Development: The Celtic (Paper?) Tiger,’’

1998, p. 6, available online at http://www.ciaonet.org; accessed November 2004.

24. Ibid., pp. 9, 12.

25. Tina Rosenberg, ‘‘So Far, Globalization Has Failed the World’s Poor,’’ New York

Times Magazine, August 18, 2002, p. 32.

26. I learned this term from Steven Beckman, director of the Governmental and Inter-

national Affairs Department, United Automobile Workers.

27. William Greider, One World, Ready or Not—The Manic Logic of Global Capitalism

(New York: Simon and Schuster, 1997), p. 82.

28. Lori G. Kletzer, ‘‘Globalization and Job Loss, from Manufacturing to Services,’’

Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Second Quarter, 2005, p. 45.

29. Ethan B. Kapstein, ‘‘Workers and the World Economy,’’ Foreign Affairs, May/June

1996, p. 16.

30. Peter Meiksins and Peter Whalley, ‘‘Should Europe Work More, or America Less?,’’

International Herald Tribune, August 11, 2004, available online at http://www.iht.com;

accessed August 2004.

31. ‘‘Detroit East,’’ Business Week, July 25, 2005, p. 49.

32. Neal Boudette, ‘‘As Jobs Head East in Europe, Power Shifts away from Unions,’’

Wall Street Journal, March 11, 2004, p. 1.

33. Ibid.

34. See, for example, ‘‘A Chill Wind Blows from the East,’’ Business Week, September 1,

2003, p. 44.

35. ‘‘Hungary Eager and Uneasy over New Status,’’ New York Times, March 5, 2004,

p. W1.

36. See, for example, Asian Development Bank Institute Discussion Paper no. 17, No-

vember, 2004, p. 3, available online at http://www.adb.org; accessed February 2005;

and Business Week, July 26, 2003, p. 35.

three bottom lines330

37. ‘‘Jobs Don’t Pay Enough to Loosen Poverty’s Grip,’’ Detroit News, November 21,

2004, available online at http://www.detnews.com, accessed December 2004. Another

business executive was quoted elsewhere as saying that unrelenting pressures to move

production out of high-cost countries is a rat race. He might have added that in a rat

race, the winner is always a rat.

38. Mazur, ‘‘Labor’s New Internationalism,’’ p. 80.

39. Robert Gilpin, Global Political Economy—Understanding the International Economic

Order (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2001), p. 291.

40. Kim Wan-Soon and Michael Jae Choo, ‘‘Principal Barriers to Foreign Direct In-

vestment in Korea,’’ in Korea’s Economy (Korean Economic Institute, May 2003),

p. 28.

41. Martin and Susan Tolchin, Buying into America—How Foreign Money Is Changing the

Face of Our Nation (New York: Times Books, 1988), p. 17.

42. Thomas Omestad, ‘‘Selling off America,’’ Foreign Policy, fall 1989, pp. 119, 125, 135.

43. June 24, 2005, p. C1.

44. As quoted in Joe L. Kincheloe, The Sign of the Burger—McDonald’s and the Culture of

Power (Philadelphia: Temple University Press, 2002), p. 3.

45. Daniel Litvin, Empires of Profit—Commerce, Conquest and Corporate Responsibility

(New York: Texere, 2003), pp. xii–xiii.

46. Ibid., pp. 113–40. Another good source of information on this incident is Stephen

Schlesinger and Stephen Kinzer, Bitter Fruit—The Untold Story of the American Coup

in Guatemala (Garden City, NY: Doubleday and Company, 1982).

47. Litvin, Empires of Profit, pp. 155–67.

48. Joan E. Spero and Jeffrey A. Hart, The Politics of International Economic Relations, 5th

ed. (New York: St. Martin’s, 1997), pp. 259–60.

49. ITT subsequently ran into a series of management mishaps, some related to excessive

diversification and acquisitions; it effectively disappeared in 1994 after being split into

three separate companies.

50. Human Rights Watch, ‘‘The Price of Oil,’’ January 1999, available online at http://

www.hrw.org; accessed January 2005. For additional information on Shell andNigeria,

see Litvin, Empires of Profit, pp. 249–63.

51. Christian Aid, ‘‘Unearthing the Truth—Mining in Peru,’’ February 2005, p. 15,

available online at http://www.christian-aid.org.uk; accessed April 2005.

52. Outsourcing is a more frequently seen term, but it is not used here because it is too

broad; it can apply to purchases of goods or services from either another domestic

company or a foreign one. Vertical supply networks, whereby companies buy inter-

mediate goods from other companies, has existed for many years.

53. Charles Schumer and Paul Craig Roberts, ‘‘Second Thoughts on Free Trade,’’ New

York Times, January 6, 2004, p. A23.

the case against fdi and mncs 331

14

an agnostic conclusion ‘‘It Depends’’

Few people who have read the previous thirteen chapters will find itsurprising that the conclusions reiterate and reinforce the main themes that have pervaded the analysis and argumentation in those chapters:

� Foreign direct investment (FDI) as process and multinational corpora-

tions (MNCs) as corporate entities are heterogeneous phenomena, and as

such their nature and impact should be assessed on a disaggregated basis.

Any individual foreign subsidiary can have a good, bad, neutral or

uncertain impact, or some combination of the four. Effects likely will

differ between host and home country. It all depends on specific cir-

cumstances.

� Perceptions vastly outnumber demonstrable facts; in many cases, ob-

servers mistake their perceptions for absolute truths.

� Generalizations almost always are oversimplified and misleading. � A number of methodological problems block a fuller, more accurate un-

derstanding of the FDI/MNC phenomena, including inadequate sta-

tistical data, the difficulty of distinguishing between cause and effect, and

their dynamic nature as seen in their continuing evolution into new forms

and kinds.

What is surprising is that these almost self-evident hypotheses should con-

stitute an analysis of the subject that is somewhere between highly unusual and

unique. This is not to suggest that these ideas are completely original or a radical

departure from the mainstream literature. Other authors have made at least

oblique references to heterogeneity and the need for disaggregation. As noted in

chapter 1, however, these allusions are no more than brief, incidental remarks

inconspicuously buried in the middle of a paragraph that then quickly moves on

332

to other matters. The nearly total absence of the themes of this study as core

arguments in the long-standing public and academic discussions of FDI and

MNCs is a major error of omission.

For better or worse, the conclusions do not unlock all the secrets of FDI and

MNCs. It would be ideal to be able to distill the data and argumentation of

previous chapters into one all-encompassing theory that explains why the process

of FDI exists, unravels the collective nature and impact of the entities known as

MNCs, and devises an all-inclusive matrix tracing the cost-benefit ratio of

hosting foreign subsidiaries. This would be a genuine breakout intellectual ac-

complishment; but alas, it is beyond our reach. Instead, this chapter deals mainly

with what we cannot know about the subject and the question of why the con-

cepts of finality and closure are incompatible with a dispassionate, objective study

of the FDI/MNC phenomena. It has the relatively modest assignment of ex-

panding on the theme of ‘‘it depends.’’ It seeks to enhance the credibility of this

approach through references to brief statements in the literature that support the

underlying premises of this thesis.

Restating the Argument, Getting More

Relevant Answers

The long-standing public disagreement on the attributes/harm of FDI and

MNCs rolls along with no end in sight. This is partly due to the complex and

abstract nature of the subject matter. The dual image is also due to the circuitous

route by which individuals make a judgment on the desirability of these phe-

nomena. Personal assessments begin, often unconsciously, in one’s larger value

system concerning economic ideology and political philosophy. Values cannot be

branded as right orwrong; feelings aren’t verifiable hypotheses. Although the basic

metrics (sales, profits, employees, debt, etc.) of corporate performance can be

readily gleaned by reading annual reports to shareholders and to the U.S. Se-

curities and Exchange Commission, the overall essence and total impact of an

MNC cannot be quantified or scientifically measured.

People approve or disapprove their perceptions of MNCs, not the literal thing.

Invariably, positive perceptions emanate from a favorable attitude toward free

markets and economic efficiency. Negative perceptions about MNCs flow from

giving priority to promoting a fair and just society and from a dislike and distrust

of any organization whose top priority is seeking profits. To narrow the per-

ceptions gap on MNCs, it would be necessary to narrow perceptions gap on the

biggest disagreement in political economy, namely, markets versus government

and the importance of a symmetrical income distribution. That is not going to

happen; a full resolution of conflicting economic ideologies is not in the offing. A

an agnostic conclusion 333

desirable, more achievable, and less ambitious alternative is to follow the path

implicitly recommended in this study: a different approach to the assessment of

the FDI and MNC phenomena.

The majority of people and institutions who have written in this area have

sought to answer the wrong question: Are FDI and MNCs good or bad for

society and the world economy? Too often the literature and public policy dis-

cussions want to make a sweeping and unequivocal case one way or the other—as

if the object being studied had universal, unchanging characteristics. Touching a

few parts of a metaphorical elephant is not adequate to conduct an objective, in-

depth inquiry. The best short answer to the mega-question of whether FDI and

MNCs are mostly good or bad is that sometimes they are a good thing, sometimes

a bad thing, sometimes neutral, and sometimes the data are too inconclusive to

make an informed judgment. Case-by-case circumstances determine the respec-

tive degrees of presumed benefits and harm by individual foreign subsidiaries on

host and home countries.

Most discussions of these phenomena also suffer from inadequate analytic

emphasis on the exogenous variables that can be more important factors than the

MNCs themselves in determining certain aspects of their nature and impact. A

proper analysis requires full appreciation of the large extent to which the nature

of MNCs and FDI are the effects of business-related technological change as well

as the extent to which their impact is the effect of preexisting conditions in host

countries. Treating MNCs as stand-alone independent variables causing good or

evil is a mistake.

A few steps toward consensus are likely if a different model of the FDI/MNC

phenomena is employed, one that reduces reliance by both sides of the debate on

what arguably are oversimplified polemics. More promising is an effort to

broaden acceptance of the idea that stereotyping MNCs is a fallacy. More studies

of FDI andMNCs need to dwell on the large gray area between the two extremes

of all-inclusive admiration and fear and loathing. An analysis is long overdue

that explains why the question of whether multinationals are good or bad is

not an either/or proposition as conventional wisdom suggests. It is an ‘‘it de-

pends’’ proposition requiring extensive disaggregation. Better to accept diversity,

inconsistency, ambiguity, and uncertainty as unavoidable complicating fac-

tors. Better to realize that with disaggregation, one realizes that only some mul-

tinationals are fully worthy of admiration or loathing, whereas others reside in the

gray area of ambiguity. Pronouncements of unqualified verdicts as to good or bad

are part of the problem, not the solution. They help perpetuate an intellectual

and policy stalemate.

This study has tried to present the merits of an agnostic, centrist model based

mainly on the argument that FDI and MNCs are both hopelessly heterogeneous.

Different inputs produce different outputs. Because the behavior of tens of

three bottom lines334

thousands of MNCs from dozens of different countries over several decades has

run the gamut from utterly disgraceful to ultra-beneficial, it is a simple matter to

illustrate any kind of behavior by selectively choosing a few anecdotes from the

vast corporate history archive. For anyone with a bias, the temptation is strong to

start with a predetermined conclusion and choose examples of corporate behavior

that ostensibly support it.

The research methodology used here is premised on the belief that a few an-

ecdotes and case studies cannot prove that one particular point of view is irre-

futably correct when another carefully selected set of examples will give equal

support to an entirely different assessment. Logic suggests that the very act of

observing dissimilar behavior by MNCs and different effects of FDI on host

countries of incoming direct investment undermines the concept that a single

universal truth exists about whether the virtues of international business out-

weigh the evils—or vice versa. Data manipulation is not difficult if the intent is to

find support for a preconceived conclusion. If making the argument that all-

powerful MNCs can force host governments to do their bidding, one should

point to small, poor countries with indecisive or corrupt leaders; it is here that

corporate leverage is most likely to be maximized. For support of the opposite

argument, that national sovereignty trumps private enterprise, cite China as the

antithesis of the need to kowtow to foreign business executives. Beijing has

shown itself to be singularly adept in exploiting the eagerness of foreignMNCs to

invest there by exacting substantial concessions, such as transfers of state-of-the-

art technology, as the price of admission.

To assign the labels of ‘‘mixed record’’ and ‘‘inconclusive’’ to the FDI/MNC

experience is not as cerebral an effort as developing a unified theory explaining

the causes, behavior, and impact of FDI or a partial theory predicting that the

combination of certain stipulated variables produces a predetermined result.

However, these vague labels are consistent with the process of FDI and the

entities known as MNCs being end-products of an infinite number of variables.

In mathematical terms, it does not make sense to assume uniformity when the

forces shaping the management, output, and finances of each subsidiary come

from a gene pool of colossal size. The statistical universe being studied consists of

tens of thousands of parent companies pursuing dozens of different kinds of

operating procedures and business objectives in the primary, secondary, and ter-

tiary sectors; hundreds of thousands of subsidiaries, some small and some enor-

mous, some greenfield and other takeovers of local businesses; and some 200 host

countries and territories creating economic and political environments that range

from incubators of economic progress to executioners of the human spirit. The

literally uncountable number of possible outcomes is the essence of heterogeneity

and explains why FDI and MNCs are so diverse that in the aggregate they can

legitimately be praised and condemned in the same breath.

an agnostic conclusion 335

The answer to the conundrum of whether MNCs in the aggregate should be

given a free pass from government interference because of their alleged ability to

use economic resources with maximum efficiency or should be subjected to more

vigorous regulation to curb their tendencies to act as price-gauging monopolists is

obviously somewhere between these two extremes. The exact spot of truth, wrote

John Dunning, will be determined by (1) the efficiency of the resource allocation

mechanism prior to the entrance of MNCs, and (2) market conditions under

which multinationals compete that vary, among other things, according to in-

dustry and country.1

Experiences with incoming direct investment vary on a country-by-country

basis. Ireland and Singapore harnessed it to elevate themselves from also-rans to

superbly performing national economies. Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa and

Central America at various times have been badly exploited by foreign-owned

extractive companies. In none of these cases is the impact of foreign subsidiaries

typical of the world at large. The vast majority of countries have had more mixed,

muted, or unremarkable experiences with FDI. Another set of countries has no

experience at all, having been unable to attract foreign companies because of

relatively unstable economic and political environments, along with the absence

of marketable natural resources.

Hungary exemplifies ambiguity inasmuch as its relatively brief experience

with FDI demonstrates the taking-the-good-with-the-bad syndrome. It was the

first mover among Central and Eastern European countries to open its doors, a

policy that brought it a lot of FDI, along with many costs and benefits.

But what is the balance? Expert opinions cover the full range, from those

who believe that opening up was the best that Hungary could have done to

those who think that the country could not have done worse. Critics of the

FDI strategy claim that the massive inflow of transnational corporations

turned the country into a colony of foreign capital. Experts at the other end

of the spectrum posit that FDI (and the free-market economy in general)

solves all . . . economic and social problems. Of course, the truth lies some-

where in between.2

At best, an eclectic-skeptical approach to multinationals will gain adherents

only slowly. Adherents of market-based policies will not easily let go of the idea

that in being able to efficiently produce goods and services, create jobs, and

rationally allocate capital and real resources, MNCs should be left free to be the

ultimate expression of a globally interconnected capitalist marketplace that will

promote positive competition, innovation, and progress for everyone.3 Advocates

of a more equitable society will resist just as hard before letting go of the per-

ceived need to rein in large, powerful, self-serving companies able to easily shift

three bottom lines336

production to more attractive countries and acting as if they had been awarded a

license to put their profits above everyone else’s welfare.

Regrettably, one of the few things the antagonists have had in common is

rejection of more nuanced, balanced position as their intellectual center of

gravity. The two polarized positions equally obscure the real story of the nature

and effects of the FDI/MNC phenomena. This is a serious flaw that helps

sustain the inconclusive debate. Mutual inflexibility also has the unfortunate

effect of continuing to block consensus on binding multilateral agreements to

establish mandatory guidelines and standards of behavior for governments and

companies alike. The result is perpetuation of the current system of haphazard,

overlapping voluntary guidelines in lieu of a system that enforces limits on

extreme behavior by both corporations and governments.

Unqualified, blanket praise and blanket condemnation of FDI and MNCs are

not supported by a solid body of empirical evidence that holds up under close

scrutiny. Although most of the more strident arguments on both sides fall

somewhere between exaggerated and patently untrue, many of the tempered

criticisms and tempered laudatory comments are credible. The efforts at even-

handed analysis that (hopefully) pervade previous chapters are based on the

proposition that any single foreign subsidiary has the potential to bring over-

whelming benefits—and the potential to wreak havoc. ‘‘The ambiguous—and

sometimes contradictory—empirical findings indicate that FDI must no longer

be considered to be a homogenous phenomenon.’’4

On one hand, no inherent affinity exists between the national interest of a

country and the self-interest of an MNC. Their priorities are dissimilar. Gov-

ernments seek to spur economic development and social stability within a na-

tional context.MNCs take a global perspective to strengthen their competitiveness

and bottom lines; they are not created to function as nonprofit public service

institutions. They typically have far greater loyalty to their home countries than

to their host countries. Corporate neutrality is manifested only in efforts to

minimize taxes owed to both. Few MNCs would have the economic power

to promote a more even distribution of wealth in the countries where they operate

subsidiaries even in the unlikely event they made that their highest priority.

On the other hand, animus is not inevitable between sovereign states and the

multinationals, as is clearly demonstrated in Singapore and Ireland. Govern-

ments are in the best position to redistribute wealth in a manner deemed equitable,

but private enterprise has consistently proved itself superior in creating wealth.

Private enterprise provides the main impetus—through increased productivity,

job creation, and product innovation—for rising standards of living, a cherished

goal in governmental efforts to keep the electorate happy. The official and private

sectors need one another. Governments need tax revenue to pay for the social

safety net, and corporations and their employees are a good source of that rev-

an agnostic conclusion 337

enue. Corporations need favorable laws and regulatory policies. Mutual gain can

result when government officials and MNC executives work harmoniously with

each other.

Qualify and Disaggregate, Don’t Generalize

The infinite variables associated with multinational production of goods and

services impede a unified explanatory and predictive theory. The search for

common denominators is foiled by the limitless combinations of variations and

disparities among subsidiaries and home country economic conditions. No single,

inherent logic is responsible for the growth of MNCs. Their expansion was not

linear. Although the growth of FDI was not a random process, ‘‘it is evident that

systematic factors behind its growth must not be oversimplified. There are no

easy generalisations about the consequences of multinational investment.’’5 Ac-

ceptance of a single, integrating theory of FDI/MNCs is further complicated by

the reality that ‘‘we can probably dream up a theory model to produce any result

that we want [and] justify any policy we desire.’’6

If country differences and the many different kinds of direct investments are

assumed to be the critical determinants of the impact of inward FDI on in-

dividual host countries, ‘‘the main lesson might be that the search for universal

relationships is futile.’’7 The line of inquiry should shift away from how FDI as a

whole affects all countries to more disaggregated questions. At best, by exam-

ining the empirical evidence, ‘‘we can greatly narrow the range of sensible the-

ories as candidates for use in policy analysis.’’8 Generalizations are of little use.

We need more systematic data on two specific variables. First, can specific kinds

of subsidiaries be closely linked with positive or negative results? Second, can

specific kinds of host country conditions be closely linked to favorable, unfa-

vorable, or neutral effects of FDI on the local economy?

It is ‘‘safe to conclude that there is no universal relationship between the ratio of

inward FDI flows to GDP and the rate of growth of a country.’’9 ‘‘The nexus

between FDI and overall investment as well as economic growth in host countries

is neither self-evident nor straightforward, but remains insufficiently explored

territory.’’10 ‘‘Whether or not foreign direct investment is beneficial or exploitative

will continue to depend on the type and volume of investment, its terms, and the

policies of the host government.’’11 The authors of another study did not find any

definitive link between inward FDI and the enhancement of economic develop-

ment in host countries. In effect saying ‘‘it depends,’’ the authors said the reason

for their equivocation was that ‘‘the exact nature of the relation between foreign

MNCs and their host economies seems to vary between industries and countries. It

is reasonable to assume that the characteristics of the host country’s industry and

three bottom lines338

policy environment are important determinants of the net benefits of FDI.’’12 It

then follows that the many imponderables of kinds of subsidiaries and host country

environment means that ‘‘ensuring a large quantity of FDI alone is not sufficient

for the objective of generating growth and poverty reduction.’’13

The questions of why and where companies establish overseas subsidiaries

also are best answered with the all-purpose imprecision of ‘‘it depends.’’ Some

academics do acknowledge the difficulties of a precise, finite answer. The de-

terminants of FDI decisions are too diffuse to be ‘‘straightforward,’’ said one,

adding that ‘‘we are still in the process of uncovering what we don’t know.’’14

Bruce Blonigen also admitted that ‘‘in the final analysis, the empirical literature is

still young enough that most hypotheses are still up for grabs’’ and that most

determinants of FDI are ‘‘fairly fragile statistically.’’ However, he did not in-

dicate agreement with the implied assumption in this study that this is the

natural, probably permanent state of our understanding of these phenomena.

Like most academics, he optimistically looked forward to the day when a greater

availability of micro-level data would clear up some of the current unknowns.15

That practitioners inhabit a different culture from that of academics is suggested

in a Wall Street economist’s relatively simple explanation of why companies

decide to produce overseas. Joseph Quinlan also fails to find any single explan-

atory paradigm, but he does not suggest that further research will or needs to

produce an all-purpose model of MNC behavior. ‘‘The global motivations of

firms are as diverse and complex as both their business lines and the global

markets themselves. They are in constant flux, changing and adjusting to pre-

vailing market circumstances.’’16 The behavior of overseas direct investments is

individually shaped by the distinctive history, strengths and weaknesses, business

models, product mix, technical know-how, and so on of headquarters. The

geographical breakdown of the Whirlpool Corporation’s international production

operations (see box 14.1) is indicative of how corporate decisions on where goods

are produced reflect specific circumstances more than textbook formulae.

The Need to Distinguish between Things That Change

and Those That Do Not

Another demonstration of the complexity and diversity of our subject matter is the

applicability to it of two contrasting aphorisms: ‘‘The only constant is change’’ and

‘‘the more things change, the more they remain the same.’’ The inherent difficulty

of disentangling the temporary from the permanent has contributed to embar-

rassingly poor forecasting of new FDI and MNCs trends. ‘‘Each phase in the

growth of multinational business brings out the extrapolators.’’17 The problem is

that their projections have been largely inaccurate. In the three decades afterWorld

an agnostic conclusion 339

War II ended, conventional wisdom was sure that the edge in American industry’s

technology, innovation, and marketing prowess was going to make it a permanent

world-beater, subjecting other countries to also-ran status. The superstar desig-

box 14.1 A Case Study in the Diversity of FDI: Whirlpool’s Traditional

and Untraditional MNC Business Strategies

Whirlpool is a U.S.-based MNC that manufactures household appliances for the

kitchen and laundry room. Although two-thirds of annual revenues come from

sales to American consumers, it now produces a considerable portion of its output

in overseas factories to reduce costs. For the past several years, most of Whirlpool’s

newly created jobs and newly built production facilities have been outside the

United States. The company’s global production network is carefully calculated for

maximum efficiency, not the lowest production cost. The network includes mi-

crowave ovens designed in Sweden and made in China (a desirable location due to

cheap labor and proximity of parts suppliers) and refrigerators assembled in Brazil

and exported to Europe. Top-loading washing machines are still manufactured in

an Ohio plant because relatively high wages and benefits are not prohibitively

expensive thanks to efficient workers. Only one hour of labor is required for each

washing machine produced there, and the highly skilled, experienced labor force

has what an executive described as a ‘‘tribal knowledge’’ of their product that pays

off in quality and cost savings. Per unit labor costs in this factory are well below the

incremental shipping costs that would be incurred if production was shifted to

China, and they are low enough that the costs of building a replacement factory in

China (or Mexico) would be prohibitive.

Whirlpool’s efforts to maximize efficiency have put the company in the unlikely

role of being the largest exporter of German-made washing machines to the United

States. At first glance, this is an illogical location to manufacture what is not a

technology or engineering-intensive product. German labor costs are at, or close to

the top of the list of the world’s most expensive. Shipping costs across the Atlantic

for these products are not insignificant. The explanation is that these are exports of

front-loading washing machines, a model popular in Europe, but one that in earlier

years had not sold well in the United States. When Whirlpool decided to market

this model in the United States, it quickly determined that the most efficient

strategy was to make and ship these machines from Germany. The deciding factor

was the existence of a Whirlpool factory (acquired when the company purchased

the appliance operations of Philips N.V.) operating in that country with a trained

labor force making a European version of the front-loading machine. Given that the

capacity of the German factory could be expanded at modest cost, shipping from

Germany was deemed to be the fastest and cheapest route to the American market.

Source: Louis Uchitelle, ‘‘Globalization: It’s Not Just Wages,’’ New York Times, June 17, 2005,

p. C1.

three bottom lines340

nation was later yanked from the United States and transferred to Japan in the late

1980s, just a few years before the Japanese economic miracle imploded.

A select few ideas remain accurate and relevant over many decades. One of

them was introduced by Charles Kindleberger back in 1969 and still rings true:

FDI is ‘‘a subject in which it is necessary to judge case by case, on the basis of the

relevant circumstances, before coming to conclusions about the effect of one or

another action.’’18 This succinct truism unfortunately has been swept aside by

the embrace of generalizations by the public, companies, governments, non-

governmental organizations (NGOs), and academics. Similarly, no updating is

needed to the U.S. Department of Commerce’s pointed summary of the MNC

policy debate published early in 1973:

The apparent conflict between the multinational corporation, with its

supranational point of view, and the nation-state, with its national eco-

nomic concerns and special interest groups, has given rise to a host of

economic and political problems. What is at issue . . . is the degree of

freedom that should be allowed the multinational corporation or the nature

and extent of regulation that should be imposed on its present operations

and future growth in order to make it better serve divergent national

interests.19

Quantifying the degree of freedom that should be accorded MNCs is, after

four decades, still a quintessential subjective value judgment and an unresolved,

contentious policy issue.

Respect for timelessness is good up to a point. The problem is that viewing the

process of FDI and the operations of MNCs in static terms is a greater mistake

than ever. The information technology revolution has accelerated the pace of

change in the business world to an unprecedented degree (see more detailed

discussion to follow). Evaluations of FDI and MNCs past and present cannot be

more than a snapshot in time, useful for looking back but of little or no value in

divining the outlines of future trends. Chapter 3 discussed how advances in

science, technology, communications, and transportation have altered the

structure and facilitated the geographic reach of the corporation. The persistence

of change in business economics long ago made it illogical to assume that the

optimal market for companies would forever be the unscientifically drawn na-

tional borders of the large, medium, and small nation-states in which they origi-

nated. The snapshot metaphor is also relevant for pointing out the right and

wrong ways to properly assess the effects and desirability of a foreign subsidiary.

An initial investment may deteriorate or flourish in ways totally unanticipated at

an agnostic conclusion 341

its inception. Critics who berate all extensions of financial incentives to MNCs by

national and regional governments ignore the possibility that the factory in

question may substantially expand its output, labor force, linkage with domestic

firms, taxes paid, and exports; furthermore, it may lead to other foreign com-

panies establishing subsidiaries. Making snap judgments is flawed methodology.

Patience and a long-term perspective are what is called for.

Chapter 3 also noted the endless series of new kinds of MNCs arriving on the

scene. Imagine your bewilderment if in 1990 someone had told you that by

summer 2005, Apple Computer would have a multinational operation called

iTunes that sold more than 500 million units of something called downloadable

songs in nineteen countries.20 Furthermore, the music would be played on

something called a hard drive marketed as something called an iPod, and digi-

talized songs would be sold on a fully automated basis over something called the

Internet. Also try to imagine what entirely new kinds of MNCs will appear over

the next two decades.

As the world economy continues to be more tightly integrated and the

revolution in information technology continues to alter the business environ-

ment, competition more likely than not will become increasingly severe. Industry

consultants McKinsey & Company see the coming of ‘‘extreme competition’’

that will ‘‘make the pressures of the 1980s and 1990s look tame by comparison.’’21

The ever-increasing pace of technological of change ‘‘will have an impact on you,

no matter what you do for a living. It will bring new competition from new ways

of doing things, from corners that you don’t expect’’ was Andy Grove’s (the

retired head of Intel) version of a wake-up call to industry.22 Corporate execu-

tives seem far more sensitized to the consequences of the constant of change than

do corporate critics. Changing market conditions have led to the strongly felt

belief in nearly all corporate boardrooms that size matters and that only super-

large companies will survive in an increasingly competitive world marketplace.

Since perceptions define reality, the result has been increased reliance on over-

seas expansion through new subsidiaries as well as mergers with and acquisitions

of foreign companies to achieve steady growth and increased economies of scale.

Again, this is a case of international business being subjected to the same market

pressures and adopting the same strategic responses as domestic-based busi-

nesses. In the United States, at least, it takes the form of large national chains all

but wiping out individually owned clothing and hardware stores, pharmacies,

fast food outlets, and so on. Domestically and externally, the dominant trend is

toward bigger companies.

One of the ironies in the FDI/MNC saga is that what drives senior executives

to create ever-larger MNCs is at least as much fear of their companies’ being

bypassed or outflanked by competitors as it is self-assured drives for profit

three bottom lines342

maximization and market power. An argument could be made (unprovable in a

court of law) that for many years, the main catalyst for fewer and larger com-

panies in various industrial sectors is more feelings of insecurity and vulnerability

among senior executives than the imperialistic aggression allegedly embedded in

capitalism. Gillette Corporation explained its decision to merge with Procter &

Gamble as coming from the need for greater resources to drive growth. As a

company with a mere $10 billion in annual sales, senior management perceived it

as suffering increasingly severe constraints from having to compete against

companies with ‘‘exponentially greater sales, reach and resources.’’23

To avoid a false generalization, it must be pointed out that while the increased

popularity of mergers and acquisitions has indeed created ‘‘bigger bigness’’ and

diminished competition, it also has produced costly mistakes as well. Major

operating problems and declines in shareholder value (falling share prices) are

fairly common events following the honeymoon of recently married idiosyncratic

corporate cultures. Repercussions such as money-losing sales or write-offs of

product lines that did not mesh in the new company are not uncommon. The lack

of certainty that a mutual quest for bigness produces a comfortable integration of

companies is demonstrated by the complex and expensive problems encountered

in the mergers between Time Warner and America Online, Daimler-Benz and

Chrysler, and Hewlett-Packard and Compaq Computer.24

Size has never inoculated even the largest MNC against infection from endless

changes in market conditions. The rapid attrition in companies included in the

Dow Jones Industrial Average and Standard & Poor’s 500 Index over the past five

decades speaks to the imperative for companies to perpetually reinvent them-

selves or face stagnation or extinction. Corporate restructuring to offset failure to

keep pace with rapidly changing market conditions and consumer tastes is

common even in such world-class companies as IBM, Sony, and Unilever. A new

breed of executive has evolved: the turnaround specialist who moves from

company to company, attempting to reverse the downward spiral initiated by the

previous CEO’s mistakes and inaction. General Electric, the lone surviving

company from the original Dow Jones Industrial index, today sells an array of

goods and services completely different from its early years, the result of its

current offerings not being invented 100 years ago.

Changes in what is considered acceptable behavior in the marketplace

represent another shift in the business environment that does not necessarily

favor corporations and the people who manage them. Thousands of NGOs,

linked worldwide by the same telecommunications networks that contributed to

the rise of globalization, now regularly threaten a barrage of embarrassing pub-

licity and consumer boycotts if a targeted company, invariably an MNC, refuses

to terminate activities deemed harmful to human rights, workers’ rights, or the

an agnostic conclusion 343

environment. Firms increasingly blink first in such confrontations, a response

largely unknown just a few years ago. Reluctant decisions to modify profitable

but publicly criticized corporate operations are no longer uncommon. Corporate

executives increasingly feel it necessary for their firms to exude the aura of social

responsibility and on occasion sacrifice some short-term profits in return for

long-term customer and public goodwill.

The Enron Corporation debacle and the parade of ensuing U.S. corporate

scandals triggered major changes in corporate regulation and governance, while

also shattering senior executives’ longtime ability to hide behind the cloak of

nonaccountability. The U.S. government’s success in securing guilty verdicts in

its crackdown on crime in the suites has altered the thinking of all executives, and

the actions of most. When Bernard Ebbers was sentenced to twenty-five years

in prison for massive accounting fraud while CEO at the WorldCom Corpora-

tion, it sent a loud message to big business that a major shift had occurred in the

risk/reward ratio for illegal activity. Yet another tilt away from corporate om-

nipotence is Wal-Mart’s reversal of the traditional business model in which

manufacturers set the prices of the goods they sold to wholesalers and retail

chains. The company’s unprecedented market power and commitment to low

prices are strong enough to force vendors around the world to accept the rock-

bottom prices demanded by Wal-Mart or suffer painful declines in sales from not

being on the shelves of this multinational retailing juggernaut.25

The constant of change in the corporate world does not make big companies

or their well-compensated senior executives recipients of widespread sympathy,

but it does affect the manner and pace of doing business. Well-known economist

Jagdish Bhagwati suggested the adjective kaleidoscopic to connote the emergence

of a constant shifting in international competitive advantage among companies.

Today, you have it, tomorrow you lose it, and eventually you might regain it,

as witnessed by the shifting ups and downs in the Boeing-Airbus rivalry. His

metaphor is also applicable to FDI, where accelerating change in the kinds and

activities of MNCs means that the patterns visible today are likely to quickly

rearrange themselves into new shapes, like a revolving kaleidoscope.26

Although Stephen Hymer retains guru status among MNC theoreticians, his

intellectual contribution has been diminished by the significant evolution of

international companies since the 1960s, when his thoughts coalesced. He pre-

sumably was thinking of traditional FDI—producers of chemicals and machinery

and seekers of natural resources—in 1970 when he cast doubt on the proposition

that MNCs are endowed with superior efficiency. Multinationals, he argued,

are large companies operating in imperfect markets, and economic theory raises

questions about the ‘‘efficiency of oligopolistic decision making, an area where

much of welfare economics breaks down, especially the proposition that com-

petition allocates resources efficiently and that there is a harmony between pri-

three bottom lines344

vate profit maximization and the general interest.’’ Allocative efficiency ‘‘does not

apply to direct foreign investment because of the anticompetitive effect inher-

ently associated with it.’’27 His skepticism does not appear applicable to today’s

multinational information technology and communications companies. They,

too, have changed a basic business model through constant price reductions while

steadily introducing more technologically sophisticated goods and services.

Data Limitations and Other Caveats

We know that there is a lot we still do not know about FDI and MNCs, but

not exactly what or how much. ‘‘Any analysis of foreign investment has to be

heavily qualified by data constraints,’’ the Asian Development Bank cautioned.28

UNCTAD’s World Investment Report for 1999 noted that ‘‘the economic effects

of FDI are almost impossible to measure with precision.’’ Each MNC represents

a ‘‘complex package’’ of company-specific strengths and drawbacks that are

‘‘dispersed in varying quantities and quality from one host country to another’’

and are difficult to isolate and quantify.29 Despite intensified research efforts,

‘‘economists know surprisingly little about the driving forces and the economic

effects of FDI.’’ Few undisputed insights exist on which policy makers can

definitely rely. ‘‘The economic effects of FDI do not allow for easy generaliza-

tions. Empirical studies on the growth impact of FDI have come up with con-

flicting results.’’30 The complexities of the subject have caused academic

assessments to resort to either an econometric analysis of the relationships be-

tween inward direct investment and ‘‘various measures of economic perfor-

mance, the results of which are often inconclusive, or to a qualitative analysis of

particular aspects of the contribution of [MNCs] to development,’’ which usually

lack precision because they do not attempt to measure costs and benefits quan-

titatively.31 The implication here is that the door is wide open for perceptions to

produce multiple versions of truth.

Sizing up the impact, good and bad, of FDI is further constrained by our

inability to divine what would have happened if past realities had not played out

as they did. The nature of counterfactual situations makes it impossible to know

for sure if host and home countries would have been better off without certain

direct investments that were made and better off with certain investments that

did not take place.

A precise figure for how much direct investment is out there still does not

exist. Nor is it certain that it should be calculated at the original cost, current

market value, replacement cost of the subsidiary, or all three. The result is that

policy analysis is formulated with barely adequate statistics. Statistical limitations

are hard to eliminate when there can be no guarantee that every company en-

an agnostic conclusion 345

gaged in this activity fully, accurately, and promptly reports all outflows and all

reinvestments and profit remittances to their host and home countries’ statistics

gathering agencies. The totals reported for new investments financed by local

borrowing and reinvested earnings are notoriously incomplete. Some LDCs

reputedly have wholly inadequate data collection capabilities. Not all countries

define FDI in the same way. Some countries compile FDI flows from applica-

tions for new FDI that may or may not actually take place. The cumulative impact

of these statistical shortcomings is an annual discrepancy between recorded

global inflows and outflows of FDI that averaged nearly $100 billion annually in

2001 and 2002.32 A final problem is that data for the current value of cumulative

FDI, that is, stock numbers, suffers from reliance on original purchase prices, a

procedure explained by the difficulty of accurately calculating current values for

hundreds of thousands of subsidiaries.

All things considered, it is no surprise—and not inappropriate—that many

academic studies have concluded that more research is needed on this subject.

Country Case Study: The Complex Relationship

between Canada and Inward FDI

Canada’s attitudes toward and its experiences with FDI and MNCs are illus-

trative of why there are so few simple situations and simple answers associated

with these phenomena. Massive amounts of capital inflows from the economic

giant to its south give Canada the image of having to sleep next to an elephant, all

the while hoping it doesn’t get rolled over on and crushed. Canadians have two

conflicting visions of the considerable U.S. ownership of their manufacturing and

mining sectors. The first part of the love/hate feeling is appreciation for the jobs,

capital, advanced technologies, efficiencies, and linkage with domestically owned

businesses that foreign subsidiaries can bring with them. The second part is fear

of serious, irreversible dilution of Canadian political and economic autonomy and

its culture—‘‘the Americanization of Canada’’ for short.

The major twists and turns in Canada’s FDI policy suggest a fluctuating

ambivalence. By the 1960s, the period of enthusiastic welcoming of new inward

direct investments was over, and Canadians had begun worrying aloud about the

implications of having the highest ratio of foreign ownership of industry to GDP

of any industrialized country. Various government reports and the message of

the nonpartisan yet dramatically named Committee for an Independent Canada

eventually caused a shift in public opinion too strong to ignore. The Foreign

Investment Review Act of 1974 was born of the clear consensus that FDI policy

needed to be redefined to realize more benefits and fewer externally generated

constraints on Canadian self-determination. The legislation created the Foreign

three bottom lines346

Investment Review Agency (FIRA) with the mandate to screen applications for

takeovers and greenfield FDI to ensure that each offered ‘‘significant benefit’’

to Canadians. The determinations were to be made on the basis of standard

economic criteria, such as employment effects and extent of technology transfer.

Complicating the process was the fact that the FIRA did not have power to

approve or reject applications to invest; instead, it made recommendations to

a Cabinet committee, which had the final say. Some important facts about

the procedures are indisputable: Some 90 percent of new business applications

as well as a large majority of takeovers were approved, and an important loop-

hole deliberately allowed existing foreign investors to expand or diversify with-

out having to seek approval. It was also a fact that Canada’s share of international

FDI flows began to decline. It was assumed (but never proved) that the review

process was the chief cause of this downturn; public opinion again began to shift.

The reality created by perceptions, was that the new policy was excessively

costly and politicized. The sentiment grew that it was making Canada a less

desirable destination to foreign companies. Rather than going through the hassle

of convincing the FIRA of their investment’s merits, a growing number of for-

eign investors were presumed to be looking to more hospitable host countries that

did not feel the need to apply a formal benefits test before allowing FDI inflows.

As one Canadian writer put it, the high ratio of FIRA’s approvals ‘‘neither reflect

applications that were withdrawn before a decision could be rendered nor in-

vestors who were deterred from applying either because they feared delays

[which did occur] or that they could not meet the significant benefit test.’’33 The

FIRA review policy was abolished shortly after Brian Mulroney’s Conservatives

gained control of the government in late 1984. Investment Canada, the agency

created to replace it, was given the mandate to promote and facilitate investment

by both Canadians and foreigners. The review process was effectively eliminated

except for FDI in the highly sensitive cultural sector that includes media. The

face of Canadian FDI policy to the outside world eventually became International

Trade Canada, an agency whose mandate is promoting inward FDI, not dis-

couraging it or passing judgment on its merits.

A counterintuitive fact has encouraged the Canadian business community to

support a more open policy toward inward FDI. The image of a small, scrappy

underdog trying to avoid being swallowed up by a flood of incoming MNCs from

the rich, powerful neighbor to the south overlooks sizable outward FDI by Ca-

nadian multinationals. Strange as it sounds, the recorded value of Canada’s

cumulative outward FDI stock exceeded the value of inward foreign investment,

US$370 billion versus $304 billion in 2004. The country’s outward FDI stock as

a percentage of GDP was 37 percent in 2004, more than double the comparable

figure for the United States (17 percent).34 Canada’s FDI in the United States is

not inconsequential. At $134 billion, the value of its U.S. FDI in 2004 was 62

an agnostic conclusion 347

percent of the value of U.S. direct investment in Canada.35 If this figure is

adjusted for the fact that Canada’s economy and population are only about 10

percent of comparable U.S. figures, the common perception that FDI between

the two countries follows a one-way route from South to North is debunked.

Canada has also lost its status as the industrial country with the highest ratio of

inward FDI to GDP; at 30.5 percent, it is slightly below the same figure for

Western European countries as a group.36

Four Final Thoughts on Reshaping the Public Dialogue

on FDI and MNCs

A more productive international dialogue would result if it ceased to be domi-

nated by uncompromising advocates and critics. Partial reconciliation of con-

flicting perceptions/viewpoints begins with greater acceptance of the notion that

FDI and MNCs are composites incorporating tens of thousands of individual

foreign subsidiaries whose nature and effects do not conform to any single for-

mula. Instead of the antagonists putting their energies into securing bragging

rights for having proved that MNCs are good or bad, the public, government

officials, businesspeople, NGOs, and academics should seek a better under-

standing of the major variables. The following are four suggested guidelines

for making the dialogue/debate more productive and conciliatory.

First, the kinds of FDI and MNCs are so diverse that a multitude of possible

results is inevitable. The quality of the vast majority of foreign subsidiaries falls

between the extremes of ultra-high quality and ultra-low quality. ‘‘The literature

has, however, tended to treat FDI as a homogeneous resource benefiting the

recipients in the same manner and has neglected any potential differences in the

quality of FDI received.’’37 The more insightful governments demonstrate their

awareness of these differences through targeting, that is, offering generous in-

centives to the kinds of FDI that their research has found will provide maximum

stimulus to their economy and standard of living. To make such a determination,

several critical variables must be examined. The most important are how ex-

tensive will the foreign subsidiary’s linkage be with the indigenous business

sector; how extensive will be technology transfers and opportunities for positive

knowledge spillovers; will it require skilled, relatively high-paid workers (and is

there an adequate local supply of such workers); what is the potential for the

subsidiary’s expanding its labor force and output; to what extent will it contribute

to hard currency-earning exports; and is it a greenfield project or merely a

takeover of an existing local company? Despite the views of hard-core advocates,

nonextractive investment projects do not automatically stimulate sustained

growth. Incoming MNCs ‘‘may preserve the technological backwardness of the

three bottom lines348

host country by transferring low value-added activities. They may lead the host

country to overspecialize in a few products, thus exposing it to the business cycles

of the world economy.’’38

The economic and regulatory policies along with the political environment of

the host country is the second super-variable that needs greater understanding. It

can be divided into two phases. First, individual country characteristics are the

most important determinant of how much (if any) and what kinds of direct

investments will be made. MNCs don’t like to gamble with the time, money, and

prestige associated with starting and operating overseas production facilities. To

some extent, they don’t have to gamble; corporations have a choice of more than

200 countries and territories when seeking a good fit for an overseas investment

site. Second, economic policies, the skill level of the workforce, and the extent of

regulation imposed on the operations of foreign-owned factories influence their

structure and the level of efficiency at which they operate. Instead of arguing in

black-and-white generalities, discussions of FDI and MNCs should try to con-

firm whether subsidiaries are in fact more likely to have beneficial effects on host

countries when they ‘‘are able to take advantage of all economies of scale, and are

driven by competitive pressure to upgrade their technologies, quality control

procedures, and management practices continuously.’’

A local subsidiary seems most likely to be at the forefront of best practices

when it has been designated as a key link in the parent company’s distribution

network and a direct contributor to its competitiveness in world markets.39

Subsidiaries having this status are located in countries with market-oriented

policies, skilled labor, good infrastructure, rule of law, and so on. More infor-

mation is needed on the extent to which overseas investment projects are in fact

doomed to low-quality status if they are forced by nonmarket host country

policies to be ‘‘oriented toward small, protected, domestic markets and/or pre-

vented from being incorporated into the parent’s supply chain by joint venture or

domestic content requirements imposed by the host country.’’ Overseas factories

in such cases ‘‘do not achieve full economies of scale, nor utilize the most ad-

vanced production techniques.’’40

Second, another reason that definitive evaluations of our subject are elusive is

the difficulty of distinguishing cause and effect and the lack of attention given to

this problem. Chapter 8 discussed the equally plausible arguments that FDI can

be a cause of growth in a host country’s economy and that a proven record of

economic growth can cause companies to invest there. The world is globalized in

part because of the proliferation of MNCs. However, causal factors ‘‘also work

in the opposite direction: there are many multinationals because the world is

globalized.’’41 Multinationals should not be identified as the causes of the ben-

efits and dislocations caused by major technological advances and structural

transformations of the international economic order. They are mainly effects.

an agnostic conclusion 349

Being multinational is a compelling strategy for responding to a world economy

increasingly integrated by efficient communications and transportation and low

or no trade barriers, and to a business environment characterized by intense

competition and high fixed costs.

Third, when reading about or listening to discussions of FDI and MNCs,

everyone should keep in mind that the writers and speakers (the author of this

book included) are communicating educated guesses at best and propaganda at

worst, not hard, indisputable scientific fact. Consider the institutional affiliation

of all sources of information. Do they have a personal stake in how public policy

affects MNCs? Examine their methodology for signs of bias and preconceived

notions. Never underestimate the primacy of perceptions and value judgments in

assessments of any issue in the social sciences, especially one as multifaceted,

dynamic, abstract, ambiguous, and heated as this one.

Fourth, it is time to ignore what is probably the most unnecessary contre-

temps of the public debate: The alleged race to the bottom by rapacious MNCs.

This metaphor is grossly exaggerated to the point of irrelevance (see chapters 7

and 12). For MNCs outside the natural resources sector, the vast majority of

decisions on where to invest are made on the basis of two criteria. For purposes of

market expansion or protection, overseas production goes to countries where

there is an already large and a projected growing demand for their goods. Effi-

ciency-seeking direct investments go to where net profitability will be highest by

calculating what is left after all expenses (wages, transportation, power, bribes,

high labor turnover, shipping delays, and so on) are deducted from the selling

price. Focusing on gross costs, namely, low wages, is financially misguided. Un-

doubtedly, a few companies with less than stellar ethics and financial positions

have been attracted to countries where labor and environmental standards are

poorly enforced. This is another case of at least a few examples of all kinds of

corporate behavior being out there for the finding. The real issue is the frequency

and reasons that companies shift production from one country to another in what

is a limited ratcheting down process.

The thoughts presented here not only tie together the main points of previous

chapters, they also serve as the point of departure for the recommendations

presented in the final chapter.

Notes

1. John H. Dunning, International Production and the Multinational Enterprise (London:

George Allen and Unwin, 1981), pp. 36–37; emphasis added.

2. Magdolna Sass, ‘‘FDI in Hungary—The First Mover’s Advantage and Disadvan-

tage,’’ European Investment Bank Papers, 9(2), 2004, p. 86; emphasis added.

three bottom lines350

3. Medard Gabel and Henry Bruner, Global Inc.—An Atlas of the Multinational Cor-

poration (New York: New Press, 2003), p. 120.

4. Peter Nunnenkamp, ‘‘Foreign Direct Investment in Developing Countries: What

Economists (Don’t) Know and What Policymakers Should (Not) Do!,’’ 2002, p. 30,

available online at http://www.cuts-international.org; accessed January 2005. Nun-

nenkamp’s advice is an example of the aforementioned dead-on accurate idea in the

academic literature that is stated all too briefly, without follow-up, and without

attracting the attention it deserves.

5. Geoffrey Jones, The Evolution of International Business (New York: Routledge, 1996),

pp. 310, 314.

6. James R. Markusen, ‘‘Multilateral Rules on Foreign Direct Investment: The De-

veloping Countries’ Stake,’’ prepared for the World Bank, October 1998, p. 57,

available online at http://www2.cid.harvard.edu/cidtrade/Issues/markusen.pdf;

accessed March 2005.

7. Robert E. Lipsey and Fredrik Sjöholm, ‘‘The Impact of Inward FDI on Host

Countries: Why Such Different Answers?,’’ in Theodore H. Moran, Edward M.

Graham, and Magnus Blomström, eds., Does Foreign Direct Investment Promote De-

velopment? (Washington, DC: Institute for International Economics and the Center

for Global Development, 2005), p. 40.

8. Markusen, ‘‘Multilateral Rules on Foreign Direct Investment,’’ p. 63.

9. Robert E. Lipsey, quoted in Does Foreign Direct Investment Promote Development?, pp.

24–25.

10. Nunnenkamp, ‘‘Foreign Direct Investment in Developing Countries,’’ p. 32.

11. Neil Hood and Stephen Young, The Economics of Multinational Enterprise (London

and New York: Longman, 1979), p. 359.

12. Magnus Blomström and Ari Kokko, ‘‘How Foreign Investment Affects Host Coun-

tries,’’ World Bank Policy Research Working Paper no. 1745, March 1997, p. 33.

13. Dirk Willem te Velde, ‘‘Policies towards Foreign Direct Investment in Developing

Countries: Emerging Best-Practices and Outstanding Issues,’’ March 2001, p. 50,

available online at http://www.odi.org.uk; accessed March 2005.

14. Bruce A. Blonigen, ‘‘Foreign Direct Investment Behavior of Multinational Corpo-

rations,’’ National Bureau of Economic Research Reporter, winter 2006, available

online at http://www.nber.org/reporter/winter06/blonigen.html; accessed February

2006.

15. Bruce A. Blonigen, ‘‘A Review of the Empirical Literature on FDI Determinants,’’

NBER Working Paper no. 11299, April 2005, p. 29, available online at http://

www.nber.org; accessed December 2005.

16. Joseph Quinlan, Global Engagement (Chicago: Contemporary Books, 2001), p. 23.

17. ‘‘Survey of Multinationals,’’ The Economist, March 27, 1993, survey p. 18.

18. Charles P. Kindleberger, American Business Abroad (New Haven, CT: Yale University

Press, 1969), p. 36.

19. U.S. Department of Commerce, ‘‘The Multinational Corporation—An Overview,’’

in Multinational Corporations, a compendium of papers published by the U.S. Senate

Committee on Finance, February, 21, 1973, p. 42.

an agnostic conclusion 351

20. Data source: CNN Money, ‘‘iTunes Japan Sells 1M Songs in 4 Days,’’ August 8,

2005, available online at http://money.cnn.com; accessed August 2005.

21. ‘‘Extreme Competition,’’ McKinsey Quarterly, February 2005, available online at

http://www.mckinseyquarterly.com; accessed March 2005.

22. Andrew Grove, ‘‘Only the Paranoid Survive: Book Preface,’’ available online at

http://www.intel.com/pressroom/kits/bios/grove/paranoid.htm; accessed January

2005.

23. Gillette Corporation, 2004 Annual Report, p. 4, available online at http://www.

gillette.com; accessed May 2005.

24. Nevertheless, the sequel to Andy Grove’s well-known business primer, Only the

Paranoid Survive, might well be Only Large Paranoid Enterprises Will Survive.

25. The pressure to meet the low Wal-Mart price possibly has forced some suppliers to

shift production to lower wage countries.

26. Jagdish Bhagwati, ‘‘A New Vocabulary for Trade,’’ Wall Street Journal, August 4,

2005, p. A12.

27. Stephen Hymer, ‘‘The Efficiency (Contradictions) of Multinational Corporations,’’

American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings of the Eighty-Second Annual

Meeting of the American Economic Association, May 1970, pp. 441, 443.

28. Asian Development Bank, Asian Development Outlook 2004, endnote 2, p. 264,

available online at http://www.adb.org; accessed January 2005.

29. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 1999, overview, p. xxvi, available online at

http://www.unctad.org; accessed April 2005.

30. Nunnenkamp, ‘‘Foreign Direct Investment in Developing Countries,’’ p. 7.

31. UNCTAD, World Investment Report 1999, p. xxvi.

32. Calculated from Annex table B.2, UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2003, p. 372.

33. Russell Deigan, Investing in Canada (Scarborough, Canada: Thomson Professional

Canada, 1991), p. 7.

34. Data sources: Annex tables B.2 and B.3 of UNCTAD,World Investment Report 2005,

pp. 308 and 314.

35. Data sources: Tables 1.2 and 2.2, U.S. Commerce Department of Commerce, Bureau

of Economic Analysis, Survey of Current Business, July 2005, pp. 51, 53, available

online at http://www.bea.gov; accessed August 2005.

36. Data source: Annex table B.3, of UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2005, pp. 313–

14.

37. Nagesh Kumar,Globalization and the Quality of Foreign Direct Investment (New Delhi:

Oxford University Press, 2002), p. 4.

38. Sass, ‘‘FDI in Hungary,’’ p. 77.

39. Theodore H. Moran, ‘‘Strategy and Tactics for the Doha Round: Capturing the

Benefits of Foreign Direct Investment,’’ December 2002, p. 7, available online at

http://www.adb.org/economics; accessed November 2004.

40. Ibid., p. 8.

41. Giorgio Barba Navaretti and Anthony J. Venables, Multinational Firms in the World

Economy (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2004), pp. 278–79.

three bottom lines352

PART V

Recommendations

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15

an agenda for future action

The dual objectives of this book are to offer a more accurate un-derstanding of the diverse nature and effects of foreign direct investment (FDI) and multinational corporations (MNCs) and to stimulate a

more relevant public policy discussion. These objectives are based on the author’s

belief that past portrayals of these phenomena do not do justice to their nature,

effects, or importance domestically and internationally. This situation is not the

result of indifference or deliberate design. The sheer breadth and complexity of

these mostly abstract subjects is partly responsible. But so, too, is the mutual

failure of the two contesting schools of thought to appreciate that both are par-

tially correct, partially wrong, and partially beside the point. The unacknowl-

edged subliminal roles of perceptions and ideology in shaping what passes for

reality perpetuate an endless cycle of irreconcilable, often oversimplified claims

and counterclaims that perpetuates a divisive, stagnant, unshakeable, and ulti-

mately unnecessary stalemate. It is as if the advocates and critics of FDI and

MNCs each donned blindfolds, touched a few parts of the metaphorical elephant,

came to contradictory conclusions as to its total nature and impact, and stub-

bornly rejected any need to accommodate the other’s assessment.

The proposals that follow are designed to serve the aforementioned objectives

of this study. They were formulated in the hope that, if well received, they would

contribute to a better understanding of the subject and better public policies,

both of which would serve the common good.

1. The two ends of the political spectrum and all in between should accept the

overwhelming likelihood that on virtually every significant issue involving these in-

ternational business phenomena, different perceptions of reality will create four le-

gitimate sets of conclusions: positive, negative, neutral, and indeterminate. Their

relative validity and relevance will differ according to circumstances. This

‘‘quadruple bottom line’’ approach likely will be increasingly appropriate in the

355

future as forms of FDI and MNCs become ever more diverse and transitory in

composition. Multinationals will continue to change and evolve as long as ex-

ternal stimuli keep changing. Analysis of FDI and MNCs needs to be aware of

and keep pace with these changes. This is unlikely given the current propensity

of most interested citizens, government officials, business executives, and re-

searchers to employ faulty methodology. Like the blind men in the parable, they

feel rather than see. They focus on narrow aspects of the process of FDI or on

particular MNCs and then extrapolate well beyond their data base. At the end of

the day, they still want to judge the merits of FDI and MNCs on an either/or

basis. This is a flawed and oversimplified approach.

If objectivity and accuracy are what is being sought, the first-best approach is

to emphasize diversity, not seek an all-inclusive prototype. This stands a better

chance of narrowing the chasm between supporters and critics than continuation

of the status quo. The real-world policy dialogue would then be in a better

position to devise win-win rules and procedures that will increase the benefits of

FDI as well as reduce its costs—to home and host countries, and to workers and

owners of capital.

2. Pay less attention to one-size-fits-all positive or negative evaluations of the nature

and impact of the entire universe of FDI and MNCs. Accept the compelling evidence of

inherent heterogeneity and the fallacy of sweeping generalizations. Resist the idea that

there is a homogenous composite enabling a simple yes or no vote as to the overall

desirability of MNCs. Discount all assessments and value judgments (including

the ones in this book) regarding FDI and MNCs because of the near inevitability

that statements about their nature and impact reflect to some extent the larger

political values of beholders—values that differ and legitimately so.

Hard, incontrovertible truths on these subjects are in very short supply, but

opinions based on limited data are not. As argued in chapter 4, there is no such

thing as a standard or prototypical form of FDI or MNC. Measuring clear-cut

cause and effect relationships and isolating foreign investment activity from

domestic economic activity is getting progressively more difficult. A report by

the secretariat of the Asian Development Bank offered a superb summary ex-

planation of why there is no such thing as a ‘‘typical’’ foreign-owned subsidiary:

It is increasingly difficult to characterize and typify foreign [direct] in-

vestment. In most economies, it enters practically all sectors. It originates

from industrial and developing economies . . . It ranges from the global

investments of the world’s largest corporations to smaller cross-border

investments. The distinction between foreign and domestic investment is

increasingly blurred, especially when a country’s diaspora [e.g., China] is

actively involved. A world of increasingly seamless national boundaries also

connotes highly fluid capital whose characteristics are often difficult to

recommendations356

discern. . . . In assessing the impact of FDI, a key issue is one of attribution,

in the sense of discerning causality. . . . In most cases . . . causality appears

to be either weak or nonexistent.1

3. Emphasize inclusiveness and transparency as the transcendent principles in all

future efforts to reach multilateral consensus on new or more specific rights and obli-

gations for both governments and MNCs. Government, business, and civil society

should improve the means by which they communicate both quantitatively and

qualitatively. A better understanding of the nuances of MNCs and FDI as well as

mutual acceptance by these three ‘‘constituencies’’ of the proposition that none of

them has anything close to a monopoly on wisdom about these phenomena can

improve the communications process.

Maximum inclusiveness and transparency will not guarantee excellent policies

and honorable behavior, but they will maximize checks and balances and provide

maximum oversight of the major actors. Human beings are imperfect. Because

institutions are composed of humans, they, too, are imperfect. Even the most

respected organizations cannot guarantee that their leaders will not occasionally

succumb to corrupt, greedy, narrow-minded/self-serving, or just plain stupid

behavior. Leaders of any and all organizations—governmental, corporate, and

nonprofit—have shown themselves capable of becoming intoxicated with power,

overly righteous about their vision of the public good, or indifferent to the interests

of the public at large. Some will continue to do so, even with tightened rules

affecting the conduct of international business. ‘‘Rules exist to govern behavior,

but rules cannot substitute for character.’’2

4. Create an ongoing ‘‘quadralogue’’ among governments, business and nongov-

ernmental organization (NGO) representatives, and academic and institute re-

searchers. It would be charged with slowly but surely working through the trade-

offs necessary to achieve more specific, mutually advantageous multilateral FDI

agreements affecting the behavior of both the private and official sectors. No

critical need exists at present for immediate establishment of an FDI regime, and

no master formula exists for resolving the deep philosophical differences toward

the relative merits of MNCs. Nevertheless, a simple procedural change in the

way that four key actors communicate with each other might at least partially

loosen the Gordian knot choking off consensus on a proper allocation of rights

and obligations for governmental policy making and MNC activities. Govern-

ments have talkedmostly to other governments;MNCshave talkedmostly to other

companies (and occasionally to UN officials); NGOs, including labor unions,

have mostly talked to other NGOs and periodically to MNCs; academicians and

researchers have mostly talked to other academicians and researchers. The four

constituent groups need to talk more extensively to one another and spend less

time communicating only with counterparts.

an agenda for future action 357

A kind of four cultures syndrome has materialized; it is characterized by an

ineffective communications process that is sustained by turf-protection concerns

and distrust of the other three actors. Incredibly, no public record exists of any

extended talks among representatives of all principal constituencies in the FDI/

MNC debate being held to identify and broaden overlapping areas of agreement.

A more formal and comprehensive multilateral consultative framework holds

great promise for a more effective system than today’s scatter-shot collection of

bilateral investment treaties and voluntary codes of conduct. Opinions about FDI

and MNCs are entrenched and antagonistic, but they would not necessarily be

impervious to a patient, friendlier four-way dialogue. Because these opinions do

not represent state-of-the-art incisiveness, even a small reconciliation of their

differences would be a step in the direction of mutual benefit.

A group comprised of respected, well-informed representatives from busi-

ness, government, NGOs, and academicians-researchers agreeing to serve for an

extended period of time should be convened on a permanent basis on neutral

ground, perhaps a forum cohosted in Geneva by UNCTAD and the World

Trade Organization. Participants in the quadralogue would be selected by the

respective constituencies. Their mandate, with no fixed deadline, would be to

compile a growing list of broadly defined but enforceable commitments that

would be acceptable in principle to governments, MNCs, and relevant NGOs.

The ultimate objective would be to reach enough agreements that a de facto

multilateral FDI regime gradually emerges, one that would not necessarily be a

cure-all, just an improvement over the current patchwork quilt. No set of be-

havioral rules for MNCs will forever prevent determined executives from vio-

lating them and behaving in amanner detrimental to society.Nor can amultilateral

agreement prevent determined political leaders from implementing ‘‘outlawed’’

FDI policies. A means of punishing violators does, however, create disincentives

for taking actions outside of consensus-based norms.

5. Give more attention to the thesis that not all incoming FDI is created equal: Any

given foreign subsidiary can make invaluable contributions to domestic economic growth

and rising incomes, and any given subsidiary can be more harmful than beneficial.

Differences in the quality of individual foreign-owned or -controlled subsidiaries should

be the guiding principle in the formulation and administration of economic policies

toward incoming FDI.These policies should recognize and respond appropriately to

the wide range of differences in the nature and effects of the many forms of FDI

and individual MNCs. Governments, especially those of relatively vulnerable (to

the power of big MNCs) developing countries, should formulate policies that (1)

distinguish between the types of FDI that are appropriate for their individual

circumstances; (2) encourage the entry of FDI considered desirable, while dis-

couraging or disallowing FDI considered less appropriate to the country; and (3)

make FDI policies serve wider national objectives and development needs.3

recommendations358

6. Developing countries on a case-by-case basis should consider adopting a

nonpolitical system of screening inward FDI to discourage the least desirable invest-

ment projects and encourage potential foreign investors to design a mutually beneficial

investment project to improve its chances of gaining government approval. An efficient

form of screening run by technocrats can allay at least some of the concerns about

MNC exploitation of less developed countries (LDCs) while not significantly

antagonizing potential foreign investors. International organizations, such as the

World Bank or UNCTAD, should consider providing free technical training

programs for the people who will judge applications in nonindustrialized coun-

tries. The target audience would be government and private sector technocrats;

the subject matter would focus on creation and operation of a government-

sanctioned facility, perhaps with private sector input, to screen applications for

incoming FDI on a quick, professional, and nonpolitical basis. The more ad-

vanced developing countries that can afford to be selective should look to the

techniques used by the investment promotion agencies of Ireland, Singapore, and

Costa Rica as the gold standard for attracting relatively high-quality FDI. The

least developed countries presumably need to be less selective in allowing in-

coming manufacturing FDI, but they still could impose a screening process and

more stringent regulatory conditions on extractive MNCs.

Developing countries would disproportionately benefit if the proposed

quadralogue could devise meaningful multilateral restraints on the ability of

governments to extend overly generous financial incentives to foreign-owned

companies looking for investment sites. If the ‘‘no one wants to disarm first’’

syndrome can be overcome through concerted action, more taxpayers’ money can

be channeled from large corporations’ bottom lines to serve domestic goals with

potentially higher long-term pay-offs, for example, improved human capital and

physical infrastructure.

7. Appreciate the critical need to preserve and maximize competition among the

larger MNCs. There is probably no stopping them from growing ever bigger in size

and increasing global market shares for their goods and services as they respond

to competitive pressures and follow economies of scale strategies to minimize

production costs and maximize profitability. This absolutely does not mean that

passive government acquiescence to corporate gigantism is acceptable. Because

further cross-border mergers of already large MNCmanufacturers suggest further

concentration (few major competitors) in key industries,4 all countries have an

interest in ensuring vigorous enforcement of reasonably comparable national an-

titrust laws. Governments should increase their ability to identify collusion among

corporate giants. Discouraging collusion and promoting transparency and inclu-

siveness will improve the world’s chances to maximize the benefits and minimize

the costs of FDI and MNCs. Big corporations per se are not a problem, argues

Swedish economist Johan Norberg, as long as they are exposed to competition that

an agenda for future action 359

threatens to harm them financially should they ‘‘turn out products inferior to or

more expensive than those of other firms. What we have to fear is not size but

monopoly.’’5

8. Encourage the poorest LDCs to embrace the economic priorities practiced by the

more advanced emerging market economies: Before seeking incoming FDI, they should

get the domestic and economic fundamentals right, that is, enhance human capital and

create the good governance and private sector-accommodating environment that has

had a high statistical correlation with increased economic growth and rising growth

rates. LDCs ‘‘should provide a stable, noninflationary, micro and macroeconomic

environment, with appropriate legal and regulatory infrastructure, that rewards both

domestic and foreign investment.’’6 These countries should accept the abundant

evidence that a domestic order that repels inward FDI or a policy stance that

systematically excludes or limits it, is unlikely to be an order that can successfully

generate sustained economic development and poverty reduction. Developing

countries should also be guided by the proposition that the more vibrant the do-

mestic business sector, the more likely incoming foreign subsidiaries will forge links

with the domestic economy by procuring locally produced goods and services.

Courting MNCs, however, should not require these governments to capitulate to

costly and egregiously self-serving corporate demands for economic concessions.

9. Address the legitimate criticisms of the antiglobalization movement. Judgments

on the relative merits of MNCs are properly made in the larger context of

attitudes toward globalization. This is a mega-trend that promises continued

economic prosperity for many people, but not all and perhaps not even for most

people. It is a trend that probably cannot be reversed short of causing grievous

economic harm on a worldwide basis. Internationalization of production arguably

is preferable to the alternatives, but increased efforts are necessary to ameliorate

its more egregiously undesirable features—beginning with efforts to stabilize the

widening gap between beneficiaries and victims of globalization.

It is disingenuous and counterproductive to ignore the fact that some people

and some communities have been and will be economically disadvantaged by forces

unleashed by globalization. Although it is inevitable that a relatively small number

of entrepreneurs, investors, and executives will gain disproportionately from glob-

alization, more ought to be done to strengthen the social safety nets that soften the

financial distress of those that have been harmed. In political terms, market-

oriented international economic policies are put at risk if increasing numbers of

people perceive that the system worships profits and views workers as expendable

inputs. Market-oriented policies will be attacked by people who believe that at the

same time their standard of living is stagnant and their job security is declining, the

wealthy minority is getting steadily richer—absolutely and relatively. ‘‘Employ-

ment insurance’’ could be provided to significantly offset lost wages and benefits

(e.g., health care and pensions) suffered by the relatively few workers displaced by

recommendations360

MNC production shifts or increased imports and unable to find suitable new jobs.

It would be a win-win situation if these benefits included enhanced technical

training designed to make less skilled workers more employable and elevate them

to the ranks of those having a positive stake in the trend toward greater interna-

tionalization of production. The response to those that say such a program would

be too expensive is that it would be cheaper than imposition of what effectively is a

sales tax on all consumers when imports are restricted or cost-reducing MNC

production shifts are blocked by governmental fiat.

10. Intensify the research agenda on the FDI/MNC phenomena in both qualitative

and quantitative terms. Although it is unlikely we will ever definitively know all that

would be useful to know, a moderate increase in understanding these phenomena

more likely than not will demonstrate the heterogeneity and variability of FDI and

MNCs rather than perpetuate the false and distracting notion that their nature

and impact is overwhelmingly good or bad on an all-inclusive basis. A number of

priority research topics present themselves. The variables determining whether a

direct investment project will be high quality and beneficial, marginal, or low

quality and costly to the host country need to be more clearly identified. A related

question is whether any statistical relationship can be found between the arrival of

certain kinds of investment by certain kinds of companies and above-average

increases in growth and per capita income in host countries. Another worthy effort

would be increasing our understanding of how the domestic variables of human

capital and the economic and political environment affect the success or failure of

incoming foreign subsidiaries. Other important factors that need to be better

understood are the numbers and relative pay scales of jobs created by incoming

foreign-owned subsidiaries, the relative importance of factors that MNC execu-

tives find appealing and repelling for specific kinds of direct investments, and what

have been the effects, good and bad, of incoming FDI on domestic competitors in

host countries.

Governments should spend a modest amount of additional money to improve

the data on FDI flows and the monetary value of cumulative inward and outward

direct investments. Governments should also expend the nominal amount of

effort that would be necessary to bring greater worldwide uniformity to defini-

tions and measurement criteria. Governments should collect data (on a confi-

dential basis) from foreign-owned subsidiaries located within their jurisdiction to

more fully and accurately measure the flows of hard currency these subsidiaries

both bring into host countries and remit overseas. At a nominal cost, this pro-

cedure would provide valuable insights into the domestic and balance of pay-

ments impacts of inward FDI. Similarly, a better understanding of FDI’s effects

on foreign trade could be gained if countries required confidential reporting on

the imports and exports of inward direct investments and published the aggre-

gate results.

an agenda for future action 361

A detailed, case-by-case examination of thousands of overseas subsidiaries in

lower income countries to determine the extent (if any) that each increased the

number of relatively high-paying jobs, transferred state-of-the-art technology,

established linkage to domestically owned businesses, increased exports, and

encouraged subsequent FDI inflows would be illuminating. Although no quick,

easy, or inexpensive task, such a study could geometrically increase our relatively

limited understanding of how well or how poorly—and under what circum-

stances—the various kinds of multinationals have boosted economic performance

in those LDCs where they have a significant presence. Another addition to the

research agenda of the larger industrial countries should be a comprehensive

examination of the push and pull factors responsible for companies closing entire

plants and moving production to overseas subsidiaries. It also would be useful to

have greater insights into how frequently this has occurred and to give more

thought to remedial policies in the home country that might ease the plight of at-

risk workers.

Hopefully, foundations, corporations, and governments will support an ex-

panded research effort in the belief that the advancement to knowledge about a

very important but inadequately understood set of public policy issues would be

worth far more than the costs.

11. Encourage the use of innovative ideas to assist the least developed countries to

attract and reap the benefits of incoming FDI (assuming willingness to simultaneously

address internal shortcomings). Relatively wealthy countries should consider re-

ducing the corporate tax rates on profits remitted from designated LDCs, in-

cluding export-processing zones, as an incentive to invest in them. The World

Bank and other regional development banks should establish additional programs

in the poorest countries similar to the Bank’s initiative to counter corruption in

Chad. It was designed to ensure a minimum percentage of the country’s revenues

from foreign oil companies is transferred directly into escrow-like accounts to

benefit the current and future population rather than being diverted into the

pockets of the elites or used to buy military equipment and weapons. A stipulated

percentage of Chad’s oil bonanza is to be earmarked for externally administered

accounts divided between those designated for current development projects and

poverty alleviation programs and one reserved for future use after oil reserves are

depleted. The peoples of other poor countries hosting big money extractive FDI

would surely benefit from a similar version of externally controlled bank accounts.7

A Closing Thought

To describe the nature and impact of FDI/MNCs in all-encompassing or im-

mutable terms is to repeat the mistakes of the blind men separately touching

recommendations362

individual parts of the elephant. A full and proper appreciation of these animals

requires observers to scrutinize and compare all major physical and behavioral

characteristics of all species of elephants. Moving from metaphor to specifics, the

best way to assess FDI and MNCs is to accept the thesis that the appropriate

answer to most of the important questions about them is ‘‘it depends.’’ Disag-

gregation and appreciation of the heterogeneity of these complex and dynamic

phenomena can lead to more accurate insights into their nature and effects as well

as to the most appropriate policy responses. An analysis of FDI and MNCs that

mislabels perceptions as fact and proffers wobbly generalizations to prove its

arguments is ‘‘irrelephant.’’

Notes

1. AsianDevelopment Bank,Asian Development Outlook 2004, pp. 259–60, available online

at http://www.adb.org/Documents/Books/ADO/2004/part030000.asp; accessed July

2005.

2. Alan Greenspan, ‘‘Commencement Address,’’ May 15, 2005, Board of Governors press

release, p. 5.

3. Martin Khor, ‘‘Globalization and the South: Some Critical Issues,’’ UNCTAD Dis-

cussion Paper no. 147, April 2000, p. 44, available online at http://www.unctad.org/

en/docs/dp_147.en.pdf; accessed September 2004.

4. In the early weeks of 2006 alone, press reports indicated that Mittal Steel had made an

offer to buy Arcelor, the world’s second largest steelmaker; if consummated this could

lead to further consolidation in the world’s steel industry. In addition, General Electric

and Hitachi, both large producers of nuclear reactors, made a joint bid to take control of

Westinghouse Electric, a major British nuclear technology company.

5. Johan Norberg, In Defense of Globalization (Washington, DC: Cato Institute, 2003),

p. 210.

6. Theodore H. Moran, Foreign Direct Investment and Development (Washington, DC:

Institute for International Economics, 1998), p. 29.

7. The program early on ran into major complications. Chad’s government demanded

that the amount of cash earmarked for the escrow accounts be reduced and transferred

to current expenditures.

an agenda for future action 363

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Index

Agglomeration economies, 158–159, 166,

301–303

Alabama

inward FDI, 301–303, 304

American University, 110

Anti-globalization. See Globalization:

opposition to

Asian Development Bank (ADB), 296,

297, 345, 356

Automobile industry, 138–144, 302–303

U.S. import barriers, 141

Baken, Joel, 105, 112

Balance of payments, 188, 215

Barnet, Richard J., 22–23

Best practices, 191, 289, 349

Bhagwati, Jagdish, 275, 344

Bilateral investment treaties, 260, 264,

266, 267

Blonigen, Bruce, 339

BMW Group, 140, 143

British East India Company, 43

Brookings Institution, 192

Buchanan, James M., 101, 103

Business Roundtable, 208

Canada, 47, 247, 265, 322

policy toward inward FDI, 346–348

Capitalism, 103–104, 285. See also

Markets, benefits of

Catholic Relief Services, 188

Caves, Richard E., 186, 199, 200

Cemex Corp., 88

Central American Free Trade

Agreement, 271

Central Europe, 319–320, 321

Chad, 189, 362

Child labor, 190

Chile, 80

and ITT Corp., 187, 326

China, 68, 103, 129, 183, 207, 220, 335

effects of FDI on trade, 207

inward FDI, 51, 58, 109, 135, 142,

151, 156, 161–164, 170, 227, 249,

292, 321

outward FDI, 89, 134, 136, 194–195

Christian Aid, 312, 326–327

Citigroup Corp., 84, 128

Civil society. See Nongovernmental

organizations

Coca-Cola Company, 85

Codes of conduct, 261–263

Comparative advantage, 222–227, 229.

See also Foreign direct investment:

and international trade

Corporate culture, 64–65

Corporate executives

salaries of, 104

Corporate social responsibility, 31, 275,

312

Corporation

benefits of, 99

downsides of, 105–106

evolution of, 30

governance, 32–34

nature and purposes of, 27–32

regulation of, 29

Corruption, 100, 172, 248, 297, 325,

344

Costa Rica. See also Intel Corporation:

and Costa Rica

inward FDI, 214–215, 227, 303–304

Council of Economic Advisors, 221

Crowding-out, 74

365

DaimlerChrysler Group, 139, 140, 143,

167, 320, 343

Dell, Michael, 153

Dell Corp., 209, 291

Deloitte & Touche, 156

Democracy deficit, 108

Depression, Great, 46, 243, 253–254,

314

Developing countries. See Less developed

countries

Disaggregation, need for, 13, 14, 15, 120,

338, 363

Double taxation treaties, 260

Dow Chemical Corporation, 167

Dow Jones Industrial Average, 23, 343

Drucker, Peter, 24, 32

Dunning, John H., 42, 44, 45, 126, 127,

224, 289, 336

eclectic paradigm, 125–126

Dutch East India Company, 43

eBay Corporation, 82, 133, 134, 294

Eclectic paradigm. See Dunning, John

Economies of scale, 122, 224–225, 291, 349.

See also High technology

Economist, The, 172, 235, 264, 289

Efficiency-seeking FDI, 69–70, 130, 140,

186, 198, 287, 350

Electronics manufacturing services, 84

Emergency Committee for American

Trade, 208

Emerging markets, 181–182

Encarnation, Dennis, 221

Equity versus efficiency, 18, 93, 336

Ericsson Corp., 157

European Union (EU), 49, 129, 136, 160,

221, 241, 253

and national sovereignty, 244

Exchange rates, 134

Export processing zones (EPZs), 72

Expropriation. See Nationalization

Extractive industries, 47, 156 198,

297, 325. See also Resource-seeking

FDI

Fair trade goods, 274

FDI Performance Index, 184

Fieldhouse, David, 18, 241

First-to-market, 132

Flextronics Corp., 84, 321

Ford Motor Company, 23, 46, 139, 142,

299

Foreign direct investment (FDI). See also

Multinational corporations

assessments of. See Multinational

corporations: assessment of

benefits of. See Multinational

corporations: benefits of

cause and effect issues, 16, 42–44, 185,

286, 287

definition, 36–39

disadvantages of. See Multinational

corporations: disadvantages of

and economic growth, 57–58, 170–171,

206, 338, 349–350

efficiency-seeking. See Efficiency-seeking

FDI

and exports, 217–222

extractive companies (resource-seeking).

See Extractive industries

factors attracting inward FDI, 155–159

factors discouraging inward FDI,

154–155, 168–172

flows, annual, 48

greenfield subsidiaries, 73

and gross domestic product (GDP). See

Multinational corporations: and

gross domestic product

heterogeneity of, 62–65, 127, 157,

332, 335, 356, 363

horizontal, 71

impact of. See Multinational

corporations: impact of

importance of, 53–59, 121

incentives. See Multinational

corporations: incentives from

governments

and international trade, 58–59, 129–130,

206–212

index366

and labor, 70, 80, 108, 150, 292–295,

300, 317–321, 328, 360–361

manufacturing companies. See

Manufacturing FDI

market-seeking. See Market-seeking

FDI

mergers. See Mergers and acquisitions

and nation-states. See Sovereignty,

national

protection of export markets, 129

quality of, 15, 64, 188, 196, 198,

295–296, 314–317, 349, 358, 361

reasons for, 68

regime, lack of, 253–259, 266, 276

regulation of, 253–263, 336

relative to world economic output, 54,

56, 107

services companies. See Services FDI

stock of (book value), 48

strategic asset-seeking. See Strategic

asset-seeking FDI

subsidiaries’ sales. See Multinational

corporations: subsidiaries

theories, 25, 118–126

in the United States. See United States:

inward FDI

vertical, 71–72

Fortune 500, 23

France, 45, 257, 265

Free trade agreements. See Regional free

trade agreements

Friedman, Milton, 312

General Electric Corp., 130, 157, 241, 343

General Motors Corp., 23, 46, 76, 139,

142, 207, 299, 320

Germany, 45, 319–320

inward FDI, 167, 340

outward FDI, 70

Gillette Corp., 343

Gilpin, Robert, 53, 97, 242, 255

Global Compact, UN, 262–263

Globalization, 239–240, 317

opposition to, 106–109, 360

Global production networks, 72

Global Reach, 22–23

Goodman, Louis W., 88

Google, Inc., 82, 134

Governance, quality of, 153, 158, 164

Government

benefits of, 103–106

Governments versus markets, 94–98,

109–111, 255

Graham, Edward M., 206, 293

Great Britain. See United Kingdom

Great Depression. See Depression,

Great

Grove, Andrew, 23, 342

Guatemala, 187, 325

Haier Group, 89, 194

Hecksher-Ohlin theorem, 119, 122,

223–228. See also Comparative

advantage

Heritage Foundation, 171

Hertz, Noreena, 108

Heterogeneity. See Multinational

corporations: heterogeneity of

High technology (high-tech), 81, 327–328.

See also Economies of scale

economics of, 52, 122–123

Home countries, 256

Honda Motor Company, 139, 142

Honduras, 321

Hong Kong, 200

Host countries, 14, 256–257

Human capital, 197, 297

Hungary, 319

inward FDI, 57, 153, 215–216, 321,

336

Hymer, Stephen, 121, 124, 126, 344

Hyundai-Kia Corporation, 139, 140–141,

167

IBM Corp., 23, 130, 194

Ideology, economic, 20, 29, 93–98, 186,

319

Income distribution, 107, 337

index 367

India, 289, 327

inward FDI, 163–164

outward FDI, 89, 129

Indonesia

inward FDI, 199

Information technology revolution. See

High technology

Infrastructure, 158, 164, 166

Intel Corporation, 129

and Costa Rica, 86, 168, 214–215, 249,

303

foreign subsidiaries, 130–131, 137–138,

157

Interdependence, economic, 107, 247

International Monetary Fund (IMF), 246,

253, 254

International trade. See Foreign direct

investment: international trade;

Comparative advantage

Internet companies, 52, 82, 132, 134, 297

Intrafirm trade, 207

Ireland, 173

effects of inward FDI, 70, 212–213

inward FDI, 57, 153, 159–161, 207, 229

Israel, 137–138

ITT Corporation, 187, 297, 312

and Chile. See Chile: and ITT Corp.

Japan, 103, 257

inward FDI, 154, 200, 216–217,

221–222, 287–289, 294, 322–323

outward FDI, 50–51, 70, 77, 134,

141–142, 208

Joint ventures, 75, 76

Khor, Martin, 266

Kindleberger, Charles, 25, 122, 240, 341

Kobrin, Stephen J., 239

Kodak Corp., 46

Kokko, Ari, 195

Korea (South), 199, 322

inward FDI, 217, 287–289, 323

Krasner, Stephen D., 235, 241

Krugman, Paul, 227, 228

Labor. See Foreign direct investment:

and labor

Lee, Kuan Yew, 213

Lennon, Vladimir, 106, 298

Lenovo Corp., 194

Less developed countries (LDCs), 78, 104,

180–186, 257–258, 359, 360

attitudes toward FDI, 50

benefits of FDI in, 190–193, 293

effects of inward FDI in, 79–80,

184–199

harm of FDI, 187–189, 309–310

heterogeneity of, 181–183, 193

inward FDI, 50–51, 58, 151–152

least developed countries, 362

outward FDI, 87–90, 192–193

variables, economic, 193, 195–200

Lever Brothers Corporation, 46

Licensing, 119–120

Linkage. See Multinational corporations:

linkages with host countries

Lipsey, Robert, 221

Litvin, Daniel, 325

Manufacturing FDI, 80–81

Market concentration, 359. See also

Multinational corporations: as

oligopolists

Market imperfections, 96, 122

Market-seeking FDI, 67–69, 156, 186,

287, 350

Markets, benefits of, 98–103

Markets versus government. See

Governments versus markets

Mathews, Jessica, 246

Mauritius, 88

McDonald’s Corp., 83, 128, 324

McKinsey and Company, 137, 342

McKinsey Global Institute, 290

Mercedes Benz, 302

Mergers and acquisitions (M&As), 51,

64, 73, 74, 135, 139

Metalclad Corp., 269–270

Methanex Corp., 272

index368

Mexico, 109, 267

inward FDI, 199, 220, 269, 315, 321

Microprocessors, 215, 226

Microsoft Corp., 84

Mitsubishi Motors, 143

Monterrey Consensus, 190

Moran, Theodore, 192, 198

Morgan Stanley, Inc., 135

Müller, Ronald, 22–23

Multilateral Agreement on Investment

(MAI), 263–266

Multinational corporations (MNCs). See

also Foreign direct investment

allegiance to home country, 35–36

and anti-globalization arguments. See

Globalization: opposition to

assessments of, 20, 22–24, 337, 341–343,

345–346, 363

benefits of, 284–296, 334–335

cause and effect issues. See Foreign

direct investment: cause and effect

issues

competition among, 52

debate over impact of, 19, 22

definition, 34–36, 39

disadvantages of, 309–319, 334–335,

349

as dynamic phenomena, 21

and economic growth. See Foreign

direct investment: and economic

growth

efficiency-seeking. See Efficiency-seeking

FDI

and environmental issues, 300–301, 350

evolution of, 41–47, 356

exports by, 207. See also Foreign direct

investment: and exports

extractive companies (resource-seeking).

See Extractive industries

geographic concentration of, 149–152,

183, 300–301

and gross domestic product (GDP),

54–58, 298–299, 338

growth, need for, 128

heterogeneity of, 5, 13, 14, 18, 62–65,

127, 157, 356, 363

impact of, 13, 96

importance of. See Foreign direct

investment: importance of

incentives from governments, 165–168,

247

and international trade. See Foreign

direct investment: and international

trade

and labor. See Foreign direct

investment: and labor

linkages with host countries, 290–291,

295, 315, 348

manufacturers. See Manufacturing

FDI

market-seeking. See Market-seeking

FDI

mergers. See Mergers and acquisitions

monopolies. See Multinational

corporations: as oligopolists

and nation-states. See Sovereignty,

national

number of, 12, 14, 47, 63

as oligopolists, 22, 106, 123, 313–314

quality of. See Foreign direct

investment: quality of

reasons for. See Foreign direct

investment: reasons for

regulation of. See Foreign direct

investment: regulation of

sales by overseas subsidiaries, 48, 57–59,

206, 298–299

services companies. See Services FDI

size, 85–86

strategic asset-seeking. See Strategic

asset-seeking FDI

subsidiaries, 14, 38, 63, 71–75

technology’s impact on, 44, 52. See also

High technology

theories. See Foreign direct investment:

theories

Multinational enterprise. See

Multinational corporations

index 369

Nader, Ralph, 239–240

National treatment, 260

Nationalization, 249, 260, 267, 265

Netherlands, 45, 87

New United Motor Manufacturing,

Inc., 76

Newmont Mining Corp., 199, 326

Nigeria, 100

inward FDI, 171–172, 326

Nike Corp., 85, 274

NissanMotor Company, 139, 140, 142, 144

Nokia Corp., 226

Nongovernmental organizations (NGOs),

100, 110, 111, 189, 258, 261, 263,

272, 357, 358

activities of, 245–246, 272–276, 294,

298, 343–344

opposition to MAI, 264–265

Norberg, Johan, 101, 359

North American Free Trade Agreement

(NAFTA)

Chapter 11, 266–272

Nunnenkamp, Peter, 193

Offshoring, 83, 89, 129, 327–328

Ohmae, Kenichi, 35, 237

Oil companies, 78–79, 362

Oligopolies, 344. See also Multinational

corporations: as oligopolists

Organization for Economic Cooperation

and Development (OECD), 254,

264, 293

Guidelines for Multinational

Enterprises, 262–263

Organization of Petroleum Exporting

Countries (OPEC), 78, 249

Overseas Development Institute (UK),

199, 293

Ownership advantage, 121–122, 125–126

Oxford University Press, 81

Perceptions of FDI, 19, 332, 333,

350, 355

Performance requirements, 170

Peru, 326–327

Pharmaceutical industry, 123

Philippines, 207, 327

Porter, Michael, 225, 312

Portfolio investment, 37, 289

Primary sector. See Resource-seeking FDI

Privatization, 73, 136

Product life-cycle theory, 124–125

Public choice theory, 101–102

Public Citizen, 264, 268–269

Quinlan, Joseph, 339

Race to the bottom, 108, 150, 299–301

Regional free trade agreements, 136

Regulatory environment, 153, 158, 169

Research and development (R&D), 122,

123, 139, 140, 287

Resource-seeking FDI, 66–67, 78–80,

198, 325, 327. See also Extractive

industries

Ricardo, David, 222–223

Risk diversification, 130

Rodrik, Dani, 185

Rosenau, James, 246

Ruggie, John, 238

Russia, 45, 46, 249

Sarbanes-Oxley Act, 34

Saudi Arabia, 80

Schumer, Senator Charles, 328

Secondary sector. See Manufacturing FDI

Servan-Schreiber, Jean-Jacques, 49

Services FDI, 53, 81–84, 256, 327–328

Shareholders, 29, 31, 96

Shell Oil Company, 326

Siemens Corp., 45

Silicon Valley, 135, 158

Singapore, 173, 208, 291

effects of inward FDI, 212–213, 289

inward FDI, 85, 161

Singer Sewing Machine Company, 45

Slovakia, 320

inward FDI, 226, 303

index370

Smith, Adam, 99

Sovereignty at Bay, 240

Sovereignty, national, 234–241, 243–244,

247, 248, 322–324, 325, 335

Spatz, Julius, 193

Stakeholders, 31, 32, 96, 256

Standard Oil Corp., 45

Starbucks Corp., 83, 128

Stiglitz, Joseph E., 109

Strange, Susan, 237

Strategic alliances, 75–76, 139

Strategic asset-seeking FDI, 70–71, 140,

156

Subsidiaries. See Multinational

corporations: subsidiaries

Sweatshops, 189, 294

Taiwan, 199, 207

Tariff jumping, 129, 156

Technology. See High technology;

Multinational corporations:

technology’s impact on

Technology transfer, 54, 191, 290, 291,

298, 362

Tertiary sector. See Services FDI

Toyota Motor Corporation, 76, 139, 142

direct investment in United States, 131

Trade, international. See Foreign direct

investment: and international trade

Trade-Related Investment Measures, 170,

260–261, 267

Transfer prices, 311

Transnational actors, 244–245

Transnational corporation. See Multi-

national corporations

Transnationality index, 86–87

Transparency International, 100, 172

Transparency, 357

Triad countries, 123, 150, 156

Union Minerè, 325

United Fruit Company, 45, 297, 325

United Kingdom, 45, 139

United Nations Code of Conduct on

Transnational Corporations, 266

United Nations Conference on Trade and

Development (UNCTAD), 48, 64,

87, 88, 151, 153, 154, 167, 184, 192,

196, 207, 216, 217, 221, 254, 286

World Investment Report, 86, 183, 190,

200, 206, 345

United States

effects of FDI on trade, 208–212

as hegemon, 53

inward FDI, 51, 89, 135, 138, 154, 167,

169, 212, 323–324, 347–348

U.S. Congress, 100, 102, 110

U.S. Department of Commerce, 210, 212,

341

U.S. International Trade Commission,

210, 220–221

Venezuela, 100

inward FDI, 171–173

Vernon, Raymond, 124, 126, 240, 276, 310

Vertical integration, 52, 71–72, 220

Volkswagen Group, 143, 315, 320

Wages, 149, 286, 292–294, 317–321. See

also Foreign direct investment: and

labor

Whirlpool Corporation, 340

Whistle-blowers, 111

Wire harness industry, 321

Wolf, Martin, 100, 242

World Bank, 100, 155, 169, 171, 189,

191

World Economic Forum, 172

World Trade Organization (WTO), 56,

207, 246, 253, 254

Yahoo! Inc., 82, 134

Yergin, Daniel, 78

Yum! Brands, Inc. 135

index 371

  • Contents
  • Abbreviations
  • Introduction
  • Part I: Fundamentals
    • 1 A Better Approach to Understanding Foreign Direct Investment and Multinational Corporations
    • 2 Defining the Subject: Subtleties and Ambiguities
    • 3 From Obscurity to International Economic Powerhouse: The Evolution of Multinational Corporations
    • 4 Heterogeneity: The Many Kinds of Foreign Direct Investment and Multinational Corporations and Their Disparate Effects
    • 5 Perceptions and Economic Ideologies
  • Part II: The Strategy of Multinationals
    • 6 Why Companies Invest Overseas
    • 7 Where Multinational Corporations Invest and Don’t Invest and Why
  • Part III: Impact on the International Order
    • 8 Effects of Foreign Direct Investment on Less Developed Countries: Vagaries, Variables, Negatives, and Positives
    • 9 Why and How Multinational Corporations Have Altered International Trade
    • 10 Multinational Corporations versus the Nation-State: Has Sovereignty Been Outsourced?
    • 11 The International Regulation of Multinational Corporations: Why There Is No Multilateral Foreign Direct Investment Regime
  • Part IV: Three Bottom Lines
    • 12 The Case for Foreign Direct Investment and Multinational Corporations
    • 13 The Case against Foreign Direct Investment and Multinational Corporations
    • 14 An Agnostic Conclusion: "It Depends"
  • Part V: Recommendations
    • 15 An Agenda for Future Action
  • Index
    • A
    • B
    • C
    • D
    • E
    • F
    • G
    • H
    • I
    • J
    • K
    • L
    • M
    • N
    • O
    • P
    • Q
    • R
    • S
    • T
    • U
    • V
    • W
    • Y